reviewed annual results - the vault 11 16.1 16.7% 73 115.6 11 13.6 14 16.9 14.7% 84 133.1. 11...
TRANSCRIPT
REVIEWEDANNUAL RESULTSfor the year ended 28 February
2017
2
Contents
REVIEW OF THE YEAR
TRADING AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
OUTLOOK
QUESTIONS
3
Ivan Saltzman
REVIEW OF THE YEAR
4
Opened
11 new stores increasing thestore foot print
to 108
Opened our
100th storein Mall of Africa
OpenedDurban DC
14 400m²
Cape Town DCbeing completed
15 693m²
Listed 27.5% shares on the JSEin November 2016
Increased Delmas DC space by
3 250m²
Second largestIPO
on the JSE
Operating profit
▲24%to R1.1bn
Wholesaleturnover
▲ 22%
Operating margin was maintained
Total newWholesale space of
33 343m²will be added
Retail turnover
▲15%
Retail L-F-Lgrowth of
9.1%
Retail volumegrowth
Retail operating margin
▲40 bps
5
Rui Morais
TRADING AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
6
Group Financial Highlights
1. Assuming adjusted share base in the prior year
Retail turnover
▲15%to R15.6bn
Wholesale turnover
▲22%to R10.9bn
Turnover
▲15%to R17.3bn
Return on equity
▲ to 67%from 53%
Net working capital
improved to 43 daysfrom 50 days
Operating margin
▲ to 6.5%from 6.0%
AdjustedHEPS
69.2 cps
Adjustedheadline earnings
▲31%to R565m
from R432m
HEPS
▲22.5%to 74.7 cps¹
7
Group Financial Summary
R’m 2017 2016 % changeTurnover 17 268 15 061 14.7
Gross profit 4 209 3 526 19.4
Other income 605 440 37.6
Operating expenses (3 679) (3 060) 20.3
Transaction costs (8) - 100.0
Net finance costs (225) (89) 152.6
Taxation (247) (242) 2.0
Net profit after tax 655 575 13.8
8
Group Financial Summary
R’m 2017 2016 % changeProperty, plant and equipment 995 920 8.2
Inventory 3 234 2 807 15.2
Other assets 1 540 1 443 6.7
Net cash and bank 128 (1 257)
Finance lease liability (625) (654) -4.4
ABSA loan (796) - 100
Trade and other payables (2 641) (1 754) 50.6
Other liabilities (705) (665) 6.0
Equity (1 130) (840) 34.5
9
Turnover
• Turnover growth underpinned by volume growth, maturing stores and addition of space
• Like-for-like turnover growth improved to 9.1% from 8.5%
R’m 2017 2016 % change % LFL % inflation
Retail 15 646 13 573 15.3 9.1 6.5
Wholesale 10 918 8 933 22.2
Intergroup (9 296) (7 445) 24.9
Total Group 17 268 15 061 14.7
10
Turnover Growth
11 60813 573
15 646
1 3031 488
1 622469 689 820 172 339
6721 064 132
12 91115 061
17 268
2015A New stores(year 1)
Full yeareffect
(year 2)
Like-for-like Wholesale 2016A New stores(year 1)
Full yeareffect
(year 2)
Like-for-like Wholesale 2017A
RetailWholesale
Growth
# of stores
Space (000m²)
14
16.9
11
16.1
16.7%
73
115.6
11
13.6
14
16.9
14.7%
84
133.1
11
Category Contribution to Retail Turnover
% Feb 2017 Feb 2016Dispensary 36 37
Personal care and beauty 27 26
Healthcare and nutrition 21 22
Baby care 6 5
Other 10 10
12
Market Share
Market share increased in all categories
1. Prestige fragrance and cosmetics not included# Nielsons* IMS
% Dec 2016 Dec 2015Dispensary* 21.4 19.6
Personal care and beauty# / 1 15.0 12.4
Healthcare and nutrition# 43.1 38.0
Baby care# 9.1 7.4
% Feb 2017 Feb 2016Fine Wholesale* 25 23
13
Wholesale Turnover
• Wholesale turnover up 22% to R10.9bn
• Wholesale control of own store stock increasedto 78%. Optimum levels between 75% to 80%
• TLC turnover growth increased by 23%
• Fine Wholesale market share increased to 25%from 23%
85%
10%5%
Dis-ChemIndependent pharmaciesTLC
14
Gross Profit
• Retail gross margin improvement due to better trade terms and scale leverage
• Wholesale gross margin maintained
R’m 2017 2016 % change2017
margin %2016
margin %Retail 3 792 3 244 16.9 24.2 23.9
Wholesale 923 763 21.0 8.5 8.5
Intergroup (506) (480) 5.4
Total Group 4 209 3 527 19.4 24.4 23.4
15
Other Income
• Increase in Retail and Wholesale partly due to the renegotiation of Midrand DC lease and certain store leases
