2014 Governor’s Transportation Conference

Technology in Motion: Transportation Network Companies/Emerging Technology

Roanoke, Virginia November 13, 2014

The Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers (Auto Alliance) is the voice for a united auto industry. We are committed to developing and implementing constructive solutions to public policy challenges that promote sustainable mobility and benefit society in the areas of environment, energy and motor vehicle safety.

http://www.autoalliance.org/ http://autoalliance.org/driverassists

“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.” — Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp. (DEC),

maker of big business mainframe computers, arguing against the PC in 1977

“There is practically no chance communications space satellites will be used to provide better telephone, telegraph, television, or radio service inside the United States.”

— T. Craven, FCC Commissioner, in 1961 (the first commercial communications satellite went into service in 1965)

“Nuclear–powered vacuum cleaners will probably be a reality in 10 years.”

— Alex Lewyt, president of vacuum cleaner company Lewyt Corp., in the New York Times in 1955

“The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty – a fad.”

— The president of the Michigan Savings Bank advising Henry Ford’s lawyer, Horace Rackham, not to invest in the Ford Motor Co., 1903

EDAG Light Car Sharing Concept

“I drove a car with no hands. It steered itself safely down the center of the lane, up the straightaway and around a hairpin, automatically following an electronic track.”

1958

1966

Crash Severity

Number of Crashes

Crashes per 100M VMT

Miles Between Crashes

Trips between Times Square & Fisherman’s

Wharf

Fatal 30,800 1.04 96,390,097 33,135

Injury 1,634,000 55 1,816,900 625

Property Damage Only 3,950,000 133 751,599 258

TOTAL 5,615,000 189 528,729 182

Note: VMT 2,968,815,000,000 miles

Source: Analysis of 2012 FARS

Metric 2011 2020 Change

Travel Delay (hours) 5.5 Billion 8.4 Billion +53%

“Wasted” Fuel (gallons) 2.9 Billion 4.5 Billion +55%

CO2 Produced During Congestion (lbs.) 56 Billion na na

Congestion Cost $121 Billion $199 Billion +64%

Source: 2012 Urban Mobility Report

Audi’s compact laser sensor, about the size of a fist, for

autonomous vehicles

Source: Navigant Research

1. Radar: Detects objects nearby & in “blind zones”

2. Lane–keeping Cameras: Measures contrast between road and lines

3. LIDAR: Spinning lasers make a 360o real–time “map”

4. Infrared Camera: Detects objects ahead in the day & night

5. Visible Light Camera: Detects & predicts movement of objects

6. GPS Navigation: Tells the vehicle where to go

7. Wheel–mounted Sensors: Measures velocity relative to nearby objects

Source: McKinsey & Company (2014)

Source: Morgan Stanley Research

Source: KPMG/CAR (2012)

Source: IHS Automotive

Source: Navigant Research

Automaker innovation leading towards greater levels of autonomous operation

Autonomous vehicles expected to provide safety and environmental benefits, reduced fuel consumption and traffic congestion, improved land use and other societal benefits Do no harm; if policy initiatives are pursued, they should encourage and facilitate the introduction of autonomous vehicles ◦ Avoid creating a patchwork of state policy actions: Vehicle performance traditionally addressed at the federal level Infrastructure, liability, insurance requirements, etc., traditionally

addressed at the state level ◦ Avoid establishing policies that may inadvertently inhibit or

frustrate introduction of near–term emerging enabling technologies

◦ Review existing policies to determine whether they will need to be amended to accommodate autonomous vehicles

Data Security and Integrity ◦ Consumer Privacy Protection Principles Establishes obligations for protecting information that links or is

reasonably linkable to a particular vehicle(s) or individual(s) ◦ Cybersecurity Sharing and Analysis Center Working to establish an auto sector specific cybersecurity

center for sharing and analyzing information about existing or potential cyber–related threats and vulnerabilities in motor vehicle electronics or associated in–vehicle networks

Recommended State Policy Framework

Here’s the result of a crash test between a 1959 vehicle (top) and a 2009 vehicle (bottom)

Modern vehicles have

enhanced safety, to better handle crash energy and provide occupants with better protection

Source: IIHS

Robert Strassburger Vice President

Vehicle Safety & Harmonization rstrassburger@autoalliance.org

19 Unique playlists of Driver Assists technologies

www.Youtube.com/DriverAssists

1. Ewing, Jack (16 May 2013). "A Benz With a Virtual Chauffeur". The New York Times. Retrieved 19 May 2013. 2. Ingraham, Nathan (18 May 2013). "Mercedes-Benz shows off self-driving car technology in its new $100,000 S-

Class". The Verge. Retrieved 19 May 2013. 3. English, Andrew (20 November 2012). "New Car Tech: 2014 Mercedes-Benz S-Class". Road & Track. Retrieved

13 April 2013. 4. "2014 BMW i3 Moves Us Closer To Autonomous Driving In Cities". Business Insider. 2 August 2011. Retrieved 13

April 2013. 5. Duxbury, Charles; John D. Stoll (3 December 2012). "Volvo Plans to Roll Out Self-Driving Cars in 2014". The Wall

Street Journal. Retrieved 13 April 2013. 6. Davies, Chris (30 May 2013). "Mobileye wants self-driving cars by 2016 at a fraction of Google's costs".

