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Pig Pocketbook

1

Index - Pig Pocketbook

Chapter 1 - Marketing Chain 3Table 1.1 UK pig meat supply balance 3Figure 1.1 UK product flows in the pig meat marketing chain in 2016 3Table 1.2 EU pig meat supply balance 4

Chapter 2 - Pig Numbers 5Figure 2.1 Density of pigs, June 2013 5Table 2.1 UK pig numbers, June survey 6Table 2.2 UK female breeding pig herd and holding numbers, June survey 6Figure 2.2 Breeding sow numbers 7Table 2.3 Breeding pig numbers by region, June survey 7Figure 2.3 Breeding pig numbers in the EU 8

Chapter 3 - Abattoirs 9Figure 3.1 English pig abattoir numbers 9Table 3.1 Abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England 9Table 3.2 Size profile of all abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England, 2016 10Table 3.3 Size profile of specialist pig abattoirs in England, 2016 10

Chapter 4 - Slaughterings and Production 11Table 4.1 UK pig slaughterings 11Figure 4.1 Trends in UK clean pig slaughterings 11Figure 4.2 Weekly clean pig slaughter, UK 12Figure 4.3 Weekly sow culling, UK 12Figure 4.4 Average clean pig carcase weights, UK 13Figure 4.5 Pig meat production trends, UK 13Table 4.2 Industry trends (productivity and production) 14Figure 4.6 Clean pig slaughterings: three-week rolling average, Germany 15Figure 4.7 Weekly sow slaughterings, Germany 15Figure 4.8 EU pig meat production, 2016 16Figure 4.9 Average pig carcase weights in the EU, 2016 16

Chapter 5 - Livestock and Meat Prices 17Table 5.1 GB deadweight pig prices 17Table 5.2 GB weaner prices 18Figure 5.1 GB average producer pig prices 19Figure 5.2 GB average weaner prices 19Figure 5.3 GB retail producer price spreads 20Figure 5.4 UK and EU pig meat reference prices 20Figure 5.5 Global pork export prices 21

2

Chapter 6 - Imports and Exports 22Table 6.1 Volume of total UK pig meat imports 22Table 6.2 Value of total UK pig meat imports 22Table 6.3 UK fresh/frozen pork imports by source 23Table 6.4 UK bacon imports by source 23Table 6.5 Volume of total UK pig meat exports 24Table 6.6 Value of total UK pig meat exports 24Table 6.7 Volume of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination 25Table 6.8 Value of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination 25Figure 6.1 Map of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination 26Table 6.9 Volume of UK pig offal exports by destination 27Table 6.10 Value of UK pig offal exports by destination 27Table 6.11 EU fresh/frozen pig meat exports to non-EU countries 28Table 6.12 EU fresh/frozen pork exports by destination 29Table 6.13 EU pig offal exports by destination 30

Chapter 7 - Consumption 31Table 7.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats 31Table 7.2 GB retail value sales by type of outlet 31Figure 7.1 GB retailer shares of pork market by value, 2016 32Figure 7.2 Trends in GB household pork purchases by volume 32Figure 7.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of pig meat products, 2016 33Figure 7.4 GB volume sales of pig meat by product, 2016 33Figure 7.5 Average GB retail price of pig meat products, 2016 34Figure 7.6 Share of pig meat products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets 34Figure 7.7 Per capita consumption of pig meat in selected EU Member States, 2016 35Figure 7.8 Percentage of product facings with British logo sold in the total GB market 36Figure 7.9 Percentage of product facings with Red Tractor quality standard mark sold in the total GB market 36

Chapter 8 - Pig Carcase Classification 37 Figure 8.1 Locations of probing on a pig carcase 38Figure 8.2 Distribution of the GB classified sample by carcase weight 39Figure 8.3 Average carcase weights of the GB collected sample 40Figure 8.4 Distribution of the classified sample in EC grade by weight band, 2016 40Figure 8.5 Distribution of the GB classified sample by EC grade, 2016 41Figure 8.6 Trends in P2 fat depth 41

Chapter 9 - Feed Prices 42 Figure 9.1 Average pig compound feed prices, GB 42Figure 9.2 Feed wheat and soya meal prices 42

3

Chapter 1 - Marketing Chain

Table 1.1 UK pig meat supply balance (a)

Figure 1.1 UK product flows in the pig meat marketing chain in 2016

‘000 tonnes 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017 (f)

roduction 25 900 919 90

Im orts (cwe) 9 92 9 9 1 0 9

resh ro en 92 9 10 90 55

acon 02 292 00 29 2 2

rocessed 25 2 252 2 2 250

orts (cwe) 20 229 2 2 251 2 5

Total consumption 1 5 1 5 2 1 5 1 1 1 1 1 15

Sel su ciency ( ) 52 5 5 55 2 5 5 5 2(a) Total imports and exports including processed meat. All fresh meat and processed products, including bacon, have been converted to carcase weight equivalent.*Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 (f) forecast Source: Defra, IHS Maritime and Trade - Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC, AHDB

ive ig e orts5 9 head

£0.4 million

Pig slaughterings10.99 million head

£1,426 million

Liveweight sales 0.5%0.05 million head

£5 million

Deadweight sales 99.5%10.94 million head

£1,422 million

Live pig imports577,930 head£56.5 million

Meat exportsTotal — 250,900 tonnesPork — 218,100 tonnesBacon — 19,100 tonnes

Processed — 13,700 tonnesTotal — £334 millionPork — £252 millionBacon — £41 million

