survey of indonesia public opinion

Survey of Indonesia Public Opinion

June 19-27, 2013

International Republican Institute

http://www.lsi.or.id/

Detailed Methodology

2

• This survey was designed and fielded by Lembaga Survei Indonesia under the supervision of

the International Republican Institute and Rob Varsalone of Maven Public Affairs.

• The nationally representative survey was conducted in all 33 of Indonesia’s provinces on

June 19-27, 2013.

• The survey is a national representative sample of adults 17 years of age and older.

• A sample of 2,290 was interviewed face-to-face in their homes by trained enumerators

using a multi-stage stratification proportionate to population sample distribution.

• The sample was first stratified at the provincial level, then into urban and rural categories

proportionate to population. Primary Sampling Units (PSU) were then selected using the

Probability-Proportionate-to-Size method.

• Within each PSU, households were selected randomly and then the Kish Grid method was

used to select respondents. The response rate was 87 percent.

• The confidence interval is approximately +/- 2.1 percent at a confidence level of 95

percent.

• The geographic distributions conform to the most recently available statistical data.

• Due to rounding, charts may not add up to 100 percent.

Demographics

3

Category % Category %

Male 50 Urban 50

Female 50 Rural 50

Younger than or equal to 25 years 12 Married 86

26-40 years 40 Single 8

41-55 years 31 Widow/widower 5

Older than 55 years 16 Divorced 1

No response/don't know 1 No response/don't know 0

Jawa 42 Less than or equal to primary 45

Sunda 17 Junior high or equivalent 20

Melayu 5 Senior high or equivalent 25

Madura 4 College/university 10

Minang 3 No response/don't know 0

Other 28

No response/don't know 2

Islam 90 Up to 400,000 rupiah 18

Protestant 6 400,000 to 999,999 rupiah 29

Catholic 2 More than 1,000,000 rupiah 50

Other 2 No response/don't know 4

No response/don't know 0

Gender Urban-Rural

Ethnicity

Age

Income

Education

Marital Status

Religion

Province of Respondents (Compared to the Population Based on the Census in Indonesia)

4

Province Percent of

Respondents Census Province

Percent of

Respondents Census

Jabar 18% 18% Kalsel 2% 2%

Jatim 16% 16% Kaltim 2% 2%

Jateng 14% 14% Jambi 1% 1%

Sumut 6% 6% Papua 1% 1%

Banten 5% 5% Sulteng 1% 1%

DKI 4% 4% Sulut 1% 1%

Sulsel 3% 3% Kalteng 1% 1%

Lampung 3% 3% Sultra 1% 1%

Sumsel 3% 3% Bengkulu 1% 1%

Riau 2% 2% Kepri 1% 1%

NTT 2% 2% Maluku 1% 1%

Sumbar 2% 2% Babel 1% 1%

Aceh 2% 2% Sulbar 1% 1%

NTB 2% 2% Gorontalo 0.4% 0.4%

Kalbar 2% 2% Malut 0.4% 0.4%

Bali 2% 2% Papua Barat 0.3% 0.3%

DIY 2% 2%

Social Indicators Index

http://www.usaid.gov/

In general, would you say that things in Indonesia are

heading in the right direction or are they heading in the

wrong direction?

6

51%

37%

13%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Right direction Wrong direction No response/don't know

Why do you think that things in Indonesia are heading in

the right direction? (Open-ended) (n=1,161)

7

23%

3%

3%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

6%

8%

8%

12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

No response/don't know

Infrastructure development (roads, electricity, water, etc)

We are on the right direction

Smooth functioning government

Corruption eradication

Improvement in people's welfare and prosperity

Government assistance

Improved and stable security condition

Improved education

Improved economy

Increasing level of development

The existence of change, progress and improvement

Why do you think that things in Indonesia are heading in

the wrong direction? (Open-ended) (n=842)

8

4%

2%

2%

3%

4%

4%

5%

6%

8%

10%

12%

23%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%


Bad leaders

The government doesn't care about the people

Wrong policies and work programs

Weak law enforcement, no justice

Unsafe atmosphere (crime rate, demonstration, riots)

Bad performance of the government

Rising fuel price

People are becoming poorer, prosperity hasn't been reached

Economy is not stable yet

Rising price of staple goods

Widespread corruption

How would you describe the current economic

situation in Indonesia?

