h h h h - phil steeleplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · phil steele’s inside the...
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Phil Steele’sInside the Pressbox WK 08
UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK*this is a Best Bet
No Selection This WeekHIGH SCORING POW
No Selection This Week
Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF
THE WEEK
413 FRESNO STATE 10:30 p.m. CBSC414 SAN DIEGO STATE
H
HH H
H
H
H
337 UAB 6:30 p.m.338 CHARLOTTE 339 TEMPLE 12:00 p.m. CBSC340 ARMY 341 BYU 7:00 p.m.342 EAST CAROLINA 343 PURDUE 12:00 p.m.344 RUTGERS 345 PITTSBURGH 12:20 p.m.346 DUKE 347 SYRACUSE 3:30 p.m.348 MIAMI, FL 349 H CENTRAL MICHIGAN 3:00 p.m.350 BALL STATE 351 WAKE FOREST 7:30 p.m.352 GEORGIA TECH 353 COASTAL CAROLINA 3:30 p.m.354 APPALACHIAN STATE 355 MICHIGAN 7:30 p.m.356 PENN STATE 357 MARYLAND 12:00 p.m.358 WISCONSIN 359 NORTH CAROLINA 3:30 p.m. 360 VIRGINIA TECH 361 BOSTON COLLEGE 12:30 p.m.362 VIRGINIA 363 WYOMING 10:15 p.m. 364 BOISE STATE 365 KANSAS 8:00 p.m.366 TCU 367 RICE 7:00 p.m.368 UTSA 369 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 3:30 p.m.370 MASSACHUSETTS 371 UCF 3:30 p.m. CBSC 372 NAVY373 IDAHO 12:00 p.m. 374 MISSOURI
THURSDAY OCTOBER 19thRotation # all times aRe et. tV stations & times subject to change
303 MEMPHIS 8:00 p.m.304 HOUSTON305 LOUISIANA 7:30 p.m. espnU306 ARKANSAS STATE
FRIDAY OCTOBER 20th307 WKU 6:00 p.m. 308 ODU309 H MARSHALL 7:00 p.m. espn2310 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 311 AIR FORCE 9:30 p.m. CBSC312 NEVADA313 COLORADO STATE 10:15 p.m. espn2314 NEW MEXICO
SATURDAY OCTOBER 21st315 IOWA 12:00 p.m. 316 H NORTHWESTERN 317 TULSA 12:00 p.m.318 CONNECTICUT 319 TROY 2:00 p.m.320 GEORGIA STATE 321 SMU 4:00 p.m.322 CINCINNATI 323 NORTH TEXAS 5:00 p.m.324 FAU 325 BUFFALO 2:30 p.m.326 MIAMI, OH 327 AKRON 12:00 p.m.328 TOLEDO 329 KENT STATE 2:00 p.m. 330 OHIO 331 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 2:00 p.m. 332 BOWLING GREEN333 WESTERN MICHIGAN 2:00 p.m.334 EASTERN MICHIGAN335 INDIANA 3:30 p.m.336 MICHIGAN STATE
375 KENTUCKY 4:00 p.m.376 MISSISSIPPI ST 377 USF 7:00 p.m.378 TULANE 379 UTAH STATE 6:00 p.m. 380 UNLV 381 SOUTHERN MISS 7:00 p.m. 382 LOUISIANA TECH 383 OREGON 4:00 p.m.384 UCLA 385 ARIZONA 8:00 p.m. 386 CALIFORNIA 387 ILLINOIS 3:30 p.m. 388 H MINNESOTA 389 TENNESSEE 3:30 p.m. 390 ALABAMA 391 OKLAHOMA STATE 12:00 p.m.392 TEXAS 393 WEST VIRGINIA 8:00 p.m.394 BAYLOR 395 AUBURN 7:30 p.m.396 ARKANSAS 397 LOUISVILLE 12:00 p.m.398 H FLORIDA STATE 399 ULM 5:00 p.m. 400 SOUTH ALABAMA 401 USC 7:30 p.m. NBC402 H NOTRE DAME 403 OKLAHOMA 4:00 p.m.404 KANSAS STATE 405 LSU 7:15 p.m.406 MISSISSIPPI 407 IOWA STATE 12:00 p.m.408 TEXAS TECH 409 H ARIZONA STATE 3:30 p.m.410 UTAH 411 COLORADO 10:45 p.m.412 WASHINGTON STATE
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 96 8/31 37-29 W 30 74 17 120 119 106 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 39 52 711-0 0-0 120 9/9 30 69 17 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 115 9/9 19-16 W 43 54 71 22 102 971-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 25 9/16 48-45 W 33 73 7 20 27 81 1-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 119 99 9/16 38-3 W 48 58 30 110 106 952-0 0-0 120 9/23 44-31 W 33 73 10 #55 #69 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 123 9/23 24-27 L 50 49 72 29 70 533-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 13-40 L 39 71 7 38 52 71 #16 #42 2-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 124 107 9/30 20-13 W 54 51 60 120 81 523-1 1-3 0-1 0-2 114 93 10/6 70-31 W 49 82 6 96 98 118 #14 #51 3-1 4-1 1-0 1-0 123 115 10/7 35-22 W 51 45 63 23 97 1224-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 118 116 25 10/14 30-27 W 37 81 9 23 97 86 #12 #86 4-1 1-5 2-0 0-2 123 107 10/14 17-45 L 47 49 68 45 129 675-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 37 83 8 62 51 73 #21 #15 4-2 5-1 2-1 2-1 118 118 25 10/19 62 51 73 37 83 8
3-3 1-1 109 10/27 88 110 92 #107 #89 6-0 3-0 126 10/28 32 17 422-5 1-2 112 11/3 50 129 63 #113 #71 1-6 1-3 91 11/4 107 130 123
11/11 #117 #84 11/114-2 1-1 115 11/18 29 96 103 #109 #39 3-3 1-1 109 11/18 88 110 921-6 1-3 91 11/25 107 130 123 #111 #86 5-1 3-1 116 11/24 25 100 80
#70 #63+7 -1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
ULM 37-29 -9 -9 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 at Bye Bye at Arizona 19-16 12 -3 0 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 UCLA 48-45 -73 -5 0 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 Rice 38-3 242 8 3 22 37-130 3.5 34-38 354 2 14 35-129 3.7 11-25 113 3 Southern Illinois 44-31 71 1 1 24 36-176 4.9 22-36 288 0 23 37-103 2.8 30-49 290 0 Texas Tech 24-27 -94 8 -4 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2at UCF 13-40 -207 -2 -3 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 at Temple 20-13 64 1 2 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1at Connecticut 70-31 234 10 3 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4 SMU 35-22 -81 -3 0 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 Navy 30-27 63 5 4 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 at Tulsa 17-45 -12 5 -2 25 47-146 3.1 25-41 258 3 20 53-288 5.4 9-18 128 1at Houston Memphis Tulane at USFat Tulsa East Carolina Bye Bye SMU at Tulane East Carolina Navy
Average 40-34 13.2 0.0 1.2 25 35-180 5.1 59.4% 311 3.3% 25 45-208 4.6 58.3% 269 3.7% Average 26-21 21.8 2.7 -0.2 23 37-162 4.4 70.9% 263 3.1% 21 37-176 4.7 58.4% 227 4.4% Conference 38-33 30.0 4.3 1.3 28 33-141 4.3 62.5% 360 3.5% 23 50-277 5.5 55.4% 194 6.8% Conference 24-27 -9.7 1.0 0.0 25 39-191 4.9 66.7% 227 2.9% 24 39-192 5.0 58.8% 236 3.4% Away 42-36 13.5 4.0 0.0 30 35-153 4.4 63.5% 401 2.9% 26 42-259 6.2 60.6% 282 6.1% Home 32-17 22.3 4.3 -0.3 25 36-168 4.7 72.9% 290 3.4% 20 31-159 5.1 62.8% 277 5.4%
ULM Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0 at Bye Bye at Arizona Kyle Allen 25-32-225-1-2 Dillon Birden 14-83-5.9-1 Steven Dunbar 6-72-12.0-0 UCLA Riley Ferguson 23-38-398-6-1 Darrell Henderson 14-105-7.5-0 Anthony Miller 9-185-20.6-2 vs. Rice Kyle Allen 31-33-309-2-0 Mulbah Car 11-59-5.4-1 Linell Bonner 10-132-13.2-0 Southern Illinois Riley Ferguson 22-36-288-2-0 Patrick Taylor 16-77-4.8-1 John Williams 2-74-37.0-0 Texas Tech Kyle Allen 24-39-217-1-2 Kyle Postma 4-52-13.0-1 Steven Dunbar 6-83-13.8-0at UCF Riley Ferguson 27-49-321-1-3 Darrell Henderson 6-48-8.0-0 Tony Pollard 3-75-25.0-0 at Temple Kyle Postma 25-36-226-1-1 Kyle Postma 15-81-5.4-0 Steven Dunbar 6-78-13.0-0at Connecticut Riley Ferguson 34-48-431-7-0 Doroland Dorceus 22-122-5.5-2 Anthony Miller 15-224-14.9-4 vs. SMU Kyle Postma 19-27-176-2-2 Duke Catalon 22-177-8.0-2 Steven Dunbar 6-65-10.8-0 Navy Riley Ferguson 24-40-279-3-0 Darrell Henderson 12-94-7.8-0 Anthony Miller 10-90-9.0-2 at Tulsa Kyle Postma 25-41-258-0-2 Dillon Birden 11-82-7.5-1 Steven Dunbar 10-107-10.7-0at Houston Memphis Tulane vs. at USFat Tulsa East Carolina Bye Bye SMU vs. at Tulane East Carolina Navy
vs.
Riley Ferguson 140-236-1814-19-5 Darrell Henderson 67-542-8.1-3 Anthony Miller 45-606-13.5-9 Kyle Postma 80-122-805-4-5 Duke Catalon 90-431-4.8-4 Steven Dunbar 40-462-11.6-0Riley Patterson 5-8-49-1-1 Patrick Taylor 57-307-5.4-3 Joey Magnifico 15-203-13.5-3 vs. Kyle Allen 80-104-751-4-4 Dillon Birden 39-227-5.8-3 Linell Bonner 37-344-9.3-3
Doroland Dorceus 26-134-5.2-2 Tony Pollard 11-200-18.2-2 D'Eriq King 1-1-22-1-0 Kyle Postma 37-151-4.1-1 D'Eriq King 22-213-9.7-2Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Memphis - 61.5 48 28 34-146
Houston 18 -6.5 44 33 32-137 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Memphis 25 70.5 34 26 54-212
Houston 16 -5.5 35 20 31-96 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Memphis - -7.5 24 20 41-125
Houston - 48 28 15 40-166 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Memphis - 52 15 20 40-127
Houston - -7.5 25 15 29-38 3
21-41-222
14-32-209
Comp-Att-Yds
Position by Position Edges
Houston QB/WR
0.98
Memphis RB's
17-28-188
Navy
at USF East Carolina Byeat Tulane
at Temple SMUat Tulsa Memphis
at Byeat Arizona Rice Texas Tech
East Carolina
Tulane at Tulsa Bye SMU
at UCFat Connecticut Navyat Houston
ULM Bye UCLA Southern Illinois
Houston By 8.6
Houston 481-390
Game Grade
Computer Yards
Houston 28-2541
Las Vegas Total
Houston By 3
60.5 Points
Houston By 4.0
Houston 28 Memphis 24Houston by 4
Offense Defense
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
RushingPassing
Net
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving
Memphis Leaders
1.29
Memphis LB'S
By 1.10 Points
Houston RB's
Memphis
0.89
TEAMFOE +/-
AP
FOE
FOE
Memphis Tigers Houston CougarsCougars LogsTigers Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL:
FOE REC
--PS RANK--TM +/-
4-2vs. AAC
20-32-278
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Comp-Att-Yds
30-45-409
47-69-487
Comp-Att-Yds
Total Def
26-37-243
266 yardsComp-Att-Yds
26-44-296
NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS
Memphis
Rush Off
Houston
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Mem
ph
is T
iger
s
Hou
ston
Cou
gar
s
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score DefSks By
2-12-1
5-1vs. AAC
Rush Def
Score OffTotal Off
Sks Allowed
Pass Off
Pass Def
Score
Projected Yardage Total
Projected Passing124 yards
Team & Margin
303 yards
By Game Yardage Leaders
Memphis DB's
Houston
--PS RANK--TM REC FOE
FOETM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
TM CONF FOE CONF
0.61
Memphis OL
0.44
OffenseNet
Passing Rushing
Defense
Receiving
Memphis Pts
Houston Pts
+/- Ratings
Las Vegas Line
Phil's Forecast:
Memphis
Houston Leaders
Houston had a 3 game win streak in the series snapped last year with rumors of coach Herman leaving for Texas swirling around. The Cougars (trailed by 17 at HT) took their first lead of the gm w/7:02 left, 37-34 and led 44-41 w/just 1:29. UM drove 72/5pl getting a GW 10 yd TD pass w/:19 on 3&5. Memphis has the edge on offense led by QB Riley Ferguson (19-5 ratio) and RB’s Darrell Henderson (542, 8.1) and Patrick Taylor (307, 5.4). Houston went to Kyle Postma at QB and he is hitting 66%, but with a 4-5 ratio. Memphis also has the ST edge (#13 vs #70). Houston has a good-sized edge on defense (#41 vs #94) and is holding foes to 48 ypg below their season average. Houston has played the tougher schedule (#65 vs #92). Houston is playing to an average game grade of 86.8 and Memphis to 82.2 and I will side with the home team here. I expect this to go to the wire for the 4th straight year.
0.35
0.19
Memphis 178 yards
Memphis Houston
Phil Steele
Houston LB's
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Memphis Coaches
Houston Coaches
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
69
3.59
Memphis K
Houston K
Memphis
Houston
2.50
Experience Rankings
0.83
0.51
Houston DLMemphis DL
Memphis ST's
Houston ST's
Houston OL
Memphis QB/WR
Houston DB's
Team Schedule StrengthMemphis Houston
Houston
93
5
25 points
390 yardsProjected Final Score
Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
Houston
Memphis Houston 481 yards
Memphis 28 points
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 103 9/2 51-48 W 112 81 80 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 115 9/2 36-43 L 101 49 63 55 33 421-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 101 115 9/9 42-66 L 104 99 80 55 100 53 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 84 55 631-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 116 9/16 21-45 L 78 111 44 35 17 11 0-1 0-0 112 9/16 48-3 W 75 64 961-2 0-2 0-0 0-0 99 99 9/23 50-56 L 93 118 74 111 112 109 #60 #108 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 111 113 9/23 21-44 L 65 69 66 40 104 1241-3 0-1 97 9/30 89 124 81 #61 #10 1-2 0-0 108 9/30 61 73 681-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 97 103 10/7 21-16 W 80 124 98 100 117 103 #58 #35 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 108 92 10/4 43-25 W 58 75 57 128 120 782-3 1-5 1-1 0-2 100 83 10/12 24-7 W 91 122 90 128 120 125 #34 #14 2-2 1-0 109 92 10/14 51-17 W 65 79 46 125 123 1123-3 3-2 2-1 2-0 100 111 10/19 94 117 82 51 89 13 #107 #37 3-2 3-3 2-0 2-1 111 100 10/19 51 89 13 94 117 82
10/28 #119 #111 3-4 1-2 104 10/28 39 98 1302-4 1-1 103 11/4 125 74 48 #88 #69 11/43-3 1-2 116 11/11 23 66 75 #115 #109 2-4 1-1 103 11/11 125 74 483-4 1-2 104 11/18 39 98 130 #120 #72 1-6 0-3 83 11/18 128 121 1250-5 0-2 91 11/25 126 107 71 #77 #53 3-3 3-1 97 11/25 80 119 514-2 3-0 110 12/2 75 59 85 #103 #77 4-2 1-1 104 12/2 82 53 115
0 +1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
SE Louisiana 51-48 -151 -9 2 15 36-201 5.6 12-23 162 1 24 54-343 6.4 15-25 171 1 at Nebraska 36-43 34 7 -2 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1at Tulsa 42-66 -71 -6 -1 27 41-287 7.0 21-34 309 1 33 72-424 5.9 14-20 243 0 Byeat Texas A&M 21-45 -171 -10 -3 17 29-93 3.2 28-44 216 2 27 40-179 4.5 21-34 301 1 Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 213 14 5 26 37-137 3.7 26-34 356 3 12 39-56 1.4 15-26 224 4 ULM 50-56 -67 5 0 32 47-231 4.9 24-43 295 5 27 45-250 5.6 28-34 343 0 at SMU 21-44 -153 -11 -2 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 31 54-314 5.8 16-32 266 1 Bye Byeat Idaho 21-16 18 9 -1 22 39-84 2.2 19-28 213 7 13 39-130 3.3 13-28 149 3 at GA Southern 43-25 -112 -5 -1 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 Texas St 24-7 42 0 3 19 38-135 3.6 17-27 232 2 19 44-106 2.4 14-25 219 6 Coastal Carolina 51-17 47 3 1 27 37-189 5.1 24-37 286 1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3at Arkansas St Louisiana Bye at New Mexico Stat South Alabama Byeat Mississippi at South Alabama New Mexico St Texas St GA Southern at ULMat Appalachian St Troy
Average 35-40 -66.7 -1.8 0.0 22 38-172 4.5 60.8% 238 9.0% 24 49-239 4.9 63.3% 238 6.6% Average 40-26 5.8 1.6 0.2 25 32-123 3.9 63.0% 331 4.8% 23 46-225 4.8 53.3% 224 9.5% Conference 32-26 -2.3 4.7 0.7 24 41-150 3.6 61.2% 247 14.3% 20 43-162 3.8 63.2% 237 10.3% Conference 47-21 -32.5 -1.0 0.0 23 36-127 3.5 57.1% 301 4.8% 24 51-265 5.2 48.9% 196 14.9% Away 28-42 -74.7 -2.3 -1.7 22 36-155 4.3 64.2% 246 9.4% 24 50-244 4.9 58.5% 231 4.9% Home 38-10 130.0 8.5 3.0 27 37-163 4.4 70.4% 321 5.6% 18 39-127 3.3 50.9% 228 12.7%
SE Louisiana Jordan Davis 12-23-162-1-0 Trey Ragas 4-61-15.3-1 Keenan Barnes 3-70-23.3-0 at Nebraska Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1at Tulsa Jordan Davis 21-32-309-2-1 Trey Ragas 11-130-11.8-1 Ryheem Malone 8-119-14.9-0 Byeat Texas A&M Jordan Davis 27-43-197-2-3 Trey Ragas 14-93-6.6-1 Keenan Barnes 12-118-9.8-0 vs. Ark Pine Bluff Justice Hansen 24-31-336-5-0 Warren Wand 9-62-6.9-1 Justin McInnis 2-84-42.0-1 ULM Andre Nunez 22-37-287-2-0 Elijah Mitchell 13-107-8.2-2 Jarrod Jackson 7-113-16.1-1 at SMU Justice Hansen 16-26-234-2-0 Warren Wand 13-75-5.8-1 Blake Mack 5-102-20.4-1 Bye Byeat Idaho Andre Nunez 18-24-213-1-1 Trey Ragas 17-78-4.6-1 Ja'Marcus Bradley 5-93-18.6-1 vs. at GA Southern Justice Hansen 12-26-316-4-4 Warren Wand 11-61-5.5-2 Chris Murray 5-188-37.6-2 Texas St Andre Nunez 17-27-232-1-0 Trey Ragas 19-72-3.8-2 Keenan Barnes 5-99-19.8-1 Coastal Carolina Justice Hansen 24-37-286-5-0 Justice Hansen 9-68-7.6-0 Justin McInnis 4-63-15.8-0at Arkansas St Louisiana Bye vs. at New Mexico Stat South Alabama Byeat Mississippi at South Alabama New Mexico St vs. Texas St GA Southern at ULMat Appalachian St Troy
vs.
Andre Nunez 57-88-732-4-1 Trey Ragas 82-525-6.4-7 Keenan Barnes 31-434-14.0-2 Justice Hansen 122-188-1587-19-6 Warren Wand 48-276-5.8-4 Chris Murray 21-347-16.5-4Jordan Davis 63-107-676-5-4 Elijah Mitchell 42-257-6.1-4 Ryheem Malone 25-341-13.6-2 vs. Logan Bonner 9-20-70-1-1 Jamal Jones 28-127-4.5-0 Blake Mack 22-281-12.8-6Darius Hoggins 1-1-19-0-0 Jordan Davis 34-103-3.0-2 Ja'Marcus Bradley 17-246-14.5-2 Chris Murray 0-0-0-0-0 Johnston White 28-104-3.7-0 Kendrick Edwards 20-216-10.8-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisiana - 49 24 15 33-50
Arkansas St - -5 19 28 33-128 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisiana - 56 27 22 34-232
Arkansas St - -7.5 37 22 52-306 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisiana - 54.5 55 25 56-419
Arkansas St - -3 40 22 37-253 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisiana - -2.5 23 26 58-265
Arkansas St - 67.5 7 10 25-79 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Louisiana - -4 27 21 23-76
Arkansas St - 62 50 29 50-257 5
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
13-24-242
35-57-393
Comp-Att-Yds
17-44-253
9-20-129
9-17-102
27-39-342
Comp-Att-Yds
18-28-205
OVERALL:
3-3 3-2Louisiana Ragin Cajuns OVERALL:
Arkansas St 41-26
Arkansas St 41 Louisiana 27By 4.28 Points
Arkansas St
Last year Ark St had a 15 game SBC win streak snapped despite having a 521-292 yard edge and 28-15 FD edge. LTH Ark St led 37-14 late 3Q winning 37-27. LA has gone to Andre Nunez at QB and he is not the runner that Jordan Davis was but is a much stronger passer and is hitting 65% with a 4-1 ratio. Trey Ragas has 525 (6.4) rush yards. Justice Hansen is hitting 65% with a 19-6 ratio and and is averaging 33 ypg above what their opponents allow (LA is -19). Both defenses struggle with LA allowing opp’s 86 above their season average and ASt 117 above. They have each faced a weak schedule (#127 vs #128).
Arkansas St DL0.24
Louisiana OL
Louisiana DL
Arkansas St OL
0.40
Louisiana RB'sArkansas St DB's
0.73
Louisiana QB/WR
Arkansas St LB's
109
21-31-269
11-21-89
Comp-Att-Yds
28-41-374
Louisiana 97Arkansas St
26 points Arkansas StExperience Rankings
127 Louisiana Arkansas St 128Team Schedule Strength
Louisiana Pts5.65
Arkansas St PtsLouisiana 41 points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Projected Final Score1.37
Projected Passing203 yards
Arkansas St Coaches
Arkansas St By 15.3
Game GradeArkansas St By 14.1394 yards Louisiana
Projected Yardage Total
Arkansas St 166 yardsLouisiana K
Arkansas St KLouisiana Coaches
Arkansas St
Projected Rushing
502 yards
Phil's Forecast:
Computer Points
65 Points
+/- Ratings
Computer Yards
0.63
Louisiana Leaders
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
191 yards Louisiana
Phil SteeleArkansas St by 14
Team & Margin
Louisiana Arkansas St 336 yards
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreLouisiana ST's
0.97
Arkansas St ST's
Arkansas St QB/WR
1.00
Louisiana DB's
Arkansas St 502-394
Arkansas St Leaders
Arkansas StPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving
Las Vegas Total
Arkansas St RB's
Louisiana LB'S
2.70
ReceivingPassing Rushing
Defense
Score Score
NCAA RANKINGS
Ypg Diffat Appalachian St
Net Offense
TroyTotal TO's
FOETM
CONF TM CONF--PS RANK--FOE
CONF TM +/- FOE REC
2-1 2-0FOE TM REC
TEAM
Arkansas St Red WolvesRagin Cajuns Logs vs. SUN vs. SUN Red Wolves Logs
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-TM REC FOE
RECFOE +/-
AP
FOE
TEAM --PS RANK--AP FOE
SE Louisiana 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Nebraskaat Tulsa
Louisiana Arkansas St Bye
at Texas A&M Ark Pine Bluff ULM Rush Off at SMU Bye Pass Off Byeat Idaho Total Off at GA Southern Texas St Score Off Coastal Carolinaat Arkansas St Sks Allowed Louisiana Bye Rush Def at New Mexico Stat South Alabama Pass Def Byeat Mississippi Total Def at South Alabama New Mexico St Score Def Texas St GA Southern Sks By at ULM
Net Defense
Lou
isia
na
Rag
in C
aju
ns
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
By Game Yardage Leaders
Ark
ansa
s S
t R
ed W
olve
s0.35
Offense
Passing
Las Vegas LineArkansas St By 12.5
Louisiana
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 124 9/2 31-17 W 52 77 2 0-0 0-0 107 9/2 31-17 W 78 104 541-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/9 7-20 L 78 74 2 96 93 99 1-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 105 95 9/9 17-7 W 90 105 54 104 112 911-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/16 22-23 L 96 79 24 74 100 42 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-1 105 115 9/16 23-53 L 93 85 23 62 48 151-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 113 103 9/23 33-21 W 114 75 4 95 121 64 #128 #99 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 101 128 13 9/23 0-38 L 101 82 92 54 13 192-2 0-1 113 9/30 114 74 2 #20 #118 2-2 0-0 100 9/30 116 87 1102-2 0-5 0-1 0-1 113 88 10/7 15-14 W 116 72 2 130 128 76 #87 #126 2-2 2-3 0-0 1-0 100 106 10/7 28-58 L 124 87 100 63 108 583-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 109 90 10/14 45-14 W 120 76 20 117 121 81 #86 #123 2-3 4-1 0-1 1-0 96 109 10/14 3-35 L 126 99 89 86 44 324-2 2-4 2-1 0-2 110 93 10/20 108 81 19 127 104 113 #103 #37 2-4 4-2 0-2 2-1 93 110 10/20 127 104 113 108 81 19
3-3 2-0 110 10/28 56 95 38 #53 #114 4-2 3-0 107 10/28 54 80 273-4 0-4 111 11/4 96 54 120 #34 #51 0-7 0-3 89 11/4 113 122 985-1 2-0 112 11/11 77 34 40 #35 #104 4-2 2-1 101 11/11 99 113 613-4 1-2 102 11/17 104 77 55 #18 #110 1-5 1-1 91 11/18 118 106 1084-2 2-1 101 11/25 99 113 61 #123 #10 3-4 1-2 102 11/25 104 77 55
#54 #1250 -7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Eastern Kentucky 31-17 19 -2 -1 20 40-100 2.5 20-31 264 3 22 22-25 1.1 29-48 320 1 Albany 31-17 10 -3 -2 15 31-98 3.2 18-26 187 1 18 41-115 2.8 13-31 160 7at Illinois 7-20 -56 -5 -1 14 16-6 0.4 28-43 238 2 19 50-193 3.9 14-25 107 1 at UMass 17-7 34 -1 0 19 48-197 4.1 13-29 169 1 20 36-79 2.2 22-37 253 8 Louisiana Tech 22-23 -51 -179 1 23 41-151 3.7 25-35 226 4 202 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 North Carolina 23-53 -195 -10 -1 14 33-102 3.1 14-32 214 2 24 49-254 5.2 16-26 257 1 Ball St 33-21 -3 5 1 22 30-52 1.7 28-44 319 4 17 31-107 3.5 18-36 267 1 at Virginia Tech 0-38 -433 -25 0 7 24-64 2.7 8-26 85 1 32 57-271 4.8 21-32 311 1 Bye Byeat UTEP 15-14 -5 3 0 18 33-74 2.2 24-37 208 2 15 36-163 4.5 12-22 124 0 Florida Atlantic 28-58 -139 -9 -2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 Charlotte 45-14 318 25 0 34 34-121 3.6 43-58 506 2 9 34-248 7.3 9-19 61 2 at Marshall 3-35 -174 -5 -2 13 36-81 2.3 14-27 116 3 18 40-195 4.9 12-23 176 1at Old Dominion WKU Florida Atlantic at North Texasat Vanderbilt Charlotteat Marshall at FIU Middle Tennessee Riceat FIU at Middle Tennessee
Average 26-18 37.0 -25.5 0.0 22 32-84 2.6 67.7% 294 6.9% 47 34-143 4.2 55.0% 198 3.2% Average 17-35 -149.5 -8.8 -1.2 15 35-132 3.8 46.4% 156 5.6% 24 49-228 4.7 56.7% 209 11.7% Conference 27-17 87.3 -50.3 0.3 25 36-115 3.2 70.8% 313 6.2% 75 33-178 5.3 53.8% 164 3.8% Conference 16-47 -156.5 -7.0 -2.0 17 36-165 4.6 45.5% 140 7.6% 24 55-324 5.9 55.6% 137 6.7% Away 11-17 -30.5 -1.0 -0.5 16 25-40 1.6 65.0% 223 5.0% 17 43-178 4.1 55.3% 116 2.1% Home 27-43 -108.0 -7.3 -1.7 16 33-149 4.5 49.5% 188 5.2% 24 53-274 5.2 53.2% 171 12.7%
Eastern Kentucky Mike White 20-31-264-1-0 Marquez Trigg 16-61-3.8-1 Lucky Jackson 5-144-28.8-1 Albany Blake LaRussa 14-20-161-1-2 Ray Lawry 5-44-8.8-1 Jonathan Duhart 5-97-19.4-1at Illinois Mike White 28-43-238-0-1 D'Andre Ferby 7-14-2.0-0 Nacarius Fant 10-110-11.0-0 at UMass Blake LaRussa 10-22-129-1-0 Jeremy Cox 25-97-3.9-0 Travis Fulgham 4-81-20.3-0 Louisiana Tech Mike White 25-35-226-0-0 Quinton Baker 19-79-4.2-1 Xavier Lane 5-54-10.8-0 vs. North Carolina Steven Williams 9-20-139-2-0 Jeremy Cox 14-39-2.8-0 Travis Fulgham 6-102-17.0-1 Ball St Mike White 28-44-319-1-2 Jakairi Moses 12-56-4.7-1 Xavier Lane 6-86-14.3-0 at Virginia Tech Steven Williams 8-26-85-0-1 Steven Williams 6-24-4.0-0 Isaiah Harper 4-32-8.0-0 Bye Byeat UTEP Mike White 24-37-208-0-0 Jakairi Moses 19-50-2.6-0 Lucky Jackson 3-56-18.7-0 vs. Florida Atlantic Steven Williams 16-39-163-2-4 Jeremy Cox 22-202-9.2-2 Melvin Vaughn 3-54-18.0-2 Charlotte Mike White 33-47-398-5-0 Quinton Baker 14-74-5.3-0 Kylen Towner 6-111-18.5-1 at Marshall Steven Williams 14-27-116-0-1 Jeremy Cox 15-52-3.5-0 Melvin Vaughn 5-55-11.0-0at Old Dominion WKU Florida Atlantic vs. at North Texasat Vanderbilt Charlotteat Marshall at FIU Middle Tennessee vs. Riceat FIU at Middle Tennessee
vs.
Mike White 158-237-1653-7-3 Quinton Baker 39-166-4.3-1 Lucky Jackson 23-309-13.4-1 Steven Williams 47-112-503-4-6 Jeremy Cox 102-431-4.2-2 Travis Fulgham 15-242-16.1-1Drew Eckels 7-8-80-0-0 Marquez Trigg 45-147-3.3-2 Deon Yelder 24-272-11.3-2 vs. Blake LaRussa 28-48-358-2-3 Ray Lawry 19-84-4.4-1 Isaiah Harper 11-132-12.0-0Nacarius Fant 1-1-26-0-0 Jakairi Moses 38-144-3.8-2 Nacarius Fant 28-246-8.8-1 Jordan Hoy 8-19-73-0-0 Gemonta Jackson 12-67-5.6-1 Jonathan Duhart 7-121-17.3-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
WKU - -14 59 29 35-246
Old Dominion - 65 24 13 23-67 0
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
WKU - -25 55 22 31-239
Old Dominion - 65.5 30 20 37-147 -1
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
WKU - -14 66 32 45-230
Old Dominion - 77.5 51 29 34-172 -1
vs.
28-33-378
FOE +/-
AP
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
WKU Leaders
OffenseNet
WK
U H
illto
pp
ers
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Rushing Receiving
Old Dominion DB's
Ypg Diff
Net OffenseDefense
Total TO's
Middle Tennessee Score Def Riceat FIU Sks By at Middle Tennessee
at Vanderbilt Pass Def Charlotteat Marshall Total Def at FIU
at Old Dominion Sks Allowed WKU Florida Atlantic Rush Def at North Texas
at UTEP Total Off Florida Atlantic Charlotte Score Off at Marshall
WKU
Ball St Rush Off
Old Dominion
Pass Off Bye
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Albany
TM REC FOE REC
vs. CUSA vs. CUSA Monarchs LogsTM REC
FOE REC
WKU HilltoppersHilltoppers Logs
FOE +/-FOE CONF
FOE
TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-
FOE 2-1 0-2
Old
Dom
inio
n M
onar
chs
NCAA RANKINGS
Defense
TM CONF--PS RANK-- FOETEAM
North Carolinaat Virginia Tech
at UMass
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
Louisiana Tech
Bye
FOE
Eastern Kentuckyat Illinois
WKU QB/WR1.51
By Game Yardage Leaders
WKU
Score
0.19Old Dominion LB's
WKU RB's
Score
Receiving
Old DominionPassing RushingPosition by Position Edges
WKU OL
WKU DL
0.39
0.13
Old Dominion OL
0.56
Old Dominion DL
19-34-263
Comp-Att-Yds 121 yards WKU
Projected Rushing
Old Dominion RB's
1.06
WKU LB'S
3.65
0.50
22-29-284
19-34-195 WKU Old Dominion
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
WKU
Projected Passing261 yards
162 yards
Projected Yardage Total
Old Dominion
27 points
80 WKU Old Dominion
Experience RankingsOld Dominion
91
Old Dominion 340 yards
19 points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
178 yards
6.79
WKU Pts
3.19
Projected Final Score
Computer Points
Computer Yards
Wku By 9.5Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total49 Points
+/- RatingsWku By 13.5
Wku By 3.6
Wku 27-19
Phil Steele130 WKU Old Dominion 89
Team Schedule StrengthWKU
Wku 382-340
Game Grade
Old Dominion Pts
382 yards WKU Old Dominion Coaches
Comp-Att-Yds
23-26-371
27-40-471
WKU by 14WKU 31 Old Dominion 17By 3.60 Points
Old Dominion Monarchs4-2 2-4OVERALL:OVERALL:
Phil's Forecast:
Old Dominion Leaders
WKU ST's Team & Margin
Old Dominion ST's
WKU DB's
Old Dominion QB/WR
WKU is 3-0 in the series winning by 25 ppg with the two teams averaging 95 ppg. ODU trailed 49-7 late 1H in a 59-24 loss. Old Dominion is 8-3 hosting CUSA foes (4-0 LY, +127 ypg), but their banged-up squad lost to Florida Atlantic 58-28 in their first conference home game this year. RB Ray Lawry had missed 4 games, but returned last week (14-40). Jeremy Cox had 202 vs FAU and leads with 431 (4.2). They went to 17 year old QB Steven Williams and in his 3 starts they are averaging 10.3 ppg and he is hitting 42% with a 4-6 ratio. ODU’s offense is avg 118 ypg below what their opponents normally allow and the defense is giving up 72 ypg above what teams normally gain. They have lost their last 4 games by 32.5 ppg, which is 18 ppg more than Vegas thought they would! The buy sign may have finally gone on for WKU as last week they tried more downfileld throws and that ignited the offense to 627 yards and 45 points. They had been averaging 136 ypg below what opp’s had been allowing, but had 201 above last week. QB Mike White had a 37-7 ratio last year, but was just 2-3 until last weeks 5-0 ratio. They have the edge on defense (#78 vs #114) and ST’s (#39 vs #96). While ODU has a solid home crowd, they are 1-5 as a home dog.
Old Dominion K
WKU K
WKU Coaches
2.00
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 116 9/2 31-26 W 86 44 55 97 79 92 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 119 9/2 6-28 L 56 88 50 65 54 701-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 104 122 9/9 20-37 L 93 43 55 29 19 36 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 98 114 9/9 30-23 W 92 90 50 67 58 681-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/16 21-0 W 92 46 12 129 122 46 1-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 103 124 9/16 3-34 L 101 78 41 82 38 102-1 0-0 106 9/23 91 47 22 #89 #112 1-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 102 96 9/23 24-13 W 121 86 63 112 126 312-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 106 111 9/30 38-21 W 95 54 17 111 89 91 #65 #46 2-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 102 104 9/30 20-38 L 108 77 73 75 114 493-1 0-5 0-0 0-1 110 89 10/7 14-3 W 93 51 38 114 121 114 #93 #92 2-3 3-1 0-1 2-0 100 99 10/7 37-17 W 108 78 73 103 111 804-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 109 96 10/14 35-3 W 86 44 32 126 99 89 #80 #114 3-3 3-2 1-1 1-1 103 100 10/14 23-25 L 102 77 72 110 93 1275-1 3-4 2-0 1-2 112 102 10/20 77 34 40 104 77 55 #3 #63 3-4 5-1 1-2 2-0 102 112 10/20 104 77 55 77 34 40
4-2 2-1 101 10/28 99 113 61 #30 #57 10/283-3 2-0 110 11/3 56 95 38 #42 #52 0-7 0-3 91 11/4 129 124 1064-2 2-1 110 11/11 108 81 19 #24 #40 0-7 0-3 89 11/11 113 122 983-2 0-2 109 11/18 73 50 39 #9 #60 4-2 2-1 110 11/17 108 81 194-2 2-1 109 11/25 49 68 114 #31 #42 2-4 0-2 93 11/25 127 104 113
#50 #66+1 -9
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Miami, OH 31-26 -162 -10 0 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 Vanderbilt 6-28 -152 -1 -1 14 26-49 1.9 18-31 166 5 15 35-71 2.0 20-28 296 1at NC State 20-37 -34 -5 -2 18 25-101 4.0 26-43 350 1 23 33-144 4.4 29-36 341 2 at Syracuse 30-23 55 -5 -1 20 33-94 2.8 22-36 269 1 25 49-126 2.6 27-44 182 6 Kent St 21-0 122 9 0 23 33-158 4.8 23-43 223 0 14 44-142 3.2 7-17 117 7 at Minnesota 3-34 -113 -7 -2 11 15-46 3.1 25-42 184 1 18 47-221 4.7 11-18 122 1 Bye Bowling Green 24-13 249 13 -3 27 43-243 5.7 24-32 290 1 14 29-1 0.0 21-35 283 3at Cincinnati 38-21 17 1 2 22 44-133 3.0 21-34 233 0 21 26-138 5.3 22-45 211 0 at Florida Atlantic 20-38 15 -6 -3 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0at Charlotte 14-3 192 14 -1 23 42-212 5.0 19-28 192 0 9 26-80 3.1 10-26 132 2 FIU 37-17 120 4 2 25 34-176 5.2 25-31 250 0 21 36-85 2.4 22-34 221 4 Old Dominion 35-3 174 5 2 18 40-195 4.9 12-23 176 1 13 36-81 2.3 14-27 116 3 at UAB 23-25 -40 5 -1 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0at Middle Tennessee Marshall FIU Byeat Florida Atlantic UTEP WKU at Charlotteat UTSA at WKU Southern Miss Old Dominion
Average 27-15 51.5 2.3 0.2 20 35-143 4.1 60.2% 230 1.5% 18 35-119 3.5 53.8% 203 8.2% Average 20-25 19.1 0.4 -1.3 21 30-115 3.9 63.4% 258 4.5% 20 41-145 3.5 63.5% 209 6.8% Conference 25-3 183.0 9.5 0.5 21 41-204 5.0 60.8% 184 2.0% 11 31-81 2.6 45.3% 124 9.4% Conference 27-27 31.7 1.0 -0.7 25 30-125 4.2 63.8% 299 3.1% 24 43-199 4.6 63.8% 194 4.3% Away 24-20 58.3 3.3 -0.3 21 37-149 4.0 62.9% 258 1.0% 18 28-121 4.3 57.0% 228 3.7% Home 22-19 72.3 5.3 -0.7 22 34-156 4.5 71.3% 235 6.4% 17 33-52 1.6 64.9% 267 8.2%
Miami, OH Chase Litton 20-30-208-1-1 Trey Rodriguez 18-54-3.0-0 Willie Johnson 7-88-12.6-0 Vanderbilt Brent Stockstill 18-31-166-1-1 Maurice Gordon 7-26-3.7-0 Richie James 10-112-11.2-1at NC State Chase Litton 26-43-350-2-1 Keion Davis 8-74-9.3-0 Tyre Brady 11-248-22.5-1 at Syracuse Brent Stockstill 22-36-269-3-1 Ty Lee 18-50-2.8-1 Richie James 8-96-12.0-1 Kent St Chase Litton 23-43-223-1-1 Tyler King 14-101-7.2-1 Marcel Williams 8-79-9.9-1 vs. at Minnesota John Urzua 19-34-135-0-2 Richie James 2-25-12.5-0 Patrick Smith 6-46-7.7-0 Bye Bowling Green John Urzua 24-32-290-2-1 Jocquez Bruce 16-115-7.2-1 Brad Anderson 6-98-16.3-1at Cincinnati Chase Litton 21-34-233-4-0 Keion Davis 20-93-4.7-1 Ryan Yurachek 6-77-12.8-3 at Florida Atlantic John Urzua 31-51-359-2-3 Brad Anderson 13-44-3.4-0 Ty Lee 8-136-17.0-1at Charlotte Chase Litton 19-28-192-2-0 Keion Davis 23-122-5.3-0 Tyre Brady 6-88-14.7-2 vs. FIU John Urzua 25-31-250-1-0 Brad Anderson 11-112-10.2-0 Ty Lee 7-67-9.6-0 Old Dominion Chase Litton 12-23-176-3-0 Tyler King 13-77-5.9-1 Tyre Brady 5-76-15.2-2 at UAB John Urzua 23-42-268-1-2 Brad Anderson 15-81-5.4-0 Brad Anderson 9-137-15.2-1at Middle Tennessee Marshall FIU vs. Byeat Florida Atlantic UTEP WKU at Charlotteat UTSA vs. at WKU Southern Miss Old Dominion
vs.
Chase Litton 121-201-1382-13-3 Keion Davis 78-393-5.0-1 Tyre Brady 34-571-16.8-6 John Urzua 122-190-1302-6-8 Brad Anderson 61-367-6.0-0 Ty Lee 39-436-11.2-3Tyler King 56-277-4.9-2 Marcel Williams 23-236-10.3-1 vs. Brent Stockstill 40-67-435-4-2 Jocquez Bruce 27-129-4.8-1 Brad Anderson 28-303-10.8-3Anthony Anderson 21-91-4.3-0 Ryan Yurachek 25-229-9.2-4 Kyle Banks 6-8-49-0-0 Ty Lee 35-99-2.8-1 Richie James 26-253-9.7-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Marshall - 60 42 29 41-207
Middle Tennessee - -8.5 17 15 25-63 -42015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Marshall - 57 24 30 46-142
Middle Tennessee - -3 27 27 51-201 -22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Marshall - -24 49 28 52-252
Middle Tennessee - 70 24 20 37-169 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Marshall - -8 49 27 52-213
Middle Tennessee - 56.5 51 31 60-308 0
FOE +/-
75 yards
Receiving
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
Comp-Att-Yds
61 Marshall Middle Tenn
Marshall
By Game Yardage Leaders
22-40-277
Passing
Marshall Leaders
Comp-Att-Yds
21-37-246
25-37-220
Comp-Att-Yds
34-58-373
Offense Defense
Mar
shal
l Th
un
der
ing
Her
d
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Mid
dle
Ten
n B
lue
Rai
der
s
Net Offense
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
at UTSA Score Def at WKU Southern Miss Sks By Old Dominion
at Florida Atlantic Pass Def UTEP WKU Total Def at Charlotte
at Middle Tennessee Sks Allowed Marshall FIU Rush Def Bye
at Charlotte Total Off FIU Old Dominion Score Off at UAB
Bye Rush Off Bowling Greenat Cincinnati Pass Off at Florida Atlantic
at NC StateMarshall Middle Tenn
at Syracuse Kent St at Minnesota
Miami, OH 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Vanderbilt
Marshall Thundering HerdBlue Raiders Logs
3-4 Middle Tenn Blue RaidersOVERALL:
vs. CUSA vs. CUSAAP
Thundering Herd Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
FOE NCAA RANKINGS2-0 1-2 TM
RECFOE REC
TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE
Net
FOE
FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--
TM CONF
Score Score
ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing
Marshall RB's0.00
Middle Tenn LB's
Defense
Middle Tenn Leaders
Team & Margin
1.27
Marshall DL
Middle Tenn OL
1.28
3.11Las Vegas Line
Phil's Forecast:
Marshall By 2.5
49.5 PointsLas Vegas Total
Marshall By 6.3
Marshall By 1.3
+/- Ratings
Game Grade
Computer YardsMiddle Tenn 351-326
1.96108 yards MarshallProjected Passing
Projected Rushing Marshall K
Middle TennMiddle Tenn K
326 yards Marshall Middle Tenn 351 yards
217 yards Marshall0.45Projected Yardage Total
Middle Tenn
Middle Tenn 1.99
Marshall Coaches
Middle Tenn Coaches
276 yards
92 Marshall by 8
Computer Points
7.70
Marshall Pts
Middle Tenn Pts15 points
Experience Rankings
Projected Final Score22 points
Marshall
The home team is 4-0 in this series. LY MT (-8’) played without QB Brent Stockstill (inj) and MU trailed 17-14 at HT before scoring 28 unanswered in the 2H in a 42-17 win at home for the Herd. MT will be without Stockstill here again and last year he had a 31-7 ratio while John Urzua has a 6-8 ratio this year. Marshall has been a money maker on these pages and are 5-1 versus the Vegas number this year with their only loss being an 11 point win as a 14 point favorite. While both teams allow 3.5 ypc rush, Marshall gives up just 54% completions and MT 64%. MT lost star RB I'Tavious Mathers to graduation this year and he had over 2,000 yards, 6.8 ypc and 20 TD’s out of the backfield last year. Marshall QB Chase Litton has a 13-3 ratio and their lone loss this year was to a powerful NCState team on the road and they were only outgained by 34 yards. Marshall continues to roll along and grabs the road win. 69 Marshall 22-15
Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele
67 Marshall Middle Tenn
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Best Bet: ★ Marshall 22 Middle Tennessee 14By 5.71 Points
Middle Tenn
1.58
Marshall QB/WR
Middle Tenn DB's
Marshall
5-1
Middle Tenn QB/WR
Marshall ST's
Marshall LB'S
Marshall OL0.03
Middle Tenn DL
OVERALL:
Middle Tenn ST's
Middle Tenn RB's
Marshall DB's0.01
25-37-201
19-35-235
21-35-353
Comp-Att-Yds
17-33-337
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 105 9/2 62-0 W 76 123 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 9/2 20-31 L 90 108 109 24 26 1151-0 0-0 110 9/9 54 116 13 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 110 114 9/9 24-37 L 112 113 109 49 73 561-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 130 7 9/16 13-29 L 40 106 26 42 6 83 0-2 0-0 108 9/16 28-30 L 109 108 1221-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 112 120 22 9/23 24-28 L 57 107 62 83 51 9 #6 #100 0-3 3-0 0-0 1-0 103 123 18 9/23 7-45 L 102 103 75 28 57 811-2 2-2 0-1 0-1 112 107 9/30 38-56 L 72 111 32 85 94 35 #123 #41 0-4 1-2 0-0 0-0 100 105 9/30 21-41 L 118 101 79 93 113 621-3 4-0 0-2 3-0 107 118 10/7 45-48 L 89 123 19 34 90 101 #45 #77 0-5 2-3 0-1 0-2 98 96 10/7 35-21 W 117 105 97 49 125 1281-4 2-3 0-2 1-1 109 98 10/14 34-30 W 75 124 40 48 128 95 #28 #91 1-5 4-2 1-1 2-0 100 118 10/14 42-44 L 107 106 109 31 86 452-4 1-6 1-2 1-2 107 104 10/20 63 125 16 101 115 121 #51 #83 1-6 2-4 1-2 1-2 104 107 10/20 101 115 121 63 125 16
5-2 3-0 118 10/28 31 86 45 #126 #74 10/285-2 0-0 112 11/4 85 105 65 #1 #128 4-2 2-0 116 11/4 93 48 74-2 2-0 109 11/11 122 88 72 #66 #122 1-7 0-4 88 11/11 120 120 504-2 2-0 116 11/18 93 48 7 #101 #111 6-1 2-1 117 11/18 87 55 443-4 1-2 107 11/25 112 94 4 #129 #68 2-4 1-2 100 11/25 55 128 110
#49 #114-5 -4
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
VMI 62-0 552 26 1 32 67-457 6.8 10-14 190 2 6 28-55 2.0 10-19 40 1 at Northwestern 20-31 -167 -8 0 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1 Bye Toledo 24-37 -40 -6 -2 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0at Michigan 13-29 -127 -2 0 15 49-168 3.4 1-9 64 3 17 42-190 4.5 14-23 169 2 Idaho St 28-30 40 7 -3 25 56-218 3.9 19-33 205 4 18 35-114 3.3 19-38 269 2 San Diego St 24-28 -114 -5 0 14 60-220 3.7 2-6 33 0 19 41-187 4.6 10-16 180 1 at Washington St 7-45 -409 -18 -1 13 24-46 1.9 14-30 105 5 31 34-55 1.6 38-50 505 4at New Mexico 38-56 -113 10 -2 26 63-238 3.8 9-18 158 4 16 41-363 8.9 4-9 146 0 at Fresno St 21-41 -190 -6 0 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1at Navy 45-48 64 5 -2 27 55-340 6.2 10-17 281 2 22 57-471 8.3 4-12 86 0 Hawaii 35-21 89 6 1 26 38-268 7.1 26-34 298 0 20 35-248 7.1 18-27 229 4 UNLV 34-30 62 15 -2 30 78-401 5.1 4-8 72 0 15 39-266 6.8 12-27 145 1 at Colorado St 42-44 -44 0 1 23 31-56 1.8 25-42 508 1 23 34-224 6.6 26-37 384 0at Nevada Air Forceat Colorado St Bye Army West Point at Boise St Wyoming San Jose Stat Boise St at San Diego St Utah St UNLV
Average 36-32 54.0 8.2 -0.8 24 62-304 4.9 50.0% 133 15.3% 16 41-255 6.2 50.9% 128 4.7% Average 25-36 -103.0 -3.6 -0.6 21 32-129 4.1 57.3% 264 5.3% 24 41-169 4.1 69.2% 326 4.8% Conference 32-38 -55.0 6.7 -1.3 23 67-286 4.3 46.9% 88 12.5% 17 40-272 6.7 50.0% 157 3.8% Conference 33-35 -48.3 0.0 0.7 22 31-128 4.2 65.6% 353 3.2% 22 36-221 6.2 71.1% 308 5.2% Away 32-44 -58.7 4.3 -1.3 23 56-249 4.5 45.5% 168 20.5% 18 47-341 7.3 50.0% 134 4.5% Home 29-29 29.7 2.3 -1.3 24 39-198 5.0 61.5% 260 4.8% 22 43-185 4.3 60.9% 243 6.5%
VMI Arion Worthman 8-12-172-2-0 Tim McVey 10-98-9.8-1 Tim McVey 3-77-25.7-0 at Northwestern Ty Gangi 16-37-199-2-1 Jaxson Kincaide 15-86-5.7-0 McLane Mannix 2-76-38.0-1 Bye Toledo Ty Gangi 19-37-277-2-1 Jaxson Kincaide 12-63-5.3-0 McLane Mannix 6-139-23.2-1at Michigan Arion Worthman 1-7-64-1-0 Tim McVey 11-62-5.6-0 Ronald Cleveland 1-64-64.0-1 vs. Idaho St Kaymen Cureton 19-33-205-3-1 Kelton Moore 21-96-4.6-0 McLane Mannix 7-82-11.7-1 San Diego St Tyler Williams 1-1-31-0-0 Parker Wilson 20-99-5.0-0 Geraud Sanders 1-31-31.0-0 at Washington St David Cornwell 13-25-97-0-3 Blake Wright 5-37-7.4-0 Wyatt Demps 6-39-6.5-0at New Mexico Arion Worthman 9-17-158-3-0 Arion Worthman 30-90-3.0-1 Geraud Sanders 4-54-13.5-1 at Fresno St Ty Gangi 31-48-253-2-3 Kelton Moore 5-26-5.2-0 Wyatt Demps 10-96-9.6-1at Navy Arion Worthman 9-16-257-2-0 Arion Worthman 20-139-7.0-2 Marcus Bennett 5-161-32.2-2 vs. Hawaii Ty Gangi 25-32-278-4-1 Kelton Moore 19-216-11.4-0 Wyatt Demps 7-111-15.9-2 UNLV Arion Worthman 4-8-72-0-0 Arion Worthman 30-166-5.5-5 Ryan Reffitt 2-38-19.0-0 at Colorado St Ty Gangi 23-40-428-4-0 Kelton Moore 14-29-2.1-1 McLane Mannix 7-150-21.4-1at Nevada Air Forceat Colorado St vs. Bye Army West Point at Boise St Wyoming San Jose Stat Boise St vs. at San Diego St Utah St UNLV
vs.
Arion Worthman 32-65-725-8-1 Arion Worthman 143-550-3.8-10 Marcus Bennett 9-234-26.0-2 Ty Gangi 114-194-1435-14-6 Kelton Moore 77-442-5.7-1 McLane Mannix 36-569-15.8-5Tyler Williams 1-1-31-0-0 Tim McVey 63-380-6.0-5 Ronald Cleveland 7-201-28.7-2 vs. Kaymen Cureton 20-38-213-3-1 Jaxson Kincaide 50-268-5.4-0 Wyatt Demps 42-518-12.3-7Geraud Sanders 1-1-24-0-0 Ronald Cleveland 22-226-10.3-2 Geraud Sanders 7-147-21.0-3 David Cornwell 13-25-97-0-3 Blake Wright 25-91-3.6-2 Brendan O'Leary-Orange 12-169-14.1-1
Category
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - -2.5 45 28 65-342
Nevada - 53.5 38 27 45-223 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - 59.5 42 18 51-375
Nevada - -12 45 35 44-210 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Air Force - 66.5 48 36 82-461
Nevada - -3.5 31 21 40-169 1
vs.
