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  • �1

  • ""

    Content

    A Note from Chris 3

    Introduction 4

    Overview 6

    Solitary Candlesticks 7

    Momentum 10

    When Momentum Is Lost 17

    Long Shadows 19

    Rejection 20

    Reverse Rejection 22

    Summary 25

    Relative Candlesticks 26

    Relative Momentum 27

    Understanding Candle Patterns 31

    Anchor Candles 33

    Reverse Candlestick Psychology 39

    How Reversal Patterns Work 43

    No Man’s Land 45

    Reading Price Action 46

    Candlestick Trading Principles 59

    Momentum Candle Completion 59

    Multiple Time Frame Perspective 61

    Parting Words 63

    ""

    �2

  • ""

    A Note from Chris

    Hi, this is Chris Lee from PipMavens.com and I’d like to congratulate you on

    taking the next step in your trading education!

    Candlesticks are one of the most misunderstood aspects of trading, and this

    book is designed to teach you how to interpret them properly.

    Amateur traders think candlestick analysis is all about ‘continuation’ and

    ‘reversal’ patterns… but in practice, there’s much more to it than meets the

    eye.

    Every trading chart tells a story, and candlesticks are the sentences that tell

    that story. This book will teach you the fundamentals of price action, so you’ll

    never have to memorise another candlestick pattern.

    Once you understand the language of candlesticks, you’ll be able to tell what

    any market is up to just be looking at a bare candlestick chart!

    Take the time to read each section carefully, and keep coming back to review

    these concepts — you’ll often find a few ideas you didn’t catch on the first

    read.

    By the time you’re done with this book, you’ll be light years ahead of your

    trading peers.

    Congratulations again for making the right choice.

    """"

    �3

  • """

    Introduction "

    Being a trader is very much like being a detective. Imagine you’re a detective

    who’s trying to solve a murder case… what’s the first thing you’ll have to do?

    "You’ll have to conduct a general survey of the crime scene, question the

    witnesses and try to determine the motives of the suspects. This will give you

    a general idea of how, why, when and by whom the crime was committed.

    "But that’s not enough to solve the case, is it? General ideas are not enough…

    you’ll need to gather evidence to support your claims.

    "And so you zoom-in on the details of the crimes scene. You dust for

    fingerprints, test for DNA, and go though the video recordings before, during

    and after the crime was committed.

    "All evidence must point to the same suspect in order for him to be convicted of

    the crime. Without the evidence, you can’t solve the case.

    ""

    But… what has this got to do with trading? "You see, profitable trading involves this exact same process.

    "You’ll first have to step back and take a look at the big picture: What’s the

    market trend? Where are the major support and resistance levels? What’s the

    outlook of the U.S. dollar over the next couple of weeks?

    "�4

  • """These are all questions that will give you a rough idea of where the market is

    headed.

    "But just like in the detective analogy, this information alone should not be

    convincing enough for you to take any action… you’ll need to zoom-in on the

    candlestick activity to confirm your suspicions before placing a trade.

    "Candlestick analysis is how you’ll gather evidence to support your

    trading decisions.

    "The focus of this book is to teach you to understand and appreciate the

    ongoing “story” of the market, and to identify the evidence you need to make

    effective trading decisions.

    "Once you understand how to properly interpret candlesticks, you’ll be able to

    enter and exit the market with pinpoint accuracy, and maximum profits.

    """""""""""""

    �5

  • ""

    Overview "

    This book is organised into 4 main sections:

    "1. Solitary Candlesticks

    "We’ll begin by introducing candlesticks that have a significance on their own.

    These are single candlesticks that convey a particular message about what’s

    happening right now in the market.

    "2. Relative Candlesticks

    "Next, we’ll look at how neighbouring candles can give you a clearer picture of

    the recent price action. We’ll expand on the concepts covered in the previous

    section, and apply them across a series of candlesticks. This is where we’ll

    uncover the story of the market simply by looking at a bare candlestick chart.

    "Then, we’ll take a look at Anchor candlesticks before moving on to discuss the

    psychological support/resistance areas inherent in all candlesticks.

    "3. Reading Price Action

    "This is where we’ll practice applying everything we’ve learned on a live chart

    example.

    "4. Candlestick Trading Principles

    "Finally, we’ll go through a couple of time-tested principles to enhance the

    effectiveness of trading with candlesticks.

    "�6

  • """

    Solitary Candlesticks ""If you’re new to candlesticks, here’s a quick primer:

    "What’s a candlestick?

