sws survey review

The 2016 SWS Survey Review

Copyright © 2016

Social Weather Stations

1

27 January 2016

TPIC/Bancom Room, 3/F Asian Institute of

Management, Makati City

The 2016

SWS Survey Review

Mahar Mangahas

The 2016 SWS Survey Review 2

This 2016 Survey Review is based on the four

quarterly Social Weather Surveys of 2015,

the Special Mindanao Survey of Feb 2015,

in partnership with The Asia Foundation,

the Nov 2014-May 2015 Survey of Enterprises,

supported by Integrity for Investments Initiative

and the United States Agency for International

Development, in partnership with the National

Competitiveness Council and The Asia Foundation,


Copyright © 2016


2


the SWS own-account pre-election surveys of Dec 12-14, 2015 and Jan 8-10, 2016,

and the Nov 26-28, 2015 pre-election survey

commissioned by Mr. William J. Lima.

SWS gratefully acknowledges its research partners and its media partner BusinessWorld,

who believe in the importance of openly-disclosed social surveys in a democratic society.


Nov ‘14-May ‘15 Seven areas 966 Enterprises

Feb 22-Mar 1, ’15 Mindanao 1,900 Adults

Mar 20-23, ‘15 National 1,200 Adults

Jun 5-8, ‘15 National 1,200 Adults

Sep 2-5, ‘15 National 1,200 Adults

Nov 26-28, ‘15 National 1,200 Registered Voters

Dec 5-8, ‘15 National 1,200 Adults

Dec 12-14, ‘15 National 1,200 Registered Voters

Jan 8-10, ‘16 National 1,200 Validated Voters

Dates Coverage Sample size Population

SWS Surveys in this Review


Copyright © 2016


3


Topics 1. Pope Francis

2. Public morale

3. Poverty and hunger

4. Public safety

5. Satisfaction with officials and institutions

6. Report card of the national administration

7. Opinion polls on the Mindanao peace process

8. Corruption in government

9. Foreign affairs

10. Election surveys


+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50

SWS TERMS FOR SATISFACTION OR TRUST

POOR

VERY BAD

BAD

NEUTRAL

MODERATE

GOOD

VERY GOOD

EXCELLENT NET RATING


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4


Dec 1994 Apr 1995 Dec 2003 Mar 2005 May 2005 Sep 2013 Dec 2014 Mar 2015

RECENT TRUST IN POPE FRANCIS IS EXCELLENT;

TRUST IN ALL POPES IS VERY GOOD OR BETTER

Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay (name) ay NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO

MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG

NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay (name)?

Pope John Paul II

Pope Benedict

Pope Francis

+65

+75

+58 +62

+58 +59 +59

+81 +75

+10

+30

+50

+70

+90

Jun 2015

Net Trust


TRUST IN POPE FRANCIS CLOSELY DEPENDS ON RELIGION

Q. Maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo kay (name) ay NAPAKALAKI, MEDYO

MALAKI, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT, MEDYO MALIIT, NAPAKALIIT, O WALA PA KAYONG

NARINIG O NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN tungkol kay (name)?

+10

+30

+50

+70

+90

-10

Sep13 Dec14 Mar15

+66 +68

+90

Catholics

+23

+33

+2

Iglesia ni Cristo

-10 - 8

+19

Muslims +32 +40

+67

Other Christians

Net Trust


Copyright © 2016


5


Public morale

is exceptionally high


SATISFACTION WITH LIFE IS AT A PEAK SINCE 2002

Question. Sa kabuuan, kayo po ba ay LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN, MEDYO NASISIYAHAN, HINDI NASISIYAHAN, LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN sa buhay na inyong nararanasan? Masasabi po ba na kayo ay .. (SHOWCARD)? [LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN; MEDYO NASISIYAHAN; HINDI NASISIYAHAN; LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN]