Net Offense Defense
Air
For
ce F
alco
ns
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Nev
ada
Wol
f P
ack
Net Offense
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
at Boise St Score Def at San Diego St Utah St Sks By UNLV
Army West Point Pass Def at Boise St Wyoming Total Def San Jose St
at Nevada Sks Allowed Air Forceat Colorado St Rush Def Bye
at Navy Total Off Hawaii UNLV Score Off at Colorado St
San Diego St Rush Off at Washington Stat New Mexico Pass Off at Fresno St
2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Northwestern Bye
Air Force Nevada Toledo
at Michigan Idaho St
VMI
1-6
TM +/-1-2 FOE
OVERALL: OVERALL: Nevada Wolf Pack2-4
APTM REC
FOE REC
vs. MTW vs. MTW Wolf Pack Logs--PS RANK--
TM CONFNCAA RANKINGS
FOE CONFFOE +/-
APFOE CONF
TM CONF FOE FOE
FOE FOE +/-
TEAM --PS RANK--
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
TEAM1-2
Defense
Score Score
TM +/-
Passing Receiving
Air Force NevadaPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing
2.35
Air Force RB's
Nevada LB's
1.79
Air Force QB/WR
Nevada DB's
Air Force DL1.12
Nevada OL
0.58
Air Force OL
Nevada DL
0.08
Nevada RB's
Air Force LB'S
11-15-129
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
2.43
317 yards
467 yards
Nevada Leaders
1.71
Air Force ST's
Nevada ST's
Air Force DB's
Nevada QB/WR
Las Vegas Line
Phil's Forecast:
Game Grade
Team & Margin
Air Force By 6
67.5 PointsLas Vegas Total
Computer Yards11.39
Air Force Pts3.63
Experience Rankings
Projected Final Score38 points
171 yards
Air Force By 5.6
+/- RatingsNevada By 0.5
Nevada
Nevada
466 yards
Projected Rushing
Nevada K
Projected Yardage Total295 yardsAir Force
Projected Passing
Nevada Coaches
150 yards
Air Force K
2.95
Nevada
Air Force Coaches
Air Force Nevada 35 points
2.00Air Force
Air Force
Nevada99 57
Air Force by 373Team Schedule Strength
94 Air Force Nevada
Air Force
Air Force 38 Nevada 35By 7.76 Points
Air Force 38-35
Phil SteeleAir Force
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Nevada Pts
Air Force is playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and the home team is 3-0 in the series and they last met in ‘14. Nevada has been impressive in many of their games this year. They led Northwestern 20-17 on the road in the 4Q. They were only outgained by 40 yards by Toledo. Last week they led Colorado St by 4 in the 4th quarter with Ty Gangi throwing for 428 yards and 4 TD’s vs the powerful Rams. Two weeks ago, RB Kelton Moore rushed for 216 vs Hawaii. Nevada HC Norvell has yet to face the option and Air Force is +54 ypg this year and Nevada is -103 ypg. Nevada has faced the tougher schedule (#73 vs #94) and I agree with my computer and will call for them to keep this closer than expected.
Air Force 467-466
6-11-78
38-56-389
Comp-Att-Yds
6-7-139
15-27-211
FOE REC
Projected Box Score
Air Force Leaders
Comp-Att-Yds
Air Force FalconsFalcons Logs
TM REC
24-36-275
Comp-Att-Yds
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 120 8/26 58-27 W 42 95 47 59 64 104 0-0 0-0 106 9/2 38-14 W 63 127 141-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 118 9/1 3-17 L 52 96 47 32 71 94 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 103 9/9 28-30 L 62 121 14 56 104 1101-1 0-0 120 9/9 38-10 W 53 96 62 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 111 9/14 14-28 L 65 104 13 69 45 712-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 119 142 1 9/16 23-41 L 61 93 29 4 1 28 #34 #19 1-2 1-2 0-1 0-0 103 116 9/23 16-13 W 86 99 33 32 127 612-2 0-0 119 9/23 60 93 36 #12 #112 2-2 1-2 0-1 0-1 107 112 9/30 56-38 W 85 94 35 72 111 322-2 2-2 0-0 0-1 121 98 9/30 51-21 W 44 94 39 57 119 130 #9 #57 3-2 1-1 112 10/7 72 95 353-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 122 111 10/7 27-14 W 38 87 59 104 104 29 #33 #88 3-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 112 107 10/14 0-38 L 73 91 48 84 100 694-2 1-5 2-0 1-1 118 100 10/14 44-42 W 31 86 45 107 106 109 #2 #21 3-3 5-2 1-2 3-0 107 118 10/20 76 99 53 31 86 45
3-3 1-2 107 10/20 76 99 53 #34 #51 4-2 2-0 109 10/28 122 88 722-4 1-2 107 10/28 63 125 16 #124 #83 3-4 1-2 107 11/4 112 94 44-2 2-0 109 11/4 122 88 72 #94 #58 5-2 3-1 125 11/11 33 21 34-2 2-0 116 11/11 93 48 7 #57 #74 2-4 1-2 100 11/17 55 128 1101-7 0-4 88 11/18 120 120 50 #31 #77 6-1 2-1 117 11/24 87 55 44
#30 #560 -4
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Oregon St 58-27 69 8 3 31 43-191 4.4 26-39 334 0 23 29-152 5.2 27-47 304 1 Abilene Christian 38-14 199 1 1 21 40-259 6.5 12-18 222 3 20 21-8 0.4 35-55 274 2† Colorado 3-17 52 4 -1 23 33-88 2.7 24-47 309 2 19 38-143 3.8 21-29 202 5 New Mexico St 28-30 -70 -2 -2 21 37-176 4.8 20-38 254 1 23 26-99 3.8 34-57 401 1 Abilene Christian 38-10 262 11 0 30 38-273 7.2 25-40 342 0 19 26-77 3.0 26-45 276 1 at Boise St 14-28 13 6 -2 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1at Alabama 23-41 -96 -1 -2 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 at Tulsa 16-13 160 10 -2 25 59-338 5.7 9-14 108 1 15 31-155 5.0 13-27 131 2 Bye Air Force 56-38 113 -10 2 16 41-363 8.9 4-9 146 0 26 63-238 3.8 9-18 158 4at Hawaii 51-21 98 4 1 25 37-259 7.0 18-22 351 0 21 21-150 7.1 31-47 362 1 Byeat Utah St 27-14 297 15 0 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7 at Fresno St 0-38 -204 -3 -1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 Nevada 44-42 44 0 -1 23 34-224 6.6 26-37 384 0 23 31-56 1.8 25-42 508 1 Colorado Stat New Mexico at Wyoming Air Force Utah Stat Wyoming at Texas A&M Boise St UNLV San Jose St at San Diego St
Average 35-25 103.7 5.9 0.0 26 40-199 5.0 63.8% 323 0.8% 20 30-126 4.1 60.8% 293 6.0% Average 25-27 35.2 0.3 -0.7 19 44-241 5.4 54.4% 170 6.4% 19 35-142 4.1 59.8% 233 5.5% Conference 41-26 146.3 6.3 0.0 26 41-233 5.7 73.3% 343 0.0% 19 27-90 3.3 60.2% 340 7.3% Conference 23-35 -26.0 -2.3 -0.3 16 43-223 5.2 49.1% 146 5.5% 18 44-197 4.5 61.7% 198 10.0% Away 26-23 87.8 5.5 -0.5 25 41-177 4.4 61.6% 300 1.4% 19 32-149 4.7 63.4% 240 9.9% Home 41-27 80.7 -3.7 0.3 19 39-266 6.8 55.4% 207 6.2% 23 37-115 3.1 60.0% 278 5.4%
Oregon St Nick Stevens 26-39-334-3-1 Dalyn Dawkins 15-67-4.5-1 Michael Gallup 11-134-12.2-0 Abilene Christian Lamar Jordan 11-17-213-1-0 Romell Jordan 3-65-21.7-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 3-77-25.7-0† Colorado Nick Stevens 24-47-309-0-2 Dalyn Dawkins 14-43-3.1-0 Detrich Clark 5-72-14.4-0 New Mexico St Tekava Tuioti 10-19-151-2-0 Jay Griffin 1-61-61.0-1 Jay Griffin IV 5-95-19.0-1 Abilene Christian Nick Stevens 25-40-342-3-1 Izzy Matthews 12-94-7.8-0 Michael Gallup 10-108-10.8-1 vs. at Boise St Coltin Gerhart 7-13-67-1-1 Coltin Gerhart 8-49-6.1-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 2-24-12.0-0at Alabama Nick Stevens 21-38-247-2-2 Dalyn Dawkins 10-59-5.9-0 Michael Gallup 4-70-17.5-0 at Tulsa Coltin Gerhart 9-14-108-0-1 Coltin Gerhart 24-156-6.5-1 Chris Davis 4-60-15.0-0 Bye Nick Stevens 18-22-351-4-0 Dalyn Dawkins 17-130-7.6-1 Michael Gallup 8-212-26.5-1 Air Force Lamar Jordan 4-9-146-2-0 Richard McQuarley 11-179-16.3-5 Jay Griffin IV 2-75-37.5-1at Hawaii Nick Stevens 22-31-293-2-0 Dalyn Dawkins 21-121-5.8-0 Michael Gallup 7-88-12.6-0 vs. Byeat Utah St Nick Stevens 26-37-384-4-0 Dalyn Dawkins 17-191-11.2-1 Michael Gallup 13-263-20.2-3 at Fresno St Tekava Tuioti 13-24-200-0-1 Tyrone Owens 10-29-2.9-0 Delane Hart-Johnson 2-56-28.0-0 Nevada Colorado Stat New Mexico vs. at Wyoming Air Force Utah Stat Wyoming at Texas A&M Boise St vs. UNLV San Jose St at San Diego St
vs.
Nick Stevens 162-254-2260-18-6 Dalyn Dawkins 106-684-6.5-4 Michael Gallup 58-942-16.2-5 Lamar Jordan 28-53-487-3-2 Richard McQuarley 56-321-5.7-5 Delane Hart-Johnson 10-248-24.8-1Izzy Matthews 86-419-4.9-5 Detrich Clark 27-355-13.1-4 vs. Tekava Tuioti 24-44-360-2-1 Tyrone Owens 63-276-4.4-2 Jay Griffin IV 12-222.1-18.5-3Rashaad Boddie 22-107-4.9-0 Olabisi Johnson 22-308-14.0-0 Coltin Gerhart 16-27-175-1-2 Bryson Carroll 32-205-6.4-1 Chris Davis 18-222-12.3-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado St - -6 49 23 42-412
New Mexico - 62.5 31 19 48-285 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado St - -2 28 26 45-221
New Mexico - 58 21 20 50-268 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado St 22 -22 58 32 45-292
New Mexico - 67.5 20 15 40-301 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado St - -6.5 66 35 49-347
New Mexico - 65 42 23 46-278 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Colorado St - -3.5 24 26 36-159
New Mexico - 54 20 17 37-137 1
Net Offense Defense
Col
orad
o S
t R
ams
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
New
Mex
ico
Lob
os
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Boise St Score Def UNLV San Jose St Sks By at San Diego St
Air Force Pass Def Utah Stat Wyoming Total Def at Texas A&M
Nevada Sks Allowed Colorado Stat New Mexico Rush Def at Wyoming
at Hawaii Total Off Byeat Utah St Score Off at Fresno St
at Alabama Rush Off at Tulsa Bye Pass Off Air Force
Abilene Christian† Colorado
Colorado St New Mexico New Mexico St
Abilene Christian at Boise St
TM REC FOE REC
Oregon St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
New Mexico Lobos5-2 3-3Rams Logs vs. MTW vs. MTW Lobos Logs
Colorado St Rams OVERALL: OVERALL:
TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--3-0 1-2 TM REC
FOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF
ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOETM +/- FOE
+/-AP
NCAA RANKINGSTEAM
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing
2.48
Colorado St QB/WR
New Mexico DB's
Colorado St New Mexico
0.91
Colorado St OL
New Mexico DL
1.20
Colorado St RB's
New Mexico LB's
Colorado St LB'S
0.93
New Mexico RB's
Colorado St DL0.38
New Mexico OL
Team & Margin
Colorado St LeadersColorado St DB's
1.13New Mexico QB/WR
Colorado St By 5.8
Phil Steele
Colorado St 473-428
New Mexico Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score 0.08
Colorado St ST's
32 points Colorado St New Mexico 24 points
Las Vegas Total60.5 Points
+/- RatingsColorado St By 8.0
Game Grade
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas LineNew Mexico ST's Colorado St By 7.5
169 yards Colorado St New Mexico
304 yards
Experience Rankings New Mexico Pts
92
Colorado St Coaches
Projected Rushing0.31
Colorado St K
221 yardsNew Mexico KProjected Passing
Colorado St New Mexico 207 yardsProjected Yardage Total
428 yards
Computer Points
New Mexico Coaches
0.85
Computer Yards3.29
473 yards Colorado St New Mexico
84 Colorado St New Mexico 106
Colorado St 32-24
Team Schedule Strength Colorado StColorado St by 10 Colorado St 33 Ne Mexico 23By 1.70 Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
The Rams have won 7 straight over the Lobos by 17 ppg. LY NM trailed 49-17 into the 4Q. The Lobos gained 36% (133) of their yards in 4Q garbage time including a 79 yd TD run w/5:10 left (CSU ran out clock). Colo St has been dominant most of the year and their offense is averaging 101 ypg above what their opponents usually allow. They average 5.0 ypc and 64% completions. They had about 150 yards passing taken away vs Colorado on 3 very questionable offensive pass interference calls or would be even more potent. This is their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Colo St has taken on the tougher schedule (#84 vs #106) and I like the Rams to grab their 3rd solid MW road win this year.
Projected Final Score4.99
Colorado St Pts
Colorado St New Mexico2220-28-302
11-18-249
Comp-Att-Yds
12-21-205
19-26-254
Comp-Att-Yds
16-23-264
4-10-58
Comp-Att-Yds
26-36-406
3-11-55
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
9-10-164
AP
6-16-81
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 109 9/2 24-3 W 69 30 40 98 85 119 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 9/2 31-20 W 24 26 115 90 108 1091-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 9/9 44-41 W 68 23 40 48 78 29 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 17-41 L 26 28 115 51 51 1102-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 123 100 9/16 31-14 W 64 24 34 85 89 58 1-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 119 100 9/16 49-7 W 39 31 74 105 121 433-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 122 140 4 9/23 19-21 L 58 29 13 8 8 7 #92 #95 2-1 0-0 123 9/23 35 35 823-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 124 117 9/30 10-17 L 59 33 18 36 18 111 #72 #38 2-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 123 138 10 9/30 24-33 L 35 34 77 17 13 553-2 2-2 0-2 0-1 121 104 10/7 45-16 W 77 32 18 115 83 91 #100 #65 2-2 5-0 0-1 2-0 125 139 4 10/7 7-31 L 47 34 85 15 9 124-2 1-2 122 10/14 76 34 21 #64 #76 2-3 3-2 0-2 1-1 123 112 10/14 37-21 W 52 29 74 57 58 664-2 3-3 1-2 1-2 122 124 10/21 79 37 20 46 31 60 #28 #115 3-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 124 122 10/21 46 31 60 79 37 20
3-3 0-3 118 10/28 105 49 24 #58 #37 5-1 3-0 124 10/28 40 15 1126-1 4-0 144 11/4 2 5 52 #97 #102 3-4 2-2 112 11/4 59 60 466-0 3-0 134 11/11 20 10 66 #70 #59 3-3 1-2 123 11/11 86 65 813-3 1-2 123 11/18 86 65 81 #21 #61 3-3 0-3 118 11/18 105 49 243-4 2-2 112 11/25 59 60 46 #68 #53 2-4 0-3 100 11/25 111 91 59
#93 #590 -6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Wyoming 24-3 30 1 -2 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 Nevada 31-20 167 8 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0at Iowa St 44-41 30 7 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 at Duke 17-41 -347 -19 -1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 North Texas 31-14 130 11 0 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 Bowling Green 49-7 326 9 -1 30 43-303 7.0 24-31 375 2 21 30-96 3.2 27-44 256 3 Penn St 19-21 -306 -18 1 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 Byeat Michigan St 10-17 -69 -8 -2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 at Wisconsin 24-33 -62 7 1 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 Illinois 45-16 -5 0 2 20 38-191 5.0 18-34 250 1 20 30-200 6.7 22-45 246 1 Penn St 7-31 -116 -8 -3 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 Bye at Maryland 37-21 191 11 -2 30 44-238 5.4 27-49 293 1 19 31-85 2.7 17-38 255 2at Northwestern Iowa Minnesota Michigan St Ohio St at Nebraskaat Wisconsin Purdue Purdue Minnesotaat Nebraska at Illinois
Average 29-19 -31.7 -1.2 0.0 19 38-139 3.7 57.9% 218 5.3% 20 32-146 4.5 58.1% 243 5.1% Average 28-26 26.5 1.3 -1.0 23 37-135 3.7 60.7% 268 8.4% 22 37-127 3.4 57.3% 250 5.8% Conference 25-18 -126.7 -8.7 0.3 14 29-97 3.4 54.5% 218 5.7% 23 40-194 4.8 58.7% 247 5.8% Conference 23-28 4.3 3.3 -1.3 22 36-110 3.1 57.7% 237 9.5% 18 35-96 2.7 57.6% 246 9.1% Away 27-29 -19.5 -0.5 -0.5 20 33-92 2.8 60.3% 273 5.5% 21 33-104 3.2 58.1% 280 4.1% Home 29-19 125.7 3.0 -1.3 24 41-175 4.3 67.0% 308 6.3% 21 31-111 3.5 59.0% 247 6.6%
Wyoming Nate Stanley 8-15-125-3-1 Akrum Wadley 24-116-4.8-0 Nick Easley 4-77-19.3-1 Nevada Clayton Thorson 28-38-352-2-1 Justin Jackson 30-109-3.6-0 Bennett Skowronek 8-123-15.4-0at Iowa St Nate Stanley 27-41-333-5-0 Akrum Wadley 28-118-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-72-18.0-1 at Duke Clayton Thorson 11-29-120-0-2 Justin Jackson 7-18-2.6-1 Riley Lees 2-31-15.5-1 North Texas Nate Stanley 16-27-197-2-0 Toren Young 19-78-4.1-0 Akrum Wadley 2-80-40.0-0 vs. Bowling Green Clayton Thorson 23-30-370-2-0 Justin Jackson 18-121-6.7-3 Garrett Dickerson 9-150-16.7-0 Penn St Nate Stanley 13-22-191-2-0 Akrum Wadley 19-80-4.2-1 Akrum Wadley 4-75-18.8-1 Byeat Michigan St Nate Stanley 16-31-197-0-0 Akrum Wadley 17-30-1.8-1 T.J Hockenson 3-46-15.3-0 at Wisconsin Clayton Thorson 29-45-219-3-2 Jeremy Larkin 7-37-5.3-0 Flynn Nagel 5-52-10.4-0 Illinois Nate Stanley 17-32-247-3-1 Akrum Wadley 23-115-5.0-1 Noah Fant 3-78-26.0-0 vs. Penn St Clayton Thorson 19-36-142-0-2 Justin Jackson 16-66-4.1-0 Macan Wilson 4-39-9.8-0 Bye at Maryland Clayton Thorson 27-49-293-1-2 Justin Jackson 28-171-6.1-2 Macan Wilson 5-74-14.8-0at Northwestern Iowa Minnesota vs. Michigan St Ohio St at Nebraskaat Wisconsin Purdue Purdue vs. Minnesotaat Nebraska at Illinois
vs.
Nate Stanley 97-168-1290-15-2 Akrum Wadley 119-483-4.1-4 Nick Easley 27-281-10.4-4 Clayton Thorson 137-227-1496-8-9 Justin Jackson 108-510-4.7-6 Bennett Skowronek 21-304-14.5-2Colten Rastetter 1-1-15-0-0 James Butler 36-158-4.4-0 Akrum Wadley 15-258-17.2-3 vs. Matt Alviti 7-11-105-1-0 Jeremy Larkin 31-128-4.1-1 Garrett Dickerson 21-231-11.0-1Tyler Wiegers 1-2-3-1-0 Toren Young 27-110-4.1-0 Noah Fant 13-201-15.5-3 T.J Green 1-1-5-0-0 Jelani Roberts 5-54-10.8-0 Flynn Nagel 22-223-10.1-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Iowa - -13 31 15 41-79
Northwestern - 44.5 38 20 42-198 0
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Iowa 17 -1.5 40 24 51-294
Northwestern 20 41.5 10 13 26-51 -2
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Iowa - -4 48 24 46-221
Northwestern - 43 7 13 43-105 0
2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Iowa - -3.5 17 19 41-136
Northwestern - 53 10 19 52-225 -1
2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Iowa - 49 17 23 40-122
Northwestern - -5 28 20 49-349 -2
Net Offense Defense
Iow
a H
awke
yes
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Nor
thw
este
rn W
ildca
ts
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Purdue Score Def Minnesotaat Nebraska Sks By at Illinois
Ohio St Pass Def at Nebraskaat Wisconsin Total Def Purdue
at Northwestern Sks Allowed Iowa Minnesota Rush Def Michigan St
Penn St Bye Score Off at Maryland Illinois Total Off
Northwesternat Duke
North Texas Bowling Green Bye
at Michigan St Pass Off at Wisconsin Penn St Rush Off
TM REC FOE REC
at Iowa StIowa
Northwestern Wildcats
Nevada Wyoming 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10
Iowa Hawkeyes OVERALL: OVERALL:
4-2 3-3Hawkeyes Logs Wildcats Logs
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TEAM --PS RANK--1-2 1-2 TM
RECFOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
TM CONF
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing
Iowa QB/WR0.15
Northwestern DB's
Iowa Northwestern
Iowa OL0.84
Northwestern DL
Iowa RB's0.89
Northwestern LB's
Iowa LB'S
Northwestern RB's
0.70
Iowa DL
Northwestern OL
0.27
0.94
297 yards Iowa Northwestern 441 yards
Iowa Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
204 yards Iowa20-43-147
19-27-204
Northwestern K
289 yards
92 yards
Projected Passing0.39Iowa Northwestern 152 yards
Northwestern
Projected Rushing
Northwestern Leaders
Team & Margin
0.77
Iowa KLas Vegas Total
Northwestern QB/WR
Iowa DB's
Iowa ST's
Northwestern ST'sLas Vegas Line
Phil's Forecast:
Iowa had a 3 game series win streak snapped last year and are fresh off a bye and playing with revenge. LTH in the ranked meeting the Hawkeyes scored the first 16 pts, but only led 16-10 at HT. Iowa held NW to 0 pts, 74 yds & forced 2 TO’s in the 2H in a 40-10 Iowa win. Iowa is 9-2 their L/12 Big Ten AG’s and comes in fresh off a bye. In the last 4 games Iowa is allowing 174 ypg rush and 5.0 ypc. In the last 4 games Northwestern is allowing 96.2 ypg rush and 2.8 ypc. NW has taken on the tougher schedule (#18 vs #44). While Iowa only lost to Penn St by 2 they were outgained by 306 yards and Saquon Barkley had 211 (7.5) and 94 more receiving. NW lost to Penn St by 24, but was only -116 yards and held Saqon to -3 rush in the 1H and 84 total yds for the game. NW led Wisconsin 10-7 at half and Penn St 10-0 and Iowa is not in those teams leagues and cannot wear NW down like they did. If you go thru Iowa's entire schedule the final scores have been misleading in their favor in all but one game and despite being 4-2 they are -32 ypg and NW is +27. NW ranks higher on both offense and defense in my ratings and is at home.
Iowa By 1.5
Northwestern By 5.3
Northwestern By 5.6
47 Points
Game Grade
+/- Ratings
Northwestern 441-2972.45
Iowa Pts
2.65
Northwestern PtsComputer Points
Computer YardsProjected Final Score
21 points Iowa
Northwestern Coaches
0.15
Iowa Coaches
Projected Yardage Total
Experience RankingsIowa Northwestern
Team Schedule Strength
Northwestern 23 points
Northwestern Phil Steele44 Iowa Northwestern 18
66
Northwestern by 4Best Bet: ★ Northwestern 24 (+) Iowa 20By 0.19 Points
17 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Northwestern 23-21
24-38-214
7-10-84
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
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onte
nts
Projected Box Score
11-14-104
Comp-Att-Yds
19-27-169
18-30-164
Comp-Att-Yds
16-27-198
Comp-Att-Yds
17-25-262
9-24-75
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 133 10 8/31 24-59 L 48 73 53 10 43 98 0-0 0-0 96 8/31 27-20 W 116 75 1240-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 115 101 9/9 66-42 W 55 100 53 104 99 80 1-0 0-0 94 9/9 107 70 1241-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 51-54 L 43 117 85 54 75 16 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 94 108 9/16 18-38 L 103 76 114 112 51 1051-2 1-2 0-0 0-1 116 103 9/23 13-16 L 32 127 61 86 99 33 #11 #90 1-1 0-3 0-0 0-0 94 93 9/24 38-41 L 89 90 120 119 130 1301-3 3-0 0-0 2-0 112 117 9/30 21-31 L 44 127 48 46 84 94 #110 #24 1-2 3-1 0-1 0-0 92 116 9/30 28-49 L 82 96 117 28 103 1251-4 2-2 0-1 0-1 111 110 10/7 28-62 L 46 129 43 101 100 65 #40 #48 1-3 3-1 0-2 0-1 93 114 10/6 31-70 L 96 98 118 49 82 61-5 4-1 0-2 2-0 107 123 10/14 45-17 W 45 129 67 47 49 68 #31 #72 1-4 3-3 0-3 1-2 89 111 10/14 28-24 W 96 111 118 118 74 512-5 2-4 1-2 1-3 112 94 10/21 50 129 63 102 114 118 #28 #103 2-4 2-5 1-3 1-2 94 112 10/21 102 114 118 50 129 63
4-2 1-1 115 10/27 29 96 103 #130 #70 1-5 0-4 108 10/28 27 97 375-1 2-1 118 11/4 37 83 8 #95 #130 6-0 3-0 126 11/4 32 17 42
11/11 #129 #128 5-0 3-0 126 11/11 17 35 316-0 3-0 126 11/16 32 17 42 #123 #124 3-4 1-3 116 11/18 84 46 743-4 1-3 106 11/25 117 70 57 #117 #86 2-5 0-3 103 11/25 109 101 1
#117 #122+5 -7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Oklahoma St 24-59 -208 1 0 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 1 Holy Cross 27-20 -9 -6 -1 18 37-160 4.3 28-41 278 0 24 26-89 3.4 33-56 358 2 Louisiana 66-42 71 6 1 33 72-424 5.9 14-20 243 0 27 41-287 7.0 21-34 309 1 Byeat Toledo 51-54 -131 0 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1 at Virginia 18-38 -192 -4 -1 23 41-207 5.0 18-26 227 2 27 31-171 5.5 30-40 455 1 New Mexico 13-16 -160 -10 2 15 31-155 5.0 13-27 131 2 25 59-338 5.7 9-14 108 1 East Carolina 38-41 0 -3 -1 27 38-190 5.0 24-39 406 1 30 47-170 3.6 30-39 426 1 Navy 21-31 -167 -12 1 12 39-229 5.9 12-18 115 0 24 68-421 6.2 3-4 90 0 at SMU 28-49 -98 -10 -1 18 36--8 -0.2 22-28 408 8 28 41-218 5.3 27-39 280 3at Tulane 28-62 -241 -15 -2 16 28-139 5.0 12-20 273 3 31 70-488 7.0 9-13 165 0 Memphis 31-70 -234 -10 -3 24 34-167 4.9 21-35 310 4 34 45-231 5.1 39-55 480 1 Houston 45-17 12 -5 2 20 53-288 5.4 9-18 128 1 25 47-146 3.1 25-41 258 3 at Temple 28-24 -229 -13 0 15 38-139 3.7 18-28 105 2 28 29-117 4.0 33-55 356 2at Connecticut Tulsaat SMU Missouri Memphis USF Bye at UCFat USF † Boston College Temple at Cincinnati
Average 35-40 -117.7 -5.0 0.7 22 50-272 5.4 57.1% 172 5.6% 27 51-319 6.3 66.7% 242 4.2% Average 28-40 -127.0 -7.7 -1.2 21 37-143 3.8 66.5% 289 8.6% 29 37-166 4.5 67.6% 393 3.5% Conference 31-37 -132.0 -10.7 0.3 16 40-219 5.5 58.9% 172 7.1% 27 62-352 5.7 63.8% 171 5.2% Conference 31-46 -140.3 -9.0 -1.3 21 37-122 3.3 65.4% 307 11.5% 30 41-184 4.5 68.6% 386 3.7% Away 34-58 -193.3 -4.7 -0.3 24 52-269 5.2 56.4% 195 7.7% 28 47-347 7.4 72.2% 310 2.8% Home 32-44 -81.0 -6.3 -1.7 23 36-172 4.7 63.5% 331 4.3% 29 39-163 4.2 68.0% 421 2.7%
at Oklahoma St Chad President 18-35-178-0-0 Corey Taylor III 20-111-5.6-2 Justin Hobbs 6-71-11.8-0 Holy Cross David Pindell 19-28-154-0-0 Nate Hopkins 20-130-6.5-3 Hergy Mayala 9-106-11.8-1 Louisiana Chad President 14-20-243-1-0 D'Angelo Brewer 38-262-6.9-3 Justin Hobbs 5-103-20.6-1 Byeat Toledo Chad President 12-20-125-0-0 D'Angelo Brewer 38-152-4.0-1 Justin Hobbs 5-68-13.6-0 vs. at Virginia Bryant Shirreffs 18-26-227-2-1 Bryant Shirreffs 14-90-6.4-0 Hergy Mayala 2-77-38.5-2 New Mexico Chad President 13-27-131-0-1 D'Angelo Brewer 16-131-8.2-1 Justin Hobbs 7-93-13.3-0 East Carolina Bryant Shirreffs 24-39-406-3-1 Kevin Mensah 16-107-6.7-0 Arkeel Newsome 8-170-21.3-1 Navy Chad President 12-18-115-1-0 Chad President 12-151-12.6-1 Justin Hobbs 4-55-13.8-0 at SMU Bryant Shirreffs 22-28-408-2-0 Nate Hopkins 10-27-2.7-1 Aaron McLean 5-122-24.4-1at Tulane Luke Skipper 10-14-256-1-0 Shamari Brooks 12-104-8.7-2 Keenan Johnson 6-131-21.8-0 vs. Memphis Bryant Shirreffs 21-35-310-1-1 Arkeel Newsome 9-114-12.7-2 Tyler Davis 4-87-21.8-0 Houston Luke Skipper 9-18-128-1-1 D'Angelo Brewer 23-140-6.1-1 Keenan Johnson 5-91-18.2-1 at Temple Bryant Shirreffs 18-28-105-3-1 Arkeel Newsome 18-56-3.1-0 Aaron McLean 3-30-10.0-0at Connecticut Tulsaat SMU vs. Missouri Memphis USF Bye at UCFat USF vs. † Boston College Temple at Cincinnati
vs.
Chad President 71-126-809-2-2 D'Angelo Brewer 166-824-5.0-7 Justin Hobbs 29-449-15.5-2 Bryant Shirreffs 112-169-1580-12-4 Nate Hopkins 54-251-4.6-6 Arkeel Newsome 21-356-17.0-2Luke Skipper 21-35-394-2-1 Shamari Brooks 82-504-6.1-7 Keenan Johnson 32-412-12.9-1 vs. David Pindell 19-28-154-0-0 Arkeel Newsome 50-209-4.2-3 Aaron McLean 12-223-18.6-1
Chad President 53-397-7.5-7 Josh Stewart 11-133-12.1-0 Kevin Mensah 41-207-5.0-1 Hergy Mayala 15-211.1-14.1-4Category
vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
Net Offense Defense
Tuls
a G
old
en H
urr
ican
e
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Con
nec
ticu
t H
usk
ies
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
at USF Score Def † Boston College Temple Sks By at Cincinnati
Memphis Pass Def USF Bye Total Def at UCF
at Connecticut Sks Allowed Tulsaat SMU Rush Def Missouri
Memphis Houston Score Off at Templeat Tulane Total Off
at Virginia
at Oklahoma St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
East Carolina Navy Pass Off at SMU New Mexico Rush Off
TM REC FOE REC
Holy Cross Louisiana
Tulsa Connecticut Bye
at Toledo
Connecticut Huskies2-5 2-4Golden Hurricane Logs vs. AAC vs. AAC
Tulsa Golden Hurricane OVERALL: OVERALL:
Huskies LogsTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--TEAM1-2 1-3 TM REC
FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
TM CONF
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing
1.71
Tulsa QB/WR
Connecticut DB's
Tulsa Connecticut
1.29
Tulsa OL
Connecticut DL
2.15
Tulsa RB's
Connecticut LB's
Tulsa DL1.89
Connecticut OL
Connecticut Leaders
Tulsa LB'S0.96
Connecticut RB's
Tulsa LeadersTulsa DB's
2.36Connecticut QB/WR
Team & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Projected Rushing1.71Tulsa Connecticut 253 yards
Projected Passing271 yards Tulsa
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
Tulsa Coaches
Tulsa K
Tulsa By 8.5
Connecticut K
Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade
540 yards Tulsa Connecticut 552 yards Connecticut Coaches
0.95Connecticut 299 yards
Connecticut Pts
Computer Yards
Tulsa 44-37
TulsaProjected Final Score
Experience RankingsConnecticut 37 points
Tulsa Connecticut94 40
Conn 552-540
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
7.81
Tulsa Pts5.28
By 2.54 Points
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box ScoreTulsa ST's
0.06
Connecticut ST's
Tulsa
44 points
Tulsa by 11 Tulsa 48 Connecticut 37
1st meeting. the Golden Hurricane are just 4-8 on the AAC road, the avg win has been by 16 ppg, losses LY by 7 & 2 pts. Both teams run a hurry up spread offense, but Tulsa has personnel recruited for it and have been doing it longer, while UC has pro style personnel and is in the first year of the offense. Tulsa played poorly in 3 weeks defending the option, but last week beat Houston 45-17 although they only had a 12 yard edge. UConn upset Temple at home, but was outgained 244-473. Tulsa has gone to Luke Skipper at QB and he is a stronger passer, although they still bring Chad President off the bench to run the ball. UConn has my #114 D and Tulsa #129 with each allowing 560 ypg. Tulsa has a good-sized edge on offense and has faced my #42 schedule and UConn just #112.
Tulsa By 6
Las Vegas Total71.5 Points
+/- RatingsTulsa By 15.0
Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength
42 Tulsa Connecticut 112
269 yards
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 105 108 9/2 13-24 L 66 63 85 53 86 113 0-0 0-0 96 8/31 10-17 L 126 112 1300-1 0-0 105 9/9 34-7 W 98 61 85 0-1 0-0 93 9/9 124 117 1301-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 105 9/16 27-24 W 80 55 102 47 99 120 0-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 5 9/16 0-56 L 126 118 104 6 9 32-1 1-2 1-0 0-0 105 97 9/23 22-17 W 82 56 97 113 98 114 #75 #104 0-2 0-3 0-0 0-0 92 91 9/23 28-0 W 127 122 129 122 120 1043-1 3-1 1-0 0-1 104 126 25 9/30 24-21 W 69 55 105 29 5 37 #50 #35 1-2 0-0 97 9/30 126 116 1234-1 1-0 109 10/7 68 55 104 #60 #72 1-2 0-0 97 92 10/7 27-21 W 125 114 129 126 126 1124-1 1-4 1-0 0-1 109 98 10/11 8-19 L 71 56 107 122 86 53 #110 #106 2-2 3-2 1-0 3-0 97 101 10/14 47-37 W 124 115 122 83 110 834-2 3-2 1-1 2-0 104 101 10/21 82 53 115 114 111 116 #51 #21 3-2 4-2 2-0 1-1 101 104 10/21 114 111 116 82 53 115
0-5 0-2 91 10/28 126 107 71 #12 #62 2-4 1-1 103 10/26 125 74 482-4 1-2 100 11/2 110 109 90 #62 #101 0-5 0-2 91 11/4 126 107 71
90 11/11 123 123 124 #23 #77 1-6 0-3 83 11/11 128 121 12511/18 #21 #69 11/18
1-6 0-3 83 11/25 128 121 125 #53 #48 4-2 3-0 110 11/25 75 59 853-2 2-0 111 12/2 51 89 13 #38 #78 2-4 1-2 100 12/2 110 109 90
-1 -7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Boise St 13-24 -142 -8 -1 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 Tennessee St 10-17 -110 -7 -4 14 29-49 1.7 18-23 224 3 21 42-238 5.7 12-25 145 1 Alabama St 34-7 446 18 -1 32 36-257 7.1 33-42 354 0 14 32-85 2.7 15-28 80 3 Byeat New Mexico St 27-24 87 8 0 26 37-183 4.9 25-41 286 1 18 17-51 3.0 32-45 331 0 at Penn St 0-56 -206 2 -5 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 Akron 22-17 122 1 2 24 28-175 6.3 28-42 314 1 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 at Charlotte 28-0 96 8 2 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 3at LSU 24-21 -65 -5 2 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 Bye Bye at Coastal Carolina 27-21 -2 5 -1 22 40-91 2.3 18-30 273 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2 South Alabama 8-19 75 6 -3 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4 at ULM 47-37 239 12 1 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7at Georgia St Troy GA Southern South Alabama Idaho at GA Southernat Coastal Carolina at Texas St Bye Bye Texas St Appalachian Stat Arkansas St Idaho
Average 21-19 87.2 3.3 -0.2 21 32-155 4.8 61.5% 253 4.7% 18 34-99 2.9 59.9% 222 6.6% Average 22-26 3.4 4.0 -1.4 22 40-127 3.2 67.5% 273 5.1% 18 34-148 4.4 61.6% 247 9.6% Conference 18-22 81.0 7.0 -1.5 22 29-107 3.7 56.8% 278 3.4% 15 31-50 1.6 66.2% 254 6.2% Conference 37-29 118.5 8.5 0.0 27 41-158 3.9 67.7% 360 3.1% 18 35-122 3.5 65.1% 277 14.3% Away 21-23 -40.0 -1.7 0.3 18 36-155 4.3 56.3% 194 7.8% 19 30-120 4.0 66.1% 269 3.7% Home 10-17 -110.0 -7.0 -4.0 14 29-49 1.7 78.3% 224 13.0% 21 42-238 5.7 48.0% 145 4.0%
at Boise St Brandon Silvers 17-33-139-0-1 Jordan Chunn 11-41-3.7-0 Damion Willis 2-27-13.5-0 Tennessee St Conner Manning 14-17-159-0-0 Taz Bateman 11-31-2.8-0 Taz Bateman 6-74-12.3-1 Alabama St Brandon Silvers 32-40-345-0-1 Jamarius Henderson 8-107-13.4-2 Damion Willis 7-93-13.3-0 Byeat New Mexico St Brandon Silvers 25-41-286-1-0 Jordan Chunn 20-87-4.4-1 Deondre Douglas 7-101-14.4-0 vs. at Penn St Conner Manning 16-29-133-0-3 Taz Bateman 29-100-3.4-0 Penny Hart 7-56-8.0-0 Akron Brandon Silvers 28-41-314-1-0 Jordan Chunn 16-106-6.6-1 Deondre Douglas 7-92-13.1-1 at Charlotte Conner Manning 26-37-250-1-0 Glenn Smith 31-90-2.9-2 Penny Hart 11-141-12.8-1at LSU Brandon Silvers 16-28-157-0-0 Jordan Chunn 30-191-6.4-1 Deondre Douglas 3-46-15.3-0 Bye Bye vs. at Coastal Carolina Conner Manning 18-30-273-1-1 Glenn Smith 23-74-3.2-0 Penny Hart 8-132-16.5-1 South Alabama Brandon Silvers 24-46-263-0-1 Jordan Chunn 10-28-2.8-0 Emanuel Thompson 6-67-11.2-0 at ULM Conner Manning 26-35-446-4-0 Kyler Neal 14-65-4.6-1 Penny Hart 11-190-17.3-3at Georgia St Troy GA Southern vs. South Alabama Idaho at GA Southernat Coastal Carolina at Texas St Bye vs. Bye Texas St Appalachian Stat Arkansas St Idaho
vs.
Brandon Silvers 142-229-1504-2-3 Jordan Chunn 100-514-5.1-6 Deondre Douglas 27-335-12.4-1 Conner Manning 100-148-1261-6-4 Taz Bateman 52-180-3.5-0 Penny Hart 42-555-13.2-5Kaleb Barker 2-5-15-0-0 Jamarius Henderson 26-188-7.2-3 Emanuel Thompson 25-237-9.5-0 vs. Aaron Winchester 6-9-102-1-1 Glenn Smith 55-165-3.0-2 Ari Werts 12-218-18.2-0
Kaleb Barker 7-103-14.7-1 Damion Willis 16-213-13.3-1 Kyler Neal 27-78-2.9-2 Taz Bateman 13-148-11.4-1Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - -17 31 20 43-128
Georgia St - 55 21 24 24-37 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - -1 21 20 25-81
Georgia St - 56.5 31 23 43-151 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - -7 45 21 45-324
Georgia St - 67.5 21 21 34-101 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Troy - -16 35 29 59-249
Georgia St - 62 28 23 26-52 2
Net Offense Defense
Troy
Tro
jan
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Geo
rgia
St
Pan
ther
s
Net Offense
IdahoTotal TO's
Ypg Diffat Arkansas St
Bye Score Def Bye Texas St Sks By Appalachian St
Idaho Pass Def at GA Southernat Coastal Carolina Total Def at Texas St
at Georgia St Sks Allowed Troy GA Southern Rush Def South Alabama
at Coastal Carolina South Alabama Score Off at ULM Bye Total Off
at Penn St
at Boise St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
at Charlotteat LSU Pass Off Bye Akron Rush Off
TM REC FOE REC
Tennessee St Alabama St
Troy Georgia St Bye
at New Mexico St
Troy Trojansvs. SUN
OVERALL: OVERALL:
4-2 3-2 Georgia St PanthersPanthers Logs
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE
vs. SUNTEAM --PS RANK--1-1 2-0 TM
RECFOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
TM CONF
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing
1.56
Troy QB/WR
Georgia St DB's
Troy Georgia St
Troy OL
Georgia St DL
1.21
Troy RB's
Georgia St LB's
0.61
0.68
1.56
Troy DL
Georgia St OL
1.40
Troy LB'S
Georgia St RB's
Georgia St Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Troy ST's0.62
Team & Margin
Troy LeadersGeorgia St QB/WR
Troy DB's
Phil's Forecast:
Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line Troy is 3-1 in the series and LY trailed GSt 14-6 mid 3Q but led 31-14 and won 31-
21. They lost the last road game at Georgia St 31-21 in ‘15 in the Georgia Dome and this is their first appearance at Georgia State Stadium (Old Turner Field). Troy comes in off a rare loss. LY off an upset loss at home to Ark St they thrashed Texas St 40-7 (-28). The schedules are close, but Troy is +87 ypg and Georgia St is +3 ypg. Troy RB Jordan Chunn (514, 5.1) did get injured in their upset loss to SAla and is questionable. They do have the stronger offense and defense. They allow just 321 total ypg and 2.9 ypc rush, while Georgia St is at 396 ypg and 4.4 ypc rush. GSt QB Conner Manning just threw for a career high 26-35-446-4-0 vs ULM on the road and is back home. Georgia St is 3-0 in the Sun Belt and will have an angry Troy’s full attention.
Georgia St ST's Troy By 7.5
Projected Rushing20-36-235
28-52-381
21-46-293
Trojans Logs
49 Points
Projected Passing Georgia St K
Troy K0.39
Las Vegas Total139 yards 63 yardsTroy
Troy Troy By 1.0
Troy By 8.7
+/- Ratings
1.50
Troy Coaches
Georgia St CoachesGame Grade
Troy 412-353Projected Final Score
Comp-Att-Yds 24 points TroyTroy Pts
1.69Computer Yards
23-37-293
Georgia St Pts25-43-385
273 yardsProjected Yardage Total
412 yards
Experience RankingsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
7.84Georgia St 16 points
353 yards
Georgia St
Georgia St
Projected Box Score
290 yards
35 Troy Georgia St 18
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
18-22-116
Georgia StComp-Att-Yds
Troy
Troy 24-16
Team Schedule Strength Troy Phil Steele113 Troy Georgia St
Computer Points
Troy by 13 Troy 27 Georgia St 14By 6.15 Points115
22-50-370
29-41-368
Comp-Att-Yds
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 110 9/2 58-14 W 43 115 127 0-0 0-0 111 8/31 26-14 W 100 70 911-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 101 9/9 54-32 W 31 101 127 102 98 81 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 130 8 9/9 14-36 L 101 75 91 44 9 372-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 129 20 9/16 36-56 L 36 91 124 13 10 39 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 111 9/16 21-17 W 108 81 66 100 86 1252-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 111 9/23 44-21 W 40 104 124 65 69 66 #42 #122 2-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 111 117 9/23 32-42 L 107 71 100 71 87 873-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 116 92 9/30 49-28 W 28 103 125 82 96 117 #15 #70 2-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 111 106 9/30 21-38 L 111 89 91 95 54 174-1 3-1 1-0 1-0 115 123 10/7 22-35 L 23 97 122 51 45 63 #11 #116 2-3 3-0 0-1 1-0 107 122 25 10/7 23-51 L 110 88 117 35 42 514-2 1-1 115 10/14 27 95 101 #6 #117 2-4 5-0 0-2 2-0 104 126 18 10/14 3-33 L 106 98 104 32 17 424-2 2-5 1-1 0-3 115 103 10/21 29 96 103 109 101 1 #28 #51 2-5 4-2 0-3 1-1 103 115 10/21 109 101 1 29 96 103
2-5 1-2 112 10/27 50 129 63 #41 #109 10/285-0 3-0 126 11/4 17 35 31 #126 #33 3-3 1-1 109 11/4 88 110 925-1 3-1 116 11/11 25 100 80 #103 #93 3-4 1-3 106 11/10 117 70 575-1 2-1 118 11/18 37 83 8 #95 #105 1-6 1-3 91 11/18 107 130 1233-3 1-1 109 11/25 88 110 92 #8 #123 2-4 1-3 94 11/25 102 114 118
#47 #110+8 -2
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
SF Austin 58-14 246 10 2 25 48-243 5.1 12-23 222 0 15 35-75 2.1 16-31 144 2 Austin Peay 26-14 -65 -5 2 15 29-97 3.3 17-28 151 0 20 60-224 3.7 9-19 89 1 North Texas 54-32 0 -2 2 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 at Michigan 14-36 -214 -3 2 13 30-68 2.3 15-40 132 4 16 37-193 5.2 17-29 221 1at TCU 36-56 -156 -11 1 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 at Miami, OH 21-17 70 7 -1 21 35-139 4.0 24-43 222 1 14 32-70 2.2 16-31 221 3 Arkansas St 44-21 153 11 2 31 54-314 5.8 16-32 266 1 20 29-143 4.9 23-43 284 3 at Navy 32-42 -183 -9 0 22 23-58 2.5 28-46 381 2 31 72-569 7.9 2-3 53 0 Connecticut 49-28 98 10 1 28 41-218 5.3 27-39 280 3 18 36--8 -0.2 22-28 408 8 Marshall 21-38 -17 -1 -2 21 26-138 5.3 22-45 211 0 22 44-133 3.0 21-34 233 0at Houston 22-35 81 3 0 30 26-147 5.7 41-59 397 2 27 40-265 6.6 20-28 198 0 UCF 23-51 -124 -2 -1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1 Bye at USF 3-33 -129 -4 -2 21 33-95 2.9 21-37 178 3 25 53-212 4.0 17-30 190 0at Cincinnati SMU Tulsa Bye UCF at Tulane at Navy Templeat Memphis at East Carolina Tulane Connecticut
Average 44-31 70.3 3.5 1.3 26 39-191 4.9 58.6% 316 3.9% 22 36-133 3.7 66.2% 304 10.1% Average 20-33 -94.6 -2.4 -0.3 19 29-101 3.5 53.8% 222 3.9% 22 46-220 4.8 59.4% 197 3.6% Conference 36-32 89.5 6.5 0.5 29 34-183 5.4 69.4% 339 5.1% 23 38-129 3.4 75.0% 303 14.3% Conference 19-42 -145.3 -5.0 -1.0 21 27-89 3.2 58.5% 279 4.9% 26 49-307 6.3 67.3% 206 1.9% Away 29-46 -37.5 -4.0 0.5 25 28-136 4.8 60.8% 368 2.1% 29 45-260 5.8 75.9% 282 5.2% Home 23-34 -68.7 -2.7 -0.3 19 27-116 4.3 54.9% 213 0.9% 22 42-166 4.0 63.9% 232 2.8%
SF Austin Ben Hicks 9-19-112-2-0 Braeden West 6-86-14.3-0 Brandon Benson 1-72-72.0-1 Austin Peay Hayden Moore 17-28-151-3-0 Mike Boone 19-100-5.3-1 Thomas Geddis 4-48-12.0-1 North Texas Ben Hicks 20-39-312-4-1 Xavier Jones 13-74-5.7-2 Courtland Sutton 8-163-20.4-4 at Michigan Hayden Moore 15-40-132-1-2 Mike Boone 12-44-3.7-1 Devin Gray 3-41-13.7-0at TCU Ben Hicks 17-37-305-2-2 Ke'Mon Freeman 12-57-4.8-2 Trey Quinn 7-116-16.6-1 vs. at Miami, OH Hayden Moore 24-43-222-1-2 Gerrid Doaks 17-71-4.2-0 Kahlil Lewis 7-83-11.9-1 Arkansas St Ben Hicks 16-32-266-2-0 Xavier Jones 19-146-7.7-0 James Proche 3-131-43.7-2 at Navy Hayden Moore 28-46-381-3-0 Gerrid Doaks 14-59-4.2-1 Devin Gray 6-112-18.7-1 Connecticut Ben Hicks 27-37-280-4-0 Xavier Jones 13-72-5.5-1 Trey Quinn 15-116-7.7-2 Marshall Hayden Moore 22-45-211-1-0 Gerrid Doaks 10-55-5.5-1 Devin Gray 3-68-22.7-0at Houston Ben Hicks 41-58-397-1-2 Xavier Jones 13-99-7.6-0 Courtland Sutton 11-160-14.5-0 vs. UCF Hayden Moore 23-40-278-1-1 Hayden Moore 13-75-5.8-2 Kahlil Lewis 7-89-12.7-0 Bye at USF Hayden Moore 16-28-147-0-1 Michael Warren II 6-47-7.8-0 Kahlil Lewis 6-35-5.8-0at Cincinnati SMU Tulsa vs. Bye UCF at Tulane at Navy Templeat Memphis vs. at East Carolina Tulane Connecticut
vs.
Ben Hicks 130-222-1672-15-5 Xavier Jones 76-467-6.1-3 Trey Quinn 54-587-10.9-5 Hayden Moore 145-270-1522-10-6 Gerrid Doaks 57-260-4.6-2 Kahlil Lewis 37-360-9.7-4Rafe Peavey 4-4-116-1-0 Ke'Mon Freeman 69-335-4.9-7 Courtland Sutton 31-489-15.8-7 vs. Ross Trail 5-9-31-0-0 Mike Boone 49-184-3.8-2 Devin Gray 17-287-16.9-1DJ Gillins 1-4-76-1-0 Braeden West 38-277-7.3-1 James Proche 18-339-18.8-3 Michael Warren II 28-164-5.9-1 Thomas Geddis 16-200-12.5-1
Category
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.SMU - 63.5 3 14 24-98
Cincinnati - -14 41 29 46-240 42013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.SMU - 66.5 25 24 20-48
Cincinnati - -7.5 28 29 45-163 -3
vs.
vs.
Net Offense Defense
SM
U M
ust
ang
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Cin
cin
nat
i Bea
rcat
s
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
at Memphis Score Def at East Carolina Tulane Sks By Connecticut
UCF Pass Def at Tulane at Navy Total Def Temple
at Cincinnati Sks Allowed SMU Tulsa Rush Def Bye
at Houston Total Off UCF Bye Score Off at USF
Arkansas St Rush Off at Navy Connecticut Pass Off Marshall
Austin Peay North Texas
SMU Cincinnatiat Michigan
at TCU at Miami, OH
TM REC FOE REC
SF Austin 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
2-5Bearcats Logs
TM REC
FOE REC
OVERALL: OVERALL: Cincinnati Bearcats4-2vs. AAC vs. AAC
APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOETM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--1-1 0-3
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing
2.65
SMU QB/WR
Cincinnati DB's
SMU Cincinnati
1.22
SMU OL
Cincinnati DL
0.88
SMU RB's
Cincinnati LB's
0.04
SMU LB'S
Cincinnati RB's
0.84
SMU DL
Cincinnati OL
Phil's Forecast:
Computer Yards
Team & Margin
Las Vegas Total
66.59Las Vegas Line
SMU By 7.5
65 Points
+/- Ratings
Cincy is 2-0 in AAC play vs SMU winning just 28-25 at home and 41-3 on the road in ‘13 & ‘14. Cincinnati has faced the #39 schedule and SMU just #102 having faced Michigan, Navy, Marshall, UCF and USF who combined for 3 losses. It is no surprise they are -95 ypg and SMU vs the softer slate is +70 ypg with their wins over SFA, NTexas, Ark St and UConn. Cincy is playing at a 75.0 level and SMU at 86.2 so my average game grades have SMU favored by 7. If you are a pure stat guy you love SMU here, but if the two teams switched schedules you could argue Cincy would be 4-2 and SMU 2-5 at this point. Cincy is actually +16 and +9 vs opp averages this year so be careful here.
Cincinnati ST's
Game GradeSMU By 7.2
SMU 459-439
SMU By 8.0
SMU 41-29Computer Points
Cincinnati Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) SMU ST's
SMU LeadersSMU DB's
1.98
Cincinnati QB/WR
Mustangs Logs
SMU Mustangs
Projected Passing
0.55303 yards SMU Coaches
0.51
SMU K
Cincinnati K
Cincinnati Coaches
136 yards
439 yards
Projected Rushing
41 points SMU Cincinnati
165 yards
459 yards SMU
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
78
68.56
Cincinnati Pts6.69
SMU Pts
29 pointsExperience Rankings
Projected Final Score
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Cincinnati Phil Steele
105 SMU Cincinnati SMU by 10 SMU 40 Cincinnati 30By 61.87 Points
SMU38-47-403
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
20-37-178
17-27-268
9 SMU Cincinnati
37
Projected Yardage Total294 yards SMU27-32-299
Comp-Att-Yds
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 98 9/2 59-14 W 125 97 81 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 117 9/1 19-42 L 64 113 93 84 101 411-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 112 9/9 32-54 L 102 98 81 31 101 127 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 96 139 9 9/9 14-31 L 76 119 93 41 11 381-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 100 123 9/16 14-31 L 85 89 58 64 24 34 0-2 0-0 100 9/16 45-0 W 91 120 1011-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 101 96 9/23 46-43 W 81 89 89 115 92 112 #38 #15 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 106 9/23 31-34 L 78 113 55 108 109 1282-2 2-1 1-0 0-0 100 110 9/30 43-28 W 62 88 46 71 70 92 #17 #109 1-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 104 102 9/30 38-20 W 75 114 49 108 77 733-2 2-0 105 10/7 61 81 52 #12 #46 2-3 2-2 1-0 0-0 106 100 10/7 58-28 W 63 108 58 124 87 1003-2 3-1 2-0 0-1 105 111 10/14 29-26 W 54 80 16 67 50 42 #25 #38 3-3 2-0 110 10/14 64 105 354-2 3-3 3-0 2-0 107 110 10/21 54 80 27 56 95 38 #76 #63 3-3 4-2 2-0 3-0 110 107 10/21 56 95 38 54 80 27
2-4 0-2 93 10/28 127 104 113 #44 #113 4-2 2-1 110 10/28 108 81 193-3 1-1 110 11/4 69 90 93 #106 #32 5-1 2-0 112 11/3 77 34 400-7 0-3 91 11/11 129 124 106 #79 #96 3-3 1-1 110 11/11 69 90 935-2 0-0 112 11/18 85 105 65 #103 #65 4-2 2-1 101 11/18 99 113 611-5 1-1 91 11/25 118 106 108 #53 #86 0-7 0-3 89 11/25 113 122 98
#31 #74-4 +6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Lamar 59-14 402 16 1 31 60-436 7.3 17-24 232 2 15 33-86 2.6 20-41 180 2 Navy 19-42 -200 -7 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0at SMU 32-54 0 2 -2 22 27-69 2.6 32-47 424 5 20 34-99 2.9 22-41 394 3 at Wisconsin 14-31 -316 -20 2 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0at Iowa 14-31 -130 -11 0 17 17-112 6.6 18-29 193 1 28 59-238 4.0 16-27 197 1 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 502 25 0 32 58-439 7.6 19-32 180 2 7 33-61 1.8 9-22 56 4 UAB 46-43 153 12 0 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 at Buffalo 31-34 -46 -6 -1 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2at Southern Miss 43-28 125 6 -2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 1 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 Middle Tennessee 38-20 -15 6 3 29 50-252 5.0 22-29 187 0 23 24-69 2.9 32-52 385 2 Bye at Old Dominion 58-28 139 9 2 29 69-453 6.6 13-22 97 2 20 36-248 6.9 16-39 163 2 UTSA 29-26 52 0 -1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 Byeat Florida Atlantic North Texas Old Dominion at WKUat Louisiana Tech Marshall UTEP at Louisiana Tech Army West Point FIUat Rice at Charlotte
Average 37-33 100.3 4.2 -0.7 24 38-194 5.2 61.5% 305 6.3% 19 39-136 3.5 50.5% 263 6.1% Average 34-26 10.7 1.2 1.0 23 46-259 5.7 61.6% 174 7.3% 22 45-226 5.0 52.8% 196 5.6% Conference 39-32 110.0 6.0 -1.0 24 41-183 4.5 56.2% 327 4.8% 18 35-131 3.7 47.6% 269 6.8% Conference 48-24 62.0 7.5 2.5 29 60-353 5.9 68.6% 142 3.9% 22 30-159 5.3 52.7% 274 4.4% Away 30-38 -1.7 -1.0 -1.3 21 30-118 3.9 63.2% 328 6.0% 22 41-161 4.0 51.8% 287 5.5% Home 34-21 95.7 8.0 1.0 26 44-244 5.5 66.0% 218 4.3% 18 42-182 4.4 52.4% 184 7.1%
Lamar Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 Navy Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1at SMU Mason Fine 32-47-424-3-2 Jeffery Wilson 13-36-2.8-1 Jalen Guyton 3-109-36.3-2 at Wisconsin Daniel Parr 9-19-142-1-0 Devin Singletary 17-68-4.0-1 De'Andre McNeal 3-103-34.3-1at Iowa Mason Fine 16-26-167-0-1 Jeffery Wilson 12-95-7.9-1 Turner Smiley 4-74-18.5-0 vs. Bethune-Cookman Daniel Parr 15-26-165-1-1 Gregory Howell Jr 13-175-13.5-1 De'Andre McNeal 4-70-17.5-0 UAB Mason Fine 15-29-261-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 26-211-8.1-1 Kelvin Smith 4-82-20.5-0 at Buffalo Jason Driskel 17-29-150-0-1 Devin Singletary 22-156-7.1-3 Willie Wright 4-43-10.8-0at Southern Miss Mason Fine 24-40-366-2-1 Jeffery Wilson 30-148-4.9-3 Jalen Guyton 14-211-15.1-1 Middle Tennessee Jason Driskel 22-29-187-1-0 Devin Singletary 24-133-5.5-4 Harrison Bryant 7-93-13.3-1 Bye vs. at Old Dominion Jason Driskel 13-22-97-0-1 Devin Singletary 26-194-7.5-2 Harrison Bryant 3-41-13.7-0 UTSA Mason Fine 20-34-354-3-1 Jeffery Wilson 16-83-5.2-0 Jalen Guyton 8-182-22.8-2 Byeat Florida Atlantic North Texas Old Dominion vs. at WKUat Louisiana Tech Marshall UTEP at Louisiana Tech Army West Point vs. FIUat Rice at Charlotte
vs.
