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Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists Workforce Professional Development Academy December 8, 2011

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Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists. Workforce Professional Development Academy December 8, 2011. Employment Projections -- General Information. Employment forecast covers the projection period 2011-2019. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Workforce Professional Development AcademyDecember 8, 2011

Page 2: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Employment Projections --General Information

• Employment forecast covers the projection period 2011-2019.

• Projected national industry employment, state and regional population, income data, U.S. and Florida unemployment rates, and housing starts were used as variables to help project state and regional employment trends.

• Occupational employment distributions derived from the 2009 annual occupational survey, with 53,400 employer responses representing more than 4.4 million workers, were used to produce the occupational projections.

• Almost 80 percent of the job growth projected in this forecast will be the regaining of jobs lost during the recent economic downturn.

2

Page 3: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Employment Projections --Issues and Considerations

• Reviewed the results of the state official economic forecast for legislative budgeting.

• Used a population forecast which does not project Florida returning to our pre-recession population growth rates.

• Incorporated information on numerous plant openings and closings.

• Assumed that long-term job growth will be weaker due to a prolonged sluggish economy that points to a slow recovery at the state and national levels.

• Had to rely more on analysts’ judgment and less on statistical models since the most recent economic downturn was unlike previous recessions and has no indication of a strong economic driver on the horizon.

3

Page 4: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry and Occupational Employment Projections Process

Occupational Employment

Statistics Survey Data

Industry Employment Projections

Historical Industry,

Population, and Income

Data

Occupational Employment

Estimates

Industry / Occupation Matrix

Industry and Occupational Employment Projection Reports

Page 5: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Employment in Offices of Dentists - Statewide

1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 20180

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

6000055,551

Offices of Dentists Linear (Offices of Dentists) ProjectedYear

Empl

oym

ent i

n O

ffice

s of

Den

tists

)

5

Page 6: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Employment in Semiconductor and Electronic Component Manufacturing - Statewide

14,011

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

YearHistorical Projected Linear (Historical)

6

Page 7: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry Employment Projections to 2019

• Florida is projected to gain slightly more than 1 million new jobs between 2011 and 2019 (1.62% annual growth). More than 8.9 million people are projected to be employed by 2019.

• All major industry sectors will see employment gains, except mining. However, only 5 of the 12 major industry sectors are projected to exceed their pre-recession peak.

• Some industries hardest hit by job losses between 2007 and 2011 will experience more job gains over the long term. Many of these industries will have above average growth rates as they regain some jobs from their lowest employment levels in a decade.

7

Page 8: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry Employment Projections to 2019• Major industry sectors growing the fastest: construction; professional

and business services.

• Construction, which lost more jobs than any other industry during the past recession, is projected to recapture only 30 percent of its earlier job losses.

• Major industry sectors gaining the most new jobs: professional and business services; education and health.

• Professional and business services will be strong as employment services, and architectural and engineering services rebound from some of their lowest employment levels in a decade.

8

Page 9: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Construction Employment

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Construction

Projected

9

Page 10: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Professional and Business Services Employment

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Professional and Business Services

Projected

10

Page 11: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry Employment Projections to 2019

• Healthcare is projected to continue to be strong as offices of physicians and home health services lead the way in employment growth.

• Growth in the private education sector will result largely from job gains in private colleges and universities.

11

Page 12: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Education and Healthcare Employment

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Education/Healthcare

Projected

12

Page 13: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry Employment Projections to 2019

• Manufacturing is projected to be the slowest-growing major industry sector, despites job gains in transportation equipment, healthcare and medical-related products, and construction-related manufacturing.

• Trade, transportation, and utilities will see all three components of this sector grow slower than average as consumers maintain the frugal spending habits they adopted during the downturn and as retailers adopt more labor saving opportunities.

• The information sector will be the second slowest growing industry behind manufacturing, as gains in internet related services and motion picture production are offset by losses in the telecommunications industry.

13

Page 14: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Manufacturing Employment

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Manufacturing Non-Durable GoodsDurable Goods Projected

14

Page 15: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Trade, Transportation, and Utilities Employment

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

TTU Projected

15

Page 16: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Information Employment

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Information Projected

16

Page 17: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry Employment Projections to 2019

• The financial activities sector will grow slower than the average rate for all industries due to mergers, slow demand for mortgages due to reduced home construction and existing home sales, and increased productivity resulting from new technologies.

