phil steele's inside the pressbox -...

Phil Steele’sInside the Pressbox WK 14

UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK*this is a Best Bet

No Selection This WeekHIGH SCORING POW

No Selection This Week

Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF

THE WEEK

H

H

H

H

FRIDAY DECEMBER 1STRotation # all times aRe et. tV stations & times subject to change

303 STANFORD 8:00 p.m. PAC 21 CHAMPIONSHIP

304 H USC

SATURDAY DECEMBER 2ND

305 IDAHO 2:00 p.m.

306 GEORGIA STATE 307 LOUISIANA

2:30 p.m.308 APPALACHIAN STATE 309 GEORGIA SOUTHERN

1:00 p.m.310 COASTAL CAROLINA 311 TROY

7:30 p.m. 312 H ARKANSAS STATE 313 SOUTH ALABAMA

4:30 p.m.314 NEW MEXICO STATE315 NORTH TEXAS

12:00 P.M. CUSA CHAMPIONSHIP316 FAU 317 MEMPHIS

12:00 p.m. AAC CHAMPIONSHIP318 UCF319 AKRON

12:00 p.m. MAC CHAMPIONSHIP320 TOLEDO321 GEORGIA

4:00 p.m. SEC CHAMPIONSHIP322 AUBURN323 FRESNO STATE

7:45 p.m. MW CHAMPIONSHIP324 BOISE STATE325 MIAMI, FL

8:00 p.m. ACC CHAMPIONSHIP326 CLEMSON327 WISCONSIN

8:00 P.m. BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP328 OHIO STATE 333 TCU

12:30 P.m. BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP334 H OKLAHOMA 329 MASSACHUSETTS

12:00 p.m.330 FIU 331 H ULM

12:00 p.m.332 FLORIDA STATE

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 118 4 9/2 49-31 W 5 6 25 106 59 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 102 14 8/26 62-7 W 21 8 43 113 103 851-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 137 130 6 14 9/9 42-24 W 8 13 25 8 19 38 1-0 0-0 131 14 9/2 13 6 432-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 138 118 4 9/16 27-24 W 3 14 77 9 30 56 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 137 14 6 9/9 24-42 L 8 19 38 8 13 253-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 134 119 5 9/23 30-20 W 10 10 37 75 53 78 #36 #31 1-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 127 117 19 9/16 17-20 L 12 28 16 73 50 64-0 4-0 2-0 1-0 134 125 5 16 9/29 27-30 L 13 8 33 27 41 67 #19 #98 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 129 121 9/23 58-34 W 10 31 11 17 31 714-1 1-4 2-1 0-2 132 106 14 10/7 38-10 W 14 7 10 89 102 97 #13 #72 2-2 2-2 1-1 1-0 128 117 9/30 34-24 W 8 30 9 55 64 1065-1 4-1 3-1 1-1 132 123 13 10/14 28-27 W 13 6 30 46 24 6 #26 #36 3-2 4-0 2-1 1-0 128 123 20 10/7 23-20 W 5 28 8 43 23 36-1 5-1 4-1 3-1 130 136 11 13 10/21 14-49 L 12 7 30 6 18 88 #48 #15 4-2 4-2 3-1 1-2 132 123 23 10/14 49-7 W 5 32 6 8 17 436-2 4-3 4-1 3-1 126 128 21 10/28 48-17 W 17 14 43 57 44 83 #57 #70 5-2 4-1 132 22 10/21 4 33 57-2 6-2 5-1 4-1 131 127 17 23 11/4 49-35 W 11 14 40 4 57 71 #104 #64 5-2 1-6 4-1 0-4 128 110 20 10/26 15-14 W 8 29 4 85 92 928-2 5-5 6-1 2-5 132 117 15 11/11 38-24 W 9 10 32 56 72 16 #80 #62 6-2 7-2 5-1 4-2 127 124 18 25 11/4 21-24 L 11 23 3 35 24 729-2 5-5 7-1 3-4 132 119 12 11/18 28-23 W 8 10 52 18 61 98 #60 #25 6-3 8-1 5-2 5-1 131 139 9 11/10 30-22 W 13 23 5 24 6 33

10-2 8-1 130 11 11/25 10 11 33 #3 #23 7-3 5-5 6-2 2-5 128 116 20 11/18 17-14 W 13 22 5 109 54 6210-2 1-0 8-1 0-0 130 132 11 14 12/2 7 12 32 8 19 38 #30 #73 8-3 9-2 7-2 6-2 132 132 20 9 11/25 38-20 W 12 21 6 5 19 111

+2 +14 1-0 0-0 130 14 11 12/2 8 13 25

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp YdsYds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Western Michigan 49-31 164 1 -1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 † Rice 62-7 415 13 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 Stanford 42-24 281 12 -2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 Bye Texas 27-24 102 8 2 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 at USC 24-42 -281 -12 2 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1at California 30-20 -60 1 4 22 38-133 3.5 26-38 223 1 21 33-113 3.4 22-52 303 3 at San Diego St 17-20 -120 -12 -3 9 22-174 7.9 9-20 64 4 21 49-171 3.5 21-29 187 6at Washington St 27-30 -135 -8 -1 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 UCLA 58-34 -42 -4 3 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 Oregon St 38-10 193 10 0 26 37-184 5.0 24-36 328 1 16 36-122 3.4 16-29 197 2 Arizona St 34-24 92 -5 1 17 33-328 9.9 15-24 173 0 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 Utah 28-27 96 10 -2 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 at Utah 23-20 2 -11 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2at Notre Dame 14-49 -161 -5 -3 18 31-76 2.5 25-36 260 5 23 47-377 8.0 9-22 120 1 Oregon 49-7 195 13 1 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2at Arizona St 48-17 250 14 0 29 46-341 7.4 19-35 266 3 15 30-79 2.6 18-31 278 6 Bye Arizona 49-35 262 5 2 30 52-331 6.4 20-26 311 1 25 43-234 5.4 14-31 146 5 at Oregon St 15-14 -42 -8 2 12 27-81 3.0 16-33 141 1 20 41-138 3.4 13-22 126 2at Colorado 38-24 36 0 2 23 38-193 5.1 21-34 329 1 23 34-110 3.2 27-49 376 2 at Washington St 21-24 -232 -16 0 9 27-93 3.4 9-20 105 2 25 29-93 3.2 24-48 337 3 UCLA 28-23 -84 -4 1 24 41-153 3.7 17-28 264 1 28 31-80 2.6 32-52 421 4 Washington 30-22 81 1 1 21 44-195 4.4 16-27 211 1 20 33-135 4.1 17-23 190 2 Bye California 17-14 41 2 0 21 38-193 5.1 17-26 185 0 19 28-155 5.5 20-29 182 1† Stanford Notre Dame 38-20 -87 1 3 18 38-152 4.0 14-22 176 2 17 44-154 3.5 12-29 261 6

† USC

Average 35-26 78.7 3.7 0.2 25 39-197 5.1 63.0% 292 5.0% 21 36-159 4.4 54.4% 251 9.2% Average 32-21 1.8 -3.2 1.2 18 34-210 6.2 58.1% 182 4.5% 21 37-171 4.6 59.5% 220 8.4% Conference 36-23 93.2 4.4 0.4 25 40-220 5.5 62.9% 284 3.6% 21 34-133 3.9 55.6% 278 9.4% Conference 30-22 -20.7 -4.4 1.3 18 35-212 6.1 59.0% 175 2.6% 22 35-175 5.0 61.5% 233 5.9% Away 31-28 -14.0 0.4 0.4 21 36-181 5.0 61.6% 248 7.0% 21 35-160 4.6 53.7% 283 8.3% Home 38-20 46.7 1.3 1.5 21 40-254 6.4 65.6% 192 2.0% 20 35-175 5.0 61.5% 224 8.4%

Western Michigan Sam Darnold 23-33-289-0-2 Ronald Jones 18-159-8.8-3 Deontay Burnett 7-142-20.3-0 † Rice Keller Chryst 14-24-253-2-0 Bryce Love 13-180-13.8-1 Connor Wedington 6-82-13.7-0 Stanford Sam Darnold 21-26-316-4-2 Stephen Carr 11-119-10.8-0 Deontay Burnett 9-121-13.4-2 Bye Texas Sam Darnold 28-49-397-3-2 Ronald Jones 18-47-2.6-0 Deontay Burnett 8-123-15.4-2 vs. at USC Keller Chryst 15-28-172-2-0 Bryce Love 17-160-9.4-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-67-16.8-1at California Sam Darnold 26-38-223-2-1 Stephen Carr 20-82-4.1-1 Deontay Burnett 9-76-8.4-1 at San Diego St Keller Chryst 8-19-56-0-2 Bryce Love 13-184-14.2-2 Trenton Irwin 6-49-8.2-0at Washington St Sam Darnold 15-29-164-0-1 Ronald Jones 14-128-9.1-1 Tyler Vaughns 6-89-14.8-0 UCLA KJ Costello 13-19-123-2-0 Bryce Love 30-263-8.8-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-62-12.4-0 Oregon St Sam Darnold 23-35-316-3-1 Ronald Jones 12-79-6.6-1 Tyler Vaughns 5-68-13.6-1 vs. Arizona St KJ Costello 15-24-173-1-0 Bryce Love 25-301-12.0-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 4-63-15.8-1 Utah Sam Darnold 27-50-358-3-0 Ronald Jones 17-111-6.5-1 Deontay Burnett 8-99-12.4-0 at Utah Keller Chryst 7-14-106-0-0 Bryce Love 20-152-7.6-1 Kaden Smth 2-57-28.5-0at Notre Dame Sam Darnold 20-28-229-2-1 Ronald Jones 12-32-2.7-0 Deontay Burnett 8-113-14.1-1 Oregon Keller Chryst 15-21-181-3-1 Bryce Love 17-147-8.6-2 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 6-112-18.7-2at Arizona St Sam Darnold 19-35-266-3-0 Ronald Jones 18-216-12.0-2 Tyler Vaughns 6-126-21.0-2 vs. Bye Arizona Sam Darnold 20-26-311-2-1 Ronald Jones 27-194-7.2-3 Tyler Vaughns 4-59-14.8-1 at Oregon St Keller Chryst 16-33-141-1-1 Cameron Scarlett 17-72-4.2-0 Kaden Smth 2-37-18.5-0at Colorado Sam Darnold 21-34-329-2-0 Ronald Jones 25-142-5.7-1 Steven Mitchell 4-91-22.8-0 at Washington St KJ Costello 9-20-105-0-1 Bryce Love 16-69-4.3-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 3-52-17.3-0 UCLA Sam Darnold 17-28-264-0-1 Ronald Jones 28-122-4.4-2 Steven Mitchell 4-56-14.0-0 vs. Washington KJ Costello 16-27-211-0-0 Bryce Love 30-166-5.5-3 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 5-130-26.0-0 Bye California KJ Costello 17-26-185-1-1 Bryce Love 14-101-7.2-1 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 7-79-11.3-0† Stanford Notre Dame KJ Costello 14-22-176-4-0 Bryce Love 20-125-6.3-0 Kaden Smth 3-65-21.7-1

vs. † USC

Sam Darnold 260-411-3462-24-12 Ronald Jones 212-1346-6.3-16 Deontay Burnett 73-966-13.2-9 KJ Costello 100-163-1194-9-2 Bryce Love 215-1848-8.6-16 JJ Arcega-Whiteside 41-633-15.4-6Matt Fink 6-9-43-0-0 Stephen Carr 56-321-5.7-3 Tyler Vaughns 48-664-13.8-4 vs. Keller Chryst 76-142-921-8-4 Cameron Scarlett 79-364-4.6-7 Trenton Irwin 39-436-11.2-2Team 0-2-0-0-0 Vavae Malepeai 48-259-5.4-0 Steven Mitchell 39-578-14.8-4 Ryan Burns 5-7-57-1-0 Trevor Speights 33-126-3.8-0 Kaden Smth 19-334-17.6-3

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Stanford 7 -8 27 18 48-302

USC - 52.5 10 17 26-117 0


Stanford - 50 41 26 49-195

USC 6 -9.5 31 20 28-155 0


Stanford 7 -4 41 20 51-262

USC 24 58.5 22 25 32-170 -1


Stanford 13 -3 10 21 38-128

USC 14 53.5 13 16 37-156 2

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Stanford 5 -3.5 17 18 35-210

USC - 47 20 18 27-23 2

USC Coaches

Stanford Coaches

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Stanford

USC Stanford 385 yards

USC 27 points

Team Schedule Strength

USC Stanford

Stanford

23

72

24 points

457 yards

Projected Final Score

TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

at Arizona St Arizonaat Colorado UCLA

USC Pts

Stanford Pts

Phil's Forecast:

USC

Stanford Leaders

These two met in week two and it was tied 14-14 early, but USC got a 25 yard TD pass with :48 left in the 1H to lead 28-17 and then dominated the 2H winning 42-24 with a commanding 623-342 yard edge. The Trojans were at home for that, but Bryce Love was also 100% healthy. USC has a tremendous scheduling edge here. While they had to play 12 regular season games without a bye they got one last week so they have had 13 days to rest up, get healthy and prepare. Stanford did not even know they were in the game until Washington beat Wash St late night Saturday. They beat Notre Dame and now play on a short week with travel. These two met at this site in the Pac 12 Title game in 2015 and Stanford won 41-22 with Clay Helton being an interim head coach that year. Stanford is -21 ypg in Pac 12 play and USC is +93. USC still has slim playoff hopes, but they need Ohio St and TCU to win and they must win impressively. In the last 4 weeks USC has played to an average game grade of 100.6 with the offense averaging 41 ppg while Stanford is at a 94.3 level with 26.5 ppg. USC rates the edge at QB with Sam Darnold over KJ Costello and USC’s defense allows 3.5 ypc rush and 55.6% completions in Pac 12 play and Stanford yields 5.0 and 61.5%. Coach Shaw always gets the most out of his team, but I will take the more talented team that also has a large situational edge.

0.74USC OL

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

0.68

0.16

Stanford DLUSC DL

USC ST's

Stanford ST's

Stanford OL

USC QB/WR

Stanford DB's

Phil Steele

2.47

USC K

Stanford K

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOEFOE

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Pass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing

167 yards

Team & Margin

186 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

USC DB's

Stanford

7-28-1

UCLA Arizona Stat Utah Oregon

† Rice Byeat USCat San Diego St

California Notre Dame

10-13-155

289 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

25-32-272

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

USC

Rush Off

Stanford

Pass Off

18-24-279

Comp-Att-Yds

8-14-102

23-35-236

Comp-Att-Yds

Bye† Stanford

Ret

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Tab

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onte

nts

14

1.20

USC

Stanford

3.61

49

Experience Rankings

USC 199 yards

USC Stanford

0.28

Stanford LB's

Oregon St Utah at Notre Dame

Western Michigan Stanford Texasat California

10-2vs. PAC 12

Rush Def

Score OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

US

C T

roja

ns

Sta

nfo

rd C

ard

inal

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

Total Def

Receiving

USC Leaders

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

14-25-127

25-37-288

Stanford CardinalCardinal LogsTrojans Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC--PS RANK--

TM +/-

9-3vs. PAC 12

TEAMFOE +/-

APFOE

FOE

USC Trojans

USC by 10

0.02

0.88

USC LB'S

Usc By 3.5

58.5 Points

Stanford By 3.0

at Washington St

Best Bet: ★ USC 30 Stanford 20

Stanford 27-24

By 1.14 Points

Stanford

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

† USC

Byeat Oregon Stat Washington St Washington

22-30-285

15-22-135

Comp-Att-Yds

Position by Position Edges

Stanford QB/WR

0.83

USC RB's

22-37-187

Comp-Att-Yds

Usc By 0.9

Usc 457-385

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Stanford RB's

1.31

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

NetScore


TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 106 8/31 28-6 W 114 124 107 0-0 0-0 96 8/31 10-17 L 126 112 1301-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 94 9/9 16-44 L 114 123 107 57 130 102 0-1 0-0 93 9/9 124 117 1301-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 100 115 9/16 28-37 L 113 124 59 119 84 29 0-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 5 9/16 0-56 L 126 118 104 6 9 31-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 101 100 9/23 29-23 W 98 123 117 123 97 90 #111 #117 0-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 92 91 9/23 28-0 W 127 122 129 122 120 1042-2 1-0 103 9/30 102 120 114 #70 #31 1-2 0-0 97 9/30 126 116 1232-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 103 97 10/7 16-21 L 100 117 103 80 124 98 #104 #89 1-2 0-0 97 92 10/7 27-21 W 125 114 129 126 126 1122-3 3-2 1-1 2-0 100 110 10/14 20-23 L 104 113 93 72 70 73 #117 #113 2-2 3-2 1-0 3-0 97 101 10/14 47-37 W 124 115 122 83 110 832-4 1-5 1-2 0-4 100 108 10/21 21-68 L 110 109 90 27 97 37 #130 #44 3-2 4-2 2-0 1-1 101 104 10/21 10-34 L 114 111 116 82 53 1152-5 3-4 1-2 3-2 96 97 10/28 31-23 W 112 114 93 75 120 53 #68 #45 3-3 3-4 2-1 2-1 98 103 10/26 21-13 W 117 110 118 120 80 493-5 6-2 2-2 3-1 97 107 11/2 21-24 L 107 114 91 68 46 113 #62 #95 4-3 0-7 3-1 0-3 101 87 11/4 21-17 W 118 102 118 127 122 393-6 2-3 99 11/11 105 112 109 #57 #63 5-3 2-7 4-1 1-4 100 88 11/11 33-30 W 118 105 122 120 110 1233-6 2-3 99 89 11/18 7-13 L 110 113 111 125 121 105 #72 #56 6-3 5-1 99 11/18 116 102 1143-7 4-6 2-4 2-4 95 99 11/25 10-17 L 111 110 118 48 98 123 #58 #113 6-3 6-4 5-1 5-1 99 103 11/25 10-31 L 112 102 119 47 64 783-8 6-4 2-5 5-2 95 95 12/2 118 101 121 112 109 129 #92 #80 6-4 3-8 5-2 2-5 95 95 12/2 112 109 129 118 101 121

-2 -3


Sacramento St 28-6 170 7 -3 15 44-197 4.5 14-19 163 4 8 35-95 2.7 10-25 95 4 Tennessee St 10-17 -110 -7 -4 14 29-49 1.7 18-23 224 3 21 42-238 5.7 12-25 145 1 UNLV 16-44 -166 -4 0 18 36-123 3.4 22-34 261 1 22 50-357 7.1 10-16 193 1 Byeat Western Michigan 28-37 52 -5 -2 15 34-170 5.0 16-26 229 4 20 42-135 3.2 21-31 212 2 at Penn St 0-56 -206 2 -5 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1at South Alabama 29-23 69 7 -1 24 37-146 3.9 23-39 273 3 17 48-244 5.1 11-26 106 1 at Charlotte 28-0 96 8 2 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 3 Bye Bye Louisiana 16-21 -18 -9 1 13 39-130 3.3 13-28 149 3 22 39-84 2.2 19-28 213 7 at Coastal Carolina 27-21 -2 5 -1 22 40-91 2.3 18-30 273 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2 Appalachian St 20-23 36 0 0 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 at ULM 47-37 239 12 1 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7at Missouri 21-68 -380 -13 0 15 38-81 2.1 22-36 197 5 28 30-183 6.1 24-34 475 1 Troy 10-34 -150 -4 1 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 ULM 31-23 5 2 2 27 39-158 4.1 28-42 360 1 25 29-98 3.4 24-37 415 2 South Alabama 21-13 -29 1 1 16 34-114 3.4 17-31 195 0 15 23-41 1.8 27-48 297 1at Troy 21-24 -17 2 2 22 32-90 2.8 24-35 288 6 20 36-183 5.1 20-31 212 1 at GA Southern 21-17 32 -4 2 15 24-49 2.0 22-37 319 4 19 50-189 3.8 22-28 147 0 Bye at Texas St 33-30 140 -2 -1 21 41-162 4.0 26-40 368 2 23 25-75 3.0 35-55 315 1 Coastal Carolina 7-13 2 -6 0 14 33-100 3.0 18-26 177 2 20 40-175 4.4 11-24 100 2 Byeat New Mexico St 10-17 -188 -7 -1 16 38-41 1.1 19-35 174 11 23 37-172 4.6 31-49 231 2 Appalachian St 10-31 -138 -6 1 14 26-91 3.5 22-35 201 2 20 46-323 7.0 15-23 107 0at Georgia St Idaho

Average 21-27 -39.5 -2.4 -0.2 18 37-123 3.3 61.5% 225 13.2% 20 39-168 4.4 61.2% 219 7.3% Average 21-26 -12.8 0.5 -0.3 19 36-110 3.1 64.1% 270 5.9% 19 34-149 4.5 63.7% 244 4.8% Conference 19-21 -15.9 -1.6 0.4 19 36-111 3.1 60.1% 232 13.7% 20 38-154 4.0 61.1% 205 7.2% Conference 24-26 13.1 0.3 0.6 19 34-112 3.3 62.9% 294 5.6% 19 34-142 4.2 65.2% 251 4.3% Away 22-34 -92.8 -3.2 -0.4 18 36-106 2.9 60.8% 232 17.0% 22 39-183 4.8 62.6% 247 4.1% Home 13-24 -106.8 -4.0 -0.3 15 31-77 2.5 63.6% 219 7.0% 19 33-181 5.4 59.8% 221 1.5%

Sacramento St Matt Linehan 14-19-163-2-2 Aaron Duckworth 19-142-7.5-1 Reuben Mwehla 7-63-9.0-1 Tennessee St Conner Manning 14-17-159-0-0 Taz Bateman 11-31-2.8-0 Taz Bateman 6-74-12.3-1 UNLV Matt Linehan 22-34-261-1-1 Aaron Duckworth 18-80-4.4-0 Jacob Sannon 11-109-9.9-0 Byeat Western Michigan Matt Linehan 16-26-229-3-1 Aaron Duckworth 13-97-7.5-0 Alfonso Onunwor 4-93-23.3-1 vs. at Penn St Conner Manning 16-29-133-0-3 Taz Bateman 29-100-3.4-0 Penny Hart 7-56-8.0-0at South Alabama Matt Linehan 23-38-273-1-0 Isaiah Saunders 18-63-3.5-1 Alfonso Onunwor 8-119-14.9-1 at Charlotte Conner Manning 26-37-250-1-0 Glenn Smith 31-90-2.9-2 Penny Hart 11-141-12.8-1 Bye Bye Louisiana Matt Linehan 13-28-149-0-0 Aaron Duckworth 14-62-4.4-0 Jacob Sannon 4-58-14.5-0 vs. at Coastal Carolina Conner Manning 18-30-273-1-1 Glenn Smith 23-74-3.2-0 Penny Hart 8-132-16.5-1 Appalachian St Matt Linehan 15-28-200-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 21-113-5.4-0 Alfonso Onunwor 6-85-14.2-1 at ULM Conner Manning 26-35-446-4-0 Kyler Neal 14-65-4.6-1 Penny Hart 11-190-17.3-3at Missouri Matt Linehan 19-32-139-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 13-74-5.7-0 Alfonso Onunwor 8-89-11.1-0 Troy Conner Manning 25-40-255-1-1 Glenn Smith 11-19-1.7-0 Tamir Jones 5-75-15.0-0 ULM Matt Linehan 28-42-360-3-0 Aaron Duckworth 23-113-4.9-1 Alfonso Onunwor 7-79-11.3-1 vs. South Alabama Conner Manning 17-31-195-2-0 Glenn Smith 17-73-4.3-0 Penny Hart 6-98-16.3-1at Troy Matt Linehan 23-34-282-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 13-64-4.9-0 Alfonso Onunwor 9-111-12.3-2 at GA Southern Conner Manning 22-37-319-2-1 Glenn Smith 11-49-4.5-0 Penny Hart 8-191-23.9-1 Bye at Texas St Conner Manning 26-40-368-2-0 Glenn Smith 22-98-4.5-0 Devin Gentry 3-120-40.0-2 Coastal Carolina Mason Petrino 18-26-177-1-1 Aaron Duckworth 18-70-3.9-0 David Ungerer 5-62-12.4-0 vs. Byeat New Mexico St Colton Richardson 18-33-167-1-1 Aaron Duckworth 13-39-3.0-0 Alfonso Onunwor 6-63-10.5-0 Appalachian St Conner Manning 22-35-201-0-1 Tra Barnett 5-42-8.4-0 Penny Hart 5-61-12.2-0at Georgia St Idaho

vs.

Matt Linehan 173-281-2056-16-4 Aaron Duckworth 174-910-5.2-3 Alfonso Onunwor 60-756-12.6-7 Conner Manning 212-331-2599-13-7 Glenn Smith 129-442-3.4-2 Penny Hart 70-1022-14.6-8Mason Petrino 23-33-248-3-2 Isaiah Saunders 112-445-4.0-1 Jacob Sannon 54-559-10.4-1 vs. Aaron Winchester 6-9-102-1-1 Kyler Neal 61-181-3.0-4 Glenn Smith 37-303-8.2-1Colton Richardson 18-33-167-1-1 Reuben Mwehla 3-18-6.0-0 David Ungerer 34-387-11.4-6 Taz Bateman 52-180-3.5-0 Ari Werts 20-268-13.4-0

Category


Idaho - -6 37 16 45-149

Georgia St - 53 12 19 24-92 -6

vs.

vs.

vs. Georgia St 374-315

Georgia St Leaders

Net

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Projected Box Score

0.84

Idaho ST's

Georgia St ST's

Idaho Leaders

Ret

urn

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83 yards Idaho

Phil SteeleIdaho by 3

Team & Margin


Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineGeorgia St By 6

0.39Idaho RB's

Georgia St DB's1.69

Net Defense

Idah

o V

and

als

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ypg Diffat Georgia St


Geo

rgia

St

Pan

ther

s

Idaho Georgia St

Offense

IdahoTotal TO's

Idaho QB/WR

Georgia St LB's

Georgia St DL

Georgia St RB's0.58

Byeat Western Michigan at Penn St

Coastal Carolina Score Def Byeat New Mexico St Sks By Appalachian St

at Troy Pass Def at GA Southern Bye Total Def at Texas St

at Missouri Sks Allowed Troy ULM Rush Def South Alabama

Idaho OL

Idaho DL0.37

Georgia St OL

FOE +/-AP

FOE FOETEAM

Georgia St PanthersVandals Logs vs. SUN vs. SUN Panthers Logs

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE REC2-5 5-2FOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingPassing Rushing

DefenseScore Score

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE REC

Louisiana Total Off at Coastal Carolina Appalachian St Score Off at ULM

at South Alabama Rush Off at Charlotte Bye Pass Off Bye

Sacramento St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Tennessee St UNLV Idaho Georgia St

Idaho Georgia St 271 yards

Georgia St 103 yards 0.33

Idaho K

Georgia St K

1.05

Idaho Coaches

Georgia St

Projected Rushing

374 yards

Projected Passing

232 yards

Georgia St Coaches315 yards Idaho


Idaho 18 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score5.2516 points Georgia St

Experience Rankings

121 Idaho Georgia St 124

100 Idaho 18Georgia StComputer Points

Computer YardsIdaho Pts

2.43

Idaho

Last year were the schools 1st meeting. Idaho is 7-19 on the Sun Belt road. This will mark the Vandals last FBS and SBC game. Last year GSU only trailed 14-12 with 12:37 2Q, but allowed Idaho to score 23 unanswered including a 25 yard blocked punt return (+71 yds/+3 FD). Idaho is on a 2nd straight road game and Georgia St is off a bye and a home game. Georgia St is actually -107 ypg in home games and +50 ypg on the road. This is Idaho’s last game as a FBS team. These two teams have faced 5 common foes and Idaho has fared better at +19 ypg and even in points while Georgia St is -4 ppg and -16 ypg. Idaho may be without their top two QB’s, but Colton Richardson is good sized 6-4 230 lbs and burned his RS last week and was decent at New Mexico St. Idaho has the defensive edge and is holding SBC foes to 55 ypg below their season average while GSt allows SBC teams 9 yards more than their season edge. You know I like to play on streaks and Idaho has actually beaten the Vegas spread 14 straight times as a conference away dog and did so again last week.

