strategic case - gisborne district · v1.1 3 may 2015 update post selwyn blackmore review v2 5 may...
TRANSCRIPT
Strategic Case
Strategic Assessment and Funding Application to proceed to Programme and Indicative
Business Cases’
Gisborne Strategic Case
Approval
PREPARED BY: REVIEWED BY: ENDORSED BY: ENDORSED BY: ENDORSED BY
Simon Barnett /
Dave Hadfield
Tony Brennand &
Selwyn Blackmore
Napier RMT
Tairāwhiti Roads
Gisborne District
Council
Colin Goble NZTA
Project Team
Manager
NZTA /
General Manager
Tairāwhiti Roads
Principal
Transport
Outcome Planner
Network
Outcomes /
Transport
Planning Manager
Central Region
Napier RMT
Tairāwhiti Roads
RMT
Gisborne
Technical
Advisory Group
P&I Regional Case
Manager
Value Assurance
Committee
PROJECT TEAM MANAGER
NZTA /
GENERAL MANAGER
TAIRĀWHITI ROADS
PRINCIPAL TRANSPORT
OUTCOME PLANNER
NETWORK OUTCOMES
PROPOSAL SPONSOR P&I CASE MANAGER HIGHWAY AND NETWORK
OPERATIONS
28 OCT 2014 5 MAY 2015 18 MAY 2015 18 JUNE 2015 25 JUNE 2015
Revision Status*
REVISION NUMBER: IMPLEMENTATION DATE: SUMMARY OF REVISION
v0.1 28 October 2014 Benefits Map added and watermark for release
V0.2 4 February 2015 Reconfigured
V1.0 8 April 2015 Updated post: RMT GDC, Tairāwhiti Roads
V1.1 3 May 2015 Update post Selwyn Blackmore review
V2 5 May 2015 Update post Tony Brennand review
V2 1 July 2015 VAC Approvals added
Delete Revision Status Table on production of final version
Template Version
REVISION NUMBER: IMPLEMENTATION DATE: SUMMARY OF REVISION
1.1 23 July 2013 2nd
Release – New section on KPI’s (§3.3)
Contents
Executive Summary: The case for change and the need for investment ....................................... 3
PART A – THE STRATEGIC CASE ....................................................................................................... 5
1 Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 5
1.1 The problems and consequences of not solving them ........................................................... 5
2 Partners and Key Stakeholders .................................................................................................... 8
2.1 Partners ................................................................................................................................... 8
3 Strategic Assessment - Outlining the Need for Investment .................................................... 10
3.1 Defining the problem and Status of Evidence Base.............................................................. 10
3.2 The Benefits of Investment ................................................................................................... 13
4 Strategic Context ......................................................................................................................... 14
4.2 Organisational Overview ....................................................................................................... 15
4.3 Organisational Outcomes, Impacts and Objectives .............................................................. 20
4.4 Alignment to Existing Strategies/Organisational Goals ........................................................ 20
4.5 Miss-alignment to Existing Strategies/Organisational Goals ................................................ 20
5 Anticipated Strategic Fit & Effectiveness ................................................................................. 20
5.1 Assessment Profile Assessment ‘H’, ‘M’, ‘_’ Priority 4 .......................................................... 20
APPENDIX 1 - Investment Logic Map ................................................................................................ 22
APPENDIX 2 – Benefits Map .............................................................................................................. 23
Appendix 3: Background Information ............................................................................................... 25
5.2 Background story .................................................................................................................. 25
5.3 Central Freight Story (Freight Stakeholders) ........................................................................ 25
5.4 Evidence Supporting the ‘Status’ of the Evidence ................................................................ 27
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Executive Summary: The case for change and the need for investment
This report presents a Strategic Case for the development of the Gisborne Roading Network, both
Local and State Highway.
The development of a unified approach is especially important with the formation of Tairāwhiti Roads
and the strategic direction setting that is evolving out of the close working relationship we have with
Gisborne District Council.
The State Highway Network being the transport spine connecting the region to the south, north and
west, and the local roading network being the connections thereto that are required to support growth
patterns and access to Eastland Port.
It is widely recognised that regional issues and priorities would not meet the funding criteria if ranked
nationally for investment from the NLTP (i.e. National funds).
It is important that Regional funds are targeted correctly to ensure that Gisborne enjoys the best
return it can get for those finite ‘R’ dollars. By developing a programme business case the Gisborne
region will be able to demonstrate that projects promoted are part of a programme of work and not
isolated interventions. The PBC will be able to demonstrate to P&I that the region understands what
priorities are in the region and ensuring decisions around funding are transparent and clear.
In addition, the region will have a priority list of projects that can be valued in the National Perspective,
trigger points for intervention and regional confidence that a fair programme of work is in place
(subject to meeting funding criteria). This will lead to business confidence and journeys that are
‘protected’, as far as they can be.
Status of evidence
At this time there is little hard information associated with the conflict between modes in the Urban
Area, especially between the Central Business District and the access to Eastland Port. Only anecdotal
reporting and NZTA site observations exist. A more robust assessment of risk regarding the conflict
between freight and vulnerable road users will be established during the development of the
Programme Business Case
The challenging network geometry and driver behavioural issues are considered to be factors in the
crash history.
Significant weather events have produced a history of road closure and degradation of the network. On
SH35 it is not uncommon to have 2-3 single lane sections on the State Highway at any one time. As of
May 2015 there is a 20m section of single lane carriageway that has been washed out for over 12
months and one drop out which is currently undergoing repair. Over the last 5 years the foundations
failed on one bridge which was subsequently closed for 2-3 days.
The volume of timber trucked through the Port gates from the State Highway (primarily Hirini Street
intersection) has escalated from 0.6M tonnes in 2000, to 2.0M tonnes in 2012). Traffic counts from
February 2013 show 657 truck movements (ADT) from the State Highway to the Port Gates. This
equates to 1 truck every 4.5 minutes and at peak times rising to 2.6 trucks per minute. The primary
intersection is on the edge of the Central Business District, next to the Gladstone River Bridge where
vulnerable road users mix.
The region has the potential to reach a sustainable timber harvest cut of 3.0M tonnes between 2020 -
2035 and to continue at this level for 30 years. The increase in truck volumes will exacerbate the
existing problem, considered to be significant for the region, and the Port has advised that it is already
looking at this issue.