Fairly satisfied

Very satisfied

Not very satisfied

Not at all satisfied

% o

f a

du

lts

9 7 8 5 8 9 6 5 6 10 9 12 9 4 6 5 5 7 5 5 8 9 4 3 3 2

28 32 26

19

26 31

24 19 20

24 22 22

23

12 18

15 10

18 14 12

17 16 17

12 13 10

41 45

47

42

46 42

42 49 49

51

44 47

44

48

51

41 45

45 48

43

49 49 50

48 52

47

22 16 19

34

20 19

27 28 25 15

24 19

24 37

26

40 41 31 33

39

26 27 29 37

33 41

10

30

50

70

90

May02

Sep02

Nov02

Jun03

Sep03

Nov03

Feb04

Jun04

Aug04

May05

Aug05

Mar06

Dec08

Sep10

Nov10

Jun11

Dec11

Mar12

Dec12

Dec13

Mar14

Jun14

Sep14

Dec14

Mar15

Sep15


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1984 1986 1992 1998 * 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

70

OPTIMISM ABOUT PERSONAL QUALITY OF LIFE

HAS BEEN VERY HIGH FOR SIX YEARS

MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO III

Question. Sa inyong opinyon, ano ang magiging uri ng inyong pamumuhay sa darating na 12 buwan? Masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]? Optimists : “Bubuti” Pessimists: “Sasama”

45%

5%

% of adults

OPTIMISTS

PESSIMISTS


1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO

OPTIMISM ABOUT THE PHILIPPINE ECONOMY

HAS ALSO BEEN VERY HIGH FOR SIX YEARS

Question. Sa darating na 12 buwan, ano sa palagay ninyo ang mangyayari sa ekonomiya ng Pilipinas? Masasabi ba ninyo na ito ay... [BUBUTI; KAPAREHO LANG; SASAMA; HINDI ALAM]?

8% it will

deteriorate

39% it will

improve

% of adults


Copyright © 2016


7


1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

70

MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

Kung ikukumpara ang uri ng inyong kasalukuyang pamumuhay sa nakaraang 12 buwan, masasabi ba ninyo na ang uri ng inyong pamumuhay ay [MAS MABUTI NGAYON KAYSA NOON, KAPAREHO NG DATI, MAS MASAMA NGAYON KAYSA NOON] Gainers : “Mas mabuti ngayon kaysa noon” Losers: “Mas masama ngayon kaysa noon”

THE TREND FROM PAST TO PRESENT QUALITY

OF LIFE HAS ALSO BEEN VERY GOOD

% of adults

31%

27%

GAINERS

LOSERS


Poverty and Hunger: the

long-term movements

are downward


Copyright © 2016


8


SELF-RATED POVERTY SINCE 1983 (QUARTERLY SINCE 1992)

Self-Rated Poverty Question: Where would you place your family in this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor)

*Note: The NSCB figures, which compare income of the year to the official poverty line, are plotted in June of the year.

MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

% o

f fa

milie

s

50%

1983 1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

70

50.5%

2013

Q1-Q2

54.0%

2014

Q1-Q2

53.0%

2012

Q1-Q2

The SRP surveys

anticipated official poverty’s

2012-13 rise and 2013-14 fall


1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

10

30

50

70

% o

f fa

milie

s

SELF-RATED FOOD POVERTY SINCE 1988

(QUARTERLY SINCE 2000)

C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

Food Poverty Question: Based on the type of food eaten by your family, where would you place your

family on this card? (Not poor, On the line, Poor).

33%

Self-Rated Food Poverty


Copyright © 2016


9


1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

5

10

15

20

Note: Don’t Know and Refused responses are not shown. Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?

QUARTERLY HUNGER, 1998-2015

11.7%

8.9%

2.8%

% o

f h

ou

se

ho

lds

ESTRADA ARROYO AQUINO

Total Hunger

Severe

Moderate


ANNUAL AVERAGE HUNGER IS OVER THE HUMP

% o

f h

ou

se

ho

lds

Severe

Moderate

11.0

8.3

10.8 11.4

10.1

7.0

11.8

14.3

16.7 17.9 18.5 19.1 19.1

19.9 19.9 19.5

18.3

13.4

4.1 2.6

4.6 4.2 2.5 1.5

3.0 3.0 4.0 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.3 3.7 4.3 3.6 3.5 2.2

'98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15

5

10

15

20

7.0 5.8

6.2 7.3

7.6

5.5

8.7 11.0

12.6 14.4 14.6 15.1 15.8

16.1 15.6 15.9 14.8

11.2

Total

Hunger

Q: Nitong nakaraang 3 buwan, nangyari po ba kahit minsan na ang inyong pamilya ay nakaranas ng gutom at wala kayong makain? KUNG OO: Nangyari po ba ‘yan ng MINSAN LAMANG, MGA ILANG BESES, MADALAS, o PALAGI?


