ten-year network development plan and beyond

8/9/2019 Ten-Year Network Development Plan and Beyond

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan and beyond

Dimitrios Chaniotis

System Planning Advisor

- ,

Brussels, 10-11 March 2010


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Overview

1. ENTSO-E2. Drivers for change in electricity transmission

3. Ten-Year Network Development Plan

4. ENTSO-E approach towards a 2050 supergrid vision, missionand concept in response to European energy policy goals

-.

6. Conclusion


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ENTSO-E: a pan-European TSO platform, founded

19 Dec. 2008 and fully operational since 1 July 2009

Represents 42 TSOs from 34

countries

828 GW generation

305,000 km of transmission

3,400 TWh/year demand:

400 TWh/year exchanges:

Replaces former TSO

organisations: ATSOI,

, , ,

UCTE, UKTSOA


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mpor an ra son re or - :

Regulation 714/2009 on conditions for access to the

Article 4: European network of transmission system operators for electricity

Completion and functioningof the internal market in electricity and cross-bordertrade

Optimal management, coordinated operation and sound technical evolution of

the European electricity transmission network

r c e : s a s men o ne wor co es

Article 8: Tasks of the ENTSO for Electricity

Network codes

Non-binding Community-wide 10-year network development plan, including a

European generation adequacy outlook, every two years

Work ro ramme annual re ort summer/winter outlooks monitorin

Full implementation until March 2011

ENTSO-E operational much earlier because a fully developed IEM and theintegration of RES demand urgent TSO action


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Drivers for change in Electricity Transmission (I)

Fundamental

drivers

Political

developments

Generation and

consumption

developments

Availability and primary

energy resources in

Europe diminishing and

European sustainability

objectives (20-20-20

initiative and beyond)

Considerable growth in the

generation of wind power is

forecasted for Europe.

.

Global demand for fossilfuel increasing / Fuel shift

(heat pumps, electric

vehicles, railway)

eve opmen o e

European ElectricityMarket, leading to further

intensification of the

electricity trade in the

eve opmen o arge o s ore power

stations and offshore grids - ought tobe extended on onshore.

Potential development of solar power

Economic and population

growth driving rising

electricity consumption vs.

energy efficiency programs

European market.

Environmental criteria for

grid projects

East.

Production locations in Europe mightbe altered. Large-scale offshore wind

eneration mi ht re lace

Technological

development: new

technological solutions

under study, e.g. offshore

conventional power plants. Closure of

nuclear power plants might create a

displacement from power generation

units from southern to northern, ,

energy storage, altering

costs for technology

.


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Drivers for change in Electricity Transmission (II)

EU Energy policy sets ambitious goals for 2050 to answer

adequately the societys desire for a sustainable, reliable andcost-efficient energy supply system:

Ensuring the proper functioning of energy market

Ensuring security of energy supply in the Union Promoting energy efficiency and energy saving and development

Promoting the interconnection of energy networks

Reducin reenhouse as emissions b u to 80%

3rd Ener Packa e Lisbon Treat


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Drivers for change in Electricity Transmission (III):Generation and market inte ration demand res onse


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ENTSO-Es 1 March 2010 pilot Ten-Year Network

Development Plan shows the beginning TSO response

EU TYNDP Nat TYNDPsRegulators check consistencyNon bindingNon binding

Every 2 yearsEvery 2 years

BindingindingEvery yearvery yearEU-TYNDP

Generation adequacy outlook

5 yr up to 15yr ( 2025!)

Nat. TYNDPs Existing and forecast supply

demand

Efficient measures to

Build on nat. gen. adequacyoutlooks and invest. plans Scenario development

Assessment of resilience

Based on reasonable needs of

guarantee adequacy & SoS Indicate main transmission

infrastructure to be builtake into account

outlooks and invest. plans

system users

Identify investments gaps Review barriers to increase

ase on reasona e

assumptions about evolution

of generation Supply consumption andon bindingon bindingE 22

from approval proceduresexchanges

RegionalInvestmentEvery 2 yearsvery 2 years

InvestmentPlans


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Pilot TYNDP delivers

Two scenarios for load and

generation evolution (2025)

built on available information

25.5% RES in

electricity production

(2020)

-

20102015 20152016 20162020 20202025

Annual Average

Consumption Growth1.26% 1.44% 1.70% 1.68%

emissions (2020)

And an appreciation of the

fulfillment of EU2020 targetsENTSOE Net Generating Capacity

(forecast winter offpeak)

scenario B

scenario A

800

1000

1200

W)

0

200

400

600(

March 10, 2010 10

2010 2015 2020 2025


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2010-2014

2015+

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2010-2014

March 10, 2010 12


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AC > 300kV

Total projects

42100 km

AC < 300 kV

2900 km

Transmission investment projects

that answer the three pillars of

EU ener olic :

22%

29600 km 83%17%

Security of Supply

Integration of RES

56%

long term

upgrade

44%DC 9600 km

mid term

~14% of existing transmission line km

March 10, 2010 13


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Pilot TYNDP delivers and an impressive investment effort

March 10, 2010 14


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ENTSO-E vision regarding a 2050 supergrid

ENTSO-E welcomes activities and initiatives towards a pan-.

ENTSO-E and its members intends to take the lead atdeveloping the pan-European supergrid.

Because its members need to finance, build and operate it. ENTSO-E TSOs will face the challenge to investigate allas ects of the Pan-Euro ean su er rid.