• The leisure and hospitality sector is projected to grow slower than the overall average rate due the industry’s high correlation to consumer spending and the difficulties of recapturing lost ground in global tourism.

17

Page 18: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Financial Activities Employment

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Financial Activities

Projected

18

Page 19: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Leisure and Hospitality Employment

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Leisure and Hospitality Projected

19

Page 20: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Industry Employment Projections to 2019

• Government will grow very slowly due to budget shortfalls. The postal service will sheds jobs, state government agencies will privatize jobs, and local governments and school districts will reduce services.

• Growth in jobs for self-employed and unpaid family workers will be much slower than average, accounting for only 5.7 percent of the new jobs.

20

Page 21: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Government Employment

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017

Thou

sand

s

Year

Government

Projected

21

Page 22: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Employment Forecast by Major Industry Sector

2011-2019

Employment Annual Change 2011-19 ChangeIndustry Title 2011 2019 Level Percent Level Percent

Total, All Industries 7,913,748 8,938,450 128,088 1.62 1,126,340 14.41

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 76,908 79,226 290 0.38 2,318 3.01Mining 3,695 2,970 -91 -2.45 -725 -19.62Construction 333,894 430,207 12,039 3.61 96,313 28.85Manufacturing 303,849 310,274 803 0.26 6,425 2.11Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 1,468,771 1,622,283 19,189 1.31 153,512 10.45Information 132,402 138,308 613 0.46 4,906 3.71Financial Activities 468,843 518,938 6,262 1.34 50,095 10.68Professional and Business Services 1,067,550 1,308,029 30,060 2.82 240,479 22.53Education and Health Services 1,094,690 1,300,867 25,772 2.35 206,177 18.83Leisure and Hospitality 945,333 1,034,455 11,140 1.18 89,122 9.43Other Services 311,088 347,429 4,543 1.46 36,341 11.68Government 1,093,367 1,175,055 10,211 0.93 81,688 7.47Self-Employed and Unpaid Family Workers 613,358 671,409 7,256 1.18 58,051 9.46

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Page 23: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Employment Growth Rates by Major Industry Sector

2011-2019

-30.00% -20.00% -10.00% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00%

MiningManufacturing

AgricultureInformation

GovernmentLeisure and Hospitality

Self-EmployedTrade, Transportation, and Utilities

Financial ActivitiesOther Services

Total, All IndustriesEducation and Health Services

Professional and Business ServicesConstruction

Percent

E

23

Page 24: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Employment Growth by Major Industry Sector

2011-2019

-50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000

Mining

Agriculture

Information

Manufacturing

Other Services

Financial Activities

Self-Employed

Government

Leisure and Hospitality

Construction

Trade, Transportation, and Utilities

Education and Health Services

Professional and Business Services

Employment

E

24

Page 25: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Fastest-Growing Detailed Industries* 2011-2019

RANK INDUSTRY TITLE LEVEL PERCENT

1 Specialty Trade Contractors 9,006 4.082 Construction of Buildings 2,169 3.343 Ambulatory Health Care Services 13,165 3.324 Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing 450 3.035 Administrative and Support Services 15,499 2.936 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 12,397 2.817 Motion Picture and Sound Recording Industries 2,400 2.668 Furniture and Home Furnishings Stores 6,617 2.839 Rental and Leasing Services 6,921 2.61

10 Social Assistance 2,576 2.30

ANNUAL CHANGE

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

*includes industries with a minimum of 3,500 jobs in 2011

Page 26: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Detailed Industries Gaining the Most New Jobs 2011-2019

RANK INDUSTRY TITLE LEVEL PERCENT

1 Administrative and Support Services 15,480 2.932 Ambulatory Health Care Services 12,706 3.323 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 12,574 2.814 Local Government 10,115 1.365 Specialty Trade Contractors 8,582 4.086 Food Services and Drinking Places 8,112 1.217 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 4,141 2.128 Education Services (private) 3,678 2.439 General Merchandise Stores 3,643 1.91

10 Hospitals 3,439 1.09

ANNUAL CHANGE

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Page 27: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists
Page 28: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Occupational Employment Projections to 2019

• Every major occupational group except farming is projected to grow.

