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Page 1: Rwanda - UNICEF · Rwanda’s economy into a sophisticated, knowledge-based econ-omy by 2020.6 The net enrolment rate at the pre-primary level increased from Throughout the implementation

Education Budget BriefInvesting in child education in Rwanda2018/2019

Rwanda

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Education Budget Brief: Investing in child education in Rwanda 2017/2018

© United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) RwandaNovember 2018

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PrefaceThis education budget brief explores the extent to which the Government of Rwanda addresses the educational needs of children under 18 years of age. The brief analyses the size and composition of budget allocations to the education sec-tor for the fiscal year (FY) 2018/19, as well as the adequacy

of past spending. The budget briefs aim to synthesize complex budget information and offer recommendations to strengthen budgeting for children. The budget data for 2018/19 are from the original budget, while for previous years’ budgets, the data were based on revised budgets.

Key messages• The education sector budget allocation for 2018/19

amounts to 273.0 billion Rwandan francs (FRW). This indicates a nominal increase of 13.3 per cent when compared to the approved budget in 2017/18. Between 2014/15 and 2018/19, the budget of the education sector realized a nomi-nal increase of about 16 per cent, from FRW 235.3 billion to FRW  273 billion. However, the education budget as a share of national budget shows a decreasing trend, from 13.4 to 11 per cent in FY 2018/19.

• Pre-primary, primary and secondary education pro-grammes account for large and increasing budget allocations: The pre-primary and primary education pro-gramme budget increased from FRW 63.8 billion in 2014/15 to FRW  104.5 billion in 2018/19, reflecting an increase of 64 per cent. This shows the government commitment to ensure universal access to basic education. There is still a need to increase allocations to pre-primary and primary education in order to increase enrolment (pre-primary) and reduce class size (primary). Splitting of the budget lines for pre-primary and primary is also necessary to allow for budget adequacy mon-itoring along two distinct tiers of the education programme.

• In 2018/19, there were significant changes made in the budget allocations among different education agencies:

(i) the budget allocated to the Rwanda Education Board has declined, while; (ii) the budget for the Higher Education Coun-cil and the Ministry of Education (MINEDUC) has increased considerably. This is attributed to the recent education sector restructuring, where some functions were transferred from the Rwanda Education Board to the Higher Education Council (ter-tiary education financing) and MINEDUC (schools’ inspection and construction).

• The development budget as a share of the total education budget continued to reduce. It declined from 22.5 per cent in 2014/15 to 17 per cent in 2018/19, while the recurrent budget, which includes the salaries of teachers, has nominally increased from FRW  168.1 billion in 2014/15 to FRW  226.5 billion in 2018/19, reflecting an increase of 35.7 per cent. This denotes the government’s effort to support teacher welfare as an indirect means of increasing the quality of education.

• As in many other sectors, the share of external financing for education has decreased in recent years. The share of external financing in the education budget fell from 6.7 per cent in 2015/16 to 2.2 per cent in 2018/19. However, Rwanda has fiscal space options available to increase its total revenues and fill the external financing gap without increasing the public debt level.

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1. Introduction1.1 Understanding the Rwandan education sector

The Rwandan education sector is coordinated by the Ministry of Education (MINEDUC), whose mission is to ensure equitable access to quality education by focusing on combating illiteracy, promoting science and technology, and developing critical think-ing and positive values.1 The following agencies are involved in managing the education sector: the Rwanda Education Board, responsible for pre-primary, primary and secondary school pro-grammes; the Workforce Development Authority, responsible for technical and vocational education and training (TVET) and Rwanda Polytechnic Higher Learning Institution; the Higher Education Council, responsible for university accreditations and tertiary schools regulation, which has also recently been man-dated to oversee the functions of higher education financing; and districts, responsible for daily management of schools at decentralized levels.

Education in Rwanda is structured following the International Standard Classification of Education of the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization,2 (Table 1). Rwanda’s constitution of 2003 and its revision of 2015, Article 20, stipulates that primary education is compulsory and free in public schools, and the 12-Year Basic Education Programme (12YBE), established in 2012, guarantees free education for 12 years, including primary and secondary levels.3 Additionally, education services are decentralized and coordinated from local levels (administrative sectors) to the national level.

