teaching and californias future sri international february 2, 2005

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Teaching and California’s Future Teaching and California’s Future SRI International February 2, 2005

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Page 1: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s Future

Teaching and California’s Future

SRI International

February 2, 2005

Page 2: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s Future

Core TCF Publications

“Full” reports with original data, every other year since 1999.

“Interim” reports with secondary data and policy updates, every other year since 1998.

Next full report in December 2005; data collection in progress now.

Page 3: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s Future

Additional TCF Publications

Strengthening California’s Teacher Information System (2002)

Who is Teaching California’s Children? (2002)

Available at www.cftl.org

Page 4: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Number of Underprepared Teachers, 1997-98 to 2003-04

34,48735,440

40,587

42,427 41,739

37,309

28,139

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

Number of teachers without full credentials

Teaching and California’s Future

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Teaching and California’s Future

Number of Underprepared Teachers, 1997-98 to 2003-04

34,48735,44040,58742,42741,73937,30928,139

05,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,000

1997-981998-991999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-04Number of teachers without full credentials

Page 5: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Underprepared Teachers in Schools with the Highest and Lowest Percentages of Minority Students, 1999-2000 to 2003-04

4%5% 5% 4%

3%

27%26%

23%

20%

15%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

Average percent of faculty without full credentials

0-30% minority 91-100% minority

Teaching and California’s Future

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Teaching and California’s Future

Underprepared Teachers in Schools with the Highest and Lowest Percentagesof Minority Students, 1999-2000 to 2003-04

4%5%5%4%3%

27%26%23%20%15%

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%

1999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-04Average percent of faculty without full credentials

0-30% minority91-100% minority

Page 6: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Underprepared Teachers by School-Level Percentages of 10th-Grade Students Passing the Math Portion of CAHSEE, 2003-04

22%

12%

8%7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0 to 66% 67% to 78% 79% to 87% 88% to 100%

Categories of schools whose students passed the math portion of CAHSEE

Average percent of faculty without full credentials

Teaching and California’s Future

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Teaching and California’s Future

Underprepared Teachers by School-Level Percentages of 10th-Grade StudentsPassing the Math Portion of CAHSEE, 2003-04

22%

12%8%7%

0%5%10%15%20%25%

0 to 66%67% to 78%79% to 87%88% to 100%Categories of schools whose students passed the math portion of CAHSEEAverage percent of faculty without full credentials

Page 7: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Number and Percentage of Out-of-Field and Underprepared

High School Teachers in Assigned Subject, 2003-04

Assigned Subject

Fully Credentialed

Out-of-Field High School Teachers

Underprepared High School

Teachers Total

English (N = 12,398) 1,449 (12%) 973 (8%) 2,422 (20%)

Math (N = 9,091) 894 (10%) 1,037 (11%) 1,931 (21%)

Social Science (N = 8,711) 1,207 (14%) 517 (6%) 1,724 (20%)

Life Science (N = 3,257) 350 (11%) 292 (9%) 642 (20%)

Physical Science (N = 3,533) 824 (23%) 332 (9%) 1,156 (32%)

Page 8: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Age Distribution of K-12 Public School Teachers, 2003-04

40,970

18,046

47,256

38,03935,033

35,464

45,694

38,270

6,359

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60+

Age range

Number of teachers

Teaching and California’s Future

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Teaching and California’s Future

Age Distribution of K-12 Public School Teachers, 2003-04

40,970

18,046

47,25638,03935,03335,464

45,69438,270

6,35905,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,00050,000

20-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960+Age range

Number of teachers

Page 9: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Projected K-12 Public School Teacher Workforce Through 2013-14

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

1992-931993-941994-951995-961995-961997-981998-991999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-102010-112011-122012-132013-14

Number of teachers

Fully Credentialed Teachers Interns Total Demand

Teaching and California’s Future

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Teaching and California’s Future

Projected K-12 Public School Teacher Workforce Through 2013-14

100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000

1992-931993-941994-951995-961995-961997-981998-991999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-102010-112011-122012-132013-14

Number of teachers

Fully Credentialed TeachersInternsTotal Demand

Page 10: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future

Percent Change in K-12 Public School Enrollment by Grade, 2000-01 to 2003-04

10%

8%

-1% -1% -2%

2% 1% 0%

6%

9%

13%

9%8%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Grade level

Percent change in student enrollment

Teaching and California’s Future

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Teaching and California’s Future

Percent Change in K-12 Public School Enrollment by Grade, 2000-01 to 2003-04

10%8%

-1%-1%-2%2%1%0%6%9%

13%9%8%

-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%

K123456789101112Grade levelPercent change in student enrollment

Page 11: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s Future

Key Sources of Data

CDE: The California Basic Educational Data System (CBEDS).

CTC: Reports on teacher credentials & permits, blended programs, teacher misassignments.

CSU: Teacher preparation program enrollment data.

Page 12: Teaching and Californias Future SRI International February 2, 2005

Teaching and California’s Future

Teaching and California’s Future

SRI International

February 2, 2005