• Five occupational groups (clerical, sales, food service, healthcare professionals, and construction) will account for 50 percent of the new jobs.

• Construction, healthcare support, and healthcare professional occupations will grow the fastest.

• Clerical, sales, and healthcare professional occupations will gain the most new jobs.

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Page 29: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Occupational Employment Projections to 2019

• Of the top 10 fastest-growing occupations, all require postsecondary training, 4 are healthcare related, 4 are construction related, and 7 earn more than $15 per hour.

• Of the top 10 occupations expected to gain the most new jobs, most are among the largest occupations in the state, have widespread demand within numerous industries, involve considerable part-time work, and have minimal requirements for entry.

• Overall, 60 percent of the projected job openings will be due to replacement needs, and just 40 percent due to economic growth.

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Page 30: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center

Florida Employment Forecast by Major Occupational Group

2011-2019Employment

Occupational Group 2011 2019 Level PercentOccTtl cur prjTotal, All Occupations 7,913,748 8,938,450 1,024,702 12.95Management 320,172 347,764 27,592 8.62Business and Financial Operations 414,393 483,052 68,659 16.57Computer and Mathematical 163,851 192,073 28,222 17.22Architecture and Engineering 109,100 126,382 17,282 15.84Life, Physical, and Social Science 50,697 58,593 7,896 15.57Community and Social Services 108,715 123,065 14,350 13.20Legal 87,885 99,460 11,575 13.17Education, Training, and Library 428,231 490,484 62,253 14.54Arts, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 134,125 152,321 18,196 13.57Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 450,538 533,693 83,155 18.46Healthcare Support 227,552 277,882 50,330 22.12Protective Service 217,104 243,854 26,750 12.32Food Preparation and Serving Related 731,487 809,388 77,901 10.65Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance 339,442 378,046 38,604 11.37Personal Care and Service 258,630 295,023 36,393 14.07Sales and Related 1,025,769 1,142,694 116,925 11.40Office and Administrative Support 1,463,593 1,621,412 157,819 10.78Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 62,595 66,015 3,420 5.46Construction and Extraction 331,661 406,038 74,377 22.43Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 308,945 351,234 42,289 13.69Production 269,462 288,701 19,239 7.14Transportation and Material-Moving 409,801 451,276 41,475 10.12

2011-19 Change

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Page 31: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center

Florida Employment Growth Rates by Major Occupational Group2011-2019

0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00%

FarmingProduction

ManagementTransportation

Food ServiceClerical

Building MaintenanceSales

Protective ServiceTotal, All Occupations

LegalSocial ServicesEntertainment

Maintenance and RepairPersonal Care

EducationLife Sciences

EngineeringBusiness

ComputerHealthcare Professionals

Healthcare SupportConstruction

Percent

Employment

31

Page 32: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Florida Employment Growth by Major Occupational Group2011-2019

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000

FarmingLife Sciences

LegalSocial Services

EngineeringEntertainment

ProductionProtective Service

ManagementComputer

Personal CareBuilding Maintenance

TransportationMaintenance and Repair

Healthcare SupportEducationBusiness

ConstructionFood Service

Healthcare ProfessionalsSales

Clerical

Employment

E

32

Page 33: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Fastest-Growing Detailed Occupations* 2011-2019

AVERAGEHOURLY EDUCATIONAL

RANK OCCUPATIONAL TITLE PERCENT LEVEL WAGE ATTAINMENT

1 Home Health Aides 5.49 1,845 10.55 PSAV Cert.2 Network Systems and Data Communications Analysts 5.07 1,049 34.54 PSAV Cert.3 Cost Estimators 4.47 461 27.88 CC Cert./Degree4 Physician Assistants 4.11 166 43.03 Bachelor's 5 Personal Care Aides 4.10 606 9.55 PSAV Cert.6 Veterinary Technologists and Technicians 4.08 249 14.50 CC Cert./Degree7 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 3.97 215 15.79 PSAV Cert.8 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers3.95 881 19.20 PSAV Cert.9 Dental Hygienists 3.86 347 28.55 CC Cert./Degree

10 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 3.76 278 15.49 PSAV Cert.