Table 1: Levels of education in Rwanda

Levels of education Acceptable years of schooling

Age range (approximate)

School age population

2018 2030

Pre-primary 3 years 3–6 1,251,625 1,471,592

Primary 6 years 6–12 1,820,362 2,074,101

Secondary general 6 years 12–181,660,932 1,885,908

Secondary vocational 2–3 years 12–15

Post-secondary

Vocational – polytechnic 2–3 years 18–21

Undergraduate (BA/BSc) 3–5 years 18–23

Post-graduate 1–4 years Above 23

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1.2 Key strategic documents and targets

Table 2: Strategic documents and targets

Strategic documents Priorities, performance indicators and/or targets

National Strategy for Transformation (2017–2024)4

• Net enrolment rates will reach 45 per cent by 2024 from 17.5 per cent in 2016 • Schools connected to the Internet will increase to 100 per cent by 2024 from 10 per cent in

2016/17• Primary and secondary schools with access to electricity will increase from 32 per cent and

46 per cent in 2016 to 100 per cent in 2024• Transition rates from primary to lower secondary will increase from 71.1 per cent in 2015 to

92.4 per cent by 2024• Ensure that people with disabilities can start and complete all levels of education• Achieve 80 per cent of students enrolled in science, technology, engineering and mathematics in

higher learning and TVET institutions by 2024 from 44 per cent in 2016• Ensure digital literacy for all youth (16 to 30 years) by 2024.

Education Sector Strategic Plan5 2018/19–2023/24

• Enhanced quality learning outcomes that are relevant to Rwanda’s social and economic development

• Strengthened continuous professional development and management of teachers across all levels of education in Rwanda

• Strengthened science, technology, engineering and mathematics across all levels of education in Rwanda to increase the relevance of education for urban and rural markets

• Enhanced use of information and communication technology to transform teaching and learning, and to support the improvement of quality across all levels of education in Rwanda

• Increased access to education programmes, especially at pre-primary, secondary, TVET and higher education levels in Rwanda

• Strengthened modern school infrastructure and facilities across all levels of education in Rwanda• Equitable opportunities for all Rwandan children and young people at all levels of education• More innovative and responsive research and development in relation to community challenges• Strengthened governance and accountability across all levels of education in Rwanda.

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100

80

60

40

20

0

Province Mother’s education Wealth quintile Rwanda

Per

cen

tag

e

City ofKigali

South WestNorthEast Noeducation

Primary Secondaryand higher

Lowest Second Middle Fourth Highest Total

37.5

15.64.4 4.3

10

48.8

2.6 611.3 11.4

44.8

13.110.6 8.7

The Government of Rwanda’s Vision 2020 aims to transform Rwanda’s economy into a sophisticated, knowledge-based econ-omy by 2020.6

Throughout the implementation of the Vision 2020 objectives, Rwanda has achieved notable success towards ensuring universal education for all. Rwanda’s Vision 2050 (under preparation) aspires to attain a high quality and standard of living. To achieve this, one of the focuses of the government is on ‘quality education’.

The education sectors’ performance indicators across five levels of education – pre-primary, primary, secondary, TVET and univer-sity – are summarized below.

1.3.1 Pre-primary educationPre-primary education has seen rapid growth in recent years. The net enrolment rate at the pre-primary level increased from 17.5 per cent in 2016 to 20.6 per cent in 2017. In total, 220,435 children were enrolled in pre-primary education, comprising 108,462 (49.2 per cent) boys and 111,973 (50.8 per cent) girls. According to the UNICEF Situation Analysis Report (2017)7, early childhood attendance is relatively high in the following areas; (i) Urban setting (City of Kigali): 37.5 per cent; (ii) Population with higher levels of education: 48.8 per cent; and (iii) High-income quintile households: 44.8 per cent. However, early childhood education access is significantly lower among children from the lowest income quintile households (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Percentage of early childhood attendance rates

1.3 Education sector performance against selected indictors

Source: Situation Analysis of Children in Rwanda (2017)

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Source: Education Statistical Yearbook, 2018

1.3.2 Primary education Universal free primary school education was introduced in 2003. From 2014 to 2017, the gross enrolment rate has remained far above 100 per cent among girls and boys in primary schools (Fig-ure 2).

