public opinion survey 2013 peninsular malaysia voter survey...page 4 public opinion survey 2013...

Public Opinion Survey 2013 Peninsular Malaysia Voter Survey

4th – 12th December 2013

Methodology

1005 voters aged 21 and above were interviewed via telephone

The survey respondents are from all states across Peninsular Malaysia

Voters were selected through random stratified sampling method along the lines of

ethnicity, gender, age and parliament constituencies.

All of the constituencies (12 states and 165 parliament constituencies) were surveyed

and the selection of the respondents is proportional with respect to the population in each

parliament constituency.

Respondents were interviewed in their own language of preferences

Survey margin of error estimated at ±3.09%

The survey was conducted on 4th – 12th December 2013

This release contains data from previously unreleased surveys conducted on:

29th June - 8th July 2013 , N=1006

22nd August - 3rd September 2013 , N=1008

Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 100% due to

rounding up of figures.

Ethnicity Gender

Household income (RM)

Occupation

Internet Access

Respondent Profile

60%

31%

9%

50% 50%

Age Group

19%

31%

26%

18%

7%

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

>60

68%

32%

Malay Chinese Indian Male Female 16%

40%

19%

16%

6%

2%

Government/ GLC

Private

Self employed/Business

Homemaker

Retired

Students/ Unemployed

27%

30%

18%

19%

6%

1,500

1,501 - 3,000

3,001 - 5,000

> 5,000

Refuse/Unsure

Yes No


N=1005, 4th – 12th December 2013

Direction of the Country

9%

32%

36%

13%

8% 2%

Q: Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten on the wrong

track?

41%

Right Direction

49%

Wrong Direction

Strongly to right direction

Somewhat to the wrong direction

Unsure

Somewhat to the right direction

Strongly to the wrong direction

Refuse



45% 42%

52%

46% 47%

52% 50%

46%

52% 54% 55% 54%

52% 53% 56%

58% 58% 55% 54% 53% 52%

56% 56% 59%

56%

51% 54%

49%

41% 45%

41%

31% 34% 34%

36% 36%

40%

34% 36%

33%

37%

32% 32% 29% 30%

27%

36% 37% 38%

34% 37%

31% 31% 32%

39% 37%

41%

49%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Oct2008

May2009

Jul Aug Sept Dec Jan2010

Mar May Nov Feb2011

May Aug Oct Dec Feb2012

Apr May June Oct Dec 23/1-6/2

2013

12/3-17/3

12/4-17/4

4/5 14-23/5

29/6-8/7

22/8-3/9

4/12-12/12

Right Direction Wrong Direction

Direction of the Country Right versus Wrong direction


track?

BR1M 2.0

February ‘13

BR1M 1.0

March 12’ BERSIH 3.0

April RCI Sabah

announced

May 12’

BN Sabah MPs defect to PKR

August 12’

Himpunan KL 112

January ‘13

Lahad Datu Incident

March 13’

RCI Sabah start

September 12’

BERSIH 2.0

July 11’

Sarawak state election //

Anwar sex video

April 11’

NFC Scandal

December 10’

Perak Crisis

February 09’

DNA bill 'a ploy to

convict Anwar'

June 09’

PM slashes spending in

Budget 2010

October 09’

MCA leadership crisis

November 09’ Najib announces

Bumiputera unit in

MRT corp.

December 11’

MACC to investigate

Najib's 5 mil remark

July 10’

GE13

Fuel Price Hike

September 13’

Announcement of

GST

October 13’

Announcement of

Electricity Tariffs

Dec13’



45% 42%

52%

46% 47%

52%

50%

46%

52% 54% 55% 54%

52% 53% 56%

58% 58% 55%

54%

53% 52%

56% 56% 59%

56%

51% 54%

49%

42%

56% 57%

66%

59% 59%

68%

64% 61%

67% 66%

71%

65% 64% 66%

69% 66%

71% 69%

67% 69% 70%

72% 73% 75%

68%

67% 70%

63%

56%

33%

16%

27%

17% 18% 21% 22% 22% 22%

27% 26%

30% 31%

27%

32%

41%

32%

28% 31%

24%

16%

20%

25% 24% 26%

14%

22% 19%

9%

21%

43% 48%

54%

70%

64%

46%

61% 63%

67%

54% 56%

38%

58%

58%

67% 64% 59%

53%

53% 57%

73%

57%

71%

73%

67%

58% 64%

52%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Oct08

May09

Jul 09 Aug09

Sept09

Dec09

Jan10

Mar10

May10

Nov10

Feb11

May11

Aug11

Oct11

Dec11

Feb12

Apr12

May12

June12

Oct12

15-28/122012

23/1-6/2

2013

12-17/3

12/4-17/4

4/5 14-23/5

28/6-8/7

22/8-3/9

4/12-12/12

Right Direction Malay Chinese Indian

Direction of the Country “Right direction” across Ethnicity


track?