Phil's Forecast:

46 Points

+/- RatingsGeorgia St By 2.0

Game GradeGeorgia St By 2.9

Georgia St Pts

0.44

Las Vegas Total

Idaho LB'S

1.99Georgia St QB/WR

Idaho DB's

Georgia St 18-16

Idaho 20 Georgia St 17By 2.83 Points

OVERALL:3-8 6-4Idaho Vandals OVERALL:

Comp-Att-Yds

16-20-138

22-37-266

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 103 9/2 51-48 W 112 81 80 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 125 15 9/2 10-31 L 49 61 85 9 7 581-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 101 115 9/9 42-66 L 104 99 80 55 100 53 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 54-7 W 63 66 851-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 116 9/16 21-45 L 78 111 44 35 17 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 83 9/16 20-13 W 60 70 98 130 123 1191-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 99 99 9/23 50-56 L 93 118 74 111 112 109 #45 #33 2-1 3-0 1-0 1-0 109 126 9/23 19-20 L 68 79 60 69 46 211-3 0-1 97 9/30 89 124 81 #77 #73 2-2 1-0 111 9/30 77 76 781-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 97 103 10/7 21-16 W 80 124 98 100 117 103 #64 #43 2-2 2-3 1-0 0-1 111 103 10/7 45-31 W 75 74 84 41 92 1162-3 1-5 1-1 0-2 100 83 10/12 24-7 W 91 122 90 128 120 125 #59 #46 3-2 2-3 2-0 1-1 110 100 10/14 23-20 W 72 70 73 104 113 933-3 3-2 2-1 2-0 100 111 10/19 3-47 L 94 117 82 51 89 13 #94 #3 4-2 3-0 110 90 10/21 37-29 W 75 59 85 123 123 1243-4 2-2 96 10/28 105 116 72 #119 #39 5-2 1-6 4-0 0-1 107 105 10/28 27-30 L 62 60 108 72 95 1243-4 3-5 2-2 2-2 96 100 11/4 19-14 W 103 116 70 122 81 41 #109 #39 5-3 3-5 4-0 3-3 107 96 11/4 45-52 L 58 60 101 71 121 494-4 4-5 3-2 2-4 99 114 11/11 22-50 L 100 106 67 15 83 36 #122 #31 5-4 0-8 4-1 0-4 103 88 11/9 27-6 W 51 67 92 127 118 374-5 4-5 3-2 2-3 98 103 11/18 47-34 W 98 104 69 44 96 129 #122 #36 6-4 5-1 103 11/18 46 63 775-5 1-9 4-2 1-5 101 93 11/25 24-34 L 83 100 86 125 111 35 #88 #23 6-4 6-3 5-1 5-1 103 99 11/25 31-10 W 47 64 78 112 102 1195-6 7-4 4-3 6-1 96 107 12/2 81 108 85 47 58 70 #111 #34 7-4 5-6 6-1 4-3 107 96 12/2 47 58 70 81 108 85

+2 +5


SE Louisiana 51-48 -151 -9 2 15 36-201 5.6 12-23 162 1 24 54-343 6.4 15-25 171 1 at Georgia 10-31 -84 -6 2 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1at Tulsa 42-66 -71 -6 -1 27 41-287 7.0 21-34 309 1 33 72-424 5.9 14-20 243 0 Savannah State 54-7 505 21 -2 27 47-274 5.8 16-22 345 1 6 33-77 2.3 5-18 37 3at Texas A&M 21-45 -171 -10 -3 17 29-93 3.2 28-44 216 2 27 40-179 4.5 21-34 301 1 at Texas St 20-13 -102 -2 0 19 29-116 4.0 17-28 167 1 21 37-125 3.4 23-35 260 4 ULM 50-56 -67 5 0 32 47-231 4.9 24-43 295 5 27 45-250 5.6 28-34 343 0 Wake Forest 19-20 150 9 0 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 Bye Byeat Idaho 21-16 18 9 -1 22 39-84 2.2 19-28 213 7 13 39-130 3.3 13-28 149 3 New Mexico St 45-31 -7 -11 3 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 256 4 Texas St 24-7 42 0 3 19 38-135 3.6 17-27 232 2 19 44-106 2.4 14-25 219 6 at Idaho 23-20 -36 0 0 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6at Arkansas St 3-47 -301 -13 -1 17 41-91 2.2 15-36 179 5 30 43-262 6.1 24-40 309 1 Coastal Carolina 37-29 115 9 2 27 35-122 3.5 23-39 427 1 18 30-102 3.4 17-29 332 2 Bye at UMass 27-30 -32 -1 1 15 47-234 5.0 14-29 133 0 16 39-209 5.4 20-33 190 4at South Alabama 19-14 6 -7 2 16 50-264 5.3 8-15 110 0 23 28-87 3.1 23-42 281 3 at ULM 45-52 -61 -3 0 25 36-169 4.7 20-29 339 3 28 38-213 5.6 24-32 356 1at Mississippi 22-50 -214 -9 1 21 31-228 7.4 18-35 199 3 30 43-223 5.2 28-36 418 2 GA Southern 27-6 226 4 0 19 47-256 5.4 7-14 161 0 15 38-111 2.9 10-18 80 3 New Mexico St 47-34 103 3 3 29 47-279 5.9 21-35 226 1 26 19-89 4.7 32-44 313 2 Bye GA Southern 24-34 -85 -10 -3 13 18-149 8.3 16-30 230 2 23 63-389 6.2 6-11 75 1 at Georgia St 31-10 138 6 -1 20 46-323 7.0 15-23 107 0 14 26-91 3.5 22-35 201 2at Appalachian St Louisiana

Average 29-38 -81.0 -4.3 0.2 21 38-186 4.9 56.9% 216 8.3% 25 45-226 5.1 64.3% 257 5.9% Average 31-23 73.8 2.4 0.5 20 39-202 5.2 59.8% 221 2.5% 18 37-146 4.0 57.8% 203 9.5% Conference 27-30 -40.6 -1.9 0.4 21 40-176 4.4 56.1% 212 10.3% 23 40-188 4.7 62.5% 241 7.1% Conference 33-23 39.0 0.4 0.6 20 38-208 5.4 61.9% 204 3.3% 20 35-133 3.8 60.8% 241 9.7% Away 21-40 -122.2 -6.0 -0.5 20 39-175 4.5 56.8% 204 9.4% 26 44-218 4.9 61.5% 284 5.0% Home 36-19 197.8 6.4 0.6 23 40-225 5.6 55.7% 276 1.3% 17 37-127 3.5 51.4% 176 9.2%

SE Louisiana Jordan Davis 12-23-162-1-0 Trey Ragas 4-61-15.3-1 Keenan Barnes 3-70-23.3-0 at Georgia Taylor Lamb 18-27-128-0-0 Taylor Lamb 10-66-6.6-1 Jalin Moore 4-34-8.5-0at Tulsa Jordan Davis 21-32-309-2-1 Trey Ragas 11-130-11.8-1 Ryheem Malone 8-119-14.9-0 Savannah State Taylor Lamb 12-15-327-5-0 Terrence Upshaw 10-86-8.6-1 Collin Reed 3-106-35.3-2at Texas A&M Jordan Davis 27-43-197-2-3 Trey Ragas 14-93-6.6-1 Keenan Barnes 12-118-9.8-0 vs. at Texas St Taylor Lamb 17-28-167-1-0 Terrence Upshaw 14-60-4.3-1 Malik Williams 4-68-17.0-0 ULM Andre Nunez 22-37-287-2-0 Elijah Mitchell 13-107-8.2-2 Jarrod Jackson 7-113-16.1-1 Wake Forest Taylor Lamb 26-50-372-2-0 Terrence Upshaw 15-86-5.7-0 TJ Watkins 3-102-34.0-1 Bye Byeat Idaho Andre Nunez 18-24-213-1-1 Trey Ragas 17-78-4.6-1 Ja'Marcus Bradley 5-93-18.6-1 vs. New Mexico St Taylor Lamb 10-21-48-0-2 Jalin Moore 19-241-12.7-2 Thomas Hennigan 6-66-11.0-1 Texas St Andre Nunez 17-27-232-1-0 Trey Ragas 19-72-3.8-2 Keenan Barnes 5-99-19.8-1 at Idaho Taylor Lamb 19-26-155-3-1 Jalin Moore 17-49-2.9-0 Ike Lewis 6-101-16.8-2at Arkansas St Jordan Davis 11-24-128-0-0 Jordan Davis 9-33-3.7-0 Michael Jacquet 6-55-9.2-0 Coastal Carolina Taylor Lamb 23-39-427-2-0 Malik Williams 15-72-4.8-2 Jalen Virgil 5-186-37.2-2 Bye vs. at UMass Taylor Lamb 14-28-133-2-1 Marcus Williams Jr. 25-125-5.0-0 Ike Lewis 5-87-17.4-1at South Alabama Levi Lewis 8-15-110-2-0 Levi Lewis 18-129-7.2-0 Michael Jacquet 2-58-29.0-1 at ULM Taylor Lamb 20-29-339-4-0 Jalin Moore 21-114-5.4-2 Ike Lewis 7-87-12.4-3at Mississippi Levi Lewis 14-26-166-0-0 Ryheem Malone 1-52-52.0-0 Ja'Marcus Bradley 7-105-15.0-0 GA Southern Taylor Lamb 7-13-161-2-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 28-130-4.6-0 Ike Lewis 3-67-22.3-1 New Mexico St Jordan Davis 18-31-203-2-0 Trey Ragas 23-132-5.7-2 Ryheem Malone 7-113-16.1-1 vs. Bye GA Southern Jordan Davis 15-26-225-2-2 Darius Hoggins 2-80-40.0-1 Ryheem Malone 6-106-17.7-1 at Georgia St Taylor Lamb 15-23-107-2-2 Jalin Moore 32-239-7.5-1 Ike Lewis 5-43-8.6-1at Appalachian St Louisiana

vs.

Jordan Davis 111-197-1265-9-6 Trey Ragas 136-799-5.9-9 Ryheem Malone 42-616-14.7-4 Taylor Lamb 181-299-2364-23-6 Jalin Moore 144-802-5.6-7 Ike Lewis 43-604-14.0-8Andre Nunez 61-99-783-4-2 Darius Hoggins 43-284-6.6-1 Keenan Barnes 36-507-14.1-2 vs. Zac Thomas 6-10-33-0-0 Taylor Lamb 65-452-7.0-4 Thomas Hennigan 39-457-11.7-3Levi Lewis 23-45-281-2-1 Jordan Davis 60-269-4.5-5 Ja'Marcus Bradley 36-452-12.6-2 Malik Williams 1-2-27-1-0 Marcus Williams Jr. 73-360-4.9-0 Jalen Virgil 18-342-19.0-3

Category


Louisiana - 48.5 0 16 41-139

Appalachian St - -10 24 20 37-171 -1


Louisiana - 59.5 7 17 36-42

Appalachian St - -23 28 25 46-230 -2


Louisiana - -9.5 16 17 35-99

Appalachian St - 63 35 20 47-232 -2

vs.

21-35-128

FOE +/-AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Louisiana Leaders

OffenseNet

Lou

isia

na

Rag

in C

aju

ns

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

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ES

Rushing Receiving

Appalachian St DB's

Score

Louisiana OL

Louisiana DL1.62

Appalachian St OL

0.15

By Game Yardage LeadersLouisiana

274 yards


Appalachian St

19 points

at Idaho

at Tulsa Louisiana

ULM Rush Off

Appalachian St

Pass Off

Louisiana

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

New Mexico St Score Def Bye GA Southern Sks By at Georgia St

at South Alabama Pass Def at ULMat Mississippi Total Def GA Southern

at Arkansas St Sks Allowed

at Idaho Total Off Texas St Score Off

FOE REC

vs. SUN vs. SUN Mountaineers LogsLouisiana Ragin Cajuns

Ragin Cajuns Logs

TM REC FOE REC

ReceivingAppalachian St

Passing RushingPosition by Position Edges

NCAA RANKINGS FOETEAM --PS RANK-- AP

TM +/-FOE 4-3

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

at Texas St Wake Forest

Savannah State

FOE +/-FOE CONF

6-1 TM REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Georgia

Coastal CarolinaRush Def at UMass

Bye New Mexico St

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Texas A&M

Bye

FOE

Ap

pal

ach

ian

St

Mou

nta

inee

rs

Louisiana QB/WR0.38

at Appalachian St Ypg Diff

Projected Final Score305 yards Louisiana

Appalachian St

Score

0.07Appalachian St LB's

Louisiana RB's

SE Louisiana

Bye

0.53

Louisiana Pts

Experience RankingsAppalachian St

Appalachian St Pts

Appalachian St DL

15-26-201

Comp-Att-Yds 143 yards LouisianaProjected Rushing

1.64Appalachian St RB's

Louisiana LB'S

21-30-204

14-21-172 Louisiana Appalachian St

Ret

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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds


Louisiana

Projected Passing162 yards

109 Louisiana Appalachian St

Appalachian St by 10 Appalachian St 34 Louisiana 24By 4.86 Points

Appalachian St By 14.3

Appalachian St By 19.0

34

Appalachian St 490 yards

36 points


216 yards

122Team Schedule Strength

Appalachian St 490-305

Computer Points

Computer Yards

+/- Ratings

Phil Steele120 Louisiana Appalachian St

OVERALL:

Phil's Forecast:

Appalachian St Leaders

0.09

Louisiana ST's Team & Margin

Appalachian St ST's

Louisiana DB's1.65

Appalachian St QB/WR

Last year this game was over at half as App St led 24-0 and there was no scoring in the 2H. Louisiana did miss 2 FG’s and were SOD 3 times at home. The last time here App St led 28-0 until UL got a garbage TD with :57 left. Last week I liked Louisiana to become bowl eligible at home vs Georgia Southern, but they lost 34-24 and allowed GSthrn 389 rush (6.2). Now they have to earn bowl eligibility the hard way and that is upset the league favorite on the road. App St was the favorite this year because they outgained conf foes by 174 ypg last year and had a ton of starters back. Despite not facing any of the league's top teams App St is just +39 ypg in SBC play this year. Louisiana is 4-3 in SBC play, but -41 ypg. App St is just 6-13 as a home favorite and ULL is 25-14 as an AD and should keep this closer than expected.

Game Grade

0.32

Louisiana Coaches

Appalachian St K

Louisiana K

Appalachian St Mountaineers5-6 7-4OVERALL:

Appalachian St By 15Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total60 Points

5.39

Appalachian St 36-19

Appalachian St Coaches

Comp-Att-Yds

21-34-160

11-22-195

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 95 128 12 9/2 7-41 L 124 126 62 7 12 7 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 92 98 9/2 38-28 W 130 129 128 100 110 720-1 0-0 96 9/9 12-22 L 125 126 62 1-0 0-0 96 9/9 127 128 1280-2 0-0 93 9/16 128 125 89 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 96 95 9/16 23-30 L 125 127 100 124 94 1270-2 1-1 0-0 0-1 93 117 9/23 17-52 L 130 124 79 100 38 18 #23 #80 1-1 0-0 95 9/23 10-52 L 125 125 1150-3 0-0 92 9/30 128 123 87 #126 #93 1-2 1-2 0-0 1-0 91 101 9/30 43-51 T 125 125 90 91 112 1120-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 92 108 10/4 25-43 L 128 120 78 58 75 57 #110 #106 1-3 1-2 0-1 0-0 92 97 10/7 21-27 L 126 126 112 125 114 1290-4 2-4 0-1 0-2 91 104 10/14 27-35 L 127 116 99 40 94 124 #111 #104 1-4 2-2 0-2 1-0 92 109 10/14 17-51 L 125 123 112 65 79 460-5 0-6 0-2 0-1 91 105 10/21 20-55 L 126 107 71 73 101 129 #94 #67 1-5 4-2 0-3 3-0 90 110 10/21 29-37 W 123 123 124 75 59 850-6 5-2 0-2 2-1 87 107 10/28 16-38 L 126 119 35 76 43 114 #84 #67 1-6 1-6 0-4 0-3 92 83 10/28 7-27 L 122 123 109 127 118 1250-7 4-3 0-3 3-1 87 101 11/4 17-21 L 127 122 39 118 102 118 #84 #108 1-7 3-5 0-5 1-4 87 112 11/4 38-39 W 125 124 94 37 86 890-8 5-4 0-4 4-1 88 103 11/9 6-27 L 127 118 37 51 67 92 #85 #91 1-8 7-2 0-5 FALSE-FALSE 87 105 11/11 17-42 L 125 123 86 59 48 940-9 4-6 0-5 3-3 88 102 11/18 52-0 W 128 118 29 122 75 65 #103 #113 1-9 3-6 0-6 2-3 89 99 11/18 13-7 W 125 121 105 110 113 1111-9 5-5 1-5 4-2 93 101 11/25 34-24 W 125 111 35 83 100 86 #108 #118 2-9 1-6 93 11/25 127 119 982-9 2-5 98 93 12/2 122 105 46 127 117 103 #107 #109 2-9 2-9 1-6 2-5 93 98 12/2 127 117 103 122 105 46

+1 -8


at Auburn 7-41 -457 -17 2 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 UMass 38-28 -40 -3 2 20 47-321 6.8 10-18 80 0 23 26-79 0.0 27-45 362 1 New Hampshire 12-22 52 7 -2 21 57-233 4.1 11-22 93 5 14 32-145 4.5 13-22 129 2 Bye Bye at UAB 23-30 53 5 -2 23 49-227 4.6 9-23 100 1 18 47-169 0.0 8-15 105 2at Indiana 17-52 -92 -5 -3 15 54-242 4.5 7-16 133 3 20 47-282 6.0 11-22 185 0 Western Illinois 10-52 -203 -6 -4 15 35-170 4.9 11-23 137 4 21 37-225 0.0 18-20 285 1 Bye at ULM 43-51 97 5 -3 21 38-112 2.9 18-32 329 3 16 40-243 0.0 12-20 101 1 Arkansas St 25-43 112 5 1 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 Georgia St 21-27 2 -5 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2 22 40-91 0.0 18-30 273 1 New Mexico St 27-35 -240 -12 2 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2 25 26-106 4.1 32-53 399 3 at Arkansas St 17-51 -47 -3 -1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3 27 37-189 0.0 24-37 286 1at UMass 20-55 -379 -21 -2 12 41-136 3.3 5-18 155 3 33 44-320 7.3 21-28 350 0 at Appalachian St 29-37 -115 -9 -2 18 30-102 3.4 17-29 332 2 27 35-122 0.0 23-39 427 1at Troy 16-38 -74 3 -1 19 62-227 3.7 6-12 82 1 16 30-241 8.0 10-20 142 0 Texas St 7-27 -324 -23 1 9 20-34 1.7 13-27 149 1 32 52-238 0.0 27-39 269 3 Georgia St 17-21 -32 4 -2 19 50-189 3.8 22-28 147 0 15 24-49 2.0 22-37 319 4 at Arkansas 38-39 -164 0 1 21 38-131 3.4 15-28 228 1 21 35-259 0.0 16-25 264 0at Appalachian St 6-27 -226 -4 0 15 38-111 2.9 10-18 80 3 19 47-256 5.4 7-14 161 0 Troy 17-42 -123 -8 -1 16 37-94 2.5 14-28 164 5 24 36-122 0.0 21-33 259 1 South Alabama 52-0 388 16 3 26 68-356 5.2 11-17 227 1 10 16-29 1.8 16-37 166 1 at Idaho 13-7 -2 6 0 20 40-175 4.4 11-24 100 2 14 33-100 0.0 18-26 177 2at Louisiana 34-24 85 10 3 23 63-389 6.2 6-11 75 1 13 18-149 8.3 16-30 230 2 Byeat Coastal Carolina GA Southern

Average 21-33 -78.5 -1.3 0.1 18 54-225 4.2 55.1% 112 16.3% 19 34-181 5.4 55.6% 235 5.4% Average 23-36 -78.7 -3.7 -0.7 19 37-154 4.2 51.9% 190 8.4% 22 38-167 0.0 64.4% 255 4.3% Conference 25-27 1.9 3.1 0.9 20 56-257 4.6 62.8% 121 10.6% 17 28-128 4.6 53.0% 248 5.5% Conference 21-35 -73.1 -5.3 -0.7 18 34-120 3.6 53.3% 221 9.2% 23 39-158 0.0 63.8% 256 4.5% Away 17-40 -190.5 -5.7 -0.2 15 51-196 3.9 45.2% 89 20.2% 21 40-267 6.7 57.1% 209 3.6% Home 19-35 -137.6 -9.0 -0.2 15 34-149 4.4 54.1% 154 9.8% 24 38-151 0.0 66.5% 290 4.2%

at Auburn Shai Werts 4-8-8-0-1 L.A Ramsby 11-33-3.0-0 Obe Fortune 1-7-7.0-0 UMass Tyler Keane 9-17-78-1-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 17-149-8.8-2 Ky'Jon Tyler 5-38-7.6-0 New Hampshire Shai Werts 11-22-93-0-1 Shai Werts 31-124-4.0-0 Mark Michaud 3-39-13.0-0 Bye Bye vs. at UAB Tyler Keane 7-16-75-0-3 Osharmar Abercrombie 19-75-3.9-2 Chris Jones 1-19-19.0-0at Indiana Shai Werts 6-14-129-2-0 L.A Ramsby 18-108-6.0-0 D'Ondre Glenn 3-98-32.7-1 Western Illinois Tyler Keane 6-11-85-0-0 Marcus Outlow 4-67-16.8-0 Malcolm Williams 5-79-15.8-0 Bye at ULM Tyler Keane 18-31-329-4-2 Osharmar Abercrombie 13-51-3.9-0 Malcolm Williams 9-266-29.6-2 Arkansas St Shai Werts 10-18-160-1-2 Shai Werts 29-112-3.9-0 Obe Fortune 3-70-23.3-1 vs. Georgia St Tyler Keane 18-26-239-3-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 9-42-4.7-0 Omar Black 5-75-15.0-1 New Mexico St Shai Werts 6-9-73-0-0 Wesley Fields 13-103-7.9-1 Myles Campbell 3-41-13.7-0 at Arkansas St Kilton Anderson 5-16-133-1-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 10-102-10.2-0 Omar Black 5-88-17.6-0at UMass Kado Brown 4-9-148-0-1 Wesley Fields 12-62-5.2-0 Mark Michaud 2-88-44.0-0 at Appalachian St Tyler Keane 17-29-332-2-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 11-53-4.8-1 Ky'Jon Tyler 5-141-28.2-1at Troy Kado Brown 4-7-42-0-1 Wesley Fields 18-83-4.6-1 Obe Fortune 3-36-12.0-0 vs. Texas St Tyler Keane 8-16-91-0-0 Tyler Keane 2-8-4.0-0 Chris Jones 5-65-13.0-0 Georgia St Shai Werts 22-28-147-1-0 Shai Werts 15-63-4.2-1 Malik Henry 8-47-5.9-0 at Arkansas Kilton Anderson 6-17-115-2-0 Jacquez Hairston 9-45-5.0-0 Chris Jones 4-106-26.5-1at Appalachian St Shai Werts 5-9-40-0-0 Wesley Fields 8-37-4.6-0 Malik Henry 4-45-11.3-0 Troy Kilton Anderson 13-25-157-2-2 Osharmar Abercrombie 14-55-3.9-0 Malcolm Williams 4-60-15.0-1 South Alabama Kado Brown 4-4-120-1-0 Shai Werts 15-113-7.5-1 Darion Anderson 2-71-35.5-0 vs. at Idaho Kilton Anderson 11-23-100-0-0 Alex James 10-81-8.1-1 Malcolm Williams 4-36-9.0-0at Louisiana Shai Werts 6-11-75-1-0 Wesley Fields 23-186-8.1-1 Ellis Richardson 3-68-22.7-1 Byeat Coastal Carolina GA Southern

vs.