Processed — £41 million

Meat imports Total — 1,048,100 tonnesPork — 490,100 tonnes (a)Bacon — 283,800 tonnes

Processed — 274,200 tonnesTotal — £2,220 millionPork — £778 million (a)Bacon — £552 million

Processed — £891 million

Slaughtered production919,200 tonnes

Wholesalers/depots/traders

Total available for consumption1.72 million tonnes

(a) Includes pork imports which are subsequently cured in the United Kingdom. Volumes are carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra, IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®

Marketing Chain

Table 1.2 EU pig meat supply balance

‘000 tonnes 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (f)

Net production 22 519 22 5 22 5 2 25 2 09 2 2

Im orts 19 15 1 11 12 12

orts 2 191 2 2 1 9 2 21 2 95 2 5

onsum tion 20 20 1 20 00 21 050 20 52 20 0

Sel su ciency ( ) 111 111 110 111 11 112

All data is carcase weight equivalent. (f) forecastNote: The EU Commission has revised the series compared with last year’s edition of the pocketbookSource: EU Commission

What does this mean for the industry?

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the best ossible deal or our industries outside the

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5

Figure 2.1 Density of pigs, June 2013

Source: AHDB, Defra, Welsh Government, DARD, Scottish GovernmentNote: Data covers commercial holdings only

Chapter 2 - Pig Numbers

Pig density(pigs per square km)

Under 5

5-10

10-20

20-50

50+

Orkney and Shetlands

468

Jun06

Dec06

Jun07

Dec07

Jun08

Dec08

Jun09

Dec09

Jun10

Dec10

Jun11

Dec11

Jun12

Dec12

Jun13

Dec13

Jun14

Dec14

Jun15

Dec15

Jun16

Dec16

449 455

436421 426 426

417427 423

432

409425

400

421

398406

390408 401

415 409

300

350

400

450

500‘000 head'000 head 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Sows in ig 29 2 2 2 2 5 295

ilts in ig 9 5 5 55

Other sows 0 5

otal breeding sows 25 21 0 0 15

ilts or breeding 2 0 5 9

oars or service 1 15 1 15 15

Feeding pigs 95 15 2 2 5

Total pigs 4,481 4,885 4,815 4,739 4,866

Breeding pigs (‘000 head)

Number of holdings (‘000)

Average breeding herd size

(head)2000 10 2 52005 0 9200 2200 55 1200 21 1 52009 2 52010 2 0 12011 2 0 22012 25 1 0201 21 0 0201 0 02015 0 2201 15 n a n a

Table 2.1 UK pig numbers, June survey

Table 2.2 UK female breeding pig herd and holding numbers, June survey

Source: Defra June Agricultural Survey

Census methodology changed from June 2010 and, as a result, smaller units were omitted from the survey. Source: Defra June Agricultural Survey. n/a = Not available

Pig Numbers

Pig Numbers

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

ngland 2 1 2

ales 1 1 1 1 1

Scotland

orthern Ireland 9 10 10 10

Table 2.3 Breeding pig numbers by region, June survey

Figure 2.2 Breeding sow numbers

Source: Defra June Agricultural Survey

Source: Defra June Agricultural Survey, December census

468

Jun06

Dec06

Jun07

Dec07

Jun08

Dec08

Jun09

Dec09

Jun10

Dec10

Jun11

Dec11

Jun12

Dec12

Jun13

Dec13

Jun14

Dec14

Jun15

Dec15

Jun16

Dec16

449 455

436421 426 426

417427 423

432

409425

400

421

398406

390408 401

415 409

300

350

400

450

500‘000 head'000 head 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Sows in ig 29 2 2 2 2 5 295

ilts in ig 9 5 5 55

Other sows 0 5

otal breeding sows 25 21 0 0 15

ilts or breeding 2 0 5 9

oars or service 1 15 1 15 15

Feeding pigs 95 15 2 2 5

Total pigs 4,481 4,885 4,815 4,739 4,866

Table 2.2 UK female breeding pig herd and holding numbers, June survey

Census methodology changed from June 2010 and, as a result, smaller units were omitted from the survey. Source: Defra June Agricultural Survey. n/a = Not available

185

147

124115 116 118

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016

Number

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2,250

2,500

2,750

Spai

n

Ger

man

y

Den

mar

k

Net

herla

nds

Fran

ce

Pola

nd Italy

Uni

ted

King

dom

Belg

ium

Rom

ania

‘000 head

Dec-15 Dec-16

Pig Numbers

Figure 2.3 Breeding pig numbers in the EU

Source: Eurostat

9

Chapter 3 - Abattoirs

185

147

124115 116 118

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016

Number

Figure 3.1 English pig abattoir numbers

Table 3.1 Abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England

Abattoir numbers

Of which specialist pig

abattoir numbers

Average annual throughput (head)

2000 1 5 2 5 00

2005 1 15 20

2010 12 15 59 2

201 115 1 05

2015 11 1 299

201 11 1 9

Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year.

