project presentation · project overview 2 •objective: develop a liquefied natural gas (lng)...
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Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Project overview
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• Objective: Develop a liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminal at the Port of Saguenay, Quebec• CAD$7.5 billion facility• 11 mtpa capacity• 1.56 bcf/d of feedgas (~44 mcm/d)• 650-km new build pipeline
• Differentiators: • Low plant CAPEX & OPEX• Powered by low-cost hydroelectricity• Access to low cost gas in Canada, and pipeline transportation
capacity• Predictable regulatory regime• Government support in Quebec and Ottawa
• Sponsors: Freestone International LLC & Breyer Capital LLC
mtpa: million tons per annumbcf/d: billion cubic feet per daymcm/d: million cubic meters per day
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
First LNG cargo in 2021
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2014 2015 2016 2017
Project developmentEnv. PermittingPre-FEED/FEEDLNG MarketingGas SupplyPipelinePower LinesFinancing
2018 2019
Construction
Participatory process with communities, First Nations and stakeholders
2020 2021
FID
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Growing natural gaz demand fueled by power
generation needs in emerging countries
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Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
LNG demand will increase significantly over
the next decades
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0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
MM
t/y
Americas
Europe
Niche Markets
(Asia & ME)
China & India
JKT
• Natural gas is an environmentally-preferred source of energy
• LNG demand doubling over the next 20 years, largely driven by Asia-Pacific
• LNG buyers seek:• Competitive pricing• Diversification of supply• Project risk profile • Project credibility & certainty
of outcome• Potentially, vertical project
integration
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Resilience of LNG prices to oil prices drops,
and promising long term price differential
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• Long term Asia proxy in $14-$15/mmBtu range• Long term HH price around $5/mmBtu
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Strong fondamental trends are supporting
natural gaz demand
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Low cost LNG plants shutting down…
• Egypt (12+ mtpa of lost LNG production)
• Indonesia (40% decr. in LNG export since 99 / Arun LNG to be closed)
• UAE
50 mtpa of LNG shortfall by 2025 (Credit Suisse, 2014)
…high-cost LNG supply coming online
• Australia (CAPEX over $1,500/t)• Russia (CAPEX over $1,500/t)• British Columbia (CAPEX over $1,300/t)
SUSTAINED TREND TO GROWING NATURAL GAS NEEDS
Emerging countries’ needs
Energy policies
Existing importers growing needs
• China (+13% in 2013)• Brazil (+18% in 2013)• Indonesia (+9% in 2013)
• CO2 emission reduction in China announced in Nov 2014
• Nuclear power decommissioning in Germany and shutdowns in Japan
• Japan (89 million tons in 2014, +1.2%)• Brazil (+28% LNG import in 2014 due
to the drought)
Low cost LNG supply disappearing
SIGNIFICANT CHANGESIN LNG LANDSCAPE
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Energie Saguenay can rely on robust, competitive
canadian gas supply at AECO and Dawn
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1,444 Tcf
United States
Canada
Robust Supply• Tremendous natural gas
resource in Canada• Highly integrated pipeline
network with available capacity
Énergie Saguenay
AECO-C
MARCELLUS& UTICA
HENRY HUB (HH)
Dawn
Competitive Pricing• AECO-C trades at
an average discount of 11% less than HH
Gas ReservesSOURCE: EIA / NEB (2013)
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Resulting from new NA gas market dynamics, it is
planned to have excess in the entire network in 2020
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• Significant available pipeline capacity from Western Canada to eastern Ontario • Significant Canadian Supply from new sources (e.g.
Montney, Duvernay)•Marcellus continues to offer more supply to Northeast US
and Quebec/Ontario, pushing WCSB gas back to Alberta• Low cost Utica production expected to be 5 bcf/d by 2020• Pipeline infra to be extended in NE US (Constitution,
Iroquois)
Historical TCPL Mainline Usage:2003: 6.5 bcf/d2014: 1.9 bcf/d2020: 1.2 bcf/d (projected)
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Energie Saguenay will require a new-build
pipeline following existing right-of-way
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TCPL Mainline
• New build: 36/42-inch pipeline from Waddington to Saguenay (650 km)
• Additional infrastructure requirements in Eastern Triangle
• Significant pipeline capacity from Alberta to Ontario
• Significant excess capacity at Dawn in Ontario
EASTERN TRIANGLE
Dawn Hub
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Unique site location enables reduced,
competitive CAPEX/OPEX
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• Unique suitable site in Quebec for LNG export
• Sheltered, year-round deepwater port
• Excellent existing infrastructure
• Available industrial land remote to population
• Superior plant efficiency due to low ambient temperatures
• Access to low-cost hydropower
• Available skilled labor
• Saguenay region historically supportive of industrial development
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Energie Saguenay can rely on valuable existing
infrastructure and local skilled labor
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Major Highway to Quebec City (4-lane dual carriage way)
735 kV substation (40 km from site)
Bagotville Airport(18 km from site)
Grande Anse Marine Terminal (at site)
Intermodal Rail Yard (at site)
Gas Pipeline right-of-way
(10 km from site)
6 km
15 km
• 250,000+ people (surrounding region)• Significant skilled labor (from local mining & forestry
industry/projects)• Available housing & amenities (no camps)
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
Project fondamentals result in competitive
economics to Asia and Europe
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Competitive LNG delivered price to Asia & Atlantic Basin
Lower infrastructure and set-up costs(roads, logistics, temp power generation, no camp, etc)
Lower permanent plant costs(jetty, lower equipment count, etc.)
Low-cost, renewable hydro-power(reduces CAPEX and OPEX)
Favorable low Saguenay ambient temperature(leads to higher plant efficiency and lower $/mtpa costs)
Significantly lower OPEX
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés 14
Highly differentiated: low-cost, low-complexity
Low cost hydropower surplus
Low cost, low risk
Process efficiency gain
Low GHG Emissions
Province used to LNG2 import terminals permitted1 peak-shaving liquefaction plant
10-15%
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés 15
Strategically positioned to supply global markets
Énergie Saguenay
COMPETITIVE TO ASIA, EUROPE, MIDDLE EAST & SOUTH AMERICA
Worldwide LNG Receiving Terminals
Source: BG
• 700 mtpa of global LNG import capacity
• Growth from 58 terminals in 2008 to 94 terminals in 2013
Propriété de GNL Québec Inc. Tous droits réservés
NEB Export Application:
http://bit.ly/1KqRLpb