Shai Werts 79-137-872-6-4 Wesley Fields 162-781-4.8-5 Malik Henry 18-255-14.2-1 Tyler Keane 100-170-1440-11-5 Osharmar Abercrombie 121-591-4.9-5 Malcolm Williams 39-673-17.3-5Kado Brown 18-30-354-1-2 Shai Werts 179-616-3.4-3 Obe Fortune 15-189-12.6-1 vs. Kilton Anderson 40-92-563-5-2 Alex James 55-274-5.0-4 Chris Jones 25-535-21.4-4LaBaron Anthony 1-9-7-0-0 L.A Ramsby 132-524-4.0-5 Ellis Richardson 8-177-22.1-2 Chance Thrasher 5-10-52-0-2 Marcus Outlow 55-260-4.7-1 Ky'Jon Tyler 21-276-13.1-2

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-

Receiving


Ret

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nts

Projected Box Score

128 Ga Southern Coastal Carolina


Ga Southern Leaders

Offense Defense

Ga

Sou

ther

n E

agle

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Coa

stal

Car

olin

a C

han

ticl

eers

Net Offense

at Coastal Carolina Ypg Diff GA SouthernTotal TO's

South Alabama Score Def at Idahoat Louisiana Sks By Bye

Georgia St Pass Def at Arkansasat Appalachian St Total Def Troy

at UMass Sks Allowed at Appalachian Stat Troy Rush Def Texas St

Arkansas St Total Off Georgia St New Mexico St Score Off at Arkansas St

New Hampshire Ga Southern Coastal Carolina Bye Bye at UAB

at Auburn 2017 TEAM RANKINGS UMass

Ga Southern EaglesChanticleers Logs

2-9 Coastal Carolina ChanticleersOVERALL:

Score Score

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing

Net

APEagles Logs


FOE CONF TM +/- TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS2-5 1-6 TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

at Indiana Rush Off Western Illinois Bye Pass Off at ULM

Ga Southern OL

Coastal Carolina DL

1.15Ga Southern RB's

Coastal Carolina LB's

0.70

Coastal Carolina Leaders

Team & Margin

Ga Southern DL1.27

Coastal Carolina OL

0.30

1.11Las Vegas Line

0.27Coastal Carolina RB's

Ga Southern DB's

Coastal Carolina QB/WRGa Southern ST's

Ga Southern LB'S

Phil's Forecast:

GA Southern By 2.5

52.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

GA Southern By 2.8

GA Southern By 1.5

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Computer YardsGA Southern 398-331

278 yards Ga Southern

Projected Passing

Projected Rushing0.53

Ga Southern K

Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina K

398 yards Ga Southern Coastal Carolina 331 yards

120 yards Ga Southern

Projected Yardage TotalCoastal Carolina

Ga Southern Coastal Carolina

0.70

2.24

Ga Southern Coaches

Coastal Carolina Coaches

141 yards

119 GA Southern by 3

Computer Points

4.34

Ga Southern Pts

Coastal Carolina Pts

22 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score29 points

Ga Southern

The Eagles are 3-0 in this series including the LTH (‘10) winning 43-26. CCU is 0-3 with an average loss by 14 ppg, but CC did have a bye last week to help prep for the option. They are a 2-9 team and probably had time off for Thanksgiving, but the extra week helps and they won their last game so they could come back strong from the break. The Eagles option offense struggled mid-season with just 171 rush ypg from weeks 5-9 and that included just 176 ypg after the coaching change. QB Shai Werts attempted 46 passes vs Georgia St and App St (too many for an option offense) and they fell to 0-9. GSthrn has rushed for 356 and 389 yards the last two weeks and not only have they won both games, but they have beaten the Vegas number by 36.5 ppg! They are +2 ypg in Sun Belt play while CCar is -73 ypg. Coastal did almost upset Arkansas on the road to open November and then did upset Idaho. QB Tyler Keane was injured vs Ark and missed the last 10Q’s.104 GA Southern 29-22

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

84 Ga Southern Coastal Carolina

189 yards


Georgia Southern 26 Coastal Carolina 23By 2.10 Points

Coastal Carolina

FOEFOE


AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

0.56Ga Southern QB/WR

Coastal Carolina DB's

Ga Southern

vs. SUN vs. SUN2-9

OVERALL:

Coastal Carolina ST's

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 105 108 9/2 13-24 L 66 63 85 53 86 113 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 115 9/2 36-43 L 101 49 63 55 33 420-1 0-0 105 9/9 34-7 W 98 61 85 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 84 55 631-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/16 27-24 W 80 55 102 47 99 120 0-1 0-0 112 9/16 48-3 W 75 64 962-1 1-2 1-0 0-0 105 97 9/23 22-17 W 82 56 97 113 98 114 #73 #79 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 111 113 9/23 21-44 L 65 69 66 40 104 1243-1 3-1 1-0 0-1 104 126 25 9/30 24-21 W 69 55 105 29 5 37 #34 #7 1-2 0-0 108 9/30 61 73 684-1 1-0 109 10/7 68 55 104 #40 #14 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 108 92 10/4 43-25 W 58 75 57 128 120 784-1 1-4 1-0 0-1 109 98 10/11 8-19 L 71 56 107 122 86 53 #54 #9 2-2 1-0 109 92 10/14 51-17 W 65 79 46 125 123 1124-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 104 101 10/21 34-10 W 82 53 115 114 111 116 #13 #76 3-2 3-3 2-0 2-1 111 100 10/19 47-3 W 51 89 13 94 117 825-2 0-6 2-1 0-2 107 87 10/28 38-16 W 76 43 114 126 119 35 #7 #43 4-2 3-4 3-0 1-2 115 104 10/28 37-21 W 39 75 16 40 96 1306-2 3-5 3-1 2-2 107 97 11/2 24-21 W 68 46 113 107 114 91 #41 #92 5-2 4-0 116 11/4 42 55 217-2 FALSE-FALSE 105 87 11/11 42-17 W 59 48 94 125 123 86 #16 #60 5-2 3-6 4-0 2-3 116 97 11/11 19-24 L 40 51 22 122 89 478-2 1-0 107 11/18 68 43 74 #10 #45 5-3 2-8 4-1 1-5 111 89 11/18 30-12 W 55 44 9 119 114 1228-2 2-9 1-0 1-6 107 90 11/25 62-8 W 66 47 76 120 114 124 #21 #21 6-3 4-6 5-1 4-3 110 102 11/25 67-50 W 57 40 9 67 122 439-2 7-3 2-0 6-1 111 112 12/2 57 47 54 39 44 33 #19 #24 7-3 9-2 6-1 2-0 112 111 12/2 39 44 33 57 47 54

+2 +1


at Boise St 13-24 -142 -8 -1 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 at Nebraska 36-43 34 7 -2 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1 Alabama St 34-7 446 18 -1 32 36-257 7.1 33-42 354 0 14 32-85 2.7 15-28 80 3 Byeat New Mexico St 27-24 87 8 0 26 37-183 4.9 25-41 286 1 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 213 14 5 26 37-137 3.7 26-34 356 3 12 39-56 1.4 15-26 224 4 Akron 22-17 122 1 2 24 28-175 6.3 28-42 314 1 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 at SMU 21-44 -153 -11 -2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 31 54-314 5.8 16-32 266 1at LSU 24-21 -65 -5 2 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 Bye Bye at GA Southern 43-25 -112 -5 -1 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 South Alabama 8-19 75 6 -3 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4 Coastal Carolina 51-17 47 3 1 27 37-189 5.1 24-37 286 1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3at Georgia St 34-10 150 4 -1 20 22-122 5.5 25-36 335 0 16 33-52 1.6 25-40 255 4 Louisiana 47-3 301 13 1 30 43-262 6.1 24-40 309 1 17 41-91 2.2 15-36 179 5 GA Southern 38-16 74 -3 1 16 30-241 8.0 10-20 142 0 19 62-227 3.7 6-12 82 1 at New Mexico St 37-21 161 14 0 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 7 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 Idaho 24-21 17 -2 -2 20 36-183 5.1 20-31 212 1 22 32-90 2.8 24-35 288 6 Byeat Coastal Carolina 42-17 123 8 1 24 36-122 3.4 21-33 259 1 16 37-94 2.5 14-28 164 5 at South Alabama 19-24 25 5 -5 23 33-66 2.0 28-45 299 4 18 32--3 -0.1 25-46 343 3 Bye Texas St 30-12 269 14 1 25 61-240 3.9 20-33 229 1 11 29-97 3.3 8-25 103 2 Texas St 62-9 341 8 4 22 31-154 5.0 26-35 487 0 14 45-153 3.4 14-21 147 3 at ULM 67-50 191 4 3 31 44-261 5.9 26-38 520 2 27 39-136 3.5 21-37 454 2at Arkansas St Troy

Average 30-17 111.6 3.2 0.2 21 32-159 5.0 63.2% 269 3.3% 18 37-110 2.9 60.4% 206 9.6% Average 40-24 97.6 5.8 0.1 26 38-157 4.1 62.9% 331 6.2% 20 41-148 3.7 50.5% 242 10.0% Conference 34-17 123.9 4.1 0.0 21 30-148 4.9 62.6% 284 2.1% 17 39-102 2.6 62.7% 206 11.4% Conference 42-22 126.0 6.9 0.0 26 42-172 4.1 61.4% 322 6.9% 19 39-127 3.2 48.5% 242 11.3% Away 28-19 30.6 1.4 0.2 19 33-142 4.3 60.5% 235 5.2% 18 32-101 3.2 62.7% 245 7.3% Home 35-9 207.5 11.0 2.0 27 45-207 4.7 65.3% 295 4.2% 16 37-110 3.0 44.0% 184 12.1%

at Boise St Brandon Silvers 17-33-139-0-1 Jordan Chunn 11-41-3.7-0 Damion Willis 2-27-13.5-0 at Nebraska Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1 Alabama St Brandon Silvers 32-40-345-0-1 Jamarius Henderson 8-107-13.4-2 Damion Willis 7-93-13.3-0 Byeat New Mexico St Brandon Silvers 25-41-286-1-0 Jordan Chunn 20-87-4.4-1 Deondre Douglas 7-101-14.4-0 vs. Ark Pine Bluff Justice Hansen 24-31-336-5-0 Warren Wand 9-62-6.9-1 Justin McInnis 2-84-42.0-1 Akron Brandon Silvers 28-41-314-1-0 Jordan Chunn 16-106-6.6-1 Deondre Douglas 7-92-13.1-1 at SMU Justice Hansen 16-26-234-2-0 Warren Wand 13-75-5.8-1 Blake Mack 5-102-20.4-1at LSU Brandon Silvers 16-28-157-0-0 Jordan Chunn 30-191-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-46-15.3-0 Bye Bye vs. at GA Southern Justice Hansen 12-26-316-4-4 Warren Wand 11-61-5.5-2 Chris Murray 5-188-37.6-2 South Alabama Brandon Silvers 24-46-263-0-1 Jordan Chunn 10-28-2.8-0 Emanuel Thompson 6-67-11.2-0 Coastal Carolina Justice Hansen 24-37-286-5-0 Justice Hansen 9-68-7.6-0 Justin McInnis 4-63-15.8-0at Georgia St Brandon Silvers 25-35-335-2-1 Josh Anderson 13-57-4.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-67-22.3-0 Louisiana Justice Hansen 23-37-275-2-0 Justice Hansen 13-121-9.3-1 Blake Mack 5-65-13.0-0 GA Southern Brandon Silvers 9-18-102-1-0 Josh Anderson 15-96-6.4-1 Tray Eafford 3-53-17.7-1 vs. at New Mexico St Justice Hansen 25-40-297-4-1 Jamal Jones 7-38-5.4-0 Justin McInnis 7-68-9.7-0 Idaho Brandon Silvers 20-30-212-1-1 Jordan Chunn 18-113-6.3-2 Damion Willis 3-60-20.0-0 Byeat Coastal Carolina Brandon Silvers 18-30-206-1-1 Josh Anderson 9-58-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-66-22.0-1 at South Alabama Justice Hansen 27-44-285-2-4 Justice Hansen 18-37-2.1-0 Blake Mack 5-94-18.8-0 Bye vs. Texas St Justice Hansen 20-33-229-1-0 Warren Wand 29-145-5.0-1 Omar Bayless 3-45-15.0-0 Texas St Brandon Silvers 22-30-380-4-0 Jordan Chunn 10-80-8.0-1 Emanuel Thompson 4-97-24.3-0 at ULM Justice Hansen 26-38-520-4-1 Warren Wand 21-173-8.2-1 Justin McInnis 9-211-23.4-0at Arkansas St Troy

vs.

Brandon Silvers 236-372-2739-11-6 Jordan Chunn 140-737-5.3-10 Deondre Douglas 41-554-13.5-3 Justice Hansen 243-380-3193-32-12 Warren Wand 105-615-5.9-6 Justin McInnis 36-602-16.7-3Kaleb Barker 8-13-143-1-0 Josh Anderson 67-324-4.8-4 Damion Willis 31-485-15.6-1 vs. Logan Bonner 9-21-70-1-1 Johnston White 76-342-4.5-3 Chris Murray 40-572-14.3-9John Johnson 2-2-72-1-0 Jamarius Henderson 38-302-7.9-4 Emanuel Thompson 37-404-10.9-0 Chauncey Mason 1-1-34-0-0 Justice Hansen 99-328-3.3-5 Blake Mack 40-505-12.6-7

Category


Troy 25 -8 3 17 24-55

Arkansas St - 53.5 35 19 51-208 5


Troy - 66.5 34 30 37-110

Arkansas St - -7.5 41 26 43-228 4


Troy - 68 34 23 33-71

Arkansas St - -3.5 41 33 41-226 0

vs.

GA Southern Rush Def at New Mexico St

Passing

0.75Arkansas St DL

Net Offense Defense

Troy

Tro

jan

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ark

ansa

s S

t R

ed W

olve

s

Net Offense

at Arkansas St Ypg Diff TroyTotal TO's

Passing Rushing ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders

FOE +/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONF FOEFOETEAM --PS RANK--

Troy Leaders

7-3OVERALL: OVERALL: Arkansas St Red Wolves9-2

DefenseScore Score

TM +/-

Bye South Alabama

Akronat LSU Pass Off Bye

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Nebraska Alabama St Troy Arkansas St Byeat New Mexico St Ark Pine Bluff

at Boise St

Bye Score Def Texas St Sks By at ULM

Idaho Pass Def Byeat Coastal Carolina Total Def at South Alabama

at Georgia St Sks Allowed

TM +/-6-1 FOE

Total Off at GA SouthernScore Off Coastal Carolina

Rush Off at SMU

APTM REC FOE REC

Texas St

vs. SUN vs. SUN Red Wolves Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF FOEFOE +/-

TEAM5-1

Louisiana

Troy

Arkansas St

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score27 points

259 yards

Arkansas St By 2.1

ReceivingTroy Arkansas St

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

0.36Troy RB's

Arkansas St LB's

0.58Troy QB/WR

Arkansas St DB's

0.88Troy DL

Arkansas St OL

Troy OL

Projected Yardage Total312 yardsTroy

Projected Passing

Arkansas St Coaches

Projected Rushing128 yards

Arkansas St RB's0.89

Troy LB'S

20-39-207


Ret

urn

to

Tab

le o

f C

onte

nts

Projected Box Score

2.01 Arkansas St Leaders

0.54

Troy ST's

Arkansas St ST's

Troy DB's

Arkansas St QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Troy K

Arkansas St

Troy Coaches

Troy Arkansas St 30 points

28-42-369

Arkansas St


Arkansas St Pts

Last year Arkansas St caught Troy off their big home win over App St and playing a 2nd straight big home game in just 5 days on a Thursday and Ark St dominated 35-3 on the road with their 4th straight win over Troy. Troy has the defensive edge allowing 308 ypg in SBC play, but Ark St is not far behind allowing 368. ASt has the edge on offense at 494 ypg vs Troy’s 432 and Oklahoma transfer Justice Hansen (PS#12) has a 32-12 ratio while long time Troy QB Brandon Silvers who had 20+ TD passes each of the last two years has an 11-6 ratio. Ark St has my #33 rated special teams and Troy is #54. The Red Wolves also have won their home games by an avg of 44-9 and are +208 ypg at home and just +24 ypg on the road. Ark St is 34-6 at home since 2011! If App St loses than this game is for the SBC Title and if App St wins it is for a co-championship. I will go with the superior home team at night. These two teams combined to throw for over 1,000 yards last week.

Arkansas St 440-382

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Troy By 1

60 PointsLas Vegas Total

Computer Yards3.25

Troy Pts

4.07

0.30

+/- RatingsArkansas St By 5.3

1.01

35 97

Arkansas St by 4130

Team Schedule Strength129 Troy Arkansas St

Troy

Best Bet: ★ Arkansas St 28 (+) Troy 24By 0.82 Points

Arkansas St 30-27

Phil Steele

36-58-504

21-35-311

Comp-Att-Yds

28-38-447

Arkansas St

Arkansas St

440 yards

123 yards

382 yards Troy

Arkansas St K

Comp-Att-Yds

Troy TrojansTrojans Logs

TM REC FOE REC

14-26-180

Comp-Att-Yds

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 116 9/2 27-47 L 121 96 96 28 37 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 113 8/31 31-37 L 60 94 110 33 48 900-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 97 137 11 9/8 7-44 L 118 109 96 5 41 98 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/9 30-28 W 56 104 110 62 121 140-2 0-0 97 9/16 45-0 W 123 109 111 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 105 103 9/16 24-27 L 47 99 120 80 55 1021-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 100 101 9/23 23-29 L 123 97 90 98 123 117 #124 #120 1-2 0-3 0-1 0-1 103 87 9/23 41-14 W 49 95 116 129 129 851-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 98 113 9/30 16-34 L 122 91 86 81 95 65 #66 #5 2-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 104 114 9/30 24-42 L 40 85 119 31 56 1221-4 0-1 98 10/7 123 89 67 #114 #29 2-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 103 111 10/7 31-45 L 41 92 116 75 74 841-4 4-1 0-1 1-0 98 109 10/11 19-8 W 122 86 53 71 56 107 #118 #51 2-4 0-4 0-2 0-1 104 91 10/14 35-27 W 40 94 124 127 116 992-4 3-3 1-1 3-1 103 97 10/21 33-23 W 125 74 48 80 119 51 #44 #87 3-4 1-2 104 10/21 39 98 1303-4 3-3 2-1 2-1 103 98 10/26 13-21 L 120 80 49 117 110 118 #61 #79 3-4 4-2 1-2 3-0 104 115 10/28 21-37 L 40 96 130 39 75 163-5 3-4 2-2 2-2 100 96 11/4 14-19 L 122 81 41 103 116 70 #103 #70 3-5 2-6 1-3 1-3 103 88 11/4 45-35 W 55 93 129 123 106 1273-6 5-2 2-3 4-0 97 116 11/11 24-19 W 122 89 47 40 51 22 #82 #75 4-5 2-3 103 11/11 50 95 1304-6 0-9 3-3 0-5 102 88 11/18 0-52 L 122 75 65 128 118 29 #68 #95 4-5 4-5 2-3 3-2 103 98 11/18 34-47 L 44 96 129 98 104 694-7 3-4 97 11/25 124 92 57 #102 #10 4-6 3-7 2-4 2-4 99 95 11/25 17-10 W 48 98 123 111 110 1184-7 5-6 3-4 3-4 97 99 12/2 125 90 59 53 93 124 #108 #44 5-6 4-7 3-4 3-4 99 97 12/2 53 93 124 125 90 59

+4 -3


at Mississippi 27-47 -157 2 1 25 37-170 4.6 19-31 204 1 23 29-102 3.5 28-35 429 2 at Arizona St 31-37 149 8 -2 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 Oklahoma St 7-44 -330 -17 -2 12 27-41 1.5 14-24 134 4 29 37-163 4.4 26-41 342 1 at New Mexico 30-28 70 2 2 23 26-99 3.8 34-57 401 1 21 37-176 4.8 20-38 254 1 Alabama A&M 45-0 241 7 2 18 39-158 4.1 9-13 255 1 11 26-72 2.8 18-28 100 2 Troy 24-27 -87 -8 0 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 26 37-183 4.9 25-41 286 1 Idaho 23-29 -69 -7 1 17 48-244 5.1 11-26 106 1 24 37-146 3.9 23-39 273 3 UTEP 41-14 235 6 3 21 29-179 6.2 26-43 283 0 15 36-135 3.8 10-34 92 3at Louisiana Tech 16-34 -146 -10 -1 16 22-98 4.5 21-45 235 1 26 33-162 4.9 24-39 317 3 at Arkansas 24-42 -139 -11 -1 18 14-11 0.8 23-38 344 2 29 51-230 4.5 19-26 264 0 Bye at Appalachian St 31-45 107 11 -3 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 356 4 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0at Troy 19-8 -75 -6 3 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2 at GA Southern 35-27 240 12 -2 25 26-106 4.1 32-53 399 3 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2 ULM 33-23 63 6 1 26 35-232 6.6 20-33 317 0 20 41-307 7.5 14-23 179 0 Byeat Georgia St 13-21 29 -1 -1 15 23-41 1.8 27-48 297 1 16 34-114 3.4 17-31 195 0 Arkansas St 21-37 -161 -14 0 13 32-35 1.1 20-40 221 7 27 40-120 3.0 25-40 297 7 Louisiana 14-19 -6 7 -2 23 28-87 3.1 23-42 281 3 16 50-264 5.3 8-15 110 0 at Texas St 45-35 59 -4 2 26 33-119 3.6 31-49 503 1 30 36-163 4.5 33-53 400 5 Arkansas St 24-19 -25 -5 5 18 32--3 -0.1 25-46 343 3 23 33-66 2.0 28-45 299 4 Byeat GA Southern 0-52 -388 -16 -3 10 16-29 1.8 16-37 166 1 26 68-356 5.2 11-17 227 1 at Louisiana 34-47 -103 -3 -3 26 19-89 4.7 32-44 313 2 29 47-279 5.9 21-35 226 1 Bye Idaho 17-10 188 7 1 23 37-172 4.6 31-49 231 2 16 38-41 1.1 19-35 174 11at New Mexico St South Alabama

Average 20-27 -78.5 -3.6 0.4 17 32-104 3.3 53.7% 229 5.5% 21 37-162 4.4 61.7% 249 5.0% Average 30-32 50.7 0.5 -0.3 23 28-108 3.9 62.4% 344 5.3% 22 41-177 4.3 58.7% 224 10.5% Conference 18-24 -67.3 -3.1 0.6 17 32-97 3.0 52.8% 241 5.2% 20 40-183 4.5 58.1% 222 4.6% Conference 30-33 34.7 0.1 -0.7 23 29-107 3.6 62.1% 336 5.8% 23 41-190 4.6 59.6% 219 11.5% Away 15-32 -147.4 -6.2 -0.2 16 28-77 2.7 51.9% 216 4.4% 22 37-153 4.2 62.1% 287 4.7% Home 26-22 43.8 -2.3 1.0 19 29-109 3.8 61.6% 267 5.1% 21 38-120 3.2 52.7% 212 14.7%

at Mississippi Cole Garvin 19-31-204-1-0 Tra Minter 12-83-6.9-0 Sa'Mory Collier 4-43-10.8-0 at Arizona St Tyler Rogers 40-57-398-3-2 Jason Huntley 5-84-16.8-1 Jaleel Scott 8-149-18.6-2 Oklahoma St Dallas Davis 13-23-126-1-1 Xavier Johnson 5-36-7.2-0 Jamarius Way 5-66-13.2-0 at New Mexico Tyler Rogers 34-57-401-4-1 Larry Rose III 21-99-4.7-0 Izaiah Lottie 2-98-49.0-2 Alabama A&M Dallas Davis 9-12-255-2-0 Denzel Foster 4-44-11.0-0 Jamarius Way 2-85-42.5-0 vs. Troy Tyler Rogers 32-45-331-3-0 Larry Rose III 12-69-5.8-0 Izaiah Lottie 4-93-23.3-2 Idaho Dallas Davis 11-25-106-0-1 Xavier Johnson 20-155-7.8-2 Sam Harris 3-41-13.7-0 UTEP Tyler Rogers 26-43-283-2-1 Larry Rose III 17-144-8.5-2 Jaleel Scott 4-74-18.5-0at Louisiana Tech Cole Garvin 21-45-235-1-2 Xavier Johnson 12-89-7.4-0 Jamarius Way 5-67-13.4-1 at Arkansas Tyler Rogers 23-38-344-2-1 Larry Rose III 8-25-3.1-0 Jaleel Scott 9-174-19.3-1 Bye vs. at Appalachian St Tyler Rogers 27-50-356-2-6 Jason Huntley 10-96-9.6-0 Jason Huntley 3-111-37.0-1at Troy Dallas Davis 7-10-120-0-1 Denzel Foster 9-30-3.3-0 Tra Minter 3-83-27.7-0 at GA Southern Tyler Rogers 31-51-382-3-2 Jason Huntley 16-99-6.2-0 Anthony Muse 5-106-21.2-0 ULM Dallas Davis 20-33-317-3-1 Xavier Johnson 11-99-9.0-1 Sam Harris 8-141-17.6-1 Byeat Georgia St Dallas Davis 27-48-297-1-2 Denzel Foster 1-11-11.0-0 Jamarius Way 6-118-19.7-1 vs. Arkansas St Tyler Rogers 20-40-221-1-2 Larry Rose III 18-55-3.1-1 OJ Clark 7-113-16.1-0 Louisiana Cole Garvin 22-35-274-2-2 Tra Minter 13-50-3.8-0 Jamarius Way 5-110-22.0-0 at Texas St Tyler Rogers 29-46-474-3-0 Larry Rose III 19-81-4.3-1 Jaleel Scott 7-130-18.6-1 Arkansas St Cole Garvin 25-45-343-2-0 Carlos Robinson 9-21-2.3-0 Jordan McCray 4-72-18.0-0 Byeat GA Southern Cole Garvin 8-28-102-0-1 Dallas Davis 2-13-6.5-0 Sam Harris 3-44-14.7-0 vs. at Louisiana Tyler Rogers 17-24-184-1-0 Jason Huntley 6-58-9.7-0 Larry Rose III 7-101-14.4-1 Bye Idaho Nick Jeanty 31-49-231-0-1 Larry Rose III 22-100-4.5-2 Jaleel Scott 8-77-9.6-0at New Mexico St South Alabama

vs.

Dallas Davis 96-166-1292-7-7 Xavier Johnson 82-445-5.4-6 Jamarius Way 40-674-16.9-3 Tyler Rogers 279-451-3374-24-15 Larry Rose III 158-740-4.7-9 Jaleel Scott 64-908-14.2-8Cole Garvin 100-195-1222-7-5 Tra Minter 103-333-3.2-1 Sam Harris 41-570-13.9-2 vs. Nick Jeanty 48-72-389-1-4 Jason Huntley 61-422-6.9-1 OJ Clark 44-492-11.2-3Evan Orth 0-1-0.1-0-0 Denzel Foster 28-162-5.8-0 Malik Stanley 24-277-11.5-3 Conner Cramer 1-1-17-1-0 Nick Jeanty 11-44-4.0-0 Anthony Muse 34-413-12.1-1

Category


South Alabama - -13 35 22 49-282

New Mexico St - 57.5 28 21 48-353 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Net Offense Defense

Sou

th A

lab

ama

Jag

uar

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

New

Mex

ico

St

Ag

gie

s

Net Offense

South AlabamaTotal TO's

Ypg Diffat New Mexico St

0.79South Alabama QB/WR

New Mexico St DB's

South Alabama New Mexico St

South Alabama OL0.39

TM REC FOE REC

Aggies LogsSouth Alabama Jaguars OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM CONF


New Mexico St Aggies4-7 5-6Jaguars Logs vs. SUN vs. AAC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--3-4 3-4 TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

AP

Bye Total Off at Appalachian Stat Troy Score Off at GA Southern

Idaho Rush Off UTEPat Louisiana Tech Pass Off at Arkansas

at Arizona St Oklahoma St South Alabama New Mexico St at New Mexico Alabama A&M Troy

at GA Southern Score Def at Louisiana Bye Sks By




ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE

TM +/- FOE +/-AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAM

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Idaho

Louisiana Pass Def at Texas St Arkansas St Total Def Bye

ULM Sks Allowed Byeat Georgia St Rush Def Arkansas St

at Mississippi

Computer Yards3.904.06

South Alabama Pts

South Alabama LeadersSouth Alabama DB's

1.96New Mexico St QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

16-28-239

New Mexico St Leaders


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Projected Box Score1.34

South Alabama ST's

22 points South Alabama New Mexico St 30 points

11-25-110 Projected Rushing139 yards

Projected PassingSouth Alabama New Mexico St 335 yards

Projected Yardage Total474 yards312 yards

South Alabama RB's0.58

New Mexico St LB's

South Alabama LB'S0.87

New Mexico St RB's

South Alabama DL0.11

New Mexico St OL

Team & Margin

1.49

South Alabama K

New Mexico St K

New Mexico St DL

Las Vegas Total54 Points

+/- RatingsN Mexico St By 4.8

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineNew Mexico St ST's N Mexico St By 9.5

83 yards South Alabama New Mexico St

229 yards

Experience Rankings New Mexico St Pts

14

New Mexico St 112

N Mexico St 30-22

Team Schedule StrengthSouth Alabama

N Mexico St by 7New Mexico St 30 South Alabama 23By 0.16 Points


This is South Alabama’s first trip here as last year was their first meeting. NMSt led 21-14 with 14:25 left then SAla went on 76, 86 and 70 yard TD drives and won at home 35-28. Joey Jones who has been at South Alabama since it started, did an excellent job and even got the team to a bowl game. He has announced this is his last game so you can expect an all out effort from the Jaguars. South Alabama lost some games it should not have, but can pull off upsets. Troy and Arkansas St are playing for the Sun Belt (or a share of) this week and each has just one SBC loss and that was to South Alabama who also beat Miss St and SD St last year. USA is without its top 5 RB’s and only rushed for 26 yards their last two games. Their defense Is holding SBC foes to 5 yds below their season average and had 11 sacks vs Idaho last week with 38 on the year (USA D 18 sks). NMSt was without QB Tyler Rogers last week and he is probable this week. NMSt is +35 ypg in SBC play and if they win they become bowl eligible and could be headed to their first bowl since 1960. USA is -67 ypg in SBC play. The average game grade has NMSt at 77.7 and USA at 69.1 and factor in the home field and it is right around the number.