Equally important, the net enrolment rate remained above 96 per cent for both male and female children (Figure 3). The primary school to secondary school transition rate (the percent-age of students admitted to the first grade of a higher level of education in a given year, when compared to the number of stu-dents enrolled in the final grade of the lower level of education in the previous year) remained above 70 per cent for both male and female children. There is, however, still a large number of children who do not have access to secondary education. Over the past three years, the school drop-out rate fell to less than 6 per cent. In primary schools, it dropped from 14.3 per cent in 2013 to 5.6 per cent in 2017 (Figure 4).

There has been a slight improvement in the primary school teach-er-to-pupil ratio, which reduced from 61:1 in 2014 to 59:1 in 2017 (Figure 5). There is a strong need, however, for increased invest-ments to further reduce the ratio of pupils to qualified teachers to achieve the Education Sector Strategic Plan and National Strategy for Transformation targets.

Figure 2: Gross enrolment – primary education

0

40

80

120

160

2014 2015

Per

cen

tag

e

2016 2017

Gross enrolment rate Boys Girls

134.

3

135.

3

139.

6

139.

1

135.

5

135.

8

139.

2

138.

2

133.

2

134.

8

140.

1

140.

1

0

80

80

20

60

0

9

16

6

12

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

cen

tag

e

Per

cen

tag

e

Transition rate (left axis) Drop-out rate (right axis)

14.3

10.3

5.7 5.7 5.6

73.4 72.6 71.1 71.1 74.5

0

50

100

Per

cen

tag

e

2014 2015 2016 2017

Net enrolment rate Boys Girls

96.8

96.9

97.7

98.0

97.3

97.4

98.0

98.1

96.2

96.3

97.3

97.8

Figure 3: Net enrolment rates – primary education

Figure 5: Teacher: student ratios

010203040506070

2014 2015 2016 2017

Rat

io

Pupil–teacher ratio Pupil–qualified teacher ratio

58 58 58 5861 62 59 59

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook, 2018

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook, 2018

Figure 4: Primary to secondary school transition and drop-out rates

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1.3.3 Secondary educationThe number of students enrolled in lower and upper secondary schools rose from 486,437 to 592,501 between 2011 and 2017,8

reflecting an increase of 21.8 per cent over the past six years. Over the past two years (2016 and 2017), the net enrolment rate realized an increase from 28 per cent in 2015 to 34 per cent in 2017 (Figure 6). This increase can be attributed to government

efforts to strengthen 9YBE and 12YBE and strengthened school feeding programmes across all secondary schools, including non-boarding schools, among other measures. Repetition and drop-outs in secondary schools were reduced significantly in the past five years, from 11.6 per cent and 14.7 per cent in 2013 to 5.2 per cent and 4.4 per cent respectively in 2016 (Figure 7).

Figure 7: Repetition and drop-out rates

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook 2018

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0

9

15

6

12

17

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Per

cen

tag

e

Per

cen

tag

e

Repetition rate (left axis) Drop-out rate (right axis)

14.7 14.4

6.54.5 4.4

11.6 11.6 11.6

8.8

5.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Per

cen

tag

e

Gross enrolment rate Net enrolment rate

41.5

38.0

37.240

.7

38.2

35.7

34.136

.4

28.3 32

.9Figure 6: Gross and net secondary school enrolment rates

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook 2018

1.3.4 Technical and vocational education In 2008, the Government of Rwanda instituted a TVET policy, which was revised in 20159. The TVET policy set out the strategic direction to be followed for the promotion of vocational and tech-nical training with the aim of aligning Rwanda’s education with market demand and reducing dependance on external human resources in priority sectors for development. The policy aimed to reach 60 per cent of upper secondary school leavers being enrolled in TVET schools. As a result: (i) the number of TVET institutions increased from 306 in 2013 to 402 in 2017 (Figure 8), reflecting an increase of 44.6 per cent over the past six years; (ii) the number of tertiary-level TVET institutions (integrated pol-ytechnic colleges) realized a rapid increase from just seven in 2013 to 17 in 2017, and; (iii) the number of TVET students grew from 83,983 in 2013 to 107,501 in 2017, reflecting an increase of 28.1 per cent. However, there is notable gender inequality at this level of education, as male participation remains higher (60.8 per cent) compared to female participation (Figure 9).

