sdbk’swedbank’s second t 2010 ltd quarter 2010 …i/@sbg/@gs/@ir/...sdbk’swedbank’s second t...
TRANSCRIPT
S db k’ d t 2010 ltSwedbank’s second quarter 2010 results22 July 2010
Michael Wolf, CEOErkki Raasuke, CFOGö B CROGöran Bronner, CRO
Continued progressp g
• Net profit of SEK 1.6bn
• Improved credit quality
• Term funding YTD higher than full year maturitiesTerm funding YTD higher than full year maturities
• Strengthened capitalisation to 12.7 per cent Core Tier 1 l t b b k Ti 2 b dapproval to buy back Tier 2 bonds
2
Business achievements – highlights g g
• Higher mortgage new sales market shares in Sweden
• Increased corporate activity
• Continued strong deposit trendContinued strong deposit trend
• Retail’s tailored service concept well received
• Deleveraging in the Baltic countries levelling off
3
Result by business area
Q2 performanceSEKm Profit before impairments
RetailSolid credit quality, higher customer activity 1 000
2 000
SEKm
Q1 10
Q2 10
Large Corporates & InstitutionsGood credit quality, repricing continues, slower trading -1 000
0
Baltic BankingImproving asset quality, stabilised NII, Estonia back to profit
-2 000Retail Large
Corporates & Institutions
Baltic Banking
Russia & Ukraine
Asset Management
Ektornet
back to profit
Russia & UkraineStabilising credit quality, continued restructuring i R i
Institutions
2 000
SEKmOperating result
Q1 10
in Russia
Asset ManagementStable earnings
0
1 000Q2 10
g
EktornetRepossessed properties valued at SEK 1 010m, intake slower than the plan
-2 000
-1 000
Retail Large Baltic Russia & Asset Ektornet
4
intake slower than the plan Retail Large Corporates &
Institutions
Baltic Banking
Russia & Ukraine
Asset Management
Ektornet
Pressure decreasingNet interest income
g
5 000
SEKm
4 0233 79962 89
4 000
4 500Retail LCI Baltic Banking Russia
& UkraineGroup Treasury
and Other
-34 4162 -89
-204
3 000
3 500
2 500
3 000
1 500
2 000
500
1 000
NII Q1 10
5
0NII Q1 10 NII Q2 10
Commissions back to pre-crisis levelsNet commission income
Paymentprocessing
Asset management
SEKm
Net commission income by source Q2p
• Positive trend from Q1 2009
Brokerage
Lending & guarantee
Payment processing
• Market leader in cards and payments
• Growth driven by Asset Management
0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200
Other
Corporate finance
SEKNet commission income*
2 500
3 000
SEKm
Retail
SEKmNet commission income by
business area Q2
1 500
2 000
BB
LCI
0
500
1 000
R&U
AM
0Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10
6
0 500 1 000 1 500
* Excl non-recurring items
Larger gains supported by valuation effectsNet gains/losses on financial items, fair value
• Lower trading results in Fixed Income
g g pp y
• Funding related valuation effects in Group Treasury
SEKm Q2 10 Q1 10 Q2 09
Retail 40 32 29
L C t & I tit ti 309 441 900Large Corporates & Institutions 309 441 900
Baltic Banking 89* 72 237
Russia & Ukraine 23 27 13
Group Treasury and Other 348 75 -469
Swedbank Group 809 647 710
* Excluding capital gain of SEK 13m, (MasterCard )
7
Term funding ahead of planLiquidity & Capital management
g p• YTD, SEK 150bn in term funding of
which around SEK 50bn during the d t 456Total long-
Outstanding wholesale funding (nom SEKbn )
second quarter
• SEK 60bn in remaining term funding maturities to roll or replace in 2010