Gender / Setting Age Group

Household income (RM) Internet access / Voter status

40 41 41 44 46 49 50 50 47 46

0

20

40

60

80

21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 > 60

39 45

39 46

53 45

51 45

0

20

40

60

80

Male Female Urban Rural

57

42 38 29

35

48 49

63

0

20

40

60

80

< 1,500 1,501-3,000

3,000-5,000

> 5,000

36

54

42 39

54

37 48 53

0

20

40

60

80

Internet No internet Old voter New voter


track?

Ethnicity

Occupation

42

56

9

52 49

35

78

43

0

20

40

60

80

Overall Malay Chinese Indian

Right direction Wrong direction

* Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed

Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction

Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction

52

30 42

54

41

56 52

39

0

20

40

60

80

Gov/ GLC Private Self employed/ Business

*Not formally employed




42% RIGHT DIRECTION (n=418)

49% WRONG DIRECTION (n=490)

14%

13%

10%

8%

6%

6%

Improving economy

Rapid or gooddevelopment/good condition

of infrastructure

Peaceful condition in thecountry/state

Good national administration

Quality of national leadership(e.g. keep promises)

Political stability in general

30%

15%

9%

6%

5%

5%

Price hike/inflation/rising cost ofliving

Unfavourable economic conditionin general

Quality of national leadership-negative

Crime & public safety in general(eg. rob, snatch, rape)

Corruption in general

Political instability in general

Q: What is the reason for you to say so? (open-ended)



Issues

15%

23% 21%

17%

31%

22%

18%

15% 15% 14%

12%

15% 15%

9% 12%

15%

19%

16%

13%

10%

7%

19%

22%

9% 11%

10%

15%

16% 10% 9% 10%

7% 5% 5%

6% 7%

8% 8%

7% 4%

6% 5%

6%

6%

10%

6% 7%

4%

32%

28%

25%

18% 18% 18%

26%

32%

38%

46% 44%

30%

36%

33%

39% 40%

34% 32%

34%

38%

44% 44% 44%

67%

20%

9%

6% 7%

8%

5%

3%

4%

3% 1% 3% 2%

2% 6%

8%

5%

6%

10% 8% 8% 7%

6% 5%

4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Mar 09 May 09 Jul 09 Sept 09 Dec 09 Nov 10 Feb 11 May 11 Aug 11 Oct 11 Dec 11 Feb 12 Apr 12 May 12 June 12 Oct 12 Dec 12 Jan 13 Mar 13 Apr 13 May 13 Jul 13 Aug 13 Dec 13

Crimes and social problems

Racial issues

Economic concerns

Political issues

Q: Being as specific as you can, what is the number one problem facing people in this country today? (open-ended)

2013



Perception on the Economy

Concerns over the impact of rising costs driving pessimism across all key indicators

42

33

39 41 42

50 46

53 52 52 53

44

34

32

21 17

32 30

25 27 26 27 28 28

36

45

0

20

40

60

11-2

010

12-2

010

08-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

08-2

013

12-2

013

Improve Decline

46

51 54

47 43 42

44 48 49 48 48

52 49

47

40

25 24

41

20

30 26

22 24

22

39 37

35 39

41

47

0

20

40

60

05-2

009

12-2

009

05-2

010

11-2

010

02-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

08-2

013

12-2

013

29 31

50

41 45 45

39 37

41

51 48

51

44

51 51

46

32

46

41

20 21

13

24

17

25

20 17

20 20 21 22 22

31

44

0

20

40

60

08-2

008

03-2

009

09-2

009

11-2

010

12-2

010

02-2

011

08-2

011

08-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

08-2

013

12-2

013

46 47

54

49 51

49

42 46

49 45

31

4 7

5 6 6

24 22

26 23

33

47

0

20

40

60

11-2

010

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

08-2

013

12-2

013

Improve Decline

Improve Decline

Improve Decline

One Year Ago Economic Optimism

Pers

on

al

Fin

an

cia

l N

ati

on

al

Eco

no

my



General Economic Sentiments Sentiments over income and prices have become negative but remain steady on

jobs and business opportunities

25 24 19 16

20 23 25 26 23 26 29 29 29 29 21

13

73 74 80 82

78 75 72 71 73 71 69 68 67 68

77 84

0

20

40

60

80

100

07-2

009

12-2

009

02-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

01-2

013

03-2

013

07-2

013

08-2

013

12-2

013

Q: Please tell me if you think… is favorable or unfavorable at the present time?