Facilitated investment logic mapping (ILM) workshops, in early 2014, were undertaken with key
stakeholders to clearly identify the problems and the benefits of solving them. Key Stakeholders
included members of the Regional Transport Committee to ensure key community representation is
heard. Other participants included industry and Eastland Port. This resulted in the following problem
definitions:
Problem one: Conflict between active modes of transport and trucks results in increased personal
risk to active mode users’ 15%
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Problem two: ‘Narrow seal, lack of passing opportunities and tight alignment contribute to higher
than normal incidents in rural areas of death and serious injury from loss of control’ 40%;
Problem three: The regions driver demographics are risk takers in their driving, and with the
maintenance of their vehicles, which contributes to a higher than normal regional accident rate’
5%*;
Problem four: Part of the network is not able to sustain the current or projected volume of freight
to the (Eastland) Port, which is further degrading the quality of the network infrastructure’ 10%;
Problem five: The network is susceptible to road closure and weather degradation leading to poor
road condition, excessive wear and tear on vehicles and resultant economic loss’ 30%.
The benefits of solving these problems were expressed as:
Benefit one: Reduced conflict between modes 30%;
Benefit two: More forgiving routes 15%;
Benefit three: Safer vehicle use 5%*;
Benefit four: An efficient and reliable network able to support just in time logistics particularly to
and from the Port 35%;
Benefit five: Economic loss reduced 15%.
Stakeholders consider that five strategic objectives are needed:
Safer vehicle use through driver education;
Remove conflict between modes;
Increase in the travel options that encourage people out of cars in the city;
Predictable consistent and reliable journey;
More resilient network to enable economic growth and productivity.
* Note: Problems with low weightings are not usually captured however; the ILM participants did not
wish to lose sight of problem three and saw an opportunity to work with other ‘partner groups’ such
as the police and the role of education in keeping drivers safe.
The ILM process has captured more issues than normally considered and this can be attributed to the
variety of core issues the region faces across the parent organisations.
Figure 1: Gisborne District – Strategic Corridors.
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PART A – THE STRATEGIC CASE
1 Introduction
This document is the Strategic Case (SC) for the ‘programme of work’ and is the essential
building block for future business cases that will evolve throughout the life of the programme.
It presents the strategic assessment and context for the proposed investment and the case for
change. It seeks approval to develop a programme of work and supports investing in the
development of new projects.
The decision makers are being asked to invest in delivering safety, economic, and resilience
benefits to support releasing the economic potential of the region through Eastland Port.
Background
State Highway Network: New Zealand Transport Agency (NZTA) manages its strategic
development whilst Tairāwhiti Roads manages its roading operation and maintenance.
Local Roads: Gisborne District Council manages its strategic development and Tairāwhiti
Roads manages its operation and maintenance.
The Investment Logic Mapping generated five problems and five benefit statements associated
with conflicts between road users, how the roading network constrains economic growth, the
crash rate, and the standard of driver behaviour and vehicle fleet.
All stakeholders support the need to develop and deliver projects that resolve the problems
and realise the benefits identified in the ILM workshops.
1.1 The problems and consequences of not solving them
Strategic Fit
The strategic problems: Five problem statements below were produced during the first two ILM
workshops (APPENDIX A & B):
Problem one: ‘Conflict between active modes of transport and trucks results in increased
personal risk to active mode users’ 15%
Problem two: ‘Narrow seal, lack of passing opportunities and tight alignment contribute
to higher than normal incidents in rural areas of death and serious injury from loss of
control’ 40%
Problem three: ‘The region’s driver demographic are risk takers in their driving and with
the maintenance of their vehicles, which contributes to a higher than normal regional
accident rate’ 5% *
Problem four: ‘Part of the network is not able to sustain the current or projected volume
of freight to the Port, which is further degrading the quality of the network
infrastructure’ 10%
Problem five: ‘The network is susceptible to road closure and weather degradation
leading to poor road condition, excessive wear and tear on vehicles and resultant
economic loss’ 30%
* Note: Problems with low weightings are not usually captured however; the ILM participants did not
wish to lose sight of problem three and saw an opportunity to work with other ‘partner groups’, such
as the police, and the role of education in keeping drivers safe.
The ILM process has captured more issues than normally considered and this can be attributed to the
variety of core issues the region faces across the parent organisations.
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The strategic outcome we are looking to buy: A roading network that allows the economic potential
of the region to be reached safely. To that end our customers will enjoy a programme of work that will
work towards this “vision” outlined in the previous sentence for each corridor so that they can
experience the journey they need.
Geographical Scope of this Strategic Case and the Area of Influence: The area covering the
Gisborne Region and its connections to the Hawkes Bay and Bay of Plenty Regions via SH2 and SH35.
Fig 2: The area of influence: extends beyond the geographical boundary of the Gisborne Region
particularly through SH2 into both Hawkes Bay and the Bay of Plenty regions.
The Benefits of investing:
The benefits of investment, as agreed in the ILM process, are as follows:
Benefit one: Reduced conflict between modes 30%
Benefit two: More forgiving routes 15%
Benefit three: Safer vehicle use 5%
Benefit four: An efficient and reliable network able to support just in time logistics
particularly to and from the Port 35%
Benefit five: Economic loss reduced 15%
If our strategic problems are not resolved
Overview
The inefficiency in the Gisborne roading network does not initially compare with the congestion
suffered elsewhere in major cities.
However; the Ports on the East coast are constrained by the size of their wharfs and so produce has to
be moved from either distribution, handling centre or directly from source ‘just in time’. This poses a
significant logistic problem when ships must leave on time. Local inefficiencies at the intersection
with the State Highway, and poor supply chains, do make a difference to a ship that has to leave on
time.
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If the ship does not leave full, the attractiveness of the Port is curtailed and there is no contract for a
shipping line to come back.
The ‘tipping point’ is a moving target because an individual port's cargo potential is what attracts
shipping. The bigger ships need larger cargo exchanges; this has progressively seen fewer ship calls at
a number of NZ ports (witness the changing fortunes of New Plymouth, Wellington and Nelson ports).
To keep New Zealand thriving we need the Regions to be as productive as they can be.
The strategic problem of moving freight through the Port Gates from the State Highway is regionally
significant and directly links:
Problem four: ‘Part of the network is not able to sustain the current or projected volume of
freight to the Port, which is further degrading the quality of the network infrastructure’
to
Benefit four: An efficient and reliable network able to support just in time logistics
particularly to and from the Port
Produce has to get to the ship on time and it is at risk of doing so if access from the State Highway is
holding it up.
It is noted that Benefit four has been modified slightly from the original ILM map to reflect the context
of the discussions around which it was originally formed.
Statistics on increasing truck movements
The volume of timber trucked through the Port gates from the State Highway (primarily Hirini Street
intersection) has escalated from 0.6M tonnes in 2000 to 2.0M tonnes in 2012). Traffic counts from
Feb 2013 show 657 truck movements (ADT) from the State Highway to the Port Gates. This equates to
1 truck every 4.5 minutes and, at peak times, rising to 2.6 trucks per minute. The primary intersection
is on the edge of the Central Business District, next to the Gladstone River Bridge where vulnerable
road users mix.