10

12,370

8,791 9,41110,277 10,627 10,733

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016**

‘000 head

Abattoirs

Table 3.2 Size profile of all abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England, 2016

Table 3.3 Size profile of specialist pig abattoirs in England, 2016

Size group (head)

Number of abattoirs

Total throughput

(head)

Average throughput

(head)

Share of throughput

(%)1 10 000 9 20 502 2 9 2

10 001 0 000 1 2 0 1 0 2

0 001 100 000 9 95 9 5 0

100 001 500 000 0 005 21 501 9

500 001 191 9 9 1 9

Total 118 9,008,018 76,339 100.0

Size group (head)

Number of abattoirs

Total throughput

(head)

Average throughput

(head)

Share of throughput

(%)1 100 000 5 5 10 1 022 1 0

100 001 9 55 9 0 1 1 99 0

Total 14 6,421,068 458,648 100.0

Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year.

Note: Specialist pig abattoirs are defined as plants where 95 per cent of slaughterings are pigs.Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year.

he e ood hain a rom is an interactive

ma which lots a range o in ormation including the location o abattoirs auction mar ets meat rocessors and meat traders using colour coded pins.

he ma can be accessed at the website: https://www.emap.org.uk/map.aspx

11

Chapter 4 - Slaughterings and Production

Table 4.1 UK pig slaughterings

Figure 4.1 Trends in UK clean pig slaughterings

‘000 head Sows and boars Clean pigs Total pigs

2000 21 12 0 12 92

2005 202 9 1 9 1

2010 225 9 11 9 5

201 2 10 22 10 0

2015 2 5 10 2 10 2

201 25 10 10 990

*53-week statistical year**Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016Source: Defra, AHDB

*53-week statistical year**Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016Source: Defra

12,370

8,791 9,41110,277 10,627 10,733

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016**

‘000 head

*

Note: Specialist pig abattoirs are defined as plants where 95 per cent of slaughterings are pigs.Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year.

12

70.8

75.2

78.4

80.9 81.382.1

66

68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016

kg/pig

923.1

705.6

772.3

862.9898.6

919.2

600

700

800

900

1,000

2000 2005 2010* 2014 2015 2016**

‘000 tonnes

Slaughterings and Production

Figure 4.3 Weekly sow culling, UK

Figure 4.2 Weekly clean pig slaughter, UK

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016

‘000 head

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016

‘000 head

Source: AHDB/Defra

Source: AHDB/Defra

13

Slaughterings and Production

Figure 4.4 Average clean pig carcase weights, UK

Figure 4.5 Pig meat production trends, UK

70.8

75.2

78.4

80.9 81.382.1

66

68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

84

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016

kg/pig

923.1

705.6

772.3

862.9898.6

919.2

600

700

800

900

1,000

2000 2005 2010* 2014 2015 2016**

‘000 tonnes

Source: Defra

*53-week statistical year**Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016Source: Defra

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

260

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016

‘000 head

1

750

800

850

900

950

1,000

1.050

1,100

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016

‘000 head

Slaughterings and Production

Table 4.2 Industry trends (productivity and production)

2000 2005 2010** 2014 2015 2016***

UK average sow productivity (a)

igs er sow 19 0 1 20 2 2 9 25 25

ig meat er sow ( g) 1 5 1 1 1 5 1 9 2 0 2 121

Slaughterings and production

lean ig slaughter ( 000 head) 12 0 9 1 9 11 10 22 10 2 10

( g) 0 5 2 0 9 1 2 1

= clean pig production ( 000 tonnes) 5 2 1

Sow boar slaughter ( 000 head) 21 202 225 2 2 5 25

( g) 1 155 5 15 5 1 5 1 5 1 0

sow boar meat roduction ( 000 tonnes) 31 5 5

Total pig meat production ('000 tonnes) 923 706 772 863 899 919

*ACW = Average carcase weight **53-week statistical year***Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 (a) NOT survey results. Based on relationship between clean pig slaughter and lagged breeding herd.Source: Defra, AHDB

15

Slaughterings and Production

Figure 4.6 Clean pig slaughterings: three-week rolling average, Germany

Figure 4.7 Weekly sow slaughterings, Germany

750

800

850

900

950

1,000

1.050

1,100

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016

‘000 head

Source: AMI

Source: AMI

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26‘000 head

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015 2016

1

5,568

4,059

1,988 1,9631,567 1,544 1,473

1,061 919511

2,578

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000‘000 tonnes

Ger

man

y

Spai

n

Fran

ce

Pola

nd

Denm

ark

Italy

Net

herla

nds

Belg

ium

Uni

ted

King

dom

Aust

ria

Oth

ers

Slaughterings and Production

Figure 4.8 EU pig meat production, 2016

Figure 4.9 Average pig carcase weights in the EU, 2016

Source: Eurostat

Source: Eurostat

130.3

97.8 94.8 94.5 94.0 92.3 90.285.9 85.1 83.7 83.5

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140kg

Italy

Aust

ria

Belg

ium

Net

herla

nds

Ger

man

y

Hun

gary

Pola

nd

Denm

ark

Spai

n

Uni

ted

King

dom

Fran

ce

1

Table 5.1 GB deadweight pig prices

GB SPP (EU Specification) GB APP (EU Specification)

