policy modeling on climate change

7
Jing Wu Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences

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Policy Modeling on Climate Change. Jing Wu Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Introduction on LRICES. GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM. EMISSION. TEMPERATURE. Modules: Macro-economy Climate system GDP Spillovers Technological Change. GDP SPILLOVERS. CHINA. US. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

Jing WuInstitute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Page 2: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

CHINA US JAPAN EU ROW

GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM

EMISSION TEMPERATURE

FSU

GDP SPILLOVERS

Modules:

Macro-economy

Climate system

GDP Spillovers

Technological Change

Page 3: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

Stern Scheme

Page 4: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

122-sector based

Policy options:◦ carbon tax◦ carbon tariff◦ Energy substitution

Page 5: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

Carbon tax

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

20元/ 吨Con20元/ 吨Pro

50元/ 吨Con50元/ 吨Pro

100元/ 吨Con100元/ 吨Pro 情景

scenar i os

减排

量(

万吨

)Ab

atem

ent(

Mtc)

Abatement减排量

-1.00%

-0.50%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%20 / Con

元 吨20 / Pro

元 吨50 / Con

元 吨50 / Pro

元 吨100 / Con

元 吨100 / Pro

元 吨

变动

率variation

投资( i nvestment)

资本存量(capi talstock)

劳动需求( l abordemand)

存货( i nventori es)

企业收入(enterpri sei ncome)

企业储蓄(enterpri sesavi ngs)

Page 6: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

marco and micro modeling

CGE modeling

Provincial policy assessment

Page 7: Policy Modeling on Climate Change

Thanks !Questions?

Jing Wu, assistant [email protected]