Slashgear. Retrieved 1 June 2013. 7. Hagon, Toby (13 March 2013). "Driverless cars possible by 2015". Drive.com.au. Retrieved 13 April 2013. 8. Oswald, Ed (2012 April 20). "Cadillac Self-Driving Cars: Out By 2015?". PC World. Retrieved 13 April 2013. 9. Stevens, Tim (3 October 2012). "Nissan NSC-2015 self-driving car with LTE and smartphone connectivity".

Engadget. Retrieved 13 April 2013. 10. Nichols, Scott (11 February 2013). "Google wants some form of self-driving cars on roads by 2018". TechRadar.

Retrieved 13 April 2013. 11. "Volvo Says Autonomous Car Convoys Could Be Reality By 2020". MotorTrend. Retrieved 20 November 2011. 12. Bigman, Dan (14 January 2013). "Driverless Cars Coming To Showrooms By 2020, Says Nissan CEO Carlos

Ghosn". Forbes. Retrieved 13 April 2013. 13. Elmer, Stephen (26 February 2013). "BMW Targets 2020 for Self-Driving Cars". AutoGuide. Retrieved 17 April

2013. 14. Johnson, Drew (30 January 2013). "Audi predicts self-driving cars by 2020". Left Lane News. Retrieved 13 April

2013. 15. Yvkoff, Liane (18 October 2011). "GM: Expect self-driving vehicles by 2020". CNET. Retrieved 13 April 2013. 16. Lavrinc, Damon (27 August 2013). “Nissan Promises to Deliver Autonomous Car by 2020”. Wired. Retrieved 03

September 2013. http://www.wired.com/autopia/2013/08/nissan-autonomous-drive/ 17. Turkus, Brandon (30 August 2013). “GM intends to offer semi–autonomous vehicles by 2020”. Autoblog.com.

Retrieved 03 September 2013. http://www.autoblog.com/2013/08/30/gm-to-sell-semi-autonomous-cars-by-2020/

5,558,610 4,503,000 4,409,000 3,591,000 1,465,000

298,850

119,540

-

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

Crashes V2V & V2I V2V AV V2I

Annu

al N

umbe

r of C

rash

es

Unimpaired Alcohol Drowsy

Connected/Autonomous Vehicle Technology could potentially address approximately 80% of crash scenarios involving non–impaired drivers.

Source: NHTSA (2010)

Source: Morgan Stanley Research

Agency Initiative Federal Communications Commission Dedicated Short Range Communications (DSRC) In 2003, the FCC established licensing and service rules for the Dedicated Short Range Communications (DSRC) Service in the Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) Radio Service in the 5.850-5.925 GHz band (5.9 GHz band). The DSRC Service involves vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure communications. Mobility Fund Auction – Phase I $300 million in funding for deployment of new mobile infrastructure (83,000 road miles in 31 states that lack 3G or 4G service). Mobility Fund Auction – Phase II FCC will provide an additional $50 million in one–time support to Tribal Lands and $500 million annually for ongoing support to mobile services in Phase II of Mobility Fund.

Federal Highway Administration Real–time System Management Information Program (23 C.F.R. 511) Mandate on states to provide the capability to monitor in real–time the traffic and travel conditions of the major highways across the U.S. The 511 Program is to be established on all Interstate routes by November 2014 and on other significant roadways by November 2016. A portion of approximately $311 million authorized for fiscal years 2013 and 2014 for 23 U.S.C. 134 Programs is available to states to implement the 511 mandate.

National Science Foundation Mobility First Future Internet Architecture Project Make mobile devices and car networks a more seamless part of the infrastructure.

Research & Innovative Technology Administration Intelligent Transportation Systems – Connected Vehicle Research The development and deployment of a fully connected transportation system. Dynamic Mobility Applications; Enable Advanced Traveler Information System (EnableATIS) Promotes open approach to multi–source data sharing, integration, delivery of real–time, multi–modal, actionable traveler information services.

June 6, 2012: Brand–new version of the Internet was turned on

Switched over to Internet Protocol Version 6, or IPv6

But in the coming years, this new Internet will change your life dramatically

It will lead to the realization of a concept called “The Internet of Things,” where everything—not just computers—gets connected

Devices will talk to each other and grow autonomous

This is often called machine–to–machine technologies (M2M)