    "A candlestick is a graphical summary of market price movements within a

    period of time. It can represent price movements that occurred over a period

    of 1 minute; 5 minutes; 15 minutes; 30 minutes; 1 hour; 4 hours; 1 day; 1

    week; or 1 month.

    "Here’s what a candlestick looks like:

    "The thick portion is known as the real body, and the thin portions are known

    as the shadows.

    "So what does the real body and shadow tell us about how the market price

    moved?

    """

    �7

  • ""First of all, remember that each candlestick represents how prices moved over

    a specific period of time. Let’s assume that the candlestick below represents

    price movement over a 1 hour period.

    "The ‘open’ level indicates the market price at the

    start of the hour.

    "The ‘close’ level indicates the market price at the end

    of the hour.

    "The ‘high’ and ‘low’ indicate the highest and lowest

    prices that were traded within that 1 hour,

    respectively.

    "You may have wondered at this point why the candlestick is green. Most

    trading platforms will allow you to change the colour of the candlesticks on

    your charts, so it doesn’t really matter.

    "For the rest of this book however, I’ll use green to represent a bullish

    candlestick, and red to represent a bearish candlestick.

    "What’s a bullish/ bearish candlestick?

    "A bullish candlestick represents market prices that generally moved up over

    the period of the candlestick.

    "If you look at the 1 hour candlestick (above), you’ll see that the ‘close’ price is

    higher than the ‘open’ price. This means that in that 1 hour, the market price

    moved from the ‘open’ price, up to the ‘close’ price.

    "�8

  • ""And now here’s a bearish candlestick:

    "It shows how prices moved down over the time

    period of the candlestick.

    "Bearish candlesticks are usually represented by the

    colour red or black.

    "The only difference between a bullish candle and a bearish candle is where the

    opening and closing prices are located. For a bull candle, the closing price is

    always higher than the opening price. For a bear candle, the closing price is

    always lower than the opening price.

    "In this way, a candlestick chart basically displays a series of opening, closing,

    high and low prices over time:

    �9

  • """

    Momentum "

    This is one of the most important concepts candlestick analysis, so pay close

    attention…

    "Now, what is price momentum?

    "Price momentum is an approximation of the strength of a price move.

    "As a start, we can gauge the momentum of a candlestick by the length of the

    real body:

    "• The longer the real body, the stronger the momentum • The shorter the real body, the weaker the momentum "Now try to answer this question:

    "Which of these candlesticks shows stronger momentum?

    Take a moment to think about this, and proceed only after you’ve decided on

    your answer.

    "�10

  • ""Did you guess the candlestick on the right? If you did, good job!

    "So how do we know that the candlestick on the right had stronger momentum?

    "Answer: Because prices closed further (i.e. higher) up, or, because the candle

    had a longer real body.

    "Simple, huh.

    "But that’s not all… there’s more to this.

    "You see, the length of the shadows matters as well.

    "Here’s what I mean:

    "As you can see, the longer the shadows, the weaker the momentum.

    "Now think about this: why do long shadows indicate weak momentum?

    """

    �11

  • ""Ready for the answer?

    "..

    "Because long shadows tell us that the market price did not move

    strongly in one direction. Long shadows are the result of significant

    fluctuation of the market price.

    "Fluctuating prices are like a swerving car… they have trouble accelerating in

    one direction because they are not moving in a straight line.

    "To illustrate this concept, here’s an example of how the market price moved

    over the duration of each candlestick:

    "Can you see that for the left candlestick, prices fluctuated a lot more compared

    to the candlestick on the right?

    "In this way, long shadows indicate a greater hesitation of prices moving in one

    direction.

    �12

  • ""Said another way:

    "There is strong momentum when the market price moves in one

    direction without hesitating or fluctuating too much.

    "Got it?

    "So now, by simply looking at the real body and shadows of a single

    candlestick, you can gauge the strength (i.e. momentum) of a price move.

    
Umm, that’s nice and everything…

    But how do I use this information? "

    Good question!

    "Here’s the thing you should know: the stronger the price momentum, the

    less likely the market price will reverse immediately afterwards.

    "Think of price momentum as price inertia.

    "Like a speeding car, the faster the market price moves, the harder it is to slow

    down, stop and turn around.

    "In other words: When price momentum is strong, the market price is

    more likely to continue moving in the same direction.

    "Here are two chart examples that show how a candle with strong momentum

    can predict future price moves:

    "�13

  • "

    �14

  • ""So remember: the stronger the price momentum, the more likely prices will

    continue moving in the same direction.

    "There is however, one exception to this.