2014 2015 2016 2015–16 2014 2015 2016 2015–16

p/kg dw % change p/kg dw %

change

anuary 1 0 0 11 1 1 0 121 59 15

February 1 5 02 112 0 1 5 1 2 11 15 9

arch 1 2 5 112 15 1 5 115 9 15 1

April 1 2 1 2 0 11 19 1 1 5 25 1 02 11 1 1

ay 1 9 1 1 2 11 01 11 1 12 1 02 119 12 2

une 1 1 1 2 15 120 5 1 5 51 1 12 5 9 2

uly 1 1 1 02 12 05 1 1 1 1 0

August 15 1 1 2 5 1 5 5 2 1 0 1 1 5 0

Se tember 15 0 1 0 5 1 9 91 0 15 5 1 1 1 9 5 2

October 152 1 12 1 1 1 15 1 1 1 1 2 11

ovember 1 12 25 1 9 92 1 150 5 129 91 152 0 1 1

ecember 1 9 12 5 151 0 21 1 12 9 15 5 19

Annual price 15 1 1 129 12 1 9 159 0 1 5 1 2 0 2

*Calculated using 3 months’ SPP/APP and 9 months’ DAPP Source: AHDB

Chapter 5 - Livestock and Meat Prices

Figure 4.8 EU pig meat production, 2016

1

110115120125130135140145150155160165170175180

Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17Deadweight Average Pig Price (DAPP)

Standard Pig Price (SPP) All Pig Price (APP)

p/kg dw

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17

30kg 7kg

£ per head

Table 5.2 GB weaner prices

30kg weaners 7kg weaners

2014 2015 2016 2015–16 2014 2015 2016 2015–16

£ per head % change £ per head %

change

anuary 55 5 0 1 9 2 15 0 11 0

February 5 20 5 20 2 19 0 1 51 29 1 1 1

arch 55 9 1 1 0 5 2 9 2 50 1

April 5 1 0 1 1 0 9 1 2 5 1 0

ay 5 1 2 5 12 9 0 09 29 1 11

une 5 9 2 0 1 9 2 1 2 2 92 0 0

uly 5 02 29 2 1 0 19 2 5 1 20 5 0

August 5 5 9 9 2 2 0 33.11 0 9

Se tember 52 0 2 9 9

October 99 0 9 5 1 1 2 25 2 1

ovember 9 0 1 5 9 0 0 1 1

ecember 00 0 5 5 0 0 9 0 91 5 2

Source: AHDB

Livestock and Meat Prices

19

110115120125130135140145150155160165170175180

Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17Deadweight Average Pig Price (DAPP)

Standard Pig Price (SPP) All Pig Price (APP)

p/kg dw

Figure 5.1 GB average producer pig prices

Figure 5.2 GB average weaner prices

Source: AHDB

Note: The methodology for collecting 30kg weaner prices changed from November 2013. Figures after that date are not directly comparable with earlier months. Source: AHDB

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17

30kg 7kg

£ per head

Livestock and Meat Prices

20

38.636.6 38.2

40.4

35.0 34.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 2016

% of retail price

Note: Graph shows the average percentage of the retail price received by producers.

7 0

8 0

9 0

100

110

120

13 0

14 0

150

16 0

17 0

18 0

J u l 12J a n 12 J a n 13 J u l 13 J a n 14 J u l 14 J a n 15 J u l 15 J a n 16 J u l 16 J a n 17UK E U a v era g e

p / k g dw

Figure 5.3 GB retail:producer price spreads

Figure 5.4 UK and EU pig meat reference prices

Source: AHDB

Source: EU Commission

Livestock and Meat Prices

21

Livestock and Meat Prices

Figure 5.5 Global pork export prices

Note: Global export price is the average price of fresh/frozen pork exported from the four major global exporters, EU, US, Canada and Brazil.Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

Jan 12 Jan 13Jul 12 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17

Global export prices for fresh/frozen pork

US$/kg dw

7 0

8 0

9 0

100

110

120

13 0

14 0

150

16 0

17 0

18 0

J u l 12J a n 12 J a n 13 J u l 13 J a n 14 J u l 14 J a n 15 J u l 15 J a n 16 J u l 16 J a n 17UK E U a v era g e

p / k g dw

22

Chapter 6 - Imports and Exports

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 9 19 51 2 5 1 1 9 9

acon ham 25 1 2 9 25 155 251 050 2 2 555

Sausages 10 5 105 109 2 122 2 122 9 0

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 1 1 251 1 51 1 9 9 1 0 125 1 9 10

Total 855,800 841,919 862,559 885,603 954,311

ive igs (head) 91 9 55 212 9 1 20 91 5 9 0

£‘000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 90 1 9 99 0 1 125

acon ham 10 1 01 5 5 551 909

Sausages 0 20 9 52 0 95 1 5

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 19 11 51 9 1 2 0 95 55

Total 2,088,104 2,194,205 2,143,239 1,956,178 2,220,280

ive igs (head) 2 5 9 2 1 2 0 5

Table 6.1 Volume of total UK pig meat imports

Table 6.2 Value of total UK pig meat imports

*Including canned Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

*Including canned Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

2

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 257,814 249,847 256,155 251,050 242,555

enmar 105 9 2 10 0 115 150 95 2 92 2

etherlands 10 92 90 09 1 92 295

ermany 2 1 0 12 5 0 2 1

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 349,198 351,723 358,138 371,746 439,693