Mason Fine 122-197-1796-14-5 Jeffery Wilson 109-749-6.9-9 Jalen Guyton 32-626-19.6-7 Daniel Parr 43-75-588-4-2 Devin Singletary 106-686-6.5-11 De'Andre McNeal 22-323-14.7-2Quinn Shanbour 4-5-34-1-0 Nic Smith 41-210-5.1-2 Michael Lawrence 22-340-15.5-2 vs. Jason Driskel 56-86-449-1-2 Gregory Howell Jr. 56-403-7.2-2 Harrison Bryant 16-229-14.3-2TEAM 0-3-0-0-0 Evan Johnson 17-119-7.0-0 Turner Smiley 10-221-22.1-1 De'Andre Johnson 2-3-5-0-1 Kerrith Whyte 31-178-5.7-1 Willie Wright 13-188-14.5-1
Category
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Texas - 54.5 31 19 52-235
Florida Atlantic - -3 10 12 32-95 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Texas - -6.5 20 15 30-56
Florida Atlantic - 49.5 14 18 37-159 -2
vs.
vs.
Net Offense Defense
Nor
th T
exas
Mea
n G
reen
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
FAU
Ow
ls
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Army West Point Score Def FIUat Rice Sks By at Charlotte
at Louisiana Tech Pass Def Marshall UTEP Total Def at Louisiana Tech
at Florida Atlantic Sks Allowed North Texas Old Dominion Rush Def at WKU
Total Off at Old Dominion UTSA Score Off Bye Bye
Rush Off at Buffaloat Southern Miss Pass Off Middle Tennessee UAB
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Navy Lamar
APTM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
vs. CUSA Owls Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: FAU Owls4-2 3-3vs. CUSAMean Green Logs
TM CONF
--PS RANK-- FOETM REC FOE
RECFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--3-0 2-0 TM
RECFOE REC
AP TEAM
at SMUNorth Texas FAU
at Wisconsinat Iowa Bethune-Cookman
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
Defense
Score Score
Passing ReceivingRushing
North Texas FAUPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
1.36
North Texas RB's
FAU LB's
0.92
North Texas QB/WR
FAU DB's
North Texas DL0.80
FAU OL
1.37
North Texas OL
FAU DL
1.54
FAU RB'sNorth Texas DB's
0.70
FAU QB/WR
18-30-251
Comp-Att-Yds 209 yards North TexasProjected Passing
Ret
urn
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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
13-17-107
15-31-102
Las Vegas Line North Texas has won 4 in a row in the series by 11 ppg and they last met in ‘14 with NT winning 31-10 as a HD. FAU is fresh off a bye and at home. Last year North Texas avg 61 ypg below what their opp’s usually allowed, but it is amazing what a bowl trip can do. This year they are +126 in that category which is 7th best in the country and QB Mason Fine who had a 6-5 ratio last year, has a 14-5 ratio already this year. RB Jeffery Wilson has 749 (6.9 rush) and the D is holding foes to 11 ypg below their averages. FAU has played the slightly tougher schedule (#98 vs #111) and the last two weeks beat a couple of injury plagued teams. Their D is allowing 91 ypg above opp’s averages. OC Briles' offense has averaged 351.5 ypg rush with 6.6 ypc the last 4 weeks and should get the home win.
FAU ST's Fau By 3.5
64 Points
North Texas ST's Team & Margin
Fau By 5.5
N Texas 488-480
Phil's Forecast:
FAU Leaders
0.06
North Texas LB'S
480 yards
+/- RatingsFAU K
Game Grade0.50
0.28
North Texas KLas Vegas Total
488 yards North Texas FAU Coaches
North TexasProjected Yardage Total
FAU 251 yards
FAU
North Texas Coaches
Projected Final Score3.98
Computer YardsNorth Texas Pts
3.54
FAU Pts
279 yards
Fau By 0.5
21-34-142
FAU
Fau 41-35Computer Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Phil SteeleFAU by 6 FAU 41 North Texas 35By 0.44 Points
North Texas
North Texas Mean Green
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
North Texas Leaders
229 yardsProjected Rushing
FAUTeam Schedule Strength
111 North Texas FAU 98
1
FAU35 points North Texas 41 pointsExperience Rankings
74 North Texas
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 123 8/31 7-17 L 123 110 125 85 57 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 99 9/2 26-31 L 97 79 92 86 44 550-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 115 9/9 17-21 L 123 108 125 42 92 116 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 31-10 W 97 83 920-2 0-0 104 9/16 33-10 W 121 114 109 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 108 9/16 17-21 L 100 86 125 108 81 661-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 106 104 9/23 34-31 W 108 109 128 78 113 55 #80 #78 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 108 104 9/23 31-14 W 109 84 80 56 88 1082-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 106 96 9/30 27-13 W 99 107 124 130 122 85 #34 #59 2-2 3-1 1-0 2-1 111 134 22 9/30 17-52 L 109 75 98 8 23 703-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 107 118 10/7 68-71 L 95 107 124 94 79 23 #52 #78 2-3 0-5 1-0 0-1 110 93 10/7 29-37 L 109 80 77 111 125 213-3 3-2 1-1 1-0 108 115 10/14 13-14 L 90 114 102 100 51 115 #70 #100 2-4 1-5 1-1 0-2 105 95 10/14 14-17 L 101 85 75 130 119 773-4 2-5 1-2 1-2 108 102 10/21 106 116 104 100 92 89 #28 #96 2-5 3-4 1-2 1-2 102 108 10/21 100 92 89 106 116 104
4-3 3-0 109 10/28 119 79 122 #117 #91 5-2 2-1 110 10/31 60 63 101-6 1-2 96 11/7 98 126 25 #21 #28 4-3 3-0 109 11/7 119 79 122
11/8 #90 #50 11/112-4 0-2 95 11/16 121 108 99 #59 #67 2-4 0-2 111 11/15 116 78 1055-2 2-1 110 11/24 60 63 10 #86 #111 2-4 0-2 95 11/21 121 108 99
#76 #620 -2
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Minnesota 7-17 -146 -8 0 13 22-51 2.3 22-42 211 1 21 51-169 3.3 19-32 239 0 at Marshall 26-31 162 10 0 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1at Army West Point 17-21 -27 -8 -2 11 23-119 5.2 9-16 193 2 19 66-322 4.9 2-8 17 0 Austin Peay 31-10 25 6 0 18 50-150 3.0 11-23 145 3 12 37-160 4.3 11-18 110 1 Colgate 33-10 263 8 0 26 58-302 5.2 9-16 184 0 18 38-167 4.4 6-23 56 2 Cincinnati 17-21 -70 -7 1 14 32-70 2.2 16-31 221 3 21 35-139 4.0 24-43 222 1 Florida Atlantic 34-31 46 6 1 28 57-204 3.6 18-27 254 2 22 37-262 7.1 17-29 150 1 at Central Michigan 31-14 49 1 2 20 40-177 4.4 11-19 217 2 19 38-117 3.1 20-39 228 0at Kent St 27-13 -67 -6 0 18 44-235 5.3 11-18 142 0 24 40-124 3.1 19-31 320 4 at Notre Dame 17-52 -126 -2 -2 19 33-115 3.5 19-37 262 3 21 39-333 8.5 10-23 170 2 Western Michigan 68-71 38 -3 0 30 33-86 2.6 35-61 597 0 33 68-376 5.5 24-31 269 1 Bowling Green 29-37 107 11 -1 37 44-238 5.4 24-43 374 0 26 41-275 6.7 12-26 230 1 Northern Illinois 13-14 -58 -13 1 15 27-39 1.4 21-34 344 4 28 56-217 3.9 20-31 224 2 at Kent St 14-17 7 7 -2 19 34-161 4.7 12-30 174 3 12 44-167 3.8 10-18 161 2at Miami, OH Buffaloat Akron at Ohio Bowling Green Akron Bye Byeat Ball St Eastern Michigan Ohio at Ball St
Average 28-25 7.0 -3.4 0.0 20 38-148 3.9 58.4% 275 4.2% 24 51-234 4.6 57.8% 182 5.4% Average 24-26 22.0 3.7 -0.3 22 39-149 3.8 51.1% 242 7.0% 18 37-179 4.8 54.3% 190 4.1% Conference 36-33 -29.0 -7.3 0.3 21 35-120 3.5 59.3% 361 3.5% 28 55-239 4.4 67.7% 271 7.5% Conference 25-23 54.3 6.3 -0.3 25 39-192 4.9 51.1% 255 5.4% 19 41-186 4.5 50.6% 206 3.6% Away 17-17 -80.0 -7.3 -0.7 14 30-135 4.6 55.3% 182 3.9% 21 52-205 3.9 56.3% 192 5.6% Home 26-23 20.7 3.3 0.0 23 42-153 3.6 52.6% 247 6.2% 20 38-191 5.1 54.0% 187 3.4%
at Minnesota Tyree Jackson 22-42-211-1-1 Johnathan Hawkins 10-21-2.1-0 Anthony Johnson 11-140-12.7-1 at Marshall Gus Ragland 23-44-298-2-1 Alonzo Smith 13-59-4.5-0 James Gardner 8-111-13.9-0at Army West Point Tyree Jackson 9-16-193-1-0 Tyree Jackson 10-75-7.5-1 Anthony Johnson 3-82-27.3-0 Austin Peay Gus Ragland 11-23-145-3-0 Alonzo Smith 22-85-3.9-0 James Gardner 5-117-23.4-2 Colgate Tyree Jackson 9-16-184-1-0 Emmanuel Reed 22-120-5.5-1 Anthony Johnson 2-60-30.0-1 vs. Cincinnati Gus Ragland 16-31-221-1-1 Kenny Young 18-57-3.2-1 Luke Mayock 4-74-18.5-1 Florida Atlantic Tyree Jackson 11-18-145-0-0 Emmanuel Reed 26-107-4.1-0 Anthony Johnson 6-87-14.5-1 at Central Michigan Gus Ragland 11-19-217-2-0 Kenny Young 14-91-6.5-1 Sam Martin 2-72-36.0-1at Kent St Drew Anderson 11-18-142-1-1 Emmanuel Reed 33-144-4.4-3 Anthony Johnson 4-67-16.8-0 at Notre Dame Gus Ragland 19-37-262-2-1 Alonzo Smith 10-66-6.6-0 James Gardner 5-115-23.0-2 Western Michigan Drew Anderson 35-61-597-7-0 Theo Anderson 16-44-2.8-0 Anthony Johnson 11-195-17.7-2 vs. Bowling Green Gus Ragland 16-26-255-2-1 Kenny Young 19-113-5.9-0 James Gardner 5-126-25.2-1 Northern Illinois Drew Anderson 13-18-191-1-0 Emmanuel Reed 15-37-2.5-0 Anthony Johnson 7-140-20.0-0 at Kent St Billy Bahl 12-29-174-2-2 Alonzo Smith 14-96-6.9-0 James Gardner 3-67-22.3-1at Miami, OH Buffaloat Akron vs. at Ohio Bowling Green Akron Bye Byeat Ball St vs. Eastern Michigan Ohio at Ball St
vs.
Drew Anderson 66-106-1039-10-1 Emmanuel Reed 109-439-4.0-5 Anthony Johnson 44-771-17.5-5 Gus Ragland 96-180-1398-12-4 Kenny Young 89-441-5.0-2 James Gardner 29-602-20.8-6Tyree Jackson 51-92-733-3-1 Tyree Jackson 40-227-5.7-4 KJ Osborn 18-283-15.7-3 vs. Billy Bahl 20-46-293-2-2 Alonzo Smith 84-412-4.9-0 Ryan Smith 21-271-12.9-3Kyle Vantrease 8-16-153-0-1 Theo Anderson 48-146-3.0-1 Kamathi Holsey 13-216-16.6-1 TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Gus Ragland 59-118-2.0-3 Jared Murphy 19-249-13.1-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Buffalo - 48.5 24 27 46-187
Miami, Oh - -11 35 11 39-204 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Buffalo - -7 29 18 40-144
Miami, Oh - 49.5 24 19 31-124 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Buffalo - -6.5 35 29 49-273
Miami, Oh - 57 27 13 22-133 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Buffalo - -24 44 27 53-311
Miami, OH - 49 7 9 34-135 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Buffalo - -3.5 27 21 39-215
Miami, Oh - 55 24 21 33-98 1
Net Offense Defense
Bu
ffal
o B
ulls
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Mia
mi,
OH
Red
haw
ks
Total TO's
Net Offense
Ypg Diff
Score Def Eastern Michigan Ohio Sks By at Ball Stat Ball St
Pass Def Akron Bye Total Def Bye Bowling Green
Sks Allowed Buffaloat Akron Rush Def at Ohio at Miami, OH
Total Off Bowling Green Northern Illinois Score Off at Kent St Western Michigan
Rush Off at Central Michiganat Kent St Pass Off at Notre Dame Florida Atlantic
at Army West PointBuffalo Miami, OH
Austin Peay Colgate Cincinnati
TM REC FOE REC
2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Marshallat Minnesota
TM +/- FOE +/-
TEAM
OVERALL: OVERALL: Miami, OH Redhawks3-4 2-5
--PS RANK--AP TEAM
FOE
vs. MAC vs. MAC Redhawks Logs
TM CONF FOE CONF
Receiving Receiving
FOE
FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 1-2 1-2 TM
RECFOE REC
RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
0.55
Buffalo QB/WR
Miami, OH DB's
Buffalo Miami, OH
1.12
Buffalo OL
Miami, OH DL
Buffalo RB's0.65
Miami, OH LB's
0.01
Buffalo LB'S
Miami, OH RB's
Buffalo DL1.12
Miami, OH OL
Miami, OH Leaders
1.03
Buffalo ST's
Buffalo DB's1.77
Miami, OH QB/WR
Las Vegas LineMiami, Oh By 2.5
Buffalo K
22-29-289
7-14-105
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Miami, OH
21-40-193
Phil's Forecast:
LY Miami led 20-0, but Buffalo cut it in half w/11:08 3Q. The RedHawks basically put it away w/2 3Q De’Andre Montgomery defensive TDs (20 yd IR & 92 yd FR) & led 35-10 w/under 7 mins left. Buffalo got 2 late gbg td’s 35-24. Who would have thought I would be comparing Gus Ragland to Aaron Rodgers at this point of the season. I feel Green Bay has an average team, but Rodgers made them a Super Bowl contender. They are probably not even a playoff team without him. Miami was 0-6 last year then Gus Ragland took over at QB and they went 6-0 and got to a bowl. This year they looked like a MAC East favorite and beat CMich on the road by 17. Ragland got injured vs BG and they blew a lead and lost and last week lost to Kent by 3 without him. He is out here. In 2 years Ragland is hitting 60% with a 29-5 ratio and Billy Bahl is at 50% with a 10-6 ratio. Buffalo has impressed me every week this year with 4 losses by 4.5 ppg all vs bowl caliber teams. Miami’s D is allowing foes 23 ypg above their season average, but Buffalo is at 99 above. Prior to the year Miami would have been about a 17 point favorite and their backs are to the wall.
Miami, OH ST's
45.5 PointsMiami, OH K
0.73Las Vegas Total
Team & Margin
Computer Yards
Buffalo Coaches
Buffalo BullsBulls Logs
--PS RANK--
Miami, OH Coaches
Miami, Oh 453-377
+/- Ratings
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Buffalo 25-21
Buffalo By 3.3
Miami, Oh By 1.6Game Grade
0.05
62
Miami, OH
2
21 points
Buffalo Miami, OH
2.71
Buffalo Pts4.33
Experience Rankings Miami, OH PtsBuffalo
Comp-Att-Yds
13-36-224
Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds 154 yards Buffalo 162 yards
Projected Passing
25 pointsProjected Final Score
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Buffalo Leaders
Comp-Att-Yds
377 yards
223 yards Miami, OHBuffaloProjected Yardage Total
29-39-302
Comp-Att-Yds
23-37-206
Buffalo Miami, OH 453 yards
291 yards
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Projected Box Score
Team Schedule Strength Miami, OH Phil Steele96 Buffalo Miami, OH 66 Miami, Oh by 3 Miami Oh 23 Buffalo 20By 1.61 Points
14-25-137
AP
5-20-65
12-38-238
Comp-Att-Yds
25-44-242
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 137 6 9/2 0-52 L 89 83 94 4 18 8 0-0 0-0 112 8/31 47-13 W 44 91 560-1 0-0 99 9/9 52-3 W 117 97 94 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 110 9/9 37-24 W 49 73 56 112 113 1091-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/16 14-41 L 115 97 117 50 82 47 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 116 9/16 54-51 W 54 75 16 43 117 851-2 2-1 0-0 1-0 97 105 9/23 17-22 L 113 98 114 82 56 97 #106 #36 3-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 131 14 9/23 30-52 L 47 85 26 9 21 121-3 0-4 0-0 0-0 98 96 9/30 34-23 W 107 102 121 113 126 28 #88 #28 3-1 0-0 116 9/30 51 97 222-3 2-3 1-0 0-1 101 99 10/7 31-3 W 118 99 127 105 113 94 #115 #16 3-1 2-2 0-0 0-1 116 109 10/7 20-15 W 50 103 22 112 73 793-3 4-2 2-0 2-0 105 117 10/14 14-13 W 114 90 123 82 78 7 #102 #26 4-1 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 104 10/14 30-10 W 53 96 26 81 89 1304-3 5-1 3-0 2-0 109 117 10/21 119 79 122 53 82 36 #96 #63 5-1 4-3 2-0 3-0 117 109 10/21 53 82 36 119 79 122
3-4 1-2 108 10/28 106 116 104 #88 #83 2-4 0-2 95 10/26 121 108 992-5 1-2 102 11/7 100 92 89 #93 #43 4-2 2-0 115 11/2 103 42 1175-2 2-1 110 11/14 60 63 10 #90 #60 5-2 2-1 110 11/8 60 63 102-5 1-2 98 11/21 130 103 95 #47 #79 1-6 1-2 96 11/15 98 126 25
11/25 #53 #123 4-3 2-1 113 11/24 70 75 15#108 #26+1 +4
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Penn St 0-52 -410 -12 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 Elon 47-13 378 18 -1 25 41-239 5.8 19-34 314 2 7 40-128 3.2 3-14 47 1 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 296 15 2 27 44-267 6.1 17-26 197 0 12 34-41 1.2 14-25 127 4 at Nevada 37-24 40 6 2 28 60-194 3.2 19-27 232 0 22 24-109 4.5 19-37 277 1 Iowa St 14-41 -177 -4 -3 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 6 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 Tulsa 54-51 131 0 -1 29 33-221 6.7 22-33 458 1 29 68-423 6.2 12-20 125 2at Troy 17-22 -122 -1 -2 23 35-99 2.8 20-40 268 2 24 28-175 6.3 28-42 314 1 at Miami, Fl 30-52 -158 -4 0 23 34-85 2.5 29-50 344 4 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2at Bowling Green 34-23 -15 2 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 1 Bye Ball St 31-3 7 -3 3 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 Eastern Michigan 20-15 93 3 2 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0at Western Michigan 14-13 -211 -12 0 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2 at Central Michigan 30-10 155 5 2 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0at Toledo Akron Buffalo at Ball Stat Miami, OH Northern Illinois Ohio at Ohio Kent St at Bowling Green Bye Western Michigan
Average 23-22 -90.3 -2.1 0.1 19 34-125 3.7 56.2% 200 7.3% 21 39-176 4.6 62.3% 240 5.3% Average 36-28 106.5 4.7 0.7 24 44-197 4.4 62.2% 288 6.1% 20 34-175 5.2 55.1% 203 3.2% Conference 26-13 -73.0 -4.3 1.3 17 34-133 3.9 56.3% 186 6.3% 22 46-193 4.2 57.5% 199 7.1% Conference 25-13 124.0 4.0 2.0 21 49-220 4.5 63.5% 189 9.6% 17 22-68 3.1 52.6% 218 0.0% Away 16-28 -189.5 -5.8 -0.3 17 35-110 3.1 51.7% 166 6.8% 23 39-212 5.4 64.3% 253 2.9% Home 40-26 200.7 7.0 0.0 26 39-197 5.1 63.4% 354 6.9% 19 44-208 4.8 52.7% 142 4.1%
at Penn St Thomas Woodson 12-23-71-0-1 Kato Nelson 9-39-4.3-0 AJ Coney 2-25-12.5-0 Elon Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0 Ark Pine Bluff Thomas Woodson 15-21-166-1-0 Warren Ball 20-146-7.3-3 Tra'Von Chapman 5-55-11.0-0 at Nevada Logan Woodside 19-27-232-2-0 Terry Swanson 27-101-3.7-2 Cody Thompson 8-101-12.6-1 Iowa St Thomas Woodson 25-40-240-2-1 Warren Ball 11-40-3.6-0 Kwadarrius Smith 3-76-25.3-1 vs. Tulsa Logan Woodside 22-33-458-6-1 Terry Swanson 19-139-7.3-1 Cody Thompson 9-178-19.8-3at Troy Thomas Woodson 20-40-268-1-2 Warren Ball 28-112-4.0-1 Kwadarrius Smith 4-103-25.8-1 at Miami, Fl Logan Woodside 28-48-342-3-0 Terry Swanson 20-79-4.0-0 Cody Thompson 5-114-22.8-0at Bowling Green Thomas Woodson 13-24-168-2-1 Van Edwards 14-70-5.0-1 Austin Wolf 3-68-22.7-1 Bye Ball St Thomas Woodson 17-30-211-2-0 Deltron Sands 6-52-8.7-1 AJ Coney 6-90-15.0-0 vs. Eastern Michigan Logan Woodside 23-34-289-0-0 Art Thompkins 15-94-6.3-1 Diontae Johnson 8-97-12.1-0at Western Michigan Thomas Woodson 13-24-127-1-1 Manny Morgan 12-53-4.4-1 AJ Coney 3-38-12.7-0 at Central Michigan Logan Woodside 10-18-89-0-0 Terry Swanson 23-145-6.3-2 Diontae Johnson 2-32-16.0-0at Toledo Akron Buffalo vs. at Ball Stat Miami, OH Northern Illinois Ohio at Ohio Kent St vs. at Bowling Green Bye Western Michigan
vs.
Thomas Woodson 115-202-1251-9-6 Warren Ball 75-332-4.4-4 Kwadarrius Smith 19-339-17.8-3 Logan Woodside 121-191-1724-11-1 Terry Swanson 100-500-5.0-7 Cody Thompson 28-537-19.2-4Kato Nelson 6-11-123-0-1 Van Edwards 53-190-3.6-2 AJ Coney 25-321-12.8-2 vs. Michael Julian 1-2-2-0-0 Art Thompkins 70-373-5.3-1 Diontae Johnson 30-492-16.4-5Robbie Kelley 2-4-29-0-0 Manny Morgan 38-169-4.4-1 Tra'Von Chapman 26-208-8.0-0 Mitchell Guadagni 0-3-0-0-1 Shakif Seymour 58-324-5.6-3 Jon'Vea Johnson 18-244-13.6-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Akron - 72 17 21 25-96
Toledo - -10 48 33 48-290 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Akron - 55.5 31 22 35-85
Toledo - -9 29 26 45-230 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Akron - 62.5 23 23 30-67
Toledo - -19 35 24 34-132 -1
vs.
Net Offense Defense
Akr
on Z
ips
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Tole
do
Roc
kets
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Total Def at Ohio Score Def at Bowling Green
Bye Sks By Western Michigan
Sks Allowed Akron Buffalo Rush Def at Ball St
Pass Def Northern Illinois
Byeat Troy
Total Off Eastern Michiganat Western Michigan Score Off at Central Michigan Ball St
at Nevada Iowa St Tulsa
at Penn St
Rush Off at Miami, Fl
FOE REC
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Elon
Rockets Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: Toledo Rockets4-3 5-1vs. MACZips Logs
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-TEAM --PS RANK--AP FOE--PS RANK--
vs. MAC
TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS
3-0 2-0
Defense
Score Score
AP TEAM
FOETM REC
FOE REC
Ark Pine BluffAkron
PassingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
TM CONF FOE CONF
Toledo
at Bowling Green Pass Off
0.12
Akron QB/WR
Toledo DB's
Receiving
Akron ToledoRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
0.47
Akron OL
Toledo DL
Akron RB's0.76
Toledo LB's
Akron LB'S0.14
Toledo RB's
Akron DL0.85
Toledo OL
29-35-327
Comp-Att-Yds
302 yards Akron Coaches
Akron
Akron LeadersAkron DB's
Toledo QB/WR
18-36-348
Toledo By 17.2Projected Yardage Total
Las Vegas LineToledo By 14.5
+/- RatingsToledo By 12.0
Akron K
Akron ST's Phil's Forecast:
The home team is 4-1, but LY was that one as Toledo went on the road and trailed 10-3 in the 2Q, but won 48-17. Akron has opened up MAC play at 3-0, despite losing top RB Warren Ball 3 rush attempts into the first conf game. He is still their leading rusher. Akron is on a short week after having last weeks game at Western Michigan moved to Sunday, but it was worth it as the Zips pulled the upset 14-13 in a game they led wire to wire. They are actually -73 ypg in MAC play. Toledo lost their top WR Cody Thompson at the start of their MAC opener, but are 2-0 and +124 ypg in their 2 conf games. Both teams allowed just 13 ppg in MAC play. Despite the scheduling edge for the Rockets, I think Akron keeps this closer than expected.
121 yards AkronProjected Passing Toledo K
30-46-265
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
Toledo Leaders
56.5 Points
Team & Margin
0.97Las Vegas Total
Toledo ST's
1.45
27-38-332
ToledoProjected Final Score
Game Grade277 yards Toledo Coaches
1.35
516 yards
Toledo 516-2776.71Computer Yards
Computer PointsToledo 32-2127 Akron Toledo
32 points
Toledo
at Toledo
at Miami, OH
Kent St Ohio
156 yards
2.53
1.94
Akron Pts
21 points AkronExperience Rankings Toledo Pts
Toledo
214 yards
Akron
Toledo 103Toledo
Ret
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ToledoProjected Rushing
Phil Steele
79 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength
95 Akron Toledo by 10 Toledo 31 Akron 21By 4.78 Points
16-33-158
18-30-259
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Akron Zips
FOE
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 138 5 9/2 3-56 L 127 92 114 27 3 83 0-0 0-0 109 9/2 59-0 W 94 66 220-1 0-0 101 9/9 38-31 W 130 114 114 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 113 9/8 21-44 L 87 47 22 83 63 791-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/16 0-21 L 129 122 46 92 46 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 110 103 9/16 42-30 W 89 59 17 87 98 971-2 2-1 0-0 1-1 98 122 19 9/23 3-42 L 128 119 111 13 25 45 #74 #21 2-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 110 109 9/23 27-20 W 77 66 11 99 83 961-3 2-2 0-0 0-0 96 106 9/30 13-27 L 130 122 85 99 107 124 #125 #101 3-1 0-5 1-0 0-1 112 101 9/30 58-50 W 76 66 14 97 110 1191-4 2-2 0-1 0-0 95 115 10/7 3-24 L 129 122 109 99 61 110 #128 #54 4-1 2-3 1-0 0-1 112 100 10/7 23-26 L 71 67 16 73 91 1211-5 2-4 0-2 1-1 95 105 10/14 17-14 W 130 119 77 101 85 75 #130 #15 4-2 1-5 1-1 1-1 108 98 10/14 48-30 W 66 66 3 103 126 312-5 5-2 1-2 2-1 98 110 10/21 130 103 95 60 63 10 #120 #37 5-2 2-5 2-1 1-2 110 98 10/21 60 63 10 130 103 95
1-6 1-2 96 10/31 98 126 25 #105 #39 2-5 1-2 102 10/31 100 92 8911/4 #68 #107 5-1 2-0 117 11/8 53 82 36
4-3 2-1 113 11/8 70 75 15 #101 #73 4-3 3-0 109 11/14 119 79 1223-4 1-2 102 11/14 90 87 127 #92 #82 11/184-3 3-0 109 11/21 119 79 122 #100 #21 3-4 1-2 108 11/24 106 116 104
#128 #65+3 -1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Clemson 3-56 -545 -29 1 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 Hampton 59-0 312 15 1 22 53-248 4.7 13-19 172 0 7 32-47 1.5 6-24 61 3 Howard 38-31 -53 -2 0 17 53-294 5.5 8-16 105 0 19 48-226 4.7 10-23 226 2 at Purdue 21-44 -162 -2 -2 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 25 44-263 6.0 15-23 295 1at Marshall 0-21 -122 -9 0 14 44-142 3.2 7-17 117 7 23 33-158 4.8 23-43 223 0 Kansas 42-30 -1 -1 0 22 42-196 4.7 16-22 254 1 23 32-108 3.4 30-47 343 5at Louisville 3-42 -389 -12 1 11 54-139 2.6 2-5 11 2 23 27-165 6.1 23-30 374 1 at Eastern Michigan 27-20 18 4 -1 19 46-171 3.7 19-31 197 4 15 27-45 1.7 29-49 305 2 Buffalo 13-27 67 6 0 24 40-124 3.1 19-31 320 4 18 44-235 5.3 11-18 142 0 at UMass 58-50 -71 -5 2 25 40-298 7.5 13-24 181 2 30 37-147 4.0 33-58 403 2at Northern Illinois 3-24 -135 -6 -1 9 43-102 2.4 6-17 29 6 15 50-152 3.0 13-22 114 3 Central Michigan 23-26 33 3 -3 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 Miami, OH 17-14 -7 -7 2 12 44-167 3.8 10-18 161 2 19 34-161 4.7 12-30 174 3 at Bowling Green 48-30 19 -4 2 18 43-335 7.8 7-22 105 0 22 47-229 4.9 17-43 192 2at Ohio Kent St Bowling Green Miami, OH Bye Toledoat Western Michigan at Akron Central Michigan Bye Akron at Buffalo
Average 11-31 -169.1 -8.4 0.4 13 46-155 3.4 48.6% 106 19.3% 22 40-207 5.2 58.2% 224 4.5% Average 40-29 21.1 1.4 -0.1 21 43-230 5.4 57.3% 185 5.6% 20 36-130 3.6 55.6% 264 6.1% Conference 11-22 -25.0 -2.3 0.3 15 42-131 3.1 53.0% 170 18.2% 17 43-183 4.3 51.4% 143 8.6% Conference 33-25 23.3 1.0 -0.7 19 43-232 5.4 51.2% 154 7.1% 18 35-114 3.3 55.9% 249 4.7% Away 2-36 -297.8 -14.0 0.3 10 46-126 2.7 36.4% 40 34.1% 24 38-207 5.4 64.6% 256 3.1% Home 41-19 114.7 5.7 -0.7 22 45-211 4.7 63.9% 195 4.2% 16 32-74 2.3 57.5% 218 9.4%
at Clemson Nick Holley 1-4-1-0-0 Nick Holley 10-53-5.3-0 Justin Rankin 1-1-1.0-0 Hampton Quinton Maxwell 7-9-100-1-1 AJ Ouellette 12-63-5.3-0 Cameron Odom 4-75-18.8-0 Howard Nick Holley 8-16-105-2-0 Nick Holley 21-119-5.7-1 Justin Rankin 4-47-11.8-1 at Purdue Nathan Rourke 16-23-224-1-0 Julian Ross 9-55-6.1-1 Papi White 6-98-16.3-0at Marshall Dustin Crum 3-5-62-0-0 Justin Rankin 6-44-7.3-0 Trey Harrell 1-40-40.0-0 vs. Kansas Nathan Rourke 11-16-152-2-0 AJ Ouellette 10-102-10.2-1 Brendan Cope 5-104-20.8-0at Louisville George Bollas 2-4-11-0-1 Dustin Crum 18-62-3.4-0 Conor Brumfield 1-6-6.0-0 at Eastern Michigan Nathan Rourke 19-32-197-2-0 AJ Ouellette 26-145-5.6-0 Cameron Odom 5-56-11.2-1 Buffalo George Bollas 17-26-242-0-0 Justin Rankin 10-39-3.9-0 Trey Harrell 6-122-20.3-0 at UMass Nathan Rourke 13-24-181-2-0 AJ Ouellette 12-125-10.4-1 Brendan Cope 7-126-18.0-1at Northern Illinois Dustin Crum 2-4-15-0-1 Dustin Crum 15-77-5.1-0 Trey Harrell 2-10-5.0-0 vs. Central Michigan Nathan Rourke 17-31-160-0-1 Nathan Rourke 13-105-8.1-3 Brendan Cope 6-58-9.7-0 Miami, OH George Bollas 9-14-154-2-0 Mike Carrigan 1-61-61.0-0 Mike Carrigan 3-101-33.7-1 at Bowling Green Nathan Rourke 7-22-105-1-2 Nathan Rourke 8-143-17.9-3 Andrew Meyer 3-84-28.0-1at Ohio Kent St Bowling Green vs. Miami, OH Bye Toledoat Western Michigan at Akron Central Michigan vs. Bye Akron at Buffalo
vs.
George Bollas 36-70-476-2-4 Nick Holley 35-207-5.9-1 Trey Harrell 12-219-18.3-0 Nathan Rourke 89-158-1091-8-3 AJ Ouellette 110-661-6.0-5 Brendan Cope 26-347-13.3-2Dustin Crum 8-18-162-1-1 Justin Rankin 56-197-3.5-0 Mike Carrigan 7-143-20.4-1 vs. Quinton Maxwell 13-21-214-2-2 Nathan Rourke 69-435-6.3-12 Andrew Meyer 19-289-15.2-2Nick Holley 9-20-106-2-0 Dustin Crum 57-160-2.8-0 Justin Rankin 17-135-7.9-2 Dorian Brown 61-322-5.3-3 Cameron Odom 17-215-12.6-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kent St - 44.5 10 18 49-163
Ohio - -3 14 13 36-208 -32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kent St - 43.5 0 8 25-80
Ohio - -6.5 27 22 57-333 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kent St - -1.5 14 17 22-31
Ohio - 47.5 17 20 44-175 -42013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kent St - 51 44 29 42-312
Ohio - -6 13 16 34-69 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Kent St 23 -9.5 28 15 38-207
Ohio - 59 6 22 50-107 0
20-33-225
12-29-135
21-37-232
Comp-Att-Yds
9-20-170
18-24-262
Comp-Att-Yds
30-41-264
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
16-31-111
8-14-114
150 yards Kent StProjected Rushing
12-29-101
TEAM --PS RANK--
Ohio 237 yards
Receiving
11-19-127
Comp-Att-Yds
Ohio by 18 Ohio 36 Kent St 18By 11.71 Points
Ohio Phil Steele
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Kent St
61 Kent St Ohio 119Team Schedule StrengthR
etu
rn t
o Ta
ble
of
Con
ten
ts
Projected Box ScoreKent St ST's
68Computer Points
Computer YardsOhio 38 points
Projected Final Score
Ohio 76
0.00
Kent St Pts11.7115 points
Ohio Pts
Projected Yardage Total257 yards Kent St Ohio 425 yards Ohio Coaches
Kent StExperience Rankings
Ohio By 19.2
188 yardsProjected Passing
Game Grade
107 yards Kent St Ohio
45.5 PointsOhio K
Kent St K
+/- RatingsOhio By 16.0
Phil's Forecast:
Ohio Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Kent St LeadersOhio QB/WR
Kent St DB's0.66
Team & Margin
1.00Las Vegas Line
Played every yr s/’49. LY Ohio led 14-0 w/7:35 2Q. Kent St cut it to 4 w/6:36 3Q (no scoring rest of the way). Kent St lost QB Nick Holley very early in the 3rd game of the season and they have played 7, but he is still their leading rusher. OU has the edges on offense, defense and special teams. Kent has faced the tougher schedule (#61 vs #119) and yet they are holding foes to 2 yards below their season average (have faced Clemson, Louisville) and Ohio is allowing foes 71 ypg above their season average. Kent is just -25 ypg in MAC games and Ohio just +21.
Ohio ST's Ohio By 19.5
1.62
Kent St Coaches1.85
Ohio 425-257
Ohio 38-15
Las Vegas Total
Kent St LB'S1.56
Ohio RB's
Kent St DL1.90
Ohio OL
Kent St OL0.94
Ohio DL
Kent St RB's1.73
Ohio LB's
Kent St QB/WR0.45
Ohio DB's
Kent St Ohio RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
FOE
NCAA RANKINGS1-2 2-1 TM
RECFOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF
--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
FOE
FOEFOE +/-
AP
FOE
Bobcats Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: Ohio Bobcats5-2vs. MAC vs. MACGolden Flashes Logs
Kent St Golden Flashes 2-5
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Hamptonat Clemson
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
HowardKent St Ohio
at Purdueat Marshall Kansas
Rush Off at Eastern Michigan Buffalo Pass Off at UMassat Louisville
Total Off Central Michigan Miami, OH Score Off at Bowling Greenat Northern Illinois
at Ohio Sks Allowed Kent St Bowling Green Rush Def Miami, OH Bye Pass Def Toledoat Western Michigan Total Def at Akron
Score Def Bye Akron Sks By at Buffalo
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Ken
t S
t G
old
en F
lash
es
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Oh
io B
obca
ts
Net Offense
Central Michigan
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/1 20-23 L 102 89 75 68 29 67 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 112 9/2 10-35 L 99 118 65 67 60 1180-1 0-0 110 9/9 38-10 W 103 86 75 0-1 0-0 104 9/9 27-35 L 113 122 651-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/16 21-17 W 97 77 64 55 42 27 0-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 119 9/16 7-49 L 105 121 43 39 31 742-1 0-0 115 9/23 106 65 99 #64 #87 0-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 96 102 9/23 13-24 L 112 126 31 121 86 632-1 4-0 0-0 1-0 115 120 19 9/30 28-34 L 103 62 101 87 60 34 #86 #62 0-4 1-3 0-0 0-0 96 98 9/30 23-34 L 113 126 28 107 102 1212-2 1-4 0-0 0-1 115 95 10/7 24-3 W 99 61 110 129 122 109 #95 #89 0-5 2-3 0-1 1-0 93 110 10/7 37-29 W 111 125 21 109 80 773-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 115 108 10/14 14-13 W 100 51 115 90 114 102 #94 #113 1-5 4-2 1-1 1-1 98 108 10/14 30-48 L 103 126 31 66 66 34-2 1-6 2-0 1-2 115 96 10/21 103 42 117 98 126 25 #63 #90 1-6 4-2 1-2 2-0 96 115 10/21 98 126 25 103 42 117
2-4 0-2 111 10/26 116 78 105 #9 #125 2-5 1-2 98 10/31 130 103 955-1 2-0 117 11/2 53 82 36 #27 #112 3-4 1-2 108 11/7 106 116 1042-4 0-2 95 11/9 121 108 99 #7 #125 11/114-3 2-1 113 11/15 70 75 15 #12 #113 5-1 2-0 117 11/15 53 82 363-4 1-2 102 11/24 90 87 127 #16 #111 2-4 0-2 111 11/21 116 78 105
#37 #123-2 +1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Boston College 20-23 28 -3 0 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 at Michigan St 10-35 -253 -16 2 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 1 Eastern Illinois 38-10 312 10 0 26 47-230 4.9 24-35 269 1 16 45-60 1.3 14-32 127 3 South Dakota 27-35 -44 -5 -3 23 35-161 4.6 21-50 315 4 28 52-214 4.1 19-34 306 3at Nebraska 21-17 -171 -5 2 13 31-85 2.7 15-23 128 2 18 36-85 2.4 25-47 299 3 at Northwestern 7-49 -326 -9 1 21 30-96 3.2 27-44 256 3 30 43-303 7.0 24-31 375 2 Bye at Middle Tennessee 13-24 -249 -13 3 14 29-1 0.0 21-35 283 3 27 43-243 5.7 24-32 290 1at San Diego St 28-34 166 13 -4 23 46-160 3.5 24-40 269 4 10 38-127 3.3 10-20 136 1 Akron 23-34 15 -2 -1 17 41-181 4.4 24-38 195 1 19 40-178 4.5 14-25 183 1 Kent St 24-3 135 6 1 15 50-152 3.0 13-22 114 3 9 43-102 2.4 6-17 29 6 at Miami, OH 37-29 -107 -11 1 26 41-275 6.7 12-26 230 1 37 44-238 5.4 24-43 374 0at Buffalo 14-13 58 13 -1 28 56-217 3.9 20-31 224 2 15 27-39 1.4 21-34 344 4 Ohio 30-48 -19 4 -2 22 47-229 4.9 17-43 192 2 18 43-335 7.8 7-22 105 0at Bowling Green Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan at Kent Stat Toledo at Buffalo Ball St Bye Western Michigan Toledoat Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Average 24-17 88.0 5.7 -0.3 21 44-168 3.8 58.9% 201 6.3% 15 40-94 2.3 53.1% 188 9.9% Average 21-36 -140.4 -7.4 0.1 19 35-144 4.1 49.4% 231 5.6% 26 44-247 5.5 60.1% 269 3.6% Conference 19-8 96.5 9.5 0.0 22 53-185 3.5 62.3% 169 9.4% 12 35-71 2.0 52.9% 187 19.6% Conference 30-37 -37.0 -3.0 -0.7 22 43-228 5.3 49.5% 206 3.7% 25 42-250 5.9 50.0% 221 1.1% Away 21-21 17.7 7.0 -1.0 21 44-154 3.5 62.8% 207 8.5% 14 34-84 2.5 55.4% 260 7.9% Home 27-39 -16.0 -1.0 -2.0 21 41-190 4.6 47.3% 234 5.3% 22 45-242 5.4 49.4% 198 4.9%
Boston College Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Ryan Graham 12-99-8.3-0 Chad Beebe 6-93-15.5-0 at Michigan St James Morgan 10-31-145-0-1 Andrew Clair 4-22-5.5-0 Datrin Guyton 2-40-20.0-0 Eastern Illinois Daniel Santacaterina 23-34-252-3-1 Jordan Huff 11-88-8.0-0 DJ Brown 7-88-12.6-0 South Dakota James Morgan 21-50-315-2-1 Josh Cleveland 10-87-8.7-0 Datrin Guyton 5-158-31.6-0at Nebraska Daniel Santacaterina 15-22-128-0-0 Jordan Huff 16-105-6.6-1 Christian Blake 5-77-15.4-0 vs. at Northwestern James Morgan 15-26-166-0-0 Josh Cleveland 12-54-4.5-1 Datrin Guyton 3-47-15.7-0 Bye at Middle Tennessee Jarret Doege 21-35-283-1-0 Josh Cleveland 12-38-3.2-0 Scott Miller 8-112-14.0-1at San Diego St Daniel Santacaterina 24-39-269-3-3 Jordan Huff 25-148-5.9-0 Christian Blake 13-160-12.3-2 Akron James Morgan 17-28-163-2-1 Josh Cleveland 20-94-4.7-0 Scott Miller 10-60-6.0-0 Kent St Marcus Childers 13-21-114-3-1 Marcus Childers 17-65-3.8-0 Shane Wimann 4-53-13.3-1 vs. at Miami, OH James Morgan 11-25-222-3-1 Andrew Clair 16-121-7.6-0 Teo Redding 8-197-24.6-2at Buffalo Marcus Childers 20-31-224-1-0 Marcus Childers 27-79-2.9-1 DJ Brown 5-53-10.6-0 Ohio James Morgan 16-41-182-1-1 Andrew Clair 18-148-8.2-2 Scott Miller 6-95-15.8-0at Bowling Green Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan vs. at Kent Stat Toledo at Buffalo Ball St Bye Western Michigan vs. Toledoat Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan
vs.
Daniel Santacaterina 62-96-649-6-5 Jordan Huff 85-450-5.3-1 Christian Blake 24-286-11.9-3 James Morgan 90-201-1193-8-5 Josh Cleveland 94-490-5.2-2 Teo Redding 29-426-14.7-3Marcus Childers 34-54-355-4-1 Marcus Childers 56-202-3.6-2 Spencer Tears 22-248-11.3-3 vs. Jarret Doege 39-62-387-1-1 Andrew Clair 48-346-7.2-2 Scott Miller 37-406-11.0-2Ryan Graham 15-38-190-2-1 Marcus Jones 35-150-4.3-2 DJ Brown 22-196-8.9-1 Grant Loy 2-3-18.1-0-1 Donovan Wilson 36-118-3.3-0 Datrin Guyton 16-284-17.8-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northern Illinois - -17 45 29 49-286
Bowling Green - 71.5 20 20 35-90 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northern Illinois - 69.5 14 17 38-107
Bowling Green - -14 34 25 53-266 32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northern Illinois - -6.5 51 29 51-334
Bowling Green - 62 17 13 35-124 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northern Illinois 16 -4.5 27 29 42-235
Bowling Green - 58 47 27 40-181 1
21-40-219
21-27-393
Comp-Att-Yds
21-31-193
21-43-224
Bowling Green
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds
Team Schedule Strength
Experience Rankings
12-28-152
13-25-163
Huskies Logs
Projected Passing247 yards
25-37-235
N Illinois by 15 Northern Illinois 32 Bowling Green 17By 4.13 Points
N Illinois 32-19
Phil Steele
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Prior to LY, the L/3 mtgs had all been in MAC Championships (Detroit) NIU is on a 22-2 run in MAC away gms. LY NIU led 17-13 late 2Q, but won 45-20. Northern is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Marcus Childers has taken over at QB for NIU and hit 20-31-224 with 79 yards rush last week. BG has faced the slightly tougher schedule (#78 vs #101) and does have a large ST edge (#25 vs #117). NIU has a huge edge on defense allowing just 281 ypg and holding foes to 71 ypg below their season average, while BG is 516 ypg and 153 ypg above what foes normally gain. Last year BG got the run game going in the final 3 games 329 ypg rush and this year after just 101 ypg rush the first 5 games have 252 ypg the last 2 and 5.8 ypc.
Bowling Green ST's
N Illinois Coaches
N Illinois101 N Illinois Bowling Green 78
114 N Illinois Bowling Green 52
19 points N Illinois 469-351Projected Final Score
7.64
N Illinois Pts3.51
Bowling Green Pts
32 points N Illinois
29-49-218Game Grade
469 yards N Illinois Bowling Green 351 yards Bowling Green Coaches
2.00N Illinois Bowling Green 245 yards
Comp-Att-Yds Projected Yardage Total223 yards
N Illinois 1.73
Bowling Green K
Bowling Green 106 yardsN Illinois K
Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin
Computer Yards
55 PointsLas Vegas Total
N Illinois By 15.5
N Illinois By 13.5
N Illinois By 13
+/- Ratings
Bowling Green Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) N Illinois ST's1.74
N Illinois LeadersBowling Green QB/WR
N Illinois DB's
Las Vegas Line
Bowling Green RB's
0.03
0.42
N Illinois LB'S
0.99
N Illinois DL
Bowling Green OL
1.71
N Illinois OL
Bowling Green DL
Passing
1.03
N Illinois RB's
Bowling Green LB's
N Illinois Bowling Green
1.49
N Illinois QB/WR
Bowling Green DB's
Defense
Receiving
Score
RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
FOE
NCAA RANKINGS2-0 1-2 TM
RECFOE REC TM CONF FOE CONF
--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
FOE
FOEFOE +/-
AP
FOE
TEAM --PS RANK--
vs. MAC vs. MAC Falcons Logs
Bowling Green Falcons4-2 1-6OVERALL: OVERALL:N Illinois Huskies
2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Michigan St Boston College
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
N Illinois Bowling Green South Dakota
at Nebraska at NorthwesternRush Off at Middle Tennessee
at San Diego St Pass Off Akron Bye
Total Off at Miami, OHat Buffalo Score Off Ohio Kent St
Sks Allowed Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan Rush Def at Kent Stat Bowling Green
Pass Def at Buffalo Ball St Total Def Byeat Toledo
Score Def Toledoat Central Michigan Sks By at Eastern Michigan Western Michigan
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
N I
llin
ois
Hu
skie
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Bow
ling
Gre
en F
alco
ns
Net Offense
Score
Eastern Illinois
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 137 4 9/2 31-49 L 106 59 85 5 6 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 90 9/1 24-7 W 95 78 51 122 120 1230-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 115 9/9 14-28 L 108 72 85 58 35 118 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 107 106 9/9 16-13 W 94 80 51 99 76 690-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 115 100 9/16 37-28 W 119 84 29 113 124 59 2-0 0-0 109 9/16 95 80 991-2 0-0 114 9/23 49-14 W 117 91 27 #20 #126 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 109 110 9/23 20-27 L 99 83 96 77 66 112-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 114 103 9/30 55-3 W 98 86 20 96 117 80 #105 #37 2-1 3-1 0-1 1-1 107 121 9/30 20-24 L 106 80 75 68 36 313-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 118 107 10/7 71-68 W 94 79 23 95 107 124 #53 #105 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-0 109 116 10/7 15-20 L 112 73 79 50 103 224-2 3-3 2-0 2-0 117 105 10/14 13-14 L 82 78 7 114 90 123 #19 #116 2-3 4-2 0-2 0-0 110 113 10/14 27-28 L 115 68 105 92 107 554-3 2-4 2-1 0-2 113 111 10/21 70 75 15 116 78 105 #37 #28 2-4 4-3 0-2 2-1 111 113 10/21 116 78 105 70 75 15
10/28 #48 #90 4-2 2-0 115 10/26 103 42 1173-4 1-2 102 11/1 90 87 127 #84 #5 2-4 0-2 95 11/2 121 108 992-5 1-2 98 11/8 130 103 95 #57 #33 3-4 1-2 102 11/8 90 87 1274-2 2-0 115 11/15 103 42 117 #84 #29 2-5 1-2 102 11/15 100 92 895-1 2-0 117 11/24 53 82 36 #42 #31 1-6 1-2 96 11/21 98 126 25
#52 #68+5 -2
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at USC 31-49 -164 -1 1 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 Charlotte 24-7 113 6 1 19 41-126 3.1 22-31 267 1 13 35-166 4.7 12-29 114 2at Michigan St 14-28 -262 -10 1 11 36-116 3.2 12-27 79 4 21 49-296 6.0 13-21 161 2 at Rutgers 16-13 48 4 1 19 35-114 3.3 19-37 260 1 15 30-128 4.3 17-38 198 1 Idaho 37-28 -52 5 2 20 42-135 3.2 21-31 212 2 15 34-170 5.0 16-26 229 4 Bye Wagner 49-14 414 12 -1 23 51-362 7.1 11-12 165 0 11 35-56 1.6 8-16 57 2 Ohio 20-27 -18 -4 1 15 27-45 1.7 29-49 305 2 19 46-171 3.7 19-31 197 4 Ball St 55-3 176 6 2 21 43-169 3.9 15-21 245 0 15 30-63 2.1 23-43 175 3 at Kentucky 20-24 84 4 -2 20 27-13 0.5 27-47 299 5 16 37-53 1.4 18-27 175 5at Buffalo 71-68 -38 3 0 33 68-376 5.5 24-31 269 1 30 33-86 2.6 35-61 597 0 at Toledo 15-20 -93 -3 -2 21 23-73 3.2 24-40 253 0 24 42-130 3.1 23-34 289 4 Akron 13-14 211 12 0 26 53-244 4.6 17-29 182 2 14 31-88 2.8 13-24 127 2 at Army West Point 27-28 -49 0 -1 21 26-135 5.2 19-27 229 0 21 61-413 6.8 0-5 0 0at Eastern Michigan Western Michigan Bye at Northern Illinois Central Michigan Ball St Kent St at Central Michiganat Northern Illinois at Miami, OHat Toledo Bowling Green
Average 39-29 40.7 3.9 0.7 23 49-238 4.9 64.4% 178 5.7% 19 35-142 4.0 58.5% 234 6.7% Average 20-20 14.2 1.2 -0.3 19 30-84 2.8 60.6% 269 3.9% 18 42-177 4.2 54.3% 162 9.8% Conference 46-28 116.3 7.0 0.7 27 55-263 4.8 69.1% 232 3.7% 20 31-79 2.5 55.5% 300 3.9% Conference 18-24 -55.5 -3.5 -0.5 18 25-59 2.4 59.6% 279 2.2% 22 44-151 3.4 64.6% 243 12.3% Away 39-48 -154.7 -2.7 0.7 23 51-252 5.0 59.3% 147 7.4% 25 39-205 5.3 61.7% 349 3.5% Home 22-17 47.5 1.0 1.0 17 34-86 2.5 63.8% 286 3.8% 16 41-169 4.2 51.7% 156 10.0%
at USC Jon Wassink 11-22-67-0-1 LeVante Bellamy 9-102-11.3-0 Anton Curtis 3-30-10.0-0 Charlotte Brogan Roback 22-31-267-0-1 Shaq Vann 23-90-3.9-0 Sergio Bailey 5-78-15.6-0at Michigan St Jon Wassink 11-26-79-0-1 LeVante Bellamy 12-67-5.6-0 D'Wayne Eskridge 4-42-10.5-0 at Rutgers Brogan Roback 19-36-260-1-0 Shaq Vann 16-67-4.2-0 Sergio Bailey 5-107-21.4-0 Idaho Jon Wassink 21-31-212-1-0 Jamauri Bogan 17-47-2.8-0 Giovanni Ricci 7-66-9.4-0 vs. Bye Wagner Jon Wassink 11-12-165-3-0 Jamauri Bogan 14-132-9.4-1 D'Wayne Eskridge 2-92-46.0-0 Ohio Brogan Roback 28-47-271-1-1 Shaq Vann 10-29-2.9-0 Sergio Bailey 7-82-11.7-1 Ball St Jon Wassink 14-20-240-3-0 Jamauri Bogan 13-69-5.3-0 Keishawn Watson 5-93-18.6-2 at Kentucky Brogan Roback 26-43-256-1-2 Ian Eriksen 18-40-2.2-1 Sergio Bailey 8-80-10.0-1at Buffalo Jon Wassink 23-29-256-5-1 Jarvion Franklin 37-176-4.8-3 D'Wayne Eskridge 4-97-24.3-1 vs. at Toledo Brogan Roback 23-39-226-2-2 Ian Eriksen 9-54-6.0-0 Sergio Bailey 4-72-18.0-0 Akron Jon Wassink 17-29-182-1-1 Jarvion Franklin 31-130-4.2-0 D'Wayne Eskridge 7-93-13.3-1 at Army West Point Brogan Roback 19-27-229-4-1 Ian Eriksen 20-107-5.4-0 Sergio Bailey 8-99-12.4-2at Eastern Michigan Western Michigan Bye vs. at Northern Illinois Central Michigan Ball St Kent St at Central Michiganat Northern Illinois vs. at Miami, OHat Toledo Bowling Green
vs.
