promoting firm formalization in minas gerais,...
TRANSCRIPT
Promoting Firm Formalization in Minas Gerais, Brazil
Gustavo Henrique de Andrade (Governo do Estado de Minas Gerais) Miriam Bruhn (World Bank) David McKenzie (World Bank)
CIC – DIME Impact Evaluation Workshop
November 14, 2012
Firm Formalization Project Background Work with State Government of Minas Gerais in Brazil
According to the Brazilian Statistical agency (IBGE), 96% of firms were informal in 2003 (i.e. not registered with the government)
Why do we worry about informality? Lower tax revenue fewer resources for public services May prevent firms from growing (but we don’t know for sure)
Total # of firms # of informal firms
Brazil 10,525,954 10,335,962
Minas Gerais 1,088,064 1,049,774
Firms: Benefits and Costs of Formality Benefits Costs
Avoid government penalties Expand without fear of being shut down Legally enforceable agreements with suppliers and customers Issue receipts and expand customer base Access to new and lower cost sources of financing Access to government programs and contracts
Initial registration Monetary costs Admin. + opportunity costs of time and effort
Ongoing compliance Taxes, labor and other contributions Admin. + opportunity costs of time and effort
Descomplicar “Uncomplicate” Initiative
Launched by government of Minas Gerais in 2007 Goals Improve relationship between state and private sector Simplify regulation and reduce bureaucracy Encourage firm formalization Promote economic development
Business Registration Reform One of the first reforms was to simplify business registration One-stop-shop for completing municipal, state, and federal registration
procedures at the same time, in the same place (“Minas Fácil”)
Many Firms Remain Informal – Why? Firms are not aware that simplification
took place Other barriers to formalization
(registration fees, taxes) Lack of enforcement Is formalization beneficial for firms? Does
it improve firm performance?
Shed light on these issues with an impact evaluation that can inform which (complementary) policy actions to take in the future
Impact Evaluation Questions
Which intervention is most effective at encouraging firm formalization?
Providing information on costs and benefits of formalization, as well as on the simplified registration process
Providing information + lowering registration costs Stepping up inspections
If firms formalize as a result of the interventions, can also measure the impact of formalization on firm performance
Information Brochure 18 pages with information on
advantages and disadvantages of formalization, e.g. Access to credit Government contracts Taxes - how to calculate?
Also lists steps for registering
Was delivered to each firm in
person, with accompanying motivational speech
Information + Free Cost Registration
Along with information brochure, firms received a letter stating that they don’t have to pay fees if they register within the next 3 months Cost savings of about US$200
Registered firms are required to hire an accountant to
prepare tax declaration Provided pro-bono accountants for 1 year cost savings of
about US$1,800
Inspectors
Study was conducted in the city/municipality of Belo Horizonte (state capital of Minas Gerais)
Municipal inspectors visited firms to check whether they had the necessary municipal operating license (ALF)
Different layers of government mean municipal inspectors don’t enforce state and federal registration Firms can be partially formal
But, with Minas Facial one-stop-shop, firms automatically obtain state and federal registration if they get an ALF
Impact Evaluation Design Sample: List all informal firms in 600 city blocks Randomly divide 600 blocks into 3 groups
Measure effects by comparing experimental groups Control firms in information and inspector blocks allow
us to measure spillover effects Had to drop information spillover group later due to low
survey response (reduced sample size)
Block type # blocks
Control firms
Information only
Information + Free cost
Inspector Visits
Information 200 500 500 500 0
Inspector 200 500 0 0 500
Control 200 500 0 0 0
Project Timeline
Listing exercise
January/ February 2011
April 2011
Baseline survey
May – August 2011
October – December 2011
July - September 2012
Follow-up survey
Randomization Interventions
Administrative data on registrations
Baseline Data Baseline survey not conducted in inspector blocks
(for ethical reasons)
Since assignment to different study groups was random, baseline characteristics are basically identical No statistically significant differences
Control Information Information + Free Cost
Employees 1.1 1.3 1.3
Annual revenue (US$) 24,300 26,100 30,400
Business age (years) 7.8 8.1 8
Female owner 37% 37% 40%
Owner’s age (years) 44.3 44.4 44.1
Follow-up Survey: Impact of Information and Free Cost Interventions
48
32
50 52
38
59 52
39
53
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Federal State Municipal
%
Control Information Free cost
Percentage of firms reporting that they have the following types of registration
Stat
istic
ally
sig
nific
ant
Follow-Up Survey: Impact of Inspectors
64
49
65 68
57
68 65
50
69
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Federal State Municipal
%
Control Inspector Inspector spillover
Percentage of firms reporting that they have the following types of registration
Stat
ist.
sign
ifica
nt
Why are so many firms registered in the control group?
Self-reported data, so results may not be accurate Now asking firms to provide registration numbers to check
whether they are indeed registered
Some firms have only one or two types of licenses, but not all, so are not fully formal
Could have included formal firms in the sample by mistake After listing, dropped firms from the sample that were on
registrar’s lists, but matching is difficult Officinal name different from name written outside the firm Not all firms have street numbers
Admin Data: Impact of Information and Free Cost Interventions
0.7
2.2
0.4
1.8
1.3
2.4
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Minas Facil Municipality (ALF)
%
Control Information Free cost
Percentage of firms that newly registered with…after intervention
Admin Data: Impact of Inspectors
0.6
1.8
1.0
4.9
0.5
1.8
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Minas Facil Municipality (ALF)
%
Control Inspector Inspector spillover
Percentage of firms that newly registered with…after intervention
Stat
istic
ally
sig
nific
ant
Preliminary Conclusions Information and free cost interventions did not promote
firm formalization according to admin data Still double-checking survey data
Inspections increased registration only for municipal licenses How is this possible with the one-stop-shop?
Firms may have been partially formal before (i.e. they already had a federal license)
Can’t measure impact of formalizing on firm performance since almost no firms formalized
Are the findings useful?
Yes! Information intervention did not have an effect Our co-author from the government said that knowing this
saves them a lot of money since otherwise might have tried to distribute information to all informal firms in Minas Gerais
Provides opportunity to focus on addressing other reasons why firms do not register…
Why don’t more firms register? (1/2) Registration
procedures are still somewhat complex, even after the simplification