enmar 99 5 1 5 9 0 9 5 1 9

ermany 1 51 5 9 0

etherlands 9 0 5 55 55 95 9 1

S ain 2 5 2 1 2 0 9 5 2 2

elgium 2 0 2 09 5 502 5

Ireland 52 1 1 9 2 52 2

France 55 0 0 9 1 9 2 2 0 2 995

oland 2 95 2 19 9 11 292 1 29

ortugal 22 1 5 2 1 2 2

Italy 2 9 2 2 5 90 2 0

omania 0 222 1 1 11

nited States 9 5 909 95

Table 6.4 UK bacon imports by source

Table 6.3 UK fresh/frozen pork imports by source

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

Imports and Exports

£‘000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 90 1 9 99 0 1 125

acon ham 10 1 01 5 5 551 909

Sausages 0 20 9 52 0 95 1 5

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 19 11 51 9 1 2 0 95 55

Total 2,088,104 2,194,205 2,143,239 1,956,178 2,220,280

ive igs (head) 2 5 9 2 1 2 0 5

2

Imports and Exports

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 15 00 1 0 9 1 1 1 1 0 0 205

acon ham 15 509 1 5 9 1 909 15 921 1 0

Sausages 9 02 10 10 12 9 1 2 0

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 12 2 12 02 1 02 1 1 1 12 1

ig offal 5 1 5 0 5 929 00

Total 240,313 258,836 265,120 284,442 318,164

ive igs (head) 10 2 0 9 1 295 12 5 9

£‘000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 1 9 2 21 1 209 1 19 05 251 9

acon ham 9 9 1 9 25 1 2 1 20

Sausages 1 20 1 20 1 2 9 1 15 15 5

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 2 90 29 002 2 1 1 11 25 0

ig offal 0 2 9 2 091 5 0 5

Total 306,678 329,572 334,992 321,276 398,102

ive igs (head) 1 1 1 1 1 2 52

Table 6.5 Volume of total UK pig meat exports

Table 6.6 Value of total UK pig meat exports

*includes cannedSource: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

*includes cannedSource: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

25

Imports and Exports

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 154,300 180,749 181,713 187,080 205,886

2 112 1 12 2 12 90 1 0 122 1 0 9

Ireland 2 1 29 110 2 950 1 0 2 5

ermany 2 529 0 9 0 0 9 1 20 2 5 1

enmar 12 255 20 9 2 02 2 0 22 1 0

etherlands 1 5 21 19 1 0 1

Sweden 0 2 10 025 9 05

elgium 5 5 9 1 21 5 5

hina 11 5 25 00 2 9 2 250 0 01

Hong Kong 19 025 15 2 1 11 12 10

nited States 2 112 2 5 99 1

Table 6.7 Volume of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

Table 6.8 Value of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

£‘000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 189,342 218,136 209,178 197,405 251,889

2 1 00 1 52 15 1 11 159 5

Ireland 9 9 1 1 0 5 509 0 5 1

ermany 9 5 1 9 5 2 2 112 2 1 2

enmar 15 1 22 2 2 22 25 000

etherlands 1 101 19 1 0 1 19 9 512 10

Sweden 551 2 529 259 15

elgium 99 55 219 2 9

hina 10 5 20 1 19 19 25 02

nited States 9 5 9 10 9 2 10 2 9 1 99 2 0

Hong Kong 1 0 1 1 5 11 9 0 2 10 2

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 15 00 1 0 9 1 1 1 1 0 0 205

acon ham 15 509 1 5 9 1 909 15 921 1 0

Sausages 9 02 10 10 12 9 1 2 0

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 12 2 12 02 1 02 1 1 1 12 1

ig offal 5 1 5 0 5 929 00

Total 240,313 258,836 265,120 284,442 318,164

ive igs (head) 10 2 0 9 1 295 12 5 9

£‘000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

resh ro en meat 1 9 2 21 1 209 1 19 05 251 9

acon ham 9 9 1 9 25 1 2 1 20

Sausages 1 20 1 20 1 2 9 1 15 15 5

rocessed hams shoulders and ieces 2 90 29 002 2 1 1 11 25 0

ig offal 0 2 9 2 091 5 0 5

Total 306,678 329,572 334,992 321,276 398,102

ive igs (head) 1 1 1 1 1 2 52

2

Imports and Exports

Figure 6.1 Map of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

Regi

on EU

Non

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Imports and Exports

Table 6.9 Volume of UK pig offal exports by destination

Table 6.10 Value of UK pig offal exports by destination

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRC

£‘000 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 30,249 26,091 35,048 38,464 64,353

2 1 22 10 11 5 50 5 21 9

etherlands 5 2 25 1 59 1 50 0

Ireland 2 2 2 0 2 1 1 1

elgium 1 0 12 290 500

hina 10 5 555 11 5 1 9 1 5

Hong Kong 255 10 1 12 11 15 1 9

hili ines 5 2 9 1 1 0 121

South orea 199 19 9 92 1 9

ietnam 512 595

ote d Ivoire 150 1 19 0

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 48,534 41,648 45,084 58,929 77,007