The region has the potential to reach a sustainable timber harvest cut of 3.0M tonnes between 2020 -
2035 and to continue at this level for 30 years. The increase in truck volumes will exacerbate the
existing problem, considered to be significant for the region, and the Port has advised that it is already
looking at this issue.
If our strategic problems are not resolved, we will expect to have:
1. Exacerbated capacity constraints at the entrance to Eastland Port. As volumes increase egress
and access to the Port will become increasingly constrained with freight blocked at the
intersection with the State Highway on the edge of the CBD next to Gladstone Bridge.
Access and Egress: Through traffic takes priority resulting in delays for the movement of
freight and inefficiencies over the Gladstone Bridge and into the CBD.
Increasing costs for the freight journey to Eastland Port: We need to ensure the cost of travel
for any commodity does not significantly impact on its export market value whereby New
Zealand suffers economic loss. Stone fruit, timber and other such commodities have to get to
port on time.
This all means that the journey to ship is not as resilient, safe and efficient as it can be in line
with the commitment the Government Policy Statement has given to freight.
2. A region that does not have a fully integrated programme of work:
NZTA’s national safety programme is not implemented as part of a wider programme of
work. This means for example: Inefficiencies associated with speed reduction will not
have the opportunity to be balanced against efficiency gained elsewhere on the key
journey.
Increasing conflict between all users within the transport corridor, meaning the
increasingly hostile environment will continue to inhibit the delivery of GDC walking and
cycling policy/strategy. This is a particular concern in the urban area where progressive
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cities throughout the world are looking at, and delivering, ways to increase footfall and
increase economic activity.
3. The economic directives discussed in the East Coast economics potential study will not be fully
achieved.
4. A lost opportunity to enhance the tourist experience which equates to lost economic activity:
This is a focus between the Central Business District and the access to Eastland Port where the
urban design component can build upon the raw engineering solution to ensure value is
added.
5. A lost opportunity to coordinate education, enforcement and capital investment needed to
address the inherent problems associated with the ‘driver demographic and the condition of
their vehicles’ will be lost.
6. A network that is not as resilient as it could be resulting in a lower level of business
confidence.
Localised issues affecting the performance of the State Highway and local road network
1. The region’s topography affects the geometry of the network which does not give effect to
efficient journey times.
2. The region is subject to heavy rainfall events which impact on the efficiency and resilience of the
network.
3. Inherent geology and proximity of rivers to the network is the primary influencing factor on the
resilience of the network.
4. The limited storage capacity at Eastland Port, and the location of storage depots/inland that serve
Eastland Port, shape the travel patterns of the freight industry.
Stakeholder Agreement: The construction of this strategic case has been done with the support and
help of partners and key stakeholders who are in support of delivering a regional Business Case.
2 Partners and Key Stakeholders
Stakeholders were identified by NZTA and Gisborne District Council officers. The Chair of the
Regional Transport Committee and representatives from Eastland Port and industry were
invited and attended the first ILM workshop.
After the first workshop it was evident that a wider range of experience from all the
representatives of the Regional Transport Committee was needed. Moving forward the
technical officers will be able to focus on delivery as the Regional Transport Committee and
P&I are in full support of investing in the outcomes they have sponsored.
2.1 Partners:
2.1.1 Transport Agency
Vision: Creating transport solutions for a thriving New Zealand
The Transport Agency is committed to the safe and efficient operation of the State Highway
Network which includes delivering on its National Programme Business Case: Safer Journeys –
Delivering Safer Roads & Roadside Implementation.
NZTA are experts in their field with a perspective that considers the local State Highway
Network from a national perspective.
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2.1.2 Gisborne District Council
Vision of the regional land transport strategy:
“A transport system that contributes to Gisborne being a region people are proud to live
in, work in, and visit both now and in the future.”
Gisborne District Council officers bring the historical knowledge as well as roading, planning
and business development expertise to the table. It is a unitary authority with both regional
and territorial local authority responsibilities.
2.1.3 RTC Members
The members of the regional transport committee bring a strategic aspect to land transport
discussion. The elected members represent both planning and infrastructural interests. The
community members represent specific interests such as road safety, disabled mobility,
economic development, cultural interests and health.
2.1.4 Eastland Port
The Eastland Port is the central destination for logs within the District. Any delays on the local
or State Highway Networks can cause operational issues with the phasing of ships entering the
port.
The Transport Agencies Central Freight Story enforces the strategic importance of Eastland
Port.
Forestry supply chain
2.1.5 Cycling
The Gisborne cycling advisory group were invited to the workshops to cover this aspect of
transport delivery. While there is no specific organisation with a focus on pedestrians and
other non-motorised road users, equestrian, skateboarders etc. the Council has renamed the
walking and cycling network to “active transport network” to acknowledge other transport
modes.
2.1.6 Key Customers
The key impacts on the land transport network are generated by the growth of forestry.
Agriculture and fishing are also major industries in Gisborne.
2.1.7 Industry: Heavy Haulage Association (HHA)
The NZ Heavy Haulage Association is the national trade association for companies that
transport overweight and/or over-dimension loads.
A local owner operator with first-hand knowledge of the transport issues that impact on the
efficiency of freight movement within the region attended and in doing so represented
industry.
2.1.8 Central Freight Story (Freight Stakeholders)
A group of Stakeholders with an interest in freight have developed the Central Freight Story.
This informs this Strategic Case. The key information is summarised in Appendix 1.
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3 Strategic Assessment - Outlining the Need for
Investment
3.1 Defining the problem and Status of Evidence Base
A facilitated investment logic mapping workshop was held on 20 February 2014, with key
stakeholders to gain a better understanding of current issues and business needs. The
stakeholders identified and agreed the following four problem statements (APPENDIX 1 & 2):
Note: Please refer to Appendix 3 for more detailed information
Problem one
‘Conflict between active modes of transport and trucks results in increased personal risk
to active mode users’ 15%
This first problem focuses our attention on the personal safety risk associated with conflict
between modes, especially in the Urban Areas with an immediate focus between the Central
Business District and Eastland Port and along Ormond Road
At this time there is little hard information associated with the conflict between modes in the.
Only anecdotal reporting and NZTA site observations exist. A more robust assessment of risk
regarding the conflict between freight and vulnerable road users will have to be established
during the development of the Programme Business Case.
The Urban Cycleway Programme has identified the Gladstone Bridge as a candidate for
investment and Eastland Port has signalled the approach on the Gladstone Bridge as a ‘pinch
point’.