397459
173
456
Total long-
Total long-term, non-guaranteed
maturities to roll or replace in 2010
• YTD around SEK 95bn of central bank repos and guaranteed funding has been
180
108
174
89Central bank
term, guaranteed*
redeemed
• Average maturity of wholesale funding further extended to 25 months
116
87
108
112Total short-term, non-
repos
further extended to 25 months (38 months for covered bonds)
61
97
280Total short-
term, guaranteed***
guaranteed**
Q2 2010
* Issued with more than 12 months maturity, government fee of 83bp** Including interbank deposits*** Issued with less than 12 months maturity government fee of 50bp
61guaranteed*** Q1 2010Q4 2009
8
*** Issued with less than 12 months maturity, government fee of 50bp
Second quarter 2010 results
Income statementSEKm Q2 2010 Q1 2010 ChangeNet interest income 3 799 4 023 -224
Net commission income 2 395 2 282 113Net commission income 2 395 2 282 113
Net gains/losses on financial items, fair value 809 647 162
Other income 753 715 68
Non recurring items 16 0 16
Total income 7 772 7 667 105Staff costs 2 282 2 296 -14
Variable staff costs 141 79 62
Other expenses 2 000 2 016 -16
Total expenses 4 423 4 391 32Profit before impairments 3 349 3 276 73
I i t f i t ibl t 0 14 14Impairment of intangible assets 0 14 -14
Impairment of tangible assets 128 36 92
Credit impairments 963 2 210 -1 247
Operating profit 2 258 1 016 1 242Operating profit 2 258 1 016 1 242Tax expense 672 469 203
Result for the period 1 586 547 1 039
Profit for the period attributable to: Shareholders of Swedbank AB 1 567 536 1 031
9
Profit for the period attributable to: Shareholders of Swedbank AB 1 567 536 1 031
Q2 developmentAsset quality
p
• No impact of European sovereign debt crises
• Further stabilisation/improvement in the Baltic countries
• Continued improved risk profiles on both the assetContinued improved risk profiles on both the asset and liability side
S db k’ ili tl i d• Swedbank’s resilience vastly improved– ICAAP
I t l t t t– Internal stress tests– Stress test of the Committee of European Banking Supervisors
10
Volumes – signs of stabilisationAsset quality
g
• Sweden – same pattern with better corporate demand
• CEE exposure not a restriction
SEKbn
959 952 955
800
900
1 000
SEKbn
PrivateCorporate
555 559 566
500
600
700
290%
404 393 389 9784 79
251188 173 163
99200
300
400 210%of equity 194% 179% 109%290%
154 104 94 86 52
84 79 774799
0
100
Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q4 08 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q2 10
S d CEE l E t i
11
Sweden CEE excl Estonia
Note: CEE lending as % of equity calculated as net lending to the public divided by balance sheet equity
Impaired loans – small increaseAsset quality
p
• Up SEK 2.4bn in Q2
Impaired loans asImpaired loans as% of gross lending
Ukraine 64%4 362 196 2 39135 770
40 132 40 32842 719
40 000
45 000
SEKm
9 789
Russia 21%
Lithuania 18%9 736
6 113
4 362
29 657
35 770
25 000
30 000
35 000
7 6882 557
Latvia 27%
9 73619 921
15 000
20 000
25 000
13 916
Estonia 8.5%
LCI 0.3%Retail 0.2%0
5 000
10 000
1 8631 167
5 739
12
0Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q2 10
Asset quality
Credit impairments significantly reduced• Sweden very low levels
S ll i i R i d
p g y
8 000
SEKm
• Small recoveries in Russia and Ukraine
• Baltic countries