1.3.5 Tertiary educationUnlike other levels of education, the number of students in tertiary education has realized only a slight increase in the past years. Between 2013 and 2017, the tertiary enrolment increased from 84,448 to 91, 193 reflecting an increase of 8 per cent (Figure 10). Male students attending public tertiary schools are in the majority, representing 54.6 per cent – indicating a widening gender gap. By 2017, only 33.9 per cent of students enrolled in public tertiary schools were girls.

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Figure 8: Number of TVET training centres

0

100

200

400

500

300

2013 2014 2016 20172015

Nu

mb

er

Vocational training centres Technical secondary schools Technical tertiary institutions Total centres

132167

7

306

174 179

12

365

186 184

13

383

179199

16

394

193 192

17

402

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook 2018

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

2013 2014 2016 20172015

Nu

mb

er

Total students Male Female

93,0

24

40,6

55

94,3

73

39,4

61

93,1

58

38,9

59

107,

501

42,1

74

83,8

93

36,1

38 52,3

69

54,9

12

54,1

99 65,3

27

47,7

55

Figure 9: Student enrolment in TVET institutions

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook 2018

Source: Education Statistical Yearbook 2018

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

2013 2014 2016 20172015

Nu

mb

er

Male Female

37,2

2847

,220

39,1

4647

,867

37,4

4748

,868

38,5

0652

,297

41,2

8549

,908

Figure 10: Enrolment in tertiary education

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Primary school transition rates remain low, which requires more effort to ensure universal access to 12 years’ basic education by 2024.

The high pupil-to-teacher ratio requires special consideration, as it impedes the quality of education services and further degrades education outcomes for children (employability and innovation). Increased investment in human resources for education will increase the number of qualified teachers.

Despite a commendable effort to reduce primary school drop-outs, the rate is still high; greater effort towards reducing school drop-outs should remain a national priority and should be addressed through interventions targeting the most vulnerable households located in rural areas, where the drop-out rates remain above average.

Government interventions to increase early childhood education access in rural areas and address the requirements of poor households need to be strengthened to ensure equitable access to early learning.

As the participation rate in pre-primary school will continue to rise, government will need to strengthen investments in the training of the pre-primary teachers.

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2. Trends in government spending for education2.1 Size of government spending

During the past years, the budget allocated to education has increased in nominal terms. Between 2014/15 and 2018/19, the budget allocated to the education sector has increased from FRW  235.3 billion to FRW  273 billion, reflecting an increase of 16 per cent. However, the education sector as share of national budget indicates a declining trend, from 13.4 per cent in 2014/15 to 11 per cent in 2018/19 (Figure 11).

Figure 12: Percentage of education expenditure on government budget

0

5

10

15

20

25

Rwanda

Per

cen

tag

e

Uganda South Africa Ethiopia

8.611

17

24.22.2 Governments spending in education:

An outlook of selected countries

The budget allocations for the education sectors of countries in which UNICEF has conducted budget briefs vary consider-ably. Rwanda prioritizes education spending less than some of these countries, with 11 per cent of its total budget allotted to education, while Ethiopia allocated 24.2 per cent of its total government budget to education (Figure 12).

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

3

6

9

12

15

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19FR

W b

illio

n

Per

cen

tag

e

Education budget (left axis)

Education budget as share of national budget (right axis)

Education budget as share of GDP (right axis)

4.3 3.6 3.3 3.2

235.

3

216.

9

220.

0

240.

8

273.

