the next era of global technological development · big data and analytics • unprecedented...
TRANSCRIPT
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Australian Centre for Innovation
Addressing the challenges of the future through innovation
The Next Era of Global Technological Development
Seminar at the John Curtin Institute of Public Policy
Curtin University WA.
Tuesday June 17th 2014.
Presented by
Mal Bryce, Kelvin Willoughby and Ron Johnston
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About Continuity, Breakthroughs and Convergence
•The Mature Phase of the Digital Era.•The Biological Nexus of Technological Innovation.
•The Resource Efficiency Era.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
More Digital Disruption
Breakthroughs in
Life Sciences
Resource Efficiency
The Next 30 years
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Presentation 1The Mature Phase of the Digital
Era.
Mal Bryce
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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The Digital Revolution
Based on Information Technology and Telecommunications had its beginnings in the early
1970’s and is expected to extend through to the 2040’s.
The nature and scope of innovation which it has produced has been unprecedented.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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A “Game Changing” environment….a wholesale shift for
society and the economy.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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OnlineHouseholders
InternetworkedCommunity
- virtual- physical
LOCAL
GLOBAL
COMMUNICATION
INFORMATION
EDUCATION
COLLABORATION
ENTERTAINMENT
TRANSACTIONS
The Digital World & High Speed Networks.
OnlineBusiness
OnlineGovernment
OnlineCommunity
Groups
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1771 1830 1870’s 1920’s 1971 2030’s
1st
wave
2nd
wave
3rd
wave
4th
wave
5th
wave
IronWater power
MechanisationTextiles
Steam PowerAnd Railroads
SteelElectricityChemicals
Heavy Engineering
OilAutomobiles
PetrochemicalsAviation
Space
Digital NetworksSoftware
InformationTechnology
Telecommunications
Inno
vatio
n
Waves of Innovation 1770’s – 2030’s
6th wave
Nano TechnologyBio Technology
Bio MimicryResource EfficiencyRe Newable EnergyIndustrial ecology
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Classic Phases of the ICT Revolution1970’s – 2040’s
Deg
ree
of d
iffus
ion
of th
e te
chno
logi
cal r
evol
utio
n
Turning point
INSTALLATION PERIOD
DEPLOYMENT PERIOD
Time
big-bangNext
big-bang
50 – 60 YEARS
Irruption Frenzy Synergy Maturity
1971 1987 2008-12 20?? 20??
SOURCE: Perez, “Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital”
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Digital Disruption is widespread.
• Almost everything we do is impacted.• The nature of consumption,
competition, and work has changed.• The balance of power between
organizations and individuals has changed.
• Major new competitive pressure has arrived.
• Disruption varies across sectors and geography.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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The Age of High Speed Networks mean:
More people, more data, more locations “Online”
and faster outcomes
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Globally from 2 Billion, (in 2010) the number of people online will
double and treble quickly.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Drivers for Further Digital Disruption
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Rollout of High Speed Networks
• Infrastructure for Gigabits and 100’s of Megabits• National retrofit for the copper telephone network.• The best possible mix of fibre glass, wireless and
satellite.• Infrastructure for global competitiveness.
Eg: Telstra to increase its data traffic One Thousand fold between 2011 and 2020
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Exponential Growth of Social Media.
• Customer service becomes customer intimacy• By 2012 > 1billion people per day were accessing
Facebook.• Facebook is now second only to Google for Internet
activity.• Growth Rate for Twitter is greater than Facebook.• Customer profiling is ubiquitous.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Mobility of devices, apps and data services
• Smart phones and tablets are the basis of a mobility revolution.
• The Age of the App has arrived• Cheap to access• Meet specific needs• Keep track of their owners• Generate massive volumes of data.
• Globally (by 2013) 30% of all mobile phones were smart phones.
• One in seven online searches is now from a mobile device.• Wearable computers for enhanced reality are next.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Big Data and Analytics
• Unprecedented volumes of data are now generated daily on a global basis.
• Big Data allows large volumes of data to be analysed to identify trends and patterns.
• Current data is now cross referenced with previous data.
• Supercomputing handles the mountain of data. • Data literate people are in increasing demand.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Devolution of Cloud Computing
• Origins in the surplus capacity of the Big Five.• Outsourcing takes over from traditional “in-house” IT
Infrastructure.• Expected to be a Trillion Dollar business activity by 2015’• Delivers new services, cost reductions and support for
remote working patterns.• Provides superior security services.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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The Internet of Things
• 26 Billion THINGS connected to the Net by 2020 ?? (Gartner Group)
• Objects, animals and humans automatically transferring data.
• Mountains of data will result.• Billions of sensors and transponders interacting with;
• the internal state of things• the external environment.
• Future concerns about data privacy. Sovereignty and security.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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The Maturity of eCommerce
• Basic commercial processes remain the same. Technology has changed.
• By 2013 eCommerce (globally) reached a turnover > $1.3 Trillion.
• Now infinite options to buy goods and services online.• Key Message: Adapt or Disappear.• Unsolicited and targeted advertising push is of growing
concern.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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A Wave of New Content:entertainment, visualisation and video
collaboration• Telepresence, video collaboration and 3D come of age.• Dramatic changes for traditional media.• Smart Glasses leaders in wearable computers ?• Spontaneous citizen Video footage enters the arena.• Since the mid 90’s Online Gaming has become a $70
Billion industry activity.• Consumers looking for interactive involvement in
entertainment.• Migration of artists and audiences to new media
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Cyber Security
• A new playground for digitally savvy criminals.• Vulnerability of Online services.• Limitations of national “Statute Law”• Identity theft and the need for certification.• New generation of end user “security services”.• Cyber warfare and new threats to national security.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Conclusions
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Numerous Technologies and Disciplines have converged with
Informatics eg:
• Bioinformatics• Geoinformatics• Hydroinformatics• Business informatics• Engineering informatics• Environmental informatics
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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High Speed Networks and the new digital services have
become basic sinews of our economy.
Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
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Connectivity Creativity Innovation Productivity PROSPERITY
The Links are now undeniable
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Australian Centre for InnovationAddressing the challenges of the future through innovation
More Digital Disruption
Breakthroughs in
Life Sciences
Resource EfficiencyEra
The Next 30 years