sarah palin and the incredible birth story

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    Updated: September 5, 2012

    Sarah Palin and the Incredible Birth Story

    By Brad Scharlott, PhD

    Northern Kentucky University

    While living in Washington, DC, in February 2010, the now-deceased British intellectual

    Christopher Hitchens wrote in The Spectator: An astonishing number of well-informed people

    tell me that Sarah Palin is not in fact the mother of baby Trig, but that she is covering up for

    another family member whose child he really is. Then two months later, Bill Maher tweeted his

    nearly one million followers: Tina Fey, 5 months pregnant at 40 not showing and no one knew

    boy, when she does a Sarah Palin impression, she really commits!

    In the first case, it took an Englishman writing in a British newspaper to reveal what many

    knowledgeable Americans say on the sly but never publicly: that Sarah Palin faked the birth of

    Trig, her purported fifth biological child. In the second, we see one of those Americans, the

    iconoclastic humorist Bill Maher, openly making a joke that references the birth hoax rumor, in

    particular the idea that well into her pregnancy Palin did not show. (At seven months, as we

    shall see, not even her staff knew.) And Maher had to assume that a great many of his followers

    were in the know about the hoax rumor, or else the joke would make no sense.

    If so many Americans with whom Hitchens rubbed shoulders presumably Americas

    intellectual elite think Palin faked Trigs birth, then why has the hoax rumor been virtually

    taboo in the nations media the last four years? Its true that Andrew Sullivan, a lone voice among

    nationally prominent bloggers, repeatedly questioned Palins birth story (and was flayed for it);

    but even a popular blog like Sullivans The Dish reaches only a tiny portion of the public.

    The mainstream media blackout has likely been due to various factors, but perhaps the No.

    1 reason is that the hoax rumor seems so crazy on its face its stunning to think Palin, the sitting

    governor of Alaska at the time, would do such a thing. Journalists perhaps have felt they could

    not question her birth story without ironclad proof of a hoax. Which poses an interesting

    epistemological question: How do you prove something did nothappen? Unless someone inside

    such a hoax spills the beans, meeting a standard of proof like beyond a reasonable doubt can be

    exceedingly difficult.

    But not impossible. With enough circumstantial evidence, maybe even he most devious

    hoax can be exposed.

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    The Hoax Rumor Hits the Fan

    On August 29, 2008, the day John McCain named Sarah Palin as his running mate,

    someone named ArcXIX wrote at the Daily Kos blog site: Well, Sarah, I'm calling you a liar.

    And not even a good one. Trig Paxson Van Palin is not your son. He is your grandson. 1 The

    author quoted anAnchorage Daily News article by Welsey Loy from March 6:

    JUNEAU -- Gov. Sarah Palin shocked and awed just about everybody around the

    Capitol on Wednesday when she announced she's expecting her fifth child.

    Palin said she's already about seven months along, with the baby due to arrive

    in mid-May.

    That the pregnancy is so advanced astonished all who heard the news. The

    governor simply doesn't look pregnant. [Italics added]

    Even close members of her staff said they only learned this week their boss

    was expecting.

    Nearly six months later, on August 31, aDaily News columnist wrote:

    OK - the Palin baby speculation is inescapable at this point. The left-leaning Daily

    Kos posted an item Friday a version of a rumor long simmering in Alaska

    that Palin's daughter Bristol was pregnant and the governor somehow covered it

    up by pretending to have the baby (Trig) herself.

    The columnist quoted a Democratic strategist as saying, "Guys, its a loser. Can we not do this?"

    the point being even if the rumor was true, Democrats might hurt themselves by pursuing it.

    In late August, journalists must have heard the rumors and wondered where the truth lay.

    If any of them had read

    the ArcXIX post at the

    Daily Kos site a few

    days earlier, they would

    have seen this AP

    photo, which originally

    appeared on the

    Anchorage Daily News

    1 Questions Raised: Does Sarah Palin Really Have a 5th Child? [Photos + Video] UPDATED, posted by

    ArcXIX at Daily Kos on August 31, 2008. This update of August 31 t includes the post of August 29. [The

    post is no longer online.] In the update the author backed away from the accusation, apparently agreeing

    that Democrats were likely to hurt themselves by pursuing it. Barack Obama himself, in reaction to the

    rumors, asked that reporters leave alone questions relating to the candidates families.