Ormond Road has been identified as a specific problem area with freight from the Poverty Bay
flats passing along this corridor to the processing area in the industrial subdivision. In
addition logging trucks use this residential route to access the Port from the Waimata Road
forests and beyond from SH2.
Gisborne District Councils Walking and Cycling Strategy (draft) will be released for public
consultation as part of the Long Term Plan. The review report recommends:
Prioritising a comprehensive active transport network for Gisborne city.
Focusing on active transport routes to get people to school and work safely with
recreation and tourism routes being secondary.
Problem two
Narrow seal, lack of passing opportunities and tight alignment, contribute to higher than
normal incidents in rural areas of death and serious injury from loss of control - 40%
This second problem draws our attention to the safety risk associated with the condition of
the pavement and the geometric layouts of the network.
2015 data from ‘Crash Analysis System’ (CAS) for the Gisborne Rural network (Local and SH)
shows (67%) of crashes involve loss of control/head on. 18% of crashes involve road factors
and 36% poor handling. Statistical Summary of Territorial Authorities in New Zealand, May
2014, tells us that 92% of all fatal and serious accidents on the SH network involve a Car, SUV
or motorbike.
More detailed information is provided in Appendix 3.
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Problem Three
‘The regions driver demographic are risk takers in their driving and with the
maintenance of their vehicles, which contributes to a higher than normal regional
accident rate 5%’
This third problem draws our attention to the safety risk associated with the ‘driver
demographic and the condition of their vehicles’.
Evidence from Statistical Summary Territorial Authorities in New Zealand shows that the
Gisborne region accounts for:
2.5 percent of national serious trauma from crashes involving excess alcohol and/or
drugs, and
1.8 percent of the national serious trauma from crashes involving speed too fast for
conditions.
More information on these factors is available in Appendix 3.
Gisborne region accounts for 2.5 percent of the national serious trauma from crashes
involving excess alcohol and/or drugs. The region accounts for 1.8 percent of the national
serious trauma from crashes involving speed too fast for conditions.
Regionally alcohol accounts for over half, 53.1 percent, of the serious trauma and speed for
over a third, 35.2 percent.
Accidents involving alcohol and/or drugs will be managed by the NZ Police and the Gisborne
Road Safety Coordinator who will use an integrated approach between enforcement and
education.
Problem Four
‘Part of the network is not able to sustain the current or projected volume of freight to
the Port, which is further degrading the quality of the network infrastructure 10%’
This fourth problem draws our attention to the capacity of the existing network (both local and
State Highway) to be able to sustain projected growth in freight. This issue is focused at the
Eastland Port Gates resulting in a reducing level of service. A detailed assessment of the
impact of delays will be carried out during the Programme Business Case.
The Economic Impact Assessment of the Forestry Industry in the Gisborne-Tairāwhiti Region
prepared by the Eastland Wood Council on 10 October 2013, had the following information:
1. In 2011/12 the direct value of forest production was $225M. Backwards and forwards
linkages generate a multiplier of 2.7M and result in additional activity estimated to
contribute a further $383M annually to the regional economy.
2. In 2000 the forest harvest was 0.6 million tonnes, by 2012 it reached 2 million tonnes. It
is expected that in the decade to 2020 annual log exports will grow by a further 60%
reaching a potential harvest of 3.2 million tonnes annually by 2020 (Fig one). Eastland
Port has signalled the following pinch points (Figure two) on the Gisborne roading network
that will inhibit that growth.
Traffic counts from Feb 2013 show 657 truck movements (ADT) from the State Highway to the
Port Gates. This equates to 1 truck every 4.5 minutes and at peak times rising to 2.6 trucks
per minute. The primary intersection is on the edge of the Central Business District, next to
the Gladstone River Bridge where vulnerable road users mix.
The region has the potential to reach a sustainable timber harvest cut of 3.0M tonnes between
2020-2035 and to continue at this level for 30 years. The increase in truck volumes will
exacerbate the existing problem, considered to be significant for the region, and the Port has
advised that it is already looking at this issue.
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Fig 1: Forestry Harvesting Projections.
Fig 2: Key Pinch Points.
Problem Five
‘The network is susceptible to road closure and weather degradation leading to poor
road condition, excessive wear and tear on vehicles and resultant economic loss 30%’
The fifth problem draws our attention to the resilience of the network which is a function its
structural capability.
Route Security: Resilience Around Lost Business Confidence
The National Transport Planning Overview has given the Gisborne Region an overall resilience
rating for SH2 South to Wairoa as a Medium Risk Rating.
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SH35 functions primarily as a freight route from forest to the Eastland Port and as the primary
connection for the East Cape communities. There are no other viable alternative routes that
could sustain industry or communities.
Comparison between SH2 & SH35 and the National picture
Closure data for SH2 and SH35, averaged over the most recent 5-year period available, was
compared alongside research work undertaken by the Transport Agency for closure data for
the national State Highway Network during 2001-2014.
The following key observations are noted from this comparison:
SH35 to the North: Environmental incidents have the greatest impact on our
customers, the average length of closure is approximately 11 hours, being 27% higher
than the national average.
Whereas SH2 to the West has closure times due to traffic incidences which are over 4
times the national average.
Conclusion: Issues around traffic incidences on SH2 should be looked into as well as the
impact of the environment on the operation of SH35.
Detailed evidence to support this problem is summarised in Appendix 1.
Note: The Programme Business Case will have to address the quality of information entered,
and/or omitted, from Traffic Road Event Information System (TREIS). Key findings from this
comparison are summarised in the table below.
3.2 The Benefits of Investment
The potential benefits of successful investment were identified during the second facilitated
investment logic mapping workshop held on 3 April 2014. The stakeholder panel identified
and agreed the following potential benefits for the proposal:
Reduced conflict between modes 30%;
More forgiving routes 15%;
Safer vehicle use 5%;
A reliable network able to support “just in time” logistics 35%;
Economic loss reduced 15%.
The Benefit Map is attached as APPENDIX B.
3.2.1 The Key Performance Indicators
For each of the benefits sought, the KPIs detailed in Table 1 were defined. These indicators are
readily available from existing data sources, standard surveys and modelling methods, and will
be developed further through the development of any subsequent investigation.
Whilst specific targets can be developed it is important to demonstrate, in this Strategic Case,
the KPIs that were agreed with key stakeholders in the Benefits Investment Logic Mapping
session.
KPI’s are SMART, that is specific, measureable, achievable, relevant and time bound.
The ‘achievable’ and ‘time bound’ criteria can be better defined during the development of the
Indicative Business Case emphasis on the scale of change such as ‘significant’ is thought to be
appropriate at this point in the business case process.
