teaching and californias future sri international february 2, 2005
TRANSCRIPT
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Teaching and California’s Future
Teaching and California’s Future
SRI International
February 2, 2005
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Teaching and California’s Future
Core TCF Publications
“Full” reports with original data, every other year since 1999.
“Interim” reports with secondary data and policy updates, every other year since 1998.
Next full report in December 2005; data collection in progress now.
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Teaching and California’s Future
Additional TCF Publications
Strengthening California’s Teacher Information System (2002)
Who is Teaching California’s Children? (2002)
Available at www.cftl.org
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Number of Underprepared Teachers, 1997-98 to 2003-04
34,48735,440
40,587
42,427 41,739
37,309
28,139
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
1997-98 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
Number of teachers without full credentials
Teaching and California’s Future
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Teaching and California’s Future
Number of Underprepared Teachers, 1997-98 to 2003-04
34,48735,44040,58742,42741,73937,30928,139
05,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,000
1997-981998-991999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-04Number of teachers without full credentials
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Underprepared Teachers in Schools with the Highest and Lowest Percentages of Minority Students, 1999-2000 to 2003-04
4%5% 5% 4%
3%
27%26%
23%
20%
15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04
Average percent of faculty without full credentials
0-30% minority 91-100% minority
Teaching and California’s Future
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Teaching and California’s Future
Underprepared Teachers in Schools with the Highest and Lowest Percentagesof Minority Students, 1999-2000 to 2003-04
4%5%5%4%3%
27%26%23%20%15%
0%5%10%15%20%25%30%
1999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-04Average percent of faculty without full credentials
0-30% minority91-100% minority
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Underprepared Teachers by School-Level Percentages of 10th-Grade Students Passing the Math Portion of CAHSEE, 2003-04
22%
12%
8%7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0 to 66% 67% to 78% 79% to 87% 88% to 100%
Categories of schools whose students passed the math portion of CAHSEE
Average percent of faculty without full credentials
Teaching and California’s Future
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Teaching and California’s Future
Underprepared Teachers by School-Level Percentages of 10th-Grade StudentsPassing the Math Portion of CAHSEE, 2003-04
22%
12%8%7%
0%5%10%15%20%25%
0 to 66%67% to 78%79% to 87%88% to 100%Categories of schools whose students passed the math portion of CAHSEEAverage percent of faculty without full credentials
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Number and Percentage of Out-of-Field and Underprepared
High School Teachers in Assigned Subject, 2003-04
Assigned Subject
Fully Credentialed
Out-of-Field High School Teachers
Underprepared High School
Teachers Total
English (N = 12,398) 1,449 (12%) 973 (8%) 2,422 (20%)
Math (N = 9,091) 894 (10%) 1,037 (11%) 1,931 (21%)
Social Science (N = 8,711) 1,207 (14%) 517 (6%) 1,724 (20%)
Life Science (N = 3,257) 350 (11%) 292 (9%) 642 (20%)
Physical Science (N = 3,533) 824 (23%) 332 (9%) 1,156 (32%)
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Age Distribution of K-12 Public School Teachers, 2003-04
40,970
18,046
47,256
38,03935,033
35,464
45,694
38,270
6,359
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60+
Age range
Number of teachers
Teaching and California’s Future
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Teaching and California’s Future
Age Distribution of K-12 Public School Teachers, 2003-04
40,970
18,046
47,25638,03935,03335,464
45,69438,270
6,35905,00010,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,00040,00045,00050,000
20-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960+Age range
Number of teachers
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Projected K-12 Public School Teacher Workforce Through 2013-14
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
1992-931993-941994-951995-961995-961997-981998-991999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-102010-112011-122012-132013-14
Number of teachers
Fully Credentialed Teachers Interns Total Demand
Teaching and California’s Future
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Teaching and California’s Future
Projected K-12 Public School Teacher Workforce Through 2013-14
100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000
1992-931993-941994-951995-961995-961997-981998-991999-20002000-012001-022002-032003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-102010-112011-122012-132013-14
Number of teachers
Fully Credentialed TeachersInternsTotal Demand
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Teaching and California’s FutureTeaching and California’s Future
Percent Change in K-12 Public School Enrollment by Grade, 2000-01 to 2003-04
10%
8%
-1% -1% -2%
2% 1% 0%
6%
9%
13%
9%8%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Grade level
Percent change in student enrollment
Teaching and California’s Future
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Teaching and California’s Future
Percent Change in K-12 Public School Enrollment by Grade, 2000-01 to 2003-04
10%8%
-1%-1%-2%2%1%0%6%9%
13%9%8%
-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%10%12%14%
K123456789101112Grade levelPercent change in student enrollment
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Teaching and California’s Future
Key Sources of Data
CDE: The California Basic Educational Data System (CBEDS).
CTC: Reports on teacher credentials & permits, blended programs, teacher misassignments.
CSU: Teacher preparation program enrollment data.
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Teaching and California’s Future
Teaching and California’s Future
SRI International
February 2, 2005