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    on March 14, 2008. On the left is the picture as it appeared on the newspapers web site and also

    in the ArcXIX post. On the right is the same photo lightened.2

    The original makes Palin look

    remarkably trim for a woman in her seventh month. The lightened one, in which details are

    clearer, shows an unbelievably flat stomach for 44-year-old mother of four who supposedly will

    give birth in 35 days to a 6 pound, 2 ounce baby.

    But then, on August 31, a different photo appeared that showed Palin looking quite

    pregnant. Someone who has never been positively identified, but most likely was Dan Carpenter,

    an Anchorage TV cameraman, posted this photo at Flickr:

    The photo shows Palin with a large,

    round belly being interviewed by Andrea

    Gusty of KTVA on April 13, five days before

    the alleged birth. The McCain campaign

    advisors undoubtedly showed this photo to

    reporters as proof that Palin had been

    pregnant. (More on this photo presently.)

    Then the McCain team aimed to put the

    hoax rumor to rest on Sept. 1 with a stunning

    announcement: Sarah Palins teenage daughter Bristol was (they claimed) five months pregnant,

    and she was engaged to marry the father, Levi Johnston.3

    Reporters were left to do the math: if

    Bristol was five months along in early September, then she apparently could not be the mother of

    Trig, who reportedly was born on April 18. Thus, the logic ran, Sarah must be the mother.

    Throwing Bristol under the bus like that to quell the rumors seemed odd and needless since

    supplying Trigs birth certificate could have settled the matter. Moreover, the logic that Bristol

    could not be Trigs mother depended on the unsupported assertion that Trig was born in April.

    Still, the revelation of Bristols pregnancy plus the Gusty-interview photo must have done the

    trick. Eric Boehlert of Media Matters for America would later write that in 2008, 99 percent of

    people in the media did the right thing and ignored the Trig nonsense.4

    But was the rumor of a

    hoax truly nonsense? Hardly.

    2 Since this is a nail-in-the-coffin photo if its legitimate, then Palin must have lied about the pregnancy

    let me note that I personally copied it from the Anchorage Daily News web site and then lightened it. The

    photos authenticity is beyond question.

    3 Samuel Goldsmith and Clemente Lisi, Palin Admits her 17-year-old Daughter Is Pregnant, New York

    Post (Sept. 1, 2008).

    4 Boehlert, Palin's now scolding journalists who didn't write about Trig in 2008? http://alturl.com/c8d3n

    (July 27, 2010), Media Matters for America; also, about two weeks after McCain named Palin as his running

    mate, Boehlert wrote, We haven't seen the name of one reporter who pressured the McCain campaign

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    The Birth Story: Facts that Dont Add Up

    On April 15, 2008, Sarah Palin flew to Texas for a Republican governors conference. Gary

    Wheeler, a 26-year Alaska state trooper veteran, formerly had accompanied Palin, plus several of

    her predecessors, on such trips. At the last minute, without explanation, he was told he would not

    be needed; Sarahs husband, Todd, would take his place.

    In her 2009 bestselling autobiography, Going Rogue, Sarah Palin wrote that shortly after 4

    in the morning of April 17, 2008, in a hotel room in Dallas, she was awakened by a strange

    sensation low in her belly she would later say it leaking amniotic fluid. She claimed she called

    her personal physician, Dr. Cathy Baldwin-Johnson, who allegedly did notinsist that she seek

    medical attention immediately. Rather, Palin stuck to her schedule, which called for her to give

    the keynote midmorning speech at the governors conference.

    Palin claimed that as she gave the speech, she felt labor contractions. Upon finishing, she

    and her husband Todd took off before the conference ended to catch a flight back to Alaska. Todd

    emailed three of Palins top aides and said her speech kicked ass but said nothing about her

    alleged labor nor mentioned that the two of them were returning earlier than expected.5

    As to how Palin was able to board a flight while purportedly on the verge of giving birth,

    a representative of Alaska Air would later tell a reporter, "The stage of her pregnancy was not

    apparent by observation.6

    The flight back to Alaska took more than 10 hours and included a

    layover in Seattle. After arriving in Anchorage, the Palins got in their car and allegedly drove for

    nearly an hour to the Mat-Su Regional Medical Center not far from their Wasilla home. Palin

    reportedly gave birth around 6:30 the next morning.