87

N Mexico St By 11.2

0.45

South Alabama Coaches

Phil Steele

N Mexico St 474-312

106 South Alabama

Computer Points

New Mexico St Coaches

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 98 9/2 59-14 W 125 97 81 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 117 9/1 19-42 L 64 113 93 84 101 411-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 112 9/9 32-54 L 102 98 81 31 101 127 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 96 139 9 9/9 14-31 L 76 119 93 41 11 381-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 100 123 9/16 14-31 L 85 89 58 64 24 34 0-2 0-0 100 9/16 45-0 W 91 120 1011-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 96 9/23 46-43 W 81 89 89 115 92 112 #46 #6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 106 9/23 31-34 L 78 113 55 108 109 1282-2 2-1 1-0 0-0 100 110 9/30 43-28 W 62 88 46 71 70 92 #26 #89 1-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 104 102 9/30 38-20 W 75 114 49 108 77 733-2 2-0 105 10/7 61 81 52 #20 #17 2-3 2-2 1-0 0-0 106 100 10/7 58-28 W 63 108 58 124 87 1003-2 3-1 2-0 0-1 105 111 10/14 29-26 W 54 80 16 67 50 42 #17 #10 3-3 2-0 110 10/14 64 105 354-2 3-3 3-0 2-0 107 110 10/21 31-69 L 54 80 27 56 95 38 #62 #13 3-3 4-2 2-0 3-0 110 107 10/21 69-31 W 56 95 38 54 80 274-3 2-5 3-1 0-3 103 95 10/28 45-38 W 56 97 14 128 106 113 #103 #76 4-3 5-2 3-0 3-1 114 108 10/28 42-28 W 43 89 30 107 92 255-3 4-4 4-1 2-2 103 107 11/4 24-23 W 52 103 12 75 89 85 #50 #80 5-3 6-2 4-0 3-1 116 111 11/3 30-25 W 43 85 17 66 38 306-3 0-9 5-1 0-5 105 88 11/11 45-10 W 54 101 20 130 119 91 #84 #79 6-3 4-5 5-0 2-3 116 105 11/11 48-23 W 47 79 18 81 86 737-3 8-2 6-1 1-0 107 117 11/18 52-49 W 50 97 10 67 95 24 #105 #52 7-3 6-3 6-0 4-2 119 102 11/18 52-24 W 43 80 20 81 112 788-3 1-10 6-1 1-6 110 91 11/25 30-14 W 51 107 12 113 115 119 #92 #58 8-3 1-10 7-0 1-6 120 86 11/25 31-12 W 39 72 18 115 120 729-3 3-3 7-1 2-0 110 118 12/2 48 103 7 56 95 38 #43 #33 9-3 4-2 8-0 3-0 118 110 12/2 35 69 24 54 80 27

-7 +12


Lamar 59-14 402 16 1 31 60-436 7.3 17-24 232 2 15 33-86 2.6 20-41 180 2 Navy 19-42 -200 -7 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0at SMU 32-54 0 2 -2 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 at Wisconsin 14-31 -316 -20 2 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0at Iowa 14-31 -130 -11 0 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 502 25 0 32 58-439 7.6 19-32 180 2 7 33-61 1.8 9-22 56 4 UAB 46-43 153 12 0 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 at Buffalo 31-34 -46 -6 -1 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2at Southern Miss 43-28 125 6 -2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 1 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 Middle Tennessee 38-20 -15 6 3 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 Bye at Old Dominion 58-28 139 9 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2 UTSA 29-26 52 0 -1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 Byeat Florida Atlantic 31-69 -384 -12 -3 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 North Texas 69-31 384 12 3 37 48-447 9.3 24-35 357 0 25 33-137 4.2 31-47 283 1 Old Dominion 45-38 74 3 1 24 41-151 3.7 25-36 309 1 21 48-205 4.3 21-36 181 1 at WKU 42-28 -9 -11 3 21 55-368 6.7 10-24 93 0 32 33-99 3.0 32-56 371 2at Louisiana Tech 24-23 100 7 -1 26 42-212 5.0 22-36 203 2 19 41-147 3.6 16-28 168 2 Marshall 30-25 -28 -4 4 17 45-189 4.2 12-18 164 0 21 41-128 3.1 20-39 253 1 UTEP 45-10 241 12 0 27 39-259 6.6 23-35 213 0 15 32-100 3.1 16-32 131 0 at Louisiana Tech 48-23 -97 -13 -1 19 33-194 5.9 14-17 221 0 32 45-186 4.1 30-51 326 2 Army West Point 52-49 -72 0 0 25 33-103 3.1 24-36 386 2 25 67-534 8.0 1-3 27 0 FIU 52-24 269 9 -1 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4at Rice 30-14 101 12 0 25 44-188 4.3 18-25 195 4 13 42-175 4.2 6-16 107 3 at Charlotte 31-12 308 21 -2 31 63-318 5.0 18-22 245 0 10 30-84 2.8 10-22 171 4at Florida Atlantic North Texas

Average 38-33 55.2 3.9 -0.6 24 38-185 4.8 64.0% 285 5.5% 21 43-202 4.8 52.8% 212 5.2% Average 40-25 74.3 1.8 1.0 24 47-283 6.0 64.6% 197 4.3% 22 40-173 4.3 55.6% 233 5.6% Conference 37-31 57.8 5.0 -0.8 25 40-187 4.7 62.7% 273 4.6% 20 40-183 4.6 52.8% 219 5.2% Conference 46-24 118.9 3.6 1.4 26 51-319 6.2 68.2% 200 1.6% 23 34-130 3.8 56.3% 271 5.3% Away 29-37 -31.3 0.7 -1.3 23 35-149 4.3 64.4% 277 6.2% 23 42-209 4.9 54.5% 249 5.8% Home 42-24 152.0 6.8 1.5 26 45-283 6.3 67.4% 236 2.9% 20 38-149 3.9 56.7% 218 5.9%

Lamar Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 Navy Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1at SMU Mason Fine 32-47-424-3-2 Jeffery Wilson 13-36-2.8-1 Jalen Guyton 3-109-36.3-2 at Wisconsin Daniel Parr 9-19-142-1-0 Devin Singletary 17-68-4.0-1 De'Andre McNeal 3-103-34.3-1at Iowa Mason Fine 16-26-167-0-1 Jeffery Wilson 12-95-7.9-1 Turner Smiley 4-74-18.5-0 vs. Bethune-Cookman Daniel Parr 15-26-165-1-1 Gregory Howell Jr 13-175-13.5-1 De'Andre McNeal 4-70-17.5-0 UAB Mason Fine 15-29-261-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 26-211-8.1-1 Kelvin Smith 4-82-20.5-0 at Buffalo Jason Driskel 17-29-150-0-1 Devin Singletary 22-156-7.1-3 Willie Wright 4-43-10.8-0at Southern Miss Mason Fine 24-40-366-2-1 Jeffery Wilson 30-148-4.9-3 Jalen Guyton 14-211-15.1-1 Middle Tennessee Jason Driskel 22-29-187-1-0 Devin Singletary 24-133-5.5-4 Harrison Bryant 7-93-13.3-1 Bye vs. at Old Dominion Jason Driskel 13-22-97-0-1 Devin Singletary 26-194-7.5-2 Harrison Bryant 3-41-13.7-0 UTSA Mason Fine 20-34-354-3-1 Jeffery Wilson 16-83-5.2-0 Jalen Guyton 8-182-22.8-2 Byeat Florida Atlantic Mason Fine 31-47-283-2-2 Jeffery Wilson 11-49-4.5-1 Michael Lawrence 11-112-10.2-0 North Texas Jason Driskel 24-35-357-2-0 Devin Singletary 17-123-7.2-3 Willie Wright 8-141-17.6-1 Old Dominion Mason Fine 25-36-309-1-1 Nic Smith 18-71-3.9-2 Rico Bussey 7-111-15.9-1 vs. at WKU Jason Driskel 10-24-93-1-1 Devin Singletary 36-244-6.8-4 Willie Wright 4-63-15.8-1at Louisiana Tech Mason Fine 22-36-203-1-1 Jeffery Wilson 20-165-8.3-2 Michael Lawrence 4-47-11.8-0 Marshall Jason Driskel 11-17-104-0-0 Devin Singletary 28-203-7.3-1 Devin Singletary 2-72-36.0-1 UTEP Mason Fine 23-35-213-4-0 Jeffery Wilson 20-144-7.2-1 Rico Bussey 3-65-21.7-1 at Louisiana Tech Jason Driskel 14-17-221-2-0 Devin Singletary 18-104-5.8-3 Kalib Woods 3-118-39.3-1 Army West Point Mason Fine 24-36-386-4-1 Jeffery Wilson 19-72-3.8-2 Turner Smiley 3-123-41.0-2 vs. FIU Jason Driskel 18-25-239-4-1 Devin Singletary 25-164-6.6-2 Kalib Woods 7-172-24.6-2at Rice Mason Fine 18-25-195-1-1 Nic Smith 26-178-6.8-1 Rico Bussey 3-71-23.7-1 at Charlotte Jason Driskel 18-22-245-2-0 Devin Singletary 19-108-5.7-2 Willie Wright 9-103-11.4-1at Florida Atlantic North Texas

vs.

Mason Fine 265-412-3385-27-11 Jeffery Wilson 188-1215-6.5-16 Jalen Guyton 47-758-16.1-9 Jason Driskel 151-226-1708-12-4 Devin Singletary 249-1632-6.6-26 Willie Wright 45-559-12.4-4Quinn Shanbour 4-5-34-1-0 Nic Smith 117-609-5.2-6 Michael Lawrence 50-675-13.5-3 vs. Daniel Parr 43-75-588-4-2 Gregory Howell Jr. 103-690-6.7-5 Harrison Bryant 32-408-12.8-5TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 Evan Johnson 33-200-6.1-2 Rico Bussey 35-504-14.4-6 Kamrin Solomon 1-1-60-1-0 Jason Driskel 67-347-5.2-6 Kalib Woods 14-332-23.7-3

Category


North Texas - 54.5 31 19 52-235

Florida Atlantic - -3 10 12 32-95 0


North Texas - -6.5 20 15 30-56

Florida Atlantic - 49.5 14 18 37-159 -2

vs.

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Net Offense Defense

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Net OffenseScore


0.77North Texas QB/WR

FAU DB's

North Texas FAU

0.59North Texas OL

FAU DL

at Wisconsinat Iowa Bethune-Cookman

at Buffaloat Southern Miss Pass Off Middle Tennessee UAB Rush Off

North TexasTotal TO's

Ypg Diffat Florida Atlantic

Army West Point Score Def FIUat Rice Sks By at Charlotte

at Louisiana Tech Pass Def Marshall UTEP Total Def at Louisiana Tech

TM REC FOE REC

at SMU North Texas

9-3

Navy Lamar

OVERALL: OVERALL:9-3

Mean Green Logs Owls Logs

FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TEAM --PS RANK--7-1 8-0 TM REC FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGSTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-

FAU Owlsvs. CUSA vs. CUSA

North Texas Mean Green

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE


APTM CONF


DefenseScore

Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Florida Atlantic Sks Allowed North Texas Old Dominion Rush Def at WKU

at Old Dominion UTSA Score Off Bye Bye Total Off

FAU

0.81North Texas RB's

FAU LB's

North Texas LB'S2.27

FAU RB's

North Texas DL2.43

FAU OL

0.61

448 yards North Texas FAU 541 yards

North Texas Leaders


283 yards North Texas21-34-142

13-17-107

FAU K

243 yards

164 yards

Projected Passing0.40North Texas FAU 298 yards

FAU

Projected Rushing

FAU Leaders

Team & Margin

1.18

North Texas KLas Vegas Total

FAU QB/WR

North Texas DB's

North Texas ST's

FAU ST'sLas Vegas Line

FAU 47 points

FAU Phil Steele117 North Texas FAU 102

Phil's Forecast:

This is the second trip here for North Texas and the first one did not go so well. FAU scored on their first 11 drives and led 60-17 with North Texas getting two TD’s in the last 8:25 including one with :30 left. It was 41-7 at the half and FAU had a school record 804 yards. The home team has won the last 5 CUSA Title games. FAU is 8-0 in CUSA play winning by 22 ppg with only one game by less than 12. Five of NT’s 7 CUSA wins are by 7 or less. While 7-1 they are just +6 ppg in conf play and +58 ypg. Their top rusher Jeffery Wilson (1,215, 6.5) is out, but Nic Smith (609, 5.2) has 178 yards vs Rice. QB Mason Fine has thrown for 3,385 (64.3%) with a 27-11 ratio. NT avg 83 ypg above what their opp defenses usually allow, but their defense allows 33 ypg above what teams normally average. FAU has explosive Devin Singletary at RB and he has 1,632 (6.6) with 26 rush TD’s. Jason Driskel is the #3 rusher (347. 5.2) and has thrown for 1,708 (68.8%) with a 12-4 ratio. FAU avg 137 ypg more than their CUSA foes normally allow and their D allows 20 ypg more.

FAU By 11.5

FAU By 10.5

FAU By 9.6

74 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

0.50

FAU 541-4483.18

North Texas Pts

6.37

FAU PtsComputer Points

Computer Yards

74

FAU by 16FAU 49 North Texas 33By 3.19 Points

1 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: FAU 47-33Ret

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Projected Box Score

Projected Final Score33 points North Texas

FAU Coaches

North Texas Coaches


Experience RankingsNorth Texas FAU


15-31-102

Comp-Att-Yds

18-30-251

Comp-Att-Yds

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 96 8/31 37-29 W 30 74 17 120 119 106 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 103 8/31 61-17 W 70 67 33 111 99 821-0 0-0 120 9/9 30 69 17 1-0 0-0 113 9/9 65 67 331-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 25 9/16 48-45 W 33 73 7 20 27 81 1-0 0-0 113 9/16 51 67 212-0 0-0 120 9/23 44-31 W 33 73 10 #32 #35 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 116 9/23 38-10 W 46 67 44 15 48 573-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 13-40 L 39 71 7 38 52 71 #9 #11 2-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 40-13 W 38 52 71 39 71 73-1 1-3 0-1 0-2 114 93 10/6 70-31 W 49 82 6 96 98 118 #5 #6 3-0 2-3 1-0 0-1 122 107 25 10/7 51-23 W 35 42 51 110 88 1174-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 118 116 25 10/14 30-27 W 37 81 9 23 97 86 #2 #1 4-0 1-5 2-0 1-2 125 92 22 10/14 63-21 W 24 41 50 109 130 1205-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 42-38 W 37 83 8 62 51 73 #6 #6 5-0 5-1 3-0 3-1 126 116 20 10/21 31-21 W 17 35 31 25 100 806-1 3-4 3-1 1-2 120 110 24 10/27 56-26 W 37 88 45 88 108 106 #98 #54 6-0 4-0 126 18 10/28 73-33 W 12 40 277-1 2-7 4-1 1-4 123 108 22 11/3 41-14 W 34 88 13 53 129 61 #111 #96 7-0 6-2 4-0 3-1 127 113 15 11/4 31-24 W 10 45 23 27 98 908-1 5-1 126 20 11/11 30 81 9 #112 #71 8-0 3-6 5-0 2-4 127 96 14 11/11 49-24 W 12 43 27 117 115 1158-1 6-4 5-1 3-3 126 113 18 11/18 66-45 W 29 84 12 28 108 97 #88 #33 9-0 5-5 6-0 3-3 125 113 14 11/18 45-19 W 10 51 21 105 85 1029-1 3-8 6-1 2-5 127 101 17 11/25 70-13 W 23 85 8 100 130 95 #79 #108 10-0 9-1 7-0 6-1 128 119 13 22 11/24 49-42 W 14 45 17 24 25 51

10-1 2-0 7-1 0-0 131 127 16 12 12/2 18 76 5 38 52 71 #31 #14 11-0 3-0 8-0 0-0 127 131 12 16 12/2 17 49 12 39 71 7+12 +17


ULM 37-29 -9 -9 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 FIU 61-17 252 18 2 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 Bye Bye UCLA 48-45 -73 -5 0 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 Bye Southern Illinois 44-31 71 1 1 24 36-176 4.9 22-36 288 0 23 37-103 2.8 30-49 290 0 at Maryland 38-10 231 0 2 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2at Connecticut 70-31 234 10 3 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4 at Cincinnati 51-23 124 2 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 Navy 30-27 63 5 4 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 East Carolina 63-21 253 17 0 33 41-235 5.7 25-31 365 2 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1at Houston 42-38 -53 3 1 28 23-30 1.3 33-53 471 2 25 54-239 4.4 29-41 315 1 at Navy 31-21 64 3 2 22 42-247 5.9 16-24 236 1 19 59-248 4.2 5-14 171 0 Tulane 56-26 232 0 0 18 32-259 8.1 18-31 298 0 18 2-122 61.0 15-31 203 7 Austin Peay 73-33 137 9 2 27 36-142 3.9 28-31 347 1 18 44-143 3.3 12-19 209 0at Tulsa 41-14 222 11 1 28 37-191 5.2 28-40 333 0 17 35-145 4.1 18-31 157 3 at SMU 31-24 126 2 -2 23 36-203 5.6 23-40 412 2 21 37-206 5.6 27-52 283 0 Bye Connecticut 49-24 106 -1 1 22 35-173 4.9 25-38 346 2 23 45-212 4.7 18-31 201 3 SMU 66-45 187 4 0 32 46-333 7.2 22-28 331 1 28 37-259 7.0 15-35 218 1 at Temple 45-19 -13 -2 5 17 40-130 3.3 18-28 254 2 19 36-196 5.4 17-42 201 1 East Carolina 70-13 169 -4 3 23 34-333 9.8 10-15 302 0 27 37-115 3.1 28-54 351 2 USF 49-42 -120 5 1 32 40-160 4.0 29-44 373 0 27 39-150 3.8 24-45 503 3at UCF Memphis


ULM Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0 FIU McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0 Bye Bye UCLA Riley Ferguson 23-38-398-6-1 Darrell Henderson 14-105-7.5-0 Anthony Miller 9-185-20.6-2 vs. Bye Southern Illinois Riley Ferguson 22-36-288-2-0 Patrick Taylor 16-77-4.8-1 John Williams 2-74-37.0-0 at Maryland McKenzie Milton 18-30-178-1-0 McKenzie Milton 6-94-15.7-0 Jordan Akins 3-57-19.0-1at UCF Riley Ferguson 27-49-321-1-3 Darrell Henderson 6-48-8.0-0 Tony Pollard 3-75-25.0-0 Memphis McKenzie Milton 19-31-253-3-1 Adrian Killins 9-115-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 3-71-23.7-2at Connecticut Riley Ferguson 34-48-431-7-0 Doroland Dorceus 22-122-5.5-2 Anthony Miller 15-224-14.9-4 vs. at Cincinnati McKenzie Milton 16-19-374-5-0 Marlon Williams 1-47-47.0-0 Tre'Quan Smith 5-165-33.0-3 Navy Riley Ferguson 24-40-279-3-0 Darrell Henderson 12-94-7.8-0 Anthony Miller 10-90-9.0-2 East Carolina McKenzie Milton 21-27-324-2-0 Greg McCrae 5-64-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 5-93-18.6-0at Houston Riley Ferguson 33-53-471-1-1 Patrick Taylor 14-39-2.8-4 Anthony Miller 10-178-17.8-0 at Navy McKenzie Milton 15-23-233-1-1 Adrian Killins 15-122-8.1-2 Dredrick Snelson 3-72-24.0-0 Tulane Riley Ferguson 18-31-298-3-1 Darrell Henderson 10-112-11.2-1 Anthony Miller 6-75-12.5-1 vs. Austin Peay McKenzie Milton 24-26-275-3-0 Noah Vedral 5-37-7.4-1 Dredrick Snelson 5-90-18.0-2at Tulsa Riley Ferguson 27-39-298-4-0 Darrell Henderson 14-123-8.8-0 Phil Mayhue 4-74-18.5-0 at SMU McKenzie Milton 23-40-412-1-2 Adrian Killins 14-145-10.4-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-141-20.1-0 Bye Connecticut McKenzie Milton 24-36-311-2-0 Otis Anderson 9-84-9.3-2 Tre'Quan Smith 7-120-17.1-1 SMU Riley Ferguson 21-27-320-2-1 Darrell Henderson 10-147-14.7-2 Anthony Miller 8-163-20.4-2 vs. at Temple McKenzie Milton 16-23-208-4-0 Otis Anderson 5-58-11.6-0 Tre'Quan Smith 4-89-22.3-1 East Carolina Riley Ferguson 9-13-299-3-0 Patrick Taylor 6-127-21.2-2 Anthony Miller 3-144-48.0-1 USF McKenzie Milton 29-44-373-4-1 Adrian Killins 15-82-5.5-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-81-20.3-2at UCF Memphis

vs.

Riley Ferguson 248-399-3500-32-8 Darrell Henderson 115-1045-9.1-8 Anthony Miller 78-1212-15.5-14 McKenzie Milton 221-320-3301-30-6 Adrian Killins 98-711-7.3-9 Tre'Quan Smith 48-921-19.2-11Riley Patterson 5-8-49-1-1 Patrick Taylor 121-691-5.7-12 Phil Mayhue 30-436-14.5-2 vs. Noah Vedral 22-29-276-1-0 McKenzie Milton 82-429-5.2-6 Dredrick Snelson 33-511-15.5-5Anthony Miller 1-1-35-0-0 Doroland Dorceus 39-201-5.2-3 Tony Pollard 28-429-15.3-3 Otis Anderson 43-343-8.0-3 Jordan Akins 26-393-15.1-3

Category


Memphis - 48 17 25 35-118

UCF - -9.5 24 16 30-110 4


Memphis - 50.5 17 19 45-240

UCF - -22 35 17 34-229 2

vs.

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Net Offense Defense

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Rushing Receiving Passing

1.15Memphis QB/WR

UCF DB's

Memphis UCF

1.54Memphis OL

MemphisTotal TO's

Ypg Diffat UCF

SMU Score Def at Temple East Carolina Sks By USF

at Tulsa Pass Def at SMU Bye Total Def Connecticut

at Houston Sks Allowed at Navy Tulane Rush Def Austin Peay

at Cincinnati Navy Score Off East Carolinaat Connecticut Total Off

Bye

ULM 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Marylandat UCF Pass Off Memphis Southern Illinois Rush Off

TM REC FOE REC

FIU Bye Memphis UCF Bye UCLA

UCF Knights10-1 11-0Tigers Logs vs. AAC vs. AAC

Memphis Tigers OVERALL: OVERALL:

Knights LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--TEAM7-1 8-0 TM REC FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGS

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE


APTM CONF


DefenseScore Score


UCF DL

Memphis RB's0.16

UCF LB's

Memphis DL1.52

UCF OL

UCF Leaders

Memphis LB'S0.66

UCF RB's

Memphis LeadersMemphis DB's

1.88UCF QB/WR

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Memphis Coaches

0.20

Memphis K

Ucf By 12.1

0.05

UCF K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

477 yards Memphis UCF 540 yards UCF Coaches

UCF 339 yards

Memphis


Experience Rankings

UCF 45 points

Memphis UCF5 53

Ucf 540-477


3.34

Memphis Pts

4.48

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected Rushing

Memphis UCF 201 yards

Projected Passing

20-39-279

17-36-160

321 yards Memphis

By 1.14 Points

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UCF ST's

UCF

38 points

UCF by 3UCF 45 Memphis 42

These two met earlier this year and Memphis came in a banged-up team missing 4 starters on defense (3 are OFY). UCF led 9-7 and MEM fumbled at the 2. UCF got a 97 yd TD run by Adrian Killins and instead of trailing they were up by two scores. UCF was +3 in TO and turned it into a blowout home win 40-13 with a 603-396 yard edge. UCF opened up the year as a loved team in Vegas as they covered their first 6 games. They are actually 1-4 ATS since. In their first 5 games, they were +223 ypg and in their last 6 are a more pedestrian +50 ypg. The last 4 weeks Memphis is +203 ypg and + 34 ppg! Over the last 4 games UCF is +25 ypg and +16 ppg. UCF has been playing with unbeaten pressure and their coach being the rumor to fill many of the current Power 5 openings. Last week I won with USF +10 and the Bulls had a 120 yard edge in the near upset in Bright House. UCF QB McKenzie Milton is usually the best QB on the field and has thrown for 3,301 (69%) with a 30-6 ratio. Last week USF QB Quinton Flowers looked like the best QB. This week Riley Ferguson who is an NFL prospect comes in with 3,500 yards (62%) and a 32-8 ratio and has Biletnikoff semifinalist in Anthony Miller to throw to. UCF normally has the best special teams (#12), but Memphis is #5. They have almost identical defensive numbers in AAC play Memphis’s top defensive player MLB Curtis Akins who missed the first match up will be back for this and he would be their #1 tackler if not missing two games.