    "When a high-impact economic indicator is released, the market price can move

    with strong momentum in both directions, in succession. During such periods,

    price momentum is no longer a reliable predictor of future price moves.

    ""

    Economic Indicator Releases "In the world of finance, economic indicator releases are highly-anticipated

    events that are closely watched by the professionals.

    "You should avoid trading during these periods (especially if you’re new), as

    they involve macroeconomic topics that most beginner traders are unfamiliar

    with.

    "Important: All types of technical analysis (including candlestick analysis) is

    likely to be ineffective during high-impact news releases.

    "You can get the schedule of the economic news releases at this website:

    www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

    "Before taking a trade, you are strongly advised to first check this website to

    ensure you are not entering the market ahead of a high-impact release.

    "Here are a couple of examples that show how price momentum can be

    ineffective during these periods: �15

    http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

  • �16

  • """

    When Momentum is Lost "

    Most of the time, the market price moves with relatively weak momentum.

    "And as you’ve learned in the previous section, weak momentum is indicated by

    a candlestick with a small real body, and/or long shadows.

    "But what does weak momentum mean?

    "For the most part, it indicates market indecision.

    "This means that there is no consensus amongst the buyers and sellers, so the

    market price remains more or less stagnant.

    "And as you might have guessed, this is not a good time to enter a trade,

    especially after prices have remained stagnant for some time.

    "A common type of candlestick you’ll see during periods of extreme indecision is

    the Doji:

    "The Doji looks like a cross because the opening price is the same (or very near

    to) the closing price. Therefore, this candlestick has effectively no real body.

    "�17

  • ""Many trading books and websites claim that a Doji candlestick indicates a

    change of market direction, and that you should enter a trade in the opposite

    direction of the prior trend.

    "But now that you know that a Doji candle merely indicates indecision, do you

    agree with this saying?

    "… Not necessarily, right?

    "Well think about this:

    "Should you enter a trade when the buyers (or sellers) are pushing prices in

    one direction (i.e. with momentum)?

    "Or when the buyers (or sellers) are unable to push prices in either direction

    (i.e. with indecision)?

    "When you learn the facts and start thinking for yourself, you’ll find that much

    of the information published on the internet is dead wrong!

    "As you might have realised, this book is not about telling you what to do… it’s

    about teaching you to think for yourself.

    "The concepts we’ll cover here are the mental tools and frameworks you’ll need

    to make your own decisions. In my opinion, this is the only effective way to

    learn to about trading.

    "Now if you’re ready to move on to the next section, let’s continue.

    ""

    �18

  • """

    Long Top/Bottom Shadow "OK, so we know that a candlestick with long shadows indicates market

    indecision…

    "… but what if only one of the shadows is long, like this?

    "

    When we see a candlestick with only one long shadow, it means that one side

    of the market (i.e. buyers or sellers) tried to push prices in their direction, but

    the other side has pushed back.

    "In trader-speak, we say that one side of the market has been rejected.

    "Let’s see what this means…

    """""""""

    �19

  • ""

    Rejection "A single long top shadow indicates that the buyers in the market tried to push

    prices up, but the sellers are strong enough to push prices back down again.

    "Since the buyers in the market were unable to keep prices at high levels, we

    say that a long top shadow represents buyer rejection.

    "Conversely, a long bottom shadow indicates that the sellers in the market

    tried to push prices down, but the buyers were strong enough to push prices

    up again.

    �20

  • ""Because the sellers in the market were unable to keep prices at low levels, we

    say that a long bottom shadow represents seller rejection.

    "When we see a rejection candle after prices have been trending (i.e. moving in

    one direction) for some time, it means that the trend is likely come to a halt.

    "In other words, a rejection candle indicates the likely exhaustion of a

    prior price trend.

    "In the chart below, notice how the rejection candles predicted the end of the

    prior price trend.

    "

    """

    �21

  • ""Unlike a candlestick with strong momentum (where one side of the market is

    already dominating the other), a rejection candle indicates a potential

    turning point where one side just begins to dominate the other.

    "Thus, rejection candles indicate a higher chance of prices moving in the

    opposite direction of the shadow.

    ""

    Reverse Rejection "Reverse rejection refers to a situation where a rejection candle incorrectly

    predicts a turning point of a price trend.

    "The best way to understand how this works is with an example:

    "Here, we see the market moving down. The latest candle shows a long bottom

    shadow, indicating seller rejection. This may be a good time to enter a ‘buy’

    trade.

    "�22

  • ""But what happened next?

    "Three candles later, we see that prices have NOT continued to move up.