9

2%

44% 44%

7% 4%

Very good Good Bad Very bad Noresponse/don't

know

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Compared to a year ago, has your household economic

situation improved, stayed the same or worsened?

10

36%

43%

20%

Improved Stayed the same Worsened

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Thinking about next year, do you expect the economic

situation in your household is going to get better, stay the

same or get worse?

11

53%

28%

8% 12%

Better Stay the same Worse No response/don'tknow

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Issues and Attitudes Index

What is the single biggest problem facing Indonesia

as a whole? (Open-ended)

13

11%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

3%

6%

9%

20%

25%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%


Leader's morality

Public welfare

Unemployment

Bad education quality

Lack of infrastructure development (roads, electricity, water, etc)

Lack of jobs/employment opportunities

Poverty

Fuel price increase

The increase in prices of goods and basic needs

Corruption

National economic stability

14

How big of a problem would you say each of the

issues below are in Indonesia?

21%

23%

23%

24%

25%

26%

26%

27%

29%

30%

31%

32%

33%

33%

35%

37%

45%

47%

61%

47%

47%

47%

42%

51%

41%

47%

51%

48%

50%

48%

47%

38%

47%

45%

48%

42%

43%

25%

13%

26%

20%

20%

14%

20%

19%

14%

18%

15%

16%

15%

16%

15%

14%

10%

10%

7%

7%

19%

5%

9%

14%

9%

13%

8%

8%

4%

5%

5%

6%

13%

5%

6%

5%

3%

3%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

The need to implement further democratic reforms

Lack of water supply

Housing

Descrimination against women

Insufficient government support for small and medium-sized businesses

Religious conflict

Environment (illegal logging, domestic trash, etc.)

Insufficient support to farmers

Low quality of health care

Accessibility of education

High prices of healthcare

Quality education

Terrorism

Lack of infrastructure (electricity, roads, etc.)

Crime

Low income

Unemployment

Price increases

Corruption

Very serious Somewhat serious Not a serious problem at all No response/don't know

In your opinion, how prevalent is corruption within

the government in Indonesia?

15

49% 41% 1% 9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%Very prevalent Somewhat prevalent Not corrupt at all No response/don't know

Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the national

government’s efforts to fight corruption?

16

5% 37% 44% 8% 7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied

Very unsatisfied No response/don't know

42% Satisfied 52% Unsatisfied

17

Please tell me how much corruption you think there

is among each of these groups or organizations.

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

5%

5%

5%

5%

12%

18%

14%

19%

22%

18%

19%

25%

26%

27%

31%

35%

36%

38%

50%

49%

55%

53%

52%

43%

40%

31%

39%

32%

17%

24%

18%

17%

13%

11%

8%

7%

6%

38%

40%

42%

33%

38%

46%

36%

41%

40%

25%

22%

23%

21%

20%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Religious institutions

Media

Nongovernmental organizations

Military

Universities

Foreign companies

Banks

The Office of the President

Indonesian companies

Courts

Police

Senior state officials

Political parties

People's Representative Council

Great deal of corruption Some corruption No corruption at all No response/don't know

Do you approve or disapprove of the quality of work

provided by the Corruption Eradication Commission?

18

8% 47% 32% 3% 10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove

Strongly disapprove No response/don't know

55% Approve 35% Disapprove

19

33%

39%

11%

18%

Improved More or less the same Worsened No response/don'tknow

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

What is your opinion about the trend of women’s rights in Indonesia

compared to two years ago? Has it improved, stayed more or less the

same or worsened?

Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree

or strongly disagree with the statement: Democracies are

indecisive and have too much squabbling?

20

2% 20% 53% 3% 23%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree

Strongly disagree No response/don't know

22% Agree 56% Disagree


or strongly disagree with the statement: In a democracy, the

economic system runs badly?

21

2% 19% 51% 3% 25%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagreeStrongly disagree No response/don't know



or strongly disagree with the statement: Democracies aren't

any good at maintaining law and order?

22

3% 29% 39% 3% 26%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%




Institutional Ratings

24

5%

46%

39%

5% 4%

Very good job Good job Bad job Very bad job No response/don'tknow

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

How do you think the national government has performed on the top

problem facing Indonesia today?