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BENEFIT KPI 1 KPI 2 KPI 3
Reduced conflict between
modes 30%
Deaths and serious
injury by mode
Road assessment
rating, rural roads
Crashes with deaths
and serious injury,
by mode
More forgiving routes 15% Crashes with
deaths and serious
injury, by mode
Road assessment
rating, rural roads
Crashes with deaths
and serious injury,
by mode
Safer vehicle use*
5% Deaths and serious
injury by mode
Crashes with
deaths and
serious injury, by
mode
An efficient and reliable
network able to support
just in time logistics
particular to and from the
Port 35%
Throughput of
freight value by
load
Travel time delay,
by mode
Economic loss reduced
15%
Network reliability Temporal
availability actual,
road
Access to key
destinations – actual
by mode
*Note: It is expected that this problem statement will require parent organisations to work with
external authorities such as the Police.
3.2.2 Is there strong evidence of support from management and other key stakeholders?
Key Stakeholder groups including RTC members, Eastland Port and Operators have all
participated in the development of the Strategic Case.
It is intended that the delivery of the Programme Business Case will provide the next
opportunity to refine any aspect of the Strategic Case in the normal way. At the same time,
parallel working that has to deliver on Regional Dollars will incrementally provide the evidence
in support of the economic case. This aspect will be explored in Part B.
4 Strategic Context
4.1 Summary of alignment to legislation, organisational strategies and goals
The following table provides a summary of the legislative and strategic considerations for
parties to this Business Case:
This section demonstrates how the scope of the proposed investment fits within the existing
strategies of the partner organisations, in terms of the existing and future operational needs
of the organisations. I.e. this section demonstrates how the investment proposal has clear
linkages back to organisational strategies, Organisational objectives and assumptions.
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Organisation(s) Legislation / policy / strategy Requirement
NZTA (for State
Highways)
Civil Defence and Emergency
Management (CDEM) Act (2002),
Section 60 (CDEM Act)
Every lifeline utility must “ensure that it is able to
function to the fullest possible extent, even though
this may be at a reduced level, during and after an
emergency”.
State Highway Activity Management
Plan (SHAMP)
National SH programme business case for efficient,
safe and more resilient state highways as well as
other initiatives such as HPMV/50MAX and Weigh
Right.
Government Policy Statement (GPS)
2014
The Government’s overarching goal for transport is:
an effective, efficient, safe, secure, accessible and
resilient transport system that supports the growth of
our country’s economy in order to deliver greater
prosperity, security and opportunities for all New
Zealanders.
‘A secure and resilient transport network’ is specified
as one of seven key priorities in the short to medium
term of the 2015/16 GPS.
Gisborne
District Council
Local Government Act Stipulates responsibilities of local authorities and
strategic requirements. This document will influence
the development of the PBC.
Land Transport Management Act Provides funding framework for all Land Transport
schemes.
Regional Land Transport Strategy
2015/18
Identifies the key pinch points regarding safety and
efficiency and a regional resilience issue.
Long Term Plan The Long Term Plan Identifies transport priorities for
the next 10 years and starts itemising outcomes into
projects for the local roading network. This includes
resilience, minor improvements, walking and cycling
and high productivity motor vehicle projects. The
projects also have to deliver local government policies
like active transport and urban development
strategies. Therefore this document will influence the
development of the PBC.
Urban Development Strategy Strategy addresses the redevelopment directions for
the city and aims to improve connectivity through the
city by developing land use regulation and policy. The
impact of how the future network is intended to
operate will be an input into the Programme Business
Case.
Regional Public Transport Plan Provides strategy for subsidised public transport
activities.
4.2 Organisational Overview
The outcome of this strategy will be a programme of work which could be progressed
collaboratively between NZTA and the local Authority or other external parties through multi-
party funding agreements.
Therefore, the ‘organisation’ will be made up of NZTA and Gisborne District Council with a
number of key stakeholders and partners who may guide and influence the final outcome, and
scale of expected benefits. The focus of the ‘organisation’ will be to determine the scope of
the investment and sponsor the delivery of projected benefits.
Realising the development potential of Eastland Port and ensuring the Te Whanga, which
includes preserving the amenity value and the local environment, are the key opportunities
and potential constraints.
External drivers for change have been focused on safety, social and economic returns, with
little influence from political, environmental, technology or legislation.
Page | 16
4.2.1 The Region's Perspective
The development of the regions roading needs considered the needs of four corridors with
different needs and requirements
State Highway Classification
SH2 to the South
The classification of State Highway 2 is identified as a ‘Regional Route’ (previously known as
a Regional Strategic Route under the former state highway classification criteria). The
‘Regional Route’ classification reflects the following key functions:
Regional Route Classification
Criteria
Function of SH2 Gisborne to Napier
The route carries more than 400
heavy vehicles per day
At site ID00200452
Typical heavy vehicle flows of 20% i.e.
360vpd
The annual average daily traffic flow
exceeds 10,000 vehicles (although
only on parts of the route)
At site ID00200452
Flow is in the order of AADT 1,828
Linking Places: The route connects
population centres of more than
30,000 people
Route connects:
Napier/Hastings (population 125,300)
Gisborne (population 34,800)
Connectivity: Linking remote
regions or sole connectivity
Freight: greater than 1million
tonnes
Page | 17
SH2 to the West
The classification of State Highway 2 has been confirmed as an ‘Arterial (previously known as
a Regional Connector under the former state highway classification criteria). The ‘Regional
Route’ classification reflects the following key functions:
SH35
The classification of State Highway 35 has been confirmed as a ‘Primary Collector’ (previously
known as a Regional Connector under the former state highway classification criteria). The
‘Regional Route’ classification reflects the following key functions:
SH35 Urban Centre
The classification of State Highway 35 has been confirmed as a ‘Regional Route’ (previously
known as a Regional Strategic Route under the former state highway classification criteria).
The ‘Regional Route’ classification reflects the following key functions:
Regional Route Classification
Criteria
Function of SH2 Gisborne to Napier
The route carries more than 300
heavy vehicles per day
At site ID00200428
Typical heavy vehicle flows of 12% i.e.
270vpd
The annual average daily traffic flow
exceeds 3,000 vehicles (although
only on parts of the route)
At site ID00200428
Flow is only in the order of AADT 2,410
The route connects population
centres of more than 10,000 people
Gisborne (population 34,800)
Regional Route Classification
Criteria
Function of SH2 Gisborne to Napier
The route carries more than 150
heavy vehicles per day
At site ID00200390
Typical heavy vehicle flows of 21% i.e.
192vpd
The annual average daily traffic flow
exceeds 1,000 vehicles (although
only on parts of the route).