Ucf By 7

Las Vegas Total82.5 Points

+/- RatingsMemphis By 0.3

Phil Steele

Comp-Att-Yds

20-28-121

155 yards

UCF Pts

Computer Yards

Ucf 45-38


87 Memphis UCF 82

Comp-Att-Yds

15-26-122

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 137 6 9/2 0-52 L 89 83 94 4 18 8 0-0 0-0 112 8/31 47-13 W 44 91 560-1 0-0 99 9/9 52-3 W 117 97 94 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 110 9/9 37-24 W 49 73 56 112 113 1091-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/16 14-41 L 115 97 117 50 82 47 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 54-51 W 54 75 16 43 117 851-2 2-1 0-0 1-0 97 105 9/23 17-22 L 113 98 114 82 56 97 #119 #27 3-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 131 14 9/23 30-52 L 47 85 26 9 21 121-3 0-4 0-0 0-0 98 96 9/30 34-23 W 107 102 121 113 126 28 #76 #21 3-1 0-0 116 9/30 51 97 222-3 2-3 1-0 0-1 101 99 10/7 31-3 W 118 99 127 105 113 94 #120 #9 3-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 116 109 10/7 20-15 W 50 103 22 112 73 793-3 4-2 2-0 2-0 105 117 10/14 14-13 W 114 90 123 82 78 7 #105 #15 4-1 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 104 10/14 30-10 W 53 96 26 81 89 1304-3 5-1 3-0 2-0 109 117 10/21 21-48 L 119 79 122 53 82 36 #101 #34 5-1 4-3 2-0 3-0 117 109 10/21 48-21 W 53 82 36 119 79 1224-4 3-5 3-1 1-3 106 105 10/28 21-20 W 118 87 126 109 112 103 #95 #70 6-1 2-5 3-0 0-3 120 91 10/26 58-17 W 38 79 17 124 113 855-4 3-6 4-1 2-3 106 105 11/7 14-24 L 119 90 123 100 91 86 #77 #44 7-1 6-2 4-0 4-0 123 116 11/2 27-17 W 33 72 5 94 37 1205-5 8-2 4-2 5-1 106 114 11/14 37-34 W 116 90 126 45 61 11 #89 #53 8-1 7-2 5-0 4-1 123 114 11/8 10-38 L 28 69 7 46 66 76-5 2-9 5-2 1-6 105 89 11/21 24-14 W 120 91 128 129 109 122 #50 #55 8-2 2-8 5-1 2-4 118 98 11/15 66-37 W 34 81 8 100 123 117-5 6-2 109 11/25 119 90 129 #92 #102 9-2 6-5 6-1 4-3 120 111 11/24 37-10 W 30 75 10 85 69 217-5 5-1 6-2 2-0 107 122 12/2 119 83 126 53 82 36 #116 #13 10-2 4-3 7-1 3-0 122 107 12/2 30 70 8 119 79 122

+7 +8


at Penn St 0-52 -410 -12 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 Elon 47-13 378 18 -1 25 41-239 5.8 19-34 314 2 7 40-128 3.2 3-14 47 1 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 296 15 2 27 44-267 6.1 17-26 197 0 12 34-41 1.2 14-25 127 4 at Nevada 37-24 40 6 2 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 Iowa St 14-41 -177 -4 -3 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 6 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 Tulsa 54-51 131 0 -1 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2at Troy 17-22 -122 -1 -2 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 24 28-175 6.3 28-42 314 1 at Miami, Fl 30-52 -158 -4 0 23 34-85 2.5 29-50 344 4 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2at Bowling Green 34-23 -15 2 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 1 Bye Ball St 31-3 7 -3 3 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 Eastern Michigan 20-15 93 3 2 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0at Western Michigan 14-13 -211 -12 0 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2 at Central Michigan 30-10 155 5 2 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0at Toledo 21-48 -293 -12 -1 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 Akron 48-21 293 12 1 35 43-303 7.0 18-28 323 0 23 24-42 1.8 23-40 291 1 Buffalo 21-20 -87 -9 0 19 25-81 3.2 21-29 291 1 28 34-146 4.3 34-50 313 1 at Ball St 58-17 293 0 -1 16 34-335 9.9 8-18 267 0 16 46-204 4.4 18-37 105 3at Miami, OH 14-24 -147 -8 2 18 30-55 1.8 19-38 218 6 26 34-176 5.2 19-32 244 0 Northern Illinois 27-17 97 -2 1 23 40-166 4.2 23-31 361 1 25 40-185 4.6 24-44 245 2 Ohio 37-34 48 -5 3 18 32-121 3.8 22-38 322 0 23 43-282 6.6 10-23 113 0 at Ohio 10-38 -216 -9 1 14 23-53 2.3 24-35 263 4 23 56-393 7.0 7-15 139 1 Kent St 24-14 -55 2 2 15 39-122 3.1 6-20 69 6 13 45-161 3.6 9-19 85 5 at Bowling Green 66-37 248 12 1 32 53-389 7.3 14-20 248 0 20 32-80 2.5 18-31 309 4 Bye Western Michigan 37-10 180 7 1 22 38-155 4.1 19-29 300 1 15 31-95 3.1 13-29 180 1† Toledo † Akron

Average 23-25 -97.2 -3.9 0.6 19 32-108 3.3 55.7% 216 7.8% 23 39-192 4.9 61.1% 230 4.8% Average 39-25 127.8 4.0 0.7 24 41-215 5.2 63.9% 291 5.0% 20 36-171 4.8 53.8% 207 4.7% Conference 25-22 -94.1 -5.6 1.3 18 32-103 3.3 55.5% 219 7.8% 24 42-206 4.9 58.5% 210 5.3% Conference 37-21 142.9 3.5 1.0 23 41-230 5.6 65.3% 268 5.2% 19 34-142 4.2 52.6% 213 4.4% Away 17-30 -199.7 -7.2 0.0 18 32-89 2.8 52.6% 196 7.7% 25 39-221 5.7 63.5% 263 2.0% Home 39-21 195.3 6.3 0.5 26 40-202 5.1 65.6% 341 4.8% 20 38-158 4.2 52.9% 190 3.7%

at Penn St Thomas Woodson 12-23-71-0-1 Kato Nelson 9-39-4.3-0 AJ Coney 2-25-12.5-0 Elon Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0 Ark Pine Bluff Thomas Woodson 15-21-166-1-0 Warren Ball 20-146-7.3-3 Tra'Von Chapman 5-55-11.0-0 at Nevada Logan Woodside 19-27-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 27-101-3.7-2 Cody Thompson 8-101-12.6-1 Iowa St Thomas Woodson 25-40-240-2-1 Warren Ball 11-40-3.6-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-76-25.3-1 vs. Tulsa Logan Woodside 22-33-458-6-1 Terry Swanson 19-139-7.3-1 Cody Thompson 9-178-19.8-3at Troy Thomas Woodson 20-40-268-1-2 Warren Ball 28-112-4.0-1 Kwadarrius Smith 4-103-25.8-1 at Miami, Fl Logan Woodside 28-48-342-3-0 Terry Swanson 20-79-4.0-0 Cody Thompson 5-114-22.8-0at Bowling Green Thomas Woodson 13-24-168-2-1 Van Edwards 14-70-5.0-1 Austin Wolf 3-68-22.7-1 Bye Ball St Thomas Woodson 17-30-211-2-0 Deltron Sands 6-52-8.7-1 AJ Coney 6-90-15.0-0 vs. Eastern Michigan Logan Woodside 23-34-289-0-0 Art Thompkins 15-94-6.3-1 Diontae Johnson 8-97-12.1-0at Western Michigan Thomas Woodson 13-24-127-1-1 Manny Morgan 12-53-4.4-1 AJ Coney 3-38-12.7-0 at Central Michigan Logan Woodside 10-18-89-0-0 Terry Swanson 23-145-6.3-2 Diontae Johnson 2-32-16.0-0at Toledo Thomas Woodson 18-33-205-2-1 Van Edwards 9-25-2.8-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-72-24.0-1 Akron Logan Woodside 17-24-304-5-1 Terry Swanson 20-123-6.2-0 Jon'Vea Johnson 5-102-20.4-2 Buffalo Thomas Woodson 21-29-291-3-1 Deltron Sands 7-70-10.0-0 AJ Coney 7-91-13.0-0 vs. at Ball St Logan Woodside 8-17-267-3-0 Terry Swanson 11-105-9.5-1 Diontae Johnson 4-170-42.5-2at Miami, OH Kato Nelson 19-38-218-1-0 Manny Morgan 10-41-4.1-0 Kwadarrius Smith 6-69-11.5-0 Northern Illinois Logan Woodside 23-31-361-0-0 Terry Swanson 29-116-4.0-3 Diontae Johnson 10-166-16.6-0 Ohio Kato Nelson 22-38-322-4-0 Manny Morgan 14-55-3.9-1 Kwadarrius Smith 2-125-62.5-2 at Ohio Logan Woodside 24-35-263-1-0 Shakif Seymour 11-77-7.0-0 Diontae Johnson 9-144-16.0-1 Kent St Kato Nelson 6-20-69-1-1 Van Edwards 9-55-6.1-0 Kobie Booker 1-25-25.0-1 vs. at Bowling Green Logan Woodside 13-18-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 23-192-8.3-0 Diontae Johnson 3-75-25.0-1 Bye Western Michigan Logan Woodside 19-29-300-2-1 Terry Swanson 21-94-4.5-1 Jon'Vea Johnson 4-96-24.0-0† Toledo † Akron

vs.

Thomas Woodson 154-264-1747-14-8 Manny Morgan 88-342-3.9-3 Kwadarrius Smith 30-605-20.2-6 Logan Woodside 225-345-3451-24-3 Terry Swanson 210-1139-5.4-12 Diontae Johnson 63-1139-18.1-11Kato Nelson 53-107-732-6-2 Warren Ball 75-332-4.4-4 AJ Coney 39-500-12.8-3 vs. Michael Julian 2-6-21-0-0 Shakif Seymour 105-665-6.3-12 Jon'Vea Johnson 35-572-16.3-4Robbie Kelley 7-11-115-1-0 Van Edwards 83-302-3.6-2 Tra'Von Chapman 49-455-9.3-2 Mitchell Guadagni 1-6-16-0-1 Art Thompkins 97-588-6.1-2 Cody Thompson 28-537-19.2-4

Category


Akron - 72 17 21 25-96

Toledo - -10 48 33 48-290 2


Akron - 55.5 31 22 35-85

Toledo - -9 29 26 45-230 0


Akron - 62.5 23 23 30-67

Toledo - -19 35 24 34-132 -1

vs.

Net Offense Defense

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Net Offense

0.40Akron QB/WR

Toledo DB's

Akron Toledo

Akron OL0.35

Toledo DL

Receiving Passing

Akron

1.75Toledo 35 points

523 yards

at Central Michigan Ball St Total Off

Tulsa

at Penn St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Miami, Flat Bowling Green Pass Off Byeat Troy Rush Off

† AkronTotal TO's

Ypg Diff† Toledo

Kent St Score Def at Bowling Green Bye Sks By Western Michigan

at Miami, OH Pass Def Northern Illinois Ohio Total Def at Ohio

TM REC FOE REC

Elon Ark Pine Bluff Akron Toledo at Nevada Iowa St

Zips LogsAkron Zips

Akron LB'S0.83

Toledo RB's

Toledo Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Akron ST's

3.23

Team & Margin

Akron LeadersToledo QB/WR

Akron DB's

Projected Box Score

vs. MAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:7-5 10-2 Toledo Rockets

Rockets LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. MACTEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE


APTM CONF


DefenseScore Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

at Toledo Sks Allowed Akron Buffalo Rush Def at Ball St

Eastern Michigan

6-2 7-1 TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

at Western Michigan Score Off

86 yards 244 yardsAkron

Toledo CoachesGame Grade

57.5 Points

Projected Passing Toledo K

Akron K

1.83Las Vegas Total

Akron RB's1.38

Toledo LB's

1.43

Akron DL1.65

Toledo OL

288 yards

Toledo Phil Steele88 Akron Toledo

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

Toledo by 18

30-46-265

ToledoComp-Att-Yds

Akron Toledo By 17.0

Toledo By 19.4

+/- Ratings

1.35

Akron Coaches

Toledo 523-288

Projected Final Score18 points Akron

Akron Pts

10.72Computer Yards

29-35-327

Toledo 36 Akron 18By 8.96 Points

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202 yards

Projected Yardage TotalToledo

Toledo

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Everything about this game says mismatch, but that is why this is the biggest line of the week with Toledo favored by 21.5. Last year the Rockets traveled to Akron and won 49-17 and were +178 yards. This year Toledo at home won 48-21with a 626-443 yard edge. Terry Bowden performed a magic act winning the MAC East as Akron was -94 ypg in MAC play, but 6-2! They did have a 443-395 yard edge beating Ohio the week after Ohio upset Toledo and Ohio had a 532-316 yard edge in that. Toledo has 3 RB’s that have topped 575 yards and combined for 2,392 (5.8). Akron's top rusher is Manny Morgan 342 (3.9). Toledo has a very good QB in Logan Woodside who has thrown for 3,451 (65%) with a 24-3 ratio. Akron QB Thomas Woodson has been suspended the last 3 games, but is available. Kato Nelson helped the upset of Ohio throwing for 322 yds and 4 TDs but hit just 6 of 20 for 69 yds vs Kent. Toledo allows 355 ypg in MAC play despite playing in the tougher Western division while Akron allowed 416 ypg. This game is in Detroit and Toledo is right on the border of Michigan. This sure seems like a blowout and my computer calls for Toledo to have a 523-290 yard edge, but it only has the Rockets by 17. I will go with the computer on this one.

Toledo ST's Toledo By 21.5

Projected Rushing18-36-348

27-38-332

18-30-259

Toledo 79 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Toledo 35-18

Team Schedule Strength100

16-33-158

Comp-Att-Yds

279 yards

27 Akron

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 95 12 9/2 41-7 W 7 12 7 124 126 62 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 851-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 13 3 9/9 6-14 L 6 7 7 14 4 83 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 134 15 24 9/9 20-19 W 11 16 58 7 24 491-1 0-0 130 15 9/16 24-10 W 18 8 9 2-0 0-0 129 13 9/16 42-14 W 16 7 322-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 126 108 15 9/23 51-14 W 24 9 23 22 78 46 #20 #9 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 127 130 11 17 9/23 31-3 W 19 7 58 20 19 693-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 130 125 13 24 9/30 49-10 W 21 7 13 22 21 58 #63 #111 4-0 3-1 1-0 0-1 131 119 7 9/30 41-0 W 16 4 41 37 43 34-1 2-2 2-0 0-1 134 110 12 10/7 44-23 W 19 5 28 36 57 70 #19 #36 5-0 3-2 2-0 0-2 135 120 5 10/7 45-14 W 17 4 45 86 31 965-1 4-2 3-0 1-1 133 124 10 10/14 23-27 L 17 8 27 29 10 71 #19 #23 6-0 1-4 3-0 0-3 139 106 4 10/14 53-28 W 18 4 22 22 83 365-2 2-4 3-1 0-3 130 112 21 10/21 52-20 W 19 9 28 35 62 109 #85 #15 7-0 4-0 137 3 10/21 8 8 146-2 4-1 133 19 10/28 13 7 33 #21 #12 7-0 3-3 4-0 3-2 137 122 3 10/28 42-7 W 8 8 10 46 26 346-2 5-3 4-1 3-2 133 120 16 11/4 42-27 W 12 8 50 40 23 3 #18 #3 8-0 6-2 5-0 4-2 140 121 2 11/4 24-10 W 7 6 14 61 25 487-2 9-0 5-1 6-0 134 139 10 2 11/11 40-17 W 13 9 60 6 7 14 #13 #4 9-0 7-2 6-0 5-1 139 134 2 10 11/11 17-40 L 6 7 14 13 9 608-2 4-5 6-1 4-3 139 99 6 11/18 42-14 W 11 7 57 54 122 45 #9 #5 9-1 7-3 6-1 4-3 134 116 7 11/18 42-13 W 9 14 13 64 50 189-2 11-0 6-1 7-0 137 143 6 1 11/25 26-14 W 9 4 66 2 1 27 #17 #66 10-1 5-5 7-1 4-4 135 122 7 11/25 38-7 W 7 14 11 49 46 105

10-2 9-0 7-1 6-0 139 139 4 6 12/2 6 4 67 6 7 14 #10 #9 11-1 7-2 7-1 5-1 139 139 6 4 12/2 5 15 11 13 9 60+3 +3


GA Southern 41-7 457 17 -2 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1at Clemson 6-14 -164 -5 2 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 at Notre Dame 20-19 61 -2 0 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 Mercer 24-10 264 14 -5 26 43-146 3.4 32-37 364 1 12 35-100 2.9 20-32 146 0 Samford 42-14 210 6 0 22 54-284 5.3 9-15 175 0 16 23-22 1.0 26-35 227 3at Missouri 51-14 142 1 4 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 Miss St 31-3 124 0 1 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 Miss St 49-10 160 -4 0 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 at Tennessee 41-0 236 13 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 Mississippi 44-23 132 2 0 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 at Vanderbilt 45-14 313 16 -1 27 54-423 7.8 10-14 126 2 11 22-64 2.9 17-31 172 0at LSU 23-27 -9 3 1 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 Missouri 53-28 384 14 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0at Arkansas 52-20 295 7 1 26 47-345 7.3 21-30 284 0 19 42-171 4.1 15-26 163 6 Bye Bye † Florida 42-7 144 -1 1 14 35-292 8.3 4-7 101 0 15 41-183 4.5 10-25 66 5at Texas A&M 42-27 153 10 0 23 52-228 4.4 20-27 268 2 13 34-143 4.2 16-33 200 1 South Carolina 24-10 168 12 1 26 53-242 4.6 16-22 196 1 14 17-43 2.5 21-36 227 2 Georgia 40-17 258 12 1 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 at Auburn 17-40 -258 -12 -1 13 32-46 1.4 13-29 184 4 25 46-237 5.2 17-25 251 2 ULM 42-14 219 9 1 25 48-317 6.6 18-24 235 0 16 41-116 2.8 16-36 217 2 Kentucky 42-13 242 8 0 25 44-381 8.7 9-14 123 1 17 37-124 3.4 12-23 138 3 Alabama 26-14 31 6 0 25 49-168 3.4 22-29 240 1 19 37-209 5.6 14-24 168 2 at Georgia Tech 38-7 245 11 1 23 43-247 5.7 12-17 224 0 12 46-188 4.1 2-9 38 1† Georgia † Auburn


GA Southern Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1at Clemson Jarrett Stidham 13-24-79-0-0 Kamryn Pettway 22-74-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 8-32-4.0-0 at Notre Dame Jake Fromm 16-29-141-1-1 Sony Michel 13-73-5.6-1 Terry Godwin 2-36-18.0-1 Mercer Jarrett Stidham 32-37-364-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 34-128-3.8-3 Will Hastings 3-71-23.7-0 vs. Samford Jake Fromm 8-13-165-3-0 Nick Chubb 16-131-8.2-2 Terry Godwin 4-98-24.5-2at Missouri Jarrett Stidham 13-17-218-1-0 Kam Martin 9-74-8.2-0 Nate Craig-Myers 2-61-30.5-1 Miss St Jake Fromm 9-12-201-2-0 Nick Chubb 15-81-5.4-2 Terry Godwin 2-80-40.0-1 Miss St Jarrett Stidham 13-16-264-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 23-116-5.0-3 Eli Stove 2-75-37.5-0 at Tennessee Jake Fromm 7-15-84-1-1 Nick Chubb 16-109-6.8-0 Terry Godwin 2-43-21.5-0 Mississippi Jarrett Stidham 14-21-235-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 28-204-7.3-3 Ryan Davis 2-75-37.5-1 vs. at Vanderbilt Jake Fromm 7-11-102-2-0 Sony Michel 12-150-12.5-1 Terry Godwin 2-70-35.0-1at LSU Jarrett Stidham 9-26-165-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 31-156-5.0-1 Ryan Davis 2-67-33.5-0 Missouri Jake Fromm 18-26-326-2-1 D'Andre Swift 6-94-15.7-0 Javon Wims 5-95-19.0-0at Arkansas Jarrett Stidham 19-28-218-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 11-90-8.2-3 Darius Slayton 4-146-36.5-1 Bye Bye vs. † Florida Jake Fromm 4-7-101-1-1 Sony Michel 6-137-22.8-2 D'Andre Swift 3-84-28.0-0at Texas A&M Jarrett Stidham 20-27-268-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 29-145-5.0-1 Darius Slayton 2-99-49.5-1 South Carolina Jake Fromm 16-22-196-2-0 Nick Chubb 20-102-5.1-0 Terry Godwin 3-53-17.7-0 Georgia Jarrett Stidham 16-23-214-3-0 Kerryon Johnson 32-167-5.2-0 Kerryon Johnson 2-66-33.0-1 at Auburn Jake Fromm 13-28-184-1-0 Nick Chubb 11-27-2.5-1 Javon Wims 3-96-32.0-0 ULM Jarrett Stidham 18-24-235-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 22-137-6.2-1 Darius Slayton 4-89-22.3-1 vs. Kentucky Jake Fromm 9-14-123-1-1 Nick Chubb 15-151-10.1-2 Javon Wims 6-83-13.8-1 Alabama Jarrett Stidham 21-28-237-0-0 Kerryon Johnson 30-104-3.5-1 Ryan Davis 11-139-12.6-0 at Georgia Tech Jake Fromm 12-16-224-2-0 Sony Michel 13-85-6.5-1 Ahkil Crumpton 2-78-39.0-1† Georgia † Auburn

vs.

Jarrett Stidham 202-295-2682-16-4 Kerryon Johnson 250-1276-5.1-17 Ryan Davis 69-703-10.2-5 Jake Fromm 129-208-1990-19-5 Nick Chubb 178-1098-6.2-13 Javon Wims 38-631-16.6-6Ryan Davis 1-2-62-1-0 Kam Martin 64-409-6.4-2 Darius Slayton 22-560-25.5-5 vs. Jacob Eason 4-7-28-0-0 Sony Michel 124-903-7.3-13 Terry Godwin 24-492-20.5-5Malik Willis 6-7-45-1-0 Kamryn Pettway 76-305-4.0-6 Will Hastings 20-408-20.4-3 Brice Ramsey 1-4-10-0-2 D'Andre Swift 66-509-7.7-2 Mecole Hardman 18-256-14.2-3

Category


Georgia - 48 13 21 43-135

Auburn 8 -10 7 10 32-127 0


Georgia - 54 20 15 45-146

Auburn - -1 13 16 37-213 -3


Georgia 16 -2.5 34 27 52-289

Auburn 9 69 7 17 35-150 -3


Georgia - 64.5 38 29 25-117

Auburn 7 -3.5 43 29 57-323 1


Georgia 5 -15 38 24 42-289

Auburn - 52 0 11 27-57 -2

Net Offense Defense

Au

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lldog

s

Net Offense

0.55Auburn QB/WR

Georgia DB's

Auburn Georgia

0.16Auburn OL

Georgia DL

Auburn RB's

Rush Def † Florida

Mississippi Total Off at Vanderbiltat LSU Score Off Missouri

at Missouri Rush Off Miss St Miss St Pass Off at Tennessee

† AuburnTotal TO's

Ypg Diff† Georgia

ULM Score Def Kentucky Alabama Sks By at Georgia Tech

at Texas A&M Pass Def South Carolina Georgia Total Def at Auburn

TM REC FOE REC

GA Southern 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

OVERALL: OVERALL: Georgia Bulldogs10-2 11-1

FOE +/-TM CONF


vs. SEC vs. SEC Bulldogs Logs

TM REC FOE RECAPAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/-

Georgia Leaders

ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOENCAA RANKINGS

TEAM --PS RANK--7-1 7-1


DefenseScore Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing

Appalachian Stat Clemson Auburn Georgia at Notre Dame Mercer Samford

at Arkansas Sks Allowed Bye Bye

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

2.54Las Vegas Line

Auburn By 2.5

48 Points

+/- Ratings

When teams are close in talent it is tough to beat a team twice in the same year and these teams are fairly even talent wise. The SEC East Champ has not won this game since 2008 and with Auburn playing in the West they have the schedule edge (#33 vs #47). Auburn was a home dog and the crowd was intense for that game. Georgia figures to have a slight crowd edge here as it is in Atlanta Georgia and they are the dogs playing with revenge. Georgia has only had two top ten matchups this year and they got past Notre Dame by 1 (ND has lost to Miami by 33 and Stanford by 18) and the Dogs lost to Auburn 40-17. Auburn has had three top ten matchups. They lost to the defending national champs in Death Valley by 7, beat #1 Georgia by 23 and had their largest margin of victory in the Iron Bowl since 1969. Auburn is banged-up at RB, but Kerryon Johnson is probable and I like both Kam Martin and Malik Willis. Jarrett Stidham leads the SEC hitting 68.5% of his passes with a 16-4 ratio and improves weekly. Georgia has held SEC foes (mostly from East) to 113 ypg below their season average and Auburn is close by at 96 ypg below. Auburn showed they had the edge at the line of scrimmage in their first meeting and they have the edge at QB and I will side with the Tigers in this one.

