the aiacc project assessments of impacts and adaptations to climate change in multiple regions &...
TRANSCRIPT
The AIACC Project
Assessments of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate
Change in Multiple Regions & Sectors
AIACC Latin America/Caribbean Region MeetingSan Jose, Costa Rica
27-30 May 2003
AIACC Objectives Advance scientific understanding
Of climate change I, A & V in developing country regions.
Build and enhance scientific & technical capacity in developing countries
To investigate I, A & V and To participate in international scientific assessments (e.g. IPCC,
MA)
Contribute to National Communications, NAPAs and adaptation planning
AIACC Partners
• AIACC is a partnership among GEF, UNEP, START, TWAS, IPCC, and developing country institutions– GEF provides the principal funding– UNEP is the implementing agency– START and TWAS are the executing agencies– Participating institutions in developing countries
have provided collateral funding– Additional funding comes from USAID, USEPA, CIDA
and World Bank
Means to achieving objectives
• Fund regional research projects• Provide training and mentoring• Engage stakeholders in the project• Link with National Communications• Establish a network of scientists and
stakeholders to endure beyond the AIACC project
AIACC studies active in 46 developing countries
• 24 regional studies funded• Each study involves a team of scientists
from multiple disciplines– 235+ scientists from developing countries
participating as investigators– 60+ graduate and undergraduate students– 40+ scientists from developed countries
collaborating
Stakeholders, Nat’l Communications, Networks
• AIACC engages stakeholders– For input to objectives, approaches, evaluation of
adaptations, review of outputs
• AIACC links with National Communications– Each regional study making contact with relevant
ministries, committees, persons
• AIACC builds networks– Through participation in studies, workshops, “discuss
aiacc” list-serve, and web-based database and information network
Commonalities among regional studies
• Most are interested in– Near-term consequences of climate change for people– Interactions with other stresses or threats– Human and social aspects of vulnerability– Response strategies (i.e. adaptation) that would lessen
risks from climate change AND address other more immediate threats
• Has led many AIACC studies to take a “2nd Generation” approach to assessment
2nd-Generation Assessments
• Emphasize understanding human side of vulnerabilities – Who is vulnerable to harm? From what? Why?
• Explore multiple, interacting stresses– Climate change, extreme weather, population
growth, land use change, urbanization, land degradation . . .
• Evaluate responses, adaptations– Focus responses on causes of vulnerability
• Engage stakeholders– Enhance relevance, utility, credibility
AIACC Regional Studies in Latin America
Central America •Water•Agriculture•Coastal
•Vulnerabilities to extreme events & climate change•Adaptations
Argentina, Uruguay
•Agriculture •Impacts on mixed grain/grazed agricultural systems•Adaptations
Argentina, Uruguay
•Human settlements•Coastal natural resources
•Vulnerabilities to tide floods, storm, sea level rise, climate change•Adaptations
Uruguay •Estuarine ecosystem•Fisheries•Water
•Vulnerabilities of estuary & human uses•Adaptations
Mexico, Argentina
•Agriculture•Water•Rural settlements
•Farm level analysis of risk mgt. And adaptation•Effects of existing/past policies on vulnerabilities
AIACC Regional Studies in Small Islands
Caribbean •Human Health •Investigate/model health responses to climate (dengue)•Future health impacts of climate change•Adaptations
Fiji, Cook Islands
•Water•Coastal infrastructure•Natural resources
•IAM, extended to include human dimensions•Adaptations
SeychellesComoros
•Tourism•Natural resources
•Direct impacts of climate change & SLR on tourism•Indirect impacts on tourism from effects on natural resources•Adaptations
Anticipated outcomes
• Advance science– Publication of peer reviewed papers, thematic reports that expand
literature on developing country I, A and V– Citation of AIACC findings in IPCC & MA reports
• Build capacity– Participants continue their research and link to policy– Increased numbers of developing country researchers engaged in
IPCC, global change research
• Contribute to National Communications– AIACC participants collaborate in preparation of Nat’l
Communications– Use of AIACC findings in National Communicaitons