25

2%

29%

49%

10% 11%

Strongly approve Somewhatapprove

Somewhatdisapprove

Stronglydisapprove

No response/don'tknow

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job done by the People's

Representative Council?

26

Rate the national government’s performance on…

3%

3%

5%

3%

5%

3%

4%

6%

4%

4%

4%

6%

7%

6%

7%

27%

29%

29%

33%

45%

49%

53%

56%

61%

62%

63%

67%

68%

72%

74%

58%

58%

42%

51%

41%

34%

23%

30%

27%

25%

25%

22%

19%

16%

14%

10%

7%

18%

9%

4%

4%

3%

5%

3%

2%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

6%

4%

5%

11%

17%

3%

5%

7%

4%

3%

4%

5%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Controlling inflation

Employment

Fighting corruption

Poverty reduction

Fighting crime

Housing

Gender, religious, race, ethnicity-based equality

Development of roads, highways and bridges

Water sanitation

Preserving the environment

Water availability

Health care

Improving educational system

Construction of public facilities (schools and hospitals)

Electricity availability

Very good Good Poor Very poor No response/don't know

27

How would you rate the…

1%

2%

3%

5%

4%

12%

5%

7%

5%

9%

31%

38%

50%

52%

54%

55%

65%

68%

70%

73%

41%

37%

16%

14%

32%

18%

17%

10%

14%

9%

10%

8%

1%

1%

4%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

17%

15%

30%

28%

6%

13%

13%

15%

10%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Political parties

National Parliament

Presidential Office

Constitutional Court

Police

Corruption Eradication Body

Ministry of National Education

Media

Ministry of Health

Army

Very favorable Favorable Unfavorable Very unfavorable No response/don't know

Election Index

I am going to ask for your level of agreement or

disagreement with the following statement: Elections in

Indonesia are mostly free, fair and credible.

29

9% 55% 25% 2% 9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No response/don't know


If parliamentary elections were held today, how

likely is it that you would vote?

30

76%

18%

5% 1%

Will definitely vote Might vote Will not vote No response/don'tknow

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

31

20%

1%

2%

3%

10%

11%

11%

12%

14%

16%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%


Fear of danger or violence

Don’t have voting right

I do not support any party/candidate

Don't trust the government

I am not interested in politics

I do not have time to go to the polls

I do not have enough information about the candidates

I do not believe the vote will be fair

My vote will not change anything

(If will not vote, no response or don’t know) Why won't you vote? (Choose one from the list)

(n=133)

31

Decided vs. Undecided Voters on Parliamentary

Elections Ballot

79%

21%

Decided voters Undecided voters

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

33

80%

20%

78%

22%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Male Female

Decided vs. Undecided Voters on Parliamentary Elections

by Gender


by Rural-Urban

34

81%

19%

77%

23%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Rural Urban

35

78%

22%

80%

20%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Java Outside Java


by Region

36

77%

23%

79%

21%

82%

18%

86%

14%

79%

21%

81%

19%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Jawa Sunda Melayu Madura Minang Other


by Ethnicity

37

79%

21%

78%

22%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Islam Other


by Religion

38

78%

22%

82%

18%

80%

20%

76%

24%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

<= Elementary school Junior high school Senior high school College/university


by Education

39

82%

18%

80%

20%

79%

21%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Less than 400,000 rupiah 400,000 -1,000,000 rupiah 1,000,000 rupiah or greater


by Yearly Income

40

80%

20%

79%

21%

80%

20%

77%

23%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Yes (full-time) Yes (part-time) Seasonal/occasional No


by Work Status

41

94%

6%

55%

45%

79%

21% 23%

77% 77%

23%

69%

31%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Student Retired (due to age or disease)

Household Maternity leave

Unemployed/looking for a job Unemployed/not looking for a job


by Status Outside the Workforce

42

81%

19%

71%

29%

81%

19%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Private State Non-governmental


by Work Sector

43

82%

18%

81%

19%

76%

24%

76%

24%

76%

24%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Farmer/breeder/fishermen Unregular paid worker/service/driver/guard

Trader/entrepreneur Employee

Other


by Occupation

44

89%

11%

81%

19%

79%

21%

68%

32%


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

<= 25 years 26-40 years 41-55 years Older than 55 years


by Age

What is the most important reason for you in

choosing a political party?