Favorable Unfavorable

31

40 41 40 42 44 43 46 45 43 45

49 51

47 43 44

62

53 48

51 49 45 47

44 44 50

46

43 42

45 48 47

0

20

40

60

80

100

07-2

009

12-2

009

02-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

01-2

013

03-2

013

07-2

013

08-2

013

12-2

013

40

46 46 50 52 51 51

47 49 48 50 51 54 55 48 47 48

44 41 35 32 34 36 36 34

40 35 36 35 34

41 40

0

20

40

60

80

100

07-2

009

12-2

009

02-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

01-2

013

03-2

013

07-2

013

08-2

013

12-2

013

48 52 50 52

59 55

59 59 63

57 59 56 57

48 52

44

47 39 42

38 33 35

31 29 29 34 34 36 36

45 42 50

0

20

40

60

80

100

07-2

009

12-2

009

02-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

01-2

013

03-2

013

07-2

013

08-2

013

12-2

013

47 47

53 54

61 58 58 58 59 58

56 57 59

52 52

41

50 49

43

39

32 35 35 36 36 36 37 38

36

44 43

53

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

07-2

009

12-2

009

02-2

011

10-2

011

12-2

011

02-2

012

04-2

012

05-2

012

06-2

012

10-2

012

12-2

012

01-2

013

03-2

013

07-2

013

08-2

013

12-2

013


Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable


The economy in general Personal income Business opportunities

Job opportunities Price of consumer goods and services



General Economic Sentiments

Q: Please tell me if you think… is favorable or unfavorable at the present time?

25% 24%

19%

16%

20%

23% 25%

26%

23%

26%

29% 29% 29% 29%

21%

13%

40%

46% 46%

50% 52%

51% 51% 47%

49% 48%

50% 51%

54%

55%

48%

47%

31%

40% 41%

40% 42%

44% 43%

46% 45%

43% 45%

49% 51%

47%

43% 44%

48%

52% 50% 52%

59%

55%

59% 59%

63%

57%

59%

56%

57%

48%

52%

44% 47%

47% 53%

54%

61% 58%

58% 58% 59%

58%

56% 57%

59%

52% 52%

41%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%July

09

Dec 0

9

Fe

b 1

1

Oct 11

Dec 1

1

Fe

b 1

2

Ap

r 12

Ma

y 1

2

Jun

12

Oct 12

Dec 1

2

Jan

13

Ma

r 13

July

13

Au

g 1

3

Au

g 1

3

Price of consumer goods &services

Business opportunities

Job opportunities

Your personal income

The economy in general

% o

f fa

vo

rab

le

% respondents expressing “favorable”



Performance of the Prime Minister

16%

36% 26%

15%

6% 3%

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister?

Very satisfied

Somewhat dissatisfied

Unsure

Somewhat satisfied

Very dissatisfied

Refuse

52%

Satisfied

41%

Dissatisfied



Performance of the Prime Minister



45 45 54 58

74

46 48 38

32 22

0

20

40

60

80

21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 > 60

48 55

48 57

45 35

43 35

0

20

40

60

80


Satisfied Dissatisfied

68

54 48

36 26

37 46

56

0

20

40

60

80

< 1,500 1,501-3,000

3,000-5,000

> 5,000

42

70

54

41 49

23

38

52

0

20

40

60

80

Internet No Internet Old Voter New Voter


Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak as Prime Minister?

Ethnicity

Occupation

52

66

21

57

40

30

64

31

0

20

40

60

80



63

38

52

66

33

51 43

25

0

20

40

60

80

Gov/ GLC Private Selfemployed/Business

*Not formallyemployed





45%

65% 66%

56%

66% 69%

72% 69%

67% 65%

59%

66%

71% 69% 69%

65% 64% 65% 63%

61% 64%

61% 60% 57%

62% 62%

52%

16%

22% 20%

23% 23% 25%

21% 24% 25%

27%

22%

26%

22%

26% 23%

29% 28% 28% 30%

32% 30% 30% 31%

36%

32% 32%

40%

39%

13% 14%

21%

11%

6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 19% 8% 7% 5%

8% 6%

8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 9%

7% 6% 6% 8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

May09

Jun09

Jul 09 Sept09

Dec09

Mar10

May10

Nov10

Feb11

May11

Aug11

Oct 11 Dec11

Feb12

Apr 12 May12

June12

Oct 12 15-28/122012

23/1-6/2

2013

12-17/3

12/4-17/4

4/5 14-23/5

29/6-8/7

22/8-3/9

4/12-12/12

Satisfied Dissatisfied [Unsure/Refused]

Satisfaction towards Najib Tun Razak

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak?