At site ID00200390
Flow is only in the order of AADT 903
The route connects population
centres of more than 2,000 people
Route connects:
Napier/Hastings (population 125,300)
Tauranga (population 123,500)
Regional Route Classification
Criteria
Function of SH2 Gisborne to Napier
The route carries more than 400
heavy vehicles per day
At site ID00200327
Typical heavy vehicle flows of 4.5% i.e. 785
per day
The annual average daily traffic flow
exceeds 10,000 vehicles (although
only on parts of the route)
Flow in the order of 17,446 over Gladstone
Bridge
The route connects population
centres of more than 30,000 people
N/A
Page | 18
4.2.2 The Nature And Scope Of The Primary Organisation: Wider strategies, organisations
strategic objectives
NZTA’s organisational objectives:
National Strategic Objects to deliver a land transport network that encourages economic
growth and productivity, obtaining value for money and improving road safety.
The NZ Transport Agency is responsible for giving effect to the Government Policy Statement
(GPS 2012), which sets out the Government’s strategic direction for investment in the land
transport network. The GPS places particular importance on investment in the State Highway
Network, in recognition of its importance to the efficient movement of people and freight.
Maintaining the appropriate levels of service on the network, based on the State Highway
classification, is an important part of the investment in State Highways, as are activities that
enhance transport efficiency and lower the cost of transportation on the network.
Land Transport Management Act 2003 (LTMA)
The LTMA requires the NZ Transport Agency to assess all potential projects against the GPS,
the relevant Regional Land Transport Strategy and Connecting New Zealand’s three key areas
of focus across the transport system:
economic growth and productivity
value for money
road safety.
Chapter 3 of this Strategic Case has considered the identified problems agreed by
stakeholders against the available evidence base. In order to size the consequences of these
problems, it is important to consider the strategic context to help outline whether future
investment in SH3 could play in contributing towards economic growth and productivity and
road safety.
National Strategic Cases
The Transport Agency has developed national strategic cases for Safety (Roads & Roadsides),
HPMVs and Maintenance & Operations Collaboration. A strategic case for Resilience is
currently under development.
A review of these national strategic cases and their programme business cases identifies:
Safety (Roads & Roadsides): NZTA, a National Programme Business Case: Safer Journeys –
Delivering Safer Roads and Roadside Implementation
‘This National Programme Business Case is based on a strategy of reducing the number of
New Zealanders that are killed and seriously injured on our roads annually to minimise
the social harm and economic impact of road crashes, by delivering against the NZ
Transport Agency’s commitments to Safer Roads and Roadsides as a partner to the Safer
Journeys Strategy 2010 – 2020. The scope of the National Programme Business Case
includes high risk state highway intersections and high and high-medium collective risk
state highway corridors not otherwise addressed by major projects.’
HPMV
SH35 Gisborne to Tologa Bay included in Tranche 1 HPMV Investment routes (2012-15)
SH35 North Tologa Bay included in Tranche 2 HPMV Investment routes (2012-15)
SH2 Gisborne to Napier in Tranche 2 HPMV Investment routes (2015-18)
Page | 19
Resilience
The Resilience Programme Business Case is under development along with the evolving
understanding of the social cost of resilience. To that effect the Gisborne region is currently
ranked mid-range which is significant in this context.
It is anticipated that the outcome from future investment will be an inter and intra-regional
transport network that is more resilient to both High Impact Low Probability and Low Impact
High Probability natural hazard events. This means Gisborne will be better able to traverse the
transport network after a large natural hazard event and will be less susceptible to the smaller
events that occur more regularly on the transport network.
The National Transport Planning Overview has given the Gisborne Region an overall resilience
rating for SH2 South to Wairoa as a Medium.
Gisborne District Council’s Role In The Local Road Network
Council’s Land Transport Business Unit is responsible for managing the Land Transport and
Parking Activity. This includes all elements of transportation planning, road maintenance and
operation, parking provision and walking and cycling provision. In addition, and by virtue of
being a Unitary Authority, activities such as regional land transport planning including
passenger transport, mobility assistance for the disabled and road safety co-ordination are
undertaken.
Tairāwhiti Roads
Tairāwhiti Roads is responsible for maintenance and operations of both the State Highway and
Local Roads.
The Government’s Road Efficiency Group has recently introduced standard levels of service
that will be applied to the road networks across New Zealand. Tairāwhiti Roads Maintenance
Contracts will incorporate these new levels of service which will see a consistent approach to
maintenance and funding applied across New Zealand.
There are six key outcomes being targeted for the Roading Asset, these are as per the One
Network Road Classification guidance and are as follows:
1. Efficiency – The new performance based Tairāwhiti Roads Maintenance Contracts are
expected to deliver improved value for money given the collaboration with the
Transport Agency.
2. Safety – Safety remains a key focus across the roading network and we will be
continuing to target a reduction in the number of serious and fatal accidents within
the region.
3. Resilience – Improving the availability of the network during weather events will
continue where funding is justified. Management of emergency events and incidents
will ensure roads are open as much as possible.
4. Amenity – Travel comfort and aesthetics will be managed to match the surrounding
environment.
5. Travel Time Reliability – Management of network in terms of changing demand will
ensure road users can get to their destination in a predictable time.
6. Accessibility – Access onto the road network will be managed to ensure economic
development is encouraged.
The Council Land Transport Activity Management Plan 2015-2025 will provide
evidence to support the local roads component for the strategic business case.
Individual activities or improvements will still require specific business cases and will
be submitted as part of the 2015-2018 Regional Land Transport Programme.
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4.3 Organisational Outcomes, Impacts and Objectives
All organisations are aligned with the general strategy to ensure the transport network is
amenable, safe, contributes to, and can respond to, economic growth and is more resilient to
enabling economic growth.
4.4 Alignment to Existing Strategies/Organisational Goals
The proposed direction for the business case contributes to, and is consistent with, the
following strategies:
Long Term Plan Identifies priorities for the next ten years to deliver on clear
goals that have been agreed between the Council and
Community.
Regional Land
Transport Strategy
Sets out how Gisborne plans to achieve a transport system
suited to the region.
Urban
Development
Strategy
Strategy addresses the redevelopment directions for the city
and aims to improve connectivity through the city by
developing land use regulation and policy.
4.5 Miss-alignment to Existing Strategies/Organisational Goals
The Gisborne Urban Development Strategy proposes that trucks be encouraged away from
Ormond Road which currently operates as a freight route through Gisborne City. This option
has been elevated to the Regional Transport Committee without any clear resolution.
Gisborne District Council intends to continue to investigate the proposal as part of the Long
Term Plan process.
5 Anticipated Strategic Fit & Effectiveness
Outline the Strategic Assessment and Effectiveness in accordance with the requirements of the
Investment and Revenue Strategy.