• Excluding the above, other income increased by R148 million from better terms and scale leverage
R’m 2017 2016 % changeRetail 611 430 42.1
Wholesale 91 97 -6.2
Intergroup (97) (87) 11.5
Total Group 605 440 37.6
Renegotiated lease terms (109) (92) 18.5
Other income excl renegotiated lease terms 496 348 42.5
16
Operating Expenditure
• Overall costs increased due to costs associated with the increase in Warehouse and Retail space
• It is expected expenses will grow at a lower rate than turnover in the coming financial year
R’m 2017 2016 % changeDepreciation and amortisation 162 151 7.3
Occupancy costs 504 434 16.1
Employment costs 2 038 1 676 21.6
Transaction costs on listing 8 - 100.0
Other operating costs 975 799 22.0
Total Group costs 3 687 3 060 20.5
% of turnover 21.4% 20.3%
17
Operating Profit
• Operating profit increased by 24% to R1 127m
• Retail margin increased by 40 bps while the Wholesale margin was maintained
• The Group’s operating margin increased by 50 bps to 6.5%
R’m 2017 2016 % change2017
margin %2016
margin %Retail 1 102 901 22.3 7.0 6.6
Wholesale 93 71 31.0 0.9 0.8
Intergroup (68) (65) 4.6
Total Group 1 127 907 24.3 6.5 6.0
18
EPS and HEPS
• The decrease in EPS and HEPS is a result of the significant change in weighted average number of shares (WANOS) in FY2017 due to the group restructuring before listing on the JSE
• On the assumption that the WANOS would have remained the same across both the 2017 and 2016 financial year, then HEPS and adjusted HEPS would have increased by 22.5% and 30.8% respectively
Cents per share 2017 2016 % changeEPS 75.0 212.0 -64.6
HEPS 74.7 206.0 -63.7
Adjusted HEPS 69.2 178.8 -61.3
Adjusted HEPS (CY WANOS) 69.2 52.9 30.8
WANOS (millions) 816.6 241.8
19
Adjusted HEPS
R’m 2017 2016 % changeHeadline earnings 610 498 22.5
Items deemed to relate to capital structure of group
Finance lease obligation renegotiation (80) (92)
Operating lease renegotiation (29) -
Items related to neither Retail nor Wholesale day-to-day operations
Fair value loss relating to non-hedging derivative 36 -
Items not expected to reoccur
Transaction costs on listing 8 -
Taxation 20 26
Adjusted headline earnings 565 432 30.8
WANOS (millions) 816.6 241.8
Adjusted headline earnings per share (cps) 69.2 178.8
20
Working Capital
• Improvement in overall working capital due to a concerted effort made by management specifically in regards to average creditors’ days
• The Group is expected to maintain the overall working capital position between 40 and 45 days going forward
2017 2016 % changeDebtors days 20 17 15.3
Inventory days 84 81 4.1
Creditors days 61 48 26.9
Total working capital 43 50
21
Cash Management
1 276 1 384
218
708
800
(69)(214)
(910)(247)
(178)
Cash inflowfrom tradingoperations
Workingcapital
movements
Net sharesissued
Loanreceived
Acquisitionof NCI andsubsidiaries
Capex andproceeds on
disposal
Dividends Tax Net financecosts
Increase incash and cash
equivalents
R’000
22
Capital Management
Continue to invest in capex through new stores, IT and movable equipment in Wholesale
2015 2016 2017Expansion capex (R’m) 169 180 148
Maintenance capex (R’m) 43 45 73
212 225 221
Maintenance capex % of turnover 0.3 0.3 0.4
Total capex % of turnover 1.6 1.5 1.3
23
Medium-term Targets
Achieved 2016 Achieved 2017 2018-2020 targetWorking capital days 50 43 40-45
New store capex (m²) 5 000 5 350 Inflation adjusted
Gross margin (%) 23.4 24.4 24.0-25.0
EBITDA (%) 7.0 7.5 7.0-8.0
Operating margin (%) 6.0 6.5 6.0-7.0
Dividend pay-out ratio (%) 40-50
24
Ivan Saltzman
OUTLOOK
25
Expanding Retail Space
• 21 total new stores in FY18• Total space to be added in FY18 – approximately 26 900m² • First corporate TLC to be opened in FY18• Additional store to be opened in Namibia• Additional 20 stores under final negotiation (predominantly in FY19)• On track to reach 200 stores by 2022/2023• Space and space maturity still the main structural drivers of growth