6 672
6 1216 000
7 000
• Baltic countries – Few new problems– Property prices stabilising/increasing
5 003
4 000
5 000
– Insolvency and debt restructuring laws2 210
2 000
3 000
963
0
1 000
2 000
-1 000
0
Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10
13
Retail LCI Baltic Banking Russia & Ukraine Other
ProvisionsAsset quality
• Stability in portfolio provisions
Provision ratios Q2 1065 9% 63.5%30 000SEKm
Provision ratios Q2 10
Retail 88%
Large Corporates 101%
B lti B ki 59%6 922
5 135 4 684 4 104
63.3%
62.9%
64.8%65.9% %
20 000
25 000
Baltic Banking 59%
Russia 59%
Ukraine 68%20 882 21 889 23 028
8 914
6 922
15 000
Group 64%
9 864
15 582
20 882 21 889
1 6003 146
3 953 4 5955 000
10 000
6421 600
0Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 10 Q2 10
Individual provisions Portfolio provisions Write-of fs, gross, cum Provision ratio
14
Appendix
16
Balance sheetSwedbank Group SEKm Jun 10 Dec 09 %
Loans to credit institutions 204 327 92 131 122%
Loans to the public 1 239 104 1 290 667 -4%Loans to the public 1 239 104 1 290 667 -4%
Interest-bearing securities 215 569 170 615 26%
Fund shares for which customers bear the investment risk 85 181 78 194 9%
Shares and participating interests 12 716 12 245 4%
Derivatives 89 199 72 969 22%
Other assets 58 492 77 866 -25%
Total assets 1 904 588 1 794 687 6%
Amounts owed to credit institutions 243 947 231 687 5%
Deposits and borrowings from the public 529 048 504 424 5%
Debt securities in issue 710 509 703 258 1%
Financial liabilities for which customers bear the investment risk 85 471 80 132 7%Financial liabilities for which customers bear the investment risk 85 471 80 132 7%
Derivatives 76 950 72 172 7%
Other liabilities and provisions 134 766 75 057 80%
Subordinated liabilities 32 630 37 983 -14%
Equity 91 267 89 974 1%
- Non-controlling interest 260 304 -14%
- Equity attributable to shareholders 91 007 89 670 1%
T t l li biliti d it 1 904 588 1 794 687 6%
17
Total liabilities and equity 1 904 588 1 794 687 6%
Liquidity & FundingLong-term funding g g• SEK 60bn in remaining term
funding maturities to roll or replace in 2010
• Continued focus on covered bonds YTD SEK 129bn issuedbonds, YTD SEK 129bn issued
• YTD issued SEK 21bn in senior unsecured funding SEKbn nom
Swedbank, long-term maturity profile(including Swedbank Mortgage)g
• Average maturity of wholesale funding further extended to 25 months (covered bonds 38
80
100
SEKbn, nom
25 months (covered bonds, 38 months)
40
60
0
20
0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5-
1818
Q3
1
Q4
1
Q1
1
Q2
1
Q3
1
Q4
1
Q1
1
Q2
1
Q3
1
Q4
1
Q1
1
Q2
1
Q3
1
Q4
1
Q1
1
Q2
1
Q3
1
Q4
1
201 5
Liquidity & Funding
Funding under the Swedish guarantee programmeg g p g
• Swedbank exited guarantee programme as per 30 April 2010
(total outstanding as per 30 June, nom SEK 173bn)
Currency distributionprogramme as per 30 April 2010
• Outstanding guaranteed funding decreased during the second quarter
USD 30%
EUR 41%
decreased during the second quarter by SEK 28bn to SEK 173bn
• Strive to buy back longest maturities JPY 2%
CHF 4%
SEK 23%
• Strive to buy back longest maturities of guaranteed funding when liquidity rules are clearer Maturity distribution
JPY 2%
2-3Y 10%
3-4Y 15%
1-2Y 42%
2 3Y 10%
1919
< 12 M 33%
