session 4 youth unemployment wb presentation
TRANSCRIPT
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Development and the Next Generation
Meeting the Challenge of Youth Employment
Messages from World Development Report 2007Emmanuel Jimenez, Staff Director, WDR07
And Director, Human Development, East Asia and Pacific
www.worldbank.org/wdr2007
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I. Why youth?
A higher base on which to build human capital to grow and reduce poverty even more
A large youth cohort is a potential demographic dividend
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Demographic Windows of Opportunity
19501960
19701980
19902000
20102020
20302040
2050
India
Egypt
Window closes >10 years
Tunisia
China
Window will close < 10 years
Germany
Japan
Window closed
Similar countries: Timor Leste, Lao PDR, Afganistan, Yemen, and most of Sub-Sahara African countries
Similar countries: Thailand,
Kazakhstan, Iran, Chile,Russia Federation,
Sri Lanka
Similar countries: Ireland, Italy, France, Czech Rep.
and 25 othercountries
Similar countries: Algeria,Lebanon,Colombia,Nicaragua,Indonesia, Philippines, Vietnam
Year window opens
Year window closes
Window remains open beyond 2050
South Africa South AfricaNamibia
Uganda
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II. Why Youth Employment?
Motivation
Structure/Framework of the Report 5 Transitions 3 Policy Lenses
Applying Framework: Policy Message
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Human capital during 5 youth transitions key for poverty reduction and growth
12
100 % of Cohort
Age24
Learning in school after primary-age Working
Forming families
Participating in civic lifeTaking health risks
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III. Youth Lens on Policy: 3 types of questions asked of each transition
Opportunities Capability Second-chances
Policies affecting human capital formation during Youth transitions:
-- Economy widepolicies and insts: macro stability,invest. climate, governance, labor market regulations-- Education-- Training-- Health services -- Welfare & familyservices -- Infrastructure
Youth ‘Lenses’
“Youth friendly”policies
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Countries need to facilitate entry to work
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Broadening Labor Market Opportunities
Apply youth lens to policies to improve the investment climate: Access to world trade good for many youth Reforming institutions that hinder the demand for youth labor
Removing disincentives to hire inexperienced workers Closing the gap between public and private sector pay Helping youth entrepreneurs access the capital market
Facilitating mobility
Source: WDR 2007
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Across Borders: Migration broadens opportunity for youth
Facilitate movement Reduce remit costs Info campaigns to reduce risks Improve invest climate at home
Migrants are concentrated among youth.
(Figures: Migrants to South Africa and Migrants to United States)
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Most young people wish to migrate temporarily
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Outline Motivation Structure/Framework of the Report Applying Framework: Examples
Opportunity: Countries HAVE policies to expand employment, but it’s important to assess their impact on youth
Capability Second-chances
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3 types of questions asked of each transition: a ‘youth lens’ on policy
Opportunities Capability Second-chances
Policies affecting human capital formation during Youth transitions:
-- Economy widepolicies and insts: macro stability,invest. climate, governance, labor market regulations-- Education-- Training-- Health services -- Welfare & familyservices -- Infrastructure
Youth ‘Lenses’
“Youth friendly”policies
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Capability: Improve educational quality and relevance
Inadequate preparation for adolescence Improve access to secondary; quality of basic
Relevance of education for jobs Curriculum reform, Flexibility in educ systems
Learning achievement may be low
Figure 3. PISA 2003 Mathematics Test Scores
200
300
400
500
600
Poorest quintile students Richest quintile students Average
Source: WDR 2007
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Capability Beyond School: Skills and Entrepreneurship
Skills development to meet the demands of the labor market: Formal Apprenticeship:
• German “Dual System”
• Australia new apprenticeship combines practical work and structured training
Training by employers• 60% of firms in EAP provide training
Entrepreneurship:• Networking with private sector and mentoring (examples:
Endeavor in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Mexico)
• Finance and technical assistance to entrepreneurs (example: Chile seed capital program led by CORFO)
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Capable decision-making: % of youth who think they have the most influence on human capital decisions
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Relieving the Information Constraint: Education in the Dominican Republic
Measured = Actual earnings based on worker surveys
Perceived = Earnings perceived by 8th grade boys if they finish prim or sec
Perceived returns < measured returns
Information campaigns in AND outside schools
Source: Jensen (2006)
3180
4479
3105 3246
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Finish Prim Finish Sec
Wee
kly
DR P
esos
Measured Perceived
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Incentives also matter.
Conditional cash transfers: Mexico’s Oportunidades:
• .2 more years of schooling at 13-15• reduced child morbidity and mortality
Bangladesh’s Female Secondary Stipend Program
Cambodia’s secondary scholarship program for girls
Higher wages
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Outline Motivation Structure/Framework of the Report Applying Framework to SSA: Examples
Opportunity Capability: Countries have education
programs but quality and relevance have to improve; and information and incentives given to youth
Second-chances
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3 types of questions asked of each transition: a ‘youth lens’ on policy
Opportunities CapabilitySecond-Chances
Policies affecting human capital formation during Youth transitions:
-- Economy widepolicies and insts: macro stability,invest. climate, governance, labor market regulations-- Education-- Training-- Health services -- Welfare & familyservices -- Infrastructure
Youth ‘Lenses’
“Youth friendly”policies
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Who needs Second-chances?
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Never enrolled Dropout between grades 1 and 5
Dropout between grade 5 and 9 Finished grade 9 without basic skills
Finished grade 9 with basic skills
Composition of educational attainment level among youth (15-19)
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Second-chances: Programs are more sustainable if …
They are designed to attract young people (e.g., age-specific education, such as 1/2 of Malawian 19 yr-olds are in primary school; use peer educators)
They help youth reenter the mainstream (e.g., graduate equivalency programs)
Malawi 2000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
15
16
17
18
19
Age
Enrolled at primary/secondary level
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Second-chance employment programs: Success factors
Provide work experience -- e.g., Senegal’s AGETIP builds infrastructure contractors agree to labor-intensive tech. use inexperienced but trained youth 35,000 person-yrs of employ in 7 yrs
Provide relevant skills: Joven programs combine tech and life skills training In Chile, employment increased by 21 percentage points
among participants In Argentina, employment increased 10 percentage points
and wages increased 10 percent Employers surveyed by Entra 21 valued the combination of
life skills and technical skills.
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Outline Motivation Structure/Framework of the Report Applying Framework to SSA: Examples
Opportunity Capability Second-chances: Prevention; lens Help
young people recover from poor outcomes