    Palins office sent out a press release that day announcing the birth of Trig, saying: The

    Palins were thankful that the Governors labor began yesterday while she was in Texas but let

    up enough for her to travel on Alaska Airlines back to Alaska in time to deliver her second

    son.7

    (So far as public accounts show, no Alaska state employee, including her own staff, had

    any idea that Palin was back in the state until after the birth.)

    about Palin's pregnancy, in We wish The National Enquirer editor would stop lecturing journalists,

    http://mediamatters.org/blog/200809110019 (Sept. 11, 2008).

    5 MSNBC Palin Mail Collection, http://crivellawest.net/palin/pdf/1085.pdf (April 17, 2008); the email is

    shown also in the YouTube video The Perfidy of Sarah Palin; Chapter 2. The Wild Ride,

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wZSVMzeR5jU (Sept. 17, 2010).

    6 See Lisa Demer, Palins' child diagnosed with Down syndrome, Anchorage Daily News (April 22, 2008).

    7 Governor Palin has new baby boy Trig Paxon Van Palin, http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-

    news/2071657/post (April 18, 2008).

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    The press release did not mention where the birth took place. But a crew from KTUU-TV,

    alone among local media, showed up at the Mat-Su hospital. (Bill McAllister of KTUU would

    become her press secretary in July.) The hospital did not list Trig among the babies born that day,

    nor will it confirm that Palin was even a patient, citing privacy laws. 8 The TV crew videotaped

    Palins parents, Chuck and Sally Heath, in a hospital room with Sally holding an infant the

    Heaths said was their month-premature new grandson, Trig. (Sarah was not present.) Experts

    have said the baby lacked characteristics of a newborn preemie.9No picture of Sarah at thehospital that day has ever surfaced.

    The Mat-Su medical facility lacks a neonatal intensive-care unit, which would make it a

    bizarre choice for the delivery of a premature special-needs baby to a 44-year-old woman with a

    history of miscarriages like Palin. (Palin later claimed she had known from testing that the baby

    had Down syndrome.) The Palins in their return trip passed several large hospitals equipped with

    neonatal ICUs, including Providence hospital in Anchorage. Dr. Cathy Baldwin-Johnson, who

    allegedly delivered Trig, has full privileges there.

    Preemies often need to stay in a neonatal ICU for days or weeks because of jaundice and

    other issues. Palins suggestion that Dr. Baldwin-Johnson agreed to deliver a premature baby at a

    small regional facility rather than Providence, Alaskas largest hospital, with a top-rated neonatal

    ICU which the Palins had to drive by to get to Mat-Su Regional simply defies logic and

    common sense. It would suggest neither Palin nor Baldwin-Johnson cared whether they would

    have adequate facilities on hand to meet the newborns needs.10 Moreover, it seems unlikely,

    considering the risks, that the hospital would approve Baldwin-Johnson (a general practitioner,

    not an obstetrician) to deliver a premature special-needs baby.

    Notably, in 2005, Palin served on the board of the Valley Hospital Association, which at

    the time oversaw the Mat-Su Regional Medical Center.11 A possible reason Palin claimed that she

    8 Sullivan, Births At Mat-Su Medical Center In April 2008, The Atlantic Online http://alturl.com/f5k3y (Oct.

    8, 2008).

    9 Lori Tipton, Welcome to Alaska, Trig Paxson Van Palin, KTUU-TV, http://alturl.com/2ue6n (April 18,

    2008). As to the likely age of the baby, see Sarah Palin and The Neonatologist - Part Two - POW! Laura

    Novak Author, http://alturl.com/9avjs (May 19, 2011). Novak later wrote that three other doctors

    independently agreed with the assessment of the neonatologist concerning Trigs age: see Novak, TheNeonatologist: Ear, Nose, and Upper Lip, http://alturl.com/f4xbt (June 6, 2011). Novak, a former New York

    Times and ABC News reporter, gave birth to a premature baby herself and illustrated with pictures of her

    newborn son how Trig did not display characteristics typical of a newborn preemie.

    10 On Dr. Baldwin-Johnsons status at Providence hospital, see http://tinyurl.com/3mltojy.

    11 See http://www.matsuregional.com/Services/Pages/Maternity%20Services.aspx, which does not show

    prenatal ICU at the hospital. On Palin being a board member, see "Palin vs. Obama: Line by Line Resume

    Comparison," http://rootswire.org/conventionblog/palin-vs-obama-line-line-resume-comparison (Sept. 5,

    2008).