Jon Wassink 108-169-1201-13-4 Jarvion Franklin 121-538-4.4-6 D'Wayne Eskridge 24-445-18.5-3 Brogan Roback 137-223-1509-9-7 Ian Eriksen 60-249-4.2-4 Sergio Bailey 37-518-14.0-4Keishawn Watson 2-2-40-2-0 Jamauri Bogan 91-462-5.1-2 Keishawn Watson 28-250-8.9-5 vs. Isaac Holder 2-2-61-0-0 Shaq Vann 58-210-3.6-0 Antoine Porter 23-303-13.2-3Alex Mussat 1-1-5-0-0 LeVante Bellamy 49-394-8.0-3 Donnie Ernsberger 16-179-11.2-3 Jaron Johnson 1-1-43-1-0 Breck Turner 22-79-3.6-0 Mathew Sexton 15-201-13.4-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan 20 -24 45 29 38-163
Eastern Michigan - 59.5 31 23 30-142 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - -20 58 26 36-279
Eastern Michigan - 64 28 26 39-226 -42014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - -27 51 21 42-137
Eastern Michigan - 56.5 7 14 37-87 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - -2.5 32 25 38-120
Eastern Michigan - 58.5 35 23 45-267 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Western Michigan - -14 23 24 20-115
Eastern Michigan - 62.5 29 20 49-195 2
29-45-319
24-40-348
9-22-136
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
18-24-316
18-30-263
Comp-Att-Yds
29-50-328
14-22-174
18-20-360
14-22-283
Team Schedule StrengthW Michigan E Michigan
Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
E Michigan
Comp-Att-Yds
110
113
2.34
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
E Michigan Coaches
W Michigan Pts
E Michigan Pts
E Michigan 367 yards
30
0.40
1.39
0.85
89 yardsProjected Passing
144 yards
Western Michigan 24 Eastern Michigan 20
W Michigan 23-21
W Michigan by 4
E Michigan 367-327
0.70
W Michigan K
W Michigan
W Michigan Coaches
1.05
9.33
+/- Ratings
E Michigan
Phil's Forecast:
W Michigan RB's
E Michigan LB's
E Michigan DL
W Michigan OL
W Michigan LB'S
E Michigan RB's
Game Grade
Computer Yards
Offense
Phil Steele
Computer Points
E Michigan Leaders
By Game Yardage Leaders
Team & Margin
Las Vegas Total49.5 Points
FOETM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--
at Central Michiganat Miami, OH
TM RECFOE
TM CONF
FOE CONF
FOE REC
Bowling Green
Pass Def
NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS
at Northern Illinois Ball St
Sks AllowedRush Def
Score Off
W Michigan E Michigan
Total Def
E Michigan OL
E Michigan ST's
W Michigan DL
W Michigan ST's
E Michigan DB's
Rush OffPass Off
Total Off
0.95
5.22
By 6.99 Points68
W Michigan Leaders
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders
TM +/-TEAM
W Michigan Broncos E Michigan EaglesEagles LogsBroncos Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL:
vs. MAC4-3 2-4
vs. MAC
FOE +/-
AP
FOE
--PS RANK-- FOE 0-22-1
at USC
Position by Position Edges
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
W M
ich
igan
Bro
nco
s
E M
ich
igan
Eag
les
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score DefSks By
at Michigan St
29-35-398
W MichiganPassing Rushing
W Michigan QB/WR
Comp-Att-Yds
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
0.52
Net Offense Defense
Receiving
Projected Yardage TotalW Michigan E Michigan
327 yards W Michigan E Michigan By 1.7
The home team is actually 8-3 in this series despite EM being just 3-17 in MAC HG’s and WM is 19-6 in the series including 3 straight wins. WMich played a 7 OT game two weeks ago and last week had the game moved to Sunday and lost in front of a sparse crowd and now play on a short week. EM has impressed each week. WM has the offensive edge and EMichigan has the edge on D. WM has my #15 rated special teams and Eastern is #105. WM is allowing 4.0 ypc rush and EM is 4.2. WM’s top 3 RB's have combined for 1,397 yards rush and 5.4 ypc and EM’s top 3 just 538 (3.8) with WM QB Jon Wassink having a 13-4 ratio and EM’s Brogan Roback just 9-7. WM is the stronger team and grabs the road win.
E Michigan By 0.3
Projected Final Score
184 yards
279 yards
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
0.59
W Michigan DB's
E Michigan QB/WR
E Michigan KW Michigan
Experience Rankings21 pointsE MichiganW Michigan
W Michigan E Michigan
23 points
Idaho Wagner Ball Stat Buffalo Akronat Eastern Michigan Bye Central Michigan Kent Stat Northern Illinoisat Toledo
Charlotteat Rutgers Bye Ohio at Kentuckyat Toledoat Army West Point Western Michigan
Las Vegas LineW Michigan By 3
Net
Rushing
Defense
Receiving
Score
Passing
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 135 2 8/31 21-49 L 74 31 32 3 4 46 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 106 9/2 35-10 W 67 60 118 99 118 650-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 113 112 9/9 34-17 W 85 42 32 106 57 83 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 28-14 W 58 35 118 108 72 851-1 0-1 117 9/16 94 39 35 2-0 0-0 118 9/16 41 26 1261-1 0-2 0-1 0-0 117 93 9/23 52-17 W 100 38 18 130 124 79 #91 #40 2-0 2-1 0-0 1-1 118 133 9/23 18-38 L 41 16 127 7 22 702-1 4-0 0-1 1-0 119 138 4 9/30 14-45 L 92 48 12 9 10 8 #55 #92 2-1 3-1 0-0 0-1 117 124 9/30 17-10 W 36 18 111 59 33 182-2 0-2 118 10/7 27-0 W 92 43 25 #80 #79 3-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 131 7 10/7 14-10 W 39 21 111 45 2 133-2 4-1 0-2 1-1 118 127 17 10/14 20-27 L 87 38 37 42 2 12 #73 #98 4-1 3-2 2-0 0-2 124 118 21 10/14 30-27 W 39 18 121 99 42 253-3 5-1 0-3 3-0 119 124 18 10/21 92 44 26 40 15 112 #76 #15 5-1 3-3 3-0 0-3 124 119 18 10/21 40 15 112 92 44 26
3-3 1-2 111 10/28 68 61 76 #78 #8 3-3 1-2 124 10/28 46 31 606-0 3-0 134 11/4 20 10 66 #19 #14 6-0 3-0 141 11/4 16 4 52-4 0-3 100 11/11 111 91 59 #39 #5 6-1 4-0 144 11/11 2 5 522-4 1-2 107 11/18 83 64 56 #65 #18 3-3 1-2 111 11/18 68 61 763-3 1-2 123 11/25 86 65 81 #53 #42 2-4 1-2 107 11/25 83 64 56
#55 #22-9 0
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Ohio St 21-49 -159 -1 -3 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 Bowling Green 35-10 253 16 -2 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 1 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1at Virginia 34-17 4 -3 -1 19 41-121 3.0 19-30 197 4 22 25-55 2.2 39-66 259 1 Western Michigan 28-14 262 10 -1 21 49-296 6.0 13-21 161 2 11 36-116 3.2 12-27 79 4 Bye Bye GA Southern 52-17 92 5 3 20 47-282 6.0 11-22 185 0 15 54-242 4.5 7-16 133 3 Notre Dame 18-38 141 5 -3 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1at Penn St 14-45 -18 -1 -3 19 47-177 3.8 15-32 175 1 20 37-39 1.1 24-37 331 5 Iowa 17-10 69 8 2 19 40-88 2.2 18-28 212 2 11 25-19 0.8 17-32 212 3 Charleston Southern 27-0 344 19 -3 25 45-157 3.5 32-41 321 1 6 44-134 3.0 0-10 0 3 at Michigan 14-10 -48 -4 5 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 Michigan 20-27 -51 -3 -2 14 29-80 2.8 21-43 198 2 17 44-271 6.2 10-20 58 0 at Minnesota 30-27 75 5 -1 19 50-245 4.9 9-18 120 0 14 27-74 2.7 16-32 216 2at Michigan St Indianaat Maryland at Northwestern Wisconsin Penn Stat Illinois at Ohio St Rutgers Marylandat Purdue at Rutgers
Average 28-26 35.3 2.7 -1.5 20 39-139 3.5 59.3% 249 5.5% 18 43-172 4.1 54.3% 181 7.1% Average 24-18 125.3 6.7 0.0 21 43-192 4.5 59.0% 197 3.9% 14 32-93 2.9 48.0% 171 8.5% Conference 18-40 -76.0 -1.7 -2.7 19 34-91 2.7 54.5% 264 5.6% 21 44-201 4.6 58.7% 231 6.5% Conference 20-16 32.0 3.0 2.0 17 43-164 3.8 55.9% 142 2.9% 14 30-65 2.1 49.5% 209 9.1% Away 24-31 -7.0 -2.0 -2.0 19 44-149 3.4 54.8% 186 8.1% 21 31-47 1.5 61.2% 295 5.8% Home 25-18 181.3 9.8 -1.0 23 42-188 4.5 61.6% 242 5.1% 13 31-96 3.1 48.2% 152 8.2%
Ohio St Richard Lagow 40-65-410-3-2 Morgan Ellison 7-24-3.4-0 Simmie Cobbs 11-149-13.5-1 Bowling Green Brian Lewerke 22-33-250-3-0 Brian Lewerke 8-69-8.6-0 Darrell Stewart 6-85-14.2-0at Virginia Peyton Ramsey 16-20-173-2-0 Morgan Ellison 12-47-3.9-0 Simmie Cobbs 5-62-12.4-1 Western Michigan Brian Lewerke 13-21-161-1-1 LJ Scott 18-86-4.8-1 Felton Davis 4-69-17.3-0 Bye vs. Bye GA Southern Richard Lagow 0-0-0-0-0 Whop Philyor 0-0-0.0-0 Whop Philyor 0-0-0.0-0 Notre Dame Brian Lewerke 31-51-340-2-1 LJ Scott 11-61-5.5-0 Hunter Rison 4-73-18.3-0at Penn St Richard Lagow 8-13-130-1-0 Morgan Ellison 25-186-7.4-2 Ian Thomas 2-79-39.5-1 Iowa Brian Lewerke 18-28-212-2-0 Brian Lewerke 12-42-3.5-0 Felton Davis 9-114-12.7-2 Charleston Southern Richard Lagow 7-15-97-0-0 Peyton Ramsey 12-53-4.4-0 Ian Thomas 5-91-18.2-0 vs. at Michigan Brian Lewerke 11-22-94-1-0 Brian Lewerke 15-61-4.1-1 Darrell Stewart 3-42-14.0-0 Michigan Peyton Ramsey 32-41-321-2-1 Peyton Ramsey 15-54-3.6-1 Taysir Mack 7-111-15.9-2 at Minnesota Brian Lewerke 9-18-120-0-1 LJ Scott 25-194-7.8-2 Felton Davis 2-35-17.5-0at Michigan St Peyton Ramsey 20-41-178-1-2 Morgan Ellison 14-68-4.9-1 Luke Timian 7-95-13.6-0 Indianaat Maryland vs. at Northwestern Wisconsin Penn Stat Illinois at Ohio St Rutgers vs. Marylandat Purdue at Rutgers
vs.
Peyton Ramsey 81-130-815-7-4 Morgan Ellison 83-426-5.1-3 Simmie Cobbs 37-409-11.1-3 Brian Lewerke 104-173-1177-9-3 LJ Scott 83-408-4.9-3 Felton Davis 24-300-12.5-4Richard Lagow 59-104-681-4-3 Peyton Ramsey 63-195-3.1-2 Ian Thomas 17-260-15.3-3 vs. Trishton Jackson 1-1-5-0-0 Brian Lewerke 57-318-5.6-3 Darrell Stewart 21-237-11.3-1Mike Majette 0-1-0.1-0-0 Cole Gest 25-153-6.1-0 Luke Timian 29-235-8.1-0 Damion Terry 0-3-0.1-0-0 Madre London 54-229-4.2-2 Hunter Rison 9-130-14.4-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - 52 24 19 39-156
Michigan St 17 -6.5 21 21 41-175 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - 61.5 26 20 23-81
Michigan St 7 -16 52 33 44-142 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - 60.5 17 7 33-213
Michigan St 8 -16 56 30 51-330 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Indiana - 53.5 28 19 27-92
Michigan St - -9.5 42 24 47-238 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Indiana - 48.5 27 19 19-35
Michigan St - -15 31 24 42-120 0
Comp-Att-Yds
25-47-259
22-31-235
Comp-Att-Yds
33-48-282
24-40-290
17-28-281
Comp-Att-Yds
24-32-332
Indiana HoosiersHoosiers Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
5-16-11
Comp-Att-Yds
23-37-308
Net
Michigan St RB's
0.09
Indiana LB'S
Indiana DB's
Rutgers Score Def
Indiana OL
Michigan St DL
Michigan St OL
Indiana DL
Marylandat Purdue Sks By at Rutgers
Wisconsin Pass Def Penn Stat Illinois Total Def at Ohio St
at Michigan St Sks Allowed Indianaat Maryland Rush Def at Northwestern
Charleston Southern Total Off at Michigan Michigan Score Off at Minnesota
GA Southern Rush Off Notre Dameat Penn St Pass Off Iowa
Ohio St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Bowling Greenat Virginia
Indiana Michigan St Western Michigan
Bye Bye
TM CONF
TEAM
Michigan St Spartansvs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10
OVERALL:
TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEFOE +/-
APFOE CONF
Spartans Logs
OVERALL:
3-3 5-1
TM RECTM +/- FOE +/-
AP
FOE
FOE 0-3NCAA RANKINGS
--PS RANK--
Defense
3-0
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Mic
hig
an S
t S
par
tan
s
Net Offense
TM +/-FOE
FOE REC
Score
Ypg Diff
Offense Defense
Score
Ind
ian
a H
oosi
ers
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Michigan St Leaders
By Game Yardage Leaders
Indiana Leaders
2.18
0.55
Michigan St DB's
Indiana RB's
Projected Passing
1.33
Total TO's
Rushing Position by Position Edges
Michigan St LB's
IndianaReceivingPassing Rushing
0.44
Michigan St QB/WR
1.86
Michigan StIndiana QB/WR
0.43
Comp-Att-Yds
21-35-263
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Indiana Michigan St 210 yards
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score
Michigan St 195 yards49 yards Indiana
30-52-398
Projected Rushing
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas TotalIndiana K
Michigan St K
Indiana ST's
Michigan St ST's
Phil's Forecast:
Mich St had a 7 game series win streak snapped last year in Bloomington. Down 7 Mich St forced OT with a a 75/13pl drive w/:11. In OT MSU missed a 49 yd FG & 6pl later IU hit a GW 20 yd’er. Michigan rates the edge on offense, defense and home edge and Indy on special teams. Mich St has faced the #15 schedule. Indy allows just 4.1 ypc rush and 54% completions, but Mich St is stronger at 2.9 ypc and 48%. Indy gains 69 ypg above what their opponents normally allow and Mich St just 24. The Spartans are 3-0 in Big Ten play, but their wins have been by 7, 4, and 3 and they are only +32 ypg. Indy has taken on 3 of the leagues top teams in Ohio St, Penn St and Michigan and versus the latter two were only outgained by 18 and 51 yards. I will call for the Hoosiers to keep this closer than expected.
Michigan St By 7.5
Team & Margin
Michigan St 405-278
Michigan St 26-18
Michigan St By 7
45.5 Points
Michigan St By 9.3
Computer Yards
Computer Points
229 yardsProjected Yardage Total
278 yards Indiana Michigan St 405 yardsProjected Final Score
18 points
Game Grade2.50
Indiana Coaches
Michigan St Coaches
+/- Ratings
1.30
Experience Rankings129
Michigan StIndiana 26 points
47 Indiana Michigan St
7.44
Michigan St Pts
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
3.25
Indiana Pts
15Team Schedule Strength Michigan St
19 Indiana Michigan St Michigan St by 3 Michigan St 23 Indiana 20By 4.18 Points
Phil Steele
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 95 9/2 38-7 W 128 114 121 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 90 106 9/1 7-24 L 122 120 123 95 78 511-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 97 101 9/9 31-51 L 128 95 121 109 124 59 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 91 133 19 9/9 7-55 L 120 118 123 33 68 11-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 96 9/16 30-23 W 124 94 127 125 127 100 0-2 0-0 91 9/16 31-35 L 122 119 872-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 96 101 9/23 43-46 L 115 92 112 81 89 89 #27 #47 0-3 0-2 0-0 0-0 91 92 9/23 0-28 L 122 120 104 127 122 1292-2 0-1 97 9/30 110 98 128 #95 #124 0-4 2-1 0-0 1-0 86 102 9/30 29-30 L 124 121 84 119 106 952-2 3-2 0-1 1-0 97 113 10/7 23-22 W 107 96 115 66 86 71 #70 #120 0-5 3-1 0-1 0-0 89 110 10/7 3-14 L 114 121 114 93 51 383-2 3-3 1-1 1-1 100 103 10/14 25-23 W 110 93 127 102 77 72 #49 #126 0-6 3-2 0-2 1-1 90 109 10/14 14-45 L 117 121 81 120 76 204-2 0-7 2-1 0-3 100 101 10/21 97 85 128 113 122 98 #76 #103 0-7 4-2 0-3 2-1 89 100 10/21 113 122 98 97 85 128
4-2 2-1 109 10/28 49 68 114 #73 #93 10/281-5 1-1 91 11/4 118 106 108 #36 #116 2-4 0-2 93 11/4 127 104 1133-2 0-2 109 11/11 73 50 39 #47 #112 3-4 1-2 102 11/11 104 77 553-3 3-2 122 11/18 42 30 32 #83 #105 4-2 2-1 109 11/18 49 68 1140-7 0-3 91 11/25 129 124 106 #100 #123 3-3 2-0 110 11/25 56 95 38
#58 #124+1 -5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Alabama A&M 38-7 241 14 0 23 58-259 4.5 12-22 165 3 9 33-45 1.4 13-29 138 3 at Eastern Michigan 7-24 -113 -6 -1 13 35-166 4.7 12-29 114 2 19 41-126 3.1 22-31 267 1at Ball St 31-51 127 0 -2 24 49-336 6.9 15-24 168 3 24 44-160 3.6 23-35 217 0 at Kansas St 7-55 -325 -18 -2 10 28-110 3.9 10-25 58 0 28 51-304 6.0 17-23 189 1 Coastal Carolina 30-23 -53 -5 2 18 47-169 3.6 8-15 105 2 23 49-227 4.6 9-23 100 1 North Carolina A&T31-35 16 8 -2 27 46-266 5.8 13-29 170 7 19 40-161 4.0 16-26 259 2at North Texas 43-46 -153 -12 0 16 36-74 2.1 17-36 321 4 28 44-287 6.5 15-29 261 1 Georgia St 0-28 -96 -8 -2 14 34-94 2.8 16-29 179 3 22 40-119 3.0 26-37 250 0 Bye at FIU 29-30 29 3 1 23 49-349 7.1 16-28 155 1 20 41-234 5.7 15-27 241 0 Louisiana Tech 23-22 3 1 0 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 Marshall 3-14 -192 -14 1 9 26-80 3.1 10-26 132 2 23 42-212 5.0 19-28 192 0 Middle Tennessee 25-23 40 -5 1 21 44-260 5.9 16-31 174 0 26 32-131 4.1 24-44 263 2 at WKU 14-45 -318 -25 0 9 34-248 7.3 9-19 61 2 34 34-121 3.6 43-58 506 2at Charlotte UABat Southern Miss Bye Rice at Old Dominionat UTSA Middle Tennesseeat Florida at Southern Miss UTEP Florida Atlantic
Average 32-29 34.2 -1.2 0.2 21 45-213 4.7 55.6% 187 8.1% 22 39-167 4.3 53.4% 198 4.8% Average 13-33 -142.7 -8.6 -0.7 15 36-188 5.2 46.5% 124 9.2% 24 41-182 4.4 68.7% 272 2.6% Conference 30-30 -36.7 -5.3 0.3 20 39-171 4.4 54.5% 228 5.1% 25 37-191 5.2 54.9% 244 4.9% Conference 15-30 -160.3 -12.0 0.7 14 36-226 6.2 47.9% 116 6.8% 26 39-189 4.8 68.1% 313 1.8% Away 37-49 -13.0 -6.0 -1.0 20 43-205 4.8 53.3% 245 11.7% 26 44-224 5.1 59.4% 239 1.6% Home 11-26 -90.7 -4.7 -1.0 17 35-147 4.2 46.4% 160 14.3% 21 41-164 4.0 67.0% 234 2.2%
Alabama A&M AJ Erdely 11-20-152-2-0 Carlos Stephens 15-76-5.1-0 Collin Lisa 3-43-14.3-0 at Eastern Michigan Hasaan Klugh 12-28-114-1-2 Hasaan Klugh 14-101-7.2-0 Trent Bostick 3-34-11.3-1at Ball St AJ Erdely 15-24-168-0-0 Spencer Brown 17-151-8.9-0 Sederian Copeland 2-45-22.5-0 at Kansas St Hasaan Klugh 8-19-33-0-1 Hasaan Klugh 10-33-3.3-1 Uriah Lemay 2-25-12.5-0 Coastal Carolina AJ Erdely 7-14-102-0-0 Spencer Brown 16-51-3.2-2 Collin Lisa 2-43-21.5-0 vs. North Carolina A&T Hasaan Klugh 13-29-170-3-2 Benny Lemay 19-158-8.3-0 Workpeh Kofa 6-110-18.3-1at North Texas Georgia St Hasaan Klugh 16-29-179-0-2 Benny Lemay 20-79-4.0-0 Mark Quattlebaum 6-91-15.2-0 Bye AJ Erdely 17-36-321-4-1 Spencer Brown 17-50-2.9-1 Andre Wilson 5-150-30.0-2 at FIU Hasaan Klugh 16-28-155-1-0 Benny Lemay 22-178-8.1-0 Trent Bostick 3-36-12.0-0 Louisiana Tech AJ Erdely 21-32-188-0-0 Spencer Brown 25-165-6.6-1 Andre Wilson 8-105-13.1-0 vs. Marshall Hasaan Klugh 10-26-132-0-1 Benny Lemay 9-38-4.2-0 Trent Bostick 2-51-25.5-0 Middle Tennessee AJ Erdely 16-31-174-1-1 Spencer Brown 31-167-5.4-1 Ronnie Turner Jr. 6-54-9.0-0 at WKU Brooks Barden 9-18-61-0-1 Aaron McAllister 22-157-7.1-2 Mark Quattlebaum 5-34-6.8-0at Charlotte UABat Southern Miss vs. Bye Rice at Old Dominionat UTSA Middle Tennesseeat Florida vs. at Southern Miss UTEP Florida Atlantic
vs.
AJ Erdely 87-157-1105-7-2 Spencer Brown 113-626-5.5-6 Andre Wilson 24-402-16.8-4 Hasaan Klugh 75-159-783-5-8 Benny Lemay 77-488-6.3-0 Workpeh Kofa 19-260-13.7-1Tyler Johnston III 1-2-13-0-0 AJ Erdely 67-203-3.0-7 Collin Lisa 15-265-17.7-0 vs. Brooks Barden 11-24-86-0-2 Hasaan Klugh 75-301-4.0-5 Mark Quattlebaum 17-167-9.8-0Collin Lisa 1-1-3-0-0 Carlos Stephens 25-134-5.4-1 Ronnie Turner Jr. 15-127-8.5-0 Joe Thompson 0-1-0.1-0-0 Aaron McAllister 49-287-5.9-2 Trent Bostick 12-128-10.7-1
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
UAB BlazersBlazers Logs
TM REC
Passing Rushing
Defense
Receiving
at Florida
Riceat UTSA
UTEP
Net Offense
FOE REC
UA
B B
laze
rs
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Ch
arlo
tte
49
ers
Net Offense
Score
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score Def at Southern MissSks By Florida Atlantic
Pass Def at Old DominionTotal Def Middle Tennessee
Sks Allowed UABat Southern Miss Rush Def Byeat Charlotte
Louisiana Tech Total Off Marshall Middle Tennessee Score Off at WKU
at North Texas Rush Off Georgia St Bye Pass Off at FIU
at Kansas St Coastal Carolina North Carolina A&T
at Eastern Michigan
vs. CUSA4-2 0-7
OVERALL: OVERALL: Charlotte 49ers
FOE
FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE
TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF
TEAMAPFOEFOE +/-
AP
Alabama A&M 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
at Ball StUAB Charlotte
TM CONF
TM CONF
2-1FOE CONF TM +/-
By Game Yardage Leaders
Score
0-3TM REC FOE
REC
Receiving
UAB CharlottePosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
0.97
Charlotte DL
1.54
Charlotte LB's
UAB RB's
UAB OL
1.60
Charlotte RB's
UAB DL0.45
Charlotte OLUAB LB'S
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
UAB Leaders 0.90
Charlotte QB/WR
Charlotte ST's
UAB DB's
UAB ST's
1.20
UAB K
UABProjected Rushing
221 yards Charlotte 233 yardsProjected Passing Charlotte K
UAB Coaches
4.65
Charlotte Coaches Uab By 10.0
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total50.5 Points
+/- Ratings
Uab By 7.5
Uab By 8.8
Game Grade
Uab 423-351
Computer Points
Computer Yards
Uab 32-22
Team & Margin
351 yards0.75
118 yardsProjected Yardage Total
423 yards UAB Charlotte
201 yards UAB Charlotte
Charlotte 107
22 points
Team Schedule Strength
Experience Rankings130 UAB
Charlotte
Charlotte
32 pointsCharlotte Pts
UAB
93 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
6.78
UAB PtsProjected Final Score6.70
UAB by 10 UAB 32 Charlotte 22By 0.08 Points
UAB QB/WR
vs. CUSA 49ers Logs
1.43
Charlotte DB's
Charlotte Leaders
Phil's Forecast:
1st mtg. UC is 0-12 at home vs FBS programs, losing by an avg of 18 ppg. The Blazers were 3-1 in CUSA road gms in ‘14, but just 11-25 s/’06. They came up 3 points short at North Texas this year and the Eagles are undefeated in CUSA. Bill Clark is doing a phenomenal job at UAB as some opined they should spend a year or two at FCS before coming back after their 2 year layoff. Instead UAB is 4-2 with 3 outright upsets and +34 ypg. RB Spencer Brown has 625 (5.5) on the ground. Charlotte is 0-7 and -143 ypg as they gained 80 yards less than their opp’s usually allow and allowed 100 yards more than their foes usually gain. Their QB’s are hitting 47% with a 5-11 ratio while AJ Erdely for UAB is hitting 55% with a 7-2 ratio.
TM +/- FOE +/-
Defense
--PS RANK--
UABPhil SteeleUAB
129
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 130 9/2 16-49 L 93 68 23 14 27 49 0-0 0-0 110 9/1 64-6 W 62 100 1160-1 0-0 114 9/9 16-13 W 95 77 23 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 102 9/9 21-17 W 42 92 116 123 108 1251-1 0-3 0-0 0-0 113 97 9/15 29-21 W 98 90 45 103 108 121 2-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 113 133 8 9/16 7-38 L 76 93 78 7 4 222-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 21 9/21 7-43 L 96 81 24 42 24 64 #121 #2 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 112 110 9/23 17-21 L 88 105 98 94 96 682-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 107 124 9/30 13-20 L 120 81 52 54 51 60 #53 #130 2-2 0-4 0-0 0-1 112 86 9/30 35-21 W 101 110 72 129 128 892-3 1-4 0-2 1-1 108 95 10/7 34-10 W 120 77 36 106 130 128 #104 #74 3-2 1-4 0-0 1-1 109 91 10/7 49-12 W 82 109 87 116 104 1083-3 1-4 1-2 0-3 111 89 10/14 24-28 L 118 74 51 96 111 118 #118 #52 4-2 2-3 0-0 0-2 113 110 10/14 28-27 W 92 107 55 115 68 1053-4 5-2 1-3 0-0 106 112 10/21 117 70 57 85 105 65 #83 #1 5-2 3-4 0-0 1-3 112 106 10/21 85 105 65 117 70 57
10/28 #72 #75 10/285-1 3-1 116 11/2 25 100 80 #80 #29 2-4 1-2 107 11/4 63 125 162-5 0-3 103 11/10 109 101 1 #80 #43 4-3 1-3 120 11/11 65 25 1015-0 3-0 126 11/18 17 35 31 #70 #36 4-2 3-0 107 11/18 54 80 272-5 1-2 112 11/25 50 129 63 #8 #53 11/25
#97 #57 5-1 3-1 116 12/9 25 100 80-4 +3
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Notre Dame 16-49 -276 -8 0 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 Fordham 64-6 207 2 0 22 47-513 10.9 0-2 0 0 20 34-66 1.9 28-41 240 3 Villanova 16-13 -49 -2 1 17 27-79 2.9 20-34 274 1 19 30-20 0.7 27-41 382 3 Buffalo 21-17 27 8 2 19 66-322 4.9 2-8 17 0 11 23-119 5.2 9-16 193 2 UMass 29-21 -71 -5 1 20 34-119 3.5 24-39 268 2 25 33-81 2.5 23-39 377 9 at Ohio St 7-38 -308 -14 -1 16 58-259 4.5 2-8 19 0 30 32-270 8.4 29-37 316 2at USF 7-43 -323 -15 -4 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 at Tulane 17-21 15 7 -3 22 69-371 5.4 0-5 0 0 15 30-253 8.4 10-22 103 2 Houston 13-20 -64 -1 -2 22 37-142 3.8 20-42 182 1 23 31-162 5.2 25-36 226 0 UTEP 35-21 171 6 -1 22 50-353 7.1 3-7 80 0 16 37-152 4.1 9-18 110 2at East Carolina 34-10 236 9 0 24 46-179 3.9 21-33 344 0 15 22-34 1.5 20-38 253 4 at Rice 49-12 81 4 5 21 65-418 6.4 1-3 9 0 17 37-200 5.4 9-21 146 2 Connecticut 24-28 229 13 0 28 29-117 4.0 33-55 356 2 15 38-139 3.7 18-28 105 2 Eastern Michigan 28-27 49 0 1 21 61-413 6.8 0-5 0 0 21 26-135 5.2 19-27 229 0at Army West Point Temple Bye Bye Navy at Air Forceat Cincinnati Duke UCF at North Texasat Tulsa Bye
† Navy
Average 20-26 -45.4 -1.3 -0.6 19 35-102 3.0 54.8% 251 5.3% 21 37-167 4.5 59.5% 232 9.1% Average 32-20 34.6 1.9 0.4 20 59-378 6.4 21.1% 18 0.0% 19 31-171 5.5 62.1% 191 7.1% Conference 20-25 19.5 1.5 -1.5 20 36-109 3.0 52.3% 243 5.2% 19 39-162 4.2 58.2% 170 5.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 19-34 -121.0 -4.7 -1.3 16 39-87 2.2 50.5% 226 8.6% 21 43-256 6.0 51.1% 178 8.0% Home 37-18 113.5 4.0 0.5 21 56-400 7.1 22.7% 24 0.0% 17 30-118 3.9 63.7% 193 6.9%
at Notre Dame Logan Marchi 19-35-245-2-0 Ryquell Armstead 19-67-3.5-0 Isaiah Wright 4-79-19.8-0 Fordham Zach Potter 0-0-0-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 9-177-19.7-2 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0 Villanova Logan Marchi 20-34-274-0-0 David Hood 4-21-5.3-0 Ventell Bryant 7-79-11.3-0 Buffalo Ahmad Bradshaw 2-8-17-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 25-147-5.9-1 Jordan Asberry 1-18-18.0-0 UMass Logan Marchi 22-37-248-3-0 Ryquell Armstead 17-91-5.4-0 Isaiah Wright 4-69-17.3-1 vs. at Ohio St Ahmad Bradshaw 2-7-19-0-0 Darnell Woolfolk 15-74-4.9-1 Kell Walker 1-10-10.0-0at USF Frank Nutile 4-12-57-0-1 Rob Ritrovato 5-24-4.8-0 Adonis Jennings 2-33-16.5-0 at Tulane Zach Potter 0-0-0-0-0 Andy Davidson 26-130-5.0-0 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0
Houston Logan Marchi 20-41-182-1-3 Ryquell Armstead 14-63-4.5-0 Isaiah Wright 5-53-10.6-0 UTEP Ahmad Bradshaw 3-5-80-1-0 Andy Davidson 14-100-7.1-1 Jordan Asberry 1-42-42.0-1
at East Carolina Logan Marchi 19-31-321-2-1 David Hood 20-106-5.3-1 Isaiah Wright 6-91-15.2-1 vs. at Rice Kelvin Hopkins 1-1-9-0-0 Kell Walker 10-127-12.7-3 Kjetil Cline 1-9-9.0-0 Connecticut Logan Marchi 33-54-356-1-1 Ryquell Armstead 9-31-3.4-1 David Hood 8-91-11.4-0 Eastern Michigan Zach Potter 0-1-0-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 19-171-9.0-1 Zach Saum 0-0-0.0-0at Army West Point Temple Bye vs. Bye Navy at Air Forceat Cincinnati Duke UCF vs. at North Texasat Tulsa Bye
† Navyvs.
Logan Marchi 136-245-1658-9-8 Ryquell Armstead 86-277-3.2-1 Isaiah Wright 27-388-14.4-3 Ahmad Bradshaw 7-30-116-1-2 Ahmad Bradshaw 106-818-7.7-7 Jordan Asberry 2-60-30.0-1Frank Nutile 6-14-80-0-1 David Hood 52-243-4.7-2 Keith Kirkwood 21-325-15.5-2 vs. Kelvin Hopkins 1-6-9-0-1 Kell Walker 47-435-9.3-4 Jeff Ejekam 1-24-24.0-0Todd Centeio 2-2-20-0-0 Rob Ritrovato 20-86-4.3-1 Adonis Jennings 22-309-14.0-2 Zach Potter 0-1-0.1-0-0 Andy Davidson 68-365-5.4-2 Jermaine Adams 1-14-14.0-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Temple - -15 13 16 28-83
Army West Point - 47.5 28 25 67-329 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Temple - 60.5 33 17 44-158
Army West Point - E 14 22 58-255 -32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Temple - 58 63 25 57-534
Army West Point - -3.5 32 22 62-407 -2
vs.
Owls Logs--PS RANK--
386 yards
111
TM REC FOE REC
Passing
Comp-Att-Yds 111 yards TempleProjected Passing
Temple Army
Temple ArmyProjected Yardage Total
By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving
Temple Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Comp-Att-Yds
12-26-168
2-5-15
315 yards
Net Offense Defense
Tem
ple
Ow
ls
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Arm
y B
lack
Kn
igh
ts
Net Offense
Ypg Diff † NavyTotal TO's
UCF Score Def at North Texasat Tulsa Sks By Bye
Navy Pass Def at Air Forceat Cincinnati Total Def Duke
at Army West Point Sks Allowed Temple Bye Rush Def Bye
at East Carolina Total Off at Rice Connecticut Score Off Eastern Michigan
at USF Rush Off at Tulane Houston Pass Off UTEP
at Notre Dame 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Fordham Villanova
Temple Army Buffalo
UMass at Ohio St
NCAA RANKINGSFOE
FOE
5-2 Army Black Knights3-4
Defense
Score Score
TEAM --PS RANK--0-0FOE 1-3TM REC FOE
REC
ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
Temple RB's0.40
Army LB's
Temple
0.51
Temple OL
Army DL
Army Leaders
Team & Margin
Temple DL1.76
Army OL
2.32
Temple LB'S1.81
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
Temple had dominated this series winning 6 in a row, but last year in the opener the Black Knights stunned the Owls. It was a back-and-forth gm in the 1H, Army trailed 10-7, but in the 2H Army all’d just 85 yds limiting TU to 4 poss. Army put the gm away w/2 4Q TD drives winning 28-13 as 2 TD dogs. Temple is on their 3rd road game in 5 weeks and off a misleading loss at home to Connecticut despite a 473-264 yard edge. Army led EMich LW 28-21, but gave up a TD with :49 left and had to stop a 2 point conversion to win 28-27. Temple was struggling on offense early, but has 498 ypg the last 2 games, but that was actually -96 ypg below what they allowed.
Army By 6
48 PointsLas Vegas Total
Army By 9.0
Army By 12.5
Army 386-315
Game Grade
Projected Rushing
204 yards+/- Ratings
8 yards
Army 378 yards 1.60
Temple K
Army K
2.00
Army Coaches
Temple Coaches
Temple Army 29 pointsProjected Final Score
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Army by 6Team Schedule Strength
81 Temple Army Army 24 Temple 18By 3.61 Points
Phil SteeleArmy
Computer Points
8.29Computer Yards
Army 29-17
4.68
Temple Pts
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Temple OwlsBlack Knights Logs
TM +/- FOE +/-
AP AP
vs. AAC vs. IND
TM CONF
OVERALL: OVERALL:
Army
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-TEAM
Rushing
FOE
Army QB/WRTemple ST's
Army ST's
1.25
Temple QB/WR
Army DB's
104
Army RB's
1.31
Temple DB's
Temple ArmyExperience Rankings
17 pointsArmy Pts
8
Comp-Att-Yds
2-4-31
4-9-88
10-16-203
8-19-83
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 121 8/26 20-6 W 54 28 15 0-0 0-0 101 9/2 14-34 L 103 122 1291-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 130 13 9/2 0-27 L 73 33 15 18 11 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/9 20-56 L 110 129 129 27 65 751-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 116 117 9/9 13-19 L 83 40 31 59 25 27 0-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 97 124 16 9/16 17-64 L 106 130 128 79 16 81-2 2-0 0-2 0-0 111 135 10 9/16 6-40 L 105 58 35 30 11 57 #125 #117 0-3 1-1 0-0 0-0 93 94 9/24 41-38 W 119 130 130 89 90 1201-3 0-3 111 9/23 115 67 51 #119 #30 1-3 4-0 1-0 1-0 95 125 18 9/30 31-61 L 105 130 127 31 20 401-3 2-2 0-3 1-0 107 107 9/29 24-40 L 113 60 47 100 108 29 #129 #75 1-4 2-3 1-1 0-2 95 108 10/7 10-34 L 106 130 128 120 77 361-4 2-2 0-3 1-0 102 106 10/6 7-24 L 119 61 91 88 62 54 #129 #107 1-5 4-0 1-2 2-0 92 125 22 10/14 21-63 L 109 130 120 24 41 501-5 3-2 0-3 1-2 102 121 10/14 10-35 L 124 73 91 34 33 24 #51 #37 1-6 1-6 1-3 0-4 91 102 10/21 107 130 123 124 73 91
1-6 1-3 91 10/21 107 130 123 #96 #127 10/281-7 0-4 88 10/28 120 120 50 #50 #128 4-2 2-1 118 11/4 62 51 734-2 3-0 112 11/4 72 84 77 #72 #130 3-3 1-1 109 11/11 88 110 922-4 1-2 100 11/10 55 128 110 #78 #130 2-5 0-3 103 11/18 109 101 10-6 0-1 101 11/18 95 112 126 #111 #117 5-1 2-1 118 11/25 37 83 83-4 1-3 96 11/25 45 127 129 #127 #129
-9 -7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Portland St 20-6 145 -1 1 13 35-171 4.9 16-27 194 1 14 36-86 2.4 16-36 134 3 James Madison 14-34 -242 5 -2 28 30-80 2.7 28-53 292 1 23 44-422 9.6 15-22 192 1† LSU 0-27 -382 -20 -1 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 26 57-296 5.2 15-18 183 0 at West Virginia 20-56 -149 -10 -2 21 32-142 4.4 23-47 328 0 31 47-216 4.6 24-34 403 1 Utah 13-19 -197 -5 -1 13 24-63 2.6 21-39 170 3 18 36-116 3.2 28-37 314 0 Virginia Tech 17-64 -394 -22 -3 12 31-40 1.3 11-30 241 2 34 62-287 4.6 25-33 388 1 Wisconsin 6-40 -299 -17 -2 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 at Connecticut 41-38 0 3 1 30 47-170 3.6 30-39 426 1 27 38-190 5.0 24-39 406 1 Bye USF 31-61 -161 -2 -1 23 36-108 3.0 21-46 306 1 25 50-390 7.8 13-21 185 1at Utah St 24-40 108 6 -6 20 46-210 4.6 12-29 186 0 14 44-112 2.5 16-30 176 4 Temple 10-34 -236 -9 0 15 22-34 1.5 20-38 253 4 24 46-179 3.9 21-33 344 0 Boise St 7-24 -62 -7 -1 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 at UCF 21-63 -253 -17 0 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1 33 41-235 5.7 25-31 365 2at Miss St 10-35 -370 -27 1 8 17-29 1.7 17-29 147 1 35 53-306 5.8 20-31 240 0 BYUat East Carolina Bye San Jose St at Houstonat Fresno St Tulane at UNLV Cincinnati UMass at Memphisat Hawaii
Average 11-27 -151.0 -10.1 -1.3 12 26-88 3.3 53.2% 155 5.4% 22 46-187 4.1 66.0% 206 4.2% Average 22-50 -205.0 -7.4 -1.0 21 34-109 3.2 51.7% 287 3.5% 28 47-274 5.9 69.0% 326 3.3% Conference 9-25 -194.2 -12.8 -0.5 11 23-68 2.9 55.1% 149 6.3% 23 46-200 4.3 68.3% 212 2.5% Conference 26-49 -162.5 -6.3 0.0 21 36-125 3.5 55.1% 286 4.5% 27 44-249 5.7 66.9% 325 3.2% Away 11-34 -214.7 -13.7 -2.0 11 26-78 3.0 50.0% 145 4.9% 25 51-238 4.6 64.6% 200 5.1% Home 18-48 -258.3 -7.0 -1.5 20 30-66 2.2 47.9% 273 4.8% 27 51-320 6.3 67.9% 277 2.8%
Portland St Tanner Mangum 16-27-194-1-0 Squally Canada 16-98-6.1-1 Matt Bushman 3-56-18.7-0 James Madison Thomas Sirk 21-35-210-0-2 Derrell Scott 12-45-3.8-1 Davon Grayson 7-86-12.3-0† LSU Tanner Mangum 12-24-102-0-1 Squally Canada 5-8-1.6-0 Matt Bushman 4-43-10.8-0 at West Virginia Thomas Sirk 16-34-191-1-2 Tyshon Dye 14-71-5.1-0 Trevon Brown 2-103-51.5-1 Utah Tanner Mangum 21-39-170-1-3 Ula Tolutau 5-25-5.0-1 Matt Bushman 6-50-8.3-0 vs. Virginia Tech Gardner Minshew 11-30-241-2-1 Tyshon Dye 11-31-2.8-0 Trevon Brown 4-107-26.8-1 Wisconsin Beau Hoge 11-20-111-0-2 Ula Tolutau 13-58-4.5-0 Micah Simon 3-60-20.0-0 at Connecticut Thomas Sirk 30-39-426-3-0 Derrell Scott 13-36-2.8-1 Davon Grayson 11-223-20.3-3 Bye USF Thomas Sirk 20-43-302-2-2 Thomas Sirk 18-87-4.8-2 Davon Grayson 5-101-20.2-1at Utah St Beau Hoge 5-9-95-2-1 Ula Tolutau 21-102-4.9-0 Beau Tanner 1-40-40.0-1 vs. Temple Thomas Sirk 20-38-253-1-1 Darius Pinnix 7-30-4.3-0 Jimmy Williams 5-110-22.0-0 Boise St Tanner Mangum 18-33-164-0-2 Ula Tolutau 9-38-4.2-1 Matt Bushman 7-65-9.3-0 at UCF Thomas Sirk 9-21-91-2-1 Darius Pinnix 13-93-7.2-0 Davon Grayson 6-96-16.0-1at Miss St Tanner Mangum 16-26-145-1-1 Brayden El-Bakri 5-20-4.0-0 Aleva Hifo 5-77-15.4-1 BYUat East Carolina vs. Bye San Jose St at Houstonat Fresno St Tulane at UNLV vs. Cincinnati UMass at Memphisat Hawaii
vs.
Tanner Mangum 83-149-775-3-7 Ula Tolutau 57-241-4.2-2 Matt Bushman 24-252-10.5-0 Thomas Sirk 116-210-1473-9-8 Hussein Howe 44-190-4.3-1 Davon Grayson 37-631-17.1-6Beau Hoge 16-29-206-2-3 Squally Canada 45-205-4.6-1 Talon Shumway 15-162-10.8-0 vs. Gardner Minshew 32-76-533-4-2 Darius Pinnix 38-154-4.1-1 Trevon Brown 23-384-16.7-2Koy Detmer 7-20-91-0-3 Kavika Fonua 18-87-4.8-0 Aleva Hifo 15-130-8.7-1 Thomas Sirk 55-137-2.5-2 Jimmy Williams 18-294-16.3-1
Category
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.BYU - -9.5 45 26 43-167
East Carolina - 59 38 27 32-133 -1
vs.
vs.
vs.
BYU
30-42-385
BYU
BYU
Experience Rankings
287 yards
Cougars Logs
Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
FOE +/-
AP TEAM --PS RANK--
FOE
BYU Leaders
FOE
Net Offense Defense
BY
U C
oug
ars
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
East
Car
olin
a P
irat
es
Net Offense
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
at Hawaii
Score Def Cincinnati UMass Sks By at Memphisat UNLV
Pass Def at Houstonat Fresno St Total Def Tulane San Jose St
Sks Allowed BYUat East Carolina Rush Def Byeat Miss St
Total Off Temple Boise St Score Off at UCFat Utah St
Rush Off at Connecticut Bye Pass Off USF Wisconsin
James Madison† LSU
BYU East Carolinaat West Virginia
Utah Virginia Tech
Portland St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
BYU Cougars OVERALL: OVERALL: East Carolina Pirates1-6 1-6
FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
0-4 1-3TM REC
vs. IND vs. AAC Pirates Logs--PS RANK--TM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
FOE
FOE
AP TEAM
Defense
Score Score
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
BYU East Carolina
2.27
BYU QB/WR
East Carolina DB's
1.21
BYU RB's
East Carolina LB's
1.73
BYU OL
East Carolina DL
0.29
1.27
BYU LB'S
East Carolina RB's
115 yardsProjected Passing
BYU DL
East Carolina OL
0.24
BYU K
BYU DB's
East Carolina QB/WR
East Carolina Coaches
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.10
BYU ST'sComp-Att-Yds
25-38-341
Ret
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Tab
le o
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East Carolina ST's
East Carolina Leaders
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total58 Points
0.95
Team & Margin
BYU By 5.5
+/- Ratings
0.50250 yards
East Carolina
Phil's Forecast:
BYU By 7.3BYU CoachesEast Carolina K
Both teams have faced tough schedules with EC at #31 and BYU at #32. BYU is traveling for the 3rd time in 4 wks & is off a trip to Miss St and now traveling to the East coast, but is in dire need of a win. This is the moveable object vs the resistible force. East Carolina’s defense is allowing 50 ppg and 600 ypg and opp’s gained 149 ypg more than their season average. BYU’s offense is averaging just 242 ypg 11 ppg and gains 118 ypg below what their opponents allow. EC gives up 5.9 ypc and 69% completions. On the flip side EC is gaining 8 ypg above what their opp’s allow and BYU’s D gives up 393 ypg. Tough to back either side here so I will let my computer decide this one.
BYU Pts
East Carolina Pts
428 yards BYU East CarolinaProjected Yardage Total
403 yards
East Carolina
32 points BYU East Carolina 25 pointsProjected Final Score
178 yards
East Carolina 98Team Schedule Strength
33 BYU East Carolina
89
32 BYU 32 East Carolina 25By 6.66 Points
BYU 32-25
Phil SteeleBYU
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
BYU by 7
Computer Points
7.60 0.95
Game GradeBYU By 5.2
Computer YardsBYU 428-403
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 123 16 9/2 28-35 L 79 62 79 19 17 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 138 8 9/2 14-30 L 104 84 69 6 16 730-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 114 9/8 44-21 W 83 63 79 87 47 22 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 106 107 9/9 13-16 L 99 76 69 94 80 511-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 112 9/16 35-3 W 77 72 93 10 71 80 0-2 0-0 104 9/16 65-0 W 99 69 792-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 121 129 8 9/23 10-28 L 72 64 113 42 3 15 #107 #59 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 108 113 9/23 17-27 L 87 59 51 64 41 402-2 0-1 119 9/30 86 58 109 #56 #121 1-3 3-1 0-1 1-0 108 132 11 9/30 0-56 L 90 59 45 4 6 212-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 119 120 10/7 31-17 W 84 59 106 87 39 7 #94 #119 1-4 0-2 104 10/7 102 69 683-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 121 136 7 10/14 9-17 L 80 62 103 21 12 65 #81 #95 1-4 2-3 0-2 0-2 104 103 10/14 35-24 W 98 67 49 113 84 543-3 2-4 1-2 1-2 123 107 10/21 86 65 81 83 64 56 #115 #11 2-4 3-3 1-2 1-2 107 123 10/21 83 64 56 86 65 81
3-4 2-2 112 10/28 59 60 46 #84 #47 5-1 2-1 127 10/28 41 2 222-4 0-3 100 11/4 111 91 59 #60 #74 3-3 1-2 111 11/4 68 61 763-3 1-2 124 11/11 46 31 60 #75 #51 6-0 3-0 141 11/11 16 4 54-2 1-2 122 11/18 79 37 20 #33 #61 3-3 0-3 119 11/18 92 44 263-3 0-3 119 11/25 92 44 26 #123 #117 5-1 3-0 124 11/25 40 15 112
#90 #99+4 -2
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Louisville 28-35 -180 -2 -1 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 Washington 14-30 -59 2 -2 19 42-131 3.1 24-35 178 1 17 24-84 3.5 17-30 284 1 Ohio 44-21 162 2 2 25 44-263 6.0 15-23 295 1 23 38-173 4.6 17-29 223 1 Eastern Michigan 13-16 -48 -4 -1 15 30-128 4.3 17-38 198 1 19 35-114 3.3 19-37 260 1at Missouri 35-3 274 16 2 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 Morgan St 65-0 333 19 3 25 54-326 6.0 13-19 152 1 6 37-80 2.2 8-23 65 1 Michigan 10-28 -234 -15 1 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 at Nebraska 17-27 -112 -9 0 12 24-68 2.8 15-29 126 0 21 47-197 4.2 13-26 109 0 Bye Ohio St 0-56 -419 -11 -2 13 41-117 2.9 11-27 92 1 24 38-286 7.5 19-30 342 2 Minnesota 31-17 111 6 -2 22 29-132 4.6 25-36 307 4 16 47-227 4.8 11-25 101 0 Byeat Wisconsin 9-17 -273 -10 2 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 at Illinois 35-24 -18 -1 0 17 47-274 5.8 6-12 102 1 18 29-86 3.0 20-38 308 2at Rutgers Purdue Nebraska at Michigan Illinois † Marylandat Northwestern at Penn Stat Iowa at Indiana Indiana Michigan St
Average 26-20 -23.3 -0.5 0.7 20 32-125 3.9 59.8% 247 9.6% 21 40-175 4.4 58.8% 220 3.4% Average 24-26 -53.8 -0.7 -0.3 17 40-174 4.4 53.8% 141 3.1% 18 35-141 4.0 52.2% 228 3.8% Conference 17-21 -132.0 -6.3 0.3 15 25-76 3.0 53.7% 207 12.6% 21 48-220 4.6 60.8% 195 6.8% Conference 17-36 -183.0 -7.0 -0.7 14 37-153 4.1 47.1% 107 2.9% 21 38-190 5.0 55.3% 253 4.3% Away 24-18 -59.7 1.3 1.0 22 32-107 3.3 60.0% 240 8.3% 20 37-170 4.6 59.8% 237 1.1% Home 23-26 -48.3 1.5 -0.5 18 42-176 4.2 54.6% 155 3.4% 17 34-141 4.2 52.5% 238 4.2%
† Louisville David Blough 18-26-175-2-2 Tario Fuller 8-29-3.6-0 Jackson Anthrop 7-82-11.7-2 Washington Kyle Bolin 24-34-178-2-2 Gus Edwards 24-79-3.3-0 Damon Mitchell 4-46-11.5-0 Ohio David Blough 11-13-235-3-0 Tario Fuller 16-142-8.9-1 Cole Herdman 2-87-43.5-1 Eastern Michigan Kyle Bolin 17-37-198-0-2 Robert Martin 13-68-5.2-0 Janarion Grant 8-91-11.4-0at Missouri David Blough 22-28-187-1-0 Tario Fuller 19-90-4.7-1 Cole Herdman 1-54-54.0-0 vs. Morgan St Kyle Bolin 11-17-140-1-0 Raheem Blackshear 14-102-7.3-2 Mo Belton 1-48-48.0-0 Michigan Elijah Sindelar 7-16-103-1-0 Richie Worship 2-18-9.0-0 Terry Wright 4-64-16.0-0 at Nebraska Kyle Bolin 15-29-126-0-2 Gus Edwards 15-58-3.9-1 Dacoven Bailey 3-38-12.7-0 Bye Ohio St Kyle Bolin 5-14-56-0-0 Gus Edwards 10-43-4.3-0 Robert Martin 2-36-18.0-0 Minnesota Elijah Sindelar 19-26-248-1-0 DJ Knox 7-56-8.0-0 Anthony Mahoungou 2-76-38.0-0 vs. Byeat Wisconsin Elijah Sindelar 13-29-155-0-1 DJ Knox 7-31-4.4-0 Brycen Hopkins 2-48-24.0-0 at Illinois Giovanni Rescigno 5-10-89-0-0 Gus Edwards 21-91-4.3-2 Janarion Grant 3-49-16.3-0at Rutgers Purdue Nebraska vs. at Michigan Illinois † Marylandat Northwestern at Penn Stat Iowa vs. at Indiana Indiana Michigan St
vs.