Copyright © 2016


10


Public Safety: Crime

Victimization is falling, but

the Sense of Insecurity in

the Neighborhood continues


THE LONG-TERM TREND IN VICTIMIZATION

BY CRIME IS FAVORABLE


Question. Nais po naming malaman ang karanasan ninyo at ng iba pang miyembro ng inyong pamilyang nakatira dito, tungkol sa krimen. Kayo po ba o kahit na sinong miyembro ng inyong pamilya ay naging biktima ng… (SHUFFLE CARDS)?

Break-in, 3.1%

Physical violence, 0.6%

Carnap, 0.6%

Pickpocket/ Robbery, 6.5%

% o

f F

am

ilie

s

1989 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

5

10

15


Copyright © 2016


11


Many

drug

addicts

around

THE SENSE OF INSECURITY IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD CONTINUES

MARCOS C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO %

O

F A

DU

LT

S

Percentage of those who agree with the statement "In this neighborhood, ... * “people are usually afraid that robbers might break into their houses.”; ** “people are usually afraid to walk in the streets at night because it is not safe.”; *** “there are already very many people addicted to banned drugs.”

47%

57%

44%

1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

30

50

70

Afraid to walk

streets at night

Afraid of home

break-in


Satisfaction with key

officials and institutions

ranges from Good to Neutral


Copyright © 2016


12



+32

SURVEY RATINGS OF PRESIDENTS

*% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don’t Know and Refused to Answer responses.

Question. Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are in the performance of [NAME] as President of the Philippines.

Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied?

1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50

G

Net Satisfaction


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

SURVEY RATINGS OF VICE-PRESIDENTS


+24

Estrada

Arroyo

Guingona De Castro

Binay

Laurel M

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


13


SURVEY RATINGS OF SENATE PRESIDENTS

+ 7


Drilon

Salonga Gonzales

Angara

Gonzales Gonzales

Maceda Drilon

Ople

Pimentel

Drilon Villar

Enrile

Fernan

1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10 N

Net Satisfaction


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

SURVEY RATINGS OF SPEAKERS OF

THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

- 1


Nograles

Mitra

De Venecia Villar

Fuentebella

Belmonte De Venecia

N

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


14


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

-50

** As Acting Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of the Philippines.

- 1


SURVEY RATINGS OF CHIEF JUSTICES OF THE SUPREME COURT

Carpio**

Sereno Panganiban

Teehankee

Fernan Narvasa Davide

Puno

Corona

N

Net Satisfaction


SURVEY RATINGS OF THE SENATE

AND HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. (Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys).

+30

+16


Senate

House of Rep.

1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

G

M

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


15


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

* Net ratings = % Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied. Survey Data: Social Weather Stations surveys.

SURVEY RATINGS OF THE SUPREME COURT

AND THE CABINET AS A WHOLE

Supreme Court

+22

+11

Cabinet


M

M

Net Satisfaction


1986 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50

SURVEY RATINGS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION


+39

G

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


16


The 2015 Report Card of the

national administration has

grades ranging from Good to

Neutral, and one Very Bad;

there is no Poor or Bad

subject.


Improving the quality of children’s education +47

Providing enough supply of electricity +38 +44 +44

Helping victims of disasters +42

Helping the poor +34 +39 +39 +36

Foreign relations +30 +38 +37 +35

Promoting the welfare of OFWs +34 +32 +34 +32

Protecting the environment +32

Promoting human rights +31

Ensuring that medicines are affordable +31

Defending the country's territorial rights +22 +27 +28 +30

Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15

ISSUES WITH GOOD GRADES IN REPORT CARDS

OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2015

Good (10)


Copyright © 2016


17


Preparing for climate change +29 +29

Transparency of government activities +23

Giving justice +19 +18

Restoring peace to Mindanao +12 +23 +16 +18

Deciding quickly on important problems +25 +11 +15

Telling the truth to the people +15

Providing jobs +11


Mode-rate (7)