    "This is unusual because prices typically reverse within 2-3 candles after a

    rejection candle.

    "When we don’t see a quick reversal after a rejection candle, it means that the

    rejection signal is likely to have failed.

    "In that case, prices are now likely to keep moving in the same direction as the

    prior trend (in this case, down).

    "It would thus be a good idea to close any ‘buy’ trades, and ‘sell’ instead.

    "Let’s see what happens…

    """

    �23

  • "Indeed, prices continued to fall and any ‘sell’ trades would now be in profit. ""This is a simple, yet effective method of quickly cutting losses and getting on

    the right side of the market.

    """""

    �24

    As a rule of thumb, reverse rejection occurs when prices close

    halfway (or more) of the long shadow of the rejection candle.

  • ""

    OK great!

    But which of these concepts is the most accurate? "Be careful not to fall into the trap of thinking in terms of ‘most accurate’ and

    ‘least accurate’. I say this because trading with candlesticks is NOT about

    looking for a single high-probability signal.

    "Instead, we want to look out for multiple signals that all point to the same

    prediction of where prices are likely to go.

    "It’s about accessing the situation based on both confirming and conflicting

    signals, and then making a judgement call about where prices are most likely

    to move next. We’ll talk more about this in the later sections.

    ""

    Summary "1. Strong price momentum indicates a higher probability of prices continuing

    to move in the same direction.

    2. Weak price momentum indicates market indecision.

    3. A rejection candle indicates a higher probability of prices moving in the

    opposite direction of the shadow.

    4. Reverse rejection indicates a higher probability of prices continuing to move

    in the direction of the existing trend.

    5. Successful trading involves multiple confirming signals, not a single “high-

    probability” signal.

    6. Avoid trading just before, and during the release of high-impact economic

    indicators.

    "�25

  • """

    Relative Candlesticks ""While a single candlestick helps us identify the strength of a price move, a

    group of candlesticks helps us understand the context of that price move.

    "Allow me to illustrate this with a question:

    If we look at this single candlestick, we might say that the market is bullish.

    "However, if we take a step back and look at the candle before it…

    "… then we might come to a different conclusion.

    �26

  • ""This is essentially what relative candlestick analysis is about. It shows us how

    current prices are moving in relation to past price movements.

    "As seen in this example, a single bullish candle doesn’t necessarily mean the

    market is bullish. To make a better judgement, we’ll have to take a look at the

    bigger picture. This is why single candlestick analysis is not enough — we have

    to learn about relative candlesticks too.

    ""

    Relative Momentum "Remember how we talked about momentum before?

    "The same principle can be applied to a cluster of candlesticks.

    "Here’s how.

    "Let’s assume that we see a candle with strong bullish momentum, and enter a

    ‘buy’ trade:

    �27

  • ""Some time later, prices continued moving in the direction of the bullish

    momentum:

    "At this point, the bullish momentum remains strong, as the upward movement

    is relatively steep.

    "Eventually though, we will see a slowing of this momentum. The market price

    will not continue moving with strong momentum forever.

    "To identity weakening momentum, we’ll be looking out for the following signs:

    "• the price move becomes less and less steep; and/or • the candlestick real bodies get smaller "Let see what this looks like…

    """"

    �28

  • "When an ongoing trade is sitting on a paper profit, slowing momentum is the

    first signal for us to consider closing (at least) a portion of the trade, and

    booking some profits.

    "Why? Because there is now a higher chance of prices reversing from there.

    ""

    �29

    "Note: This does NOT mean we should taking a trade in the opposite direction

    (in this case, to enter a new sell trade).

    "In most cases, weakening momentum alone is not a good reason to enter a

    trade. Remember, we want to have multiple confirming factors before making

    that decision.

  • ""Next, we see what looks like a price reversal.

    "If we didn’t notice the slowing down of momentum and closed our trade earlier,

    we would have lost a big portion of our profits by now!

    "Now, in the chart above we can see that the most recent candlestick is

    showing strong momentum to the downside, so we know there’s a higher

    chance of a complete reversal (rather than for prices to bounce back up from

    here).

    "And if we did not close the ‘buy’ trade earlier, this would be the time to do so.

    "Now take a few moments to go through the example again. There are a

    number of things going on at the same time and you want to make sure you

    thoroughly understand the concept of relative momentum before moving on.

    """

    �30

  • """

    Understanding Candle Patterns

    (without memorising) "If you’re been following so far, this next question should be easy for you to

    answer.

    "What does this situation tell you about where the market price is more likely to

    be headed? Up or down?