Georgia ST's

Game GradeAuburn By 0.4

Georgia 358-353

Georgia By 1.0

Auburn 24-23Computer Points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Auburn ST's

Auburn Leaders 0.18Auburn DB's

Georgia QB/WR

Tigers LogsAuburn Tigers

0.22Georgia LB's

Auburn LB'S0.60

Georgia RB's

0.17Auburn DL

Georgia OL

Projected Passing

1.35

158 yards Auburn Coaches

0.53

Auburn K

Georgia K

Georgia Coaches

199 yards

358 yards

Projected Rushing

24 points Auburn Georgia

169 yards

353 yards Auburn

Georgia

Georgia

Georgia

12

3.35

Georgia Pts

2.94

Auburn Pts

23 points

Experience Rankings


POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Comp-Att-Yds Team Schedule Strength

Georgia Phil Steele33 Auburn Georgia Auburn by 7

Auburn 28 Georgia 21By 0.41 Points

33-49-415

Auburn12-17-97

Ret

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20-33-208

8-22-37

6 Auburn Georgia

15-22-181

4718-25-208

Projected Yardage Total185 yards Auburn

Comp-Att-Yds

10-19-123

15-28-142

15-27-62

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

16-27-243

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 99 9/2 66-0 W 110 121 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 105 9/2 24-13 W 53 86 113 66 63 851-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 144 1 9/9 10-41 L 88 103 39 9 1 24 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 20 9/9 44-47 L 66 62 113 18 50 731-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 105 138 6 9/16 16-48 L 88 107 37 17 18 53 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 103 9/14 28-14 W 69 45 71 65 104 131-2 0-0 105 9/23 92 110 50 #75 #84 2-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 111 108 9/22 23-42 L 76 45 49 90 60 1051-2 0-4 0-0 0-0 105 100 9/30 41-21 W 93 113 62 118 101 79 #67 #45 2-2 1-0 106 9/30 88 61 472-2 1-5 1-0 0-2 107 88 10/7 27-10 W 81 106 72 121 118 56 #83 #62 2-2 1-4 1-0 0-3 106 102 10/6 24-7 W 88 62 54 119 61 913-2 3-2 2-0 1-1 107 112 10/14 38-0 W 84 100 69 73 91 48 #73 #34 3-2 6-0 1-0 2-0 111 122 19 10/14 31-14 W 94 59 14 85 53 344-2 6-1 3-0 2-1 112 117 10/21 27-3 W 72 84 77 87 55 44 #2 #62 4-2 4-2 2-0 2-0 116 109 10/21 24-14 W 93 48 7 122 88 725-2 2-5 4-0 1-3 117 96 10/28 16-26 L 66 77 57 55 129 122 #15 #19 5-2 4-4 3-0 2-2 119 111 10/28 41-14 W 94 51 7 101 94 35-3 2-7 4-1 0-4 112 100 11/4 20-13 W 73 79 60 119 71 102 #32 #55 6-2 1-7 4-0 1-3 123 104 11/4 41-14 W 83 44 6 88 119 1116-3 3-6 4-1 1-5 110 95 11/11 31-21 W 72 78 43 75 126 125 #17 #25 7-2 6-4 5-0 4-2 124 112 11/11 59-52 W 75 52 5 31 105 467-3 7-3 5-1 5-1 110 115 11/18 13-7 W 71 71 55 124 64 50 #12 #41 8-2 4-6 6-0 3-3 124 106 11/18 44-19 W 59 60 1 63 124 688-3 9-2 6-1 7-0 113 124 25 11/25 28-17 W 76 70 47 58 60 7 #41 #41 9-2 8-3 7-0 6-1 124 113 25 11/25 17-28 L 58 60 7 76 70 479-3 9-2 7-1 7-0 117 120 25 12/2 83 71 40 58 60 7 #36 #37 9-3 8-3 7-1 6-1 120 117 25 12/2 58 61 10 76 70 47

+9 +11


Incarnate Word 66-0 465 18 2 26 40-199 5.0 23-37 414 0 8 26--7 -0.3 15-31 155 2 Troy 24-13 142 8 1 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4at Alabama 10-41 -223 -10 -1 18 22-58 2.6 26-41 216 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 at Washington St 44-47 -54 -6 -1 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5at Washington 16-48 -207 -3 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 94 1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 New Mexico 28-14 -13 -6 2 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1 Bye Virginia 23-42 -57 1 -1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 Nevada 41-21 190 6 0 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3 Byeat San Jose St 27-10 143 5 4 17 51-212 4.2 15-26 136 0 12 33-108 3.3 15-26 97 4 at BYU 24-7 62 7 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1 New Mexico 38-0 204 3 1 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 at San Diego St 31-14 -12 -1 1 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 4at San Diego St 27-3 120 1 1 15 38-199 5.2 10-16 176 0 14 39-165 4.2 11-23 90 4 Wyoming 24-14 100 6 2 21 44-165 3.8 18-24 177 3 15 34-111 3.3 12-27 131 4 UNLV 16-26 -36 -3 -1 19 34-140 4.1 16-27 152 1 22 44-173 3.9 17-29 155 0 at Utah St 41-14 254 14 0 27 45-163 3.6 24-34 370 3 13 27-93 3.4 18-34 186 0 BYU 20-13 -26 -5 1 16 40-136 3.4 14-20 174 0 21 27-122 4.5 23-43 214 2 Nevada 41-14 177 7 3 24 35-140 4.0 25-34 339 0 17 29-142 4.9 34-37 160 1at Hawaii 31-21 129 8 0 24 36-175 4.9 19-36 226 0 16 37-118 3.2 18-31 154 5 at Colorado St 59-52 71 0 0 33 39-310 7.9 23-45 331 2 33 52-261 5.0 29-43 309 2at Wyoming 13-7 25 3 1 15 45-147 3.3 14-23 186 1 12 28-77 2.8 20-33 231 1 Air Force 44-19 132 1 3 19 29-90 3.1 18-26 338 0 18 51-181 3.5 7-13 115 4 Boise St 28-17 30 -1 0 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 at Fresno St 17-28 -30 1 0 19 31-107 3.5 25-36 294 2 18 30-99 3.3 23-36 332 0at Boise St Fresno St

Average 28-17 67.8 1.8 0.8 19 37-159 4.3 61.9% 226 1.7% 17 33-119 3.6 60.9% 198 7.0% Average 33-23 64.3 2.7 0.9 21 37-149 4.0 64.4% 254 6.1% 18 36-125 3.5 62.0% 214 6.8% Conference 28-13 100.6 2.8 0.8 18 39-174 4.5 61.4% 227 1.8% 16 34-115 3.4 59.1% 186 8.2% Conference 36-21 84.9 2.8 1.4 21 36-161 4.5 67.2% 264 4.6% 19 39-146 3.7 61.4% 194 6.9% Away 21-22 -2.2 0.7 1.0 18 37-152 4.1 59.0% 172 1.7% 17 34-144 4.2 64.9% 182 9.5% Home 31-19 80.2 2.8 1.7 20 35-117 3.4 65.4% 259 6.4% 17 39-146 3.7 62.2% 150 9.6%

Incarnate Word Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0 Troy Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0at Alabama Chason Virgil 21-34-180-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 9-29-3.2-0 Da'Mari Scott 7-67-9.6-0 at Washington St Montell Cozart 12-20-161-2-1 Montell Cozart 14-72-5.1-1 Cedrick Wilson 9-147-16.3-2at Washington Chason Virgil 11-20-98-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 10-29-2.9-0 KeeSean Johnson 4-51-12.8-0 vs. New Mexico Montell Cozart 15-19-137-2-0 Montell Cozart 9-71-7.9-1 Cedrick Wilson 3-64-21.3-0 Bye Virginia Brett Rypien 24-42-285-0-1 Robert Mahone 3-21-7.0-0 Cedrick Wilson 13-209-16.1-1 Nevada Marcus McMaryion 24-32-296-2-1 Ronnie Rivers 12-82-6.8-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-104-14.9-3 Byeat San Jose St Marcus McMaryion 15-26-136-0-0 Ronnie Rivers 19-105-5.5-2 KeeSean Johnson 2-52-26.0-0 vs. at BYU Brett Rypien 12-19-125-1-1 Alex Mattison 29-118-4.1-2 Cedrick Wilson 3-43-14.3-0 New Mexico Marcus McMaryion 13-23-299-3-0 Josh Hokit 14-70-5.0-1 Jamire Jordan 3-108-36.0-2 at San Diego St Brett Rypien 11-19-72-1-0 Alex Mattison 23-128-5.6-1 Cedrick Wilson 2-60-30.0-0at San Diego St Marcus McMaryion 10-16-176-0-0 Jordan Mims 21-112-5.3-0 Da'Mari Scott 3-57-19.0-0 Wyoming Brett Rypien 12-17-104-0-0 Alex Mattison 17-91-5.4-0 Cedrick Wilson 5-66-13.2-1 UNLV Marcus McMaryion 16-27-152-0-0 Jordan Mims 12-68-5.7-2 Derrion Grim 4-68-17.0-0 vs. at Utah St Brett Rypien 19-27-260-3-0 Alex Mattison 19-110-5.8-0 Cedrick Wilson 6-94-15.7-1 BYU Marcus McMaryion 14-20-174-0-0 Josh Hokit 13-59-4.5-0 Da'Mari Scott 4-61-15.3-0 Nevada Brett Rypien 20-27-258-2-0 Alex Mattison 12-64-5.3-2 Cedrick Wilson 5-80-16.0-1at Hawaii Marcus McMaryion 19-36-226-4-2 Jordan Mims 12-55-4.6-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-91-15.2-2 at Colorado St Brett Rypien 23-43-331-4-1 Alex Mattison 23-242-10.5-3 Cedrick Wilson 3-73-24.3-0at Wyoming Marcus McMaryion 14-23-186-1-0 Josh Hokit 21-69-3.3-0 KeeSean Johnson 6-48-8.0-0 vs. Air Force Brett Rypien 16-22-300-3-0 Alex Mattison 17-42-2.5-0 AJ Richardson 3-123-41.0-1 Boise St Marcus McMaryion 23-36-332-2-0 Jordan Mims 11-43-3.9-1 KeeSean Johnson 6-119-19.8-2 at Fresno St Brett Rypien 22-31-278-0-0 Alex Mattison 15-63-4.2-1 Cedrick Wilson 7-134-19.1-0at Boise St Fresno St

vs.

Marcus McMaryion 169-269-2212-14-3 Jordan Mims 136-590-4.3-6 KeeSean Johnson 64-860-13.4-8 Brett Rypien 179-278-2249-14-4 Alex Mattison 195-1024-5.3-11 Cedrick Wilson 65-1142-17.6-6Chason Virgil 48-83-524-3-2 Josh Hokit 108-473-4.4-7 Da'Mari Scott 51-540-10.6-1 vs. Montell Cozart 60-93-758-10-1 Montell Cozart 85-359-4.2-4 AJ Richardson 31-441-14.2-2Josh Hokit 2-2-81-2-0 Ronnie Rivers 91-456-5.0-5 Jamire Jordan 19-464-24.4-3 Cedrick Wilson 2-2-46-0-0 Ryan Wolpin 88-327-3.7-3 Jake Roh 39-410-10.5-9

Category


Fresno St - 62.5 27 12 34-186

Boise St - -17 37 24 51-264 0


Fresno St - 69 14 21 41-70

Boise St 22 -23 28 11 33-149 3


Fresno St - -3.5 41 27 24-62

Boise St - 68 40 32 53-200 -2


Fresno St - 57.5 10 19 30-56

Boise St 24 -7 20 22 42-215 1

Net Offense Defense

Fres

no

St

Bu

lldog

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Boi

se S

t B

ron

cos

Net Offense

Fresno St RB's0.58

Boise St LB's

1.15Fresno St QB/WR

Boise St DB's

0.13

Fresno St OL0.45

Boise St DL

Boise St RB's

Rush Off Virginia Nevada Pass Off Bye Bye

Fresno StTotal TO's

Ypg Diffat Boise St

at Wyoming Score Def Air Force Boise St Sks By at Fresno St

BYU Pass Def Nevadaat Hawaii Total Def at Colorado St

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Troy Incarnate Word

APTM CONF


vs. MTW Broncos Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Boise St Broncos9-3 9-3vs. MTWBulldogs Logs

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETM REC FOE REC FOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--7-1 7-1 TM REC FOE REC

AP TEAM

at Alabama Fresno St Boise St at Washington Stat Washington New Mexico

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

DefenseScore Score

Passing ReceivingRushingFresno St Boise St


at San Diego St Sks Allowed Wyoming UNLV Rush Def at Utah St

Total Off at BYU New Mexico Score Off at San Diego Stat San Jose St

Fresno St DB's2.14

Boise St QB/WR

30-46-332

Comp-Att-Yds 101 yards Fresno St

Projected Passing

Ret

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13-25-127

23-32-228

Comp-Att-Yds

92 Fresno St Boise St 77

119

29-43-266

Boise St21 points

28 Fresno St

Fresno St 28 points

Experience Rankings

39-60-460

33-47-361

A quick commentary here. I feel the MW should change its selection process for the home team in the title game. The winner of the head to head meeting should get home field if they have at least the same or better record. #2 can be the higher ranked. Fresno defensive coordinator Orlondo Steinauer is doing an amazing job. Last year Fresno allowed 415 ypg and this year just 317 including 301 in MW play and holding MW foes to 81 ypg below their season average. Fresno QB Marcus McMaryion (Ore St transfer) had eight games this year under 190 yards passing, but had a career high 332 vs Boise last week thanks in part to an 81 yard TD pass to Keyshawn Johnson in the 4Q. Boise was on an 0-13 streak as a home favorite, but have actually covered their last two in that role. Fresno is 4-0-2 vs the Vegas line on the road and 4-0 as a dog. The climate will benefit the home team here with temps likely in the 30’s. Fresno is +101 ypg in MW play and Boise just +85. I will call for Boise to get the win as the situation really favors them, but I think the scrappy Bulldogs will keep this closer than expected.

Boise St ST's Boise St By 8.5

50 Points

Fresno St ST's

1.96

Team & Margin

Boise St By 8.0

Phil's Forecast:

Boise St Leaders

0.81Fresno St LB'S

Fresno St DL

420 yards

+/- RatingsBoise St K

Game Grade1.00

0.62

Fresno St KLas Vegas Total

309 yards Fresno St Boise St Coaches

Fresno St

Projected Yardage TotalBoise St 290 yards

Boise St

Fresno St Coaches


Fresno St Leaders

131 yards

Projected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Boise St OL

Boise St 420-309

Projected Final Score2.71

Computer YardsFresno St Pts

6.12

Boise St Pts

208 yards

Boise St By 7.9

9-16-155

Boise St

Comp-Att-Yds

Fresno St Bulldogs

Boise St 28-21Computer Points


Phil SteeleBoise St by 3

Boise St 24 Fresno St 21By 3.41 Points

Boise St

13-24-120 Boise St


TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 133 18 9/2 41-13 W 34 5 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 5 9/2 56-3 W 27 3 83 127 92 1141-0 0-0 131 16 9/9 20 8 16 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 3 13 9/9 14-6 W 14 4 83 6 7 71-0 0-0 131 17 9/16 14 15 14 2-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 140 124 3 14 9/16 47-21 W 12 2 86 15 12 901-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 131 116 14 9/23 52-30 W 9 21 12 47 85 26 #65 #28 3-0 1-2 1-0 0-1 142 110 2 9/23 34-7 W 4 2 103 84 50 322-0 4-0 0-0 1-0 131 128 14 9/29 31-6 W 3 15 15 50 19 116 #41 #54 4-0 4-0 2-0 0-0 141 129 2 12 9/30 31-17 W 7 2 102 41 11 103-0 1-2 1-0 1-1 136 131 13 10/7 24-20 W 5 13 27 65 12 14 #43 #24 5-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 142 124 2 10/7 28-14 W 11 3 107 64 46 344-0 3-1 2-0 2-0 136 127 11 10/14 25-24 W 7 15 15 25 36 129 #40 #25 6-0 3-3 4-0 1-1 141 115 2 10/13 24-27 L 10 3 111 63 71 285-0 4-3 3-0 2-1 134 120 8 10/21 27-19 W 10 19 18 57 72 33 #56 #56 6-1 4-1 136 7 10/21 13 3 1116-0 1-7 4-0 0-5 133 108 8 10/28 24-19 W 11 18 32 77 56 56 #47 #14 6-1 4-2 4-1 3-1 136 130 7 10/28 24-10 W 15 2 112 33 37 1027-0 7-1 5-0 3-1 130 132 9 13 11/4 28-10 W 15 17 44 36 9 10 #45 #9 7-1 6-2 5-1 4-0 137 128 6 20 11/4 38-31 W 14 2 112 32 30 878-0 8-1 6-0 6-1 133 140 7 3 11/11 41-8 W 17 14 38 4 17 114 #41 #6 8-1 3-5 6-1 3-4 137 121 4 11/11 31-14 W 14 3 116 53 16 549-0 6-4 6-0 3-3 138 115 2 11/18 44-28 W 17 6 37 95 35 70 #15 #4 9-1 7-1 137 4 11/18 61-3 W 16 2 107

10-0 4-7 7-0 2-5 136 118 2 11/24 14-24 L 19 9 61 86 51 100 #7 #3 10-1 8-3 7-1 5-3 137 123 4 11/25 34-10 W 11 2 106 56 28 5910-1 11-1 7-1 7-1 131 139 7 1 12/2 23 10 68 11 2 108 #39 #6 11-1 10-1 7-1 7-1 139 131 1 7 12/2 11 2 108 23 10 68

+17 +3


Bethune-Cookman 41-13 200 8 2 28 34-317 9.3 18-31 233 0 20 30-121 4.0 25-39 229 1 Kent St 56-3 545 29 -1 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0 Bye Auburn 14-6 164 5 -2 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 Bye at Louisville 47-21 180 4 1 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 Toledo 52-30 158 4 0 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4 Boston College 34-7 244 15 0 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1at Duke 31-6 60 -5 2 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 5 at Virginia Tech 31-17 -10 -3 3 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2at Florida St 24-20 -69 -2 1 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 Wake Forest 28-14 117 9 -2 25 48-190 4.0 29-41 263 1 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 Georgia Tech 25-24 200 8 1 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2 at Syracuse 24-27 -123 -12 1 16 25-113 4.5 22-32 204 4 28 50-162 3.2 20-33 278 6 Syracuse 27-19 81 -1 3 22 32-136 4.3 26-43 344 0 23 51-264 5.2 14-42 135 4 Byeat North Carolina 24-19 -13 -11 2 16 32-59 1.8 17-41 356 2 27 46-176 3.8 20-46 252 4 Georgia Tech 24-10 198 11 0 21 45-221 4.9 22-33 207 0 10 43-198 4.6 3-13 32 4 Virginia Tech 28-10 130 -1 1 21 35-219 6.3 11-23 210 2 22 43-102 2.4 20-32 197 4 at NC State 38-31 -76 -8 1 19 35-224 6.4 20-38 191 0 27 34-153 4.5 31-50 338 1 Notre Dame 41-8 113 5 4 18 42-237 5.6 15-24 137 0 13 36-109 3.0 13-27 152 5 Florida St 31-14 149 12 0 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 Virginia 44-28 -81 -3 1 15 32-148 4.6 15-28 210 3 18 28-55 2.0 28-37 384 5 The Citadel 61-3 446 17 2 27 26-183 7.0 31-41 479 1 10 54-155 2.9 1-8 61 1at Pittsburgh 14-24 -113 -6 1 14 23-45 2.0 16-35 187 4 20 45-152 3.4 18-29 193 1 at South Carolina 34-10 262 17 0 27 45-184 4.1 25-38 285 1 10 25-81 3.2 16-29 126 1† Clemson † Miami, Fl

Average 32-18 60.5 -0.4 1.5 20 32-166 5.1 54.7% 257 6.0% 21 41-152 3.7 54.7% 210 10.3% Average 35-14 174.7 8.0 0.3 23 42-215 5.1 66.7% 243 5.5% 15 37-114 3.1 51.9% 170 11.7% Conference 27-19 24.4 -2.6 1.4 19 32-127 4.0 51.1% 266 7.2% 22 44-170 3.8 53.4% 198 11.0% Conference 32-18 84.9 3.5 0.5 21 44-220 5.0 65.0% 207 6.3% 18 34-121 3.5 53.1% 221 9.7% Away 23-17 -33.8 -6.0 1.3 17 30-82 2.7 45.9% 267 8.2% 23 45-179 4.0 52.4% 204 9.7% Home 35-8 266.1 14.0 -0.4 25 44-230 5.2 69.2% 248 4.2% 11 39-109 2.8 41.7% 104 17.4%

Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Walton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 Kent St Kelly Bryant 16-22-236-1-1 Travis Etienne 8-81-10.1-1 Milan Richard 2-70-35.0-0 Bye Auburn Kelly Bryant 19-29-181-0-0 Kelly Bryant 19-59-3.1-2 Ray-Ray McCloud 6-81-13.5-0 Bye vs. at Louisville Kelly Bryant 22-32-316-1-0 Travis Etienne 6-98-16.3-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 7-115-16.4-1 Toledo Malik Rosier 27-36-333-3-1 Mark Walton 11-204-18.5-1 Braxton Berrios 5-105-21.0-1 Boston College Kelly Bryant 17-26-140-0-2 Travis Etienne 9-113-12.6-2 Hunter Renfrow 6-53-8.8-0at Duke Malik Rosier 15-26-270-2-1 Mark Walton 17-51-3.0-0 Ahmmon Richards 3-106-35.3-1 at Virginia Tech Kelly Bryant 12-21-186-1-0 Kelly Bryant 19-94-4.9-0 Tavien Feaster 2-63-31.5-1at Florida St Malik Rosier 19-44-254-3-1 Travis Homer 3-29-9.7-0 Braxton Berrios 8-90-11.3-2 vs. Wake Forest Kelly Bryant 21-29-200-1-1 Travis Etienne 15-67-4.5-1 Hunter Renfrow 6-61-10.2-0 Georgia Tech Malik Rosier 23-37-297-1-0 Travis Homer 20-170-8.5-1 Darrell Langham 5-100-20.0-0 at Syracuse Kelly Bryant 12-17-116-0-0 Travis Etienne 5-68-13.6-1 Hunter Renfrow 5-64-12.8-0 Syracuse Malik Rosier 26-43-344-2-0 Travis Homer 20-95-4.8-1 Ahmmon Richards 6-99-16.5-0 Byeat North Carolina Malik Rosier 16-38-356-3-1 Travis Homer 16-40-2.5-0 Jeff Thomas 3-101-33.7-1 vs. Georgia Tech Kelly Bryant 22-33-207-2-0 Kelly Bryant 12-67-5.6-0 Deon Cain 4-57-14.3-1 Virginia Tech Malik Rosier 10-21-193-2-3 Travis Homer 14-95-6.8-1 Christopher Herndon 2-61-30.5-1 at NC State Kelly Bryant 20-38-191-1-1 Tavien Feaster 7-105-15.0-1 Deon Cain 9-84-9.3-1 Notre Dame Malik Rosier 15-24-137-1-0 Travis Homer 18-146-8.1-0 Lawrence Cager 2-45-22.5-0 Florida St Kelly Bryant 20-30-151-0-0 Travis Etienne 14-97-6.9-2 Hunter Renfrow 4-35-8.8-0 Virginia Malik Rosier 15-28-210-3-2 Travis Homer 17-96-5.6-1 Ahmmon Richards 4-51-12.8-1 vs. The Citadel Kelly Bryant 17-22-230-3-0 Tavien Feaster 4-69-17.3-1 Tee Higgins 6-178-29.7-2at Pittsburgh Malik Rosier 15-34-187-2-0 Malik Rosier 12-31-2.6-0 Braxton Berrios 4-61-15.3-1 at South Carolina Kelly Bryant 23-34-272-2-1 Travis Etienne 9-41-4.6-1 Tee Higgins 3-84-28.0-0† Clemson † Miami, Fl

vs.

Malik Rosier 198-359-2798-25-9 Travis Homer 137-861-6.3-7 Braxton Berrios 44-574-13.0-9 Kelly Bryant 221-333-2426-12-6 Travis Etienne 97-712-7.3-11 Deon Cain 49-620-12.7-5Braxton Berrios 1-1-17-0-0 Mark Walton 56-428-7.6-3 Christopher Herndon 40-477-11.9-4 vs. Zerrick Cooper 24-39-250-2-0 Tavien Feaster 99-645-6.5-7 Hunter Renfrow 50-526-10.5-3Evan Shirrefs 2-7-16-0-0 Malik Rosier 112-408-3.6-5 Ahmmon Richards 24-439-18.3-3 Hunter Johnson 20-24-238-2-1 Kelly Bryant 164-639-3.9-10 Ray-Ray McCloud 40-402-10.1-1

Category


Miami, Fl - 54.5 0 6 29-53

Clemson 6 -8.5 58 33 63-416 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net OffenseNet Offense Defense

Mia

mi,

Fl H

urr

ican

es

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Cle

mso

n T

iger

s

Receiving

Miami, Fl QB/WR0.33

Clemson DB's

Miami, Fl DL

Clemson OL

0.52

Score Def The Citadelat Pittsburgh Sks By at South Carolina

† Miami, Fl

Pass Def at NC State Notre Dame Total Def Florida St Virginia Tech

Miami, Fl Clemson

Miami, Fl OL1.24

Clemson DL

Miami, Fl RB's0.95

Clemson LB's

0.59Miami, Fl LB'S

Clemson RB's

0.30

Georgia Tech Syracuse

Total Off Wake Forest Georgia Tech Score Off at Syracuseat Florida St

Rush Off Boston Collegeat Duke Pass Off at Virginia Tech Toledo

Total TO'sYpg Diff† Clemson

TM REC FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Kent St Bethune-Cookman

TM +/- FOE +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Clemson Tigers10-1 11-1

TEAM --PS RANK--AP TEAMFOE

vs. ACC vs. ACC Tigers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Miami, Fl HurricanesHurricanes Logs


Receiving

FOEFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE 7-1 7-1 TM REC FOE REC

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

DefenseScore

Passing Rushing

--PS RANK--

Virginia

Bye Miami, Fl Clemson Auburn Bye at Louisville

Sks Allowed Byeat North Carolina

Miami, Fl Clemson

Phil's Forecast:

With this game in Charlotte, Clemson will clearly have a crowd edge as they are 137 miles away and their fans travel well and Miami is 730 miles away. This is actually Miami’s first ever trip to the ACC Title game while Clemson is making their 5th appearance and they have played in the last two title games so they are more used to the big game pressure and Dabo is 8-1 ATS in ACC Title games and the playoffs. Clemson has taken on the tougher schedule #27 vs #44. Clemson is also +85 ypg in ACC play and Miami is +24. Sounds like I am making a great case for Clemson, but I actually like the dog here. Miami’s problem is they have played to the level of their completion and it caught up to them with that loss at Pitt. Clemson would have been only a 4 or 5 point favorite prior to that loss. Miami has played its best in the big games this year as they are a perfect 3-0 vs Florida St, Virginia Tech and Notre Dame. Interestingly these two teams have faced 4 common foes (VT, GTech, Flor St & Syracuse) and in those games Clemson is +11 ppg and +54 ypg while Miami is +8 ypg and +86 ypg! I will call for Clemson to win, but give Miami a punchers' chance here of winning and making the playoffs.