ANNUAL GROWTH

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, 2011 Wage Data,

* includes occupations with a minimum of 4,000 jobs in 2011H.S.– High SchoolPSAV – Postsecondary Adult Vocational CertificateCC Cert. – Community College Certificate

Page 34: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Detailed Occupations Gaining the Most New Jobs 2011-2019

AVERAGEANNUAL GROWTH HOURLY EDUCATIONAL

RANK OCCUPATIONAL TITLE PERCENT LEVEL WAGE ATTAINMENT

1 Customer Service Representatives 2.76 4,263 14.62 PSAV Cert.2 Retail Salespersons 1.61 4,156 14.98 High School3 Registered Nurses 2.36 3,685 30.83 CC Cert./Degree4 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers 2.15 3,429 8.87 Less Than H.S.5 Office Clerks, General 1.80 2,658 14.38 High School6 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 2.54 2,490 11.19 Less Than H.S.7 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 1.55 2,487 11.24 High School8 Cashiers 0.98 2,190 9.30 High School9 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 1.34 2,026 14.56 PSAV Cert.

10 Accountants and Auditors 2.42 1,962 31.06 Bachelor's

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center, 2011 Wage Data, Forecast to 2019

H.S.– High SchoolPSAV – Postsecondary Adult Vocational CertificateCC Cert. – Community College Certificate

Page 35: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists
Page 36: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Projected Employment by Workforce Region (2011-2019)Sorted by Annual Percent Growth

Area Percent Numerical Area Percent Numerical

WR 16 2.47 3,668 WR 8 1.46 9,910WR 10 2.43 3,583 WR 14 1.40 6,327WR 12 2.17 24,629 WR 11 1.38 2,761WR 20 2.16 4,297 WR 9 1.29 1,910WR 24 2.14 8,858 WR 5 1.16 2,274WR 2 1.96 2,118 WR 19 1.09 591WR 15 1.90 12,594 WR 4 1.08 1,024WR 18 1.84 5,159 WR 23 1.01 12,318WR 21 1.78 10,183 WR 3 0.99 373WR 7 1.71 594 WR 1 0.78 1,583WR 17 1.64 3,731 WR 13 0.67 1,839WR 22 1.56 12,446 WR 6 0.56 262

Projected ProjectedAverage Annual Growth Average Annual Growth

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Page 37: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Projected Employment by Workforce Region (2011-2019)Sorted by Annual Numerical Growth

Area Percent Numerical Area Percent Numerical

WR 12 2.17 24,629 WR 10 2.43 3,583WR 15 1.90 12,594 WR 11 1.38 2,761WR 22 1.56 12,446 WR 5 1.16 2,274WR 23 1.01 12,318 WR 2 1.96 2,118WR 21 1.78 10,183 WR 9 1.29 1,910WR 8 1.46 9,910 WR 13 0.67 1,839WR 24 2.14 8,858 WR 1 0.78 1,583WR 14 1.40 6,327 WR 4 1.08 1,024WR 18 1.84 5,159 WR 7 1.71 594WR 20 2.16 4,297 WR 19 1.09 591WR 17 1.64 3,731 WR 3 0.99 373WR 16 2.47 3,668 WR 6 0.56 262

Projected ProjectedAverage Annual Growth Average Annual Growth

Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Labor Market Statistics Center.

Page 38: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Florida’s Workforce Estimating Conference and the Regional

Targeted Occupations Lists

38

Page 39: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Florida’s Workforce Estimating Conference (WEC)

• Conference Required by Florida Law– The conference meets publicly twice a year

• Mission:– To identify high demand / high skill / high wage occupations,

and to make job training market-based to meet the needs of business (economic development)

• Conference Principals:– Governor’s Office; Florida Legislature’s Office of Economic and

Demographic Research; Florida Senate; and Florida House of Representatives

39

Page 40: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Florida’s Workforce Estimating Conference (WEC)

• Determines the scope of the occupations to be included for consideration for targeting by the workforce system

• Establishes the criteria for defining statewide high demand, high skill, high wage occupations

• Recommends the criteria for jobs from which Workforce Florida, Inc. (WFI) establishes polices and procedures for developing the Regional Targeted Occupations Lists (TOL)