    "Take a moment to think about your answer based on the concepts we’ve

    covered.

    "..

    "Ready for the answer?

    "..

    ..

    "Did you guess that prices are more likely to move up?

    ""

    �31

  • ""Let’s examine why:

    "Candles 1 and 2 indicate that the market is on a downtrend. But although

    candle 1 shows strong downward momentum, we can see a slowing down of

    this momentum in candle 2 (candle 2 has a smaller real body).

    "Next, we see candle 3 showing strong upward momentum, as it (more than)

    covers the body of candle 2. This is an indication of weakness of the sellers in

    the market, as the buyers completely overwhelm them.

    "You may realise that Candles 2 and 3 form a candlestick pattern called the

    ‘engulfing’ pattern… but now that you understand the basics of price action,

    you won’t have to memorise any patterns at all.

    "All you have to do is apply the concept of momentum, and you’ll be able read

    candle patterns right away. Everything you need to know is already in your

    head!

    """""""

    �32

  • """

    Anchor Candles "Occasionally, prices will reverse without any prior indication.

    "In those situations, how do we know whether a counter-trend move is going to

    be a temporary pullback, or a full-blown reversal?

    "Here’s the trick…

    "You’ll first have to identify what I call an ‘Anchor’ candlestick.

    "An Anchor candle is basically a candlestick with a significantly longer

    body than the surrounding candlesticks.

    "Example:

    """�33

  • """Another example:

    ""There’s no scientific rule to determine an Anchor candlestick. Simply use your

    judgement — they’re pretty easy to find. If you’re having trouble looking for

    one, it probably isn’t there.

    "Now here’s the rule about Anchor candles:

    "When a candlestick closes past the opening price of the Anchor candle,

    a reversal is likely to happen.

    "If not, it’s market price is likely to just be making a temporary

    pullback.

    "Here’s what I mean…

    """""

    �34

  • "Here, we see prices moving up and forming an Anchor candlestick. Two candles

    later, the market closed past the opening price of the Anchor, and the prices

    subsequently reversed.

    "Here’s another example:

    �35

  • """Another example:

    "The market moved up with a strong anchor, and then dropped back down. This

    looks like a reversal… but is it really?

    "What do you think?

    "Let’s see what happened next…

    """"""""

    �36

  • "

    ""Ah… it turned out to be a strong pullback!

    "Could we have known it was probably a pullback beforehand?

    "The answer is yes! If you look closely, the market price did not close past the

    opening price of the Anchor candlestick.

    """"""""""

    �37

  • """Here’s one last example:

    "This one is pretty straight forward. Prices dropped significantly, forming an

    obvious Anchor candle.

    "Then two candlestick later, the market closed past the opening price of the

    Anchor, confirming the reversal. Subsequently, prices continued in the direction

    of the reversal.

    "Take a moment now to open up your trading charts and see if you can identify

    any Anchor candles. Notice how the market price “threatens” to reverse, but

    only truly does so after there is a close past the opening price of the Anchor.

    "Do this exercise a few times and you’ll see how this is a reliable way to tell a

    reversal apart from a mere pullback.

    """

    �38

  • """

    Reversal Candlestick Psychology "This is a simple yet effective method of identifying where a ready pool of

    buyers and sellers are in the market.

    "Did you know that a single candlestick (on its own) is by its nature, an

    area of support/resistance?

    "Let’s take the example of a bull candle:

    "A bull candle tells us there is a larger volume of buyers than sellers (nothing

    new here). But this information is based on something that has already

    happened. How does this help us make trading decisions in the future?

    "Well, a bull candle indicates the range of prices where there is a ready

    pool of sellers in the future.

    "Does this make sense?

    "OK, imagine…

    "You’ve just entered a ‘buy’ trade, and prices start moving up — that’s great!

    Your trade is making money.

    �39

  • ""Soon, however, you see that prices are starting to move back down again…

    your trade is still making money, but the market price is now moving towards

    to your entry point. What would you do?

    "If you’re like most traders, you’ll hang on to the trade… and wait for prices to

    move up again.

    "But what happens when prices continue to move even closer to your entry

    point? What do you think most traders would do in this situation?

    "They will move their stop loss to the break-even price. By now, most

    traders would be looking to get out of the trade with no loss if prices move

    back to their entry price.

    "And so, all the traders who entered a ‘buy’ trade within this bull candle are

    now looking to SELL to close the trade.

    "In tho way, a bull candle represents the range of prices where the previous

    buyers would be looking to ‘sell’ to close their trade.

    ""

    �40

    A bull candle indicates the price range where a group of traders

    is looking to SELL.