ISSUES WITH MODERATE GRADES IN REPORT CARDS

OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2015


Fighting terrorism +6 +13 +12 +7

Traffic management + 6

Rehabilitating areas damaged

by conflict in Mindanao +7 +5 +5 +5

Ensuring oil firms don’t take

advantage of oil prices -13 -17 + 5

Reconciliation with Muslim rebels -3 +1 0 +4

Fighting crimes +9 +5 +4 +3

Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry -11 -12 +3 +2

Reconciliation with Communist rebels -3 +4 +4 +1

Eradicating graft and corruption +2 +1 +15 -1

Fighting inflation -8 -11 +5 -7

Resolving the Maguindanao massacre

case with justice -50 -50 -47 -57


Neutral (10)

Very Bad (1)

Poor (0) Bad (0)

ISSUES WITH NEUTRAL GRADES OR WORSE IN REPORT

CARDS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION IN 2015


Copyright © 2016


18


1999 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF CHILDREN'S EDUCATION,

OCT 1999 - JUN 2015

ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

+47

G

Net Satisfaction


1999 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

PROVIDING ENOUGH ELECTRICITY, OCT 1999 – SEP 2015


+44

G Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


19


RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO

HELPING VICTIMS OF DISASTERS, DEC 1992 – MAR 2015

+42

G

1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

Net Satisfaction


. . 1993 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30


HELPING THE POOR, DEC 1993 – DEC 2015

+36

G

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


20


1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

PROMOTING HUMAN RIGHTS

+31

G


Net Satisfaction


. 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

FOREIGN RELATIONS

+35


G

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


21


2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


PROMOTING THE WELFARE OF OFWs

+32

G

Net Satisfaction



PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT

+32

G

2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


22


2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

ENSURING THAT MEDICINES ARE AFFORDABLE

+31

G


Net Satisfaction


1999 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


DEFENDING THE COUNTRY’S TERRITORIAL RIGHTS

+30

G

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


23


2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

TRANSPARENCY IN GOVERNMENT ACTIVITIES


+23

M

Net Satisfaction


1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

GIVING JUSTICE


+18

M

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


24


2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


RESTORING PEACE TO MINDANAO

+18

M

Net Satisfaction


1988 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

DECIDING QUICKLY ON IMPORTANT PROBLEMS

+15

M


Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


25


1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


TELLING THE TRUTH TO THE PEOPLE

+15

M

Net Satisfaction


1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

PROVIDING JOBS

+11


M

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


26


2002 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

ARROYO B. AQUINO

FIGHTING TERRORISM

+7

N

Net Satisfaction


1999 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT


+ 6

N

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


27


TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT, BY AREA:

DEC 2000, MAR 2002 AND SEP 2015


Dec 2000 Mar 2002 Sep 2015

-33 -44

-5

+33

+13

-1

+41 +32

+13

+41

+19 +19

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30

-50

NCR Bal. Luzon Visayas Mindanao

Net Satisfaction


* 2011 * 2012 * 2013 * 2014 * 2015 *

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

B. AQUINO

ENSURING THAT OIL FIRMS DON'T

TAKE ADVANTAGE OF OIL PRICES

+ 5

N

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


28


2000 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


REHABILITATING AREAS DAMAGED BY CONFLICT

WITH MUSLIM REBELS IN MINDANAO

+ 5

N

Net Satisfaction



RECONCILIATION WITH MUSLIM REBELS

+ 4

N

1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


29


1990 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


FIGHTING CRIME

+ 3

N

Net Satisfaction


2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

ARROYO B. AQUINO

ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY WILL BE HUNGRY

+ 2

N

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


30


1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30


RECONCILIATION WITH COMMUNIST REBELS

+ 1

N

Net Satisfaction


* 1987 1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

-10

-30


ERADICATING GRAFT AND CORRUPTION

- 1

N

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


31


1992 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

-10

-30

-50


FIGHTING INFLATION

- 7

N

Net Satisfaction


2009 2010 2013 2015

+10

+30

-10

-30

-50

ARROYO B. AQUINO

RESOLVING THE MAGUINDANAO MASSACRE WITH JUSTICE

-57

VB

Net Satisfaction


Copyright © 2016


32


HOPES THAT THOSE INVOLVED IN THE MAGUINDANAO

MASSACRE WILL BE PUNISHED: MIXED FINDINGS

Not hopeful at all

Somewhat not hopeful

Somewhat hopeful

Very hopeful

Q. Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) na ang lahat ng mga kasangkot sa kaso ng Maguindanao

massacre na ito ay mapaparusahan? (TALAGANG UMAASA, MEDYO UMAASA, MEDYO HINDI

UMAASA, TALAGANG HINDI UMAASA)

