regional-scale modeling and emissions analyses in support of ace-asia

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Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia CFORS Team: Kyushu/Argonne/Iowa G. Carmichael, I. Uno, D. Streets, Y. Tang, J. Woo, S. Guttikunda, N. Thongboonchoo, S. Sataka, G. Kurata, J. Yienger, M. Uematsu, N. Sugimoto, B. Huebert, T. Clarke, T. Bates, T. Quinn, R. Weber, H. Friedli, T. Chen, B. Blomquist

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Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia. CFORS Team: Kyushu/Argonne/Iowa - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of

Ace-Asia

CFORS Team:

Kyushu/Argonne/Iowa

G. Carmichael, I. Uno, D. Streets, Y. Tang, J. Woo, S. Guttikunda, N. Thongboonchoo, S.

Sataka, G. Kurata, J. Yienger, M. Uematsu, N. Sugimoto, B. Huebert, T. Clarke, T. Bates, T.

Quinn, R. Weber, H. Friedli, T. Chen, B. Blomquist

Page 2: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

BC at surface BC C-130 #11 April 19th

Page 3: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

April 9 April 12

Asian Outflow: Complex Mixture of Dust, Bio, and

Fossil Components

Data: Sugimoto, et al.

Poster: A11A0060

Sataka et al.

Page 4: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

TUMM Lidar profilefor April 10, 2001

CFORS Forecasts Sometimes Under-predicted Elevated Dust

Layers

TOMS AI April 10

PDF main parts

???

CFORS Dust

Beijing Lidar experience = 0.1 / km -> 178g/m3

Elevateddust layer

Tokyo

Poster: Mon. A12B-0151 Uno et al.

Page 5: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

Ron Brownobserved high AOD

in Japan Sea

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

El A

l &

Ca (

ug/m

3)

10510095908580

Jday (UTC)

400

300

200

100

0

DU

ST_C

FO

RS (

ug/m

3)

totElAl 'DUST-fine_CFORS' 'DUST-all_CFORS' totElCa

Takla makan

Gobi

Log10(Dust)

AOD

Observed Al and model dust

Lidar Ext.Of Ron Brown= 0.2/kmThis may be Miyakejima sulfate

Plate 2Poster: Mon. A11A-0049 Bates et al.

Page 6: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

BC

SO4

Page 7: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

Color code Color code indicates indicates plume age plume age in days in days from that from that citycity

1457 1457 out of out of 29942994

No.

of

Poin

ts

Characterization of Emissions usingBack Trajectory Analysis -- ACE-Asia

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Beijin

g

Tianjia

n

Wuhan

Taiyu

an

Guangzh

ou

Hongko

ng

Guiya

ng

Chongqing

Santou

Qingdao

Shanghai

Seoul-In

chon

Pusa

n

Kinki

Tokyo

Saigon

Manila

Bangko

k

5-5.54.5-54-4.53.5-43-3.52.5-32-2.51.5-21-1.50.5-10-0.5

Page 8: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

What Does This Analysis Tell Us About BC Emissions?

CO vs. BC

Obs.

Poster: Mon. A11A-0062 N. Thong.

Page 9: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

But Magnitude Is Still an Issue: Are Domestic Sector Emissions

Underestimated ??

Page 10: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

How is Photochemistry Impacted By These Aerosols? 1) Photolysis Impacts

Page 11: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

How is Photochemistry Impacted By These Aerosols? 2) Heterogeneous Rxns:Direct Ozone Loss?

W/O Het. Rxn

Page 12: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

“Observed” Hg(Kg)

Construction of Hg Emissions Inventory Using Bottoms-Up and Observed Hg/SO2 Ratios

Page 13: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

Summary

• Aerosol outflow is complex, characterizing it requires 4-dimensional measurements.

• Impacts on chemistry and radiation appear to be important.

• Closer integration of emissions, models and measurements is necessary to better quantify our understanding of Asian aerosols.

Page 14: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

U. Iowa/Kyushu/Argonne/GFDL

With support from NSF, NASA (ACMAP,GTE), NOAA, DOE

Page 15: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia

Our Supporting Role

Page 16: Regional-Scale Modeling and Emissions Analyses in Support of Ace-Asia