0

13.412.3

11.3 11.511.0

Figure 11: Size of government spending in education

Source: Calculated using Budget Laws and microframework data, 2018©

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Source: UNICEF budget briefs 2017/18

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Figure 13: Public spending trend by different sectors (billion FRW)

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

2018/19

2017/18

2016/17

2015/16

2014/15

FRW billion

General public services Health

Public order and safety EducationEnvironmental protectionDefenceEconomic affairs

Housing and community amenitiesRecreation, culture and religion

Social protection

2.3 Budget allocation against government priority areas

The education sector ranks third in budget allocation among public sectors, after general services, which include all budgets for func-tioning of legislative and executive organs of public sectors, and economic affairs, and include all allocations for infrastructure pro-jects. In the past two years, the increase in national budget was also reflected in the budget allocated to education (Figure 13).

Figure 14: Changes in the education budget – original vs. revised budgets

0

50

100

150

200

250

300 4

2

0

-2

-4

-6

-8

-102014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Per

cen

tag

e

FRW

bill

ion

Original (left axis)

Revised budget (left axis)

Change (right axis)

-0.2

253.3

214.4 216.9 220.0 221.3

-8.9

220.7

-8.9

273.0

240.5240.81.7 0.6

2.4 Changes in the education budget

2.4.1 Original vs. revised budgetsBy law, the national budget is revised mid-year (usually Decem-ber–January), in response to emerging priorities. With the exception of 2014/15, the education budget revisions in sub-sequent years did not significantly affect the initial approved budget (Figure 14).

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws, Annex-2-8

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Figure 16: Education budget per key programme

0

50

100

150

200

250

2015

/16

2014

/15

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

FRW

bill

ion

Pre-primary and primary

Post-secondary nontertiary Secondary

Tertiary

92.5

35.9

63.8

43.8

63.2

35.9

83.8 104.5

57

45.3

17

60

2.4

64.3

2.6

67.9

2.5

53.2

2.9 65

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws

2.4.2 Nominal vs. real changes in the education sector budgetWhen looking at the trends of nominal and inflation adjusted edu-cation budgets, there have been significant effects of inflation on government investments in education.

From 2014/15 to 2015/16, the education sector budget shows a decreasing trend. The decrease additionally widened when

adjusted for inflation, from -6.5 per cent to -10.5 per cent in 2014/15 and from -7.8 per cent to -9.5 per cent in 2015/16.

However, the inflation effect started to narrow from 2016/17 to 2018/19 due to larger nominal increases in comparison to inflation levels (Figure 15).

2.5 Budget trends by education programmes

Pre-primary, primary and secondary programmes account for large and increasing budgets. Pre-primary and primary edu-cation programme budgets increased from FRW  63.8 billion in 2014/15 to FRW 104.5 billion in 2017/18, reflecting an increase of 64 per cent. The increase in budget allocated to primary schools could partly explain the high net enrolment in primary schools over the past decade.

The budget allocated to secondary schools has remained con-stant, hovering around FRW  65 billion between 2014/15 and 2018/19. The budget allocated to tertiary education registered a significant increase, from FRW 35.9 billion in 2017/18 to FRW 57 billion in 2018/19 (Figure 16).

Figure 15: Nominal vs inflation adjusted (real) budget

20

10

0

-10

-2020

13/1

4

2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2017

/18

Per

cen

tag

e

Nominal budget change Inflation adjusted change

12.1

5

-10.5 -9.5

-1.6

9.5

-6.5 -7.8

1.4 3.2

13.3

7.8

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws

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2.7 Government spending for education per student

Between 2014 and 2017, per-student spending across education levels showed mixed trends. • Per capita spending for pre-primary and primary levels nomi-

nally increased from FRW 26,250 to FRW 32,280. However, taking into consideration currency depreciation, the spending level has remained constant over the past four years (US$ 38).

• In secondary and tertiary education, per capita spending decreased from FRW  118,004 (US$  171) to FRW  86,549

(US$  103) and from FRW  1,233,396 (US$  1,790) to FRW 849,276 (US$ 1,017) respectively.

• Per capita spending for post-secondary non-tertiary education, which includes TVET, increased from FRW 20,828 (US$ 30) in 2014 to FRW 36,184 (US$ 43) in 2017. This increase indicates a renewed focus by the Government of Rwanda on technical skills development (Figure 18).