38 31 35 27 25

21 25

30

25 29

19 19

20

18 18

22 26 15

30 28

Mar '14 Jun '14 Sep '14 Jun '15 Sep '15

20

40

60

80

% o

f a

du

lts


Opinions on the Mindanao

peace process are quite

divided


Copyright © 2016


33


Partial

Extensive but sufficient Only a little Almost none

FAMILIARITY WITH THE FRAMEWORK AGREEMENT ON THE

BANGSAMORO (FAB), THE ANNEXES AND THE PROPOSED

BANGSAMORO BASIC LAW (BBL), IS SLACKENING

Dec 2012 5

5

6

4

4

3

2

4

20

19

21

16

13

20

14

13

42

41

45

49

47

45

44

47

32

35

27

31

36

33

40

36

Mar 2013

Mar 2014

Jun 2014

Mar 2015

Mar 2014

Jun 2014

Mar 2015

Knowledge

of the FAB

Knowledge

of the

Annexes

Knowledge

of the BBL


4 13 47 36

Partial Extensive but sufficient Only a little Almost none

MUSLIMS KNOW THE MOST, CATHOLICS THE LEAST, ABOUT

THE PROPOSED BANGSAMORO BASIC LAW, MAR 2015

Total PH (100%)

0 27 44 29 Iglesia ni

Cristo (3%)

36 22 18 24 Muslims (5%)

1 18 48 33 Other

Christians (13%)

% of adults

2 11 49 38 Catholics (78%)

Noong Setyembre 2014, personal na isinumite ni Pang. Noynoy Aquino sa Kongreso ang Bangsamoro Basic Law, ang

panukalang batas na bubuo ng bago at mas pinalawak na lugar na awtomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro. Mayroon na po

ba kayong narinig o nabasa tungkol sa panukalang batas na ito o ngayon lamang po kayo may narinig o nabasa tungkol

dito?

Q85: Paano po ninyo ilalarawan ang inyong kaalaman tungkol sa panukalang Bangsamoro Basic Law? Kayo po ba ay

may… (MALAWAK, BAHAGYA NGUNIT SAPAT, KAUNTI LAMANG, o HALOS WALA O WALA) na kaalaman?


Copyright © 2016


34


*Net figures (% Approve minus % Disapprove) correctly rounded.

Q: Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa Bangsamoro Basic Law, ang panukalang batas na bubuo ng bago at mas

pinalawak na lugar na awtonomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro? (SHOWCARD) (TALAGANG SANG-AYON, MEDYO SANG-

AYON, HINDI TIYAK KUNG SANG-AYON O HINDI SANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SANG-AYON, TALAGANG HINDI SANG-AYON)

Approve Undecided Disapprove Net*

-24 Philippines (Mar ‘15) 23 28 48

Sulu 31 56 14 +18

Basilan 59 29 12 +48

Isabela City 38 40 20 +18

Tawi-Tawi 52 26 22 +30

Lanao del Sur 90 6 4 +86

Maguindanao 83 14 3 +80

Cotabato City 76 18 6 +71

LDN near ARMM 83 11 6 +77

Cot. Near ARMM 93 5 2 +91

APPROVAL OF THE PROPOSED BANGSAMORO BASIC LAW

IS STRONG IN THE CORE TERRITORIES (FEB 2015)


Approve Undecided Disapprove Net*

APPROVAL OF THE PROPOSED BBL IS RELATED TO

KNOWLEDGE ABOUT IT, PHILIPPINES, MAR 2015

*Net figures (% Approve minus % Disapprove) correctly rounded.