2 5 000 22 2 11 1 0 1 29 15 92

etherlands 11 1 10 5 09 2 5

enmar 2 1 2 2 0 9 1

Ireland 5 9 1 951 2 1 91 2 21

elgium 9 0 01 1 2 1 1

hina 0 9 2 1 202 2 2 0 1

Hong Kong 9 5 5 11 9 0 10 95 15 19

hili ines 19 52 1 2 2 005 2 9

South orea 22 21 1 9 1 55

ote d Ivoire 9 1 01 1 09

2

Imports and Exports

‘000 tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

ive animals 0 0 1 2 9 10 5

resh and ro en or 1 92 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 12

Salted dried smo ed ig meat 2 1 2 1 0

ig offal 1 009 5 1 005 5 1 0 1 1 1 1 9

Sausages 129 0 131.3 121 110 5 95 2

re ared and reserved 0 5 5

ig at 11.3 10 2 1 5 13.1 1

ard 0 2 59 212 21 0 250 1

Total 3,072.5 3,096.6 2,940.9 3,245.1 3,988.6

Table 6.11 EU fresh/frozen pig meat exports to non-EU countries

Source: European Commission

The AHDB Pork Yearbook

his details the wor being carried out in nowledge change esearch evelo ment and Innovation his covers

research rojects field trials s ills and training and the industry in figures he earboo also includes everything rom

technical er ormance trends and cost o roduction data to carcase weights and

average bac at measurements

co y o the earboo will be available to download rom:htt : or ahdb org u rice stats ublished re orts

Yearbook 2016–2017

PORK

Key industry statistics, pig performance data and details of knowledge exchange,

research and development activity

29

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 1,557,007 1,603,400 1,562,951 1,741,397 2,308,270

hina 229 95 0 1 290 95 5 1 9 52

a an 22 122 2 9 1 292 1 05

South orea 1 252 99 1 19 9 5 1 92 219 1

Hong Kong 10 11 1 1 0 995 9 92 1 0

hili ines 2 9 0 10 9 5 90 0 9

nited States 2 992 1 1 1 2 2

Australia 1 95 222 25 0 1 5 5

aiwan 5 11 2 2 111 0 0 2 2

ew ealand 12 0 12 502 19 520 25 5 0 15

Singa ore 2 05 1 2 19 2 2 25 25

Serbia 9 90 10 510 19 2 20 22 15

South rica 22 5 0 1 05 1 129 2 1 21 919

ontenegro 1 1 91 2 2 19 90 20 5 0

ussia 09 1 55 1 9 3 15

Imports and Exports

Table 6.12 EU fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRCNote: Totals are higher than those of the EU Commission reported in Table 6.11 as the latter excludes meat from non-domestic swine

0

Table 6.13 EU pig offal exports by destination

Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®, HMRCNote: Totals are higher than those of the EU Commission reported in Table 6.11 as the latter excludes meat from non-domestic swine

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 1,007,656 1,003,841 1,083,962 1,176,103 1,391,017

hina 5 99 0 9 1 501 22 51

Hong Kong 292 2 2 1 5 2 1 51 20 51 2 9 2

hili ines 9 2 5 9 1 95 0 5

ietnam 5 2 15 9 59 25 1 1 5

South orea 1 99 1 00 1 5 0 9 29 0

hailand 12 51 1 0 2 9 1 2 59 2 5

a an 0 12 2 1 90 25 9

raine 2 15 19 0 22 2 2 1 22 59

ussia 121 2 9 55 5 01 2 21

Imports and Exports

31

Chapter 7 - Consumption

kg/person/year Pig meat Poultry meat Beef & veal Total meat

2000 2 0 5 1 5 9 22005 2 1 20200 2 9 1 2 20 9 2200 25 0 0 20 9 2200 2 5 29 5 20 0 0 02009 2 29 9 1 2 92010 2 1 1 1 92011 2 2 1 1 0 02012 2 2 1 0 9201 2 9 2 1201 2 0 1 92015 25 1 1 1 2201 2 2 1 2

% Multiples Freezer centres Butchers Other

Pork

201 5 3.1 1 2

2015 0 2 0 2

201 3.1

Bacon

201 5 5 3.3

2015 5 5 5 3.3

201 2 5 1 3.3 5

Table 7.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats

Table 7.2 GB retail value sales by type of outlet

Supplies available for consumption. All data in carcase weight equivalent.Source: AHDB calculations based on data from Defra, HMRC, ONS

Data covers 52 weeks ending in early January of the following year. Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Tonnes, product weight 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 1,007,656 1,003,841 1,083,962 1,176,103 1,391,017

hina 5 99 0 9 1 501 22 51

Hong Kong 292 2 2 1 5 2 1 51 20 51 2 9 2

hili ines 9 2 5 9 1 95 0 5

ietnam 5 2 15 9 59 25 1 1 5

South orea 1 99 1 00 1 5 0 9 29 0

hailand 12 51 1 0 2 9 1 2 59 2 5

a an 0 12 2 1 90 25 9

raine 2 15 19 0 22 2 2 1 22 59

ussia 121 2 9 55 5 01 2 21

2

-2.4

-9.7

-0.7

5.0

-7.3

0.5 1.8

-2.7

7.6

-8.7

-20.0

-5.2 -4.9-7.6 -6.2 -5.9 -4.2

2.1

-4-8

-12-16-20-24

048

12

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

yoy % change

Volume Value

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

‘000 tonnes

158.27

4.99

119.92

32.33

10.62

157.32

57.60

127.94

3.84

Consumption

Figure 7.1 GB retailer shares of pork market by value, 2016

Figure 7.2 Trends in GB household pork purchases by volume

0

Tesc

o

Asda

Sains

bury

’s

Mor

rison

s

The

Co-O

pera

tive

Wait

rose Aldi Lid

l

Icela

nd

Mar

ks &

Spe

ncer

Tota

l but

cher

s

Othe

r

5

10

15

20

25

% s

hare

of v

alue

Data covers 52 weeks ending 1 January 2017Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Source: Kantar Worldpanel