    "A bear candle indicates the price range where a group of traders is

    looking to BUY.

  • ""On a practical level, it would be too tedious to apply this concept to every

    candlestick on the trading chart.

    "A better (more effective) way to use this concept is to apply it to situations

    with a series of consecutive bull or bear candles.

    "Example:

    Prices have been falling sharply with a series of consecutive bearish candles.

    "This is where there is a large pool of traders waiting to close their ‘sell’ trades

    (with ‘buy’ orders).

    "And now, the latest (bullish) candlestick shows that the selling momentum is

    slowing down.

    "If the buyers in this market manage to push prices high enough, the previous

    sellers will exit their trades (with closing ‘buy’ orders) and add to the buying

    pressure.

    "�41

  • ""When this happens, the market will shoot up quickly, like a row of dominos as

    each closing trade pushes the market price even higher.

    "This simple but rarely applied knowledge will help you decide if you should

    keep an existing trade open, or if you should consider opening a new trade to

    take advantage of the situation.

    "(By the way, did you also notice the bearish Anchor candle? Did you see how a

    close above its opening price signalled the reversal?)

    "Remember: Although I’m describing each concept separately, in practice they

    should all be applied simultaneously.

    """""

    �42

  • """

    How Reversal Patterns Work "Reversal candlestick psychology is one of the reasons why reversal patterns

    are such effective predictors of price reversals.

    "Here’s why:

    In the above diagram, the bullish engulfing pattern has formed and the market

    is now moving up.

    "The previous sellers (from the bearish candlestick) are now sitting on paper

    losses, and will be looking to exit their trades at break-even (or so they hope)

    with ‘buy’ orders, thus forming an area of support.

    "If prices move back down into the range of the bearish candlestick body, the

    sellers will quickly close their ‘sell’ trades (with ‘buy’ orders), which pushes the

    market price up again.

    �43

  • ""Similarly, after a bearish engulfing pattern has formed and prices continue to

    move down, the previous sellers (from the bullish candlestick) are sitting on

    paper losses and will be looking to exit their trades at break-even with ‘sell’

    orders, forming an area of resistance.

    "If prices move back up into the range of the bull candlestick body, the previous

    buyers will immediately exit their trades (with ‘sell’ orders), pushing the

    market price down again.

    "This is a useful concept to consider when looking to enter or exit your trades.

    """""""

    �44

  • """

    No Man’s Land 


    The concepts we’ve covered so far involves the crucial periods when the

    market signals to us where it’s likely to go in the near future.

    "However, these signals do not often appear. In fact, most of the time the

    market price will move randomly and will not show a tendency

    towards any particular direction.

    "This is when the market is in no man’s land, and we do not want to be

    entering trades during this period.

    "So how do we know when the market price is in ‘no man’s land’?

    "For now, we can simply assume ‘no man’s land’ to be in any situation when the

    price momentum is weakening.

    "As traders, our job is to be constantly aware of how the market price is

    moving: is it moving with strong momentum? Or is it mindlessly fluctuating

    about in no-man’s land?

    "Our assessment of the situation will determine if we should be looking to enter

    a trade, or to be staying out of the market.

    "All right! This wraps up the fundamental concepts of price action. Let’s now put

    these concepts to the test!

    """

    �45

  • """

    Reading Price Action "There are 4 steps to reading price action:

    "1. Observing how prices moved in the past

    2. Observing how prices are moving now, in relation to the past

    3. Predicting where prices are not likely to go next

    4. Considering the possibilities of where prices may go next

    "The first two steps require us to interpret the current state of the market:

    "• Who is in charge of the market right now? The buyers or sellers?

    • For how long have they been pushing prices in their direction?

    • How strong is the momentum?

    • Does the momentum look sustainable?

    "Based on our answers to these questions, we can estimate where the market

    price is not likely to move to, in the immediate future.

    "With those options eliminated, we are finally left with just a few of possibilities

    of where prices are likely to move to next.

    "Armed with this knowledge, we will be in a much better position to enter and

    exit our trades with precision.

    "Let’s give it a go, shall we?

    """

    �46

  • """

    Time for an exercise! "Now let’s go through an example to see if you’re on the right track.

    "The recent price action indicates a mostly ranging market:

    "The last two (bear) candles indicate that the market price is moving down…

    but if we look at the overall picture we can see that there is no strong

    momentum in either direction.

    "So at this point, it’s safe to say that the market is right now in ‘no man’s land’.

    "And what do we do when the market is in ‘no man’s land’? That’s right, we’ll

    stand aside and do absolutely nothing.