Cover pool and new issuance of covered bonds YTD 2010p• YTD three euro covered bonds in primary
market – Euro MTN CB 3Y ms+39bp
Total pool size SEK 618bnAverage loan size SEK 401 082 – Euro MTN CB 3Y, ms+39bp
EUR 1bn, issued Jan 2010– Euro MTN CB 7Y, ms+57bp
EUR 1bn, issued Mar 2010E MTN CB Y 2b
Number of loans outstanding 1 504 480
Types of loans– Residential mortgages 90.7%
Public 2 4% – Euro MTN CB 5Y, ms+52bpEUR 1bn, issued Jun 2010
• Also continued good demand f d ti d b d i th h
– Public 2.4%– Commercial 0.1%– Forest and Agriculture 6.8%
Fixed /Floating interest loans 1for domestic covered bond issuance through tap system
• Registered CBs
– Fixed 48%– Floating 2 52%Remaining fixing period – Fixed 32%
• Private placements
• YTD SEK 129bn issued in domestic and international markets
– Floating 2 68%
Average LTV 4, 5
– WA LTV on loan level 3 43%WA LTV on property level 57%– WA LTV on property level 57%
Average seasoning 56 monthsNon-performing loans 6 NoneGeographic distribution Sweden 100%
1 Distribution by origination2 Floating interest loans < 365 days 3 LTV: by volume4 Index valuation as of 31 Dec 20085 Maximum LTV: Residential 75%, Commercial 60%, Forest and
20
Dynamic pool Yes Agriculture 70%6 Past due loans > 60 days are not eligible for the cover pool
Swedbank Mortgage, 30 Jun 2010, total loan portfolioSEK 681bnSEK 681bn• 100% lending – Swedish properties
• 90% residential lending90% residential lending
• Average LTV of 45% (loan level) 61% (property level). Cover pool 43% / 57%
• 79% of the total lending book within a loan-to-value ratio below 50%g
Lending distributed by collateral
C ti
80
90SEKbn
Cooparativeapartments
15%
Commercialproperties
0.2%Municipalities
2%Multi -family
50
60
70
Multi -familyhouses
15%
Forest &Agriculture
Si l f il
20
30
40
7%Single-familyhomes60%0
10
>0-1
0%
0-20
%
20-3
0%
30-4
0%
40-5
0%
50-6
0%
60-7
0%
70-8
0%
80-9
0%
>90%
21
> >1 >2 >3 >4 >5 >6 >7 >8
Single-family homes Cooperative apartments Multi-family houses (incl housing coop. ass.)
Foreign exchange positions as of 30 June 2010Earnings capacity
g g p
SEKm EEK LVL LTL UAH RUB
Structural position -34 331 -293 -15 935 68 58Structural position 34 331 293 15 935 68 58
Net assets 17 493 6 315 4 572 1 018 1 184
Equity hedge 0 - 6 315 -4 574 0 0
Goodwill 10 581 0 0 0 0
Total position - 6 257 -293 -15 937 1 086 1 242
22
Repossessed assetsAsset quality
p
2 500
SEKm
2 000
1 000
1 500
500
0Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010
23
Real Estate Residential Real Estate Commercial Passenger & Commercial Transport Shares Other
Real estate prices stabilisedMarket situation
• Slight fluctuations in average priceRiga
p
1 7621 8001 800• Slight fluctuations in average price
influenced by the small transaction volumes
614 900
1 200
1 500
800
900
1 200
1 500
800
f tra
nsac
tions
EU
R/m
2
0
300
600
0
300
600
Q4'06 Q2'07 Q4'07 Q2'08 Q4'08 Q2'09 Q4'09 Q2'10
No
ofE
Tallinn Vilnius*
No of deals Average price
1 7311 611
851 900
1 200
1 500
1 800
900
1 200
1 500
1 800
rans
actio
ns
UR
/m2
1 731
1 040
900
1 200
1 500
1 800
900
1 200
1 500
1 800
rans
actio
ns
UR
/m2
0
300
600
0
300
600
Q4'06 Q2'07 Q4'07 Q2'08 Q4'08 Q2'09 Q4'09 Q2'10
No
of tEU
0
300
600
0
300
600
Q4'06 Q2'07 Q4'07 Q2'08 Q4'08 Q2'09 Q4'09 Q2'10
No
of tr
EU
24
No of deals Average priceNo of deals Average price
* Based on preliminary data for Q2 2010