ENTSO-E will perform consultations with the EC and other

stakeholders.


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ENTSO-E mission towards a 2050 supergrid concept

Identify studies and elaborate a Roadmap towards a 2050supergrid as an overall guideline for the supergrid conceptual

hase Perform consultations and closely collaborate with EC,

stakeholders and the public for achieving a commonunderstandin of su er rid issues

Manage ENTSO-E supergrid studies and address all essentialresults at EU level

grid development measures as a precondition for the realization

of the supergrid concept.-

makers to support and promote the idea of a supergrid as ananswer to European energy needs.


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Towards an ENTSO-E 2050 supergrid concept: process

Setting upENTSO-E approach

on supergrid

-

Pre-phase

ENTSO-E

2050 supergrid

concept

Consultations withrelevant supergrid

stakeholdersFinal consultation

process

Elaboration of

ENTSO-E studypackage towards

supergrid concept

Roadmaptowards a 2050supergrid

Elaboration ofcom rehensive and

sustainable supergridconcept

Initial consultation processSupergrid

studies


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Towards a supergrid concept: Next steps and specific issuesSupergrid

Technologicalissues

Economical/financialissues

Political/sociopoliticalissues

ec n ca eas y o ex s ng

transmission concepts

Proper technology;- AC, DC (also reliable multi-

terminal solutions and mixed

eren genera on an oa

scenarios

Cost/benefit (business case)of scenarios

ega an regu a ory

framework

Social acceptance / Publicsupport of the Supergrid

- OHL / cables / etc

Power quality / Level of SoS Voltage level / EMF

Financial demand per

scenario Realization and ownership of

,harmonization of nationalrules

European policy on DemandSide Management

Upgrade of existing HV lines to

UHV AC/DC

Technological improvements

Electricity storage

European funding

Potential investors

New areas to be incorporated;e.g. MENA, Russia, Nordic

Political stability of regions

Power reserve margin

Level of reliability


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ENTSO-E Research and Development Plan

Required by the 3rd Energy Package: Directive 72/09 (art 8.5) and Regulation

714/09 (art 8.3.a) as part of deliverable listed in ENTSO-E annual Work

Program

Drafted by the WG R&D, largely on the basis of the European Electricity Grid

Initiative (EEGI) proposal made by 7 TSOs and 7 DSOs

March 10, 2010 19


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About the European Electricity Initiative aunc e e process or a ra eg c nergy ec no ogy

Plan (SET Plan)

This plan is made of six European Industrial Initiatives: Wind, Solar, Electricity Grid, Bio-energy,CO2 capture transport and storage, Sustainable nuclear fission

Investment estimation : 50B for the next 10 year

A Florence II process is organised by the Commission toprepare the European Electricity Grids Initiative (EEGI):

two workshops in May and October 2009

A joint proposal from 7 TSOs and 7 DSOs was presented anddiscussed 14 October 2009 with Member States and Regulators

Open questions :

, ,


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ENTSO-E R&D plan in the EEGI

Built on the 7 TSOs proposal for the EEGI

Enlarge the contributions and the scope of actions in

-

v w y v -

process


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Structure of the plan

Objective :

develop knowledge and tools to support furtherdevelopment of pan-European transmission grid

Reflect the cycles of activities of any TSO

contributing each to different clusters On oin R&D ro ects inte rated into workstreams


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Research and innovation clustersCluster Topics Scope of the innovation cluster

Pan-European grid

Novel approaches to develop a pan-European grid

architecture - -grids

Affordable technologies to make the transmission

2 Power technologies

sys em more c ever an ex e. za on o

Smart Grids applications in the subgrid for

services and balancing the transmission grid.

3 Network management andcontrol

Critical building blocks to operate the

interconnected transmission system in real-time

4 Market rulesMarket simulation techniques to develop a single

European electricity market

March 10, 2010 23

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 201920112010 2012

Tool box for new network architecture assessment

2013


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Tools to analyze the pan European expansion options

Almacena Project

Demonstrations on power technologies for a more network flexibility

ALISEGR.

20 kV SSSC for power flow controlDemonstrations on power technologies for a novel network arquitectures

COBRA

Demonstrations for renewable integration

TWENTIES Project

SAFEWIND

KriegersFlak

P.

NEMOS.PLUS

Sub-station 61850

Innovative tools for a pan European network observabiliy

Advanced tools for pan European balancing markets

Innovative tools for coordinated operations with stability margin evaluation

Tools for pan European network reliability assessment

Training tools for improved coordination

vance oo s or conges on managemen

Tools for renewable market integration

Tools for market integration of active demand

EcoGrid Europe

OPTIMATE Project

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 20192010

ADDRESS

Social acceptance of overhead lines

Environmental impact and social acceptance of transmission facilities

2012 20132011

14 Base Workstreams which address TSOs

March 10, 2010 24Other relevant ongoing projects

Already identified subprojects

Base workstreamissues over the period 2010-2018


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Conclusions

The TSO cooperation, though reaching back to 1951, has become

even more European and future-oriented with the new ENTSO-E

The pilot TYNDP is an early, major deliverable (in consultation now)

Supergrid studies are being set up proactively

e an nc u es supergr ques ons rom var ous ang es an s

to prepare TSOs for future challenges (consultation just over)

March 10, 2010 25

ten-year network development plan and beyond

Documents