45

9%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

6%

7%

9%

11%

11%

17%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%


They don’t have internal party conflicts

Caring and can increase people's welfare

Following others' choice (neighbors, family, friends, etc.)

Links to religious organizations

Their ideological stand

They represent the same religious faith as you

Party programs

The party leader

Political party promotes reform

Family ties

Quality of their candidates

Political party performance

Things they have done for your community

What is the second most important reason for you

in choosing a political party?

46

16%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

6%

7%

9%

10%

12%

14%

15%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%


Liking the party

Following others' choice (neighbors, family, friends, etc.)

They don't have internal party conflicts

Links to religious organizations

Their ideological stand

They represent the same religious faith as you

Family ties

The party leader

Party programs

Political party promotes reform

Quality of their candidates

Things they have done for your community

Political party performance

47

Regarding financial transparency of political parties, what

do you think about the statement: List of donors and

other sources of income should be publicly disclosed?

20% 54% 11% 1% 15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%




48

12%

87%

2%

Yes No No response/don't know

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Have you been contacted by a political party as

part of their campaign outreach?

How have you been contacted by a political party as part

of its campaign outreach? (n=264)

49

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

5%

5%

6%

6%

7%

8%

10%

32%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

No response

Visit to workplace

Becoming electoral witness during General Election

Persuasion by village administration staff

Open campaign

Family persuasion

Events (parade, campaign, etc.)

Being promised something

Friends' persuasion

Gifts (donations, money, basic staple, etc.)

Souvenir handouts (shirts, stickers, calendars, etc.)

Being asked to become party sympathizer

By telephone

Persuasion by campaign staff and party cadres

Direct meeting

Meetings (social, religious gathering, etc.)

House visit

50

Thinking some more about the campaigns of political

parties, which of the following have you seen, read, or

heard?

11%

13%

14%

24%

25%

33%

41%

82%

83%

83%

86%

82%

83%

73%

71%

63%

57%

16%

15%

16%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Someone approached me in a public place

Parade

Someone visited me at my home

Radio ad

Radio news story

Rally

Newspaper article

Posters/Banner

TV news story

TV ad

Yes No No response/Don't know

51

6%

93%

2%

Yes No No response/don't know

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Have you ever given money to a political party?

If no, no response, don’t know: Why have you not given

money to a political party? (n=2,130)

52

7%

1%

1%

4%

5%

9%

10%

12%

12%

37%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%


Cannot give enough to make a difference

None of the parties support my interests

Because political parties have too much money

Never been asked, but if asked I will contribute

Not a political party member

It is inappropriate to give money to political parties

The political party’s funding is its business

Not interested in politics

No funds available to give

53

57%

8%

32%

3%

Prefer to vote for aman

Prefer to vote for awoman

No preference No response/don'tknow

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Now I am going to ask you about the types of qualities you prefer in a

candidate. If there are two candidates campaigning for the same

elected office with exactly the same qualifications, but one is a man

and the other is a woman, which one would you be more likely to

vote for?

54

37%

18%

41%

3%

Prefer to vote for ayoung person

Prefer to vote for anolder person


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

If there are two candidates campaigning for the same elected office

with exactly the same qualifications, but one is young and the other is

older, which one would you be more likely to vote for?

55

25%

33%

37%

5%

Prefer to vote for newperson

Prefer to vote forperson who has been

around for a while


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

If there are two candidates campaigning for the same elected office

with exactly the same qualifications, but one is new to politics and

has never run for office before and the other has been in politics for a

long time and has run for office many times, which one would you be

more likely to vote for?

Media Index

Where are you most likely to get your news and

information?

57

6%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

5%

79%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%


Village news board

Radio

Internet

Village head

Newspapers

Relatives, friends

TV

On average, how often do you use the Internet?

58

7% 5% 2% 1%

7%

75%

3%

Every day A few times aweek

Once a week Once a month Less often Never Noresponse/don't

know

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

When you do use the Internet, from where do you most

regularly access the Internet? (n=500)

59

26%

10% 3% 1%

14%

41%

4%

Home Work School Relatives’ or friends’ home

Internet café Cell phone ormobile

connection

Noresponse/don't

know

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

survey of indonesia public opinion

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