40

Page 41: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Florida’s Workforce Estimating Conference (WEC)

• Uses projections and occupational wage data produced by AWI/ Labor Market Statistics (LMS)

• Generates a list of statewide targeted occupations that identifies two groups of occupations

– General list of High Value / Better Wage Occupations

– Higher Skill / Higher Wage Occupations

• Makes consensus recommendations based on labor market information from which Workforce Florida Inc. can use as a guide for establishing Regional Targeted Occupations Lists for each of the 24 Workforce Regions

• Uses the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Employment Cost Index (ECI) to adjust the wage criteria annually

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Page 42: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

2012-13 Statewide Demand ListOccupational Criteria

• Requires postsecondary adult vocational training or a community college credit certificate, applied technology diploma, associates of applied science, or an associate’s degree

• Has 150 projected annual openings and a growth rate above the average growth rate for all occupations (1.62%) or 360 projected annual openings with any positive growth

• Has at least a mean wage of $13.07/hour and entry wage of $10.62/hour to be eligible for an Individual Training Account

• Requires at least a mean wage of $20.48/hour and an entry wage of $13.07/hour for a High Skill/High Wage designation

42

Page 43: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

2012-13 Florida Statewide Demand Occupations ListSorted by Occupational Title

Workforce Estimating Conference Selection Criteria:1 FLDOE Training Codes 3 (PSAV Certificate)

and 4 (Community College Credit/Degree)

2 150 annual openings and average growth rate of 1.62% or

360 annual openings with any positive growth

3 Mean Wage of $13.07/hour and Entry Wage of $10.62/hour

4 High Skill/High Wage (HSHW) Occupations:

Mean Wage of $20.48/hour and Entry Wage of $13.07/hour

Annual FLDOE In EFI

Percent Annual 2011 Hourly Wage Training Targeted New

SOC Code† HSHW†† Occupational Title† Growth Openings Mean Entry Code Industry? to List?

Occupations with titles in bold type and followed by an asterisk (*)

are found in declining industries and are not projected to return to

their historical peak during the forecast period. They may have an

oversupply of trained workers.

113011 HSHW Administrative Services Managers 1.71 325 47.99 29.25 4 Yes

413011 Advertising Sales Agents* 2.25 377 22.81 12.83 3 Yes

173011 HSHW Architectural and Civil Drafters 2.42 346 22.66 15.44 3 Yes Yes

274011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 2.38 206 19.12 12.20 4 Yes

493023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics* 1.54 1,482 18.34 11.54 3 Yes

433031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks* 1.67 3,261 16.18 11.44 4 Yes

472021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons* 3.28 263 18.40 13.44 3 No

131199 HSHW Business Operations Specialists, All Other 1.69 2,921 30.20 17.04 4 Yes

535021 Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels 2.33 230 27.36 10.94 3 No

292031 Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians 2.25 186 20.51 11.93 3 Yes

472031 Carpenters* 2.87 1,864 17.38 11.41 3 Yes

472051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers* 3.76 464 15.49 11.16 3 No

173022 HSHW Civil Engineering Technicians 2.21 168 24.34 16.45 4 Yes Yes

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Page 44: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Regional Targeted Occupations

• WFI adopts the WEC wage criteria (or establishes an alternative) for use on producing regional targeted occupations lists

• WFI via LMS produces regional lists based on the following criteria:

– Must have 25 average annual openings for large regions, 10 for small regions

• Large regions (300,000 employment or more)

• Small regions (299,999 employment or less)

• Produces area lists based on statewide methodology for 24 regions

44

Page 45: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Regional Targeted Occupations (Cont.)