Elijah Sindelar 62-118-769-6-3 Tario Fuller 43-261-6.1-2 Anthony Mahoungou 16-253-15.8-1 Kyle Bolin 73-133-711-3-6 Gus Edwards 93-393-4.2-4 Janarion Grant 15-162-10.8-1David Blough 62-90-688-7-4 DJ Knox 28-152-5.4-0 Cole Herdman 11-250-22.7-2 vs. Giovanni Rescigno 7-12-112-0-0 Robert Martin 51-244-4.8-2 Jerome Washington 16-141-8.8-1Jackson Anthrop 1-1-24-0-0 Brian Lankford-Johnson 21-83-4.0-0 Jackson Anthrop 23-228-9.9-4 Johnathan Lewis 5-12-33-1-2 Raheem Blackshear 24-199-8.3-3 Damon Mitchell 9-122-13.6-0
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.17 points
39
4 Purdue Rutgers
Purdue
28 points
253 yards Purdue Rutgers 170 yards
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Purdue Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
at Rutgers
† Louisville
AP
Purdue BoilermakersBoilermakers Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TEAM
at Iowa
Net OffenseNet Offense Defense
Pu
rdu
e B
oile
rmak
ers
at Indiana Indiana Sks By Michigan St
Illinois Pass Def † Marylandat Northwestern Total Def at Penn St
Sks Allowed Purdue Nebraska Rush Def at Michigan
Minnesota Total Off Byeat Wisconsin Score Off at Illinois
Michigan Rush Off at Nebraska Bye Pass Off Ohio St
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Washington Ohio
Purdue Rutgers Eastern Michigan
at Missouri Morgan St
Score Def
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Ru
tger
s S
carl
et K
nig
hts
vs. BIG 10
OVERALL: OVERALL: Rutgers Scarlet Knights3-3 2-4vs. BIG 10 Scarlet Knights Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
FOE--PS RANK--1-2TM +/-
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM--PS RANK-- FOE FOE
+/-AP1-2
Defense
Score Score
Total TO'sYpg Diff
ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
Purdue Rutgers
0.26
Purdue QB/WR
Rutgers DB'sPurdue RB's
0.00
Rutgers LB'sPurdue OL
0.10
Rutgers DLPurdue DL
0.47
Rutgers OLPurdue LB'S
0.15
Rutgers RB'sPurdue DB's
0.10
Rutgers QB/WRRutgers Leaders
Purdue By 12.8
Team & Margin
Las Vegas TotalPurdue K
Projected Box Score Purdue ST's1.36
Rutgers ST's
Purdue Coaches
168 yardsRutgers 0.36
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line1st meeting. For Rutgers, this is the lone true HG in a 7 week stretch and Purdue just faced a physical Wisconsin team and travels for a 2nd straight week. Rutgers has played everyone but Ohio St tough and they have beaten the Las Vegas number 4 times. Purdue is 5-1 versus the Vegas number, but is off two straight misleading finals. They only led Minnesota by 1 with 1:30 left, but with a late 84 yd IR TD won by 14. Last week they were dominated by Wisconsin, but only lost by 8 on the scoreboard with 3 TO’s and a blocked punt. The biggest factor in Purdue’s favor is that they have faced the #4 schedule and are +28 ypg above their opp’s avg and the D has held foes to 49 ypg below their season average. Rutgers is -67 ypg below what their opp’s normally allow and the defense allows 8 ypg more than opp’s normally gain.
Purdue By 9.5
46.5 Points
Purdue 385-338
Purdue By 8.6Game Grade
2.18
Rutgers K
Projected Rushing132 yards Purdue
Ret
urn
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Tab
le o
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Projected Yardage Total385 yards Purdue Rutgers 338 yards Rutgers Coaches
0.60
+/- RatingsProjected Passing
PurdueExperience Rankings Rutgers Pts
56
81 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Rutgers
Rutgers
Computer Yards
Computer PointsPurdue 28-17
Projected Final Score1.22Rutgers
Purdue Pts
Purdue 28 Rutgers 17By 0.96 Points
Phil SteelePurdue by 11
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 120 9/2 28-21 W 29 76 28 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 60-7 W 61 55 1101-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 139 4 9/9 14-33 L 37 71 28 4 12 8 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 123 9/9 41-17 W 51 51 110 26 28 1151-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 120 137 9 9/16 21-59 L 49 60 48 2 35 106 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 127 112 9/16 34-20 W 44 37 113 24 68 731-2 1-1 0-0 0-0 116 123 9/23 17-35 L 55 68 39 26 55 125 #114 #43 3-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 127 119 9/23 27-17 W 43 27 102 53 43 521-3 1-3 0-1 1-1 115 95 9/30 42-10 W 67 79 40 122 101 99 #60 #79 4-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 128 131 14 9/29 6-31 L 50 19 116 3 15 152-3 2-3 0-1 0-1 117 115 10/7 24-27 L 76 71 32 67 68 42 #103 #69 4-1 3-1 1-1 0-0 124 113 10/7 21-28 L 53 22 92 74 44 1022-4 5-1 0-2 3-0 117 127 20 10/14 17-35 L 78 73 13 28 26 110 #101 #70 4-2 1-3 1-2 1-2 120 131 10/14 10-17 L 60 20 106 58 9 292-5 4-3 0-3 1-3 115 120 10/21 91 76 34 65 25 101 #112 #107 4-3 2-5 1-3 0-3 120 115 10/21 65 25 101 91 76 34
5-1 2-0 118 10/28 74 26 100 #87 #15 5-1 1-1 128 10/28 38 14 1711/4 #111 #47 11/4
1-6 0-4 112 11/9 61 57 43 #107 #18 5-2 0-0 112 11/11 85 105 655-1 1-1 128 11/18 38 14 17 #98 #27 3-2 2-1 129 11/18 34 36 1195-0 3-0 134 11/24 10 19 18 #100 #10 4-2 1-2 125 11/25 71 43 69
#109 #39+1 +5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Youngstown St 28-21 -70 5 0 24 53-208 3.9 17-24 140 3 19 26-107 4.1 18-32 311 1 NC Central 60-7 366 22 1 30 47-243 5.2 26-34 281 1 8 31-64 2.1 11-18 94 3at Penn St 14-33 30 10 -2 24 45-155 3.4 24-41 187 5 14 24-148 6.2 15-28 164 1 Northwestern 41-17 347 19 1 34 59-233 3.9 29-45 305 1 15 21-22 1.0 14-33 169 4 Oklahoma St 21-59 -285 -10 0 17 34-103 3.0 20-35 288 2 27 35-104 3.0 26-37 572 1 Baylor 34-20 110 15 2 24 51-246 4.8 20-35 184 5 9 27-57 2.1 12-34 263 3at Georgia Tech 17-35 -249 -14 3 11 20-37 1.9 22-35 198 3 25 67-436 6.5 4-7 48 0 at North Carolina 27-17 11 5 1 20 45-186 4.1 18-34 202 3 15 33-118 3.6 17-32 259 4 Rice 42-10 202 10 2 24 33-69 2.1 28-34 410 3 14 23-55 2.4 15-32 222 3 Miami, Fl 6-31 -60 5 -1 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 5 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3at Syracuse 24-27 -142 -10 0 16 26-129 5.0 22-33 229 2 26 42-135 3.2 33-49 365 3 at Virginia 21-28 -55 -4 0 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 NC State 17-35 -120 2 -2 20 32-95 3.0 24-45 231 1 18 38-248 6.5 14-25 198 0 Florida St 10-17 -110 -6 1 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2at Duke Pittsburgh Virginia at Virginia Tech Bye Bye North Carolina at Army West Pointat Virginia Tech Georgia Tech Miami, Fl at Wake Forest
Average 23-31 -90.6 -1.0 0.1 19 35-114 3.3 63.6% 240 7.7% 20 36-176 4.8 59.5% 269 4.3% Average 28-20 87.0 8.0 0.7 24 44-190 4.4 55.8% 209 6.7% 16 32-108 3.4 53.6% 205 9.7% Conference 19-32 -170.3 -7.3 0.3 16 26-87 3.3 60.2% 219 5.3% 23 49-273 5.6 63.0% 204 3.7% Conference 16-23 -53.5 0.0 0.3 20 37-153 4.1 48.4% 174 7.1% 20 37-153 4.2 60.7% 227 8.2% Away 18-32 -120.3 -4.7 0.3 17 30-107 3.5 62.4% 205 9.2% 22 44-240 5.4 61.9% 192 4.8% Home 30-18 130.6 11.0 0.8 26 46-203 4.5 61.1% 228 6.7% 15 31-102 3.3 53.0% 199 11.4%
Youngstown St Max Browne 17-24-140-1-0 Qadree Ollison 22-91-4.1-2 Qadree Ollison 5-35-7.0-0 NC Central Daniel Jones 19-25-213-2-0 Brittain Brown 10-120-12.0-1 Aaron Young 5-89-17.8-1at Penn St Max Browne 19-32-138-0-2 Qadree Ollison 15-96-6.4-0 Jester Weah 6-65-10.8-0 Northwestern Daniel Jones 29-45-305-2-1 Daniel Jones 16-108-6.8-2 TJ Rahming 12-127-10.6-0 Oklahoma St Ben DiNucci 13-25-228-1-2 Chawntez Moss 12-36-3.0-1 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 6-89-14.8-1 vs. Baylor Daniel Jones 20-35-184-0-1 Shaun Wilson 18-176-9.8-2 Brittain Brown 4-71-17.8-0at Georgia Tech Ben DiNucci 12-19-110-1-0 Jordan Whitehead 2-35-17.5-0 Aaron Mathews 3-50-16.7-0 at North Carolina Daniel Jones 18-34-202-1-0 Brittain Brown 10-90-9.0-0 TJ Rahming 6-73-12.2-0 Rice Max Browne 28-32-410-4-0 Jordan Whitehead 1-24-24.0-0 Jester Weah 5-137-27.4-1 Miami, Fl Daniel Jones 21-41-166-0-1 Shaun Wilson 9-63-7.0-0 Johnathan Lloyd 9-82-9.1-0at Syracuse Max Browne 15-22-161-0-0 Jordan Whitehead 7-73-10.4-1 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 7-100-14.3-0 vs. at Virginia Daniel Jones 14-42-124-1-2 Brittain Brown 10-54-5.4-0 TJ Rahming 2-39-19.5-0 NC State Ben DiNucci 19-32-170-1-1 Kenny Pickett 4-18-4.5-0 Jester Weah 7-106-15.1-1 Florida St Daniel Jones 22-35-204-0-0 Shaun Wilson 13-66-5.1-0 TJ Rahming 8-111-13.9-0at Duke Pittsburgh Virginia vs. at Virginia Tech Bye Bye North Carolina at Army West Pointat Virginia Tech vs. Georgia Tech Miami, Fl at Wake Forest
vs.
Max Browne 96-135-997-5-2 Qadree Ollison 65-266-4.1-4 Rafael Araujo-Lopes 32-389-12.2-1 Daniel Jones 143-257-1398-6-5 Shaun Wilson 88-506-5.8-5 TJ Rahming 36-425-11.8-0Ben DiNucci 55-97-612-3-3 Jordan Whitehead 18-150-8.3-1 Jester Weah 25-384-15.4-3 vs. Quentin Harris 6-9-62-1-0 Brittain Brown 78-470-6.0-3 Johnathan Lloyd 23-238-10.3-1Kenny Pickett 6-14-74-0-0 Chawntez Moss 41-113-2.8-2 Aaron Mathews 15-180-12.0-0 Parker Boehme 1-2-6-0-0 Daniel Jones 72-209-2.9-3 Chris Taylor 10-142-14.2-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - -9.5 56 18 40-224
Duke - 62 14 18 22-25 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - 50 31 26 58-268
Duke - -3 13 18 22-113 -22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - -3 48 37 65-358
Duke 24 48.5 51 25 27-172 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - -4 58 27 46-174
Duke - 51 55 23 36-213 -4
23-33-424
22-33-319
Ret
urn
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Tab
le o
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onte
nts
Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
11-18-237
Comp-Att-Yds
16-24-236
23-31-266
Comp-Att-Yds
Pittsburgh Leaders
13-23-180
23-43-248
Comp-Att-Yds
28-46-243
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
Pittsburgh PanthersPanthers Logs
Net Offense Defense
Pit
tsb
urg
h P
anth
ers
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Du
ke B
lue
Dev
ils
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def Georgia Tech Miami, Fl Sks By at Wake Forestat Virginia Tech
Pass Def Bye North Carolina Total Def at Army West Point Bye
Sks Allowed Pittsburgh Virginia Rush Def at Virginia Techat Duke
Total Off at Virginia NC State Score Off Florida Stat Syracuse
Rush Off at North Carolina Rice Pass Off Miami, Flat Georgia Tech Oklahoma St
Youngstown Stat Penn St
TEAM
OVERALL: OVERALL: Duke Blue Devils2-5 4-3
--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-3 1-3TM REC
FOE FOE REC
TM CONF TM +/-
vs. ACC vs. ACC Blue Devils LogsFOE
CONFFOE +/-
AP TEAM FOE
NCAA RANKINGS FOEFOE
Defense
Score Score
Northwestern Baylor
2017 TEAM RANKINGS NC Central
Pittsburgh Duke
ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
Pittsburgh OL0.39
Duke DL
Pittsburgh DukePittsburgh QB/WR
0.56
Duke DB's
Duke RB's
2.04
Pittsburgh ST's
Pittsburgh RB's1.52
Duke LB's
Pittsburgh DL0.51
Duke OL
Duke By 8Pittsburgh K
Pittsburgh LB'S0.14
Pittsburgh DB's1.07
Duke QB/WRDuke Leaders
0.05Las Vegas Total
Duke K49.5 Points
+/- RatingsPittsburgh Coaches
Team & Margin
Las Vegas LineDuke ST's
1.50
Duke By 8.5
Duke Coaches
Phil's Forecast:
Panthers are 6-1 vs Duke and Pitt is 7-4 in ACC road games. Duke came into LY off a huge upset over NC & needed a win to keep its bowl hopes alive. After a 36 yd IR TD Duke only trailed 21-14 w/5:34 2Q. Pitt scored the L/35 incl a 65 yd PR td and 56 & 48 yd TD passes, 56-14. Pitt lost QB Max Browne for the season and Ben Dinucci who took his job earlier in the year is back as starter. Last week Pitt gave up a late TD to NCST when the Wolfpack were trying to run out the clock and lost by 18. Duke is holding foes to 71 ypg below their season average. Daniel Jones is hitting just 48% the last 3 games. Pitt has taken on the tougher schedule (#9 vs #43). Duke is a solid dog, but just 1-6 as a home favorite losing 5 of those outright. This is a must win for Pitt.
Projected Rushing92 yards Pittsburgh Duke 181 yards
Projected PassingPittsburgh Duke 256 yards193 yards
30 points
Duke By 15.3Projected Yardage Total
Game Grade286 yards Pittsburgh Duke 437 yards
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength
Projected Final Score
Experience Rankings Duke PtsPittsburgh 2.04
Pittsburgh Pts
18 points DukeComputer Yards
Duke 28-19
5.73 Duke 437-286
Computer Points123 Pittsburgh Duke 82
43 Duke by 3 Duke 24 Pittsburgh 21By 3.70 Points
Duke Phil Steele9 Pittsburgh Duke
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 114 9/1 50-7 W 72 65 68 0-0 0-0 133 18 9/2 41-13 W 34 5 161-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 98 9/9 23-30 L 67 58 68 92 90 50 1-0 0-0 131 16 9/9 20 8 161-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 109 108 9/16 41-17 W 70 56 49 57 83 115 1-0 0-0 131 17 9/16 14 15 142-1 2-1 0-0 0-1 113 127 25 9/23 26-35 L 63 52 36 27 4 14 #85 #37 1-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 131 116 14 9/23 52-30 W 9 21 12 47 85 262-2 3-1 0-0 1-0 114 126 9/30 25-33 L 63 68 27 32 27 103 #14 #33 2-0 4-0 0-0 1-0 131 128 14 9/29 31-6 W 3 15 15 50 19 1162-3 2-3 0-1 0-1 115 117 10/7 27-24 W 67 68 42 76 71 32 #29 #20 3-0 1-2 1-0 1-1 136 131 13 10/7 24-20 W 5 13 27 65 12 143-3 6-0 1-1 4-0 115 141 2 10/13 27-24 W 63 71 28 10 3 111 #53 #35 4-0 3-1 2-0 2-0 136 127 11 10/14 25-24 W 7 15 15 25 36 1294-3 5-0 2-1 3-0 120 134 8 10/21 57 72 33 10 19 18 #123 #51 5-0 4-3 3-0 2-1 134 120 8 10/21 10 19 18 57 72 33
10/28 #38 #68 1-6 0-4 112 10/28 61 57 432-3 2-2 131 11/4 48 11 58 #66 #38 5-1 1-1 128 11/4 38 14 174-2 1-2 125 11/11 71 43 69 #38 #46 5-1 3-1 136 11/11 6 18 884-3 1-3 118 11/18 7 45 67 #55 #20 5-1 2-0 118 11/18 74 26 1003-4 1-3 116 11/25 84 46 74 #77 #31 2-5 0-3 115 11/24 91 76 34
#24 #25-2 +5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Central Conn St 50-7 419 26 -1 34 41-155 3.8 37-52 431 1 8 30-54 1.8 12-27 113 2 Bethune-Cookman41-13 200 8 2 28 34-317 9.3 18-31 233 0 20 30-121 4.0 25-39 229 1 Middle Tennessee 23-30 -55 5 1 25 49-126 2.6 27-44 182 6 20 33-94 2.8 22-36 269 1 Bye Central Michigan 41-17 197 -4 0 18 44-300 6.8 19-35 279 0 22 34-105 3.1 23-46 277 0 Byeat LSU 26-35 -30 6 0 24 27-76 2.8 34-55 308 3 18 38-151 4.0 14-23 263 2 Toledo 52-30 158 4 0 27 26-254 9.8 27-36 333 2 23 35-85 2.4 29-50 344 4at NC State 25-33 -18 -9 -1 20 30-59 2.0 30-48 385 3 29 47-256 5.4 21-34 206 0 at Duke 31-6 60 -5 2 19 35-139 4.0 15-26 270 3 24 46-183 4.0 21-42 166 5 Pittsburgh 27-24 142 10 0 26 42-135 3.2 33-49 365 3 16 26-129 5.0 22-33 229 2 at Florida St 24-20 -69 -2 1 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 Clemson 27-24 123 12 -1 28 50-162 3.2 20-33 278 6 16 25-113 4.5 22-32 204 4 Georgia Tech 25-24 200 8 1 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2at Miami, Fl Syracuse Bye at North Carolinaat Florida St Virginia Tech Wake Forest Notre Dameat Louisville Virginia Boston College at Pittsburgh
Average 31-24 111.1 6.6 -0.3 25 40-145 3.6 63.3% 318 7.0% 18 33-129 3.9 58.9% 223 4.8% Average 35-19 109.8 2.6 1.0 24 32-195 6.1 58.3% 277 6.3% 21 41-164 4.0 56.9% 199 9.6% Conference 26-27 82.3 4.3 -0.7 25 41-119 2.9 63.8% 343 9.2% 20 33-166 5.1 65.7% 213 6.1% Conference 27-17 63.7 0.3 1.0 21 33-135 4.1 52.8% 274 8.3% 21 47-204 4.3 52.6% 141 14.1% Away 26-34 -24.0 -1.5 -0.5 22 29-68 2.4 62.1% 347 5.8% 24 43-204 4.8 61.4% 235 3.5% Home 36-22 122.3 4.5 1.0 25 31-210 6.7 58.4% 279 5.4% 20 40-159 3.9 59.2% 208 8.8%
Central Conn St Eric Dungey 28-36-328-3-0 Eric Dungey 9-51-5.7-2 Steve Ishmael 12-134-11.2-0 Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Walton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 Middle Tennessee Eric Dungey 26-42-180-0-1 Eric Dungey 19-53-2.8-1 Steve Ishmael 14-116-8.3-0 Bye Central Michigan Eric Dungey 19-35-279-2-1 Eric Dungey 11-105-9.5-1 Steve Ishmael 8-139-17.4-0 vs. Byeat LSU Eric Dungey 32-53-265-1-1 Dontae Strickland 7-27-3.9-0 Steve Ishmael 11-123-11.2-1 Toledo Malik Rosier 27-36-333-3-1 Mark Walton 11-204-18.5-1 Braxton Berrios 5-105-21.0-1at NC State Eric Dungey 30-47-385-1-1 Eric Dungey 16-44-2.8-2 Ervin Philips 17-188-11.1-0 at Duke Malik Rosier 15-26-270-2-1 Mark Walton 17-51-3.0-0 Ahmmon Richards 3-106-35.3-1 Pittsburgh Eric Dungey 33-49-365-2-0 Dontae Strickland 25-80-3.2-0 Ravian Pierce 9-99-11.0-0 vs. at Florida St Malik Rosier 19-44-254-3-1 Travis Homer 3-29-9.7-0 Braxton Berrios 8-90-11.3-2 Clemson Eric Dungey 20-32-278-3-0 Dontae Strickland 19-78-4.1-0 Ervin Philips 4-94-23.5-1 Georgia Tech Malik Rosier 23-37-297-1-0 Travis Homer 20-170-8.5-1 Darrell Langham 5-100-20.0-0at Miami, Fl Syracuse Bye vs. at North Carolinaat Florida St Virginia Tech Wake Forest Notre Dameat Louisville vs. Virginia Boston College at Pittsburgh
vs.
Eric Dungey 188-294-2080-12-4 Eric Dungey 101-386-3.8-8 Steve Ishmael 62-802-12.9-4 Malik Rosier 101-171-1371-12-3 Mark Walton 56-428-7.6-3 Braxton Berrios 24-326-13.6-5Rex Culpepper 9-16-103-0-0 Dontae Strickland 95-298-3.1-3 Ervin Philips 56-569-10.2-3 vs. Evan Shirrefs 1-2-16-0-0 Travis Homer 45-377-8.4-4 Darrell Langham 9-188-20.9-2Devin C Butler 2-4-43-1-0 Moe Neal 28-150-5.4-0 Ravian Pierce 23-204-8.9-2 Team 0-3-0-0-0 Malik Rosier 48-146-3.0-2 Christopher Herndon 18-175-9.7-1
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
Orangemen Logs
Syracuse Leaders
Net Offense Defense
Syr
acu
se O
ran
gem
en
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Mia
mi,
Fl H
urr
ican
es
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def Virginia Boston College Sks By at Pittsburghat Louisville
Pass Def Virginia Tech Wake Forest Total Def Notre Dameat Florida St
Sks Allowed Syracuse Bye Rush Def at North Carolinaat Miami, Fl
Total Off at Florida St Clemson Score Off Georgia Tech Pittsburgh
at LSU Rush Off Toledoat NC State Pass Off at Duke
Middle TennesseeSyracuse Miami, Fl
Bye Central Michigan Bye
FOE REC
Central Conn St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Bethune-Cookman
AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOETM CONF
FOE CONFTM REC
Miami, Fl Hurricanes4-3 5-0Syracuse Orangemenvs. ACC vs. ACC
OVERALL: OVERALL:
TM +/- FOE +/-
FOETEAM --PS RANK--2-1 FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
3-0TM REC
Hurricanes Logs
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTM CONF
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Syracuse Miami, FlRushing
0.82
Syracuse QB/WR
Miami, Fl DB'sSyracuse RB's
2.23
Miami, Fl LB'sSyracuse OL
1.20
Miami, Fl DLSyracuse DL
2.38
Miami, Fl OLSyracuse LB'S
1.42
Miami, Fl RB'sSyracuse DB's
1.20
Miami, Fl QB/WR
Syracuse K
198 yards
39 points
Miami, Fl By 10.2
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Syracuse ST's0.20
Team & Margin
Ret
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Tab
le o
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nts
Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line
Miami, Fl ST's Miami, Fl By 16.5
Miami, Fl By 18.0
Miami, Fl Leaders
0.21Las Vegas Total
Miami, Fl K59 Points
+/- RatingsSyracuse Coaches
Phil's Forecast:
Last met in 2003. Miami just faced the option and cut blocking and is down 4-6 starters. While they lost Mark Walton at RB, Travis Homer (PS#24) stepped in with 170 yards and is averaging 8.5 ypc on the season. Miami keeps gaining more of a home field edge with increasing crowds and is 12-5-1 as a home favorite. Miami has faced the tougher schedule (#50 vs #72). Syracuse is off their huge upset of Clemson. The Tigers had a hobbled QB Kelly Bryant in the 1H and backup QB’s in the 2nd half, but the Syracuse offense had 440 yards versus that vaunted CU defense which is 176 ypg more than the Tigers normally allow and SU is now +89 in that category and their defense holds foes to 24 ypg below. Syracuse did only lose to LSU by 9 and NCST by 8 on the road this year.
Projected Rushing
Syracuse Miami, Fl 298 yardsProjected Passing
84 yards Syracuse Miami, Fl
292 yards
Game Grade376 yards Syracuse Miami, Fl 496 yards Miami, Fl Coaches
1.15Projected Yardage Total
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength
Projected Final Score
Experience Rankings Miami, Fl PtsSyracuse 0.82
Syracuse Pts
21 points Miami, FlComputer Yards
Miami, Fl 39-21
9.99 Miami, Fl 496-376
Computer Points24 Syracuse Miami, Fl 73
50 Miami, Fl by 18 Miami FL 39 Syracuse 21By 9.17 Points
Miami, Fl Phil Steele72 Syracuse Miami, Fl
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 106 8/31 30-27 W 75 90 110 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/2 21-24 L 105 128 59 88 107 991-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 108 9/9 45-27 W 71 89 110 89 94 100 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 97 9/9 51-31 W 109 124 59 128 95 1212-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 108 109 9/16 14-41 L 57 83 115 70 56 49 1-1 0-0 103 9/16 28-13 W 107 126 202-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 104 108 9/23 14-31 L 56 88 108 109 84 80 #109 #81 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 103 113 9/23 21-33 L 95 121 64 114 75 42-2 1-3 0-1 0-2 101 111 9/30 8-28 L 64 90 118 94 50 66 #43 #71 2-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 103 114 9/30 3-55 L 96 117 80 98 86 202-3 4-1 0-1 1-0 100 112 10/7 26-23 W 73 91 121 71 67 16 #82 #96 2-3 2-3 0-1 1-0 99 101 10/7 3-31 L 105 113 94 118 99 1273-3 4-1 1-1 1-0 104 115 10/14 10-30 L 81 89 130 53 96 26 #109 #112 2-4 0-2 95 10/14 112 109 983-4 2-4 1-2 0-2 102 95 10/21 90 87 127 121 108 99 #15 #63 2-4 3-4 0-2 1-2 95 102 10/21 121 108 99 90 87 127
10/28 #106 #59 5-1 2-0 117 10/26 53 82 364-3 2-1 113 11/1 70 75 15 #48 #72 2-4 0-2 111 11/2 116 78 1052-4 0-2 111 11/8 116 78 105 #89 #54 4-2 2-0 115 11/9 103 42 1172-5 1-2 98 11/14 130 103 95 #85 #97 3-4 1-2 108 11/16 106 116 1044-2 2-0 115 11/24 103 42 117 #111 #21 2-5 1-2 102 11/21 100 92 89
#92 #84+1 -6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Rhode Island 30-27 107 9 2 24 50-246 4.9 28-54 253 2 15 31-108 3.5 21-40 284 1 at Illinois 21-24 159 7 -1 21 51-171 3.4 21-34 204 3 14 30-71 2.4 10-19 145 4at Kansas 45-27 120 -3 1 26 35-123 3.5 28-37 467 0 29 34-147 4.3 32-62 323 2 UAB 51-31 -127 0 2 24 44-160 3.6 23-35 217 0 24 49-336 6.9 15-24 168 3at Syracuse 17-41 -197 4 0 22 34-105 3.1 23-46 277 0 18 44-300 6.8 19-35 279 0 Tennessee Tech 28-13 111 0 -1 20 33-228 6.9 23-31 238 0 20 33-116 3.5 19-35 239 4 Miami, OH 14-31 -49 -1 -2 19 38-117 3.1 20-39 228 0 20 40-177 4.4 11-19 217 2 at WKU 21-33 3 -5 -1 17 31-107 3.5 18-36 267 1 22 30-52 1.7 28-44 319 4at Boston College 8-28 -13 1 -1 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 at Western Michigan 3-55 -176 -6 -2 15 30-63 2.1 23-43 175 3 21 43-169 3.9 15-21 245 0at Ohio 26-23 -33 -3 3 18 31-68 2.2 25-35 249 2 21 39-190 4.9 17-31 160 2 at Akron 3-31 -7 3 -3 22 44-155 3.5 24-46 221 5 19 31-134 4.3 18-31 249 2 Toledo 10-30 -155 -5 -2 12 21-62 3.0 17-38 182 0 17 56-310 5.5 10-18 89 1 Byeat Ball St Central Michigan Bye Toledoat Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinoisat Kent St Buffalo Northern Illinois Miami, OH
Average 21-30 -31.4 0.3 0.1 20 35-120 3.5 55.8% 262 2.4% 20 42-208 4.9 54.9% 205 3.5% Average 21-31 -6.2 -0.2 -1.0 20 39-147 3.8 58.7% 220 5.3% 20 36-146 4.1 60.3% 228 9.8% Conference 17-28 -79.0 -3.0 -0.3 16 30-82 2.7 55.4% 220 1.8% 19 45-226 5.0 55.9% 155 7.4% Conference 3-43 -91.5 -1.5 -2.5 19 37-109 2.9 52.8% 198 9.0% 20 37-152 4.1 63.5% 247 3.8% Away 24-30 -30.8 -0.3 0.8 21 33-103 3.1 60.9% 293 3.1% 21 43-215 5.1 55.0% 212 2.7% Home 40-22 -8.0 0.0 0.5 22 39-194 5.0 69.7% 228 0.0% 22 41-226 5.5 57.6% 204 11.9%
Rhode Island Shane Morris 25-49-226-1-1 Jonathan Ward 19-147-7.7-1 Mark Chapman 5-88-17.6-0 at Illinois Riley Neal 21-34-204-1-1 James Gilbert 19-74-3.9-1 Riley Miller 7-86-12.3-0at Kansas Shane Morris 28-37-467-5-0 Jonathan Ward 11-59-5.4-0 Mark Chapman 8-168-21.0-3 UAB Riley Neal 23-34-217-2-0 Caleb Huntley 10-89-8.9-1 Justin Hall 8-94-11.8-1at Syracuse Shane Morris 22-45-279-2-2 Kumehnnu Gwilly 6-44-7.3-0 Cameron Cole 3-75-25.0-1 vs. Tennessee Tech Riley Neal 23-31-238-3-2 James Gilbert 11-92-8.4-0 Justin Hall 7-82-11.7-1 Miami, OH Shane Morris 15-33-195-1-2 Jonathan Ward 22-56-2.5-0 Eric Cooper 6-81-13.5-1 at WKU Jack Milas 18-36-267-0-2 Malik Dunner 13-57-4.4-1 Justin Hall 5-98-19.6-0at Boston College Shane Morris 21-42-171-0-3 Kumehnnu Gwilly 12-61-5.1-1 Tony Poljan 3-61-20.3-0 at Western Michigan Jack Milas 22-40-170-0-1 Caleb Huntley 11-33-3.0-0 Justin Hall 13-121-9.3-0at Ohio Shane Morris 25-35-249-2-1 Tony Poljan 5-24-4.8-0 Tyler Conklin 10-136-13.6-2 vs. at Akron Jack Milas 21-41-176-0-3 Caleb Huntley 25-129-5.2-0 Justin Hall 7-48-6.9-0 Toledo Shane Morris 17-37-182-1-2 Jonathan Ward 10-32-3.2-0 Mark Chapman 5-71-14.2-0 Byeat Ball St Central Michigan Bye vs. Toledoat Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinoisat Kent St vs. Buffalo Northern Illinois Miami, OH
vs.
Shane Morris 153-278-1769-12-11 Jonathan Ward 83-363-4.4-2 Mark Chapman 39-556-14.3-3 Riley Neal 67-99-659-6-3 Caleb Huntley 78-388-5.0-3 Justin Hall 42-479-11.4-2Tony Poljan 8-12-60-0-0 Kumehnnu Gwilly 41-146-3.6-1 Jonathan Ward 33-242-7.3-1 vs. Jack Milas 61-118-613-0-6 Malik Dunner 45-216-4.8-4 Riley Miller 19-214-11.3-0Jonathan Ward 1-1-9-0-0 Shane Morris 46-107-2.3-1 Corey Willis 18-195-10.8-1 Zack Blair 4-8-50-0-0 James Gilbert 48-207-4.3-3 Antwan Davis 13-147-11.3-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Central Michigan - -13 24 18 37-153
Ball St - 57 21 18 39-166 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Central Michigan - -7.5 23 20 31-118
Ball St - 56 21 17 29-112 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Central Michigan - -10 29 25 37-181
Ball St - 54 32 24 38-89 42013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Central Michigan - 55.5 24 18 27-113
Ball St - -21 44 28 44-250 32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Central Michigan - 64.5 30 23 26-107
Ball St - -3 41 28 51-233 0
Ball St ST's C Michigan By 3
1.15
C Michigan By 4.3+/- Ratings
C Michigan Coaches
Ball St Coaches
47.5 Points
C Michigan by 10 Best Bet: ★ Central Michigan 27 Ball St 17By 1.06 Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points
C Michigan 24-17
Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength C Michigan
97 C Michigan Ball St 121
24 pointsComputer Yards
C Michigan
55 C Michigan Ball St
Ball St
105
Ball St 383 yards
17 points C Michigan 399-383Projected Final Score
4.02
C Michigan Pts2.97
Experience Rankings Ball St Pts
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line21-32-269 Ball St had won 5 str by 10 ppg, but has dropped B2B mtgs. LY BSU down 3
w/1:43 left had a FD at the CM29, but threw an int in the EZ w/1:37. BSU is 1-7 L2Y in MAC HG’s (win vs UMass in ‘15, now IND status) and the visitor is 7-3 in the series. CM is on their 5th road game in 7 weeks and Ball St is fresh off a bye. Ball St with QB Riley Neal (68% 6-3) was 2-1 with a close loss to Illinois. HE got injured and Jack Milas (52% 0-6 ratio) has taken over and they have lost by 31 ppg on a 3 game road trip. Central is 9-3 vs the Vegas number as an away favorite and led by Michigan transfer Shane Morris (55% 12-11). CM has taken on the tougher schedule (#97 vs #121) and already has beaten Kansas by 18 and Ohio U on the road this year.
288 yards C Michigan Ball St 192 yards
C Michigan By 0.8Projected Yardage Total
Game Grade
Ball St Leaders
C Michigan ST's1.98
Team & Margin
0.33Las Vegas Total
Ball St K
Ball St QB/WR0.39
C Michigan DB's
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
C Michigan KComp-Att-Yds
C Michigan Leaders
18-30-174
Ball St RB's
C Michigan DL0.65
Ball St OL
0.08
C Michigan LB'S
0.09
C Michigan RB's
Ball St LB's
0.36
C Michigan OL
Ball St DL
Receiving
C Michigan Ball StRushing
1.96
C Michigan QB/WR
Ball St DB's
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
FOETEAM
Cardinals Logs
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--1-2 FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
0-2TM REC
FOE TM CONF
vs. MAC vs. MAC
OVERALL: OVERALL:
Chippewas Logs
Ball St Cardinals3-4 2-4C Michigan Chippewas
Projected Rushing111 yards C Michigan Ball St 192 yards
Projected Passing
Rhode Island 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Illinoisat Kansas
C Michigan Ball St UAB
at Syracuse Tennessee Tech Miami, OH Rush Off at WKUat Boston College Pass Off at Western Michigan
Total Off at Akron Toledo Score Off Byeat Ohio
Sks Allowed Central Michigan Bye Rush Def Toledoat Ball St
Pass Def at Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan Total Def at Northern Illinoisat Western Michigan
Score Def Buffalo Northern Illinois Sks By Miami, OHat Kent St
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
C M
ich
igan
Ch
ipp
ewas
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Bal
l St
Car
din
als
Net Offense
30-39-316
25-40-187
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
Comp-Att-Yds
23-30-231
Comp-Att-Yds
20-32-245
21-38-198
Comp-Att-Yds
399 yards C Michigan
20-32-284
20-29-299
Comp-Att-Yds
23-38-339
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 119 8/31 51-7 W 96 50 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 122 25 9/4 41-42 L 57 56 105 45 23 51-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 116 9/9 34-10 W 81 59 30 75 30 67 0-1 0-0 123 9/9 37-10 W 38 56 1052-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 124 105 9/16 46-10 W 86 61 36 111 116 55 1-1 0-0 123 9/16 32 54 1183-0 2-1 1-0 1-0 126 109 9/23 20-19 W 69 46 21 68 79 60 #52 #3 1-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 123 116 9/23 35-17 W 26 55 125 55 68 394-0 0-2 1-0 0-1 124 131 9/30 19-26 L 65 45 25 58 9 43 #69 #129 2-1 1-3 1-0 0-2 124 118 9/30 33-7 W 26 47 129 52 40 424-1 5-0 1-1 3-0 124 142 2 10/7 14-28 L 64 46 34 11 3 107 #62 #43 3-1 2-0 127 10/7 28 40 1234-2 1-2 125 10/14 69 45 64 #57 #39 3-1 4-0 2-0 2-0 127 136 11 10/14 24-25 L 25 36 129 7 15 154-2 3-2 1-2 2-1 125 129 10/21 71 43 69 34 36 119 #37 #15 3-2 4-2 2-1 1-2 129 125 10/21 34 36 119 71 43 69
4-3 1-3 118 10/28 7 45 67 #49 #26 6-1 4-1 136 10/28 13 3 1115-1 3-1 136 11/4 6 18 88 #34 #23 5-1 2-0 118 11/4 74 26 1004-3 2-1 120 11/11 57 72 33 #34 #16 5-1 1-1 128 11/11 38 14 176-1 4-0 129 11/18 26 24 94 #12 #34 4-3 1-3 120 11/18 65 25 1014-3 1-3 120 11/25 65 25 101 #77 #53 7-0 4-0 137 11/25 8 8 14
#48 #19+6 -3
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Presbytrian 51-7 239 16 0 28 45-248 5.5 20-27 239 1 12 45-207 4.6 2-9 41 3 † Tennessee 41-42 286 15 -2 33 86-535 6.2 5-10 120 0 18 22-148 6.7 20-37 221 0at Boston College 34-10 4 -4 4 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 2 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 0 Jacksonville St 37-10 133 3 3 17 49-210 4.3 5-7 112 2 14 38-116 3.1 8-14 73 5 Utah St 46-10 321 15 1 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2 Byeat Appalachian St 20-19 -150 -9 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 Pittsburgh 35-17 249 14 -3 25 67-436 6.5 4-7 48 0 11 20-37 1.9 22-35 198 3 Florida St 19-26 97 2 -1 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 North Carolina 33-7 209 11 0 22 66-403 6.1 5-10 53 3 11 26-106 4.1 18-32 141 2at Clemson 14-28 -117 -9 2 16 35-133 3.8 14-30 203 3 25 49-190 3.9 29-41 263 1 Bye Bye at Miami, Fl 24-25 -200 -8 -1 16 53-226 4.3 3-8 55 2 24 36-184 5.1 23-38 297 3at Georgia Tech Wake Forest Louisville at Clemsonat Notre Dame at Virginiaat Syracuse Virginia Tech NC State at Duke Duke Georgia
Average 31-17 65.7 1.8 1.0 20 44-182 4.1 61.2% 223 6.1% 18 41-142 3.5 50.2% 198 5.5% Average 34-20 135.4 7.0 -0.6 23 64-362 5.6 52.4% 78 16.7% 16 28-118 4.2 58.3% 186 8.3% Conference 22-21 -5.3 -3.7 1.7 16 40-129 3.2 60.7% 208 8.3% 20 44-160 3.6 56.3% 182 5.8% Conference 31-16 86.0 5.7 -1.3 21 62-355 5.7 48.0% 52 20.0% 15 27-109 4.0 60.0% 212 7.6% Away 23-19 -87.7 -7.3 2.0 16 42-153 3.6 53.9% 177 7.9% 24 42-151 3.6 54.5% 266 0.7% Home 35-9 171.0 7.0 1.5 20 58-307 5.3 58.8% 83 29.4% 13 32-111 3.5 56.5% 107 15.2%
Presbytrian Kendall Hinton 7-8-124-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 7-75-10.7-0 Greg Dortch 4-55-13.8-2 † Tennessee TaQuan Marshall 5-9-120-0-0 TaQuan Marshall 44-249-5.7-5 Ricky Jeune 2-55-27.5-0at Boston College John Wolford 13-19-151-1-0 John Wolford 20-92-4.6-1 Greg Dortch 6-56-9.3-1 Jacksonville St TaQuan Marshall 5-7-112-3-0 Jerry Howard 6-82-13.7-1 Ricky Jeune 2-50-25.0-2 Utah St John Wolford 12-22-242-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 19-120-6.3-1 Tabari Hines 5-129-25.8-0 vs. Byeat Appalachian St John Wolford 14-27-176-2-0 John Wolford 13-77-5.9-0 Scotty Washington 4-79-19.8-0 Pittsburgh TaQuan Marshall 4-7-48-0-0 KirVante Benson 29-196-6.8-2 Ricky Jeune 2-29-14.5-0 Florida St John Wolford 24-34-271-0-1 John Wolford 19-63-3.3-1 Greg Dortch 10-110-11.0-0 North Carolina TaQuan Marshall 5-10-53-1-0 TaQuan Marshall 27-137-5.1-1 Ricky Jeune 4-37-9.3-1at Clemson Kendall Hinton 14-30-203-2-0 Kendall Hinton 24-92-3.8-0 Greg Dortch 5-78-15.6-0 vs. Bye TaQuan Marshall 3-7-55-1-0 Clinton Lynch 5-71-14.2-0 Ricky Jeune 2-52-26.0-0 Bye at Miami, Flat Georgia Tech Wake Forest Louisville vs. at Clemsonat Notre Dame at Virginiaat Syracuse Virginia Tech NC State vs. at Duke Duke Georgia
vs.
John Wolford 74-117-947-8-1 John Wolford 66-332-5.0-4 Greg Dortch 35-430-12.3-5 TaQuan Marshall 22-40-388-5-0 TaQuan Marshall 121-541-4.5-9 Ricky Jeune 12-223-18.6-3Kendall Hinton 25-43-382-4-0 Arkeem Byrd 49-267-5.4-1 Scotty Washington 10-200-20.0-1 vs. Matthew Jordan 0-1-0.1-0-0 KirVante Benson 91-516-5.7-4 Qua Searcy 2-61-30.5-0Jamie Newman 2-4-8-0-1 Matt Colburn II 47-180-3.8-2 Tabari Hines 13-185-14.2-0 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Clinton Lynch 15-140-9.3-0 Brad Stewart 3-39-13.0-0
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.24 points
Wake Forest Demon DeaconsDemon Deacons Logs
TM REC
Net Offense Defense
Wak
e Fo
rest
Dem
on D
eaco
ns
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Geo
rgia
Tec
h Y
ello
w J
acke
ts
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
NC State Score Def at Duke Duke Sks By Georgia
at Notre Dame Pass Def at Virginiaat Syracuse Total Def Virginia Tech
at Georgia Tech Sks Allowed Wake Forest Louisville Rush Def at Clemson
at Clemson Total Off Bye Bye Score Off at Miami, Fl
at Appalachian St Rush Off Pittsburgh Florida St Pass Off North Carolina
† Tennesseeat Boston College
Wake Forest Georgia Tech Jacksonville St
Utah St Bye
FOE REC
Projected Rushing
OVERALL: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets4-2 3-2OVERALL:
FOE
vs. ACCFOE
Projected Passing208 yards Wake Forest Georgia Tech 112 yards
0.70
Wake Forest Georgia Tech
AP
vs. ACC Yellow Jackets LogsTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
AP
Presbytrian
--PS RANK-- TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Wake Forest QB/WR
2017 TEAM RANKINGS FOE FOENCAA RANKINGS
TEAM --PS RANK--1-2 2-1TM REC FOE
RECTEAM
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Wake Forest Georgia TechRushing
Georgia Tech DB's
Wake Forest RB's
1.24
Georgia Tech LB's
0.62
Georgia Tech DLWake Forest DL
0.62
Georgia Tech OL
Wake Forest OL
Wake Forest LB'S
0.80
Georgia Tech RB's
Wake Forest Leaders
Projected Yardage Total
Wake Forest DB's
0.22Georgia Tech QB/WR
127 yards 322 yards 48 Points
Georgia Tech Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score 1.07
Wake Forest ST's Team & Margin
Game GradeGeorgia Tech Coaches
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas LineTeams last met in 2010. WF had 5 starters back on defense and does well vs the option as they held Army to 335 ypg the last 4 years and held Tulane to 280 yards last year. WF has the added advantage of a bye to prep for the option. GT is in a Miami/Clemson sandwich. WF had a 97 yard edge on Florida St and have a solid defensive front 7 to take on the option. GT was outgained last week by 200 yards in a game where they were off a bye and Miami was beat up and off a big last second win vs Florida St. Solid situation for Wake here as they are fresh, match up well vs the option, have extra prep time and catch GT off a tough last second loss where they were -200 yards and Wake is getting a full TD.
Georgia Tech ST's Georgia Tech By 6.5Wake Forest K
Wake Forest Georgia Tech 434 yards
Las Vegas Total0.94
Georgia Tech K+/- Ratings
Wake Forest Coaches
1.25
Georgia Tech By 8.0
Georgia Tech By 9.5
Georgia Tech 434-335Projected Final Score
2.71
Wake Forest Pts4.75
Experience Rankings Georgia Tech Pts
335 yards
21 points Wake Forest
Wake Forest
Georgia Tech
32 Georgia Tech 65 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Computer Yards
Georgia Tech 24-21
Georgia Tech
Computer Points
Team Schedule Strength55 Wake Forest Georgia Tech 39 Georgia Tech 21 Wake Forest 20By 2.03 Points
Phil SteeleGeorgia Tech by 1
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 92 98 9/2 38-28 W 130 129 128 100 110 72 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 125 15 9/2 10-31 L 49 61 85 9 7 581-0 0-0 96 9/9 127 128 128 0-1 0-0 112 9/9 54-7 W 63 66 851-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 96 95 9/16 23-30 L 125 127 100 124 94 127 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 113 83 9/16 20-13 W 60 70 98 130 123 1191-1 0-0 95 9/23 10-52 L 125 125 115 #39 #49 2-1 3-0 1-0 1-0 109 126 9/23 19-20 L 68 79 60 69 46 211-2 1-2 0-0 1-0 91 101 9/30 43-51 T 125 125 90 91 112 112 #98 #78 2-2 1-0 111 9/30 77 76 781-3 1-2 0-1 0-0 92 97 10/7 21-27 L 126 126 112 125 114 129 #86 #73 2-2 2-3 1-0 0-1 111 103 10/7 45-31 W 75 74 84 41 92 1161-4 2-2 0-2 1-0 92 109 10/14 17-51 L 125 123 112 65 79 46 #88 #68 3-2 2-3 2-0 1-1 110 100 10/14 23-20 W 72 70 73 104 113 931-5 4-2 0-3 3-0 90 101 10/21 123 123 124 75 59 85 #76 #7 4-2 3-0 110 90 10/21 75 59 85 123 123 124
1-6 0-3 83 10/28 128 121 125 #70 #60 0-6 0-1 101 10/28 95 112 1262-4 0-3 112 11/4 35 62 109 #85 #17 3-3 3-1 97 11/4 80 119 514-2 1-1 104 11/11 82 53 115 #83 #28 0-5 0-2 91 11/9 126 107 712-4 1-2 100 11/18 110 109 90 #121 #37 11/18
11/25 #117 #16 3-2 2-0 101 11/25 114 111 1160-5 0-2 101 12/2 126 107 71 #89 #46 3-3 2-1 100 12/2 94 117 82
-7 +3
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
UMass 38-28 -40 -3 2 20 47-321 6.8 10-18 80 0 23 26-79 0.0 27-45 362 1 at Georgia 10-31 -84 -6 2 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 1 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 Bye Savannah State 54-7 505 21 -2 27 47-274 5.8 16-22 345 1 6 33-77 2.3 5-18 37 3at UAB 23-30 53 5 -2 23 49-227 4.6 9-23 100 1 18 47-169 0.0 8-15 105 2 at Texas St 20-13 -102 -2 0 19 29-116 4.0 17-28 167 1 21 37-125 3.4 23-35 260 4 Western Illinois 10-52 -203 -6 -4 15 35-170 4.9 11-23 137 4 21 37-225 0.0 18-20 285 1 Wake Forest 19-20 150 9 0 27 35-122 3.5 26-52 372 0 18 40-168 4.2 14-27 176 1at ULM 43-51 97 5 -3 21 38-112 2.9 18-32 329 3 16 40-243 0.0 12-20 101 1 Bye Georgia St 21-27 2 -5 1 17 32-127 4.0 18-26 239 2 22 40-91 0.0 18-30 273 1 New Mexico St 45-31 -7 -11 3 17 38-350 9.2 11-22 75 0 28 42-176 4.2 27-50 256 4at Arkansas St 17-51 -47 -3 -1 24 38-197 5.2 13-29 231 3 27 37-189 0.0 24-37 286 1 at Idaho 23-20 -36 0 0 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6at Appalachian St Coastal Carolina Texas St at UMassat Arkansas at ULM Troy GA Southernat Idaho Bye Bye at Georgia St GA Southern Louisiana
Average 25-40 -23.0 -1.2 -1.2 20 40-192 4.8 52.3% 186 8.6% 21 38-166 0.0 64.1% 235 4.2% Average 29-20 71.0 1.8 0.5 19 37-187 5.1 60.4% 210 2.2% 18 39-147 3.8 53.4% 179 10.7% Conference 27-43 17.3 -1.0 -1.0 21 36-145 4.0 56.3% 266 9.2% 22 39-174 0.0 62.1% 220 3.4% Conference 29-21 -48.3 -4.3 1.0 17 35-196 5.6 61.8% 132 2.6% 21 38-138 3.6 57.5% 239 12.4% Away 28-44 34.3 2.3 -2.0 23 42-179 4.3 47.6% 220 8.3% 20 41-200 0.0 61.1% 164 5.6% Home 39-19 216.0 6.3 0.3 24 40-249 6.2 55.2% 264 1.0% 17 38-140 3.7 48.4% 156 8.4%
UMass Tyler Keane 9-17-78-1-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 17-149-8.8-2 Ky'Jon Tyler 5-38-7.6-0 at Georgia Taylor Lamb 18-27-128-0-0 Taylor Lamb 10-66-6.6-1 Jalin Moore 4-34-8.5-0 Bye Savannah State Taylor Lamb 12-15-327-5-0 Terrence Upshaw 10-86-8.6-1 Collin Reed 3-106-35.3-2at UAB Tyler Keane 7-16-75-0-3 Osharmar Abercrombie 19-75-3.9-2 Chris Jones 1-19-19.0-0 vs. at Texas St Taylor Lamb 17-28-167-1-0 Terrence Upshaw 14-60-4.3-1 Malik Williams 4-68-17.0-0 Western Illinois Tyler Keane 6-11-85-0-0 Marcus Outlow 4-67-16.8-0 Malcolm Williams 5-79-15.8-0 Wake Forest Taylor Lamb 26-50-372-2-0 Terrence Upshaw 15-86-5.7-0 TJ Watkins 3-102-34.0-1at ULM Tyler Keane 18-31-329-4-2 Osharmar Abercrombie 13-51-3.9-0 Malcolm Williams 9-266-29.6-2 Bye Taylor Lamb 10-21-48-0-2 Jalin Moore 19-241-12.7-2 Thomas Hennigan 6-66-11.0-1 Georgia St Tyler Keane 18-26-239-3-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 9-42-4.7-0 Omar Black 5-75-15.0-1 vs. New Mexico Stat Arkansas St Kilton Anderson 5-16-133-1-0 Osharmar Abercrombie 10-102-10.2-0 Omar Black 5-88-17.6-0 at Idaho Taylor Lamb 19-26-155-3-1 Jalin Moore 17-49-2.9-0 Ike Lewis 6-101-16.8-2at Appalachian St Coastal Carolina Texas St vs. at UMassat Arkansas at ULM Troy GA Southernat Idaho vs. Bye Bye at Georgia St GA Southern Louisiana
vs.
Tyler Keane 66-114-904-8-5 Osharmar Abercrombie 77-437-5.7-4 Malcolm Williams 21-438-20.9-2 Taylor Lamb 102-167-1197-11-3 Jalin Moore 83-426-5.1-3 Thomas Hennigan 28-268-9.6-2Kilton Anderson 5-16-133-1-0 Marcus Outlow 40-191-4.8-1 Omar Black 16-229-14.3-1 vs. Zac Thomas 6-10-33-0-0 Terrence Upshaw 68-314-4.6-4 Ike Lewis 17-214-12.6-2Chance Thrasher 5-10-52-0-2 Alex James 22-158-7.2-2 Chris Jones 6-174-29.0-2 Malik Williams 1-1-27-1-0 Taylor Lamb 35-254-7.3-2 Malik Williams 14-138-9.9-0
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
Chanticleers LogsFOE
Coastal Carolina Leaders
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
AP
at Appalachian St
UMass
Net Offense Defense
Coa
stal
Car
olin
a C
han
ticl
eers
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Ap
pal
ach
ian
St
Mou
nta
inee
rs
Net Offense
LouisianaTotal TO's
Ypg Diff GA Southern
Score Def Bye Bye Sks By at Georgia Stat Idaho
Pass Def at ULM Troy Total Def GA Southernat Arkansas
Sks Allowed Coastal Carolina Texas St Rush Def at UMass
Georgia St Total Off New Mexico Stat Arkansas St Score Off at Idaho
Western Illinois Rush Off Wake Forestat ULM Pass Off Bye
2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Georgia Bye
Coastal Carolina Appalachian St Savannah State
at UAB at Texas St
169 yards Coastal Carolina Appalachian St 269 yardsProjected Passing
100 yards Coastal CarolinaProjected Yardage Total
269 yards Coastal Carolina Appalachian St
Appalachian St
Appalachian St
227 yards
Projected Final Score14 points Coastal Carolina 40 points
Experience Rankings104 Coastal Carolina Appalachian St 34
495 yards
Projected Rushing
OVERALL: OVERALL: Appalachian St Mountaineers1-5 4-2vs. SUN vs. SUN Mountaineers Logs
TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-3 3-0TM REC FOE
RECAP FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Coastal Carolina Appalachian StRushing
Coastal Carolina QB/WR
1.47Appalachian St DB's
Coastal Carolina RB's
0.01Appalachian St LB's
0.09
Coastal Carolina OL
Appalachian St DL
Coastal Carolina DL
1.78
Appalachian St OL
Coastal Carolina LB'S
Coastal Carolina DB's
1.48Appalachian St QB/WR
1.76Appalachian St RB's
Appalachian St Leaders
Coastal Carolina ST'sLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
Appalachian St Coaches
Appalachian St K
Appalachian St
Coastal Carolina Coaches
2.35
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas LineThe Chanticleers are 0-3 vs the Mountaineers incl a 55-14 loss the LTH (‘12) with App St piling up a 684-190 yard edge. CC is on their 4th road game in 6 weeks. Since their upset of UMass in the opener (-40 yards) they are 0-5 (0-4-1 vs the Vegas number), but outgained 3 of their 4 FBS foes in that span. Last week they lost to Ark St by 34, but were only -47 yards. App St is 4-2, but just 2-4 ATS and one of those wins was a lucky one vs NMexico St as they trailed by 7 in the 4Q, -13.5, but won by 14. CC top QB Tyler Keane was injured last week and is questionable. Remember App St trailed Idaho by 20 last week and got outgained by Texas St by 102 yds with TXSt at their 1 yard line at the end.