5.1 Assessment Profile Assessment ‘H’, ‘M’, ‘_’ Priority 4
When assessed against the 2015 Investment Assessment Framework the initial profile is
considered to be ‘H’, ‘M’, ‘_’.
Strategic Fit: Assessed as “H”, reflecting the key journeys that focus on moving freight more
efficiently to the Eastland Port Gates, as well as addressing high profiled safety sites.
Requirements for High Rating are identified in bold below:
A road improvement activity must only be given a high strategic fit rating if the problem, issue
or opportunity involves:
Journeys for:
o Employment:
o Access to economic opportunities:
o Tourism and/or
o Freight
Has a significant gap in the customer levels of service for:
o Journey time reliability
o Resilience
o Mismatched capacity and demand that results in severe congestion and/or
o Mismatched capacity and demand that results in capacity constraints
And/or
o A high crash risk
Page | 21
Evidenced with High risk rural intersections on the key journey and within the area of
influence.
Considering the integrated nature of any response (at a regional network level) the
effectiveness profile should be ‘M’. The development of the PBC, IBC and DBC will ultimately
refine this assessment.
Effectiveness: Assessed as “M”
Effectiveness assesses how well the proposed activity will deliver the desired results, while
considering integration, whether the solution has been correctly scoped, is affordable, timely
and manages risk.
Outcomes Focused: Will be effective against the strategic fit, LOS (safety) expected on the key
journey to the Eastland Port and intra-regional freight movement. Fully aligned with Regional
Strategy.
Integrated: Fully integrated with the strategic development plans for the region: It is expected
that the development of the Regions Programme Business Case will enforce this attribute.
Scope: Robust ‘Options and Alternatives’ workshop are to secure the long term vision and the
staging to get there.
Affordable: Will be inherent in the staged delivery.
Timing: Programming of the package of work is to be confirmed.
Confidence: Programme outcome to be fully tested during the Scoping, IBC and DBC phases.
Efficiency
The assessment is un-ranked until the PBC has been finished.
Page | 22
APPENDIX 1 - Investment Logic Map
Page | 23
APPENDIX 2 – Benefits Map
Page | 25
Appendix 3: Background Information
5.2 Background Story
Applications for Regional funds have, historically, been applied for and assessed in a
piecemeal fashion. This has led to funding approvals and excellent gains in some areas,
but the outcomes have been delivered without a cohesive strategy that we can, as a
region, refer back to. We now intend strategic thinking to be embedded in what we do
with a clear understanding of how each project contributes to the overall objective.
This Business Case is intended to be used by Gisborne’s Road Controlling Authorities as
support to projects/activities in the RLTP 2015+.
One of the Key aims of the Gisborne Regional Land Transport Strategy 2012-42 is to
develop: “A resilient and highly efficient transport system that supports and contributes
to the development of our regional economy.” This strategy will now be incorporated into
the Regional Land Transport Plan 2015/25. It is expected that this will be completed by
June 2016 by Gisborne District Council.
The short term strategy aims to focus on the key individual elements of the network
which enable more efficient movement of freight to Eastland Port and the connecting
regions. In line with this aim, the 2012-15 Regional Land Transport Programme is
directing funds to enable HPMV routes, walking and cycling projects, resilience and
environmental outcomes. The Government accelerated programme delivered some
passing opportunities between Gisborne and Tolaga by in 2014/15.
Gisborne region has a significant sum of regional dollars that have to be committed by
2018. The region intends to deliver a programme of work that will be aligned with this
strategy enabling the region to demonstrate it is investing in the right programme and
reaping the greatest economic return for every dollar invested.
Benefits can be measured and success of the programme evaluated. This will allow future
funding applications to be made with confidence and with support from the investor
permitting the network to develop smoothly and sustainable expectations to industry are
made.
To ensure investment is balanced and suited to the needs of our customers across the
activity classes, the region has split its network into four corridors and the associated
local (feeder) network. Each corridor has a slightly different need which the programme is
tailored to meet.
The Regions Roading Vision of the Future: The 2015/18 Regional Land Transport
Programme will be focused on specific needs for each of the four corridors and close the
gap between the level of service we have, and what is needed, for our customers, based
on One Network Road Classification.
5.3 Central Freight Story (Freight Stakeholders)
The Central Freight Story identified the major issues in each region for Gisborne.
Heavy trucks are already 20-30 percent of total traffic on SH35 and forests off
this route produce 50 percent of the logs exported through Gisborne. This route
is subject to resilience issues.
The ability for Eastland Port’s growth plans to cope with the peak log harvest.
Reverse sensitivity issues on the city fringe will increase with the number of
trucks.
Page | 26
An increase in trucks on SH2 conveying horticulture south to processing plants in
Hawke’s Bay and wine north to Tauranga and Auckland for export or sale.
Neither of these routes have a reasonable alternative for heavy commercial
vehicles if the State Highway is closed.
The Central Freight Story was developed through stakeholder engagement meetings and
information from strategic documents such as the National Freight Demand Study
developed by the Ministry of Transport.
The story identifies:
current and future key freight generators,
how and where freight currently moves around the region,
Current and future issues that are, or might, impact the ability to move freight
efficiently and safely within the region.
It was developed to help deliver:
the strategic direction;
improve freight supply chain efficiency;
moving more freight on fewer trucks;
to integrate national and local transport networks; and
to support strategic connections and travel choice.
Forestry supply chain
Page | 27
Meat supply chain
Key freight nodes
The Central Freight Story was presented to the Regional Transport Committee on the 4th
September 2014 by the Planning and Investment team.
5.4 Evidence Supporting the ‘Status’ of the Evidence
Problem One: Conflict between active modes and trucks 15%
Problem Four: Part of the network is not able to sustain the current or projected
volume of freight to the Port, which is further degrading the quality of the network
infrastructure 10%
A report to the Regional Transport Committee EW12/241 – Gisborne City –Forestry Heavy
Freight routes was initiated on the basis of determining the effect of significant increases
in haulage traffic predicted in the ensuing 8-10 year period.
Logging volumes have been increasing throughout Gisborne in recent years and Council
was eager to quantify and understand the likely impact of further additional freight
growth in order to ensure the implications are effectively managed.
A traffic model of the Gisborne Network was constructed and validated to existing
observed traffic behaviour to ensure model accuracy. This provided the ‘base’ from which
to test other scenarios. For testing of the likely future impact of increased forestry activity
Page | 28
and associated logging haulage, understanding the probable level of demand was critical.