2.6 Budget allocation for education quality enhancement programmes

When looking at spending on different programmes aimed at strengthening the quality of education, the government has strongly invested in three areas: (i) education quality and stand-ards, (ii) curricula and pedagogical material development, (iii)

information and communication technology integration in edu-cation. Teacher development and management was allocated a relatively constant budget over the past four years (Figure 17). The budget allocated to education quality promotion as a share of the total MINEDUC budget was at 18.2 per cent in 2018/19.

0

5

10

15

20

25

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

FRW

bill

ion

Information and communicationtechnology integration in educationEducation quality and standards

Teacher development and managementCurricula and pedagogical materials

10.5

2.2

11.7

2.2

7.3

6.2

4.8

6.3

1.8

5.2

6.7

2.61.1

1.4 1.0

10.69.3

2.1 2.1

1.5

Figure 17: Budget allocation in education quality-strengthening programmes

Figure 18: Education budget/spending per student and education levels

0

100,000

600,000

900,000

120,000

150,000

2014 2015 2016 2017

FRW

Pre-primary and primary Secondary Post-secondary non-tertiary Tertiary

1,23

3,39

6

26,2

50

118,

004

20,8

28

1,00

,904

23,8

06

113,

027

24,2

25

990,

005

25,7

40

122,

916

35,7

35

849,

276

32,2

80

86,5

49

36,1

84

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws and education statistics

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws

Note: US$ 1 was equivalent to FRW 835 in 2017 and FRW 689 in 2014

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Several critical areas will require increased investments in the education sector: (i) Insufficient school infrastructure and old school buildings require a significant increase in development budget, given the large student-per-classroom ratio, ranging from 50 to 70 students per classroom in primary schools. The recent government decision to phase out double shifting in pri-mary schools, and the increasing number of schools in need of rehabilitation (old schools) also need to be taken into account. (ii) Improving quality of education at all levels: Given the Sustainable

Development Goals’ focus on quality of education, the govern-ment needs to commit increased funding to the recurrent budget for recruitment of teachers, provision of teachers’ training, and development of learning materials. (iii) Low level pre-primary school enrolment and underfunding: A large number of children do not have access to pre-primary education in both rural and urban areas. In order to ensure equitable and inclusive enrol-ment, the government needs to establish a financing framework for pre-primary education.

The budget allocations for the education sectors of countries in which UNICEF has conducted budget briefs vary considerably. Rwanda prioritizes education spending less than some of these countries, with 11 per cent of its total budget allotted to education, while Ethiopia allocated 24.2 per cent of its total government budget to education in 2017/18.

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3.1 Budget allocation by education agency and district

When looking at spending by different agencies, districts receive the largest education budget. The budget allocated to districts increased from FRW 102.7 billion in 2014/15 to FRW 143.5 billion in 2018/19. The Rwanda Education Board budget increased from FRW  42.1 billion in 2014/15 to FRW  70.7 billion in 2017/18 but dropped to FRW  23.3 RWF million in 2018/19 (Figure 19). The decrease in budget allocation to the Rwanda Education Board is attributed to education sector restructuring, during which a number of functions were transferred from the Rwanda Education Board to the Higher Education Council, including tertiary education financ-ing, and to MINEDUC for functions such as school inspections.

3. Composition of education spending

0

30

60

90

120

150

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2017/18

FRW

bill

ion

Districts

Rwanda Education Board

Higher Education Council

University of Rwanda

Workforce Development Authority

MINEDUC11.2

47.9

42.1

27.2

0.6

6.4

29.6

60.1

0.69.9

32.1

51.9

0.69.6

27.8

70.7

0.7 20.2

12.0

23.32.6 3.9

3.6 3.9

102.7

116.3 119.8127.9

143.5

54.4

Figure 19: Budget allocation by main agency

3.2 Education budget by economic activity: recurrent vs. development budget

The development budget as a share of the total education budget has declined from 22.5 per cent in 2014/15 to 17 per cent in 2018/19.

The recurrent budget, which includes the salaries of teachers, has nominally increased by 35.7 per cent, from FRW 168.1 billion in 2014/15 to FRW 226.5 billion in 2018/19, (Figure 20). The increase is attributed to growing teachers’ incentives, including salary increases, which range between 10 per cent and 15 per cent after three years of outstanding performance.

