th n zthere are no zeroes - university of california,...
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Th N ZTh N ZThere are No ZeroesThere are No Zeroes
Allen Van DeynzeAllen Van DeynzeUniversity of CaliforniaUniversity of CaliforniaUniversity of CaliforniaUniversity of California
Dec 2Dec 2ndnd, 2010, 2010
Organic too!
2009 Biotech World stats
CropBiotech (%)p ( )
soybean 77cotton 49maize 26canola 21
Sugarbeet (US) 95Alfalfa (2005 US) 5‐10Alfalfa (2005 US) 5‐10
Organic = 0.51% of US cropland,g pBiotech = 31%(USDA 2007)
Production of alfalfa
3,500
2,500
3,000
2,000
,
s (1
000s
)
California (1000 acres)
1,000
1,500
Acr
es
US (1000 acres)
500
02000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
Alfalfa & Alfalfa Mixtures (2009)
Organic % 1000 acres acres* organic
California 170 37 21 5California 170 37 21.5
United States 2828 534 18.9
*Organic includes all hay
But Seed only 1-2% and <1% organic
Co-existence is essential
3.5
2.5
3.0seed to seed honeybeeseed to seed leafcutterhay to seed
There are no zeros!
1 5
2.0
% G
ene
Flow
hay to hay
1.0
1.5%
0.0
0.5
050
010
0015
0020
0025
0030
0035
0040
0045
0050
0055
0060
0065
0070
0075
0080
0085
0090
00
Isolation distance (ft)
Co-existence is Feasible
AOSCA-89 years old, 70 countriesy• Alfalfa Seed Stewardship Program
(ASSP)OECD- 49 yrs old - 33 countriesASTA-StewardshipASTA StewardshipNAFA-alfalfa stewardship papers
All practical coexistence strategies have no zero tolerancestolerances
Coexistence failures
StarlinkRi LL604Rice LL604
• Partial approval- feed only• Not a safety issue• Not a safety issue
Leonardo Sustainability committee-ANSI standardsstandards• Super-organic• Denounced by USDAy• All Production Agriculture representatives
leftAll of the above had zero thresholds
Beets and chard
http://www.howstuffworks.com/
Sugar beet
2005: RR sugar beet de-regulated in US 2009: 95% US sugar beets RR July, 2010: CFS sues USDA- sugar beet planting y g g
injunctionAug. 2010: USDA issues permits for 11 sites in
AZ, ORNovember – Center for Food Safety sues USDA
again for allowing regulated trials in AZShooting for a zero standard.
Recent Successes
AB541 CA, 2008.The bill would provide that a farmer is not liable based
on the presence or possession of a patented genetically engineered plant when the farmer did not knowinglyengineered plant when the farmer did not knowingly buy or otherwise knowingly acquire the genetically engineered plant, acted in good faith and without k l d f th ti ll i d t f thknowledge of the genetically engineered nature of the plant, and when the genetically engineered plant is detected at a de minimis level, as specified.
Practical threshold
Recent successes-International
Cartegena Protocol on Biosafetyg yCPB Article 15 states that a lack of
information per se does not imply risk Liability clause-2010-an administrative
regime and not a civil liability regime, which means that only the Government can act in case there is alleged damage to biodiversity i e not the courtsto biodiversity i.e. not the courts.
Co-existence Workgroups
SafflowerAlfalfa
National Alfalfa and Forage Alliance
www.alfalfa.org
Alfalfa progress
2005-deregulatedg2007 re-regulated –EIS
• Gene Flow and weed resistanceGene Flow and weed resistance2010- Court ruling reversed on all
counts in 7:1 decisioncounts in 7:1 decision2011 – planting again?What was the cost of this decision to
the industry?
Co-existence principles
Well established in the seed industryCommunicationCommunicationPerson with different standard bares the
responsibility to meet itp yPractical thresholdsRules have changedRules have changed
• Public now involved• Courts involved• Science doesn’t matter?• Neither are informed or understand effect of zeroes
Can we ignore solutions to sustainability?
Salinity
Nitrogen use efficiency
Keystone Alliance for SustainibilityCorn Per bushel findings: Productivity (yield per acre)
increased 41 percent
Wheat Per bushel findings: Productivity (yield per acre)
increased by 19 percentp Land use decreased 37 percent Soil loss decreased 69 percent Irrigation water use has been
variable with an average 27
Land use was variable, with an average overall decrease of 17 percent
Soil loss improved 50 percent i h i hvariable, with an average 27
percent decrease Energy use decreased 37
percent Greenhouse gas emissions
with most improvements over the first half of the study period
Irrigation water use per bushel produced due to irrigation showed an average flat trend Greenhouse gas emissions
decreased 30 percentan average flat trend
Energy use decreased 9 percent Greenhouse gas emissions
increased 15 percent, with a largeri i th l tt h lf f thincrease in the latter half of the study period
www.keystone.orgy g
Will Walmart understand?
The only person with zeroes
Andrew Kimbrell $100,000,0..
“CFS seeks to halt the approval,CFS seeks to halt the approval, commercialization or release of any new genetically engineered crops until they have been thoroughly tested and found safe for human health and the
i t”environment”“CFS Files Legal Action Against USDA on
National Organic Standards”http://archive.centerforfoodsafety.org
National Organic Standards