Q87: Kayo po ba ay sang-ayon o hindi sang-ayon sa Bangsamoro Basic Law, ang panukalang batas na bubuo ng bago at

mas pinalawak na lugar na awtonomiya na tatawaging Bangsamoro? (TALAGANG SANG-AYON; MEDYO SANG-AYON;

HINDI TIYAK KUNG SANG-AYON O HINDI SANG-AYON; MEDYO HINDI SANG-AYON; TALAGANG HINDI SANG-AYON)

23

64

41

24

11

28

0

16

25

41

48

36

43

51

46

Total PH (100%)

Extensive (4%)

Partial but

sufficient (13%)

Only a little (47%)

Almost none (36%)

-24

+28

- 2

-27

-35

% of adults


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35


Q: Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) na magiging matagumpay pa din ang kasunduang kapayapaan ng pamahalaan

at ng Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) sa kabila ng pagkamatay ng 44 na miyembro ng Special Action Force o

SAF ng Philippine National Police (PNP) sa Mamasapano, Maguindanao? (LUBOS NA NANINIWALA, MEDYO

NANINIWALA, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NANINIWALA O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NANINIWALA, LUBOS NA HINDI

NANINIWALA)

BELIEF THAT THE PEACE AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GOVERNMENT

AND THE MILF CAN STILL BE SUCCESSFUL DESPITE THE DEATH OF

THE 44 MEMBERS OF THE PNP-SAF, CORE TERRITORIES, FEB 2015

Do not believe

Undecided

Believe

24

50

26

% o

f a

du

lts


Much trust Undecided Little trust Net*

*Net figures (% Much Trust minus % Little Trust) correctly rounded.

Q: Maaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano KALAKI o KALIIT ang inyong pagtitiwala sa mga institusyon o grupong ito

na makapagbibigay ang mga ito ng makatarungang desisyon ukol sa kasong ito. Masasabi po ba ninyo na kayo ay may

NAPAKALAKING PAGTITIWALA, MEDYO MALAKING PAGTITIWALA, HINDI TIYAK KUNG MALAKI O MALIIT ANG

PAGTITIWALA, MEDYO MALIIT NA PAGTITIWALA, NAPAKALIIT NA PAGTITIWALA O WALA PA KAYONG NARINIG O

NABASA KAHIT NA KAILAN TUNGKOL SA (INSTITUSYON/GRUPO)?

TRUST IN INSTITUTIONS/GROUPS INVESTIGATING THE MAMASAPANO

INCIDENT TO GIVE A FAIR DECISION REGARDING THE CASE,

PHILIPPINES, MAR 2015

50 18 30

40 26 32

50 24 24

25 26 46

+25

+21

+ 8

- 21

Senate

investigation

PNP Board of

Inquiry (BOI)

House of Rep.

investigation

MILF

investigation


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36


Businessmen’s reports of

corruption in government

continue to drop


NEW LOW 32% WITH PERSONAL KNOWLEDGE OF PUBLIC SECTOR

CORRUPTION IN THE LAST 3 MONTHS IN THEIR LINE OF BUSINESS,

2005 – 2014/15

Base: Total Who Say There Is Corruption in the Government

Q52. When was the last time you had personal knowledge of a corrupt transaction with government by a company in

your sector of business?

Last month

2-3 mos. ago

4-6 mos. ago

7-12 mos. ago

>1 yr ago


Copyright © 2016


37


NEW LOW 39% SAYING MOST COMPANIES IN THEIR LINE OF BUSINESS

GIVE BRIBES TO WIN PUBLIC SECTOR CONTRACTS, 2000 TO 2014/15

Q53. In your line of business, how many companies do you think give bribes to win public sector contracts?

Base: Total Who Say Companies in Their Sector Allot a Percentage for Bribes to Win Public Sector Contracts

Almost all

Most

Few

Hardly any

None


Foreign affairs: the tension with

China is worrying the people


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38


1994 1998 2001 2004 2010 2015

+10

+30

+50

+70

+90

-10

-30

-50

TRUST IN CHINA IS AT ITS LOWEST YET


China

Malaysia

United States

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Japan

Net Trust


OPINIONS ON GOVERNMENT’S ACTIONS REGARDING

SCARBOROUGH SHOAL HAVE BECOME MIXED

Q. Sa pangkalahatan, sumasang-ayon po ba kayo o hindi sumasang-ayon sa ikinikilos ng ating gobyerno ukol sa tensyon

sa pagitan ng China at Pilipinas sa Scarborough Shoal? (SHOWCARD) (LUBOS NA SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO

SUMASANG-AYON, MEDYO HINDI SUMASANG-AYON, LUBOS NA HINDI SUMASANG-AYON; HINDI SAPAT ANG

NALALAMAN PARA MAKAPAGBIGAY NG OPINYON)

Not enough knowledge

Strongly disapprove

Somewhat disapprove

Somewhat approve

Strongly approve 27 22 16

38 40

33

18 21

27

10 12 19

8 5 5

Sep 2013 Jun 2014 Mar 2015

10

30

50

70

90

65

27

62

32

49

46

% o

f ad

ult

s


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39


Q. Gaano po kayo nababahala na magkaroon ng armadong labanan sa pagitan ng Pilipinas at China dahil sa mga pinag-

aawayang mga islang ito sa Scarborough Shoal? Kayo po ba ay… (SHOWCARD) (TALAGANG NABABAHALA, MEDYO

NABABAHALA, MEDYO HINDI NABABAHALA, TALAGANG HINDI NABABAHALA)?

MANY FILIPINOS ARE WORRIED ABOUT ARMED CONFLICT

WITH CHINA IN CONNECTION WITH SCARBOROUGH SHOAL

Not too worried

Somewhat worried

Worried a great deal

Not worried at all

47 48 52 49

41 41 35 35

8 7 9 10

4 3 4 6

Sep 2012 Sep 2013 Jun 2014 Mar 2015

10

30

50

70

90

% o

f ad

ult

s


Election surveys:

experience shows how

much the standings in

the races can change


Copyright © 2016


40


10%

20%

30%

40%

Nov Dec Dec Jan Feb Mar Mar Apr May May 4-8 5-10 27-28 21-24 24-28 19-22 28-30 16-19 2-3 11 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010

Aquino III

(43)

Villar (15)

Estrada (26)

Teodoro (10)

(Madrigal 0.2%, De Los Reyes 01.%, and Perlas 0.1%)

THE RACE FOR PRESIDENT IN 2010

Gordon (1) Villanueva (3)

Aquino III

Villar

Estrada

Teodoro

Gordon

Villanueva


Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May May 5-10 21-24 24-2819-22 16-19 2-3 11 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010

THE RACE FOR VICE-PRESIDENT IN 2010

Roxas (39)

Legarda (12)

Binay (43)

Manzano (2) Fernando (3)

(Chipeco 0.4% and Sonza 0.2%)

Yasay (1)

10%

20%

30%

40% Roxas

Legarda

Binay

Manzano Fernando

Yasay


Copyright © 2016


41


THE NEW RACE FOR PRESIDENT, SO FAR

Nov 27- Mar Jun Sep Nov Dec Jan Dec 1 20-23 5-8 2-5 26-28 12-14 8-10 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 (No list) (No list) (No list) (12 names) (5 names) (10 names) (8 names) [A] [A] [A] [RV] [RV] [RV] [VV]

10

20

30

40

Poe (24%)

Binay (31%)

Roxas (21%) Duterte (20%)

Santiago (3%) Seneres (0.1%), Pamatong (0%), and Sabio (0%)

Note: Respondents: A = Adults (18 years old and above); RV = Registered Voters; VV = Validated Voters.

Poe

Binay

Roxas

Duterte

Santiago


THE NEW RACE FOR VICE-PRESIDENT, SO FAR

Mar 20-23 Jun 5-8 Sep 2-5 Nov 26-28 Dec 12-14 Jan 8-10 2015 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 (No list) (No list) (13 names) (6 names) (19 names) (19 names) [A] [A] [RV] [RV] [RV] [VV]

10

20

30

- -

Escudero (28%)

Robredo (17%)

Marcos (25%)

Cayetano (14%)

Honasan (8%)

Trillanes (3%)

Alba (1%), Anima (0.5%), Aldea (0.4%), Barbasa (0.3%), De Asis (0.2%), Camilon (0.2%), Paredes (0.1%), Tibayan (0.1%), Mamon (0.1%), Baluga (0.1%), Palomares (0.1%), Malangen (0.1%), and Suerte (0.1%)

Santiago Note: Respondents: A = Adults (18 years old and above); RV = Registered Voters; VV = Validated Voters.