Appalachian St ST's Appalachian St By 23.5Coastal Carolina K
1.37
0.63
Appalachian St 40-14
54.5 Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Appalachian St By 23.3
Appalachian St By 19.0Game Grade
+/- Ratings
Las Vegas Total
Team Schedule Strength Appalachian St
Appalachian St 495-269Appalachian St Pts
0.09
Coastal Carolina Pts
10.84Computer Yards
Computer Points
Phil SteeleAppalachian St by 24 Appalachian St 38 Coastal Carolina 14By 10.75 Points
114120 Coastal Carolina
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 128 11 17 9/2 33-17 W 41 22 37 25 14 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 101 6 9/2 52-0 W 4 18 8 89 83 941-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 108 8 9/9 36-14 W 44 9 37 101 75 91 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 139 120 4 9/9 33-14 W 4 12 8 37 71 282-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 110 7 9/16 29-13 W 42 6 83 40 106 26 2-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 93 5 9/16 56-0 W 6 9 3 126 118 1043-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 129 121 8 9/23 28-10 W 42 3 15 72 64 113 #51 #67 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 140 122 4 9/23 21-19 W 8 8 7 58 29 134-0 1-0 131 8 9/30 48 3 23 #94 #22 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-1 138 119 4 9/30 45-14 W 9 10 8 92 48 124-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 131 120 7 10/7 10-14 L 45 2 13 39 21 111 #88 #33 5-0 2-2 2-0 0-1 139 125 4 10/7 31-7 W 15 9 12 47 34 854-1 3-2 1-1 0-2 127 118 17 10/14 27-20 W 42 2 12 87 38 37 #79 #16 6-0 3-0 141 3 10/14 16 7 25-1 6-0 2-1 3-0 127 141 19 2 10/21 41 2 22 16 4 5 #96 #96 6-0 5-1 3-0 2-1 141 127 2 19 10/21 16 4 5 41 2 22
2-4 1-2 107 10/28 83 64 56 #6 #24 6-1 4-0 144 10/28 2 5 523-3 0-3 118 11/4 105 49 24 #3 #10 5-1 3-0 124 11/4 40 15 1123-3 1-2 111 11/11 68 61 76 #1 #9 2-4 1-2 107 11/11 83 64 566-0 3-0 134 11/18 20 10 66 #8 #1 3-4 2-2 112 11/18 59 60 466-1 4-0 144 11/25 2 5 52 #10 #21 3-3 1-2 111 11/25 68 61 76
#16 #10-3 +12
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Florida 33-17 241 10 1 19 49-215 4.4 12-26 218 5 9 27-11 0.4 14-26 181 6 Akron 52-0 410 12 0 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3 Cincinnati 36-14 214 3 0 16 37-193 5.2 17-29 221 1 13 30-68 2.3 15-40 132 4 Pittsburgh 33-14 -30 -10 2 14 24-148 6.2 15-28 164 1 24 45-155 3.4 24-41 187 5 Air Force 29-13 127 2 0 17 42-190 4.5 14-23 169 2 15 49-168 3.4 1-9 64 3 Georgia St 56-0 206 -2 5 19 24-166 6.9 21-29 360 1 21 49-150 3.1 18-32 170 3at Purdue 28-10 234 15 -1 24 44-139 3.2 21-31 284 4 9 20-30 1.5 13-30 159 5 at Iowa 21-19 306 18 -1 29 51-295 5.8 31-48 284 4 11 23-82 3.6 13-22 191 1 Bye Indiana 45-14 18 1 3 20 37-39 1.1 24-37 331 5 19 47-177 3.8 15-32 175 1 Michigan St 10-14 48 4 -5 17 39-102 2.6 16-35 198 4 13 40-158 4.0 11-22 94 0 at Northwestern 31-7 116 8 3 23 38-95 2.5 29-41 286 5 15 30-67 2.2 23-43 198 4at Indiana 27-20 51 3 2 17 44-271 6.2 10-20 58 0 14 29-80 2.8 21-43 198 2 Byeat Penn St Michigan Rutgers at Ohio St Minnesota at Michigan Stat Maryland Rutgersat Wisconsin Nebraska Ohio St at Maryland
Average 27-15 152.5 6.2 -0.5 18 43-185 4.4 54.9% 191 9.8% 12 33-86 2.6 44.1% 138 11.8% Average 40-9 171.0 4.5 2.0 22 35-165 4.8 65.9% 291 7.5% 17 38-117 3.1 53.8% 168 8.5% Conference 22-15 111.0 7.3 -1.3 19 42-171 4.0 54.7% 180 9.3% 12 30-89 3.0 47.4% 150 7.4% Conference 32-13 146.7 9.0 1.7 24 42-143 3.4 66.7% 300 11.1% 15 33-109 3.3 52.6% 188 6.2% Away 29-16 175.3 9.3 0.7 20 46-208 4.6 55.8% 187 11.7% 11 25-40 1.6 48.5% 179 13.1% Home 47-7 151.0 0.3 2.5 19 30-150 5.0 64.8% 294 5.6% 19 44-139 3.2 53.0% 155 9.0%
† Florida Wilton Speight 11-25-181-1-2 Ty Isaac 11-114-10.4-0 Tarik Black 2-83-41.5-1 Akron Trace McSorley 18-25-280-2-1 Saquon Barkley 14-172-12.3-2 Juwan Johnson 4-84-21.0-0 Cincinnati Wilton Speight 17-29-221-2-0 Ty Isaac 20-133-6.7-0 Kekoa Crawford 4-83-20.8-1 Pittsburgh Trace McSorley 15-28-164-3-1 Saquon Barkley 14-88-6.3-1 Saquon Barkley 4-45-11.3-1 Air Force Wilton Speight 14-23-169-0-0 Ty Isaac 16-89-5.6-0 Tarik Black 5-55-11.0-0 vs. Georgia St Trace McSorley 18-23-309-4-0 Saquon Barkley 10-47-4.7-0 Saquon Barkley 4-142-35.5-1at Purdue John O'Korn 18-26-270-1-1 Chris Evans 14-97-6.9-2 Sean McKeon 5-82-16.4-0 at Iowa Trace McSorley 31-48-284-1-1 Saquon Barkley 28-211-7.5-1 Saquon Barkley 12-94-7.8-0 Bye Indiana Trace McSorley 23-36-315-2-1 Saquon Barkley 20-56-2.8-0 DaeSean Hamilton 9-122-13.6-3 Michigan St John O'Korn 16-35-198-0-3 Karan Higdon 12-65-5.4-0 Grant Perry 5-61-12.2-0 vs. at Northwestern Trace McSorley 25-34-245-1-0 Saquon Barkley 16-75-4.7-2 Saeed Blacknall 4-74-18.5-0at Indiana John O'Korn 10-20-58-0-0 Karan Higdon 25-200-8.0-3 Donovan Peoples-Jones 4-34-8.5-0 Byeat Penn St Michigan Rutgers vs. at Ohio St Minnesota at Michigan Stat Maryland Rutgersat Wisconsin vs. Nebraska Ohio St at Maryland
vs.
Wilton Speight 44-81-581-3-2 Ty Isaac 68-403-5.9-2 Grant Perry 18-224-12.4-1 Trace McSorley 130-194-1597-13-4 Saquon Barkley 102-649-6.4-6 Saquon Barkley 29-395-13.6-2John O'Korn 45-82-563-1-4 Karan Higdon 70-401-5.7-5 Sean McKeon 15-181-12.1-0 vs. Tommy Stevens 9-17-126-1-0 Trace McSorley 72-178-2.5-4 DaeSean Hamilton 22-366-16.6-4Brandon Peters 1-1-4-0-0 Chris Evans 67-252-3.8-2 Tarik Black 11-149-13.5-1 Saquon Barkley 1-1-16-1-0 Miles Sanders 6-63-10.5-1 Juwan Johnson 24-303-12.6-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Michigan 4 -18 49 25 49-326
Penn St - 56 10 12 28-70 -2
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Michigan 14 -3.5 28 19 30-87
Penn St - 43 16 14 22-70 1
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Michigan - -2.5 18 12 31-64
Penn St - 41.5 13 16 35-54 0
2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Michigan 18 -2.5 40 21 54-149
Penn St - 50.5 43 24 44-85 -1
25-38-256
Comp-Att-Yds
16-26-192
21-33-160
23-45-305
Comp-Att-Yds
15-29-240
13-32-137
21-35-189
16-27-121
Comp-Att-Yds
Net Offense Defense
Mic
hig
an W
olve
rin
es
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Pen
n S
t N
itta
ny
Lion
s
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
at Wisconsin Score Def Nebraska Ohio St Sks By at Maryland
Minnesota Pass Def at Michigan Stat Maryland Total Def Rutgers
at Penn St Sks Allowed Michigan Rutgers Rush Def at Ohio St
Michigan St Total Off at Northwesternat Indiana Score Off Bye
at Purdue Rush Off at Iowa Bye Pass Off Indiana
† Florida 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Akron Cincinnati
Michigan Penn St Pittsburgh
Air Force Georgia St
TM REC FOE REC
Penn St Nittany Lions5-1 6-0OVERALL:
vs. BIG 10
OVERALL:Michigan WolverinesWolverines Logs vs. BIG 10
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
FOETM REC FOE
RECNCAA RANKINGSFOE
Nittany Lions Logs--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--
FOE
AP TEAMFOE TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-2-1 3-0
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Michigan Penn StRushing
Michigan QB/WR
1.51
Penn St DB'sMichigan RB's
0.71
Penn St LB'sMichigan OL
0.56
Penn St DL
0.95
Michigan LB'S
Penn St RB's
Penn St OL1.24
Michigan DL
Penn St LeadersMichigan DB's
Penn St QB/WRTeam & Margin
Michigan Leaders 0.70
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Michigan ST's
3.83Las Vegas Line
Penn St By 9.5
Phil's Forecast:
Penn St is fresh off a bye while Michigan is on a 2nd straight road game. LY Penn St had a depleted LB corps, but were dominated on both sides of the ball 49-10. Penn St had won 4 in a row in the series, but Michigan has won the last 3 by increasing numbers 5, 12, & 39. Michigan is off two big efforts going to the wire vs rival Mich St and losing, then needing OT to beat Indiana on the road and travels again. Penn St is fresh off a bye and playing with revenge. Penn St’s defense is holding foes to 107 ypg below their season average which is #13, but Michigan’s D is #1 holding foes to 183 below and have held all 6 foes to season lows (Penn St's current low is 312 yds). Penn State rates the edge on offense with Saquon Barkley and they average 4.8 ypc and 66% completions and Michigan is 4.4 and just 55%. Penn St has the ST’s edge (#5 vs #22). My computer numbers say Penn St by 10, but Michigan has faced the tougher schedule (#2 vs #57) and Michigan has lost 4 games the last two years with none by more than 4 points. The under looks like the best play.
Penn St ST's
44.5 PointsLas Vegas Total
+/- RatingsMichigan Coaches Penn St By 19.0
Penn St By 10.9
Projected Rushing Michigan K
150 yards Michigan Penn St 107 yards 1.47
Projected Passing Penn St K
Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade
269 yards Michigan Penn St 341 yards Penn St Coaches
118 yards Michigan Penn St 234 yards
Projected Final Score
0.50
Computer YardsPenn St 29 points 4.86
Michigan Pts
6.61
Experience RankingsMichigan
Penn St 341-26911 points Michigan
127 Penn St 11
Penn St by 10
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Team Schedule StrengthPenn St Phil Steele
2 Michigan
Computer PointsPenn St 29-11
Penn St Pts
Penn St 57
By 1.75 Points
Ret
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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
Penn St 20 Michigan 10
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 118 23 9/2 51-41 W 58 39 35 12 13 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 104 9 9/1 59-10 W 46 10 38 118 109 1011-0 0-0 112 9/9 63-17 W 45 40 35 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 96 9 9/9 31-14 W 41 11 38 76 119 932-0 0-0 116 9/16 25 44 69 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-2 135 111 10 9/16 40-6 W 30 11 57 105 58 352-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 113 9/23 10-38 L 15 48 57 46 67 44 #57 #13 3-0 0-0 138 9 9/23 23 11 562-1 3-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 9/30 31-24 W 43 49 50 74 32 6 #117 #83 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 138 123 10 9/30 33-24 W 17 13 55 35 34 773-1 4-1 1-0 2-0 116 136 10 10/7 14-62 L 40 53 48 3 6 30 #111 #27 4-0 3-2 1-0 2-0 136 116 9 10/7 38-17 W 21 11 64 70 36 413-2 2-3 1-1 0-2 112 123 10/14 21-37 L 57 58 66 52 29 74 #49 #26 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 136 121 7 10/14 17-9 W 21 12 65 80 62 1033-3 6-0 1-2 3-0 111 134 10/21 68 61 76 20 10 66 #90 #21 6-0 3-3 3-0 1-2 134 111 5 10/21 20 10 66 68 61 76
3-3 0-3 119 10/28 92 44 26 #82 #4 2-4 0-3 100 10/28 111 91 592-4 1-2 107 11/4 83 64 56 #108 #24 3-3 0-3 119 11/4 92 44 265-1 2-1 127 11/11 41 2 22 #105 #6 4-2 1-2 122 11/11 79 37 205-1 3-0 124 11/18 40 15 112 #115 #5 5-1 2-1 127 11/18 41 2 226-0 3-0 141 11/25 16 4 5 #86 #10 3-3 0-3 118 11/25 105 49 24
#111 #8+5 0
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Texas 51-41 9 -8 1 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 Utah St 59-10 174 9 2 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 Towson 63-17 225 6 2 23 36-367 10.2 14-18 167 2 17 36-99 2.8 21-36 210 4 Florida Atlantic 31-14 316 20 -2 29 54-357 6.6 17-30 207 0 9 35-106 3.0 9-19 142 5 Bye at BYU 40-6 299 17 2 28 49-235 4.8 18-19 256 1 11 26-81 3.1 11-20 111 2 UCF 10-38 -231 0 -2 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 Byeat Minnesota 31-24 107 5 2 23 47-262 5.6 18-28 154 0 18 31-80 2.6 13-26 229 0 Northwestern 33-24 62 -7 -1 13 37-109 2.9 11-20 197 2 20 34-25 0.7 29-45 219 8at Ohio St 14-62 -518 -27 0 6 42-50 1.2 3-13 16 5 33 50-281 5.6 23-36 303 0 at Nebraska 38-17 85 3 1 19 49-353 7.2 9-17 113 1 16 26-110 4.2 18-35 271 1 Northwestern 21-37 -191 -11 2 19 31-85 2.7 17-38 255 2 30 44-238 5.4 27-49 293 1 Purdue 17-9 273 10 -2 24 53-295 5.6 13-18 199 1 14 26-66 2.5 13-29 155 3at Wisconsin Maryland Indiana at Illinois† Rutgers at Indiana Michigan Iowaat Michigan St Michigan Penn St at Minnesota
Average 32-37 -99.8 -5.8 0.8 18 39-178 4.5 57.9% 161 10.7% 24 39-174 4.5 59.1% 265 4.3% Average 36-13 201.5 8.7 0.0 23 48-264 5.5 65.4% 203 6.3% 14 29-79 2.7 55.6% 186 10.6% Conference 22-41 -200.7 -11.0 1.3 16 40-132 3.3 48.1% 142 8.9% 27 42-200 4.8 56.8% 275 0.9% Conference 29-17 140.0 2.0 -0.7 19 46-252 5.4 60.0% 170 7.3% 17 29-67 2.3 55.0% 215 11.0% Away 32-42 -134.0 -10.0 1.0 16 44-192 4.4 58.9% 130 10.7% 26 37-153 4.1 60.9% 302 4.3% Home 35-14 206.3 8.0 -0.8 23 47-249 5.3 61.5% 212 6.6% 15 31-71 2.3 56.7% 184 12.7%
at Texas Tyrrell Pigrome 9-12-175-2-1 Ty Johnson 12-132-11.0-1 DJ Moore 7-133-19.0-1 Utah St Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1 Towson Kasim Hill 13-16-163-2-0 Ty Johnson 5-124-24.8-2 DJ Moore 7-97-13.9-2 Florida Atlantic Alex Hornibrook 16-28-201-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 26-223-8.6-3 Troy Fumagalli 8-92-11.5-1 Bye vs. at BYU Alex Hornibrook 18-19-256-4-0 Jonathan Taylor 18-128-7.1-1 Danny Davis 2-67-33.5-0 UCF Max Bortenschlager 15-26-132-1-2 Lorenzo Harrison 10-48-4.8-0 DJ Moore 8-83-10.4-1 Byeat Minnesota Max Bortenschlager 18-28-154-2-0 Ty Johnson 18-130-7.2-1 DJ Moore 8-90-11.3-1 Northwestern Alex Hornibrook 11-20-197-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 19-80-4.2-2 Quintez Cephus 4-99-24.8-0at Ohio St Max Bortenschlager 3-12-16-0-0 Ty Johnson 12-57-4.8-0 DJ Moore 2-11-5.5-0 vs. at Nebraska Alex Hornibrook 9-17-113-1-1 Jonathan Taylor 25-249-10.0-2 Quintez Cephus 4-68-17.0-1 Northwestern Max Bortenschlager 17-38-255-3-0 Max Bortenschlager 12-34-2.8-0 DJ Moore 12-210-17.5-2 Purdue Alex Hornibrook 13-18-199-1-2 Jonathan Taylor 30-219-7.3-1 Quintez Cephus 5-100-20.0-1at Wisconsin Maryland Indiana vs. at Illinois† Rutgers at Indiana Michigan Iowaat Michigan St vs. Michigan Penn St at Minnesota
vs.
Max Bortenschlager 54-106-561-6-2 Ty Johnson 68-488-7.2-4 DJ Moore 44-624-14.2-7 Alex Hornibrook 82-125-1210-11-6 Jonathan Taylor 127-986-7.8-10 Quintez Cephus 23-401-17.4-5Kasim Hill 18-21-230-2-0 Lorenzo Harrison 66-240-3.6-0 Taivon Jacobs 18-201-11.2-2 vs. Jack Coan 1-1-6-0-0 Bradrick Shaw 55-221-4.0-2 Troy Fumagalli 18-267-14.8-3Tyrrell Pigrome 9-12-175-2-1 Javon Leake 6-98-16.3-2 Jacquille Veii 7-43-6.1-0 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Chris James 29-148-5.1-0 Danny Davis 7-160-22.9-1
Category
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Maryland - 48.5 24 16 32-112
Wisconsin - -11 31 18 40-117 1
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Maryland - 57 7 10 28-46
Wisconsin - -10 52 25 49-311 1
vs.
vs.
Maryland Leaders
Comp-Att-Yds
13-29-129
15-23-216
13-34-204
15-24-188
Terrapins LogsFOE
Net Offense Defense
Mar
ylan
d T
erra
pin
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Wis
con
sin
Bad
ger
s
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def Michigan Penn St Sks By at Minnesotaat Michigan St
Pass Def at Indiana Michigan Total Def Iowa† Rutgers
at Wisconsin Sks Allowed Maryland Indiana Rush Def at Illinois
at Ohio St Total Off at Nebraska Northwestern Score Off Purdue
UCF Rush Off Byeat Minnesota Pass Off Northwestern
at Texas 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Utah St Towson
Maryland Wisconsin Florida Atlantic
Bye at BYU
TM REC FOE REC
Projected Rushing116 yards Maryland Wisconsin 284 yards
Projected Passing103 yards Maryland Wisconsin
Projected Yardage Total219 yards Maryland Wisconsin 514 yards
Projected Final ScoreWisconsin 45 points
Experience Rankings96 Maryland Wisconsin
Team Schedule Strength7 Maryland Wisconsin 62
Maryland Terrapins OVERALL:
TEAM --PS RANK--
OVERALL: Wisconsin Badgers3-3vs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 10 Badgers Logs
6-0
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-FOE +/-
1-2 3-0TM REC FOE
RECAP FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/-
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Maryland WisconsinRushing
Maryland QB/WR
0.92
Wisconsin DB'sMaryland RB's
1.29
Wisconsin LB'sMaryland OL
0.87
Wisconsin DL
1.79
Wisconsin OLMaryland LB'S
2.04
Wisconsin RB's
Ret
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Projected Box Score0.45
Maryland DL
33
Maryland ST's
231 yards
18 points Maryland
1.04Las Vegas Total
Wisconsin Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin
Maryland DB's0.07
Wisconsin QB/WR
Wisconsin By 28.3
Wisconsin By 24.5Game Grade
Wisconsin Coaches
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas LineThese two met for the first time here in 2014 and Wisconsin won 52-7 and then in '15 the Badgers only won 31-24 on the road (DNP ‘16). Maryland is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Maryland’s rush defense is wearing down and in 3 of their last 4 games they have allowed 238+ yards on the ground. Wisconsin has Jonathan Taylor (986, 7.8) and as I called for in the magazine is finally putting up Wisconsin type of rush yards (264, 5.5). Maryland is down to #3 QB Max Bortenschlager who is not the perfect fit for the offense and is only hitting 51%. Their top offensive weapon Ty Johnson has just 77 yards rush on 22 carries the last 2 weeks. Last week Wisconsin had a 414-111 yard edge vs Purdue at one point, but only won by 8 due to TO’s and a blocked punt. Wisconsin,s defense is holding foes to 123 ypg below their average. Bortenschlager and the Terps have faced 3 quality teams in UCF, Northwestern and Ohio State and been outscored by 27 ppg and outgained by 313 ypg and this will be more of the same as the Badgers are much better than 2 of those teams and will be on guard after last weeks upset.
Wisconsin ST's Wisconsin By 24
Maryland K
Computer Yards
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Wisconsin 45-18
50.5 Points
Wisconsin K+/- Ratings
Maryland Coaches
1.40
Wisconsin 45 Maryland 13By 8.96 Points
Wisconsin
Wisconsin 514-219
Wisconsin Pts
0.45
Maryland Pts
9.41
Phil SteeleWisconsin by 32
Comp-Att-Yds
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 112 9/2 30-35 L 71 34 63 80 69 61 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 118 21 22 9/3 31-24 W 91 9 18 35 58 750-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 123 17 9/9 35-47 L 61 31 63 24 10 34 1-0 0-0 126 18 9/9 27-0 W 77 14 180-2 2-0 0-1 0-0 115 105 9/16 53-23 W 62 48 15 93 85 23 2-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 124 97 16 9/16 64-17 W 79 16 8 106 130 1281-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 119 127 9/23 17-27 L 53 43 52 43 27 102 #86 #56 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 128 101 13 9/23 38-0 W 54 13 19 101 82 921-3 2-1 0-2 1-0 118 124 9/30 7-33 L 52 40 42 26 47 129 #75 #26 4-0 4-0 0-0 2-0 129 141 12 2 9/30 17-31 L 41 11 10 7 2 1021-4 4-1 0-3 2-1 115 135 21 10/7 10-33 L 54 52 60 4 24 75 #99 #26 4-1 2-3 0-1 0-2 128 112 16 10/7 23-10 W 42 10 26 91 47 561-5 4-1 0-3 1-0 114 117 10/14 14-20 L 55 54 38 79 35 94 #97 #44 5-1 1-1 128 15 10/14 44 13 181-6 5-1 0-4 1-1 112 128 14 10/21 61 57 43 38 14 17 #90 #51 5-1 1-6 1-1 0-4 128 112 14 10/21 38 14 17 61 57 43
5-0 3-0 134 10/28 10 19 18 #115 #32 4-3 1-3 120 10/28 65 25 10111/4 #79 #37 5-0 3-0 134 11/4 10 19 18
2-5 0-3 115 11/9 91 76 34 #114 #25 3-2 2-1 129 11/11 34 36 11911/18 #96 #7 2-5 0-3 115 11/18 91 76 34
6-1 4-0 129 11/25 26 24 94 #31 #68 5-1 2-0 118 11/24 74 26 100#115 #17
-4 +1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
California 30-35 -29 8 -1 28 45-219 4.9 25-44 221 2 20 35-106 3.0 24-38 363 1 † West Virginia 31-24 -123 -8 1 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 Louisville 35-47 -304 -15 0 20 23-17 0.7 29-38 384 2 35 44-312 7.1 25-39 393 2 Delaware 27-0 80 3 1 15 28-81 2.9 16-29 222 1 12 46-107 2.3 8-17 116 4at Old Dominion 53-23 195 10 1 24 49-254 5.2 16-26 257 1 14 33-102 3.1 14-32 214 2 at East Carolina 64-17 394 22 3 34 62-287 4.6 25-33 388 1 12 31-40 1.3 11-30 241 2 Duke 17-27 -11 -5 -1 15 33-118 3.6 17-32 259 4 20 45-186 4.1 18-34 202 3 Old Dominion 38-0 433 25 0 32 57-271 4.8 21-32 311 1 7 24-64 2.7 8-26 85 1at Georgia Tech 7-33 -209 -11 0 11 26-106 4.1 18-32 141 2 22 66-403 6.1 5-10 53 3 Clemson 17-31 10 3 -3 17 28-90 3.2 30-45 252 2 14 43-146 3.4 12-21 186 3 Notre Dame 10-33 -222 -14 -1 13 28-86 3.1 19-42 179 2 27 57-341 6.0 17-31 146 1 at Boston College 23-10 77 4 -1 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 16 33-163 4.9 14-33 191 0 Virginia 14-20 -148 -11 -2 12 35-211 6.0 7-18 46 2 23 47-156 3.3 19-31 249 4 Byeat Virginia Tech North Carolina Miami, Fl Duke Bye at Miami, Flat Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech Western Carolina Pittsburghat NC State at Virginia
Average 24-31 -104.0 -5.4 -0.6 18 34-144 4.2 56.5% 212 6.5% 23 47-229 4.9 56.7% 231 7.4% Average 33-14 145.2 8.2 0.2 23 45-179 4.0 64.8% 288 5.5% 15 35-124 3.5 46.4% 198 6.6% Conference 18-32 -168.0 -10.5 -0.8 15 29-113 3.9 59.2% 208 8.3% 25 51-264 5.2 58.8% 224 10.5% Conference 20-21 43.5 3.5 -2.0 19 38-100 2.6 66.7% 287 9.0% 15 38-155 4.1 48.1% 189 5.6% Away 30-28 -7.0 -0.5 0.5 18 38-180 4.8 58.6% 199 5.2% 18 50-253 5.1 45.2% 134 11.9% Home 27-10 174.3 10.3 -0.7 21 38-147 3.9 63.2% 262 3.8% 11 38-106 2.8 43.8% 129 12.5%
California Chazz Surratt 18-28-161-1-0 Michael Carter 11-94-8.5-2 Austin Proehl 4-55-13.8-0 † West Virginia Josh Jackson 15-26-235-1-0 Josh Jackson 11-101-9.2-1 Cam Phillips 7-138-19.7-1 Louisville Brandon Harris 17-23-216-1-0 Jordon Brown 6-23-3.8-0 Austin Proehl 8-120-15.0-0 Delaware Josh Jackson 16-28-222-2-0 Jalen Holston 8-32-4.0-0 Cam Phillips 6-90-15.0-1at Old Dominion Chazz Surratt 16-24-257-1-0 Jordon Brown 17-125-7.4-2 Carl Tucker 3-79-26.3-0 vs. at East Carolina Josh Jackson 24-31-372-5-0 Travon McMillian 11-72-6.5-0 Cam Phillips 14-189-13.5-3 Duke Chazz Surratt 17-32-259-1-1 Chazz Surratt 17-77-4.5-1 Anthony Ratliff 5-125-25.0-1 Old Dominion Josh Jackson 20-30-298-3-1 Coleman Fox 11-66-6.0-0 Cam Phillips 7-106-15.1-0at Georgia Tech Chazz Surratt 18-30-141-0-1 Jordon Brown 8-41-5.1-1 Jordon Brown 9-57-6.3-0 Clemson Josh Jackson 29-44-251-1-2 Coleman Fox 5-39-7.8-0 Cam Phillips 7-74-10.6-0 Notre Dame Chazz Surratt 19-42-179-1-1 Chazz Surratt 12-32-2.7-0 Anthony Ratliff 5-55-11.0-1 vs. at Boston College Josh Jackson 22-33-322-1-1 Travon McMillian 17-88-5.2-1 Sean Savoy 9-139-15.4-1 Virginia Brandon Harris 7-18-46-0-3 Michael Carter 13-157-12.1-2 Brandon Fritts 2-15-7.5-0 Byeat Virginia Tech North Carolina Miami, Fl vs. Duke Bye at Miami, Flat Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech Western Carolina vs. Pittsburghat NC State at Virginia
vs.
Chazz Surratt 100-170-1165-6-3 Michael Carter 60-387-6.5-7 Austin Proehl 16-270-16.9-1 Josh Jackson 126-192-1700-13-4 Travon McMillian 55-279-5.1-2 Cam Phillips 42-608-14.5-5Brandon Harris 31-60-322-1-6 Jordon Brown 74-329-4.4-3 Anthony Ratliff 17-266-15.6-2 vs. A.J Bush 2-4-29-0-0 Deshawn McClease 38-159-4.2-2 Sean Savoy 27-337-12.5-3Austin Proehl 0-1-0.1-0-0 Chazz Surratt 69-179-2.6-4 Jordan Cunningham 18-230-12.8-0 Oscar Bradburn 1-1-1-0-0 Josh Jackson 55-154-2.8-1 Henri Murphy 9-129-14.3-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
North Carolina 17 55.5 3 8 29-73
Virginia Tech 25 -1.5 34 18 66-189 2
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
North Carolina 12 -4 30 22 47-240
Virginia Tech - 61 27 22 47-130 0
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
North Carolina - 59.5 17 16 29-125
Virginia Tech - -3 34 20 57-171 2
2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
North Carolina - 45.5 17 18 38-99
Virginia Tech - -7 27 14 34-48 3
2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
North Carolina - -5.5 48 27 45-339
Virginia Tech - 50.5 34 22 25-40 -1
18-27-186
19-28-293
Comp-Att-Yds
23-35-277
Comp-Att-Yds
Net Offense Defense
Nor
th C
arol
ina
Tar
Hee
ls
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Vir
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ia T
ech
Hok
ies
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Western Carolina Score Def Pittsburghat NC State Sks By at Virginia
Bye Pass Def at Miami, Flat Pittsburgh Total Def at Georgia Tech
at Virginia Tech Sks Allowed North Carolina Miami, Fl Rush Def Duke
Notre Dame Total Off at Boston College Virginia Score Off Bye
Duke Rush Off Old Dominionat Georgia Tech Pass Off Clemson
California 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † West Virginia Louisville
North Carolina Virginia Tech Delaware
at Old Dominion at East Carolina
TM REC FOE REC
Projected Rushing97 yards North Carolina Virginia Tech 189 yards
Projected Passing175 yards North Carolina Virginia Tech
Projected Yardage Total272 yards North Carolina Virginia Tech 490 yards
Virginia Tech
Projected Final Score12 points North Carolina Virginia Tech 32 points
Team Schedule Strength
Experience Rankings103
301 yards
112 North Carolina
12 North Carolina Virginia Tech 87
vs. ACC1-6 5-1
OVERALL: OVERALL:
FOE +/-
FOE +/-
Hokies LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK--
North Carolina Tar Heelsvs. ACC
Virginia Tech Hokies
FOE REC
Tar Heels Logs0-4 1-1
TM RECTM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- TM +/-
FOE
FOE FOE
AP TEAMFOE --PS RANK--
NCAA RANKINGSTM
CONFFOE
CONF
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
North Carolina Virginia TechRushing
North Carolina QB/WR
0.71
Virginia Tech DB's
North Carolina RB's
1.38
Virginia Tech LB's
North Carolina OL
0.54
Virginia Tech DLNorth Carolina DL
0.33
Virginia Tech OL
0.01
North Carolina LB'S
Virginia Tech RB's
North Carolina DB's
Virginia Tech Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.43
North Carolina ST's Team & Margin
North Carolina Leaders 0.96Virginia Tech QB/WR
Projected Box ScorePhil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line Justin Fuente is 7-2 off a bye and they catch NCar playing an eighth straight week. LY both came in ranked. The gm was ply’d in a downpour (Hurricane Matthew). The Hokies forced 4 TO’s that resulted in 20 pts, in fact VT went just 127/28pl on their 6 scoring drives! While VT is fresh and ranked, North Carolina has 17 players that are out for the year and went to LSU transfer Brandon Harris at QB last week and he looked like the LSU version hitting just 7-18-46-0-3 passing and Virginia had a 148 yard edge. In 4 ACC games NC is being outgained by 168 yards. NC has played the much tougher schedule (#12 vs #87), but VT has the stronger offense, defense and ST’s. VT’s D is holding foes to 77 ypg below their season average and just 46% completions while NC is allowing 51 ypg above and 229 ypg rush. In the last 3 games NC has is averaging just 10 ppg and gaining 87 ypg below what their opponents allow and now face the toughest D they have faced this year.
Virginia Tech ST's Virginia Tech By 21
North Carolina K
51.5 Points1.05
Virginia Tech By 20.3
Virginia Tech By 20.2
Virginia Tech K+/- Ratings
North Carolina Coaches
0.50Game Grade
Virginia Tech Coaches
Las Vegas Total
Computer YardsVirginia Tech 490-2720.94
North Carolina Pts
4.98
Virginia Tech PtsComputer Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Virginia Tech 32-12
Virginia Tech Phil SteeleVirginia Tech by 28
By 4.04 Points Virginia Tech 38 North Carolina 10
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Comp-Att-Yds
13-33-58
7-17-75
Comp-Att-Yds
13-26-205
20-35-273
Comp-Att-Yds
18-37-198
26-49-354
17-30-194
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/1 23-20 W 68 29 67 102 89 75 0-0 0-0 111 9/2 28-10 W 108 47 831-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 120 9/9 10-34 L 75 30 67 81 59 30 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 113 9/9 17-34 L 106 57 83 85 42 321-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 112 131 9/16 20-49 L 81 33 63 11 22 70 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 94 9/16 38-18 W 112 51 105 103 76 1141-2 3-0 0-1 1-0 110 142 2 9/23 7-34 L 84 50 32 4 2 103 #47 #101 2-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 108 111 9/22 42-23 W 90 60 105 76 45 491-3 2-2 0-2 0-1 111 101 9/30 28-8 W 94 50 66 64 90 118 #114 #32 3-1 0-0 113 9/30 78 44 1082-3 4-1 0-2 0-1 112 128 16 10/7 10-23 L 91 47 56 42 10 26 #102 #59 3-1 4-1 0-0 1-1 113 124 10/7 28-21 W 74 44 102 53 22 922-4 4-2 0-3 1-2 112 122 10/14 45-42 W 93 43 60 11 32 58 #114 #64 4-1 1-5 1-0 0-3 117 114 10/14 20-14 W 79 35 94 55 54 383-4 5-1 1-3 2-0 116 118 10/21 84 46 74 74 26 100 #13 #51 5-1 3-4 2-0 1-3 118 116 10/21 74 26 100 84 46 74
2-3 2-2 131 10/27 48 11 58 #121 #55 2-5 0-3 115 10/28 91 76 3411/4 #45 #11 3-2 2-1 129 11/4 34 36 119
6-1 4-0 129 11/11 26 24 94 #108 #20 4-3 1-3 118 11/11 7 45 672-4 1-3 94 11/18 102 114 118 #88 #30 5-0 3-0 134 11/18 10 19 184-3 2-1 120 11/25 57 72 33 #68 #31 5-1 1-1 128 11/24 38 14 17
#107 #34-2 +7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Northern Illinois 23-20 -28 3 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0 William & Mary 28-10 114 7 1 19 32-92 2.9 27-40 262 3 12 41-168 4.1 7-13 72 2 Wake Forest 10-34 -4 4 -4 19 41-142 3.5 18-41 163 0 15 52-158 3.0 13-19 151 2 Indiana 17-34 -4 3 1 22 25-55 2.2 39-66 259 1 19 41-121 3.0 19-30 197 4 Notre Dame 20-49 -211 3 -1 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 0 Connecticut 38-18 192 4 2 27 31-171 5.5 30-40 455 1 23 41-207 5.0 18-26 227 2at Clemson 7-34 -244 -15 0 12 34-97 2.9 15-32 141 1 27 58-342 5.9 17-26 140 2 at Boise St 42-23 57 -1 1 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 Central Michigan 28-8 13 -1 1 17 53-224 4.2 14-21 85 0 18 33-116 3.5 22-43 180 3 Bye Virginia Tech 10-23 -87 -4 1 16 33-153 4.6 14-33 191 0 20 48-109 2.3 22-33 322 5 Duke 28-21 55 4 0 21 38-128 3.4 24-43 182 1 17 32-131 4.1 14-42 124 2at Louisville 45-42 -70 2 1 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 at North Carolina 20-14 148 11 2 23 47-156 3.3 19-31 249 4 12 35-211 6.0 7-18 46 2at Virginia Boston College Florida St at Pittsburgh Bye Georgia Tech NC State at Louisville† Connecticut at Miami, Flat Syracuse Virginia Tech
Average 20-30 -90.1 -1.1 -0.3 19 45-188 4.2 51.7% 168 2.5% 20 45-242 5.4 53.1% 203 5.3% Average 29-20 93.7 4.7 1.2 22 36-128 3.6 63.5% 280 4.4% 18 36-145 4.1 51.1% 170 8.8% Conference 18-33 -101.3 -3.3 -0.5 19 42-189 4.5 44.0% 172 2.2% 22 49-226 4.6 60.7% 236 7.7% Conference 24-18 101.5 7.5 1.0 22 43-142 3.3 58.1% 216 6.8% 15 34-171 5.1 35.0% 85 6.7% Away 25-32 -114.0 -3.3 0.3 20 48-203 4.3 52.0% 174 4.9% 23 43-266 6.2 50.0% 225 1.9% Home 28-21 89.3 4.5 1.0 22 32-112 3.5 63.5% 290 3.2% 18 39-157 4.0 52.3% 155 9.0%
at Northern Illinois Anthony Brown 26-42-191-2-1 Jon Hilliman 25-58-2.3-0 Kobay White 6-76-12.7-0 William & Mary Kurt Benkert 27-39-262-3-0 Jordan Ellis 20-80-4.0-1 Doni Dowling 6-76-12.7-0 Wake Forest Anthony Brown 11-29-119-1-3 Thadd Smith 5-46-9.2-0 Jeff Smith 5-56-11.2-0 Indiana Kurt Benkert 39-66-259-1-0 Jordan Ellis 14-44-3.1-1 Olamide Zaccheaus 12-72-6.0-0 Notre Dame Anthony Brown 24-40-215-2-2 Jon Hilliman 22-122-5.5-0 Charlie Callinan 7-82-11.7-2 vs. Connecticut Kurt Benkert 30-40-455-3-1 Jordan Ellis 20-95-4.8-1 Doni Dowling 6-136-22.7-1at Clemson Anthony Brown 14-30-133-0-1 AJ Dillon 18-57-3.2-1 Jeff Smith 4-58-14.5-0 at Boise St Kurt Benkert 19-29-273-3-0 Jordan Ellis 24-93-3.9-2 Andre Levrone 5-141-28.2-2 Central Michigan Anthony Brown 14-21-85-1-0 AJ Dillon 25-120-4.8-1 Jeff Smith 2-35-17.5-0 Bye Virginia Tech Anthony Brown 13-30-166-0-0 Anthony Brown 7-51-7.3-0 Travis Levy 3-42-14.0-0 vs. Duke Kurt Benkert 24-43-182-3-2 Jordan Ellis 25-96-3.8-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 8-69-8.6-1at Louisville Anthony Brown 5-17-100-1-1 AJ Dillon 39-272-7.0-4 Tommy Sweeney 4-57-14.3-0 at North Carolina Kurt Benkert 19-31-249-2-0 Jordan Ellis 27-136-5.0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-100-20.0-1at Virginia Boston College Florida St vs. at Pittsburgh Bye Georgia Tech NC State at Louisville† Connecticut vs. at Miami, Flat Syracuse Virginia Tech
vs.
Anthony Brown 107-209-1009-7-8 A.J Dillon 128-605-4.7-6 Kobay White 21-228-10.9-0 Kurt Benkert 158-248-1680-15-3 Jordan Ellis 130-544-4.2-5 Olamide Zaccheaus 43-448-10.4-4Darius Wade 15-25-143-0-1 Jon Hilliman 106-359-3.4-3 Jeff Smith 18-223-12.4-0 vs. TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Lamont Atkins 13-130-10.0-1 Doni Dowling 29-389-13.4-4Jeff Smith 1-2-25-1-0 Thadd Smith 21-159-7.6-0 Tommy Sweeney 15-179-11.9-0 Daniel Hamm 22-82-3.7-1 Andre Levrone 15-377-25.1-4
Category
vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
Eagles LogsFOE
Boston College Leaders
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
AP
Boston College Eagles
Net Offense Defense
Bos
ton
Col
leg
e Ea
gle
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LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Vir
gin
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aval
iers
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def at Miami, Flat Syracuse Sks By Virginia Tech† Connecticut
Pass Def Georgia Tech NC State Total Def at Louisville Bye
Sks Allowed Boston College Florida St Rush Def at Pittsburghat Virginia
Total Off Dukeat Louisville Score Off at North Carolina Virginia Tech
Rush Off at Boise St Central Michigan Pass Off Byeat Clemson
2017 TEAM RANKINGS William & Mary Wake Forest
Boston College Virginia Indiana
Notre Dame Connecticut
at Northern Illinois
5-1OVERALL: OVERALL: Virginia Cavaliers3-4
FOE +/-
vs. ACC vs. ACC Cavaliers Logs1-3 FOEAPFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--2-0TM REC FOE
RECTM
CONFFOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Boston College VirginiaRushing
Boston College QB/WR
1.51
Virginia DB'sBoston College RB's
0.47
Virginia LB's
0.22
Boston College OL
Virginia DLBoston College DL
0.50
Virginia OL
Virginia QB/WR
0.85
Boston College LB'S
Virginia RB's
0.41 Virginia Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
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Projected Box Score 1.67
Boston College ST's Team & Margin
Boston College
Boston College DB's
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
Projected Rushing Boston College K Last met in 2010. When not facing the top 3 teams in the ACC the last 3 years (FSt, Clemson, L'Ville) BC is 5-2 on the ACC road! They are making a 2nd straight road trip and just upset Louisville last week with AJ Dillon rushing for 272 yards (7.0) and they are 9-2-1 versus the Vegas number as an away underdog. They were tied with Clemson in Death Valley 7-7 this year. A surprising stat is that they are allowing 446 ypg on defense with 242 (5.4) on the ground. All 7 of BC’s foes will likely be in bowls and 4 were ranked. 3 of Virginia’s foes may get to a bowl and none have been ranked. While Virginia is 5-1 their wins are vs foes that have a combined 11 wins.
Virginia ST's Virginia By 7
200 yards
117 yards Boston College
48.5 PointsLas Vegas Total
Virginia 159 yards 0.08
Projected Passing Virginia K
Virginia 244 yards Boston College Coaches Virginia By 5.3+/- Ratings
0.50
Virginia By 7.9Projected Yardage Total
Game Grade317 yards Boston College Virginia 403 yards Virginia Coaches
Computer Yards27 points Virginia 403-317
Projected Final Score3.65
Boston College Pts
2.55
Virginia Pts19 points Boston College Virginia
Experience Rankings46 Boston College Virginia 77
Team Schedule Strength Boston College3 Boston College Virginia 88 Virginia by 1 Virginia 24 Boston College 23By 1.09 Points
Virginia 27-19
Phil Steele
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 120 9/2 3-24 L 98 85 119 69 30 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 105 9/2 24-13 W 53 86 113 66 63 850-1 0-0 108 9/9 27-0 W 111 91 119 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 20 9/9 44-47 L 66 62 113 18 50 731-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 107 127 9/16 13-49 L 114 102 123 1 34 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 111 103 9/14 28-14 W 69 45 71 65 104 131-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/23 28-21 W 124 100 94 66 115 130 #124 #94 2-1 2-1 1-0 0-0 111 108 9/22 23-42 L 76 45 49 90 60 1052-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 104 86 9/30 45-10 W 121 104 96 127 119 120 #96 #87 2-2 1-0 106 9/30 88 61 473-2 1-0 106 10/7 121 93 93 #127 #113 2-2 1-4 1-0 0-3 106 102 10/6 24-7 W 88 62 54 119 61 913-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 106 110 10/14 28-23 W 123 92 62 108 103 4 #95 #62 3-2 6-0 1-0 2-0 111 122 19 10/14 31-14 W 94 59 14 85 53 34
4-2 2-0 109 116 10/21 93 48 7 #63 #76 4-2 2-0 116 109 10/21 122 88 723-3 1-2 107 10/28 76 99 53 #85 #13 3-4 1-2 107 10/28 112 94 45-2 3-0 118 11/4 31 86 45 #16 #64 1-6 1-2 104 11/4 101 115 1212-4 1-2 107 11/11 63 125 16 #36 #27 5-2 3-0 118 11/11 31 86 454-2 3-0 112 11/18 72 84 77 #43 #49 2-4 1-2 107 11/18 63 125 161-7 0-4 88 11/25 120 120 50 #31 #31 4-2 3-0 112 11/25 72 84 77
#102 #72+11 +3
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Iowa 3-24 -30 -1 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 Troy 24-13 142 8 1 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 Gardner-Webb 27-0 198 7 1 19 28-65 2.3 22-32 328 0 12 52-173 3.3 2-7 22 3 at Washington St 44-47 -54 -6 -1 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 Oregon 13-49 -375 -22 1 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 New Mexico 28-14 -13 -6 2 12 32-127 4.0 15-19 137 1 18 51-198 3.9 8-16 79 1 Hawaii 28-21 -181 -12 2 11 29-177 6.1 9-19 92 2 23 38-170 4.5 29-40 280 2 Virginia 23-42 -57 1 -1 22 24-30 1.3 28-53 353 4 21 40-167 4.2 19-29 273 1 Texas St 45-10 71 2 1 18 35-84 2.4 15-26 249 2 16 52-135 2.6 11-26 127 4 Bye Bye at BYU 24-7 62 7 1 19 47-158 3.4 13-20 142 0 12 23-66 2.9 20-37 172 1at Utah St 28-23 -70 -9 4 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 at San Diego St 31-14 -12 -1 1 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 4at Boise St Wyoming New Mexico at Utah St Colorado St Nevadaat Air Force at Colorado St Fresno St Air Forceat San Jose St at Fresno St
Average 24-21 -64.5 -5.8 1.8 15 32-98 3.1 57.7% 186 7.1% 20 48-176 3.7 56.1% 173 10.2% Average 29-23 11.3 0.5 0.5 18 38-135 3.6 61.7% 201 7.4% 17 35-102 2.9 59.5% 223 7.6% Conference 28-22 -125.5 -10.5 3.0 13 33-131 4.0 60.0% 150 11.1% 23 38-151 4.0 62.0% 256 6.3% Conference 30-14 -12.5 -3.5 1.5 14 33-157 4.7 69.0% 131 2.4% 17 45-141 3.1 46.5% 160 11.6% Away 16-24 -50.0 -5.0 3.0 15 33-72 2.2 62.1% 191 9.1% 20 39-135 3.4 51.9% 179 9.3% Home 25-23 24.0 1.0 0.7 18 33-101 3.0 59.6% 233 8.7% 17 40-147 3.7 55.7% 164 7.6%
at Iowa Josh Allen 23-40-174-0-2 Milo Hall 9-30-3.3-0 Austin Conway 7-47-6.7-0 Troy Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0 Gardner-Webb Josh Allen 22-32-328-2-0 Kellen Overstreet 14-33-2.4-1 Austin Conway 11-135-12.3-1 at Washington St Montell Cozart 12-20-161-2-1 Montell Cozart 14-72-5.1-1 Cedrick Wilson 9-147-16.3-2 Oregon Josh Allen 9-24-64-0-1 Milo Hall 11-43-3.9-0 Austin Conway 4-27-6.8-0 vs. New Mexico Montell Cozart 15-19-137-2-0 Montell Cozart 9-71-7.9-1 Cedrick Wilson 3-64-21.3-0 Hawaii Josh Allen 9-19-92-1-0 Trey Woods 15-135-9.0-1 Tyree Mayfield 2-27-13.5-0 Virginia Brett Rypien 24-42-285-0-1 Robert Mahone 3-21-7.0-0 Cedrick Wilson 13-209-16.1-1 Texas St Josh Allen 14-24-219-3-0 Trey Woods 21-53-2.5-0 CJ Johnson 4-57-14.3-2 Bye Bye vs. at BYU Brett Rypien 12-19-125-1-1 Alex Mattison 29-118-4.1-2 Cedrick Wilson 3-43-14.3-0at Utah St Josh Allen 18-26-208-1-1 Trey Woods 15-40-2.7-0 James Price 4-72-18.0-0 at San Diego St Brett Rypien 11-19-72-1-0 Alex Mattison 23-128-5.6-1 Cedrick Wilson 2-60-30.0-0at Boise St Wyoming New Mexico vs. at Utah St Colorado St Nevadaat Air Force at Colorado St Fresno St vs. Air Forceat San Jose St at Fresno St
vs.
Josh Allen 95-165-1085-7-4 Trey Woods 64-285-4.5-1 Austin Conway 30-248-8.3-2 Brett Rypien 67-111-718-2-3 Alex Mattison 92-412-4.5-5 Cedrick Wilson 34-588-17.3-3Nick Smith 1-2-30-0-0 Kellen Overstreet 31-104-3.4-1 CJ Johnson 15-242-16.1-4 vs. Montell Cozart 41-64-486-6-1 Montell Cozart 42-208-5.0-2 AJ Richardson 15-169-11.3-0Austin Conway 1-1-2-0-0 Milo Hall 33-100-3.0-0 James Price 6-137-22.8-1 Ryan Wolpin 51-158-3.1-1 Jake Roh 20-148-7.4-4
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Wyoming - 63 30 25 49-215
Boise St 13 -15 28 24 27-159 -1
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Wyoming - 56.5 14 16 33-110
Boise St - -35 34 24 47-207 0
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Wyoming - 54 14 12 38-80
Boise St - -13 63 24 49-312 2
2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Wyoming - 70.5 7 17 31-55
Boise St - -24 48 28 53-241 1
2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Wyoming - 51 14 18 32-54
Boise St 21 -16 45 27 36-214 0
Comp-Att-Yds
24-36-216
23-32-223
28-41-210
29-39-283
Comp-Att-Yds
Position by Position Edges
Boise St QB/WR
0.29
Wyoming RB's
13-19-246
at Fresno St
at Utah St Nevadaat Colorado St Air Force
at San Jose St
Byeat BYUat San Diego St Wyoming
Troyat Washington St New Mexico Virginia
New Mexico Colorado Stat Air Force Fresno St
Texas St Byeat Utah Stat Boise St
at Iowa Gardner-Webb Oregon Hawaii
Boise St By 24.8
Boise St 443-160
Game Grade
Computer Yards
Boise St 32-12119
Las Vegas Total
Boise St By 14
44.5 Points
Boise St By 12.0
Boise St 33 Wyoming 13Boise St by 20
Offense Defense
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
RushingPassing
Net
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving
Wyoming Leaders
0.42
Wyoming LB'S
By 6.68 Points
Boise St RB's
Boise St
1.07
2.29
0.37
TEAMFOE +/-
AP
FOE
FOE
Wyoming Cowboys Boise St BroncosBroncos LogsCowboys Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL:
FOE REC
--PS RANK--TM +/-
4-2vs. MTW
12-21-123
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Comp-Att-Yds
18-31-274
23-36-328
Comp-Att-Yds
Total Def
16-29-147
133 yards
Comp-Att-Yds
22-28-211
NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS
Wyoming
Rush Off
Boise St
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Wyo
min
g C
owb
oys
Boi
se S
t B
ron
cos
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score DefSks By
2-02-0
4-2vs. MTW
Rush Def
Score OffTotal Off
Sks Allowed
Pass Off
Pass Def
Score
Projected Yardage Total
Projected Passing27 yards
Team & Margin
245 yards
By Game Yardage Leaders
Wyoming DB's
Boise St
--PS RANK--TM REC
FOE
FOETM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAMTM
CONFFOE
CONF
Wyoming OL1.52
OffenseNet
Passing Rushing
Defense
Receiving
Wyoming Pts
Boise St Pts
+/- Ratings
Las Vegas Line
Phil's Forecast:
Wyoming
Boise St Leaders
LY BSU suffered its 1st series loss with Boise having won the previous 10 games by 26.2 ppg. BSU led 21-7 2Q & after a 33 yd TD pass w/10:50 left led 28-20. WY tied it after a 27 yd TD pass/2pt w/6:42. On 2nd&10 at BSU10 WY got a sk for a GW SAF (ran out L/1:25). I expected Brett Rypien to have a big year for Boise, but the last two games he has thrown for under 100 ypg and on the season is just 60% with a 2-3 ratio as he battles thru injuries. Boise got off to a slow start this year at 2-2 with an upset loss to Virginia on the blue turf by 19. They have bounced back beating BYU and SDST on the road by 17 points each, although their offense only had 300 and 311 yards. Boise has faced my #52 schedule and Wyoming is #123. Josh Allen is a potential #1 DC, but has not played like it so far, hitting 58% with a 7-4 ratio as he lost most of his skill players from last year. Wyoming is #128 in the nation averaging 167 ypg below what their opponents usually allow and are at just 262 ypg vs FBS foes this year. Boise’s D is holding foes to 71 ypg below their season average. Last week Wyoming trailed Utah St 23-16, but rallied for the win and were out FD’d 23-14. My computer has Boise with a dominating win and they are actually priced reasonably for a home game and they have dropped 9 in a row as a home favorite and Vegas begins to compensate.
