the role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts
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The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts. Vladimir Kvetan Cedefop InGRID Expert workshop New skills new jobs: Tools for harmonising the measurement of occupations Amsterdam , 10-12 February 2014. Occupations in the forecasts. Occupation as inputs - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Skills for the future
The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts
Vladimir Kvetan
CedefopInGRID Expert workshop New skills new jobs: Tools for harmonising the measurement of occupations
Amsterdam, 10-12 February 2014
Skills for the future
Occupations in the forecasts
• Occupation as inputs
• Occupations as results
• Further focus on occupations
Skills for the future
NA vs. LFS
• Where do you work? / Where do you live?
• better fit in models / more details
• statistical reports / survey data
Skills for the future
NACE rev.2 and ISCO 08
• NACE – change in philosophy of sectors– new sectors (mainly 1 digit)– 2008 and 2009 data available for both
• ISCO– no time series intention– no transformation year (matrix)– timing of introduction
Skills for the future
ISCO 08 regrouping
ISCO 1: Managers, etc. Inclusions ExclusionsHealth service managers Shopkeepers (to Service workers)Elderly care managers Agricultural managers (to Agricultural workers(from Professionals) Film, TV, stage Directors (to Professionals)
Construction supervisors (to Associateprofessionals)
ISCO 2 ProfessionalsInclusions ExclusionsDecorators+commercial designers Health service managersHealth technicians, medical assistants, opticians Nursing professionals (to Associate professionals)
Primary+pre-primary teachers Business service agents (to Associateprofessionals)
Other teaching associate professionalsFinance dealers Technical+commercial sales repsClowns, musicians,acrobats (all from Associateprofessionals)
Skills for the future
ISCO 08 regrouping (2)
ISCO 8- Machine operators, assemblersInclusions Exclusions
Photographic machine operatorsManufacturing supervisors (to Associateprofessionals)
Weaving machine operators (from Skilled manual) Process controllers (to Associate professionals)
Print machine operatorsBook-binding machine operators (to Skilledmanual)Wood machine operators (to Skilled manual)
ISCO 9 – Elementary occupationsInclusions ExclusionsGardeners, nursery workers (from Agriculturalworkers)
Door-to-door+telephone sales persons,
Fast food preparers (from Service workers)Security guards (both to Sales and serviceworkers)
Skills for the future
Employment shares by occupation
EU-27 (% total), 2008-2011
Source: Eurostat, ELFS
Skills for the future
Employment shares for ISCO 1 by country
Source: Eurostat, ELFS
Skills for the future
Two solutions
• Constant share of ISCO 08– relatively easy– not reflecting reality – constant shares in sectors
• Past trends continue– difficult task– trends and changing occupational structure– additional inputs from countries
Skills for the future
Occupations as results
• ISCO 08 • 30 countries, sectors, qualifications• Net change + replacement demand• Available online
– www.cedefop.europa.eu– main results and detailed data
Skills for the future
Occupations as results
Skills for the future
Occupation skills profiles• Coordination characteristics
– level of qualification requirement– field of study
• Main characteristics– knowledge– skills – competences
• Supplementary characteristics– occupaitonal interests– working values
Skills for the future
Qualifications cross sectors
Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)
Skills for the future
Qualifications in jobs
Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)
Skills for the future
Thank you for your attentionVladimir Kvetan
More information:www.cedefop.europa.eu