Such information is difficult to ascertain accurately due to variability in the nature of the
business and demand led production. Therefore, future logging traffic was calculated as a
function of heavy commercial vehicles (HCVs) on the 2012 network during the traffic
survey periods, being proportional to the annual volume of logging haulage moved (using
Ministry of Agriculture & Forestry projections and Eastland Port statistics).
The uplift in volumes for future design years were subsequently calculated and applied as
factored increases to HCVs using the network, whilst all other traffic was increased in
accordance with standard New Zealand Transport Agency (NZTA) methodologies. The
results show that the entrance to the Port will have the largest delay to heavy vehicles on
the Gisborne network.
The study concludes the following recommendation:
Investigate operational improvements at Esplanade intersections with SH35 and
Hirini Street intersection with SH35 (5-10 Years).
Investigate the Gladstone Road/SH35 intersection and determine the options for
managing the operational issues (5-10 Years).
Gisborne District Councils Walking and Cycling Strategy (draft) will be released for public
consultation as part of the Long Term Plan. The review report recommends:
Prioritising a comprehensive active transport network for Gisborne city:
Focusing on active transport routes to get people to school and work safely with
recreation and tourism routes being secondary.
The proposed plan for staging groups of activities over the next 30 years is as follows:
A 6 year plan (two Long Term Plan cycles) that sees the completion of existing
projects: the Wainui to city bridge protected route (including connections to schools
and key facilities); the Taruheru River protected route providing base connections
near to local high schools; and upgrade of the ‘Cone’ walking track in Ruatoria;
A 12 year plan that includes: connecting the whole loop route around the City (Lytton
to Awapuni); Gladstone Road cycleway and shared space; Stanley Road school to
Page | 29
beach route; the Alfred Cox to Elgin commuter route; and safety improvements at the
school in Tokomaru Bay;
An 18 year plan that includes: extending the beachfront route past Midway to Te Kuri
a Paoa Young Nick’s Head; State Highway safety improvements; and the Rere Falls
Link;
A 30 year plan that includes: extending the protected network along key routes such
as Childers Road and Ormond Road; key recreational routes and connections to
cycling parks and the remaining actions.
The report provides ball-park estimates for costs of each period. Officers estimate costs of $1.5m
- $2m per annum.
Active transport routes already in the Ten Year Plan 2012-22 are a given and remain a priority as
consultation on these has already been completed and they have been identified as priorities
previously.
Problem Two: Narrow seal, lack of passing opportunities and tight alignment
contribute to higher than normal incidents in rural areas of death and serious injury
from loss of control - 40%
Like nearly all rural provinces rural speed zone crashes involving a driver losing control
and/or head-on crashes feature highly in the local share of serious trauma, 55.2 percent,
due in part to use. As a topic the involvement of alcohol and speed feature as factors in
these crashes.
Fig A and B refer to 2013 Statistical Summary of Territorial Authorities in New Zealand
Gisborne District (Local roads only) fatal and serious crash accidents.
Page | 30
Fig A: Fatal and Serious crashes by factor –Local Roads
Fig B: Local Road share of crashes compared against national share
Problem Three: The regions driver demographic are risk takers in their driving and
with the maintenance of their vehicles, which contributes to a higher than normal
regional accident rate - 5%
Alcohol and/or drugs, speed and rural speed zone loss of control are Safer Journeys areas
of concern showing a high concern regarding the level of personal risk to road users in
the region.
Page | 31
Gisborne region accounts for 2.5 percent of the national serious trauma from crashes
involving excess alcohol and/or drugs. The region accounts for 1.8 percent of the
national serious trauma from crashes involving speed too fast for conditions.
Regionally alcohol accounts for over half, 53.1 percent, of the serious trauma and speed
for over a third, 35.2 percent.
Accidents involving alcohol and/or drugs will be managed by the NZ Police and the
Gisborne Road Safety Coordinator who will use an integrated approach between
enforcement and education.
Problem five: The network is susceptible to road closure and weather degradation
leading to poor road condition, excessive wear and tear on vehicles and resultant
economic loss’ - 10%
This Route Security Study (RSS) has been requested by NZTA Napier in the light of the
recent large slips that occurred on State Highway 2 in the Waioeka Gorge on 2/3 March
2012 resulting in a full closure of the State Highway for 27 days. This closure had a
significant impact on all road users (approximately 1,400 vehicles daily) including many
industry groups and businesses dependent on this primary route between the East Coast
and the Bay of Plenty. During the closure period Opus completed a review of the rough
order economic cost of the Waioweka Gorge closure on the Gisborne region. This
economic assessment was not comprehensive, but provided an indication of the daily cost
associated with the closure, with the outcome of up to $150,000 per day or more. This
needs to be thoroughly tested in the Programme Business Case.
Route Security: Resilience around Lost Business confidence?
SH2 is the State Highway which connects the Gisborne Region to the South and North.
SH35 also connects to the Bay of Plenty and functions primarily as a freight route from
forest to the Eastland Port and as the primary connection for the East Cape communities.
There are no other viable alternative routes that could sustain industry or communities.
Comparison between SH2 & SH35 and the National picture
Closure data for SH2 & 35, averaged over the most recent 5-year period available, was
compared alongside research work undertaken by the Transport Agency for closure data
for the national State Highway Network during 2001-2014. The Programme Business Case
will have to address the quality of information entered and/or omitted from TREIS. Key
findings from this comparison are summarised in the table below.
Page | 32
Table 1: Comparison of SH2 & SH35 To The Regional And National Picture
SH2 to the
South
(4 year
average
2010–2014)
SH35 to the
North
(4 year
average
2010–2014)
SH2 to the
West
(4 year
average
2010–2014)
NZ National
State Highway
Network
(5 year
average 2010-
2014)
Average no. closure
incidents per year 2.25 3.25 4.25 370
Average Closures per km of
State Highway 0.056 0.016 0.052 0.03
% Traffic incidents / %
closure time 33% / 23% 46% / 13% 59% / 37% 46% / 8%
% Environmental incidents /
% closure time 67% / 77%
54% / 87% 41% / 63% 54% / 92%
Average length of closure
per incident 4 hrs 5 mins 11 hrs 6 mins
5 hrs 23
mins 8 hrs 2 mins
Approximate annual social
costs associated with
closures (based on an
estimate of $20,000[1]
per
hour closure)
$183,500 $721,167 $457,917 $59.7M
The following key observations are noted from this comparison:
SH35 to the North: Environmental incidents have the greatest impact on our
customers, the average length of closure being higher than the national average.
SH2 to the West has higher than national average number of traffic incidences
and associated % closure time.
Conclusion: Issues around traffic incidences on SH2 should be looked at as well as the
impact of the environment on the operation of SH35.
[1]
The frequency, duration and cost of road closures on New Zealand Roads – Bevan Percival – Opus