1.49
Wyoming 198 yards
Wyoming Boise St
Phil Steele
Boise St LB's
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Wyoming Coaches
Boise St Coaches
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
52
0.58
Wyoming K
Boise St K
0.25
Wyoming
Boise St
7.26
Experience Rankings
0.16
Boise St DLWyoming DL
Wyoming ST's
Boise St ST's
Boise St OL
Wyoming QB/WR
Boise St DB's
Team Schedule StrengthWyoming Boise St
Boise St
123
45
12 points
160 yards
Projected Final Score
Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
Boise St
Wyoming Boise St 443 yards
Wyoming 32 points
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 108 9/2 38-16 W 83 102 100 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 63-0 W 13 15 261-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 103 9/9 27-45 L 89 94 100 71 89 110 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 120 23 9/9 28-7 W 10 15 26 21 45 1021-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 103 110 9/16 30-42 L 87 98 97 89 59 17 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 129 113 20 9/16 56-36 W 13 10 39 36 91 1241-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 103 119 9/23 34-56 L 85 102 91 14 62 88 #83 #32 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 16 6 9/23 44-31 W 11 12 41 2 34 831-3 0-1 102 9/30 70 109 93 #49 #40 4-0 1-0 134 9 9/30 12 12 161-3 3-1 0-1 0-1 102 124 10/7 19-65 L 69 112 82 32 63 81 #71 #28 4-0 3-1 1-0 1-0 134 120 8 23 10/7 31-24 W 12 14 15 10 64 951-4 3-2 0-2 1-1 98 122 10/14 0-45 L 74 117 63 56 65 44 #93 #11 5-0 3-2 2-0 1-1 132 127 6 10/14 26-6 W 12 16 17 36 46 1
6-0 3-0 95 135 4 10/21 18 13 23 #37 #13 1-5 0-3 135 95 4 10/21 89 118 643-3 1-2 124 10/28 44 38 2 #95 #11 4-2 2-1 125 10/28 67 47 410-6 0-3 112 11/4 52 93 35 #123 #89 3-3 2-1 128 11/4 22 16 543-3 2-1 128 11/11 22 16 54 #116 #32 5-1 2-1 133 11/11 3 22 785-1 2-1 133 11/18 3 22 78 #129 #17 4-2 1-2 125 11/18 21 52 975-1 2-1 140 11/25 4 28 83 #111 #42 0-6 0-3 112 11/24 52 93 35
#105 #21-9 +4
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
SE Missouri St 38-16 173 4 -2 17 25-73 2.9 23-37 364 1 13 33-94 2.8 25-44 170 0 Jackson St 63-0 477 17 1 24 36-242 6.7 23-30 300 0 7 42-24 0.6 7-14 41 5 Central Michigan 27-45 -120 3 -1 29 34-147 4.3 36-62 323 2 26 35-123 3.5 28-37 467 0 at Arkansas 28-7 94 11 -1 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3at Ohio 30-42 1 1 0 23 32-108 3.4 30-47 343 5 22 42-196 4.7 16-22 254 1 SMU 56-36 156 11 -1 30 49-254 5.2 24-30 365 3 19 30-124 4.1 18-38 339 0 West Virginia 34-56 -71 -7 -2 24 50-367 7.3 17-34 197 1 31 43-288 6.7 25-39 347 1 at Oklahoma St 44-31 -33 6 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 1 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 Bye Bye Texas Tech 19-65 -235 -13 -2 17 33-112 3.4 23-43 256 1 30 52-313 6.0 22-27 290 3 West Virginia 31-24 -102 -12 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2at Iowa St 0-45 -212 -10 -2 5 33-62 1.9 11-26 44 0 15 43-106 2.5 18-30 212 3 at Kansas St 26-6 179 7 0 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2at TCU Kansas Kansas St at Iowa St Baylor Texasat Texas at Oklahoma Oklahoma at Texas Techat Oklahoma St Baylor
Average 25-45 -77.3 -3.7 -1.5 19 35-145 4.2 56.2% 255 4.0% 23 41-187 4.5 67.3% 290 4.0% Average 41-17 128.5 6.7 0.7 24 42-200 4.8 70.0% 265 3.2% 17 34-98 2.9 47.9% 238 7.8% Conference 18-55 -172.7 -10.0 -2.0 15 39-180 4.7 49.5% 166 1.9% 25 46-236 5.1 67.7% 283 7.3% Conference 34-20 14.7 0.3 1.7 22 41-169 4.1 65.7% 254 2.0% 21 33-104 3.2 49.6% 303 6.0% Away 15-44 -105.5 -4.5 -1.0 14 33-85 2.6 56.2% 194 6.8% 19 43-151 3.6 65.4% 233 7.7% Home 50-20 177.0 5.3 0.7 23 40-222 5.5 70.8% 300 3.4% 18 37-97 2.6 51.5% 249 7.2%
SE Missouri St Peyton Bender 23-37-364-4-2 Dom Williams 10-41-4.1-1 Steven Sims Jr. 4-142-35.5-2 Jackson St Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 Darius Anderson 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 Central Michigan Peyton Bender 32-62-323-0-2 Dom Williams 18-64-3.6-2 Quan Hampton 6-67-11.2-0 at Arkansas Kenny Hill 21-31-166-0-1 Darius Anderson 15-106-7.1-1 John Diarse 4-36-9.0-0at Ohio Peyton Bender 30-47-343-2-1 Khalil Herbert 19-137-7.2-2 Evan Fairs 3-77-25.7-0 vs. SMU Kenny Hill 24-30-365-4-0 Darius Anderson 14-89-6.4-2 KaVontae Turpin 7-88-12.6-1 West Virginia Peyton Bender 17-32-197-1-2 Khalil Herbert 36-291-8.1-2 Steven Sims Jr. 6-96-16.0-1 at Oklahoma St Kenny Hill 22-33-228-1-1 Darius Anderson 26-160-6.2-3 Jaelan Austin 1-43-43.0-0 Bye Bye Texas Tech Peyton Bender 12-24-146-1-1 Khalil Herbert 10-65-6.5-0 Steven Sims Jr. 5-102-20.4-0 vs. West Virginia 15-28-188-1-0 11-71-6.5-0 4-70-17.5-0at Iowa St Carter Stanley 3-7-26-0-0 Taylor Martin 17-53-3.1-0 Ryan Schadler 3-16-5.3-0 at Kansas St Kenny Hill 27-37-297-0-0 Kyle Hicks 16-58-3.6-0 KaVontae Turpin 5-70-14.0-0at TCU Kansas Kansas St vs. at Iowa St Baylor Texasat Texas at Oklahoma Oklahoma vs. at Texas Techat Oklahoma St Baylor
vs.
Peyton Bender 122-221-1391-8-9 Khalil Herbert 68-503-7.4-4 Steven Sims Jr. 22-406-18.5-3 Kenny Hill 127-182-1450-10-3 Darius Anderson 79-470-5.9-6 Jalen Reagor 15-255-17.0-2Carter Stanley 14-26-136-0-1 Taylor Martin 47-161-3.4-2 Ben Johnson 18-250-13.9-1 vs. Shawn Robinson 5-7-94-2-0 Kyle Hicks 50-257-5.1-1 Desmon White 19-212.1-11.2-2Steven Sims 0-1-0.1-0-0 Dom Williams 35-124-3.5-3 Jeremiah Booker 16-225-14.1-2 KaVontae Turpin 1-1-48-1-0 Sewo Olonilua 34-157-4.6-6 John Diarse 17-212-12.5-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 62.5 23 23 44-122
TCU - -29 24 18 34-160 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 71 17 13 30-121
TCU 13 -46 23 25 58-279 02014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 57.5 30 19 36-76
TCU 5 -28 34 24 36-133 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kansas - 45.5 17 7 34-46
TCU - -25 27 17 41-207 -32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Kansas - 59.5 6 19 26-77
TCU 16 -21 20 21 38-152 -2
Kenny Hill Kyle Hicks John Diarse
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
31-45-348
17-32-206
Comp-Att-Yds
20-41-203
19-34-208
20-38-342
26-36-330
Comp-Att-Yds
13-26-152
OVERALL:
1-5 6-0Kansas Jayhawks OVERALL:
By 14.23 Points
TCU
TCU is 5-0 in the series, but have been fortunate to win the last 3 by a combined 11 points. Last year TCU trailed 23-14 4Q, but took the lead with 1:21 left and KU’s last 3 drives all ended on missed FG’s. TCU is holding foes to 108 ypg below their season average and this is homecoming. Last week after the 1Q Kansas only had a 31-26 yard deficit, but trailed 14-0. Their offense was feeble in the driving rain with just 5 FD’s for the game and despite holding Iowa St to 318 total yards they lost 45-0. TCU is playing with unbeaten pressure, but the computer (which liked Iowa St last week) has TCU by 48. TCU has been favored by a total of 102.5 points the last 3 in this series, but only won by a total of 11.
Kansas OL
Kansas DL
TCU OL
Tcu 55-7
TCU 55 Kansas 7
1.14
Kansas RB'sTCU DB's
Kansas QB/WR
1.55
TCU LB's
TCU DL
83
24-30-335
14-22-173
Comp-Att-Yds
19-39-303
Kansas 3TCU
7 points TCUExperience Rankings
80 Kansas TCU 49Team Schedule Strength
Kansas Pts14.54
TCU PtsKansas 55 points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Projected Final Score0.31
Projected Passing191 yards
TCU Coaches2.30
Tcu By 44.5
Game GradeTcu By 39.8249 yards Kansas
Projected Yardage Total
TCU 251 yards 0.31
Kansas K
TCU KKansas Coaches
TCU
Projected Rushing
565 yards
Phil's Forecast:
Computer Points
59.5 Points
+/- Ratings
Computer Yards
Kansas Leaders
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
59 yards Kansas
Phil SteeleTCU by 48
Team & Margin
Kansas TCU 314 yards
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box ScoreKansas ST's
1.46
TCU ST's
TCU QB/WR
2.50
Kansas DB's
Tcu 565-249
TCU Leaders
TCUPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving
Las Vegas Total
TCU RB's
Kansas LB'S
2.85
ReceivingPassing Rushing
Defense
Score Score
NCAA RANKINGS
Ypg Diff
Net Offense
Total TO's
FOETM
CONFTM
CONF--PS RANK--FOE
CONF TM +/- FOE REC
0-3 3-0FOETM REC
TEAM
TCU Horned FrogsJayhawks Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12 Horned Frogs Logs
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-TM REC FOE REC
FOE +/-
AP
FOE
TEAM --PS RANK--AP FOE
SE Missouri St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Jackson St Central Michigan
Kansas TCUat Arkansas
at Ohio SMU West Virginia Rush Off at Oklahoma St Bye Pass Off Bye Texas Tech Total Off West Virginiaat Iowa St Score Off at Kansas Stat TCU Sks Allowed Kansas Kansas St Rush Def at Iowa St Baylor Pass Def Texasat Texas Total Def at Oklahoma Oklahoma Score Def at Texas Techat Oklahoma St Sks By Baylor
Net Defense
Kan
sas
Jayh
awks
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
By Game Yardage Leaders
TCU
Hor
ned
Fro
gs
1.25
1.49
Offense
Passing
Las Vegas LineTcu By 38.5
Kansas
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 127 14 8/26 7-62 L 113 103 85 21 8 43 0-0 0-0 111 9/2 117 80 570-1 0-0 98 9/2 121 107 85 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 111 115 9/9 17-10 W 116 88 57 17 53 450-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 101 94 9/9 31-14 W 116 103 95 126 125 117 1-0 0-0 114 9/16 51-17 W 117 101 841-1 1-0 1-0 0-0 99 119 9/16 3-38 L 110 106 95 48 58 30 #73 #30 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-1 114 87 9/23 44-14 W 97 63 67 126 116 1231-2 1-1 1-0 0-0 97 100 9/23 7-13 L 117 100 104 116 115 107 #120 #48 3-0 0-0 115 9/30 80 42 571-3 1-3 1-1 0-1 95 115 9/30 10-42 L 122 101 99 67 79 40 #124 #31 3-0 2-2 0-0 0-1 115 105 10/7 29-31 L 62 37 53 79 76 1081-4 3-2 1-1 0-0 91 109 10/7 12-49 L 116 104 108 82 109 87 #128 #43 3-1 3-2 0-1 2-0 111 105 10/14 26-29 L 67 50 42 54 80 16
91 10/14 #83 #51 1-5 1-1 109 91 10/21 118 106 1083-2 0-2 109 10/21 73 50 39 #76 #26 0-7 0-3 91 10/28 129 124 1063-3 1-1 110 10/28 69 90 93 #104 #22 4-2 2-1 101 11/4 99 113 614-2 2-1 100 11/4 97 85 128 #99 #15 4-2 2-1 100 11/11 97 85 1284-2 2-1 109 11/11 49 68 114 #114 #34 5-1 2-0 112 11/18 77 34 402-4 0-2 93 11/18 127 104 113 #31 #48 3-3 1-1 110 11/25 69 90 934-2 3-0 107 11/25 54 80 27 #121 #15
-12 +1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Stanford 7-62 -415 -13 -2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 Bye Bye at Baylor 17-10 101 6 0 20 45-220 4.9 15-20 155 3 14 31-137 4.4 11-27 137 4at UTEP 31-14 208 10 0 22 49-306 6.2 10-18 131 2 12 24-26 1.1 18-33 203 4 Southern 51-17 353 15 -1 25 39-167 4.3 24-30 335 2 10 33-84 2.5 9-26 65 5at Houston 3-38 -242 -8 -3 14 35-129 3.7 11-25 113 3 22 37-130 3.5 34-38 354 2 at Texas St 44-14 371 8 0 25 45-357 7.9 17-25 212 2 17 32-37 1.2 10-27 161 1 FIU 7-13 -23 1 0 19 41-100 2.4 16-27 148 2 18 33-99 3.0 17-28 172 5 Byeat Pittsburgh 10-42 -202 -10 -2 14 23-55 2.4 15-32 222 3 24 33-69 2.1 28-34 410 3 Southern Miss 29-31 11 9 1 27 33-102 3.1 27-43 367 3 18 30-246 8.2 15-21 212 1 Army West Point 12-49 -81 -4 -5 17 37-200 5.4 9-21 146 2 21 65-418 6.4 1-3 9 0 at North Texas 26-29 -52 0 1 19 41-174 4.2 13-25 215 1 19 32-87 2.7 20-35 354 3 Bye Riceat UTSA at UTEP Louisiana Tech at FIUat UAB UAB Southern Miss Marshallat Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech North Texas
Average 12-36 -125.8 -4.0 -2.0 17 37-156 4.2 48.3% 143 9.5% 21 38-172 4.5 68.8% 253 9.2% Average 33-20 156.8 7.6 0.2 23 41-204 5.0 67.1% 257 7.7% 16 32-118 3.7 47.8% 186 10.3% Conference 19-14 92.5 5.5 0.0 21 45-203 4.5 57.8% 140 8.9% 15 29-63 2.2 57.4% 188 14.8% Conference 28-30 -20.5 4.5 1.0 23 37-138 3.7 58.8% 291 5.9% 19 31-167 5.4 62.5% 283 7.1% Away 13-39 -162.8 -5.3 -1.8 16 36-159 4.4 46.5% 140 10.1% 21 33-128 3.9 71.1% 334 7.7% Home 40-24 182.0 12.0 0.0 26 36-135 3.7 69.9% 351 6.8% 14 32-165 5.2 51.1% 139 12.8%
† Stanford Sam Glaesmann 7-18-69-0-1 Samuel Stewart 15-71-4.7-0 Samuel Stewart 3-41-13.7-0 Bye Bye at Baylor Dalton Strum 15-20-155-2-0 Jalen Rhodes 20-103-5.2-0 Kerry Thomas 4-59-14.8-1at UTEP Sam Glaesmann 10-18-131-1-0 Samuel Stewart 16-89-5.6-0 Aaron Cephus 1-52-52.0-1 vs. Southern Dalton Strum 19-22-292-4-0 Jalen Rhodes 10-61-6.1-1 Kerry Thomas 5-75-15.0-1at Houston Jackson Tyner 6-16-84-0-0 Nahshon Ellerbe 6-35-5.8-0 Jordan Myers 2-30-15.0-0 at Texas St Dalton Strum 17-25-212-0-0 Jalen Rhodes 15-174-11.6-2 Brady Jones 3-75-25.0-0 FIU Jackson Tyner 15-26-131-0-1 Samuel Stewart 11-35-3.2-0 Aaron Cephus 5-54-10.8-0 Byeat Pittsburgh Jackson Tyner 15-32-222-1-3 Austin Walter 6-39-6.5-0 Austin Walter 2-73-36.5-1 vs. Southern Miss Dalton Strum 27-43-367-3-1 Tyrell Clay 9-59-6.6-0 Greg Campbell 10-108-10.8-0 Army West Point Jackson Tyner 7-16-135-1-0 Jordan Myers 15-76-5.1-0 Aaron Cephus 3-87-29.0-1 at North Texas Dalton Strum 13-24-215-2-0 Jalen Rhodes 19-71-3.7-0 Josh Stewart 3-54-18.0-0 Bye Riceat UTSA vs. at UTEP Louisiana Tech at FIUat UAB UAB Southern Miss vs. Marshallat Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech North Texas
vs.
Jackson Tyner 46-96-598-2-4 Samuel Stewart 44-191-4.3-0 Aaron Cephus 10-220-22.0-2 Dalton Strum 91-134-1241-11-1 Jalen Rhodes 78-437-5.6-3 Josh Stewart 16-240-15.0-3Sam Glaesmann 22-45-229-1-2 Austin Walter 26-171-6.6-1 Austin Walter 8-121-15.1-1 vs. Bryce Rivers 5-8-43-0-2 Dalton Sturm 41-236-5.8-1 Greg Campbell 19-232-12.2-0Parker Smith 1-1-17-0-0 Emmanuel Esukpa 33-162-4.9-1 Samuel Stewart 10-109-10.9-0 TEAM 0-1-0.1-0-0 Tyrell Clay 52-221-4.3-2 Kerry Thomas 15-223-14.9-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - -3.5 14 16 38-125
Rice - 57 13 22 32-114 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - -3 34 18 45-242
Rice - 57 24 28 46-161 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - 47 7 18 23-104
Rice - -9.5 17 22 56-200 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UTSA - 55 21 24 49-264
Rice - E 27 15 41-157 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
UTSA - 57.5 14 13 26-95
Rice - -2.5 34 27 58-301 -113-23-182
Comp-Att-Yds
17-32-153
18-28-213
Comp-Att-Yds
Rice Coaches
Rice won their first 3 meetings, but UTSA has won the last 2. UTSA won here 34-24 in ‘15 then LY, UTSA tossed a 75 yd gm deciding TD pass w/5:01 left 1Q. Rice cut it to 1 w/7:49 3Q. The next 4 poss were punts, Rice then was SOD at the UTSA 5 and 9pl later also missed a 42 yd FG w/1:27 left. UTSA comes in 3-2 losing their last two games on scores with :48 and :10 left. UTSA is allowing just 48% completions and Rice 69% but has taken on tougher QB’s. David Bailiff is 11-2-1 ATS off a bye so that has me thinking this will be closer than the computer forecasts and Rice has taken on the much tougher schedule (#51 vs #125).
UTSA K
Rice K
1.20
OVERALL:OVERALL:
Phil's Forecast:
UTSA Leaders
1.82
Rice ST's Team & Margin
UTSA Roadrunners1-5 3-2
By 6.35 Points
9-22-183
Comp-Att-Yds
13-29-144 UTSA by 17 UTSA 34 Rice 17
Utsa 469-247
Game Grade
UTSA Pts17-31-170
247 yards Rice UTSA Coaches
Phil Steele51 Rice UTSA 125
Team Schedule Strength UTSA
Computer Points
Computer Yards
Utsa By 20.5Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total53 Points
+/- RatingsUtsa By 20.8
Utsa By 24.7
Utsa 37-1216
UTSA 469 yards
37 points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
301 yards
1.20
Rice Pts7.55
Projected Final Score
116 yards
168 yards
Projected Yardage Total
UTSA
12 points
70 Rice UTSAExperience Rankings
UTSA
9-13-189
23-41-359 Rice UTSA
Ret
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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Rice
Projected PassingComp-Att-Yds 131 yards Rice
Projected Rushing
0.88
UTSA RB's
Rice LB'S
0.90
0.00
UTSA OL
0.10
UTSA DL
23-37-237
UTSA ST's
Rice DB's2.49
UTSA QB/WR
Receiving
UTSAPassing RushingPosition by Position Edges
Rice OL
Rice DL
Rice QB/WR
By Game Yardage Leaders
Rice
Score
0.29
UTSA LB's
Rice RB's
Score
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
at UTEP
FIU
FOE
UTS
A R
oad
run
ner
s
NCAA RANKINGS
Defense
TM CONF
--PS RANK-- FOETEAM
Southernat Texas St
at Baylor
FOE +/-
FOE CONF FOE
TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-
FOE 1-1 0-2TM REC FOE
REC
Rice OwlsOwls Logs vs. CUSA vs. CUSA Roadrunners Logs
TM REC FOE REC
† Stanford 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Bye Bye
Rice
at Houston Rush Off
UTSA
Pass Off Byeat Pittsburgh Total Off Southern Miss Army West Point Score Off at North Texas Bye Sks Allowed Riceat UTSA Rush Def at UTEP Louisiana Tech Pass Def at FIUat UAB Total Def UAB Southern Miss Score Def Marshallat Old Dominion Sks By at Louisiana Tech North Texas Ypg Diff
Net OffenseDefense
Total TO's
Ric
e O
wls
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Rushing Receiving
1.07
UTSA DB's
17-25-209
FOE +/-
AP
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Rice Leaders
OffenseNet
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 95 128 12 9/2 7-41 L 124 126 62 7 12 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 103 8/26 35-38 L 109 98 72 87 117 1220-1 0-0 96 9/9 12-22 L 125 126 62 0-1 0-0 98 92 9/2 28-38 L 100 110 72 130 129 1280-2 0-0 93 9/16 128 125 89 0-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 105 9/9 7-17 L 104 112 91 90 105 540-2 1-1 0-0 0-1 93 117 9/23 17-52 L 130 124 79 100 38 18 #26 #118 0-3 1-1 0-0 0-0 97 113 9/15 21-29 L 103 108 121 98 90 450-3 0-0 92 9/30 128 123 87 #127 #17 0-4 2-1 0-0 0-1 101 123 9/23 13-17 L 104 105 126 38 44 20-3 1-2 0-0 0-0 92 108 10/4 25-43 L 128 120 78 58 75 57 #122 #56 0-5 3-1 0-1 1-0 101 112 9/30 50-58 L 97 110 119 76 66 140-4 2-4 0-1 0-2 91 104 10/14 27-35 L 127 116 99 40 94 124 #122 #84 0-6 0-1 101 10/7 97 108 126
0-6 0-1 91 101 10/21 95 112 126 #115 #129 101 10/144-2 1-1 104 10/28 82 53 115 #97 #101 0-5 0-2 91 10/21 126 107 713-2 2-0 101 11/4 114 111 116 #96 #57 4-2 3-0 110 10/28 75 59 854-2 3-0 110 11/9 75 59 85 #102 #86 4-2 1-2 121 11/4 24 33 292-4 1-1 103 11/18 125 74 48 #118 #104 11/113-3 2-1 100 11/25 94 117 82 #86 #100 1-6 0-4 102 11/18 124 73 91
90 12/2 123 123 124 #120 #790 -5 4-2 2-1 101 12/2 99 113 61
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Auburn 7-41 -457 -17 2 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 Hawaii 35-38 -90 2 -1 20 41-115 2.8 22-34 298 5 18 35-112 3.2 25-38 391 4 New Hampshire 12-22 52 7 -2 21 57-233 4.1 11-22 93 5 14 32-145 4.5 13-22 129 2 at Coastal Carolina 28-38 40 3 -2 23 26-79 3.0 27-45 362 1 20 47-321 6.8 10-18 80 0 Bye Old Dominion 7-17 -34 1 0 20 36-79 2.2 22-37 253 8 19 48-197 4.1 13-29 169 1at Indiana 17-52 -92 -5 -3 15 54-242 4.5 7-16 133 3 20 47-282 6.0 11-22 185 0 at Temple 21-29 71 5 -1 25 33-81 2.5 23-39 377 9 20 34-119 3.5 24-39 268 2 Bye at Tennessee 13-17 -38 -4 1 14 37-144 3.9 13-22 137 7 18 39-135 3.5 19-32 184 0 Arkansas St 25-43 112 5 1 24 63-333 5.3 10-18 160 4 19 35-65 1.9 12-26 316 2 Ohio 50-58 71 5 -2 30 37-147 4.0 33-58 403 2 25 40-298 7.5 13-24 181 2 New Mexico St 27-35 -240 -12 2 13 50-192 3.8 6-9 73 2 25 26-106 4.1 32-53 399 3 Byeat UMass Byeat Troy GA Southern Georgia St Appalachian Stat Appalachian St at Miss St South Alabama † Maineat Louisiana at BYUat Coastal Carolina
at FIU
Average 18-39 -125.0 -4.4 0.0 16 54-214 3.9 51.4% 93 27.0% 21 39-190 4.9 55.7% 243 6.7% Average 26-33 3.3 2.0 -0.8 22 35-108 3.1 59.6% 305 13.6% 20 41-197 4.9 57.8% 212 5.0% Conference 26-39 -64.0 -3.5 1.5 19 57-263 4.6 59.3% 117 22.2% 22 31-86 2.8 55.7% 358 6.3% Conference 28-35 7.0 3.3 -1.3 23 33-92 2.8 61.0% 346 12.7% 19 39-184 4.8 62.1% 246 6.3% Away 12-47 -274.5 -11.0 -0.5 12 51-156 3.1 44.0% 71 36.0% 23 50-317 6.3 54.2% 185 6.3% Home 31-38 -17.7 2.7 -1.0 23 38-114 3.0 59.7% 318 11.6% 21 41-202 4.9 56.0% 247 7.7%
at Auburn Shai Werts 4-8-8-0-1 L.A Ramsby 11-33-3.0-0 Obe Fortune 1-7-7.0-0 Hawaii Andrew Ford 21-30-275-2-1 Marquis Young 20-83-4.2-2 Adam Breneman 9-179-19.9-0 New Hampshire Shai Werts 11-22-93-0-1 Shai Werts 31-124-4.0-0 Mark Michaud 3-39-13.0-0 at Coastal Carolina Andrew Ford 25-41-316-1-0 Marquis Young 12-40-3.3-2 Adam Breneman 9-126-14.0-0 Bye vs. Old Dominion Andrew Ford 21-32-236-1-0 Bilal Ally 8-39-4.9-0 Andy Isabella 5-105-21.0-1at Indiana Shai Werts 6-14-129-2-0 L.A Ramsby 18-108-6.0-0 D'Ondre Glenn 3-98-32.7-1 at Temple Andrew Ford 23-37-377-2-0 Marquis Young 15-77-5.1-0 Sadiq Palmer 7-117-16.7-0 Bye at Tennessee Andrew Ford 11-17-129-1-0 Marquis Young 14-76-5.4-0 Andy Isabella 3-46-15.3-0 Arkansas St Shai Werts 10-18-160-1-2 Shai Werts 29-112-3.9-0 Obe Fortune 3-70-23.3-1 vs. Ohio Andrew Ford 32-54-390-5-1 Bilal Ally 13-57-4.4-0 Adam Breneman 12-131-10.9-2 New Mexico St Shai Werts 6-9-73-0-0 Wesley Fields 13-103-7.9-1 Myles Campbell 3-41-13.7-0 Byeat UMass Byeat Troy vs. GA Southern Georgia St Appalachian Stat Appalachian St at Miss St South Alabama vs. † Maineat Louisiana at BYUat Coastal Carolina
vs. at FIU
Shai Werts 37-71-463-3-4 Shai Werts 111-320-2.9-0 D'Ondre Glenn 4-112-28.0-1 Andrew Ford 133-211-1723-12-2 Marquis Young 88-357-4.1-4 Adam Breneman 36-500-13.9-2Kado Brown 1-2-4-0-0 Wesley Fields 73-292-4.0-2 Obe Fortune 8-109-13.6-1 vs. Ross Comis 7-20-107-0-0 Bilal Ally 40-163-4.1-0 Andy Isabella 27-395-14.6-3TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 L.A Ramsby 66-280-4.2-2 Mark Michaud 5-85-17.0-0 Team 0-4-0-0-0 Andy Isabella 8-92-11.5-1 Sadiq Palmer 24-331-13.8-1
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
UMass ST's
0.42
UMass RB'sGa Southern DB's
1.47
OVERALL:
0-5
UMass QB/WRGa Southern ST's
Ga Southern LB'S
Ga Southern OL
UMass DL
UMass
0.26
Ga Southern QB/WR
UMass DB's
Ga Southern
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Umass 34 Georgia Southern 24By 0.12 Points
Ga Southern
The Minutemen defeated Georgia Southern in the 1998 1-AA Championship 55-43 (now FCS), but then lost in the playoffs the next season to the Eagles 38-21 (both w/Mark Whipple as the HC). First time the Eagles will visit Amherst. UMass may be 0-6, but they have 5 losses by 8 points or less (the other by 10) and they are actually +3 ypg! Due to an unscheduled bye UMass had 2 bye weeks to prep for the option. GS has faced the tougher schedule (#67 vs #106), but is -125 ypg. Last week they were outgained by 240 yards, but only lost by 8 to a NMexSt team on their 3rd straight road game. Though both teams are winless, UMass should win by double digits.
56 UMass 34-25
Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele
70 Ga Southern UMass 109 UMass by 10
Computer Points
3.54
Ga Southern Pts
UMass Pts34 points
Experience Rankings
Projected Final Score25 points UMass
1.50
3.42
Ga Southern Coaches
UMass Coaches
315 yardsUMass K
328 yards Ga Southern UMass 455 yards
81 yards Ga SouthernProjected Yardage Total
UMass
Computer YardsUMass 455-328
248 yards Ga SouthernProjected Passing
Projected Rushing0.79
Ga Southern K
UMass
Phil's Forecast:
UMass By 7
55.5 PointsLas Vegas Total
UMass By 12.5
UMass By 8.1
+/- Ratings
Game Grade
UMass Leaders
Team & Margin
Ga Southern DL0.04
UMass OL
2.15Las Vegas Line
0.26
Ga Southern RB's
UMass LB's
0.08
Defense
Score Score
ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing
Net
FOE
FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
AP TEAM --PS RANK--TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS
0-2 0-1TM REC FOE
RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE
vs. SUN vs. INDAP
Eagles Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
Ga Southern EaglesMinutemen Logs
0-6 UMass MinutemenOVERALL:
at Auburn 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Hawaii New Hampshire
Ga Southern UMassat Coastal Carolina
Bye Old Dominionat Indiana Rush Off at Temple Bye Pass Off at Tennessee Arkansas St Total Off Ohio New Mexico St Score Off Byeat UMass Sks Allowed Byeat Troy Rush Def GA Southern Georgia St Pass Def Appalachian Stat Appalachian St Total Def at Miss St South Alabama Score Def † Maineat Louisiana Sks By at BYUat Coastal Carolina Ypg Diff
Total TO's at FIU
Offense Defense
Ga
Sou
ther
n E
agle
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
UM
ass
Min
ute
men
Net Offense
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Ga Southern Leaders
140 yards
Receiving
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
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Projected Box Score
128 Ga Southern UMass
Ga Southern
FOE +/-
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 103 8/31 61-17 W 70 67 33 111 99 82 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 97 9/1 42-19 W 84 101 41 64 113 931-0 0-0 113 9/9 65 67 33 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 109 9/9 23-21 W 70 84 41 80 81 771-0 0-0 113 9/16 51 67 21 2-0 1-0 117 9/16 72 88 521-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 113 116 9/23 38-10 W 46 67 44 15 48 57 #22 #1 2-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 117 111 9/23 42-32 W 71 87 87 107 71 1002-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 118 9/30 40-13 W 38 52 71 39 71 7 #13 #128 3-0 1-3 2-0 0-0 117 112 9/30 31-21 W 46 84 94 44 127 483-0 2-3 1-0 0-1 122 107 25 10/7 51-23 W 35 42 51 110 88 117 #6 #18 4-0 1-3 3-0 0-2 118 107 10/7 48-45 W 34 90 101 89 123 194-0 1-5 2-0 1-2 125 92 22 10/14 63-21 W 24 41 50 109 130 120 #1 #30 5-0 4-1 3-0 1-1 116 118 25 10/14 27-30 L 23 97 86 37 81 9
5-1 3-1 126 116 20 10/21 25 100 80 #3 #7 5-0 3-0 116 126 20 10/21 17 35 3110/28 #18 #67 10/28
4-2 1-1 115 11/4 29 96 103 #66 #86 3-4 1-3 106 11/2 117 70 572-4 1-3 94 11/11 102 114 118 #30 #78 4-2 1-1 115 11/11 29 96 1033-4 1-3 106 11/18 117 70 57 #14 #81 5-1 3-1 136 11/18 6 18 886-0 3-0 126 11/24 32 17 42 #86 #100 4-2 2-1 118 11/24 62 51 73
#4 #42 12/2+8 -5 5-2 0-0 112 12/9 85 105 65
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
FIU 61-17 252 18 2 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1 at Florida Atlantic 42-19 200 7 0 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 Bye Tulane 23-21 64 4 -2 15 52-194 3.7 4-12 132 3 11 46-191 4.2 8-13 71 1 Bye Byeat Maryland 38-10 231 0 2 18 39-250 6.4 18-30 178 0 18 37-42 1.1 17-28 155 5 Cincinnati 42-32 183 9 0 31 72-569 7.9 2-3 53 0 22 23-58 2.5 28-46 381 2 Memphis 40-13 207 2 3 27 49-350 7.1 19-31 253 0 25 24-75 3.1 27-49 321 2 at Tulsa 31-21 167 12 -1 24 68-421 6.2 3-4 90 0 12 39-229 5.9 12-18 115 0at Cincinnati 51-23 124 2 1 23 21-141 6.7 16-19 374 1 21 26-113 4.3 23-40 278 1 Air Force 48-45 -64 -5 2 22 57-471 8.3 4-12 86 0 27 55-340 6.2 10-17 281 2 East Carolina 63-21 253 17 0 33 41-235 5.7 25-31 365 2 16 37-187 5.1 15-33 160 1 at Memphis 27-30 -63 -5 -4 19 68-314 4.6 1-8 20 1 24 29-118 4.1 24-40 279 2at Navy UCF Austin Peay Byeat SMU at Temple Connecticut SMUat Temple at Notre Dame USF at Houston
Bye† Army West Point
Average 51-17 213.4 7.8 1.6 26 39-225 5.8 72.2% 322 2.1% 19 30-110 3.7 55.2% 223 5.5% Average 36-28 81.2 3.7 -0.5 22 64-398 6.2 34.7% 82 8.2% 19 36-163 4.5 61.7% 236 5.4% Conference 51-19 194.7 7.0 1.3 28 37-242 6.5 74.1% 331 3.7% 21 29-125 4.3 53.3% 253 3.3% Conference 31-26 87.8 5.0 -1.8 22 65-375 5.8 37.0% 74 14.8% 17 34-149 4.4 61.5% 212 4.3% Away 45-17 177.5 1.0 1.5 21 30-196 6.5 69.4% 276 2.0% 20 32-78 2.5 58.8% 217 8.8% Home 38-33 61.0 2.7 0.0 23 60-411 6.8 37.0% 90 11.1% 20 41-196 4.8 60.5% 244 6.6%
FIU McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0 at Florida Atlantic Zach Abey 3-10-110-1-1 Zach Abey 32-235-7.3-2 Tyler Carmona 1-56-56.0-0 Bye Tulane Zach Abey 4-12-132-1-1 Zach Abey 29-108-3.7-0 Tyler Carmona 1-79-79.0-1 Bye vs. Byeat Maryland McKenzie Milton 18-30-178-1-0 McKenzie Milton 6-94-15.7-0 Jordan Akins 3-57-19.0-1 Cincinnati Zach Abey 2-3-53-1-0 Zach Abey 20-128-6.4-2 Tyler Carmona 2-53-26.5-1 Memphis McKenzie Milton 19-31-253-3-1 Adrian Killins 9-115-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 3-71-23.7-2 at Tulsa Zach Abey 3-4-90-0-0 Zach Abey 36-185-5.1-3 Malcolm Perry 2-53-26.5-0at Cincinnati McKenzie Milton 16-19-374-5-0 Marlon Williams 1-47-47.0-0 Tre'Quan Smith 5-165-33.0-3 vs. Air Force Zach Abey 4-11-86-2-0 Zach Abey 29-214-7.4-2 Malcolm Perry 2-45-22.5-1 East Carolina McKenzie Milton 21-27-324-2-0 Greg McCrae 5-64-12.8-1 Tre'Quan Smith 5-93-18.6-0 at Memphis Zach Abey 1-7-20-0-2 Zach Abey 37-146-3.9-3 Darryl Bonner 1-20-20.0-0at Navy UCF Austin Peay vs. Byeat SMU at Temple Connecticut SMUat Temple vs. at Notre Dame USF at Houston
Byevs. † Army West Point
McKenzie Milton 90-128-1489-15-2 Adrian Killins 33-291-8.8-3 Tre'Quan Smith 20-430-21.5-7 Zach Abey 17-47-491-5-4 Zach Abey 183-1016-5.6-12 Tyler Carmona 5-204-40.8-3Noah Vedral 14-16-120-0-0 McKenzie Milton 29-198-6.8-1 Jordan Akins 11-214-19.5-3 vs. Team 0-2-0-0-0 Malcolm Perry 36-414-11.5-3 Darryl Bonner 4-112-28.0-1
Taj McGowan 47-154-3.3-6 Dredrick Snelson 15-213-14.2-1 Chris High 89-402-4.5-1 Malcolm Perry 5-98-19.6-1Category
vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
UCF KnightsKnights Logs
TM REC FOE REC
UCF 458-421
UCF
UCF 39 Navy 26By 3.33 Points
UCF 39-26
Phil SteeleUCF
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Navy Pts
1st meeting. Last year UCF’s excellent set of LB’s shut down Tulane winning 37-6, but they were outgained 297-348. UCF has destroyed everyone winning their games by an average of 51-17 and covering by 20 ppg. They beat Memphis 40-13 (+207 yds) and Navy just lost to Memphis 30-27 (-63 yds). Navy has played the tougher schedule (#30 vs #45), has covered 4 in a row as a home dog and it is tough to go against them here. Navy struggled with Tulane, Cincy, Tulsa, Air Force and Memphis and now a takes on their toughest foe year to date. I am not jumping in front of this UCF express.
UCF
Navy53 102
UCF by 1330Team Schedule Strength
45 UCF Navy
309 yards
UCF K
Navy
UCF Coaches
UCF Navy 26 points
1.68UCF Navy
Navy
421 yards
Navy K
Projected Yardage Total81 yardsUCF
Projected Passing
Navy Coaches
149 yards
458 yards
Computer Yards7.73
UCF Pts4.39
Experience Rankings
Projected Final Score39 points
+/- Ratings
Phil's Forecast:
Game Grade
0.22
Team & Margin
UCF By 7.5
66 PointsLas Vegas Total
2.20
UCF By 10.6
UCF By 28.3
Projected Box Score
0.31 Navy Leaders
UCF ST's
Navy ST's
UCF DB's
Navy QB/WR
Las Vegas Line
UCF Leaders
Projected Rushing341 yards
Navy RB's0.22
UCF LB'S
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
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Tab
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UCF DL1.66
Navy OL
1.10
UCF OL
Navy DL
1.55
UCF RB's
Navy LB's
3.18
UCF QB/WR
Navy DB's
Passing Receiving
UCF NavyPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
TEAM3-0
Defense
Score Score
TM +/- FOE +/-
APFOE CONF
TM CONF FOE FOE
FOE FOE +/-
TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE
REC
vs. AAC vs. AAC Midshipmen Logs--PS RANK--TM
CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE
CONF TM +/-3-1 FOE
OVERALL: OVERALL: Navy Midshipmen5-0 5-1
2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Florida Atlantic Bye
UCF Navy Tulane
Bye Bye
FIU
at Maryland Rush Off Cincinnati Memphis Pass Off at Tulsaat Cincinnati Total Off Air Force East Carolina Score Off at Memphisat Navy Sks Allowed UCF Austin Peay Rush Def Byeat SMU Pass Def at Temple Connecticut Total Def SMUat Temple Score Def at Notre Dame USF Sks By at Houston
Ypg Diff ByeTotal TO's † Army West Point
Net Offense Defense
UC
F K
nig
hts
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 106 8/31 28-6 W 114 124 107 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 72-43 W 16 53 771-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 94 9/9 16-44 L 114 123 107 57 130 102 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 118 9/9 13-31 L 12 64 77 32 26 1261-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 100 115 9/16 28-37 L 113 124 59 119 84 29 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 112 117 9/16 3-35 L 10 71 80 77 72 931-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 101 100 9/23 29-23 W 98 123 117 123 97 90 #82 #72 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 108 126 15 9/23 14-51 L 22 78 46 24 9 232-2 1-0 103 9/30 102 120 114 #74 #29 1-3 0-2 104 9/30 24 82 442-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 103 97 10/7 16-21 L 100 117 103 80 124 98 #98 #41 1-3 4-1 0-2 1-1 104 119 10/7 34-40 L 26 85 49 78 35 372-3 3-2 1-1 2-0 100 110 10/14 20-23 L 104 113 93 72 70 73 #103 #78 1-4 6-0 0-3 3-0 106 139 4 10/14 28-53 L 22 83 36 18 4 22
1-5 0-4 100 108 10/21 27 97 37 #120 #11 2-4 1-2 108 100 10/21 110 109 903-3 3-1 97 10/28 80 119 51 #79 #110 2-4 1-3 94 10/28 102 114 1184-2 1-1 104 11/2 82 53 115 #6 #117 3-3 3-2 122 11/4 42 30 32
11/11 #31 #124 3-3 0-3 115 11/11 66 41 990 11/18 123 123 124 #63 #127 3-4 0-4 111 11/18 96 54 120
3-4 1-2 104 11/25 39 98 130 #31 #77 2-4 0-3 112 11/25 35 62 1093-2 2-0 101 12/2 114 111 116 #61 #100
-5 -10
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Sacramento St 28-6 170 7 -3 15 44-197 4.5 14-19 163 4 8 35-95 2.7 10-25 95 4 Missouri St 72-43 323 14 0 35 41-294 7.2 21-34 521 1 21 39-139 3.6 24-35 353 4 UNLV 16-44 -166 -4 0 18 36-123 3.4 22-34 261 1 22 50-357 7.1 10-16 193 1 South Carolina 13-31 64 1 -3 21 37-178 4.8 14-32 245 1 20 40-172 4.3 18-28 187 1at Western Michigan 28-37 52 -5 -2 15 34-170 5.0 16-26 229 4 20 42-135 3.2 21-31 212 2 Purdue 3-35 -274 -16 -2 10 24-70 2.9 12-28 133 0 26 50-205 4.1 26-34 272 3at South Alabama 29-23 69 7 -1 24 37-146 3.9 23-39 273 3 17 48-244 5.1 11-26 106 1 Auburn 14-51 -142 -1 -4 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 Bye Bye Louisiana 16-21 -18 -9 1 13 39-130 3.3 13-28 149 3 22 39-84 2.2 19-28 213 7 at Kentucky 34-40 82 2 -1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 Appalachian St 20-23 36 0 0 14 36-112 3.1 15-28 200 6 14 38-121 3.2 19-26 155 1 at Georgia 28-53 -384 -14 0 10 24-59 2.5 15-25 253 0 24 51-370 7.3 18-26 326 1at Missouri Idaho ULM at Connecticutat Troy Florida Bye Tennessee Coastal Carolina at Vanderbiltat New Mexico St at Arkansasat Georgia St
Average 23-26 23.8 -0.7 -0.8 17 38-146 3.9 59.2% 213 12.1% 17 42-173 4.1 59.2% 162 10.5% Average 27-42 -55.2 -2.3 -1.7 20 32-156 4.9 53.2% 287 2.5% 23 45-223 4.9 68.5% 276 6.1% Conference 22-22 29.0 -0.7 0.0 17 37-129 3.5 53.7% 207 12.6% 18 42-150 3.6 61.3% 158 11.3% Conference 22-44 -95.0 -3.0 -2.0 19 31-144 4.6 53.2% 267 2.9% 22 46-248 5.4 66.1% 258 3.6% Away 29-30 60.5 1.0 -1.5 20 36-158 4.5 60.0% 251 10.8% 19 45-190 4.2 56.1% 159 5.3% Home 26-40 -7.3 -0.5 -2.3 22 33-167 5.0 52.6% 279 3.0% 22 46-195 4.3 71.2% 258 7.6%
Sacramento St Matt Linehan 14-19-163-2-2 Aaron Duckworth 19-142-7.5-1 Reuben Mwehla 7-63-9.0-1 Missouri St Drew Lock 21-34-521-7-1 Damarea Crockett 18-202-11.2-2 J'Mon Moore 4-187-46.8-2 UNLV Matt Linehan 22-34-261-1-1 Aaron Duckworth 18-80-4.4-0 Jacob Sannon 11-109-9.9-0 South Carolina Drew Lock 14-32-245-1-2 Damarea Crockett 18-97-5.4-0 Jason Reese 2-88-44.0-1at Western Michigan Matt Linehan 16-26-229-3-1 Aaron Duckworth 13-97-7.5-0 Alfonso Onunwor 4-93-23.3-1 vs. Purdue Drew Lock 12-28-133-0-2 Ish Witter 7-25-3.6-0 J'Mon Moore 3-61-20.3-0at South Alabama Matt Linehan 23-38-273-1-0 Isaiah Saunders 18-63-3.5-1 Alfonso Onunwor 8-119-14.9-1 Auburn Drew Lock 23-39-216-2-1 Damarea Crockett 13-57-4.4-0 Johnathon Johnson 10-85-8.5-0 Bye Bye Louisiana Matt Linehan 13-28-149-0-0 Aaron Duckworth 14-62-4.4-0 Jacob Sannon 4-58-14.5-0 vs. at Kentucky Drew Lock 22-42-355-3-0 Ish Witter 17-139-8.2-0 Emanuel Hall 4-129-32.3-1 Appalachian St Matt Linehan 15-28-200-2-0 Aaron Duckworth 21-113-5.4-0 Alfonso Onunwor 6-85-14.2-1 at Georgia Drew Lock 15-25-253-4-1 Damarea Crockett 9-32-3.6-0 Emanuel Hall 4-141-35.3-2at Missouri Idaho ULM vs. at Connecticutat Troy Florida Bye Tennessee Coastal Carolina vs. at Vanderbiltat New Mexico St at Arkansasat Georgia St
vs.
Matt Linehan 103-173-1275-9-4 Aaron Duckworth 94-550-5.9-2 Jacob Sannon 36-370-10.3-1 Drew Lock 107-200-1723-17-7 Damarea Crockett 80-481-6.0-2 J'Mon Moore 20-406-20.3-4Team 0-1-0-0-0 Isaiah Saunders 69-314-4.6-1 Alfonso Onunwor 23-356-15.5-3 vs. Team 0-1-0-0-0 Ish Witter 56-307-5.5-0 Emanuel Hall 13-374-28.8-3
Dylan Thigpen 5-17-3.4-0 Reuben Mwehla 14-160-11.4-2 Larry Rountree 31-129-4.2-1 Johnathon Johnson 26-357-13.7-3Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
AP
Projected Final Score3.35
Idaho Pts
Idaho Missouri100
28
Missouri 38-27
Team Schedule Strength MissouriMissroui by 17 Missouri 44 Idaho 27By 5.47 Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Last met in 1963. Idaho has lost 32 in a row on the road vs Power 5 teams, but is on a 17-4 run vs the Vegas number the last 5 years when on the road. Drew Lock throws for 426 ypg with a 19-1 ratio vs non-Power 5 teams. Missouri limps in on a 5 game losing streak and only has UConn on deck so will be fully focused for this. In the last 3 games Missouri has averaged 112 ypg above their opponent averages. Missouri’s defense is allowing 130 ypg above what opp’s usually average and Idaho is holding foes to 34 below, but Missouri has faced my #28 schedule (5 power 5 including two top 10 teams) while Idaho has not even faced a power 5 team.
387 yards Idaho Missouri
126 Idaho Missouri
Idaho Missouri 330 yardsProjected Yardage Total
522 yards
Computer Points
Missouri Coaches
Computer Yards8.82
Missouri Pts
19
0.95
Idaho Coaches
Projected Rushing0.39
Idaho K
192 yardsMissouri KProjected Passing
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas LineMissouri ST's Missouri By 15
144 yards Idaho Missouri
242 yards
Experience Rankings27 points Idaho Missouri 38 points
Las Vegas Total62.5 Points
+/- RatingsMissouri By 11.8
Game GradeMissouri By 7.7
Phil Steele
Missouri 522-387
Missouri Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
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2.56
Team & Margin
Idaho LeadersIdaho DB's
2.82
Missouri QB/WR
Idaho LB'S1.30
Missouri RB's
Idaho DL1.44
Missouri OL
Idaho OL0.71
Missouri DL
0.91
Idaho RB's
Missouri LB's
1.10
Idaho QB/WR
Missouri DB's
Idaho MissouriPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOETM +/- FOE
+/-AP
NCAA RANKINGSTEAMTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--1-2 0-4
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Vandals Logs vs. SUN vs. SEC Tigers Logs
Idaho Vandals OVERALL: OVERALL: Missouri Tigers2-4 1-5
TM REC FOE REC
Sacramento St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Missouri St UNLV
Idaho Missouri South Carolina
at Western Michigan Purdueat South Alabama Rush Off Auburn Bye Pass Off Bye Louisiana Total Off at Kentucky Appalachian St Score Off at Georgiaat Missouri Sks Allowed Idaho ULM Rush Def at Connecticutat Troy Pass Def Florida Bye Total Def Tennessee Coastal Carolina Score Def at Vanderbiltat New Mexico St Sks By at Arkansas
Total TO'sYpg Diffat Georgia St
Net Offense Defense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/2 24-17 W 51 35 31 82 93 66 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 49-0 W 36 45 1071-0 0-0 119 9/9 27-16 W 64 27 31 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 113 9/9 57-21 W 34 34 107 69 87 442-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 116 123 7 9/16 23-13 W 67 32 25 37 23 65 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 125 132 12 9/16 37-7 W 27 28 72 21 3 183-0 1-1 1-0 1-0 121 126 20 9/23 27-28 L 70 33 30 66 26 6 #93 #14 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 130 127 17 11 9/23 3-31 L 20 19 69 19 7 583-1 2-1 1-1 0-1 121 107 9/30 24-20 W 68 36 31 106 80 75 #77 #104 3-1 3-1 1-1 1-0 125 130 24 13 9/30 10-49 L 22 21 58 21 7 134-1 1-3 1-1 0-2 119 104 10/7 40-34 W 78 35 37 26 85 49 #107 #42 3-2 1-2 121 10/7 30 29 595-1 2-1 117 10/14 77 37 11 #76 #47 3-2 1-5 1-2 0-3 121 102 10/14 35-10 W 34 33 24 124 73 91
4-2 1-2 117 121 10/21 24 33 29 #90 #3 5-1 2-1 121 117 10/21 78 39 113-3 0-3 115 10/28 66 41 9 #10 #40 5-2 3-1 125 10/28 33 21 33-3 1-2 116 11/4 23 66 75 #122 #4 0-6 0-1 101 11/4 95 112 1263-4 0-4 111 11/11 96 54 120 #68 #8 7-0 4-0 145 11/11 1 1 217-0 4-0 137 11/18 8 8 14 #44 #28 2-4 0-3 112 11/18 35 62 1094-3 1-3 118 11/25 7 45 67 #68 #86 3-3 1-2 116 11/23 23 66 75
#94 #14+8 0
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Southern Miss 24-17 -110 -7 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2 Charleston Southern 49-0 522 27 0 29 50-281 5.6 20-36 274 0 2 39-18 0.5 3-8 15 1 Eastern Kentucky 27-16 118 5 2 22 39-207 5.3 16-24 229 3 17 20-62 3.1 31-43 256 1 at Louisiana Tech 57-21 144 1 2 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4at South Carolina 23-13 -5 6 0 20 47-184 3.9 16-26 169 1 14 20-54 2.7 24-37 304 2 LSU 37-7 195 12 0 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 Florida 27-28 -55 1 1 21 32-120 3.8 18-27 220 4 20 36-186 5.2 17-27 209 1 at Georgia 3-31 -124 0 -1 15 37-177 4.8 15-33 103 0 15 42-203 4.8 9-12 201 0 Eastern Michigan 24-20 -84 -4 2 16 37-53 1.4 18-27 175 5 20 27-13 0.5 27-47 299 5 at Auburn 10-49 -160 4 0 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 Missouri 40-34 -82 -2 1 22 39-188 4.8 22-37 298 1 24 33-213 6.5 22-43 355 1 Bye Bye BYU 35-10 370 27 -1 35 53-306 5.8 20-31 240 0 8 17-29 1.7 17-29 147 1at Miss St Kentucky Tennessee at Texas A&M Mississippi UMassat Vanderbilt Alabamaat Georgia at Arkansas Louisville Mississippi
Average 28-21 -36.3 -0.2 1.3 19 38-138 3.6 62.7% 211 9.3% 19 29-97 3.4 60.3% 289 5.1% Average 32-20 157.8 11.8 0.0 24 46-262 5.7 53.3% 181 1.7% 12 36-130 3.6 55.2% 155 8.0% Conference 30-25 -47.3 1.7 0.7 21 39-164 4.2 62.2% 229 6.7% 19 30-151 5.1 58.9% 289 3.7% Conference 17-29 -29.7 5.3 -0.3 19 44-219 5.0 46.2% 147 3.2% 14 37-193 5.3 62.1% 202 6.9% Away 24-15 -57.5 -0.5 1.0 16 41-131 3.2 58.7% 173 4.3% 17 29-55 1.9 59.7% 307 5.2% Home 40-6 362.3 22.0 -0.3 30 50-291 5.8 61.1% 231 1.1% 8 28-60 2.1 50.0% 100 6.1%
at Southern Miss Stephen Johnson 11-20-176-1-0 Benny Snell 20-67-3.4-0 C.J Conrad 3-97-32.3-1 Charleston Southern Nick Fitzgerald 16-29-239-2-0 Aeris Williams 16-83-5.2-1 Farrod Green 2-68-34.0-0 Eastern Kentucky Stephen Johnson 15-22-224-1-0 Benny Snell 19-103-5.4-1 Blake Bone 3-93-31.0-0 at Louisiana Tech Nick Fitzgerald 12-18-124-3-1 Nick Fitzgerald 10-111-11.1-2 Aeris Williams 1-28-28.0-0at South Carolina Stephen Johnson 16-25-169-0-1 Benny Snell 32-102-3.2-2 Garrett Johnson 4-41-10.3-0 vs. LSU Nick Fitzgerald 15-23-180-2-0 Aeris Williams 23-146-6.3-0 Keith Mixon 6-97-16.2-1 Florida Stephen Johnson 17-25-196-3-0 Sihiem King 5-64-12.8-0 Garrett Johnson 4-56-14.0-1 at Georgia Nick Fitzgerald 14-29-83-0-2 Nick Gibson 5-52-10.4-0 Deddrick Thomas 2-41-20.5-0 Eastern Michigan Stephen Johnson 18-27-175-2-0 Benny Snell 21-75-3.6-1 Garrett Johnson 8-61-7.6-0 at Auburn Nick Fitzgerald 13-33-157-1-2 Nick Fitzgerald 13-56-4.3-0 Jamal Couch 2-60-30.0-0 Missouri Stephen Johnson 22-36-298-2-1 Benny Snell 20-117-5.9-2 Garrett Johnson 7-111-15.9-1 vs. Bye Bye BYU Nick Fitzgerald 19-30-241-2-2 Aeris Williams 23-114-5.0-1 Keith Mixon 5-69-13.8-0at Miss St Kentucky Tennessee vs. at Texas A&M Mississippi UMassat Vanderbilt Alabamaat Georgia vs. at Arkansas Louisville Mississippi
vs.