163165167169171173175177179181183

31Jan

28Feb

27Mar

24Apr

22May

19Jun

17Jul

14Aug

11Sep

09Oct

06Nov

04Dec

01Jan

2014 2015 2016

'000 tonnes

52 wee s ending

33

Consumption

Figure 7.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of pig meat products, 2016

Figure 7.4 GB volume sales of pig meat by product, 2016

Data covers 52 weeks ending early January of the following year.Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Data covers 52 weeks ending 1 January 2017.Source: Kantar Worldpanel

-2.4

-9.7

-0.7

5.0

-7.3

0.5 1.8

-2.7

7.6

-8.7

-20.0

-5.2 -4.9-7.6 -6.2 -5.9 -4.2

2.1

-4-8

-12-16-20-24

048

12

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

yoy % change

Volume Value

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

‘000 tonnes

158.27

4.99

119.92

32.33

10.62

157.32

57.60

127.94

3.84

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Spai

n

Denm

ark

Aust

ria

Pola

nd

Euro

pe

Net

herla

nds

Portu

gal

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Italy

Fran

ce

Uni

ted

King

dom

kg per head

Consumption

Figure 7.5 Average GB retail price of pig meat products, 2016

Figure 7.6 Share of pig meat products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets

Data covers 52 weeks ending 1 January 2017.Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Source: Kantar Worldpanel

4.493.45

4.21

2.36

6.17 5.764.91

8.53

11.08

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Price per kg (£)

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

43.6 41.6

57.7

35.5

4.3

44.539.0

33.741.040.0 37.4

47.2

38.3

2.5

40.334.5

29.7

39.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70% of total volume

52 w/e 03 Jan 16 52 w/e 01 Jan 17

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

5

Consumption

Figure 7.7 Per capita consumption of pig meat in selected EU Member States, 2016

Source: AHDB calculations using data from Eurostat, IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Spai

n

Denm

ark

Aust

ria

Pola

nd

Euro

pe

Net

herla

nds

Portu

gal

Cze

ch R

epub

lic

Italy

Fran

ce

Uni

ted

King

dom

kg per head

4.493.45

4.21

2.36

6.17 5.764.91

8.53

11.08

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Price per kg (£)

FreshPork

FrozenPork

FreshPork

Sausages

FrozenPork

Sausages

LoosePork

Sausages

Bacon Gammon SlicedCooked

Ham

SlicedCooked

Pork

Consumption

Figure 7.8 Percentage of product facings with British logo sold in the total GB market

Figure 7.9 Percentage of product facings with Red Tractor quality standard mark sold in the total GB market

Source: AHDB/ESA

Source: AHDB/ESA

83

44

64

8382

49

67

8381

49

66

8182

46

65

8478

43

63

83

0102030405060708090

100

Pork Bacon Ham Sausage

%

Jan 15 July 15 Jan 16 July 16 Jan 17

57

2114 14

46

57

2213

4856 56

12

47 5053

23232315

51

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Pork Bacon Ham Sausage

%

Jan 15 July 15 Jan 16 July 16 Jan 17

he in ormation rovided by S s ig arcase uthentication Service is used

widely as the basis or transactions between roducers and slaughterers he current service

which incor orates all o the mandatory re uirements o the ig arcase rading Scheme was introduced in in 2010 he service rovides ig slaughterers with

technically trained S staff who inde endently establish all o the im ortant criteria or trade between ig su liers and abattoirs.

The Service IncludesIdentification arcases are individually serial numbered and the sla mar s are read and recorded to identi y each consignment o igs he igs ( ecords Identification and

ovement) Order 200 re uires all igs going to slaughter to be identified by a e ra allocated herdmar on both shoulders his must be legible be ore and a ter slaughter to allow correct tracing o the igs or both payment and biosecurity.

eighing arcases are individually weighed ot weights are recorded with hot weight rebates and dressing coe cients deducted to establish the ayment weight

egular scale and tare chec s orm an integral art o the service ature boars and sows are not covered by the mandatory scheme but a weighing service is available as art o the uthentication Service

ac at measurement and lean meat ercentage S classifiers are

trained to o erate all o the a roved classification e ui ment

Methods and ProbesS offers all methods o ig carcase

classification or the rediction o lean meat ercentage in accordance with

legislation ach method involves ta ing carcase measurements with a roved e ui ment at s ecified ositions on each carcase

he ollowing e ui ment is a roved or use in the : O tical robe ennessey rading robe ( ) at O eater ( O ) uto O S ltra eater

he O uto O and S ltra eater are all automatic recording

probes.