    "Let’s wait for the market to first make its move.

    "�47

  • """

    !

    ""Suddenly, we see a huge bear candle.

    "The market price has moved with strong momentum, and this is when we will

    prepare to enter a trade.

    "For now, we won’t be concerned about specific entry techniques. At this stage,

    the most important thing is to know how to:

    "• Interpret what the market is doing • Tell when we shouldn’t be entering a trade • Tell when we can consider entering a trade "So let’s access the current situation…

    """

    �48

  • "

    "At this point, we can consider taking a (sell) trade because all the signs point

    to a follow-through of the bearish momentum.

    "For the sake of practice, let’s hypothetically assume that we enter a sell trade

    right here.

    "Now let’s see what happens next…

    """""

    �49

    "• Who is in charge of the market right now? The buyers or sellers?

    "The sellers.

    "• For how long have they been pushing prices in their direction?

    "Just in the latest candlestick. This is the first strong bearish move.

    "• How strong is the momentum?

    "It’s the strongest move in recent history.

    "• Does the momentum look sustainable?

    "Yes. There is no indication of the slowing down of momentum.

  • "Yes! The trade is in profit!

    "But we must now be careful, because the bearish momentum looks to be

    slowing down.

    "We know the momentum is slowing down because:

    "1. The bearish candle bodies have gotten smaller; and

    2. A bullish candle approximately the same size of the previous bearish candle

    has formed.

    "Now, let’s access this new situation.

    "�50

  • "

    "With the slowing down of bearish momentum, there is now a lower chance of

    the market price continuing to move down, compared to when we first entered

    the trade.

    "Thus, we will now be looking out for signs of a bullish reversal. (Hint: where is

    the latest Anchor candle?)

    "�51

    "• Who is in charge of the market right now? The buyers or sellers?

    "The sellers continue to be in charge.

    "• For how long have they been pushing prices in their direction?

    "Prices have been pushed down over the past 4-5 candles. The bulls have not

    been able to push back with much strength at all.

    "• How strong is the momentum?

    "The overall (big picture) bearish momentum remains strong, but the latest 1-2

    candlesticks indicate that the momentum is slowing down.

    "• Does the momentum look sustainable?

    "At this point, yes.

    "As long as we do not see a strong bullish candle or a reversal signal, the bearish

    momentum is more likely to continue, than not.

  • """Our priority is to protect as much of our paper profits as possible, and we will

    do this by closing our (sell) trade at the first sign of a potential price reversal.

    "Let’s see what happens next…

    "

    ! "The market made a (bullish) pullback… but the pullback has now flattened out.

    "What do we do here?

    "Well, let’s access the situation…

    "

    �52

  • "With no indication of a reversal, we can continue holding on to our ‘sell’ trade

    for now.

    "Let’s see what happened next.

    �53

    "• Who is in charge of the market right now? The buyers or sellers?

    "On the whole, the sellers remain in in charge. The buyers have only managed

    to push prices back up approximately 30% of the bearish move.

    "• For how long have they been pushing prices in their direction?

    "They have not been able to push prices back in their direction for the past 12

    candlesticks.

    "• How strong is the (bearish) momentum?

    "The bullish pullback looks relatively significant and has clearly slowed down

    the initial bearish momentum.

    "• Does the (bearish) momentum look sustainable?

    "Prices have not closed above the opening price of the latest bearish Anchor

    candle (you spotted it, didn’t you?), but it is coming close to doing so.

    "As long as prices don’t make a further bullish move, the bearish momentum

    is more likely to continue than otherwise.

  • ""As it turns out, the bearish move soon resumed and the market price made a

    new low.

    "However, we now see that the bearish momentum has weakened again and the

    latest candlestick shows strong bullish momentum.

    "So… what do you think? Is this a reversal? Should we close our ‘sell’ trade

    here? (Hint: where’s the latest bear Anchor candle?)

    "Let’s take a look at what happened next…

    "�54

  • ""As it turns out, the market price did not close above the opening price of the

    latest Anchor candle, and the market sellers are still going strong.

    "So is now a good time to enter a new ‘sell’ trade?

    "Let’s take a step back and look at the overall picture by comparing the

    strength of the initial bearish move with the recent bearish move.

    """""

    �55

  • "Do you see how the latest bearish move is significantly weaker than the initial

    bearish move?

    "If we step back and look at the bigger picture, we can see that the overall

    bearish momentum has clearly slowed down.

    "So unless there’s a compelling reason for the market to keep moving down

    from here, now is not a good time to be entering the market with a new ‘sell’

    trade.