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    gave birth at Mat-Su Regional was she felt confident the hospitals staff would remain silent

    about likely falsehoods concerning where, when, and to whom Trig was born.12

    Taking no maternity leave, Palin returned to work two days later looking remarkably fit.

    She brought the supposedly four-week premature Trig with her an action medical professionals

    would hardly condone for a newborn preemie and held a press conference. A reporter there

    asked if her water broke in Texas. She replied:

    So that was again, if, if I must get personal, technical about this at the same time,

    um, it was one, uh, it was a sign that I knew, um, could lead to, uh, labor being, uh,

    kind of kicked in there, was any kind of, um, amniotic leaking, amniotic fluid leaking,

    so when, when that happened we decided lets call her[Dr. Baldwin-Johnson].13

    If Palins water indeed broke in Texas, as she seemingly confirmed, and she waited some 20

    hours and took a very long flight after contractions started before going to a medical facility, her

    actions would have been reckless beyond measure, according to obstetricians interviewed by

    Andrew Sullivan, whose blog was then attached to The Atlantic.14

    Palin's birth story has never depended on believability. It seemingly has been grounded in

    the assumption that nobody would challenge it because nobody could prove it was false, no

    matter how fantastic it seemed. Sarah Palin's father made that attitude clear when he was

    confronted with the rumor that Bristol, not Sarah, was Trig's real mother. "How can you prove

    that?" he snapped. Then, perhaps feeling confident nobody could challenge his truthfulness, he

    added, "Goddammit! I was there when he popped out!" another implausible assertion that can

    hardly be disproved.15

    The Press Accepts Palins Claims and her Doctors

    The oddness of the McCain team's response to the fake birth rumors outing Bristols

    pregnancy instead of producing evidence of Sarahs motherhood should have prompted

    reporters to wonder if something fraudulent had happened and kept them from accepting Palins

    12 I have personally written to the hospital, its board and its parent corporation at seeking information about

    the alleged birth; those groups have all stonewalled me there has never been a single reply, not even a

    no comment. Those entities, however, did send to Palins personal lawyer copies of my letters to them;

    he later sent copies of those letters to my university in an effort to get me to stop my research and writing

    about Palin.

    13 Audio of the press conference http://tindeck.com/listen/zcnk (April 21, 2008).

    14 Sullivan, A Fourth Picture, The Atlantic Online, http://alturl.com/dzf44 (Dec. 5, 2008). Sullivan

    interviewed numerous obstetricians, and the quote is his summary of their views.

    15 See the picture caption: http://www.esquire.com/features/todd-palin-bio-0509-3.

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    implausible birth claims as established fact. But reporters at top news organizations swallowed

    the birth story.

    For example, on Sept. 8, a flattering article in the New York Times said: She traveled to

    Texas a month before her due date to give an important speech, delivering it even though her

    amniotic fluid was leaking. Then, continued the article, after giving birth and returning to work,

    with Trig in her arms, Ms. Palin has risen higher than ever. And the Washington Post, on

    September 7, 2008, in a flattering piece wrote: The April birth of Trig, Norse for brave victory,

    turned out to be a powerful credential for the national Republican base, delighted that Palin

    delivered a child who tests foretold had Down syndrome.

    During the campaign, Palin had promised the press she would release her medical records.

    At 11 p.m. Nov. 3, one hour before Election Day, the McCain campaign released a two-page

    letter from Dr. Baldwin-Johnson regarding Palins health. 16 A section on Trigs birth read:

    She followed the normal and recommended schedule for prenatal care,

    including follow-up perinatology evaluations to ensure there was no significant

    congenital heart disease or other condition of the baby that would preclude

    delivery at her home community hospital. This child, Trig, was born at 35 weeks in

    good health.

    Three things stand out about this statement:

    1. While suggesting that the birth mighthave taken place at Mat-Su Regional MedicalCenter (Palins home community hospital), by using roundabout wording the doctor

    avoided saying where, or when, the baby was born.

    2. Palin had claimed in a press conference that Dr. Baldwin-Johnson had delivered Trig; butthe doctor used the passive voice above, thus not saying who delivered the baby.

    3. Nothing in the statement suggests the doctor had firsthand knowledge of Palins allegedpregnancy; Baldwin-Johnson may simply have repeated what Palin had told her.