Method 1O tical robe is used to measure bac at and rind thic ness at the 1 and ositions level with the head o the last rib he robe is inserted 5cm and cm rom the dorsal midline res ectively he sum o the 1 and

measurements is recorded

Method 2O tical robe is used to measure bac at and rind thic ness at the 2 osition level with the head o the last rib he robe is inserted 5cm rom the dorsal midline

The Meat and Livestock Commercial Services Ltd (MLSCL) Independent Authentication Serviceohn essenger uality anager

Chapter 8 - Pig Carcase Classification

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

<60 60–65 65–70 70–75 75–80 80–85 85–90 90–95 95+Weight range (kg)

2015 2016

% of sample

Method 3 or O are used to measure:

ac at and rind thic ness at the 2 osition as or ethod 2 he or O robes are inserted cm rom the

dorsal midline.

ac at and rind thic ness at a oint cm rom the dorsal midline between the third and ourth last rib his measurement is re erred to as rib at

ongissimus dorsi (eye muscle) de th at a oint cm rom the dorsal midline between the third and ourth last rib

his measurement is re erred to as rib muscle.

Lean Meat Percentage and EU Gradeean meat ercentage is calculated as ollows:

Optical probeold carcase weight and 2 (or 1 )

at de ths are used to estimate lean meat percentage.

n grade can be allocated to a carcase by using the lean meat ercentage figure

Visual Appraisalhis is the identification o igs with

carcase aults hese are described as carcases arcases that are scraggy

de ormed blemished igmented and coarse s inned those with so t at or

ale muscle and those devalued by being artially condemned are recorded as

on the carcase record ( 1 or com uter e uivalent) oung boars are identified and recorded arcases with oor con ormation are recorded as carcases at the re uest o the abattoir

Dressing Specificationarcase dressing s ecifications are closely

monitored by S staff and rovide a vital element o the carcase record

Pig Carcase Classification

Figure 8.1 Locations of probing on a pig carcase

Lean meat percentage EU grade0 and above S

55 5950 5 U5 90 O9 or less

9

Classification Consistency o ensure consistency o ig carcase

classification standards by S staff various rocedures are strictly a lied to the o eration o the scheme tensive training rogrammes both in lant and centrally ensure that classifiers maintain the re uired standards o roficiency

lassifiers are chec ed regularly by ivisional anagers and nominated

chec ers on a local basis with the uality anager roviding a lin

ach chec re uires the manager chec er se arately to classi y and record 20 carcases

he classification measurements assessed by the classifier are then chec ed against the manager s measurements and an analysis o accuracy levels or the 20 carcases is made his analysis measures both bias (the tendency o a classifier to measure higher or lower classifications than the chec er) and consistency (the overall level o agreement between classifier and chec er)

ll chec s are analysed at S s to ensure classifiers are meeting accuracy levels

Pig Carcase Classification

Figure 8.2 Distribution of the GB classified sample by carcase weight

Source: AHDB/MLCSL

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

<60 60–65 65–70 70–75 75–80 80–85 85–90 90–95 95+Weight range (kg)

2015 2016

% of sample

0

74.5

24.1

1.4 0.10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

S E U Other grades

%

EC grade

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

mm

80kg 60-80kg <60kg

Pig Carcase Classification

Figure 8.3 Average carcase weights of the GB collected sample

Figure 8.4 Distribution of the classified sample in EC grade by weight band, 2016

Source: AHDB/MLCSL

Source: AHDB/MLCSL

70.8

74.976.2 76.6

78.8 79.280.4

81.181.9

68

70

72

74

76

78

80

82

2000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2014 2015 2016

kg

0102030405060708090

100

<60

60–6

5

65–7

0

70–7

5

75–8

0

80–8

5

85–9

0

90–9

5

>95

Prop

ortio

n of

sam

ple

Weight range (kg)

All pigs other grades

All pigs grade U

All pigs grade E

All pigs grade S

%

1

Pig Carcase Classification

Figure 8.5 Distribution of the GB classified sample by EC grade, 2016

Figure 8.6 Trends in P2 fat depth

Source: AHDB/MLCSL

Source: AHDB/MLCSL

74.5

24.1

1.4 0.10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

S E U Other grades

%

EC grade

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

mm

80kg 60-80kg <60kg

0102030405060708090

100

<60

60–6

5

65–7

0

70–7

5

75–8

0

80–8

5

85–9

0

90–9

5

>95

Prop

ortio

n of

sam

ple

Weight range (kg)

All pigs other grades

All pigs grade U

All pigs grade E

All pigs grade S

%

2

Chapter 9 - Feed Prices

Figure 9.1 Average pig compound feed prices, GB

Figure 9.2 Feed wheat and soya meal prices

Source: Defra

265

278

249

232

215209 212 215

224

180

200

220

240

260

280

300

2012 2013 2014 2015 20162016

Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4

£/tonne

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17

£/tonne

Feed wheat (Nearby Futures) Soya meal Brazilian (48%) ex-store Liverpool

Source: AHDB

43

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17

£/tonne

Feed wheat (Nearby Futures) Soya meal Brazilian (48%) ex-store Liverpool

AHDB Pork is part of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB). While the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board seeks to ensure that the information contained within this document is accurate at the time of publication, no warranty is given in respect thereof and, to the maximum extent permitted by law, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused (including that caused by negligence) or suffered directly or indirectly in relation to information and opinions contained in or omitted from this document.

Inner header image:Pig - Pattakorn Uttarasak/Shutterstock.com

ISBN 978-1-904437-97-0

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