    "In fact, this looks like a good time for us to close our initial ‘sell’ trade to book

    the profit!

    �56

  • ""Now let’s continue on…

    "So what happened here?

    "First of all, prices continued to move down slightly… but we soon see one

    reversal signal followed by another: the market closed above 2 Anchor candles.

    "And, notice the bullish strength of the latest candle.

    "These are all signs that point to the growing strength of the market buyers.

    "At this stage, we should be very concerned about a (bullish) reversal!

    �57

  • "

    "As it turns out, our concern was warranted. Prices continued to move up as we

    expected.

    "How did we know beforehand that this was likely to happen? Did we have a

    magic crystal ball?

    "Nope… we clearly saw weakening bearish momentum, followed by prices

    closing above the opening price of 2 consecutive bearish Anchor candles. All

    the signs were there!

    "And now, we see a long top shadow on the latest candle… so what do you think

    is most likely to happen next?

    "�58

  • "Did you guess that prices are likely to reverse back down again?

    "And notice, how prices consistently closed below the bullish Anchor candles…

    so we know that the market price is most likely to continue moving down from

    here.

    "Can you see how we use the same few concepts over and over again to read

    the market? We don’t have a crystal ball to predict market prices, but this is

    pretty darn close!

    "So keep applying these concepts, and your trading will improve by leaps and

    bounds.

    "�59

  • """

    Candlestick Trading Principles " "As you practice trading with candlesticks, there are two principles you need to

    be aware of. These principles will help clarify many of the market situations

    that you may be confused or uncertain about.

    ""

    1. Momentum Candle Completion "This is something often ignored by amateur traders when they see a market

    move and try to chase it. Here’s a typical example on the 1 hour chart:

    "The time now is 4.30pm

    �60

  • ""Amateur traders get excited when they see the market move and scramble to

    enter a trade.

    "But in their excitement, they forgot that the latest candle has not completely

    formed yet!

    "And here’s what happens when the hour is up:

    "The time now is 5.00pm

    "The candle has fully formed, and prices shot back down again. This was a false

    momentum move!

    "If those traders had waited for the hour to be up before considering to take the

    trade, they would have avoided this unpleasant situation.

    �61

  • ""So here’s the principle to follow:

    "This simple idea will save you from lost capital and unnecessary frustration

    down the road.

    ""

    2. Multiple Time Frame Perspective "This is another principle that new traders tend to be unaware of.

    "Allow me to illustrate this principle with a question:

    Try to answer the question as best you can. "".. "Ready for the answer?

    �62

    Only trade off a momentum candle after it closes.

  • """"Of course, this is a trick question… well, sort of.

    "The point I’m trying to make here is that sometimes, you can’t tell how bullish

    or bearish a candle is simply by looking at a single time frame.

    "Let’s now take a look at these 1 hour candles by zooming in to their respective

    15 minute time frames.

    "Take a moment to compare candles A and B this time:

    "Although they look the same on the 1 hour time chart, when we look at the 15

    minute chart they depict different situations!

    "In this case, candle A is clearly more bullish.

    �63

  • ""This example illustrates the importance of looking at the market from different

    perspectives (i.e. on different time frames).

    "It’s how we can get a more detailed picture of market price moves.


    "Where possible, we want the to see the same signals across different time

    frame charts before opening or closing our trades.

    ""

    Parting Words "Before we get to the end of this book I would like to emphasise again, that

    although we’ve covered each concept here separately, in practice we will apply

    them all at the same time.

    "Successful trading is about taking action only when the odds are in your

    favour… and you now have the knowledge to identify those situations.

    "Often, the candlesticks will show multiple signs of where the market price will

    move next, and this gives you a huge advantage over other traders who don’t

    understand the language of price action.

    "With time and practice, you’ll gain an appreciation of the likelihood of the

    market price moving in both directions, and this is when you’ll have gained the

    skill of uncovering the story of the market simply by looking at a bare price

    chart.

    "Keep practising these concepts, and the future direction of the market will soon

    become intuitive to you.

    "�64

  • """

    Now Go Make Some Money! "Congratulations on making it to the end of the book. The concepts you’ve

    learned have been carefully selected and explained to give you the best chance

    of success… so please follow them carefully!

    "Take the time to re-read this book a few times over, and make sure you

    understand everything thoroughly.

    "When you’re ready, start practicing and it will all come together nicely for you.

    "Good luck, trade safely, and I’ll talk to you again soon.

    ""All the best,

    """"

    www.pipmavens.com

    �65