    One more thing about Baldwin-Johnsons statement deserves mention. In it she writes she was on

    active status at the Mat-Su medical center from 1985 to June 1, 2008 23 years meaning she

    relinquished her privileges to treat patients there just six weeks after Trigs alleged birth. She said

    she stepped down so she could focus more on her private practice, which includes serving as

    medical director of The Childrens Place in Anchorage, a facility she founded that helps victims

    of sexual assault and molestation, especially teenagers in trouble.17

    16 Andrew Malcolm, Sarah Palin's physician says she's in 'excellent health', L.A. Times,

    http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/washington/2008/11/polling-places.html (Nov. 3, 2008).

    17 See http://www.thechildrens-place.org/board.html.

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    After the election,Anchorage Daily News executiveeditor Pat Dougherty assigned

    reporter Lisa Demer the task of putting the baby hoax story to rest by obtaining proof of the birth.

    But Demer hit a brick wall Palins office and doctor refused to cooperate. Then Palin fired off

    an email to Dougherty on January 12, 2009, asking if the paper was pursuing the sensational lie

    that I am not Trig's mother? Dougherty published her email and his response. He wrote:

    the Daily News has, from the beginning, dismissed the conspiracy theories

    about Trig's birth as nonsense. In fact, my integrity and the integrity of the

    newspaper have been repeatedly attacked in national forums for our complicity in

    the "coverup.

    He said his only purpose in assigning Demer the story was to kill the nonsense once and for all.

    Noting that Demer had received no cooperation, he wrote:

    It strikes me that if there is never a clear, contemporaneous public record of what

    transpired with Trig's birth, that may actually ensure that the conspiracy theory

    never dies.

    Dougherty wrote that Palin never responded to his email. Since that time, all reporters and editors

    at the paper have given what seems like a scripted answer to questions about Palins remarkable

    birth story: they see no reason to doubt it.18

    The Birth of Bristols (Second?) Baby

    Bristol gave birth to her son, Tripp, allegedly on Dec. 27, 2008. However, that birth date

    was not confirmed by any source outside of the Palin or Johnston families. (In an unsettling

    coincidence, state undercover police slapped Sherry Johnston, Levis mother, with six felony

    counts of selling OxyContin just nine days earlier.)19

    The birth announcement was effectively made, via People magazine, by a great-aunt living

    outside of Alaska who had not seen the baby. Palin family members in Wasilla refused to confirm

    the birth when contacted by the Associated Press, even though they had to be the great-aunt's

    source. And Sarah Palin's spokesman, Bill McAllister, also refused to comment on the birth,

    changing tack only after People came out with the great-aunt's comments, thus shielding Palin

    from being the source if the date was later proved wrong. The presumed hospital, Mat-Su

    18 Pat Dougherty, Full text of the Palin-ADN email exchange, Anchorage Daily News,

    http://community.adn.com/adn/node/136523 (Jan. 12, 2009). The newspapers timidity may stem from the

    fact that it derives significant income from the state, and Palins appointees are still in office. See The ADN

    Again, Laura Novak Author, http://alturl.com/h6kvn (June 22, 2011).

    19 See Mother of Bristol Palin's Fiance Pleads Not Guilty to Drug Charges ABC News online,

    http://abcnews.go.com/TheLaw/MindMoodNews/story?id=6577965&page=1#.UEI4fY4iO0I.

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    Regional again, also would not comment. About seven weeks passed before Tripp was shown to

    the media.20

    Why did the Palin clan seemingly play games with the press concerning the date of birth?

    Perhaps Bristol was less than five months pregnant at the Republican National Convention,

    meaning Tripp would

    have been born later than

    December. In the left-

    hand photo in the three-

    panel composite to the

    right, we see Bristol, not

    showing any obvious

    signs of pregnancy,

    standing next to Sarah at

    the Alaska Zoo on

    August 24, 2008, about a week before the RNC. In the middle photo, taken at the RNC less than

    two weeks later, Bristol has developed a very large bosom and an oddly shaped, usually high

    baby bump. And in the right-hand photo, taken on October 15, Bristol shows a baby bump that

    looks much more natural. An explanation for Bristols odd appearance in the middle photo is that

    she may have been wearing ill-fitting padding that was meant to make her look more pregnant

    than she really was.