• Uses area projections and wage data

• Adjusts the statewide wage criteria by the Florida Price Level Index

• Loads projections and wage data into the Regional Targeted Occupations List web application for regions to review local lists

45

Page 46: Jobs in Demand and the Targeted Occupations Lists

Regional Targeted Occupations List 2012-13 Openings and Wage Criteria

2010 2010 Annual SIZE Annual OpeningsAREA FPLI Mean Entry Mean Entry Employment Designation Cutoff

FLORIDA* 100.00 $13.07 $10.62 $20.48 $13.07 7,109,782 NA150 (plus above average growth) or 360 annual openings and any positive growth

Region 1 (Escambia and Santa Rosa Counties) 95.30 $12.46 $10.12 $19.52 $12.46 150,266 small 10Region 2 (Okaloosa and Walton Counties) 97.48 $12.74 $10.35 $19.96 $12.74 93,027 small 10Region 3 (Rural North West Florida Counties) 91.85 $12.00 $9.75 $18.81 $12.00 29,476 small 10Region 4 (Bay, Franklin, and Gulf Counties) 95.25 $12.45 $10.12 $19.51 $12.45 75,954 small 10Region 5 (Greater Tallahassee area) 94.28 $12.32 $10.01 $19.31 $12.32 156,518 small 10Region 6 ( Rural North Central Florida Counties) 92.46 $12.08 $9.82 $18.94 $12.08 29,246 small 10Region 7 (Greater Lake City area) 95.64 $12.50 $10.16 $19.59 $12.50 30,601 small 10Region 8 (Greater Jacksonville area) 100.70 $13.16 $10.69 $20.62 $13.16 570,579 large 25Region 9 (Alachua and Bradford Counties) 97.29 $12.72 $10.33 $19.92 $12.72 122,179 small 10Region 10 (Citrus, Levy, and Marion Counties) 95.58 $12.49 $10.15 $19.57 $12.49 129,775 small 10Region 11 (Volusia and Flagler Counties) 96.13 $12.56 $10.21 $19.69 $12.56 166,784 small 10Region 12 (Greater Orlando area) 100.23 $13.10 $10.64 $20.53 $13.10 969,636 large 25Region 13 (Brevard County) 101.02 $13.20 $10.73 $20.69 $13.20 188,115 small 10Region 14 (Pinellas County) 99.60 $13.02 $10.58 $20.40 $13.02 380,522 large 25Region 15 (Hillsborough County) 101.55 $13.27 $10.78 $20.80 $13.27 563,316 large 25Region 16 (Pasco and Hernando Counties) 98.38 $12.86 $10.45 $20.15 $12.86 131,121 small 10Region 17 (Polk County) 98.98 $12.94 $10.51 $20.27 $12.94 189,723 small 10Region 18 (Sarasota and Manatee Counties) 100.36 $13.12 $10.66 $20.55 $13.12 233,617 small 10Region 19 (Desoto, Hardee, and Highlands Counties) 94.94 $12.41 $10.08 $19.44 $12.41 42,560 small 10Region 20 (Ft.Pierce-St. Lucie-Vero Beach) 98.89 $12.93 $10.50 $20.25 $12.93 174,408 small 10Region 21 (Palm Beach County) 103.55 $13.53 $11.00 $21.21 $13.53 487,607 large 25Region 22 (Broward County) 102.76 $13.43 $10.91 $21.05 $13.43 677,577 large 25Region 23 (Miami-Dade and Monroe Counties) 101.59 $13.28 $10.79 $20.81 $13.28 981,701 large 25

ITA Wage Criteria HS/HW Wage Criteria

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Regional Review of Preliminary Targeted Occupations

• Reviews targeted occupations by each Regional Workforce Board - High Skill / High Wage (HS/HW) Committees

• Gets input from local Chambers of Commerce, Training Providers, Business Focus Groups, employers, etc.

• Submits requests for additions or deletions (or upgrades to HS/HW) to Workforce Florida, Inc. via TOL web application

– Requires documentation of employers’ openings and wages

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Regional Review of Preliminary Targeted Occupations

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Regional Review of Preliminary Targeted Occupations

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Regional Review of Preliminary Targeted Occupations

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State Review of Local Requests

• WFI and LMS review input from regions

• WFI Staff recommends approval (or disapproval) of additions or deletions submitted by local Workforce Boards

• WFI Regional Targeted Occupations Task Force adopts or modifies staff recommendations

• WFI and LMS publish final Targeted Occupations Lists (TOLs)

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WFI Board Uses of TOL

• Uses the TOL to guide workforce development planning

• Allocates workforce training funds

• Combines local input with the regional TOL as a requirement to establish:

– Individual training accounts

– Lists of authorized training providers

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2011-12 Regional Targeted Occupations ListWorkforce Region 12 - Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, and Sumter Counties

