sector outlook: u.s. public power and electric cooperative ...€¦ · sector outlook: u.s. public...

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Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew Reilly, CFA Director January 25, 2016

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Page 1: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector

Dennis Pidherny

Managing Director

Matthew Reilly, CFA

Director

January 25, 2016

Page 2: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

2/10/2016

2

www.fitchratings.com

2016 Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector

Page 3: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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www.fitchratings.com

Sector Outlook: Key Sector Characteristics

• Autonomous ratemaking authority

• Essentiality of electric utility service

• Mandate to serve defined area, with near monopolistic characteristics

• High concentration of residential and small commercial customers

• Relative capital cost advantage over investor-owned utilities

• Customers/ratepayers are the ultimate “stakeholders”

Page 4: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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www.fitchratings.com

Sector Outlook: Key Issues

Carbon Compliance Challenges Ahead

Page 5: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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www.fitchratings.com

Sector Outlook: Key Issues

Rate Pressures Stabilize

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

AA A BBB/BB

Debt Service CoverageIndicates the margin available to meet current debt service requirements.

Source: Fitch Ratings.

(x)

Page 6: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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www.fitchratings.com

Sector Outlook: Key Issues

Lower Fuel Cost and Interest Rates Broadly Positive

Page 7: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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www.fitchratings.com

Sector Outlook: Key Issues

Improving Economics of Renewable Energy

Page 8: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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www.fitchratings.com

Fitch Ratings Public Power Team

• Dennis Pidherny, Sector Head

+1 212 908-0738

[email protected]

• Christopher Hessenthaler

+1 212 908-0773

[email protected]

• Kathy Masterson

+1 512 215-3730

[email protected]

• Matthew Reilly

+1 415 732-7572

[email protected]

• Lina Santoro

+1 212 908-0522

[email protected]

• Alan Spen

+1 212 908-0594

[email protected]

Page 9: Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative ...€¦ · Sector Outlook: U.S. Public Power and Electric Cooperative Sector Dennis Pidherny Managing Director Matthew

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