TotalNumber of stores – February 2017 108
New stores opened until 17 May 4 Trading well
112
New stores to be opened by H1 FY18 5 Leases agreed and licences received
117
New stores to be opened from H1 FY18 to H2 FY18 12 All planned to open before Christmas trade
Number of stores – February 2018 129
26
Retail Density
• Trading density improved
• Trading density underpinned by core pharmacyfirst business model
• Digital enhances density› Click & Collect (100% of stores facilitating
Click & Collect)
› Online platform positioned to cater for growth
87.2 90.595.6
0
20
40
60
80
100
FY15 FY16 FY17
TRADING DENSITY (R000/m²)
27
Alternative formats
• Successful opening of alternative Dis-Chem format in FY17 – 670m² trading store
• Located in a convenience focussed centre
• 90% of the core range delivered
• Trading density at 125 000 per square
• Improved inventory days compared to average size store
• Corporate TLC’s (The Local Choice) to open in H1 FY18 – developing format of 300m² to 600m²
28
Wholesale
• Wholesale space increased to accommodate our future Retail growth and increase in independent fine Wholesale market share
• Target to maintain own store stock ownership from own warehouses between 75% to 80%
• TLC franchises important supply chain tool to leverage off invested Wholesale base and grow supply into independent market
2016 2017 2018Johannesburg (m²) 44 000 44 000 44 000
Cape Town (m²) 2 250 2 250 15 693 To be operational in H1 FY18
Delmas (m²) 2 780 6 030 6 030
Kwa-Zulu Natal (m²) - 14 400 14 400
Total (m²) 49 030 66 680 80 123
29
Outlook
• Inflation is estimated to be approximately 5.5% to 6.5%
• Weak consumer spending environment is expected to continue
• Resilient markets in which group operates offers protection
• Retail› Adding Retail stores to its base and leveraging off invested cost base
› Ensuring dispensary focus to drive total store density
• Wholesale› Growing independent market share
› Investigating pre-distribution market
30
QUESTIONS
31
Disclaimer
This presentation is provided for information purposes only. This is a commercial communication. The information does not include a personalrecommendation and does not constitute an offer, or the solicitation of an offer for the sale or purchase of any financial product, service, investmentor security. The information, investments and/or strategies discussed here may not be suitable for all investors; if you have any doubts you shouldconsult your investment advisor.
This presentation contains certain forward-looking information and statements with respect to the financial condition and results of operations ofthe Dis-Chem Group. Dis-Chem Group has made every reasonable effort to ensure the accuracy of the information in the presentation, butforward-looking information by their very nature involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that mayoccur in the future. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
No assurance can be given that the forward-looking information and statements will prove to be correct and undue reliance should not be placedon such statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking information or statements include,but not limited to: global and local economic conditions; changes in legislations; changes to International Financial Reporting Standards andinterpretations; changes in trading space; changes in working capital ratios and changes in margins achieved.
The Dis-Chem Group does not undertake to update or revise any of the forward-looking information or statements, whether to reflect new or futureevents and no liability is accepted by the Dis-Chem Group whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising out of reliance upon all or anypart of the information contained in this presentation.