Workforce Estimating Conference Selection Criteria:1

2 25 annual openings and positive growth3 Mean Wage of $12.89/hour and Entry Wage of $10.48/hour4 High Skill/High Wage (HSHW) Occupations:

Mean Wage of $20.21/hour and Entry Wage of $12.89/hour

Annual FLDOE In EFIPercent Annual Training Targeted Data

SOC Code† HSHW†† Occupational Title† Growth Openings Mean Entry Code Industry? Source†††Occupations with titles in bold type and followed by an asterisk (*) may be found in decliningindustries and are not projected to return to their historical peak during the forecast period.These occupations may currently have an oversupply of trained workers, allowing the regionalworkforce boards the local option not to offer training for these occupations.

113011 HSHW Administrative Services Managers* 2.67 57 45.44 24.22 4 Yes R413011 Advertising Sales Agents* 2.82 64 22.61 11.81 3 Yes R493011 HSHW Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians* 1.14 27 26.60 19.16 3 Yes R512011 HSHW Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, and Systems Assemblers NA NA NA NA 3 Yes R532022 HSHW Airfield Operations Specialists NA NA 22.70 18.79 4 Yes R173011 HSHW Architectural and Civil Drafters 1.56 64 20.92 13.04 3 Yes R274011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 3.14 75 19.35 12.65 4 Yes R493021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers* 2.15 31 19.73 11.61 3 No R493023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics* 2.62 239 18.13 11.33 3 Yes R194021 Biological Technicians NA NA 17.76 13.75 3 Yes R433031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks* 2.58 519 15.45 11.13 4 Yes R472021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons* 3.55 43 19.93 13.24 3 No R493031 HSHW Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists* 1.95 56 20.28 15.30 3 Yes R131199 HSHW Business Operations Specialists, All Other 2.39 469 29.80 17.99 4 Yes R535021 Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels 2.82 246 37.28 12.64 3 No S292031 Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians 3.69 34 20.73 12.71 3 Yes R472031 Carpenters* 3.53 442 17.00 11.65 3 Yes R

2010 Hourly Wage

FLDOE Training Codes 3 (PSAV Certificate) and 4 (Community College Credit/Degree)

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2011-12 Regional Targeted Occupations List SOC to CIP Linkage Table

Workforce Region 12 - Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, and Sumter Counties

VocationalProgram

SOC Code* HSHW** Occupational Title* CIP Code Program Title Certification†

113011 HSHW Administrative Services Managers*0506040102 BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION AAS0506180101 BUSINESS MANAGEMENT CCC CCC0507060300 OFFICE ADMINISTRATION AAS0507060301 OFFICE MANAGEMENT CCC CCC0552020102 BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION AS-NP0552020400 OFFICE ADMINISTRATION AS-NP0744040101 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Diploma0744040101 P440401 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION SUPERVISION PSAV1506040102 BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION AS1507060300 OFFICE ADMINISTRATION AS

413011 Advertising Sales Agents*0209090302 ADVERTISING Diploma

493011 HSHW Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians*0647060700 I470612 AIRCRAFT AIRFRAME MECHANICS PSAV0647060800 AIRCRAFT POWERPLANT MECHANICS Diploma0647060800 I470622 AIRCRAFT POWERPLANT MECHANICS PSAV0649010401 AVIATION MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT AAS1649010401 AVIATION MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT AS

512011 HSHW Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, and Systems Assemblers

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Targeted Occupations

– Current Targeting Process Limitations

• Excludes declining occupations with significant number of annual openings due to replacement needs

• Excludes small fast-growing occupations that have limited

numbers of annual openings

• Focuses on post-secondary vocational and community college occupations, excluding occupations with higher skills and greater earnings potential

• Targets the training needs of large established occupations,

but may add new and emerging occupations

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FloridaDepartment of Economic Opportunity

Labor Market Statistics Center

Caldwell BuildingMSC G-020

107 E. Madison StreetTallahassee, Florida 32399-4111

Phone (850) 245-7211

Bill [email protected]

www.labormarketinfo.comfred.labormarketinfo.com

www.floridawages.comhttp://www.whatpeopleareasking.com/index.shtm

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