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42


THE NEW RACE FOR SENATOR SO FAR (page 1 of 2)

Sep 2-5 Dec 12-14 Jan 8-10

2015 2015 2016

(44 names) (82 names) (82 names)

[RV] [RV] [VV]

Rank % Rank % Rank %

Sotto, Vicente III C. "Tito" 1 54 1 59 1 56

Lacson, Panfilo M. "Ping" 2 47 4 46 2 49

Recto, Ralph "Ralph" 3 43 2-3 56 3-4 46

Pangilinan, Kiko 5-6 40 2-3 56 3-4 46

Drilon, Franklin M. "Frank" 4 42 6 39 5 43

Osmeña, Sergio III D. "Serge" 11 28 7 38 6 42

Zubiri, Juan Miguel F. "Migz" 8 32 5 40 7 39

Pacquiao, Emmanuel D. "Manny" 9 30 8 37 8 37

De Lima, Leila M. "Leila" 7 33 9 35 9 33

Gordon, Richard J. "Dick" 10 29 10 32 10 31

Guingona, Teofisto III D. "TG" 13-14 23 12 28 11-13 28

Hontiveros, Ana Theresia "Risa" 15-16 21 13 26 11-13 28

Moreno, Isko "Isko" 28-31 4 11 30 11-13 28


Lapid, Mark T. -- 17 19 14-16 19

Villanueva, Joel J. "Joel" 21-22 12 16 20 14-16 19

Tolentino, Francis N. 23-24 10 14 24 14-16 19

Estrada, Marilou B. -- 21 12 17 18

Gatchalian, Sherwin T. "Win" 23-24 10 15 21 18 17

Manzano, Eduardo B. "Edu" -- 18 15 19 16

Romualdez, Martin G. 25 8 19-20 13 20 13

Moreno, Alma "Alma" -- 19-20 13 21 11

Ople, Maria Susana V. "Toots" -- 22-23 8 22 9

Chavez, Melchor G. -- 22-23 8 23-24 8

Romulo, Roman T. "Roman" 32-36 3 27-28 5 23-24 8

Colmenares, Neri J. "Neri" 32-36 3 24-26 6 25-26 6

Montano, Allan S. -- 24-26 6 25-26 6

Sep 2-5 Dec 12-14 Jan 8-10

2015 2015 2016

(44 names) (82 names) (82 names)

[RV] [RV] [VV]

Rank % Rank % Rank %

THE NEW RACE FOR SENATOR SO FAR (page 2 of 2)


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43


“WOULD THIS PROMISE MAKE YOU VOTE FOR A CANDIDATE?”

PHILIPPINES, SEP 2015

Continuation of Pantawid Pamilya 80% 11% 8%

Ensuring that needs of farmers are met* 76 16 8

Ensuring that food needs are met* 75 16 9

Promoting environment friendly farming* 70 18 12

Continuation of “Daang Matuwid” 65 19 15

Amendment of economic

provisions of the Constitution 64 21 15

Enactment of Freedom of Information law 48 31 21

Enactment of anti-political dynasty law 46 31 23

Enactment of Bangsamoro Basic Law 31 35 34

Enactment of divorce law 26 31 43

*Item sponsored by Greenpeace. Other items are SWS’ sole responsibility.

Probably Will not Probably yes affect me no


SUMMARY-1

1. Trust in Pope Francis has gone from Very

Good to Excellent

2. Public morale is exceptionally high

3. The long-term movements in Poverty and

Hunger are downward

4. Crime victimization is falling, but the sense of

insecurity in neighborhoods continues

5. Satisfaction with key officials and institutions

ranges from Good to Neutral


Copyright © 2016


44


SUMMARY-2

6. The 2015 Report Card of the national

administration has subjects ranging from Good

to Neutral, no Poor or Bad, and one Very Bad

7. Opinions on the Mindanao peace process are

quite divided

8. Businessmen’s reports of corruption in

government continue to drop

9. The tension with China is worrying the people

10. Experience shows how much the standings in

the election races can change

www.sws.org.ph #52 Malingap Street,

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Tels: 926-4308, 924-4456, 924-4458, 924-4465 E-mail: [email protected]

The SWS

Annual Survey

Reviews

2016 Edition

containing the full presentations of

the SWS Survey Reviews from

2001 to 2016 is available in CD-

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Archives and Library.

Inquire with Leo Laroza

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