the innovative peak load reduction programinnovative program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. ceniceros 4 c...

29
Ceniceros 1 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N The Innovative Peak Load Reduction Program Results and Lessons Learned Bruce Ceniceros Program manager October 30, 2001

Upload: others

Post on 30-Nov-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 1

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

The Innovative Peak Load ReductionProgram

Results and Lessons Learned

Bruce CenicerosProgram manager

October 30, 2001

Page 2: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 2

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

The Environment

• Unheard of peak prices• High risk of extended blackouts• Governor orders unprecedented exceptions

to state administrative constraints tostreamline process.

• State of high urgency

Page 3: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 3

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

CEC Peak Load ProgramsMeasure AB970 SB5X Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

LED Traffic Signals $10.0 10Demand Responsive Buildings $48.2 214Cool Roofs $23.9 62State Bldgs. and Public Univ. $5.5 50Water/Wastewater $16.3 50Municipal Utilities $40.0 50Agriculture $87.1 105Local Government Loans $49.5 50Real Time Meters $34.0 1,500Innovative Program $47.7 152

$362.2 2,243

Page 4: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 4

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Public Awareness, 20/20, Rates,Other Voluntary

$50.0 1,000

Classroom Outreach $7.0 NAOther Low Income $220.0 NARenewable projects $99.5.0 41State Energy Projects $35.0 40Mobile Efficiency Brigade $40.0 100ISO/CPUC Demand Programs ? 319Government Load Reductions ? 658Interruptible/Curtailment ? 2,322

$451.5 4,480

Other Programs

Page 5: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 5

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Program Goals--Phase I

• Get Negawatts as fast as possible– 32 MW reduction by 6/1/01 from AB 970

• Solicit creative ideas from the market• Spend public’s money wisely• Minimize conflicts with other programs

Page 6: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 6

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Need to Balance Competing Factors

• Speed• Cost• Public input• Reliability of projects• Equity• Diversity of projects and applicants• Administrative-resource intensity

Page 7: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 7

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Program Details--Phase I

• Authorized 9/11/00 under AB 970• $6 million in grants administered by CEC

staff• Funded 10 Projects saving 32 MW• Limited to projects >500kW• Competitive solicitation

Page 8: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 8

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

New Program Goals--Phase II

• Get Negawatts as fast as possible– 90 MW reduction by 9/30/01– 120 MW total reduction by 6/1/02

• Diverse set of program strategies• Contract out as much work as possible• Greater diversity of projects

Page 9: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 9

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Program Details--Phase II

• SB 5X allocated $40 million on 4/11/01(before results were in for Phase I)

• Fixed price: $250/kW, 1st Come/1st Served• Bonus Incentive: $1/kW for each day

operational before 9/30

Page 10: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 10

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Program Elements --Phase II

Program ElementFinal

BudgetMWGoal

Large Grants $15 M 44

3rd Party Contracts $16 M 47

Small Grants $10 M 29

Total $41 M 120

Page 11: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 11

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Third Party ContractsApplicant Measures Contract Amount

Novatia Shade Screens $2,000,000 SCS Engineers Landfill gas, elec gen $622,500 ECS Energy, Inc. HVAC & lighting $1,850,000 ConSol HVAC Comfortwise $2,160,000 Quantum Consulting Water/WasteWater $1,248,390 BOMA of Greater Los Angeles Commercial/Industrial Commissioning $2,250,000 Proctor Engineering Residential HVAC $780,000 Proctor Engineering Commercial HVAC $2,000,000 SCE Industrial Battery Chg. $2,000,000 Solatube Reduced Lighting Load $1,000,000 Tricon New construction design assistance $180,000 Total Requested $16,090,890

Page 12: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 12

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Sample Measures• Renewable generation (PV,

landfill gas)• Industrial process changes• Lighting retrofits• HVAC retrofits• Duct sealing• Thermal Energy Storage• Water storage for off-peak

pumping

Page 13: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 13

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Program Impacts*--Phases I and II