Figure 20: Composition of education budget (recurrent vs. development budgets)

0

50

100

150

200

250 25

20

10

0

15

5

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

FRW

bill

ion

Per

cen

tag

e

Recurrent (left axis) Development budget (right axis)Development (left axis)

168.1 169.2 182.4 207.6 226.5

22.5 22.7

17.315.5

17.0

48.9 49.6 38.1 38.2 46.5

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws and population projections

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws and population projections

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pel

ber

g

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Per

cen

tag

e

2015/162014/15 2016/17 2017/18

District execution budget execution rateNational education budget execution rate

96.6 95.6 96.3 92.1

98.7 98.4 94.9 90.5

Figure 21: Budget execution

Source: Calculated using national budget execution reports published by MINECOFIN

4. Budget execution

Budget execution has been consistently high across education agencies. During FY2016/17, both district and central government have performed well, achieving 95 per cent and 96.3 per cent budget execution rates respectively (Figure 21). The increased budget execution rates indicate strengthened capacities in budget planning and execution across the education sector.

0

2

4

6

8

0

50

100

150

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2014

/15

2015

/16

2016

/17

2017

/18

2018

/19

Per

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tag

e

FRW

bill

ion

Domestic financing (left axis)

External financing (left axis)Share external financing (right axis)

4.2

2.5 2.2

196.7 193.1

204.8239.6

266.914.4 14.0 9.1

6.26.1

6.8 6.7

Figure 22: Budget execution rate

Source: Calculated using National Budget Laws

5. Financing the education sector

As in many other sectors, the share of external financing in edu-cation has decreased in recent years. It fell from 6.7 per cent in 2015/16 to 2.2 per cent in 2018/19 (Figure 22).

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There is a need to increase allocation to pre-primary and primary education with the view to strengthening the quality of education. Specific focus should be put on (i) capacity-building for pre-primary teachers and (ii) improvement in the well-being of primary teachers, which should include, among other measures, an increase in their fringe benefits.

Given the need to reduce the teacher-pupil ratio in public primary schools, and the increasing number of newly enrolled students across all education levels, the government will need to continue strengthening measures for domestic resource mobilization, with the aim of guaranteeing stable funding for the education sector.

The need for modern education sector infrastructure development and phasing out of the double-shift system in primary schools will also require an increased budget allocation for development projects in the foreseeable future.

The demand for domestic financing to cater for education sector needs will continue to increase and put pressure on the national budget. As a result, the government will need to continue identifying alternative financing sources to support the education sector, particularly the pre-primary and primary education sub-sectors.

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Endnotes

1. Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning (MINECOFIN), ‘Education Sector Strategic Plan 2013–2018’, Kigali, Rwanda, available at: <www.minecofin.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/documents/sector_strategic_plan/Education_SSP_Dec_2013.pdf

2. See <www.uis.unesco.org/Education/DOcuments/isced-2011-en.pdf>.

3. <www.parliament.gov.rw/fileadmin/Bills_CD/THE_CONSTITUTION_OF_THE_REPUBLIC_OF_RWANDA_OF_2003_REVISED_IN_2015.pdf>.

4. Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, ‘Seven Years Government Programme (7YGP)’, Kigali, Rwanda, 2010, available at: <www.rwandapedia.rw/cmis/views/work-space%253A%252F%252FSpacesStore%252F1adfd4d9-01e0-4834-8d8a-9b1edb581294>.

5. Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, ‘Education Sec-tor Strategic Plan 2013/14–2017/18’, Kigali, Rwanda, 2013, available at: <www.minecofin.gov.rw/index.php?id=163>.

6. Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, ‘Vision 2020’, Kigali, Rwanda, 2012, available at: <www.minecofin.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/documents/NDPR/Vision_2020_.pdf>.

7. <www.unicef.org/rwanda/events_21334.html>.

8 Ministry of Education, ‘Education Management Information System (EMIS)’, 2016.

9. <www.wda.gov.rw/sites/default/files/TVET%20Policy.pdf>.

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