    Could Bristol be Trigs mother? Perhaps. Bristol transferred from Wasilla High School to

    Anchorage West High School in the middle of the 2007-08 academic year, moving in with

    Sarahs sister Heather Bruce in Anchorage. Her interrupted schooling suggests something

    disruptive may have taken place in her life, such as a pregnancy. If she did birth Trig, then she

    seemingly did so no later than mid-January 2008, because she reportedly was seen, clearly not

    pregnant, at that time.21

    If the baby the Heaths showed the KTUU reporter on April 18 was in fact

    Trig, then Bristol may have given birth to him quite prematurely.

    But the key point is not whether Bristol birthed Trig or not. Its whether Sarah lied about

    giving birth to him.

    20The announcement was effectively made via People by a Coleen Jones, Sallie Heath's sister in Seattle;

    see Lorenzo Benet, Bristol Palin Welcomes a Son, People (Dec. 29, 2008): http://tinyurl.com/6vd482.

    See Fox News (Dec. 29, 2008): "Palin family members, hospital employees and representatives of former

    presidential candidate John McCain would not confirm the birth or did not return messages from The

    Associated Press": http://tinyurl.com/7424s9w. As to the first time the media were allowed to see the baby,

    see Exclusive: A visit with the Palins, Fox News, http://alturl.com/jhqub (Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2009).

    21 Bristol Palin: Homeschooler? May 29, 2009, PalinDeception.com, http://alturl.com/sppzr.

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    The Staging of the Gusty Interview Photo

    As noted, the appearance of the Gusty-

    interview photo surely helped quash the birth hoax

    rumors. It was one of two photos posted to Flickr by

    "erik99559" just before the start of the Republican

    National Convention. The other photo, to the right,

    shows in addition to Palin both Dan Carpenter, a

    KTUU cameraman, and (in the glasses) Bill

    McAllister, chief political reporter of KTUU. The

    caption to the picture read, "Myself, Governor Palin and Press Secretary McAllister," suggesting

    Carpenter posted the picture.22

    Moreover, he grew up in Bethel, Alaska, whose zip code is 99559.

    Gusty, the KTVA interviewer, has said she took

    that photo minutes before Carpenter took the interview

    photo. Both have declined to explain to why they took the

    photos.23

    But the placement of Palin in the interview photo

    (shown again, to the left) where one hallway ends at

    another suggests the point was to get a still photo from the

    side showing Palin's belly in profile, while the video

    cameraman shot her from the front, mainly from the shoulders up, as the newscast showed.24

    It

    was important that the video cameraman not shoot her from the side, because showing her large

    belly in profile might have raised questions about her rapid change in appearance, which perhaps

    helps explain why the still shots were not posted till late August: so people might forget how

    unusually thin she looked during her remarkable six-week pregnancy (from the date she

    announced it to the alleged birth).

    Palin promoted the idea that she was unusually trim during the pregnancy. In Going

    Rogue (page 191), she wrote: Before we knew it, I was seven months along. I hadnt put on a lot

    22 See http://alturl.com/jamn7, where a screenshot of the original Flickr post has been preserved.

    23 See McAllister et al., Laura Novak Author, http://alturl.com/ru2cr (June 9, 2011), where Novak tries toget McAllister, Gusty or Carpenter to comment on the photos, but with no luck.

    24 See Andrea Gusty Addresses Controversial Palin Photos, YouTube, http://alturl.com/qp2q7 (Jan. 31,

    2009). Gusty alleges in this video that she asked Carpenter take the interview photo as a favor to her. If

    what she wanted was a memento of her interview with Palin, why did Carpenter frame the photo in such an

    odd way, shooting Palin from the side and making the video cameraman the dominant person in the shot?

    And why was Carpenter there? Theres no evidence that he and McAllister interviewed Palin that evening,

    even though McAllister alleged that was his purpose in being on hand; see http://tinyurl.com/92q4bjz.

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    of weight and ... no one saw my girth or suspected I was pregnant. Her assertion that she was

    unusually trim at seven months is incompatible with her appearance in the Gusty-interview photo,

    unless her stomach ballooned in just over month.

    In the same vein, Lisa Demer of the Anchorage Daily

    News wrote on April 22, 2008: Palin never got big with this

    pregnancy another statement at odds with the Gusty interview photo.