Clemson ST's

46.5 Points

Clemson K

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Miami, Fl Coaches

19 points

Projected Final ScoreClemson Coaches

Clemson 440-299

+/- Ratings

Computer Points

3.89

Experience Rankings Clemson Pts

Miami, Fl

259 yards

299 yards

221 yards ClemsonMiami, Fl

Miami, Fl DB's0.36

Clemson QB/WR

Las Vegas LineClemson By 9.5

1.72

Miami, Fl K17-25-151


Clemson

TM CONF


Miami, Fl Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

Projected Rushing79 yards Miami, Fl 180 yards

Projected Passing

Clemson Leaders

Miami, Fl ST's

13-32-93

Score


Rush Def

AP

28 points 2.61

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Clemson 28-19

44

Clemson By 10.0

Clemson By 12.9Game Grade

0.50

73 108Miami, Fl

Phil SteeleMiami, Fl Clemson 27 Clemson by 3

Clemson 23 Miami, FL 20By 1.27 Points

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Team Schedule StrengthClemson

440 yards

Clemson

Clemson

Miami, Fl Pts

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 104 9 9/1 59-10 W 46 10 38 118 109 101 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 113 2 8/31 49-21 W 3 4 46 74 31 321-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 96 9 9/9 31-14 W 41 11 38 76 119 93 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 137 140 2 5 9/9 16-31 L 3 2 46 2 20 122-0 1-2 0-0 0-2 135 111 10 9/16 40-6 W 30 11 57 105 58 35 1-1 2-0 1-0 0-0 133 113 8 9/16 38-7 W 7 4 22 76 93 783-0 0-0 138 9 9/23 23 11 56 #18 #13 2-1 1-1 1-0 0-0 134 95 10 9/23 54-21 W 6 6 28 31 128 733-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 138 123 10 9/30 33-24 W 17 13 55 35 34 77 #96 #27 3-1 1-3 1-0 0-1 132 108 11 9/30 56-0 W 4 6 21 90 59 454-0 3-2 1-0 2-0 136 116 9 10/7 38-17 W 21 11 64 70 36 41 #42 #4 4-1 3-1 2-0 1-0 136 116 10 10/7 62-14 W 3 6 30 40 53 485-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 136 121 7 10/14 17-9 W 21 12 65 80 62 103 #26 #5 5-1 3-3 3-0 2-1 140 116 9 10/14 56-14 W 3 5 47 70 48 396-0 3-3 3-0 1-2 134 111 5 10/21 38-13 W 20 10 66 68 61 76 #28 #40 6-1 4-0 144 6 10/21 2 5 527-0 2-5 4-0 0-4 134 102 5 10/28 24-10 W 20 11 67 113 86 110 #1 #13 6-1 7-0 4-0 4-0 144 143 6 2 10/28 39-38 W 2 5 47 14 4 48-0 3-5 5-0 0-5 131 117 4 11/4 45-17 W 26 12 62 97 41 43 #2 #14 7-1 5-3 5-0 2-3 144 123 3 11/4 24-55 L 2 5 57 91 27 259-0 6-3 6-0 3-3 134 128 6 25 11/11 38-14 W 26 8 55 78 24 29 #1 #8 7-2 7-2 5-1 5-1 139 128 11 13 11/11 48-3 W 1 15 53 38 18 99

10-0 8-2 7-0 5-2 136 129 5 19 11/18 24-10 W 26 4 49 37 3 39 #2 #20 8-2 2-8 6-1 0-7 143 104 8 11/18 52-14 W 1 9 47 121 82 5911-0 5-6 8-0 2-6 136 114 5 11/25 31-0 W 29 3 34 113 65 58 #7 #18 9-2 8-3 7-1 5-3 143 129 8 11/25 31-20 W 1 7 48 43 5 5112-0 10-2 9-0 8-1 138 143 3 8 12/2 25 3 37 2 7 38 #4 #1 10-2 12-0 8-1 9-0 143 138 8 3 12/2 2 7 38 25 3 37

+3 +2


Utah St 59-10 174 9 2 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 at Indiana 49-21 159 1 3 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 Florida Atlantic 31-14 316 20 -2 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 Oklahoma 16-31 -140 -6 1 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2at BYU 40-6 299 17 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 Army West Point 38-7 308 14 1 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0 Bye UNLV 54-21 400 17 -1 34 40-190 4.8 31-44 474 3 17 41-176 4.3 11-20 88 4 Northwestern 33-24 62 -7 -1 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 at Rutgers 56-0 419 11 2 24 38-286 7.5 19-30 342 2 13 41-117 2.9 11-27 92 1at Nebraska 38-17 85 3 1 19 49-353 7.2 9-17 113 1 16 26-110 4.2 18-35 271 1 Maryland 62-14 518 27 0 33 50-281 5.6 23-36 303 0 6 42-50 1.2 3-13 16 5 Purdue 17-9 273 10 -2 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 at Nebraska 56-14 240 26 0 41 47-279 5.9 31-39 354 1 15 16-44 2.8 27-47 349 0 Maryland 38-13 172 5 0 23 41-215 5.2 16-24 225 0 18 35-143 4.1 13-30 125 2 Byeat Illinois 24-10 17 2 2 19 45-168 3.7 10-19 135 1 17 33-134 4.1 9-31 152 5 Penn St 39-38 246 10 -2 27 39-201 5.2 33-39 328 2 17 35-91 2.6 17-29 192 2at Indiana 45-17 141 8 2 24 52-237 4.6 15-22 170 3 16 21-40 1.9 20-34 226 4 at Iowa 24-55 -116 -4 -4 20 30-163 5.4 18-34 208 1 24 38-243 6.4 21-32 244 1 Iowa 38-14 316 13 -1 18 49-247 5.0 11-18 135 2 5 26-25 1.0 8-24 41 4 Michigan St 48-3 329 10 1 25 42-335 8.0 15-23 189 0 15 34-64 1.9 18-36 131 6 Michigan 24-10 91 1 1 14 40-182 4.6 9-19 143 3 13 37-58 1.6 11-26 176 2 Illinois 52-14 438 22 0 27 59-325 5.5 16-29 218 1 5 28-89 3.2 4-14 16 2at Minnesota 31-0 323 12 -1 20 39-287 7.4 17-21 169 0 8 39-93 2.4 3-9 40 2 at Michigan 31-20 55 1 1 17 48-226 4.7 9-15 124 3 16 36-100 2.8 17-32 195 5† Ohio St † Wisconsin


Utah St Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1 at Indiana JT Barrett 20-35-304-3-0 JK Dobbins 29-181-6.2-0 Parris Campbell 6-136-22.7-1 Florida Atlantic Alex Hornibrook 16-28-201-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 26-223-8.6-3 Troy Fumagalli 8-92-11.5-1 Oklahoma JT Barrett 19-35-183-0-1 JK Dobbins 13-72-5.5-1 KJ Hill 5-44-8.8-0at BYU Alex Hornibrook 18-19-256-4-0 Jonathan Taylor 18-128-7.1-1 Danny Davis 2-67-33.5-0 vs. Army West Point JT Barrett 25-33-270-2-0 JK Dobbins 13-172-13.2-2 KJ Hill 8-74-9.3-0 Bye UNLV Dwayne Haskins 15-23-228-2-1 JK Dobbins 14-95-6.8-0 Parris Campbell 3-105-35.0-1 Northwestern Alex Hornibrook 11-20-197-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 19-80-4.2-2 Quintez Cephus 4-99-24.8-0 at Rutgers JT Barrett 14-22-275-3-0 Demario McCall 11-103-9.4-1 Johnnie Dixon 3-115-38.3-2at Nebraska Alex Hornibrook 9-17-113-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 25-249-10.0-2 Quintez Cephus 4-68-17.0-1 vs. Maryland JT Barrett 20-31-261-3-0 JK Dobbins 13-96-7.4-1 Binjimen Victor 4-55-13.8-1 Purdue Alex Hornibrook 13-18-199-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 30-219-7.3-1 Quintez Cephus 5-100-20.0-1 at Nebraska JT Barrett 27-33-325-5-0 JK Dobbins 12-106-8.8-1 KJ Hill 7-80-11.4-2 Maryland Alex Hornibrook 16-24-225-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 22-126-5.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 7-83-11.9-0 Byeat Illinois Alex Hornibrook 10-19-135-0-1 Jonathan Taylor 12-73-6.1-0 Kendric Pryor 2-37-18.5-0 vs. Penn St JT Barrett 33-39-328-4-0 JT Barrett 17-95-5.6-0 KJ Hill 12-102-8.5-0at Indiana Alex Hornibrook 13-20-158-2-1 Jonathan Taylor 29-183-6.3-1 AJ Taylor 3-63-21.0-0 at Iowa JT Barrett 18-34-208-3-4 JT Barrett 14-63-4.5-0 Johnnie Dixon 4-81-20.3-2 Iowa Alex Hornibrook 11-18-135-2-3 Jonathan Taylor 29-157-5.4-0 Danny Davis 4-74-18.5-0 Michigan St JT Barrett 14-21-183-2-2 Mike Weber 9-162-18.0-2 Binjimen Victor 2-65-32.5-1 Michigan Alex Hornibrook 9-19-143-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 19-132-6.9-0 AJ Taylor 3-79-26.3-1 vs. Illinois JT Barrett 11-19-141-2-0 Mike Weber 11-108-9.8-2 Parris Campbell 3-59-19.7-0at Minnesota Alex Hornibrook 15-19-151-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 20-149-7.5-1 Kendric Pryor 3-51-17.0-0 at Michigan Dwayne Haskins 6-7-94-0-0 JK Dobbins 15-101-6.7-1 KJ Hill 2-53-26.5-0† Ohio St † Wisconsin

vs.

Alex Hornibrook 156-244-2157-21-13 Jonathan Taylor 258-1806-7.0-13 Quintez Cephus 30-501-16.7-6 JT Barrett 216-327-2717-33-7 JK Dobbins 164-1190-7.3-7 Parris Campbell 37-519-14.0-2Jack Coan 5-5-36-0-0 Bradrick Shaw 96-365-3.8-4 Troy Fumagalli 38-471-12.4-4 vs. Dwayne Haskins 40-57-565-4-1 JT Barrett 131-683-5.2-9 Parris Campbell 37-519-14.0-2Team 0-1-0-0-0 Garrett Groshek 56-297-5.3-2 AJ Taylor 21-354-16.9-4 Joe Burrow 7-11-61-0-0 Mike Weber 92-602-6.5-10 Johnnie Dixon 17-413-24.3-8

Category


Ohio St 2 -10.5 30 23 45-185

Wisconsin 8 44.5 23 22 46-236 0


Ohio St 6 53 59 24 38-301

Wisconsin 11 -4.5 0 18 37-71 -4


Ohio St 4 -6.5 31 21 43-192

Wisconsin 23 55.5 24 20 27-104 -1


Ohio St 6 52 21 15 41-139

Wisconsin - -2.5 14 20 56-206 -1

Net Offense Defense

Wis

con

sin

Bad

ger

s

LEA

DER

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TEA

M A

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Oh

io S

t B

uck

eyes

Net Offense

Wisconsin QB/WR1.02

Ohio St DB's

Wisconsin Ohio St

Wisconsin OL0.71

Ohio St DL

0.07

† WisconsinTotal TO's

Ypg Diff† Ohio St

Total Def Michigan StScore Def Illinois

at Minnesota Sks By at Michigan

Sks Allowed Byeat Illinois Rush Def Penn St

Pass Def at Iowa

Purdue Score Off at Nebraskaat Nebraska

Oklahomaat BYU Army West Point

Utah St

Rush Off UNLV

FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Indiana

at Rutgers Bye

Total Off Maryland

FOE--PS RANK--vs. BIG 10

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

9-0 8-1

12-0 10-2vs. BIG 10Badgers Logs

Michigan Iowa

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Buckeyes Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Ohio St Buckeyes--PS RANK--AP

Wisconsin ST's

0.97

1.58

Wisconsin Pts

26 points Wisconsin

DefenseScore Score

AP TEAMFOE

TM REC FOE REC

Florida Atlantic Wisconsin

PassingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Ohio St

Northwestern Pass Off

ReceivingRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Maryland

at Indiana

51.5 Points

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineOhio St By 6.5

+/- RatingsOhio St By 6.5

Phil's Forecast:

Ohio State has been played the much tougher schedule (#31 vs #61) having faced teams like Michigan St, Oklahoma and Penn St. Despite that they are the stronger team statistically. Ohio St is +254 ypg in Big Ten play while Wisconsin is +164 ypg. These two met in the 2014 title game and Ohio State’s dominating 59-0 win with 3rd string QB Cardale Jones got them in the playoffs and on their way to the national title. Last year Wisconsin led 16-6 at half, but Ohio St got a late FG to force OT and won 30-23 in Madison with the Badgers having a 450-411 yard edge. QB JT Barrett was hurt last week in the 3Q, but should play here and has thrown for 2,727 yards (66%) with a 33-7 ratio. Alex Hornibrook is hitting just 64% with a 21-13 ratio. Jonathan Taylor (1,806, 7.0) of Wisconsin may be the Big Ten's best RB, but Ohio St has two solid RB’s in JK Dobbins and Mike Weber who combined for 1,873 (6.3). The Badgers defense is number one in the country allowing 237 ypg and holding foes to 140 ypg below their season average. Ohio St is solid on D allowing 292 ypg and holds foes to 98 ypg below. Special teams cost Ohio State vs Penn St, but the Badgers edge in that unit is only #34 vs #48. Last year the Badgers took on six top ten teams and went 3-3, but 4-2 ATS and they have not faced one this year. Ohio St has taken on six top ten teams the last 2 years and is 4-2, but just 1-5 vs the Vegas number. They have faced 6 common opp’s this year and Ohio St is slightly better at +23 ppg and +216 ypg while Wisky is +21 and +154. My computer has the Buckeyes by 6 with the yards calling for them to win by 7. The underdog is 4-2 and 6-0 vs the Vegas number in the Big Ten Title game. I will call for Ohio St by 7, but I think it will be more of a defensive game so the Under could be your best play.

160 yards Wisconsin

Projected Passing Ohio St K

0.96

Ohio St ST's

Ohio St By 7.1


32 pointsOhio St


Experience Rankings Ohio St Pts

Ohio St 406-3064.91Computer Yards

Computer PointsOhio St 32-26

170 yards

Wisconsin

33 Wisconsin

Ohio St Leaders

Game Grade306 yards Ohio St Coaches

0.95

Ohio St 236 yards Wisconsin Coaches

Wisconsin 406 yardsOhio St

146 yards

17-25-198

Comp-Att-Yds

Ohio St by 7Ohio St 27 Wisconsin 20By 3.33 Points

Ohio St

Ohio St 32Ohio St

Ret

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Projected Box Score

Ohio St

Projected Rushing

Phil Steele

38 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Ohio St RB's

Wisconsin DL0.26

Ohio St OL

1.00

20-34-295

Wisconsin LeadersWisconsin DB's

Ohio St QB/WR

17-29-226

16-28-214

Comp-Att-Yds

Wisconsin K

Comp-Att-Yds

Team Schedule Strength61 Wisconsin

Wisconsin RB's

Ohio St LB's

0.55Wisconsin LB'S

17-43-187

Comp-Att-Yds

12-18-257


Wisconsin BadgersFOE

14-27-154

10-18-97

FOE +/-TEAM

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 123 9/2 63-0 W 13 15 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 93 7 9/2 56-7 W 2 19 12 119 116 1171-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 120 23 9/9 28-7 W 10 15 26 21 45 102 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 140 137 5 2 9/9 31-16 W 2 20 12 3 2 462-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 129 113 20 9/16 56-36 W 13 10 39 36 91 124 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 142 111 2 9/16 56-14 W 5 13 67 90 87 823-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 16 6 9/23 44-31 W 11 12 41 2 34 83 #49 #26 3-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 143 112 3 9/23 49-41 W 5 14 42 39 76 204-0 1-0 134 9 9/30 12 12 16 #57 #2 4-0 1-0 139 3 9/30 2 16 564-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 134 120 8 23 10/7 31-24 W 12 14 15 10 64 95 #47 #1 4-0 2-2 1-0 0-1 139 117 3 10/7 31-38 L 2 18 46 56 65 555-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 132 127 6 10/14 26-6 W 12 16 17 36 46 1 #28 #4 4-1 3-2 1-1 2-0 134 127 12 10/14 29-24 W 2 23 88 20 14 616-0 1-5 3-0 0-3 135 95 4 10/21 43-0 W 18 13 23 89 118 64 #20 #44 5-1 3-3 2-1 1-2 133 124 9 10/21 42-35 W 3 22 78 44 38 27-0 5-2 4-0 3-1 135 130 4 25 10/28 7-14 L 18 9 18 64 39 55 #2 #44 6-1 4-3 3-1 1-3 133 120 10 10/28 49-27 W 3 32 80 25 58 907-1 4-4 4-1 3-2 133 133 10 11/4 24-7 W 20 7 15 29 13 33 #73 #90 7-1 7-1 4-1 4-1 134 139 8 11 11/4 62-52 W 3 32 97 9 18 1028-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 135 138 8 5 11/11 20-38 L 19 4 28 3 32 93 #18 #61 8-1 8-1 5-1 5-1 138 135 5 8 11/11 38-20 W 3 32 93 19 4 288-2 5-5 5-2 2-5 133 119 11 11/18 27-3 W 21 8 32 24 78 92 #8 #57 9-1 1-9 6-1 0-7 140 98 3 11/18 41-3 W 2 33 87 113 110 949-2 1-10 6-2 1-7 136 112 10 11/24 45-22 W 22 8 16 70 89 64 #3 #84 10-1 7-4 7-1 5-3 140 123 3 11/25 59-31 W 3 26 89 16 56 114

10-2 8-1 7-2 5-1 135 141 10 2 12/2 20 8 23 3 32 93 #20 #3 11-1 8-1 8-1 5-1 141 135 2 10 12/2 1 27 76 19 4 28+6 +3


Jackson St 63-0 477 17 1 24 36-242 6.7 23-30 300 0 7 42-24 0.6 7-14 41 5 UTEP 56-7 509 24 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1at Arkansas 28-7 94 11 -1 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3 at Ohio St 31-16 140 6 -1 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 SMU 56-36 156 11 -1 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 Tulane 56-14 340 4 0 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3at Oklahoma St 44-31 -33 6 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 1 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 at Baylor 49-41 102 -2 0 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 3 Bye Bye West Virginia 31-24 -102 -12 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2 Iowa St 31-38 64 7 -1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1at Kansas St 26-6 179 7 0 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 † Texas 29-24 90 -3 -1 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 Kansas 43-0 454 18 0 22 42-191 4.5 20-28 284 1 4 31--25 -0.8 8-18 46 4 at Kansas St 42-35 207 10 0 28 38-209 5.5 32-41 410 2 18 42-268 6.4 12-14 144 0at Iowa St 7-14 52 -3 -2 14 34-172 5.1 12-25 135 0 17 33-53 1.6 21-35 202 2 Texas Tech 49-27 180 7 0 31 47-336 7.1 22-34 281 1 24 34-115 3.4 22-36 322 2 Texas 24-7 80 3 0 17 46-177 3.8 19-27 166 2 14 26-9 0.3 21-44 254 7 at Oklahoma St 62-52 124 -2 1 30 40-187 4.7 24-36 598 5 32 34-213 6.3 28-54 448 2at Oklahoma 20-38 -109 -2 0 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 TCU 38-20 109 2 0 21 41-200 4.9 18-27 333 1 19 32-155 4.8 14-29 269 2at Texas Tech 27-3 -38 -4 1 17 42-204 4.9 6-17 85 1 21 41-174 4.2 18-36 153 3 at Kansas 41-3 314 14 2 24 36-157 4.4 23-35 312 1 10 27-32 1.2 19-34 123 1 Baylor 45-22 44 11 3 25 36-112 3.1 26-36 325 3 14 29-79 2.7 21-34 314 8 West Virginia 59-31 259 3 2 27 35-313 8.9 16-19 333 0 24 51-250 4.9 10-20 137 0† Oklahoma † TCU


Jackson St Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 Darius Anderson 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 UTEP Baker Mayfield 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1at Arkansas Kenny Hill 21-31-166-0-1 Darius Anderson 15-106-7.1-1 John Diarse 4-36-9.0-0 at Ohio St Baker Mayfield 27-35-386-3-0 Trey Sermon 17-62-3.6-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-98-14.0-1 SMU Kenny Hill 24-30-365-4-0 Darius Anderson 14-89-6.4-2 KaVontae Turpin 7-88-12.6-1 vs. Tulane Baker Mayfield 17-27-331-4-0 Abdul Adams 8-93-11.6-0 Marquise Brown 6-155-25.8-1at Oklahoma St Kenny Hill 22-33-228-1-1 Darius Anderson 26-160-6.2-3 Jaelan Austin 1-43-43.0-0 at Baylor Baker Mayfield 13-19-283-3-0 Abdul Adams 11-164-14.9-1 Mark Andrews 3-72-24.0-1 Bye Bye West Virginia Kenny Hill 15-28-188-1-0 Kyle Hicks 11-71-6.5-0 John Diarse 4-70-17.5-0 vs. Iowa St Baker Mayfield 24-33-306-2-0 Trey Sermon 18-90-5.0-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-95-13.6-0at Kansas St Kenny Hill 27-37-297-0-0 Kyle Hicks 16-58-3.6-0 KaVontae Turpin 5-70-14.0-0 † Texas Baker Mayfield 17-27-302-2-1 Trey Sermon 20-96-4.8-0 Mark Andrews 4-104-26.0-1 Kansas Kenny Hill 19-26-278-5-0 Darius Anderson 12-62-5.2-0 John Diarse 4-130-32.5-1 at Kansas St Baker Mayfield 32-41-410-2-1 Rodney Anderson 19-147-7.7-1 Marquise Brown 6-126-21.0-0at Iowa St Kenny Hill 12-25-135-0-2 Darius Anderson 12-95-7.9-0 Jaelan Austin 3-39-13.0-0 vs. Texas Tech Baker Mayfield 22-34-281-4-1 Rodney Anderson 24-181-7.5-1 CeeDee Lamb 9-147-16.3-2 Texas Kenny Hill 18-26-146-0-0 Darius Anderson 18-99-5.5-1 John Diarse 2-37-18.5-0 at Oklahoma St Baker Mayfield 24-36-598-5-2 Rodney Anderson 21-111-5.3-1 Marquise Brown 9-265-29.4-2at Oklahoma Kenny Hill 13-28-270-1-0 Darius Anderson 7-42-6.0-1 Kyle Hicks 3-71-23.7-1 TCU Baker Mayfield 18-27-333-3-0 Rodney Anderson 23-151-6.6-2 Rodney Anderson 5-139-27.8-2at Texas Tech Shawn Robinson 6-17-85-1-0 Shawn Robinson 10-84-8.4-0 Sewo Olonilua 1-28-28.0-0 vs. at Kansas Baker Mayfield 20-30-257-3-0 Rodney Anderson 16-77-4.8-0 Grant Calcaterra 4-67-16.8-0 Baylor Kenny Hill 26-36-325-3-0 Sewo Olonilua 10-71-7.1-1 Jarrison Stewart 6-72-12.0-1 West Virginia Baker Mayfield 14-17-281-3-0 Rodney Anderson 13-118-9.1-4 CeeDee Lamb 4-92-23.0-1† Oklahoma † TCU

vs.

Kenny Hill 215-323-2604-19-5 Darius Anderson 128-768-6.0-8 John Diarse 28-477-17.0-2 Baker Mayfield 247-346-4097-37-5 Rodney Anderson 138-867-6.3-11 Marquise Brown 46-894-19.4-5Shawn Robinson 13-27-184-3-0 Kyle Hicks 125-565-4.5-4 Jalen Reagor 26-377-14.5-6 vs. Kyler Murray 18-21-359-3-0 Trey Sermon 109-647-5.9-5 Mark Andrews 51-848-16.6-6KaVontae Turpin 2-2-68-1-0 Sewo Olonilua 57-271-4.8-7 Desmon White 33-362-11.0-4 Trey Sermon 1-1-42-0-0 Abdul Adams 59-542-9.2-1 CeeDee Lamb 40-741-18.5-7

Category


TCU 21 69 46 19 29-65

Oklahoma - -3.5 52 23 48-260 -1


TCU 11 63.5 29 16 36-161

Oklahoma 7 -17 30 28 59-333 3


TCU 25 57 37 23 39-151

Oklahoma 4 -3.5 33 19 42-152 1


TCU - 46.5 17 10 27-44

Oklahoma 11 -8 20 20 38-203 -1


TCU - 59.5 17 11 31-119

Oklahoma 12 -5.5 24 22 32-177 -1

at Texas Tech

Net

Kansas

at Arkansas

Offense Defense

TCU

Hor

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LEA

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Okl

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0.63TCU QB/WR

Oklahoma DB's

TCU Oklahoma

0.26TCU OL

Oklahoma DL

Phil's Forecast:

Oklahoma Leaders

Receiving

Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

TCU LeadersOklahoma QB/WR

TCU DB's1.47

TCU RB's0.09

Oklahoma LB's

TCU LB'S

at Iowa St Rush Def Texas Tech

Total Off Iowa Stat Kansas St Score Off † Texas West Virginia

Rush Off at Baylor Bye Pass Off Byeat Oklahoma St

Total TO'sYpg Diff† Oklahoma

Score Def at Kansas Baylor Sks By West Virginia

† TCU

Texas Pass Def at Oklahoma Stat Oklahoma Total Def TCU

SMU Tulane

2017 TEAM RANKINGS UTEP Jackson St


FOE CONF TM +/-

Sooners Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Oklahoma Sooners

TM +/- FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOEFOE

TCU Horned Frogs 10-2 11-1vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12

FOENCAA RANKINGS

7-2 8-1 TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

DefenseScore

TCU Oklahoma at Ohio St

Sks Allowed at Kansas St

Net Offense

TCU

Experience Rankings

Oklahoma By 8.5

337 yards

Projected Passing

Game Grade

225 yards TCU Oklahoma

6.59

TCU Pts

2.2728 points

Oklahoma Pts


383 yards TCU

TCU DL

Oklahoma OL

Score


FOE +/-AP

FOE

Oklahoma 507 yards

Computer Points

2.90

Computer YardsOklahoma 32 points



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TCU ST's

3 Oklahoma 29 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:TCU

41 TCU Oklahoma 16 Oklahoma by 11Best Bet: ★ Oklahoma 38 TCU 27

By 4.33 Points

TCU Phil Steele

When these two met Nov 11th the Sooners were -6.5 and jumped out to a 38-14 halftime lead with 395 yards at the half, but went conservative in the 2H and only won 38-20 with a 533-424 yard edge. Gary Patterson is one of the best coaches in the country and his defense has held foes to 122 ypg below their season average. Patterson makes GREAT halftime adjustments and TCU has allowed a combined 6 points (2 FG’s) in the 2H over the last SEVEN games. All the Big 12 schools play each other so the conference numbers equal common opponent numbers. Both teams outscore B12 foes by 14 ppg, but Oklahoma is +161 ypg and TCU just +59 ypg. No doubt OU has the huge edge on offense as they gain 198 ypg more than their B12 opp’s allow and TCU is actually -27 ypg. Baker Mayfield rates a large edge at QB (71.4%, 37-5 ratio) and TCU lost their top RB Darius Anderson a few weeks back. Oklahoma has a loaded and now fully healthy set of RB ‘s led by Rodney Anderson who is finally healthy and has 715 rush yards the last 6 games and another 256 receiving. The Sooners Oline is the nation's best and their 200 yds rush in the first meeting has been the most TCU has allowed all year. TCU has a large edge on defense as they hold B12 foes to 122 ypg below their season avg and the Sooners D allows 3 ypg above their season average. TCU has a large edge on special teams as well (#23 vs #76). My computer only calls for a 4 point win, but the yards have them winning by 9. I had the Sooners in the first matchup and will side with them again here.