Program Element

Numberof

ProjectsMWGoal

ExpectedMW

ReductionAB 970 Grants 10 32 36

SB 5X Large Grants 27 44 59

SB 5X 3rd Party Contracts(10 contractors)

3500 47 68

SB 5X Small Grants 200 29 >24

Total 3547 152 >187

* Forecasted impacts (most projects not yet complete)

Page 14: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 14

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned

Page 15: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 15

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned: Timing

• Efficiency retrofits take time: plan on atleast 6 months for project completion

• If you want it fast, you must adjustexpectations for risk tolerance, quality ofproposals, project diversity, and projectfailure rates

• Multiple strategies can help balance thesefactors

Page 16: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 16

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned: Timing

Time to project construction (weeks)4 8 12 16

3rd party contracts

20 24

Grants admin. In-house

Grants admin. by contractor

Approaches Used in Innovative PLRP

Page 17: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 17

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned: Timing

Time (months)12 24 36

DemandSavings(MW)

Strategy A Strategy B

Energy Efficiency Incentives

Strategy C

Strategy D

Page 18: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 18

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

2001 Demand Reduction Strategiesin California

• Update Efficiency Standards• Rebate/Incentive programs• Public Awareness Campaign• Business Partnerships• 20/20 Rebates• Retail Rate Increases• Media Hype

Page 19: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 19

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned: Timing

Time (months)12 24 36

DemandSavings(MW)

Public Awareness Rate Increase

Energy Efficiency Incentives

Demand Response Incentives

New Power Plants

Conceptual Plot of a Program Portfolio

Page 20: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 20

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

• Delegation of authority was critical– Committee given authority to approve

grant/contract awards– Contractors given more autonomy, judged on

performance– Project managers given more authority

• Couldn’t have done it without highlydedicated staff

• Streamlined processes were critical...

Lessons Learned:Moving the Program

Bureaucracy

Page 21: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 21

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Moving the Program

Time to project construction (weeks)4 8 12 16

Contract awards

20 24

Grant awards

Release of grant andcontract solicitations

Usual Process

SB 5X

Bureaucracy

Page 22: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 22

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Moving the Projects

Page 23: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 23

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

• Bonus incentives can be effective atcompressing project planning/constructionschedules if properly timed

• Need firm deadlines with strongconsequences for missing them

• Applicants need easy access to technicalassistance

• Target projects with short developmentcycles

Lessons Learned:Moving the Projects

Page 24: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 24

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Serving Small Projects

• Small projects offer advantages:– Lower penetration = greater savings opportunity– More likely to be influenced by (i.e. “need”)

incentives and technical assistance– Less complex projects = faster delivery– Increases pool of available projects– More equitable

Page 25: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 25

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Serving Small Projects

• Serving small projects:– Is extremely resource intensive– Comes at a much higher administrative cost– Is best done by a 3rd party administrator– Even then, takes time to process large number of apps.– Simplify application/rules– Provide ample technical support– Anticipate eligibility conflicts, but stay flexible

Page 26: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 26

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Solicitation Process

• Keep application and rules simple

• Allow at least 4-6 weeks for responses

• Impose strict deadline if “1st come/1st served”

• Competitive solicitation did not yield lower price

• Strongly emphasize that existing projects are noteligible

Page 27: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 27

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Third Party Contracts

• Build in flexibility to allow variety ofmanufacturer products

• Pre-approve advertising• Address data confidentiality issues up front• Issue separate applications and instructions

for grants versus contracts• Maintain funding flexibility

Page 28: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 28

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

Lessons Learned:Dealing with the “Aftermath”

• Be prepared for unhappy latecomers

• Be prepared for inundation of unsolicitedproposals

• Prepare quick but fair dispute resolutionprocess

• Diligently guard against double dippingand blatant free ridership.

Page 29: The Innovative Peak Load Reduction ProgramInnovative Program 99$47.7 152 $362.2 2,243. Ceniceros 4 C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N Measure Cost ($ Mil.) MW Goal

Ceniceros 29

C A L I F O R N I A E N E R G Y C O M M I S S I O N

For Questions and Future Results

Bruce Ceniceros(916) 653-1590

[email protected]