    Demer broadly hinted in the way she wrote the news story that there

    might have been a hoax. It is useful to note that Palin did get big in

    earlier pregnancies, as the photo of Palin to the left (in the red shirt)

    shows.

    Perhaps by design, very few people likely saw the live Gusty

    interview in-person. It was scheduled for early evening on a Sunday after the legislature had

    wrapped up its business. (Palin had met with the press corps in the afternoon, according to her

    official calendar.)25

    So McAllister and Carpenter were perhaps the only individuals on hand to

    witness the interview. While McAllister still technically worked for KTUU, he had given notice

    that he was leaving the station earlier that month, and it's now clear he had already secured his

    coming job with Palin.26 He and Carpenter seemingly were there to get the still shots.

    The Gusty interview and the still shots from it appear to have been a brilliant ploy. The

    stills fulfilled a crucial need for Palin: linked as they were to a newscast that aired the week

    before the alleged birth, they provided proof that Palin lookedvery pregnant on April 13 at least

    for a while. They thus were perfectly suited to kill the hoax rumors that were sure to reappear

    after McCain selected Palin for VP. Of course, if the point of the interview was to get such

    pictures, then some of the participants conspired to deceive the American people.

    How can we be sure the Gusty interview was not purely innocent? Because the interview

    circumstances wouldnt make sense if that were true. Why would Palin want to give an exclusive

    interview to Gusty that evening? If what Palin had to say was so important that a live broadcast

    was called for, then all the TV stations would have been included. The fact that Palin, according

    to her calendar, had met with the press hours earlier makes the evening interview with Gusty even

    more inexplicable, except in terms of staging a hoax.

    25 See Laura Novak Author, http://tinyurl.com/8s5mqma.26The Anchorage Daily News had reported on April 6 that McAllister was leaving KTUU; released

    government emails later showed he likely negotiated his contract with the state in early April; see Andrew

    Halcro, Government emails and credibility, AndrewHalcro.com, http://alturl.com/uku68 (July 25, 2008). I

    sent an earlier version of this article to McAllister seeking his comments. In an April 5, 2011, he strenuously

    denied any involvement in a birth hoax without denying a hoax took place; but he bizarrely wrote that he

    would slap me if he ever saw me and called me an agent of evil; see http://tinyurl.com/3qvroa9.

  • 7/31/2019 Sarah Palin and the Incredible Birth Story

    12/12

    12

    Conclusion

    An example

    of an earlier photo

    depicting a less-

    pregnant-looking

    Palin shows her

    leaving the Alaska

    State Museum on

    March 26.27

    It is the

    middle picture to

    the right, flanked by

    cropped versions of the March 14 photo and April 13 interview photo (all adjusted to show

    detail). Palin in the museum picture does seem to have a bulge in her midsection, but it looks too

    high to be a baby bump, plus it seems far too small for a woman who will give birth in 23 days.

    The picture also seems to show, under her shirt, some

    sort of wrap around her midsection, which perhaps is holding

    down padding. (To left is an enlargement of her midsection

    from that picture.) Taken together, the three photos show that

    Palins belly went from flat to somewhat round to hugely

    round in just under a month. The photographic evidence

    convinces me that in March and April of 2008 Palin sometimes

    wore padding or a fake-maternity prosthetic to make herself

    look pregnant. The photographs, along with all the other

    evidence, convince me beyond any reasonable doubt that Palin was not pregnant with Trig but

    instead staged a hoax.28

    Indeed, the evidence is overwhelming.

    27 See Laura Novak, Three weeks before Sarah Palin reportedly gave birth to her fifth child, a six pound

    boy, Juneau photographer Brian Wallace captured a series of photos of Mr. and Mrs. Todd Palin exiting theAlaska State Museum. Nota bene: Palin is said to be eight months pregnant here - 3 weeks shy of givingbirth. (August 1, 20011), http://alturl.com/sgn4u.

    28 Last August I sent an earlier version of this article to Sarah Palin, giving her a chance to respond; she did

    not. Her lawyer, however, complained to my university in March about my research, in an effort to make me

    stop. Heseemedto deny on Palins behalf that there had been a hoax because of the way he lambasted

    me, twice using the word "insane" to describe my views. However, a close reading of his letter shows that

    he in fact never comes right out and says there was not a hoax. He speaks for Palin, of course, and the

    careful wording gives her wiggle room to say the letter contained no outright lies, if and when the hoax

    unravels.