Oklahoma 507-383

Oklahoma 32-28

Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineOklahoma ST's Oklahoma By 7

0.67

TCU Coaches

63.5 Points

Oklahoma K

TCU K

+/- RatingsOklahoma By 6.0

Oklahoma Coaches

158 yards TCU Oklahoma 170 yards

14-36-309

Comp-Att-Yds

20-39-318

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

13-29-229

14-37-203

16-26-166

20-31-152

22-40-244

Comp-Att-Yds

17-31-231

0.04Oklahoma RB's

0.43

23-30-274

Comp-Att-Yds

Horned Frogs Logs

Projected Rushing

26-45-449

TEAM --PS RANK--

ReceivingRushing

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 103 8/26 35-38 L 109 98 72 87 117 122 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 109 8/31 17-61 L 111 99 82 70 67 330-1 0-0 98 92 9/2 28-38 L 100 110 72 130 129 128 0-1 0-0 100 9/9 17-10 W 115 111 820-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 105 9/9 7-17 L 104 112 91 90 105 54 1-1 0-0 100 9/16 118 110 1100-3 1-1 0-0 0-0 97 113 9/15 21-29 L 103 108 121 98 90 45 #103 #89 1-1 1-2 0-0 1-0 100 97 9/23 13-7 W 116 115 107 117 100 1040-4 2-1 0-0 0-1 101 123 9/23 13-17 L 104 105 126 38 44 2 #23 #62 2-1 0-4 1-0 0-0 102 86 9/30 30-29 W 119 106 95 124 121 840-5 3-1 0-1 1-0 101 112 9/30 50-58 L 97 110 119 76 66 14 #46 #90 3-1 2-3 2-0 0-1 99 100 10/7 17-37 L 103 111 80 108 78 730-6 0-1 101 10/7 97 108 126 #61 #96 3-2 3-2 2-1 1-1 96 114 10/14 23-10 W 105 112 80 88 101 790-6 0-1 101 10/14 95 112 126 #127 #40 4-2 2-1 101 10/21 99 113 610-6 0-5 0-1 0-2 105 91 10/21 55-20 W 73 101 129 126 107 71 #85 #78 4-2 6-1 2-1 3-0 101 116 10/28 41-30 W 96 111 62 74 28 291-6 5-2 0-1 4-0 105 107 10/28 30-27 W 72 95 124 62 60 108 #33 #76 5-2 5-2 3-1 2-2 106 108 11/4 14-7 W 90 110 68 70 43 282-6 6-2 0-1 3-2 108 130 21 11/4 23-34 L 73 94 124 23 21 34 #56 #78 6-2 3-6 4-1 1-4 107 95 11/11 30-37 L 93 104 77 128 107 1172-7 0-2 108 11/11 44-31 W 74 94 126 #82 #69 6-3 7-3 4-2 6-0 102 119 11/18 24-52 L 81 112 78 43 80 203-7 3-8 0-2 0-4 108 103 11/18 16-10 W 80 82 128 114 62 85 #88 #88 6-4 6-5 4-3 4-3 101 105 11/25 41-17 W 89 115 71 108 95 754-7 0-2 108 11/25 76 82 127 #49 #85 7-4 4-7 5-3 0-2 106 108 12/2 82 107 66 76 82 127

7-4 5-3 106 12/2 82 107 66 +4 -2


Hawaii 35-38 -90 2 -1 20 41-115 2.8 22-34 298 5 18 35-112 3.2 25-38 391 4 at UCF 17-61 -252 -18 -2 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0at Coastal Carolina 28-38 40 3 -2 23 26-79 3.0 27-45 362 1 20 47-321 6.8 10-18 80 0 Alcorn St 17-10 196 14 -1 26 40-137 3.4 21-33 328 2 12 25-78 3.1 22-34 191 1 Old Dominion 7-17 -34 1 0 20 36-79 2.2 22-37 253 8 19 48-197 4.1 13-29 169 1 Byeat Temple 21-29 71 5 -1 25 33-81 2.5 23-39 377 9 20 34-119 3.5 24-39 268 2 at Rice 13-7 23 -1 0 18 33-99 3.0 17-28 172 5 19 41-100 2.4 16-27 148 2at Tennessee 13-17 -38 -4 1 14 37-144 3.9 13-22 137 7 18 39-135 3.5 19-32 184 0 Charlotte 30-29 -29 -3 -1 20 41-234 5.7 15-27 241 0 23 49-349 7.1 16-28 155 1 Ohio 50-58 71 5 -2 30 37-147 4.0 33-58 403 2 25 40-298 7.5 13-24 181 2 at Middle Tennessee 17-37 -120 -4 -2 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 Bye Tulane 23-10 199 5 0 23 44-218 5.0 17-31 220 0 18 40-203 5.1 5-16 36 3 Bye Bye GA Southern 55-20 379 21 2 33 44-320 7.3 21-28 350 0 12 41-136 3.3 5-18 155 3 at Marshall 41-30 -104 -8 3 21 48-224 4.7 14-18 177 1 29 29-142 4.9 33-52 363 0 Appalachian St 30-27 32 1 -1 16 39-209 5.4 20-33 190 4 15 47-234 5.0 14-29 133 0 UTSA 14-7 54 -1 -1 18 37-100 2.7 18-25 215 0 19 40-156 3.9 13-22 105 4at Miss St 23-34 -43 -9 2 12 32-127 4.0 15-28 223 1 21 45-254 5.6 14-26 139 0 Old Dominion 30-37 48 6 -2 27 35-164 4.7 35-50 323 2 21 36-199 5.5 17-24 240 3† Maine 44-31 75 6 2 23 36-100 2.8 21-39 355 5 17 29-148 5.1 16-41 232 1 at Florida Atlantic 24-52 -269 -9 1 18 31-85 2.7 20-33 218 4 27 46-333 7.2 18-25 239 1at BYU 16-10 0 1 4 18 33-69 2.1 21-35 230 2 17 26-42 1.6 21-45 257 7 WKU 41-17 -28 -5 3 18 34-122 3.6 18-27 251 0 23 28-46 1.6 30-49 355 5 Bye UMassat FIU

Average 29-29 42.1 2.9 0.4 21 36-134 3.7 59.8% 289 11.1% 18 39-181 4.6 51.3% 199 5.9% Average 24-27 -25.6 -2.2 -0.2 20 37-146 4.0 63.8% 233 5.6% 22 38-175 4.7 64.8% 229 5.9% Conference 29-33 13.3 2.8 -1.3 21 35-121 3.5 60.9% 307 12.6% 18 41-197 4.8 58.9% 218 4.8% Conference 26-27 -53.1 -3.1 0.1 20 37-139 3.8 65.7% 227 6.6% 23 38-188 5.0 65.1% 232 6.2% Away 24-27 17.5 0.3 1.0 19 33-100 3.0 57.7% 281 12.0% 19 37-170 4.6 51.7% 193 5.0% Home 26-18 73.3 2.7 -0.3 22 39-163 4.2 64.2% 263 2.1% 19 36-172 4.7 59.5% 180 9.8%

Hawaii Andrew Ford 21-30-275-2-1 Marquis Young 20-83-4.2-2 Adam Breneman 9-179-19.9-0 at UCF Alex McGough 18-29-201-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 4-61-15.3-1 Thomas Owens 4-99-24.8-1at Coastal Carolina Andrew Ford 25-41-316-1-0 Marquis Young 12-40-3.3-2 Adam Breneman 9-126-14.0-0 Alcorn St Alex McGough 21-33-328-0-0 Alex Gardner 20-102-5.1-1 Julian Williams 5-129-25.8-0 Old Dominion Andrew Ford 21-32-236-1-0 Bilal Ally 8-39-4.9-0 Andy Isabella 5-105-21.0-1 vs. Byeat Temple Andrew Ford 23-37-377-2-0 Marquis Young 15-77-5.1-0 Sadiq Palmer 7-117-16.7-0 at Rice Alex McGough 17-28-172-1-1 Alex Gardner 17-80-4.7-0 Tony Gaiter IV 4-54-13.5-0at Tennessee Andrew Ford 11-17-129-1-0 Marquis Young 14-76-5.4-0 Andy Isabella 3-46-15.3-0 Charlotte Alex McGough 14-26-206-1-1 Napoleon Maxwell 5-76-15.2-0 Thomas Owens 7-101-14.4-1 Ohio Andrew Ford 32-54-390-5-1 Bilal Ally 13-57-4.4-0 Adam Breneman 12-131-10.9-2 vs. at Middle Tennessee Alex McGough 20-31-209-1-1 Alex Gardner 10-42-4.2-0 Thomas Owens 11-162-14.7-1 Bye Tulane Alex McGough 17-31-220-1-2 Alex Gardner 20-79-4.0-0 Thomas Owens 6-152-25.3-0 Bye Bye GA Southern Ross Comis 12-16-193-3-0 Bilal Ally 16-116-7.3-3 Brennon Dingle 4-88-22.0-1 vs. at Marshall Alex McGough 14-18-177-2-0 Napoleon Maxwell 11-93-8.5-1 Thomas Owens 7-114-16.3-2 Appalachian St Andrew Ford 9-12-110-0-1 Marquis Young 15-132-8.8-2 Sadiq Palmer 4-80-20.0-0 UTSA Alex McGough 18-25-215-2-1 Shawndarri Phillips 11-45-4.1-0 Thomas Owens 8-72-9.0-1at Miss St Ross Comis 15-26-223-1-1 Marquis Young 11-91-8.3-0 Andy Isabella 7-158-22.6-1 Old Dominion Alex McGough 35-50-323-2-0 Alex Gardner 15-95-6.3-1 Thomas Owens 11-87-7.9-0† Maine Andrew Ford 21-39-355-4-0 Marquis Young 19-123-6.5-1 Andy Isabella 8-152-19.0-3 vs. at Florida Atlantic Alex McGough 20-32-218-2-0 Alex Gardner 10-56-5.6-1 Sherman Thornton 2-55-27.5-1at BYU Andrew Ford 21-35-230-1-0 Marquis Young 19-53-2.8-0 Andy Isabella 7-84-12.0-1 WKU Alex McGough 17-26-227-1-0 Shawndarri Phillips 17-69-4.1-2 Pharoah McKever 3-62-20.7-1 Bye UMassat FIU vs.

Andrew Ford 193-309-2575-18-3 Marquis Young 165-857-5.2-8 Andy Isabella 58-925-15.9-9 Alex McGough 211-329-2496-14-7 Alex Gardner 154-657-4.3-4 Thomas Owens 59-887-15.0-6Ross Comis 45-82-603-4-1 Bilal Ally 86-366-4.3-3 Adam Breneman 58-715-12.3-3 vs. Thomas Owens 1-1-35-1-0 Shawndarri Phillips 92-383-4.2-3 Pharoah McKever 26-294-11.3-3Randall West 0-2-0.1-0-0 Ross Comis 45-141-3.1-2 Sadiq Palmer 33-508-15.4-1 Stone Wilson 1-1-24-1-0 Napoleon Maxwell 60-348-5.8-3 Julian Williams 19-266-14.0-1

Category


UMass - 48 21 21 36-116

FIU - E 13 19 34-137 -1


UMass - -3 24 29 39-132

FIU - 56 14 13 29-73 2

vs.

vs.

at Coastal Carolina

at Miss St

at Tennessee


FOE CONF TM +/-

Net Offense Defense

UM

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Min

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LEA

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FIU

Gol

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Pan

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Net OffenseScore

at BYU Sks By WKU† Maine

UMassat FIU Total TO's

Ypg Diff Bye

Total Def Old Dominion Appalachian St

Score Def at Florida Atlantic

GA Southern Rush Def at Marshall Bye

Pass Def UTSA

Bye Score Off Tulane Ohio

Sks Allowed Bye

Total Off at Middle Tennessee

7-4OVERALL: OVERALL:UMass Minutemen

Charlotte

FOEFOE +/-

APFOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOENCAA RANKINGS

0-2 5-3 TM REC FOE REC TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--TM +/-

at Temple

UMass FIU Alcorn St Old Dominion Bye

Rush Off at Rice

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at UCF Hawaii

Golden Panthers LogsFIU Golden Panthers4-7

FOE +/-AP TEAM

FOE

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersFIU

2.74UMass QB/WR

FIU DB's

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Defense

Receiving

UMass OL0.01

FIU DL

Passing

0.59UMass RB's

FIU LB's

UMass

Score

UMass K

UMass FIU 251 yards

UMass 425-383

UMass DL0.25

FIU OL

FIU Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UMass ST's

2.06

UMass LeadersFIU QB/WR

UMass DB's

Las Vegas Line

Game Grade425 yards UMass FIU 383 yards FIU Coaches

3.49

UMass Pts

4.30

FIU RB's

1.17

0.15UMass LB'S

Minutemen Logs vs. IND vs. CUSA

Pass Off

0.81

FIU K

FIU99 UMass FIU 113

56 UMass FIU 4

UMass by 3UMass 31 FIU 28By 0.81 Points

UMass 29-28

Phil Steele


UMass is two plays away from being in a bowl this year and if they win here it would be by one play. UMass has beaten teams like App St and BYU and has not lost a game by more than 11 points all year despite facing Tennessee and Miss St. They have played the tougher schedule (#99 vs #113) and yet are +42 ypg facing 0 FCS foes while FIU despite their 7-4 record is actually -26 ypg despite not playing a single power 5 team and 1 FCS foe. FIU is 5-1 at home under Butch Davis and +73 ypg in those including a win over WKU last week 41-17. UMass QB Andrew Ford is one of the most underrated in the country. He was PS#48 and was originally at Virginia Tech and has thrown for 2,575 (63%) with an 18-3 ratio. RB Marquis Young has rushed for 857 (5.2) including 91 vs that tough Miss St defense. TE Adam Breneman was a Mackey semifinalist. Mark Whipple will sell this as a bowl game and why not, they had last week off and the game is in Florida. I will side with the Minutemen in this one.

FIU ST's

UMass Coaches

Projected Yardage Total294 yards

FIU Pts

29 points UMassComputer Yards

55.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

FIU By 0.8

UMass By 2.8

FIU By 1

+/- Ratings

UMass

Projected Passing130 yards

22-34-115

FIU

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f C

onte

nts


Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds


Experience Rankings

32-43-363

28-42-278

20-34-178

28 points


FIU 132 yards

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 122 8/31 29-37 L 120 119 106 30 74 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 141 3 1 9/2 7-24 L 11 1 11 1 2 240-1 0-0 100 9/9 122 106 106 0-1 0-0 136 10 9/9 28 3 110-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 109 9/16 17-28 L 120 105 130 84 74 50 0-1 0-0 136 11 9/16 45 5 1080-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 99 99 9/23 56-50 W 111 112 109 93 118 74 #52 #99 0-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 136 121 12 9/23 21-27 L 59 5 110 30 30 761-2 1-0 101 91 9/30 51-43 W 91 112 112 125 125 90 #17 #92 0-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 131 124 9/30 26-19 W 58 9 43 65 45 252-2 1-4 2-0 0-1 100 84 10/7 45-27 W 85 115 90 127 118 125 #16 #117 1-2 3-0 1-1 1-0 131 136 13 10/7 20-24 L 65 12 14 5 13 273-2 2-2 3-0 1-0 101 97 10/14 37-47 L 83 110 83 124 115 122 #22 #89 1-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 131 120 10/14 17-10 W 58 9 29 60 20 1063-3 2-4 3-1 1-1 97 103 10/21 23-33 L 80 119 51 125 74 48 #48 #108 2-3 4-3 2-2 1-3 131 118 10/21 28-31 L 48 11 58 7 45 673-4 2-5 3-2 1-2 97 96 10/28 23-31 L 75 120 53 112 114 93 #120 #38 2-4 4-4 2-3 2-3 126 121 10/27 3-35 L 47 13 37 72 36 783-5 5-3 3-3 4-0 96 107 11/4 52-45 W 71 121 49 58 60 101 #128 #30 2-5 4-4 2-4 2-2 121 121 11/4 24-21 W 59 16 59 60 71 114-5 4-3 99 11/11 55 121 45 #129 #27 3-5 8-1 3-4 6-1 121 137 11/11 14-31 L 53 16 54 14 3 1164-5 8-2 4-3 6-1 99 139 6 11/18 14-42 L 54 122 45 11 7 57 #126 #38 3-6 3-5 121 11/18 77-6 W 66 16 424-6 6-3 4-3 5-1 102 110 11/25 50-67 L 67 122 43 57 40 9 #92 #41 4-6 4-6 3-5 3-5 123 118 11/25 38-22 W 50 13 29 61 39 224-7 5-6 4-4 3-5 100 125 12/2 70 127 15 46 13 25 #99 #79 5-6 4-7 3-5 4-4 125 100 12/2 46 13 25 70 127 15

-7 -5


at Memphis 29-37 9 9 -2 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 † Alabama 7-24 -19 2 -3 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2at Bye Bye Southern Miss 17-28 -98 -8 -1 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 218 3 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 1 Byeat Louisiana 56-50 67 -5 0 27 45-250 5.6 28-34 343 0 32 47-231 4.9 24-43 295 5 NC State 21-27 17 -6 -1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 Coastal Carolina 51-43 -97 -5 3 16 40-243 6.1 12-20 101 1 21 38-112 2.9 18-32 329 3 at Wake Forest 26-19 -97 -2 1 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2at Texas St 45-27 203 6 1 24 41-156 3.8 24-37 433 1 18 39-181 4.6 14-25 205 2 Miami, Fl 20-24 69 2 -1 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 Georgia St 37-47 -239 -12 -1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 at Duke 17-10 110 6 -1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1at South Alabama 23-33 -63 -6 -1 20 41-307 7.5 14-23 179 0 26 35-232 6.6 20-33 317 0 Louisville 28-31 -46 1 -2 23 38-155 4.1 16-28 248 2 22 44-293 6.7 13-21 156 2at Idaho 23-31 -5 -2 -2 25 29-98 3.4 24-37 415 2 27 39-158 4.1 28-42 360 1 at Boston College 3-35 -116 -9 -3 10 29-64 2.2 12-27 149 2 19 55-241 4.4 7-21 88 0 Appalachian St 52-45 61 3 0 28 38-213 5.6 24-32 356 1 25 36-169 4.7 20-29 339 3 Syracuse 27-24 -120 -8 0 13 37-207 5.6 12-19 136 3 21 40-149 3.7 31-55 314 3at Bye at Clemson 14-31 -149 -12 0 12 24-21 0.9 13-32 208 5 24 52-227 4.4 20-30 151 2at Auburn 14-42 -219 -9 -1 16 41-116 2.8 16-36 217 2 25 48-317 6.6 18-24 235 0 Delaware St 77-6 290 17 2 23 32-246 7.7 18-24 236 0 6 24-15 0.6 13-33 177 6 Arkansas St 50-67 -191 -4 -3 27 39-136 3.5 21-37 454 2 31 44-261 5.9 26-38 520 2 at Florida 38-22 -64 -5 3 12 34-88 2.6 10-21 128 2 17 34-96 2.8 18-39 184 5at Florida St ULM

Average 36-41 -52.0 -3.0 -0.6 22 40-182 4.6 61.1% 301 5.9% 25 41-226 5.5 61.7% 308 5.3% Average 25-23 -11.4 -1.3 -0.5 17 34-137 4.0 57.3% 192 10.9% 18 38-145 3.8 54.6% 195 7.4% Conference 42-43 -33.0 -3.1 -0.4 23 39-190 4.9 66.1% 324 5.4% 26 40-196 4.9 63.5% 351 6.1% Conference 20-25 -41.5 -3.5 -0.9 17 35-141 4.0 56.3% 193 12.6% 20 40-164 4.1 57.6% 212 5.1% Away 32-37 -1.3 -1.2 -0.8 23 41-179 4.4 62.3% 311 3.4% 24 41-240 5.8 59.4% 252 4.7% Home 35-22 42.0 1.2 -0.4 19 35-183 5.2 61.6% 220 9.4% 18 35-130 3.7 53.2% 231 8.1%

at Memphis Garrett Smith 10-17-171-1-1 Garrett Smith 12-48-4.0-0 Markis McCray 3-69-23.0-0 † Alabama Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0at Bye Bye Southern Miss Garrett Smith 4-9-60-0-0 Derrick Gore 18-96-5.3-0 Josh Pederson 3-42-14.0-0 vs. Byeat Louisiana Caleb Evans 28-34-343-1-0 Caleb Evans 16-129-8.1-5 Marcus Green 8-117-14.6-0 NC State James Blackman 22-38-278-1-0 Cam Akers 12-56-4.7-0 Auden Tate 9-138-15.3-1 Coastal Carolina Caleb Evans 12-20-101-1-0 Ben Luckett 7-127-18.1-2 Marcus Green 2-23-11.5-0 at Wake Forest James Blackman 11-21-121-1-0 Jacques Patrick 19-120-6.3-1 Auden Tate 2-47-23.5-1at Texas St Caleb Evans 24-37-433-3-0 Ben Luckett 17-62-3.6-1 Marcus Green 4-100-25.0-1 vs. Miami, Fl James Blackman 17-28-203-2-2 Cam Akers 20-121-6.1-0 Auden Tate 3-56-18.7-1 Georgia St Garrett Smith 14-23-225-3-0 Derrick Gore 10-32-3.2-0 Marcus Green 2-98-49.0-1 at Duke James Blackman 18-21-197-1-2 Cam Akers 15-115-7.7-1 Nyqwan Murray 5-81-16.2-0at South Alabama Caleb Evans 14-23-179-0-1 Ben Luckett 11-91-8.3-2 RJ Turner 4-79-19.8-0 Louisville James Blackman 16-28-248-2-2 Cam Akers 16-75-4.7-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-95-23.8-1at Idaho Caleb Evans 24-37-415-3-1 Caleb Evans 16-47-2.9-0 Brian Williams 8-145-18.1-1 vs. at Boston College James Blackman 11-26-102-0-1 Cam Akers 18-42-2.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 3-102-34.0-0 Appalachian St Caleb Evans 24-32-356-3-1 Derrick Gore 18-103-5.7-1 RJ Turner 6-134-22.3-2 Syracuse James Blackman 12-19-136-1-0 Cam Akers 22-199-9.0-2 Nyqwan Murray 3-60-20.0-1at Bye at Clemson James Blackman 13-32-208-1-1 Cam Akers 12-40-3.3-0 Nyqwan Murray 4-73-18.3-0at Auburn Garrett Smith 7-11-131-1-2 Derrick Gore 14-46-3.3-0 Brian Williams 3-85-28.3-1 vs. Delaware St James Blackman 11-15-179-3-0 Ryan Green 7-96-13.7-2 Keith Gavin 4-78-19.5-0 Arkansas St Caleb Evans 21-37-454-4-3 Caleb Evans 17-61-3.6-2 Marcus Green 8-193-24.1-1 at Florida James Blackman 10-21-128-2-1 Jacques Patrick 15-67-4.5-0 Ermon Lane 1-39-39.0-0at Florida St ULM

vs.

Caleb Evans 183-297-2616-16-6 Derrick Gore 154-569-3.7-6 Marcus Green 46-706-15.3-5 James Blackman 141-249-1800-14-9 Cam Akers 162-814-5.0-5 Nyqwan Murray 38-587-15.4-4Garrett Smith 35-60-587-5-3 Caleb Evans 128-548-4.3-13 RJ Turner 34-663-19.5-5 vs. Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Jacques Patrick 99-532-5.4-4 Auden Tate 33-441-13.4-7

Ben Luckett 49-331-6.8-5 Brian Williams 42-599-14.3-4 J.J Cosentino 6-7-51-1-0 Amir Rasul 25-124-5.0-0 Keith Gavin 26-269-10.3-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Las Vegas LineFlorida St By 27

Net

Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Score

† Alabama Bye Bye NC Stateat Wake Forest Miami, Flat Duke Louisville

at Idaho Appalachian Stat Byeat Auburn Arkansas Stat Florida St

Southern Missat Louisiana Coastal Carolinaat Texas St Georgia Stat South Alabama

at Memphis

Ypg Diff

1.30

Experience Rankings

50 pointsFlorida StULM

ULM Florida St

22 points

Ret

urn

to

Tab

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f C

onte

nts

2.88ULM DB's

Florida St QB/WR

ULM


ULM Florida St

324 yards ULM


Florida St 50-22

Florida St by 22

Florida St 571-324

0.91

ULM K

Florida St

ULM Coaches

Florida St 571 yards

44

ULM Florida St95

Net Offense Defense

ReceivingULM

Passing Rushing

ULM QB/WR


Position by Position Edges

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

ULM

War

haw

ks

Flor

ida

St

Sem

inol

es

Florida St

2.15ULM RB's

Florida St LB's

Florida St DL

ULM OL

ULM LB'S

Florida St RB's

Florida St K

320 yards

Score DefSks By

at Bye

5-6vs. ACC

FOE +/-AP

FOE--PS RANK-- FOE 3-54-4TM +/-

TEAM

ULM Warhawks Florida St SeminolesSeminoles LogsWarhawks Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. SUN4-7

at Boston College Syracuse

Rush Def

Score Off

ULM Florida St

at Clemson

ULM Leaders


FOE CONF

Score


Rush OffPass Off

Total Off

1.29

By 13.74 Points

3

2.72

107 yards

Total Def

1.71Florida St OL

0.95

Florida St ST's

ULM DL

ULM ST's

Florida St DB's

Pass Def

NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Sks Allowed

Total TO's

Delaware St

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONFFOE REC

at Florida ULM

Florida St By 24.8

Passing

Florida St wanted to keep its 35 year bowl streak alive so after originally cancelling they rescheduled it. On paper this is a mismatch as Florida St has taken on the third toughest schedule in the country yet their defense is holding foes to 89 ypg below their season average. ULM vs the #93 toughest schedule is allowing foes 139 ypg above their season average which is #130 out of #130 on defense. Last week they allowed Ark St 781 yards and are giving up 547 ypg on the year. If I am ULM coach Matt Viator, I would have rounded up my players Monday and given this speech. “Men, I know we have 7 losses and won't be going to a bowl game. What if I would have told you at the start of the season that you were definitely going to a bowl game and playing #3 Florida St! You would have gone out of your mind. Well, here we are, the season's over and we are traveling to Florida to play Florida St! Two weeks ago, you were tied 7-7 with #3 Auburn on the road with 2:00 left in the first half. Five years ago, ULM knocked off #8 Arkansas. Why can't we beat a 5-6 Florida St. You stood toe to toe with a ranked Memphis this year only losing by 8 and they are #16 in the playoff rankings. Let's treat this as a bowl and give ULM one of their biggest wins ever!” Florida St players may be wondering if Jimbo Fisher will be there in a couple of weeks and now have a second final home game this time vs a Sun Belt team. They did put up 77 on Delaware St, but that is a 2-9 FCS team. Last week they scored 38 points, but only had 216 total yards offense. Florida St has been outgained in each of its last 5 vs FBS teams by an average of 99 ypg. ULM is averaging 483 ypg and 36 points and getting almost 4 full TD’s. I like the dog here.

Florida St By 30.0

FOETM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Florida St Leaders


Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total64.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Best Bet: ★ ULM 23 (+) Florida St 45

251 yards

Projected Passing

217 yards

2.40

1.29 15.03


Florida St Coaches

ULM Pts

Florida St Pts


Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Florida St

23

phil steele's inside the pressbox -...

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