Satisfaction versus Dissatisfaction



46% 45%

65% 66%

56%

66% 69%

72% 69%

67% 65%

59%

66%

71% 69% 69%

65% 64% 65% 63%

61% 64%

61% 60% 57%

62% 62%

52%

60%

53%

71% 72%

64%

72% 75%

77% 74%

76% 73%

69% 71% 79% 74%

80% 79%

75% 75% 77%

73% 76%

73% 72% 70%

74% 73%

66%

28% 25%

48% 49%

36%

54% 51%

58%

54% 53%

49%

38%

54% 54% 56%

52%

37%

42%

46%

34% 34% 37% 37%

33%

27%

36% 36%

21%

34%

64% 74%

67%

68% 70%

91%

80%

85%

65% 67%

69%

77%

82% 80%

63%

72% 69% 68% 76% 75%

70% 70% 70% 71% 71%

76%

57%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Mar08

May09

Jun09

Jul 09 Sept09

Dec09

Mar10

May10

Nov10

Feb11

May11

Aug11

Oct11

Dec11

Feb12

Apr12

May12

June12

Oct12

15-28/122012

23/1-6/2

2013

12-17/3

12/4-17/4

4/5 14-23/5

29/6-8/7

22/8-3/9

4/12-12/12

Peninsular Malay Chinese Indian

Satisfaction towards Najib Tun Razak

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Tun Razak?

Satisfaction across Ethnicity



Perception towards Government

38%

39%

8%

16%

Q: Some people say they are happy with Government while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry?

Which one best describes how you feel?

Happy with Government

Dissatisfied with Government

Angry with Government

Unsure/ Refuse






37 35 36 42 46 42 41 39

34 35

8 8 9 6 4 0

20

40

60

80

21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 > 60

32

43 34

44 45

33 41

36

11 4 9 5

0

20

40

60

80


54

41 31

22 26 38

45 52

4 7 8 12 0

20

40

60

80

< 1,500 1,501-3,000

3,000-5,000

> 5,000

31

51

39 37 44

29 38 40

9 4 7 10 0

20

40

60

80

Internet No Internet Old Voter New Voter



Ethnicity

Occupation

38

52

10

40 39 29

59

38

8 5 12

8 0

20

40

60

80


47

26

39 50

36 47

42

26

5 11 9

3 0

20

40

60

80

Gov/ GLC Private Selfemployed/Business

*Not formallyemployed


Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry

Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry Happy Dissatisfied Angry




48%

51%

48%

42%

48%

45%

48%

50%

43%

47% 50%

38%

64%

68% 65%

58%

63%

67%

63%

67%

61% 63%

67%

52%

17% 19% 18%

13%

19%

6%

20% 17%

9%

13% 15%

10%

50%

49%

47%

42%

52%

35%

51%

47%

41%

51% 52%

40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%F

eb

12

Apr

12

Ma

y 1

2

June

12

Oct 12

De

c 1

2

Jan 1

3

Ma

r 13

Ma

y 1

3

Jul 13

Aug 1

3

De

c 1

3

Overall

Malay

Chinese

Indian

% o

f h

ap

pin

ess

% respondents expressing “happy”





Trust in Economic Performance

7%

28%

33%

21%

9% 1%

Strongly believe

Somewhat disbelieve

Unsure

Somewhat believe

Strongly disbelieve

Refuse

35%

Believe

54%

Disbelieve

Q: In your view, how strongly do you believe or do not believe the statements made by government leaders about the

country’s economic performance?



Understand the GST

11%

33%

35%

20%

1%

A great deal

Not very much

Unsure

Quite a lot

None at all

Refuse

44%

Understand

55%

Do not understand

Q: During the tabling of budget 2014, the Prime Minister introduced the Goods and Services Tax (GST) which will be

implemented in 2015. How much would you say that you understand what the GST is all about?

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