the role for gas in an integrated americas - … · 3 vaca muerta’sresources neuquina basin...
TRANSCRIPT
How can we contribute to integrate America gas systems?
Our objective:
Transform Argentina into a World Class Energy Supplier through Vaca Muerta massive and
responsible development and through the fast incorporation of wind and solar renewable
energies.
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Introduction
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Vaca Muerta’s resources
Neuquina Basin
Sedimentary formation (Clay)
High organic content
Marine environment
201 M years
Max. thickness ≈ 700 m
Hydraulic stimulation
One of the greatest resources worldwide
Source: IEA
2013.
Unconventional Gas resources Unconventional Oil resources
35,000 km2
Volume generated (Vaca Muerta)5,000 Bboe
Hydrocarbon not stored
Volume in situ2,500 Bboe
Volume stored in conventional reservoirs40 Bboe (2%)
Volume stored in unconventional reservoirs2,460 Bboe (98%)
Bboe Produced: 8.5Remnant: 3.9Unrec.: 27.6
How much could be recovered?According to DOE 69 Bboe (3%)5% - 125 Bboe10% - 250 Bboe
P1+P2 ReservesArgentina6 Bboe
Source: IHS.
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Argentina’s unconventional resources in context (v1)
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4.4
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Oil reserves and resources [Bbbl]
30.2
802
Natural gas reserves and resources [Tcf]
Conventional (3P + resources) Unconventional resources
Source: Energy Information Administration and Ministry of Energy (AR)
Costs decline as performance increases
6
26,9
16,113,1 11,9
16,412
9,1 6,9
2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018
Development cost OPEX
2,3
1,20,9
2,1
1,10,8
2016 2017 Q1 2018
Development cost OPEX
Shale oil costs – Loma Campana [USD/Boe]
Shale gas costs – El Orejano [USD/MMBTU]
1,4 1,41,7 1,9
1617
2021
2015 2016 2017 Q4 2017
Avg. lateral length [km] Avg. frac stages
3,052,27
1,63 1,39
2015 2016 2017 Q4 2017
Horizontal well cost
Loma Campana horizontal well costs [kUSD/lat. ft.]
Loma Campana horizontal well performance
Source: YPF
• Productivity is on par with the best US shale plays. With cost reductions of 10%, wells in all windows will offer returns over 20%.
• Liquids break even between 40 and 50 US$/bbl and dry gas breaks below US$4/mcf, both much below the current market prices.
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Vaca Muerta Highlights
Similarities with US’s plays
15Source: Energy Information Administration, US. June 2018 | * January- April 2018
Play TOC [%]Thickness
[m]Reservoir
pressure [psi]
Vaca Muerta 3—10 30—450 4,500—9,500
Barnett 4—5 60—90 3,000—4,000
Haynesville 0.5—4 60—90 7,000—12,000
Marcellus 2—12 10—60 2,000—5,500
Eagle Ford 3—5 30—100 4,500—8,500
Wolfcamp (Permian)
3 200—300 4,600
Source: YPF, 2014
Vaca Muerta vs.Major US unconventional plays’ physical properties
Unconventional Oil and Gas production is accellerating
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
-
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
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08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
*
Bcf
/d
Shale Tight % unconventional
0,0%
2,0%
4,0%
6,0%
8,0%
10,0%
12,0%
14,0%
-
10
20
30
40
50
602
00
8
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
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20
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20
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20
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*
Kb
bl/
d
Shale Tight % unconventional
Unconventional Oil production Unconventional Gas production
11.5%of 2018’s
oil production
31.9%of 2018’s
gas production
Source: Ministry of Energy | * January-April 2018
Similarities with US’s plays
19Source: Energy Information Administration, US. June 2018 | * January- April 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
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*
Bcf
/d
US’s dry shale gasproduction estimates
Play TOC [%]Thickness
[m]Reservoir
pressure [psi]
Vaca Muerta 3—10 30—450 4,500—9,500
Barnett 4—5 60—90 3,000—4,000
Haynesville 0.5—4 60—90 7,000—12,000
Marcellus 2—12 10—60 2,000—5,500
Eagle Ford 3—5 30—100 4,500—8,500
Wolfcamp 3 200—300 4,600
Source: YPF, 2014
Vaca Muerta vs.Major US unconventional plays’ physical properties
Note: Figures exclude Unconventional Resources
Oil & Gas Production (2017) and Reserves (12-31-2016)
Proved (P1) reserves
2.2 Bbbl 11.9 Tcf
Oil Gas
Probable (P2) reserves
0.8 Bbbl 5.2 Tcf
Oil Gas
Daily production
0.5 Mbbl/d 4.5 Bcf/d
Oil Gas
Currently 5 productive Basins600,000 km2
Austral Basin with offshore gas production
14 non-productive Basins
Source: Ministry of Energy