Stephen Johnson 99-155-1238-9-2 Benny Snell 126-523-4.2-6 Garrett Johnson 27-333-12.3-2 Nick Fitzgerald 89-162-1024-10-7 Aeris Williams 97-523-5.4-2 Keith Mixon 16-238-14.9-1Lynn Bowden Jr 1-1-24-0-0 Sihiem King 37-179-4.8-0 C.J Conrad 9-195-21.7-3 vs. Keytaon Thompson 7-18-62-1-0 Nick Fitzgerald 69-446-6.5-7 Donald Gray 17-155-9.1-2Drew Barker 1-2-5-0-0 Stephen Johnson 47-144-3.1-2 Kayaune Ross 10-160-16.0-0 Kylin Hill 43-234-5.4-1 Deddrick Thomas 10-137-13.7-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kentucky - 53.5 40 26 44-262
Mississippi St - -4 38 16 39-281 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kentucky - 56.5 16 30 33-163
Mississippi St - -12 42 30 36-204 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kentucky - 59 31 23 32-103
Mississippi St 1 -14 45 30 51-326 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Kentucky - 56 22 20 40-160
Mississippi St - -11 28 24 42-152 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Kentucky - 46.5 14 13 34-84
Mississippi St 20 -9.5 27 25 39-158 -1
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
19-35-165
13-21-81
Comp-Att-Yds
30-52-260
Comp-Att-Yds
25-44-401
18-33-216
25-37-295
Comp-Att-Yds
15-27-144
23-39-269
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20
Miss St by 3 Mississippi St 30 Kentucky 27By 3.47 Points
86 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Miss St 33-23
Miss St Phil Steele75 Kentucky Miss St 34
Experience RankingsKentucky Miss StTeam Schedule Strength
Miss St 33 pointsProjected Final Score
23 points Kentucky
Miss St Coaches
Kentucky Coaches
Projected Yardage Total
+/- Ratings
0.55
Miss St 506-2731.81
Kentucky Pts5.29
Miss St PtsComputer Points
Computer Yards
Las Vegas Line
Phil's Forecast:
0.43
The home team has won the last 4 meetings, but LY UK broke a 7 game series losing streak (prev meeting ‘11) winning 40-38 on a 51 yd GW FG as time expired. Kentucky is off a bye, while Miss St had one 2 weeks ago. The raw numbers on the season would seem to favor Miss St as they are +158 ypg vs my #34 schedule and Kentucky is -36 ypg vs my #75 rated schedule. A look at my computers projected yards has Miss St with a 504-272 yard edge. I expect UK to be able to run the ball and they are in a better situation right now. Kentucky when favored plays down to their opponent and does just enough to win. They have covered their last 6 as a regular season dog.
Miss St By 11
Miss St By 8.3
Miss St By 21.1
54.5 Points
Game Grade
Projected Rushing
Miss St Leaders
Team & Margin
0.44
Kentucky KLas Vegas Total
Miss St QB/WR
Kentucky DB's
Kentucky ST's
Miss St ST's17-33-292
Miss St K
251 yards
104 yardsProjected Passing
0.92Kentucky Miss St 255 yards
Miss St
273 yards Kentucky Miss St 506 yards
Kentucky Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
169 yards Kentucky26-36-382
Kentucky LB'S0.35
Miss St RB's
Kentucky DL1.10
Miss St OL
Kentucky OL1.00
Miss St DL
Kentucky RB's1.42
Miss St LB's
0.89
Kentucky QB/WR
Miss St DB's
Kentucky Miss StPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTM CONF
TEAM --PS RANK--2-1 1-2TM REC FOE
RECNCAA RANKINGS
Wildcats Logs Bulldogs LogsTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE
OVERALL: OVERALL:
5-1 4-2
2017 TEAM RANKINGS
vs. SEC vs. SEC
Kentucky Wildcats
at Southern Miss Charleston Southern
Miss St Bulldogs
TM REC FOE REC
Eastern KentuckyKentucky Miss St
at Louisiana Techat South Carolina LSU
at Georgia Eastern Michigan Pass Off at Auburn Florida Rush Off
Bye Bye Score Off BYU Missouri Total Off
at Miss St Sks Allowed Kentucky Tennessee Rush Def at Texas A&M Mississippi Pass Def UMassat Vanderbilt Total Def Alabamaat Georgia Score Def at Arkansas Louisville Sks By Mississippi
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 103 19 8/26 42-22 W 38 36 48 115 111 52 0-0 0-0 107 9/2 43-14 W 107 82 771-0 0-0 119 19 9/2 31-17 W 53 36 48 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 109 119 9/9 21-23 L 80 81 77 70 84 412-0 0-0 119 21 9/9 52 36 92 1-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 111 142 2 9/16 14-56 L 90 87 82 5 13 672-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 121 109 22 9/15 47-23 W 44 37 86 102 65 68 #8 #10 1-2 2-1 0-1 0-0 110 112 9/23 21-17 W 94 96 68 88 105 983-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 21 9/21 43-7 W 42 24 64 96 81 24 #90 #126 2-2 0-1 110 9/30 97 92 764-0 1-3 1-0 1-0 125 95 18 9/30 61-31 W 31 20 40 105 130 127 #13 #84 2-2 1-4 0-1 0-1 110 111 10/7 62-28 W 101 100 65 46 129 435-0 2-0 125 18 10/7 35 22 57 #7 #68 3-2 3-2 1-1 2-1 114 96 10/14 10-23 L 88 101 79 105 112 80
2-4 0-2 126 104 18 10/14 33-3 W 106 98 104 #37 #37 6-0 3-0 109 126 16 10/21 32 17 423-3 1-1 109 16 10/21 88 110 92 #3 #103 5-1 2-1 118 10/28 37 83 84-2 2-1 118 10/28 62 51 73 #58 #39 2-5 0-3 103 11/4 109 101 12-4 1-3 94 11/4 102 114 118 #12 #81 1-6 1-3 91 11/11 107 130 123
11/11 #16 #74 4-2 2-1 118 11/18 62 51 732-5 1-2 112 11/16 50 129 63 #21 #86 4-2 1-1 115 11/25 29 96 1035-0 3-0 126 11/24 17 35 31 #7 #88
+12 +8
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at San Jose St 42-22 161 11 2 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 Grambling St 43-14 256 16 1 26 51-296 5.8 10-15 185 1 10 22-77 3.5 15-27 148 3 Stony Brook 31-17 110 7 1 21 49-153 3.1 19-32 186 2 14 36-92 2.6 17-34 137 5 at Navy 21-23 -64 -4 2 11 46-191 4.2 8-13 71 1 15 52-194 3.7 4-12 132 3 Bye at Oklahoma 14-56 -340 -4 0 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 Illinois 47-23 326 23 2 38 66-376 5.7 17-32 304 3 15 15-67 4.5 20-40 287 2 Army West Point 21-17 -15 -7 3 15 30-253 8.4 10-22 103 2 22 69-371 5.4 0-5 0 0 Temple 43-7 323 15 4 22 63-312 5.0 8-20 96 1 7 33--4 -0.1 7-25 89 5 Byeat East Carolina 61-31 161 2 1 25 50-390 7.8 13-21 185 1 23 36-108 3.0 21-46 306 1 Tulsa 62-28 241 15 2 31 70-488 7.0 9-13 165 0 16 28-139 5.0 12-20 273 3 Bye at FIU 10-23 -199 -5 0 18 40-203 5.1 5-16 36 3 23 44-218 5.0 17-31 220 0 Cincinnati 33-3 129 4 2 25 53-212 4.0 17-30 190 0 21 33-95 2.9 21-37 178 3 USFat Tulane at Memphis Houston Cincinnatiat Connecticut at East Carolina Bye Houston Tulsa at SMUat UCF
Average 43-17 201.7 10.3 2.0 27 59-293 5.0 54.0% 199 6.2% 16 32-78 2.4 47.8% 213 7.3% Average 29-27 -20.2 1.8 1.3 20 50-278 5.6 52.7% 102 11.0% 18 41-199 4.8 54.4% 201 8.0% Conference 46-14 204.3 7.0 2.3 24 55-305 5.5 53.5% 157 2.8% 17 34-66 2.0 45.4% 191 8.3% Conference 42-26 88.5 5.5 2.0 21 58-340 5.9 65.4% 118 3.8% 16 40-167 4.2 50.0% 203 18.8% Away 52-27 161.0 6.5 1.5 27 62-353 5.7 55.3% 209 8.5% 21 37-109 2.9 47.9% 292 2.1% Home 42-20 160.7 8.0 2.0 24 50-346 6.9 58.0% 151 6.0% 16 40-196 4.9 51.9% 140 11.5%
at San Jose St Quinton Flowers 11-22-212-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 22-99-4.5-2 Marquez Scantling 6-91-15.2-0 Grambling St Jonathan Banks 10-15-185-3-0 Jonathan Banks 16-69-4.3-1 Dontrell Hilliard 2-77-38.5-1 Stony Brook Quinton Flowers 19-32-186-2-1 Quinton Flowers 18-67-3.7-0 Tyre McCants 2-74-37.0-1 at Navy Johnathan Brantley 5-8-58-0-0 Johnathan Brantley 9-73-8.1-1 Terren Encalade 5-39-7.8-0 Bye Quinton Flowers 15-27-280-4-1 Quinton Flowers 25-106-4.2-1 Marquez Scantling 4-96-24.0-1 vs. at Oklahoma Johnathan Brantley 5-9-43-0-1 Dontrell Hilliard 19-104-5.5-1 Terren Encalade 1-22-22.0-0 Illinois Quinton Flowers 8-20-96-0-0 Darius Tice 15-117-7.8-2 Tyre McCants 2-29-14.5-0 Army West Point Jonathan Banks 10-22-103-0-0 Dontrell Hilliard 14-134-9.6-1 Terren Encalade 4-38-9.5-0 Temple Quinton Flowers 10-18-160-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 16-111-6.9-2 Marquez Scantling 6-94-15.7-1 Byeat East Carolina Quinton Flowers 16-29-184-0-0 Quinton Flowers 15-80-5.3-1 Deange Antoine 3-50-16.7-0 vs. Tulsa Jonathan Banks 9-13-165-1-0 Dontrell Hilliard 19-175-9.2-4 Terren Encalade 2-69-34.5-1 Bye at FIU Jonathan Banks 5-16-36-0-1 Dontrell Hilliard 12-90-7.5-1 Jabril Clewis 1-25-25.0-0 Cincinnati USFat Tulane vs. at Memphis Houston Cincinnatiat Connecticut at East Carolina Bye vs. Houston Tulsa at SMUat UCF
vs.
Quinton Flowers 79-148-1118-10-2 Darius Tice 90-493-5.5-8 Marquez Scantling 25-341-13.6-3 Jonathan Banks 37-71-502-4-1 Dontrell Hilliard 91-607-6.7-8 Terren Encalade 15-218-14.5-2Brett Kean 7-11-64-0-0 D'Ernest Johnson 109-485-4.4-4 Tyre McCants 9-191-21.2-3 vs. Johnathan Brantley 10-17-101-0-1 Jonathan Banks 59-267-4.5-3 Dontrell Hilliard 5-90.1-18.0-1Chris Oladokun 1-1-12-0-0 Quinton Flowers 102-475-4.7-6 Deange Antoine 9-159-17.7-1 Khalil McClain 1-3-11-0-0 Sherman Badie 37-244-6.6-1 Darnell Mooney 6-90-15.0-1
Category
None vs.
vs.
vs.
vs.
235 yards
Team Schedule Strength100 USF Tulane 74 USF by 18 USF 38 Tulane 20
First meeting. Last year USF struggled against Navy’s option attack allowing 616 yards and 45 points. USF started slowly this year trailing San Jose St 16-0 and then at half trailing Stony Brook 10-7. They have rebounded with big wins and are 6-0 with an average win by 43-17 and +202 ypg but have just faced my #100 schedule. As impressive as Tulane was beating Tulsa at home two weeks ago 62-28, they were that unimpressive last week losing at FIU 23-10 (-199 yds) as a big favorite. USF did have a bye two weeks ago to sneak in some prep for the option. USF rates the edge on offense, defense and special teams and keeps their undefeated season going strong.
USF By 11.5
Las Vegas Total54 Points
+/- RatingsUSF By 14.3
Phil Steele
By 9.80 Points
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score 0.26
USF ST's
Tulane ST's
USF
36 points
USF Tulane36 58
USF445-328
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
9.80
USF Pts0.00
Tulane 99 yards
Tulane Pts
Computer Yards
USF 36-22
USFProjected Final Score
Experience RankingsTulane 22 points
Tulane K
Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade
445 yards USF Tulane 328 yards Tulane Coaches
210 yards USF
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
USF Coaches
USF K
USF By 9.4
Projected Rushing1.45USF Tulane 229 yards
Projected Passing
USF Leaders 1.58
USF DB's
Tulane QB/WRTeam & MarginLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
0.64
USF DL
Tulane OL
Tulane Leaders
0.48
USF LB'S
Tulane RB's
1.46
USF OL
Tulane DL
1.96
USF RB's
Tulane LB's
1.97
USF QB/WR
Tulane DB's
USF TulanePosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTM CONF
TEAM3-0 1-1TM REC FOE
RECNCAA RANKINGS
Green Wave LogsTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--
Bulls Logs vs. AAC vs. AAC
USF Bulls OVERALL: OVERALL: Tulane Green Wave6-0 3-3
TM REC FOE REC
Grambling St Stony Brook
USF Tulaneat Navy
Bye at Oklahoma
at San Jose St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
Army West Point Temple Pass Off Bye Illinois Rush Off
Tulsa Bye Score Off at FIUat East Carolina Total Off
Cincinnati Sks Allowed USFat Tulane Rush Def at Memphis Houston Pass Def Cincinnatiat Connecticut Total Def at East Carolina Bye Score Def Houston Tulsa Sks By at SMU
Total TO'sYpg Diffat UCF
Net Offense Defense
US
F B
ulls
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Tula
ne
Gre
en W
ave
Net Offense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 137 9 9/1 10-59 L 118 109 101 46 10 38 0-0 0-0 98 9/2 40-43 L 73 130 1020-1 0-0 103 9/7 51-13 W 119 120 101 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 94 105 9/9 44-16 W 57 130 102 114 123 1071-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 105 124 9/16 10-46 L 111 116 55 86 61 36 1-1 0-0 95 9/16 46 129 331-2 1-3 0-0 0-0 103 92 9/23 61-10 W 118 117 54 123 118 54 #88 #12 1-1 2-1 0-0 1-0 95 134 10 9/23 21-54 L 31 128 73 6 6 282-2 1-3 1-0 0-3 107 107 9/29 40-24 W 100 108 29 113 60 47 #64 #116 1-2 1-4 0-0 0-1 97 88 9/30 41-13 W 49 129 99 119 116 623-2 3-2 1-0 1-0 111 122 10/7 14-27 L 104 104 29 38 87 59 #90 #50 2-2 5-0 1-0 1-0 101 120 19 10/7 10-41 L 38 127 113 90 58 173-3 3-2 1-1 1-0 110 106 10/14 23-28 L 108 103 4 123 92 62 #58 #55 2-3 1-4 1-1 0-2 98 109 10/14 30-34 L 48 128 95 75 124 40
2-4 1-2 107 100 10/21 55 128 110 #125 #51 3-4 1-2 100 107 10/21 112 94 44-2 2-0 116 10/28 93 48 7 #92 #124 4-2 3-0 112 10/28 72 84 773-3 1-2 107 11/4 76 99 53 #53 #92 3-4 1-3 96 11/4 45 127 129
11/11 #71 #121 1-6 0-4 102 11/10 124 73 913-4 1-3 96 11/18 45 127 129 #85 #108 3-3 1-2 107 11/17 76 99 532-4 1-2 107 11/25 63 125 16 #68 #129 1-6 1-2 104 11/25 101 115 121
#87 #101+1 +5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Wisconsin 10-59 -174 -9 -2 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 Howard 40-43 115 4 -2 25 46-344 7.5 11-21 220 0 21 61-309 5.1 15-26 140 0 Idaho St 51-13 293 15 0 30 49-255 5.2 27-32 341 2 15 38-113 3.0 17-31 190 2 at Idaho 44-16 166 4 0 22 50-357 7.1 10-16 193 1 18 36-123 3.4 22-34 261 1at Wake Forest 10-46 -321 -15 -1 11 31-42 1.4 15-37 225 2 26 59-291 4.9 16-27 297 1 Byeat San Jose St 61-10 427 19 2 29 57-318 5.6 28-41 271 4 10 37-108 2.9 8-22 54 3 at Ohio St 21-54 -400 -17 1 17 41-176 4.3 11-20 88 4 34 40-190 4.8 31-44 474 3 BYU 40-24 -108 -6 6 14 44-112 2.5 16-30 176 4 20 46-210 4.6 12-29 186 0 San Jose St 41-13 86 -5 3 25 52-345 6.6 11-16 203 2 30 33-147 4.5 30-49 315 0 Colorado St 14-27 -297 -15 0 14 29-63 2.2 18-34 149 7 29 52-216 4.2 22-31 293 0 San Diego St 10-41 -244 -17 1 10 30-104 3.5 9-22 126 3 27 45-302 6.7 14-24 172 1 Wyoming 23-28 70 9 -4 23 37-131 3.5 20-39 232 3 14 36-85 2.4 18-26 208 3 at Air Force 30-34 -62 -15 2 15 39-266 6.8 12-27 145 1 30 78-401 5.1 4-8 72 0at UNLV Utah St Boise St at Fresno Stat New Mexico Hawaii Bye BYU Hawaii at New Mexicoat Air Force at Nevada
Average 30-30 -15.7 -0.3 0.1 20 39-144 3.7 58.7% 230 9.1% 20 45-180 4.0 57.1% 210 6.3% Average 31-34 -56.5 -7.7 0.8 19 43-265 6.2 52.5% 163 9.0% 27 49-245 5.0 62.7% 239 2.7% Conference 33-22 66.7 4.3 -0.7 22 41-171 4.2 57.9% 217 12.3% 18 42-136 3.3 60.8% 185 7.6% Conference 27-29 -73.3 -12.3 2.0 17 40-238 5.9 49.2% 158 9.2% 29 52-283 5.4 59.3% 186 1.2% Away 27-38 -22.7 -1.7 -0.3 19 38-148 3.9 57.1% 238 5.9% 20 47-211 4.5 54.2% 198 9.7% Home 30-32 -14.3 -6.0 0.7 20 43-264 6.2 52.5% 183 8.5% 26 46-253 5.5 59.6% 209 1.0%
at Wisconsin Kent Myers 25-41-219-0-3 Tonny Lindsey 6-28-4.7-0 Jaren Colston-Green 1-40-40.0-0 Howard Armani Rogers 11-19-220-1-0 Lexington Thomas 21-151-7.2-2 Devonte Boyd 4-105-26.3-1 Idaho St Kent Myers 24-26-323-2-1 Eltoro Allen 19-103-5.4-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 7-75-10.7-1 at Idaho Armani Rogers 10-16-193-1-1 Lexington Thomas 17-190-11.2-3 Devonte Boyd 2-103-51.5-1at Wake Forest Jordan Love 6-13-171-1-0 Eltoro Allen 13-20-1.5-0 Zach Van Leeuwen 2-77-38.5-0 vs. Byeat San Jose St Kent Myers 18-24-181-2-1 Eltoro Allen 18-89-4.9-0 Dax Raymond 3-47-15.7-0 at Ohio St Armani Rogers 11-19-88-0-2 Lexington Thomas 12-84-7.0-2 Devonte Boyd 3-48-16.0-0 BYU Kent Myers 16-27-176-2-1 LaJuan Hunt 18-65-3.6-0 Ron'Quavion Tarver 6-76-12.7-1 San Jose St Armani Rogers 11-16-203-2-0 Lexington Thomas 18-146-8.1-2 Devonte Boyd 5-105-21.0-0 Colorado St Kent Myers 17-29-152-1-0 LaJuan Hunt 8-19-2.4-0 Eltoro Allen 5-45-9.0-0 vs. San Diego St Armani Rogers 9-21-126-1-0 Lexington Thomas 14-54-3.9-0 Brandon Presley 3-77-25.7-0 Wyoming Jordan Love 8-18-109-0-3 LaJuan Hunt 18-73-4.1-0 Dax Raymond 5-72-14.4-0 at Air Force Armani Rogers 12-27-145-0-1 Armani Rogers 16-148-9.3-1 Lexington Thomas 1-47-47.0-0at UNLV Utah St Boise St vs. at Fresno Stat New Mexico Hawaii Bye BYU Hawaii vs. at New Mexicoat Air Force at Nevada
vs.
Kent Myers 120-190-1199-7-7 LaJuan Hunt 81-303-3.7-2 Dax Raymond 21-285-13.6-1 Armani Rogers 64-118-975-5-4 Lexington Thomas 99-716-7.2-10 Devonte Boyd 19-407-21.4-2Jordan Love 28-62-385-2-4 Eltoro Allen 63-252-4.0-1 Ron'Quavion Tarver 28-247-8.8-3 vs. Kurt Palandech 0-1-0-0-0 Armani Rogers 84-458-5.5-4 Brandon Presley 14-221-15.8-1Aaren Vaughns 1-1-29-1-0 Kent Myers 73-246-3.4-5 Gerold Bright 8-169-21.1-2 Team 0-2-0-0-0 Xzaviar Campbell 42-201-4.8-1 Kendal Keys 11-106-9.6-1
Category
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - -17 34 18 47-178
UNLV - 51.5 20 13 27-15 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - -15 28 24 44-143
UNLV - 56.5 24 24 42-150 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah St - -21 35 21 35-138
UNLV - 53 13 19 35-117 1
vs.
99
17-39-252
Comp-Att-Yds
Utah St by 1 Utah St 35 UNLV 34By 6.09 Points
Utah St 35-34
Team Schedule Strength Utah St Phil Steele102 Utah St UNLV
Computer Points107 Utah St UNLV 75
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
22-35-426
UNLVComp-Att-Yds
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
10.13UNLV 34 points
465 yards
UNLV
UNLV
Projected Box Score
183 yards
UNLV Pts
254 yardsProjected Yardage Total
438 yards
Experience Rankings
Utah St
Unlv 465-438Projected Final Score
35 points Utah StUtah St Pts
4.04Computer Yards
18-39-188
Utah St Utah St By 4.3
Unlv By 0.5
+/- Ratings
1.65
Utah St Coaches
UNLV CoachesGame Grade
61.5 Points
Projected Passing UNLV K1.18
Utah St KLas Vegas Total
185 yards 283 yardsUtah St
Aggies Logs
Phil's Forecast:
Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line
UNLV is 3-12 s/’88 incl 3 str losses. In the L/mtg (‘14) UNLV lost 34-20. USU is 6-1 in LV incl a 28-24 win LTH (‘13). Last week Utah St led Wyoming by 7, but lost at home despite a 23-14 FD edge. UNLV led Air Force 27-0, but lost outright and fumbled into the EZ for a touchback on one drive. These two have one mutual opponent and Utah St outgained San Jose by 427 yards on the road and UNLV was +28 yds at home. I feel the Aggies are the stronger team and agree with my computer in calling for the upset.
UNLV ST's Unlv By 3.5
Projected Rushing16-29-266
22-38-267
17-29-298
UNLV Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)3.32
Utah St ST's Team & Margin
Utah St LeadersUNLV QB/WR
Utah St DB's0.57
Utah St DL1.73
UNLV OLUtah St LB'S
1.74
UNLV RB's
Utah St OL
UNLV DL
0.67
Utah St RB's
UNLV LB's
1.01
2.31
Utah St QB/WR
UNLV DB's
Utah St UNLVPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTM CONF
--PS RANK-- FOE
vs. MTWTEAM --PS RANK--1-2 1-2
TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
vs. MTW
OVERALL: OVERALL:
3-4 2-4 UNLV RebelsRebels Logs
Utah St Aggies
TM REC FOE REC
Howard Idaho St
Utah St UNLVat Idaho
at Wake Forest Bye
at Wisconsin 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
at Ohio St BYU Pass Off San Jose Stat San Jose St Rush Off
San Diego St Wyoming Score Off at Air Force Colorado St Total Off
at UNLV Sks Allowed Utah St Boise St Rush Def at Fresno Stat New Mexico Pass Def Hawaii Bye Total Def BYU Hawaii Score Def at New Mexicoat Air Force Sks By at Nevada
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Uta
h S
t A
gg
ies
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
UN
LV R
ebel
s
Net Offense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 121 9/2 17-24 L 82 93 66 51 35 31 0-0 0-0 114 9/2 52-24 W 77 87 440-1 0-0 106 9/9 45-0 W 91 85 66 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 121 9/9 21-57 L 69 87 44 34 34 1071-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 109 100 9/16 28-17 W 84 74 50 120 105 130 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 109 116 9/16 23-22 W 74 100 42 96 79 242-1 0-0 110 9/23 73 72 93 #45 #79 2-1 2-1 1-0 1-1 112 118 9/23 16-17 L 79 101 65 52 23 1192-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 110 100 9/30 28-43 L 71 70 92 62 88 46 #47 #45 2-2 1-3 1-0 0-1 113 98 9/30 34-16 W 81 95 65 122 91 862-2 3-0 0-1 0-0 105 115 10/7 31-29 W 79 76 108 62 37 53 #39 #61 3-2 2-2 1-0 0-1 113 97 10/7 22-23 L 66 86 71 107 96 1153-2 0-6 1-1 0-2 108 92 10/14 24-0 W 61 75 114 129 127 119 #64 #73 3-3 1-1 110 10/14 68 88 87
3-3 1-1 109 110 10/21 69 90 93 #37 #63 4-2 2-1 110 109 10/21 49 68 1144-2 2-1 100 10/28 97 85 128 #16 #77 1-5 1-1 91 10/28 118 106 1083-3 0-3 115 11/4 66 41 9 #46 #63 4-2 3-0 107 11/4 54 80 271-5 1-1 91 11/11 118 106 108 #19 #74 3-3 2-0 110 11/11 56 95 380-7 0-3 89 11/18 113 122 98 #23 #73 0-7 0-3 91 11/18 129 124 1065-1 2-0 112 11/25 77 34 40 #77 #68 3-2 0-2 109 11/25 73 50 39
#20 #690 -1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Kentucky 17-24 110 7 -2 19 38-55 1.4 22-40 309 2 12 35-78 2.2 11-20 176 1 Northwestern St 52-24 108 0 0 22 37-221 6.0 18-35 276 1 22 33-133 4.0 20-40 256 3 Southern 45-0 337 20 1 27 44-197 4.5 20-32 280 2 7 26-62 2.4 10-26 78 3 Miss St 21-57 -144 -1 -2 20 50-152 3.0 13-30 163 4 21 40-327 8.2 13-20 132 0at ULM 28-17 204 8 0 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 3 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 112 1 at WKU 23-22 51 -3 -1 20 30-122 4.1 22-39 306 1 23 41-151 3.7 25-35 226 4 Bye at South Carolina 16-17 -77 -6 1 17 28-80 2.9 23-33 281 1 23 42-143 3.4 22-35 295 3 North Texas 28-43 -125 -6 2 18 29-145 5.0 19-42 270 2 24 46-174 3.8 24-41 366 1 South Alabama 34-16 146 10 1 26 33-162 4.9 24-39 317 3 16 22-98 4.5 21-45 235 1at UTSA 31-29 -11 -9 -1 18 30-246 8.2 15-21 212 1 27 33-102 3.1 27-43 367 3 at UAB 22-23 -3 -1 0 21 34-154 4.5 17-29 209 2 22 36-178 4.9 21-32 188 1 UTEP 24-0 276 14 0 20 45-202 4.5 16-27 221 0 6 22-17 0.8 14-28 130 2 Byeat Louisiana Tech Southern Miss UAB at Riceat Tennessee North Texasat Rice Florida Atlantic Charlotte at UTEPat Marshall UTSA
Average 29-19 131.8 5.7 0.0 21 39-188 4.8 56.2% 257 5.2% 15 33-109 3.3 52.4% 205 5.9% Average 28-27 13.5 -0.2 -0.2 21 35-149 4.2 57.1% 259 5.9% 21 36-172 4.8 58.9% 222 5.8% Conference 28-24 46.7 -0.3 0.3 19 35-198 5.7 55.6% 234 3.3% 19 34-98 2.9 58.0% 288 5.4% Conference 23-23 24.0 -2.0 -0.5 21 32-138 4.3 57.4% 258 4.4% 23 39-165 4.3 68.7% 207 7.5% Away 30-23 96.5 -0.5 -0.5 21 39-265 6.8 60.4% 231 7.5% 21 35-160 4.6 54.3% 240 5.7% Home 36-32 36.7 3.0 -0.3 23 40-178 4.5 52.9% 252 7.7% 20 32-186 5.9 51.4% 208 3.8%
Kentucky Kwadra Griggs 15-26-222-2-0 Ito Smith 16-37-2.3-0 Korey Robertson 7-111-15.9-2 Northwestern St J'Mar Smith 18-35-276-2-0 Jarred Craft 16-86-5.4-2 Boston Scott 4-55-13.8-0 Southern Kwadra Griggs 15-23-209-2-0 T-Rod Daniels 10-83-8.3-1 Allenzae Staggers 5-62-12.4-1 Miss St J'Mar Smith 10-23-140-0-1 Boston Scott 13-96-7.4-0 Marcus Gaines 3-104-34.7-0at ULM Kwadra Griggs 17-32-250-3-1 Ito Smith 27-219-8.1-1 Allenzae Staggers 4-75-18.8-1 vs. at WKU J'Mar Smith 22-39-306-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-81-5.8-0 Rhashid Bonnette 3-140-46.7-1 Bye at South Carolina J'Mar Smith 23-33-281-1-1 Jarred Craft 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 10-110-11.0-1 North Texas Kwadra Griggs 19-42-270-1-0 Ito Smith 13-102-7.8-2 Allenzae Staggers 5-112-22.4-1 South Alabama J'Mar Smith 24-39-317-3-0 Boston Scott 6-76-12.7-1 Teddy Veal 5-88-17.6-1at UTSA Keon Howard 15-20-212-3-0 Ito Smith 17-178-10.5-1 Quez Watkins 5-78-15.6-1 vs. at UAB J'Mar Smith 17-29-209-2-0 Boston Scott 14-48-3.4-0 Teddy Veal 5-74-14.8-1 UTEP Keon Howard 16-27-221-1-2 Ito Smith 28-120-4.3-2 Jaylond Adams 2-104-52.0-1 Byeat Louisiana Tech Southern Miss UAB vs. at Riceat Tennessee North Texasat Rice Florida Atlantic Charlotte vs. at UTEPat Marshall UTSA
vs.
Kwadra Griggs 66-123-951-8-1 Ito Smith 118-733-6.2-7 Korey Robertson 28-388-13.9-5 J'Mar Smith 114-198-1529-9-3 Jarred Craft 79-359-4.5-2 Teddy Veal 35-405-11.6-3Keon Howard 43-70-591-4-2 T-Rod Daniels 16-88-5.5-1 Allenzae Staggers 20-278-13.9-3 vs. Westin Elliott 3-6-23-1-0 Boston Scott 58-321-5.5-1 Rhashid Bonnette 12-297-24.8-2Tez Parks 0-1-0-0-0 Kwadra Griggs 36-71-2.0-1 Quez Watkins 14-237-16.9-2 Team 0-1-0-0-0 J'Mar Smith 48-152-3.2-0 Marlon Watts 12-148-12.3-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 74 39 26 44-84
Louisiana Tech - -15 24 16 16-8 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 62 58 25 36-169
Louisiana Tech - -5.5 24 27 23--2 -62014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 55.5 20 22 26--31
Louisiana Tech - -9 31 23 26-30 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Southern Miss - 53.5 13 20 21-59
Louisiana Tech - -17 36 24 48-311 3
Comp-Att-Yds
22-37-158
25-52-298
Projected Yardage Total245 yards Southern Miss
Comp-Att-Yds
32-49-379
27-46-423
32-51-407
Comp-Att-Yds
108
Southern Miss24-37-386
Ret
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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
29-33-342
22-39-246
85 Southern Miss LA Tech
LA Tech by 8 Louisiana Tech 28 Southern Miss 20By 0.48 Points
Team Schedule Strength LA Tech Phil Steele116 Southern Miss LA Tech
120
4.02
LA Tech Pts3.55
Southern Miss Pts
25 pointsExperience Rankings
Projected Final Score
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Projected Rushing
25 points Southern Miss LA Tech
174 yards
419 yards Southern Miss
LA Tech
LA Tech
LA Tech
Projected Passing284 yards Southern Miss Coaches
Southern Miss K
LA Tech K
LA Tech Coaches
120 yards
404 yards
Golden Eagles Logs
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
LA Tech Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.22
Southern Miss ST's
Southern Miss Leaders
Southern Miss DB's
0.84
LA Tech QB/WR
LY LT had the CUSA Title gm on deck. After a 30 yd FR TD LT took its only lead of the gm, 14-10 early 2Q. SM went on to score 29 of the next 32 pts (LT gbg td w/:57 left), 39-24. LTH (de facto CUSA West Title), SM never trailed & held LT to -2 rush yds (162 yds below ssn avg, worst s/’99). SM took advantage of 7 LT TO’s, resulting in 31 pts incl a 26 yd IR TD, made it 51-17 w/13:56 left. LT is playing with some serious revenge and is off a bye and a loss with SMiss on their 2nd road trip in 3 weeks. LT is only +14 ypg vs my #106 schedule and SM is +132 ypg vs my #116 schedule. Keon Howard has taken over the QB spot for SMiss and Ito Smith is having a fine year with 733 (6.2). LT top RB Jarred Craft had 359 (4.5) and J'mar Smith is hitting 58% with a 9-3 ratio. LT is 16-3 at home the last 4 years and Jay Hopson is 4-4 on the road with this being a win situation.
LA Tech ST's
Game GradeS Miss By 1.1
1.60
S Miss 419-404
La Tech By 5.0
LA Tech 25-25Computer Points
Phil's Forecast:
Computer Yards
Team & Margin
1.09Las Vegas Total
Las Vegas LineLa Tech By 2.5
55.5 Points
+/- Ratings
Southern Miss LB'S
0.50
LA Tech RB's
0.31
Southern Miss DL
LA Tech OL
0.73
Southern Miss OL
LA Tech DL
1.04
Southern Miss RB's
LA Tech LB's
Passing
1.23
Southern Miss QB/WR
LA Tech DB's
Southern Miss LA Tech
1-1
Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
FOE +/-
ReceivingRushing
FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--2-1
vs. CUSA vs. CUSAAPAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/-
Bulldogs Logs
TM REC FOE REC
OVERALL: OVERALL: LA Tech Bulldogs4-2 3-3
TM REC FOE REC
Kentucky 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Northwestern St Southern
Southern Miss LA Tech Miss St
at ULM at WKU Bye Rush Off at South Carolina North Texas Pass Off South Alabamaat UTSA Total Off at UAB UTEP Score Off Byeat Louisiana Tech Sks Allowed Southern Miss UAB Rush Def at Riceat Tennessee Pass Def North Texasat Rice Total Def Florida Atlantic Charlotte Score Def at UTEPat Marshall Sks By UTSA
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Sou
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iss
Gol
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LA T
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Net Offense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 123 9/2 77-21 W 8 42 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 119 9/3 45-44 W 17 25 85 31 21 61-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 128 115 9/9 42-35 W 1 37 19 50 32 42 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 101 9/9 56-23 W 25 22 85 71 115 1162-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 127 107 9/16 49-13 W 1 34 19 114 102 123 2-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 25 9/16 45-48 L 20 27 81 33 73 73-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 130 113 24 9/23 35-37 L 3 32 59 60 61 106 #18 #103 2-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 121 129 9/23 34-58 L 17 31 71 10 31 113-1 3-1 0-1 0-1 126 119 9/30 45-24 W 5 25 59 83 46 83 #68 #2 2-2 3-1 0-1 0-1 118 116 9/30 27-23 W 14 37 82 57 53 534-1 5-0 1-1 2-0 128 127 11 10/7 10-38 L 6 19 50 27 38 61 #24 #8 3-2 1-1 118 10/7 13 41 744-2 4-2 1-2 3-1 123 132 23 10/14 7-49 L 8 17 43 5 32 6 #22 #17 3-2 4-1 1-1 1-1 118 119 10/14 30-47 L 14 40 76 15 72 92
3-3 1-2 119 116 10/21 15 58 86 #51 #83 4-3 1-3 116 119 10/21 14 20 684-2 1-2 125 10/28 43 29 12 #22 #129 6-1 3-1 136 10/28 28 6 626-1 3-1 136 11/4 28 6 62 #100 #56 4-2 1-2 125 11/3 43 29 12
11/11 #44 #127 2-4 1-2 123 11/11 58 56 1075-1 2-1 121 11/18 9 67 102 #89 #125 6-1 4-1 130 11/18 12 7 301-6 0-4 106 11/25 81 102 84 #3 #100 4-3 1-3 121 11/24 115 40 87
#27 #810 -10
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Southern Utah 77-21 338 12 0 37 52-348 6.7 23-27 355 1 25 38-99 2.6 25-48 266 5 Texas A&M 45-44 83 6 -3 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 Nebraska 42-35 205 3 2 22 44-201 4.6 25-33 365 0 19 29-109 3.8 19-41 252 3 Hawaii 56-23 -19 0 1 25 26-132 5.1 24-29 373 3 25 42-281 6.7 24-39 243 1at Wyoming 49-13 375 22 -1 32 65-307 4.7 18-30 251 2 10 32-117 3.7 10-25 66 2 at Memphis 45-48 73 5 0 31 35-170 4.9 34-56 463 1 26 37-162 4.4 23-39 398 2at Arizona St 35-37 -88 -3 0 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 at Stanford 34-58 42 4 -3 27 15-115 7.7 40-60 480 1 23 45-405 9.0 16-24 148 0 California 45-24 196 7 1 24 56-328 5.9 17-22 131 0 17 29-8 0.3 23-43 255 7 Colorado 27-23 33 1 -1 25 35-95 2.7 28-45 372 1 24 38-191 5.0 17-38 243 0 Washington St 10-33 -92 -7 -1 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 Byeat Stanford 7-49 -195 -13 -1 12 43-276 6.4 5-13 33 2 25 41-248 6.0 21-28 256 0 at Arizona 30-47 -196 1 -4 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0at UCLA Oregon Utah at Washingtonat Washington at Utah Bye Arizona St Arizona at USC Oregon St California
Average 38-30 105.6 3.0 0.0 23 48-245 5.1 65.2% 223 5.9% 20 35-116 3.3 54.9% 246 9.4% Average 40-41 2.7 2.8 -1.7 28 29-128 4.4 64.0% 400 4.9% 25 48-313 6.6 53.6% 212 4.9% Conference 24-36 -44.8 -4.0 -0.3 17 44-214 4.9 57.7% 148 8.2% 21 37-121 3.3 60.5% 285 9.9% Conference 30-43 -40.3 2.0 -2.7 27 29-133 4.5 63.3% 357 5.0% 25 48-351 7.3 56.0% 180 0.0% Away 30-33 30.7 2.0 -0.7 21 46-234 5.1 53.8% 188 7.7% 19 42-169 4.0 59.8% 223 6.5% Home 43-30 32.3 2.3 -1.0 26 29-97 3.4 65.4% 412 5.3% 24 48-285 6.0 46.7% 192 6.5%
Southern Utah Justin Herbert 17-21-281-1-0 Royce Freeman 23-150-6.5-4 Charles Nelson 5-99-19.8-0 Texas A&M Josh Rosen 35-59-491-4-0 Soso Jamabo 7-46-6.6-1 Caleb Wilson 15-203-13.5-0 Nebraska Justin Herbert 25-33-365-3-1 Royce Freeman 29-153-5.3-2 Charles Nelson 8-117-14.6-1 Hawaii Josh Rosen 22-25-329-5-0 Nate Starks 7-42-6.0-0 Theo Howard 7-110-15.7-1at Wyoming Justin Herbert 18-29-251-1-1 Royce Freeman 30-157-5.2-3 Dillon Mitchell 6-65-10.8-0 vs. at Memphis Josh Rosen 34-56-463-4-2 Bolu Olorunfunmi 13-77-5.9-0 Darren Andrews 10-175-17.5-1at Arizona St Justin Herbert 19-35-281-3-0 Royce Freeman 15-81-5.4-1 Jacob Breeland 4-95-23.8-0 at Stanford Josh Rosen 40-60-480-3-2 Soso Jamabo 12-100-8.3-1 Jordan Lasley 11-158-14.4-1 California Justin Herbert 7-8-86-1-0 Kani Benoit 18-138-7.7-2 Brenden Schooler 1-37-37.0-1 Colorado Josh Rosen 28-45-372-1-10 Soso Jamabo 21-70-3.3-1 Jordan Lasley 7-146-20.9-0 Washington St Braxton Burmeister 15-27-145-1-2 Royce Freeman 12-62-5.2-0 Brenden Schooler 5-61-12.2-0 vs. Byeat Stanford Braxton Burmeister 3-8-23-0-2 Royce Freeman 18-143-7.9-0 Brenden Schooler 2-15-7.5-0 at Arizona Josh Rosen 20-34-219-0-3 Bolu Olorunfunmi 10-102-10.2-2 Jordan Lasley 6-77-12.8-0at UCLA Oregon Utah vs. at Washingtonat Washington at Utah Bye Arizona St Arizona vs. at USC Oregon St California
vs.
Justin Herbert 86-126-1264-9-2 Royce Freeman 133-797-6.0-10 Charles Nelson 15-243-16.2-1 Josh Rosen 179-279-2354-17-17 Soso Jamabo 48-249-5.2-4 Darren Andrews 44-595-13.5-7Braxton Burmeister 19-36-172-1-4 Kani Benoit 51-361-7.1-8 Johnny Johnson III 17-228-13.4-1 vs. Caleb Wilson 1-1-39-0-0 Bolu Olorunfunmi 40-240-6.0-3 Jordan Lasley 32-543-17.0-3Taylor Alie 17-25-125-0-1 Tony Brooks-James 52-212-4.1-1 Dillon Mitchell 19-220-11.6-2 Devon Modster 1-3-5-0-0 Jalen Starks 26-107-4.1-4 Caleb Wilson 38-485-12.8-1
Category
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oregon 12 -2.5 42 26 41-258
UCLA 18 71 30 31 54-328 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oregon 2 -24 42 30 53-325
UCLA 12 73 14 15 52-219 0
vs.
vs.
43
UCLA38 points Oregon 39 pointsExperience Rankings
21 Oregon UCLATeam Schedule Strength
63 Oregon UCLA 20
Oregon Ducks
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Oregon Leaders
113 yardsProjected Rushing
UCLA 38 Oregon 31By 3.24 Points
Oregon
UCLA 39-38Computer Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Phil SteeleUCLA by 7
UCLA
171 yards
Oregon By 2.0
13-19-64
Projected Final Score5.46
Computer YardsOregon Pts
2.23
UCLA Pts
459 yards Oregon UCLA Coaches
OregonProjected Yardage Total
UCLA 356 yards
UCLA
Oregon Coaches
469 yards
+/- RatingsUCLA K
Game Grade1.15
0.39
Oregon KLas Vegas Total
Phil's Forecast:
UCLA Leaders
0.11
0.43
Oregon LB'S
Las Vegas Line
These two have not met since 2014, but Oregon has won 6 in a row in the series winning by 21 ppg. Oregon was cruising along, but lost QB Justin Herbert and has lost the last two by a combined 82-17. UCLA’s rush defense has been shockingly bad as they are allowing 313 ypg rush and 6.6 ypc! UCLA has taken on my #20 schedule and is +3 ypg, but -10 in TO’s with Josh Rosen having a 17-17 ratio. Oregon’s D is holding foes to 31 ypg below their season average and UCLA’s D is allowing 74 above. Tough to back either squad here and with my computer perhaps not quite adjusted to Oregon without Herbert, I will call it right where Vegas has it.
UCLA ST's UCLA By 6.5
67.5 Points
Oregon ST's Team & Margin
UCLA By 1.0
UCLA 469-459
21-28-230
Comp-Att-Yds 288 yards OregonProjected Passing
Ret
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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
17-27-210
27-38-225
UCLA RB'sOregon DB's
0.98
UCLA QB/WR
0.09
UCLA DB's
0.50
Oregon DL
UCLA OL
2.24
Oregon OL
UCLA DL
Oregon UCLAPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
1.80
Oregon RB's
UCLA LB's
Oregon QB/WR
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
Defense
Score Score
Passing ReceivingRushing
AP TEAM
NebraskaOregon UCLA
Hawaiiat Wyoming at Memphis
FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--1-3 1-2
TM REC FOE REC
vs. PAC 12Ducks LogsTM
CONF--PS RANK-- FOE
TM REC FOE REC
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
vs. PAC 12 Bruins Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: UCLA Bruins4-3 3-3
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Texas A&M Southern Utah
APTM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Rush Off at Stanford California Pass Off Coloradoat Arizona St
Total Off Byeat Stanford Score Off at Arizona Washington St
at UCLA Sks Allowed Oregon Utah Rush Def at Washingtonat Washington Pass Def at Utah Bye Total Def Arizona St Arizona Score Def at USC Oregon St Sks By California
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Ore
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Du
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LEA
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M A
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UC
LA B
ruin
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Net Offense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 113 9/2 62-24 W 40 106 97 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 119 9/2 35-30 W 80 69 61 71 34 631-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 19-16 W 22 102 97 43 54 71 1-0 0-0 117 9/9 33-20 W 74 60 612-0 0-2 0-0 0-1 115 91 9/15 63-16 W 23 92 76 127 128 107 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 116 117 9/16 27-16 W 68 63 61 19 47 53-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 119 121 23 9/22 24-30 L 16 80 77 48 18 8 #4 #123 3-0 3-0 0-0 1-0 119 134 5 9/23 20-30 L 75 53 78 10 10 373-1 0-1 117 9/30 19 69 100 #113 #54 3-1 3-1 0-1 0-1 119 126 9/30 24-45 L 83 46 83 5 25 593-1 3-2 0-1 0-2 117 116 10/7 45-42 W 18 70 105 59 48 44 #10 #109 3-2 5-0 0-2 2-0 117 140 6 10/7 7-38 L 98 56 88 16 15 664-1 3-2 1-1 1-1 119 118 10/14 47-30 W 15 72 92 14 40 76 #7 #82 3-3 6-0 0-3 3-0 116 132 8 10/13 37-3 W 111 52 96 31 31 52
4-3 1-3 121 121 10/21 115 40 87 #7 #128 5-1 2-1 121 121 10/21 9 67 1026-1 3-1 127 10/28 36 27 70 #66 #65 4-3 1-3 114 10/28 47 71 476-1 4-1 130 11/4 12 7 30 #103 #115 1-6 0-4 106 11/4 81 102 841-6 0-4 106 11/11 81 102 84 #87 #97 11/114-3 1-3 119 11/18 14 20 68 #74 #67 5-2 4-1 132 11/18 5 32 62-4 1-2 123 11/25 58 56 107 #42 #10 3-3 1-2 116 11/24 15 58 86
#29 #104+4 +6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Northern Arizona 62-24 33 -6 3 23 47-506 10.8 7-14 89 0 29 42-185 4.4 27-50 377 2 at North Carolina 35-30 29 -8 1 20 35-106 3.0 24-38 363 1 28 45-219 4.9 25-44 221 2 Houston 16-19 -12 3 0 21 39-152 3.9 22-37 219 1 18 37-158 4.3 25-32 225 0 Weber St 33-20 -140 -5 2 19 34-231 6.8 20-28 200 3 24 38-140 3.7 25-45 431 2at UTEP 63-16 283 17 1 29 65-326 5.0 20-23 175 1 12 14-17 1.2 18-39 201 2 Mississippi 27-16 -17 6 1 25 40-163 4.1 24-48 236 1 19 29-53 1.8 26-44 363 5 Utah 24-30 107 3 -3 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 USC 20-30 60 -1 -4 21 33-113 3.4 22-52 303 3 22 38-133 3.5 26-38 223 1 Bye at Oregon 24-45 -196 -7 -1 17 29-8 0.3 23-43 255 7 24 56-328 5.9 17-22 131 0at Colorado 45-42 16 -4 -1 25 43-425 9.9 11-13 142 0 29 58-300 5.2 19-32 251 4 at Washington 7-38 -284 -13 0 9 26--40 -1.5 16-26 133 8 22 38-162 4.3 27-42 215 1 UCLA 47-30 196 -1 4 27 61-457 7.5 9-13 148 0 28 38-190 5.0 20-34 219 5 Washington St 37-3 28 2 7 18 32-106 3.3 21-38 259 2 16 26-23 0.9 32-48 314 9at California Arizona Washington St at Coloradoat USC Oregon St Oregon St Byeat Oregon at Stanfordat Arizona St at UCLA
Average 43-27 103.8 2.0 0.7 25 50-344 7.0 65.5% 170 2.8% 23 38-160 4.2 58.6% 250 7.0% Average 26-26 -74.3 -3.7 0.9 18 33-98 3.0 54.9% 250 9.2% 22 39-151 3.9 62.9% 271 7.1% Conference 39-34 106.3 -0.7 0.0 25 49-361 7.4 64.7% 179 2.9% 26 45-201 4.5 59.6% 233 11.7% Conference 22-29 -98.0 -4.8 0.5 16 30-47 1.6 51.6% 238 12.6% 21 40-162 4.1 68.0% 221 7.3% Away 54-29 149.5 6.5 0.0 27 54-376 7.0 86.1% 159 2.8% 21 36-159 4.4 52.1% 226 8.5% Home 29-17 -17.3 0.5 1.5 21 35-153 4.4 52.4% 250 5.4% 20 33-87 2.7 62.3% 333 9.7%
Northern Arizona Brandon Dawkins 7-13-89-1-0 Brandon Dawkins 7-92-13.1-2 Tony Ellison 5-79-15.8-1 at North Carolina Ross Bowers 24-38-363-4-2 Tre Watson 11-52-4.7-0 Vic Wharton III 5-156-31.2-1 Houston Brandon Dawkins 17-29-178-0-0 JJ Taylor 17-87-5.1-0 Shun Brown 4-79-19.8-0 Weber St Ross Bowers 20-28-200-0-0 Patrick Laird 12-191-15.9-3 Demetris Robertson 4-58-14.5-0at UTEP Brandon Dawkins 18-21-155-3-0 Brandon Dawkins 14-133-9.5-3 Tyrell Johnson 4-45-11.3-0 vs. Mississippi Ross Bowers 24-47-236-1-2 Patrick Laird 22-78-3.5-1 Kanawai Noa 6-81-13.5-0 Utah Brandon Dawkins 24-42-248-1-3 Brandon Dawkins 18-90-5.0-1 Tony Ellison 6-78-13.0-1 USC Ross Bowers 22-50-303-1-4 Patrick Laird 15-82-5.5-0 Kanawai Noa 6-110-18.3-0 Bye at Oregon Ross Bowers 23-41-255-3-0 Patrick Laird 11-28-2.5-0 Kanawai Noa 7-126-18.0-1at Colorado Khalil Tate 11-12-142-1-0 Khalil Tate 14-327-23.4-4 Tony Ellison 1-60-60.0-0 vs. at Washington Ross Bowers 11-18-80-0-0 Derrick Clark 5-19-3.8-0 Gavin Reinwald 2-37-18.5-0 UCLA Khalil Tate 9-13-148-1-0 Khalil Tate 15-230-15.3-2 Shun Brown 3-61-20.3-0 Washington St Ross Bowers 21-38-259-1-0 Vic Enwere 22-102-4.6-1 Kanawai Noa 6-95-15.8-0at California Arizona Washington St vs. at Coloradoat USC Oregon St Oregon St Byeat Oregon vs. at Stanfordat Arizona St at UCLA
vs.
Brandon Dawkins 66-106-670-5-3 Khalil Tate 39-643-16.5-6 Tony Ellison 17-301-17.7-2 Ross Bowers 145-260-1696-10-8 Patrick Laird 65-400-6.2-4 Kanawai Noa 30-468-15.6-1Khalil Tate 25-34-331-2-1 Brandon Dawkins 56-358-6.4-6 Shun Brown 20-267-13.4-2 vs. Chase Forrest 5-10-53-0-0 Vic Enwere 72-273-3.8-3 Vic Wharton III 31-456-14.7-3Rhett Rodriguez 1-1-10.1-0-0 Nick Wilson 67-348-5.2-3 Tyrell Johnson 11-142-12.9-0 Vic Wharton III 0-1-0.1-0-0 Tre Watson 17-83-4.9-0 Jordan Veasy 18-226-12.6-3
Category
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - -8 49 36 32-107
California - 69.5 45 24 42-193 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Arizona - -16 33 26 51-187
California - 68 28 24 26-130 -2
vs.
vs.
Arizona by 3 Arizona 34 California 31By 6.73 Points
Phil Steele90 Arizona California 8
2.00
Arizona California 407 yards
272 yards
Ret
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Projected Box Score
Team Schedule Strength Arizona
425 yards
145 yards CaliforniaArizonaProjected Yardage Total
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Arizona Leaders
Comp-Att-Yds
AP
34-56-289
Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds 280 yards Arizona 136 yards
Projected Passing
31 pointsProjected Final Score
7.80
Arizona Pts1.07
Experience Rankings California PtsArizona
42
California
110
30 points
Arizona California
California Coaches
Arizona 425-407
+/- Ratings
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Arizona 31-30
California By 3.5
Arizona By 1.8Game Grade
--PS RANK--
Arizona WildcatsWildcats Logs
Phil's Forecast:
These two last met in 2014 and while Arizona has won the last 3, they have been by a total of 10 points. Both teams are off big wins. Since Arizona QB Brandon Dawkins was injured, Khalil Tate has ignited their offense with 557 rush yards in two weeks. Arizona is 4-2 and the losses have been by 3 to Houston and by 6 to Utah in a game they were +107 yards. Cal just upset Wash St at home and did not do it with mirrors as they rolled 37-3. While Arizona is +104 ypg vs my #90 schedule, Cal has faced the much tougher schedule (#8) and is -74 ypg. My computer rates this a toss up and I will say I feel Arizona looks like the stronger team so I will call for them to grab the road win.
California ST's
59 PointsCalifornia K
0.63Las Vegas Total
Team & Margin
Computer Yards
Arizona Coaches
Arizona K
24-38-261
18-30-380
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
California
47-74-520
California Leaders
0.12
Arizona ST's
Arizona DB's0.22
California QB/WR
Las Vegas LineArizona By 3
1.99
Arizona LB'S
California RB's
Arizona DL0.22
California OL
1.92
Arizona OL
California DL
1.70
Arizona RB's
California LB's
0.07
Arizona QB/WR
California DB's
Arizona CaliforniaRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving
FOE
FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 2-1 1-3
TM REC FOE REC
--PS RANK--AP TEAM
FOE
vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12 Golden Bears LogsTM
CONFFOE
CONF
OVERALL: OVERALL: California Golden Bears5-1 4-3
TM REC FOE REC
2017 TEAM RANKINGS at North Carolina Northern Arizona
TM +/- FOE +/-
TEAM
HoustonArizona California
Weber Stat UTEP Mississippi
Rush Off USC Bye Pass Off at Oregon Utah
Total Off at Washington UCLA Score Off Washington Stat Colorado
Sks Allowed Arizona Washington St Rush Def at Coloradoat California
Pass Def Oregon St Oregon St Total Def Byeat USC
Ypg Diff
Score Def at Stanfordat Arizona St Sks By at UCLAat Oregon
Cal
ifor
nia
Gol
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Bea
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Total TO's
Net OffenseNet Offense Defense
Ari
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/2 24-21 W 88 107 99 105 128 59 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 99 8/31 17-7 W 85 57 4 123 110 1251-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 104 121 9/9 20-7 W 96 93 99 78 74 2 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 108 9/9 48-14 W 86 46 4 66 95 1122-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 109 121 22 9/15 23-47 L 102 65 68 44 37 86 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 124 103 9/16 34-3 W 82 38 10 101 78 412-1 0-0 107 9/23 104 77 84 #110 #61 3-0 0-0 125 9/23 80 36 52-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 107 113 9/29 6-28 L 112 78 74 79 39 30 #89 #106 3-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 9/30 24-31 L 74 32 6 43 49 502-2 3-2 0-1 0-2 104 121 10/7 16-45 L 115 83 91 77 32 18 #118 #108 3-1 2-2 0-1 0-1 120 119 10/7 17-31 L 87 39 7 84 59 1062-3 1-4 0-2 0-2 103 104 10/14 24-35 L 113 84 54 98 67 49 #120 #75 3-2 4-1 0-2 2-0 118 124 21 10/14 27-30 L 99 42 25 39 18 121
3-3 0-3 100 118 10/21 105 49 24 #90 #3 2-4 0-3 118 100 10/21 111 91 596-0 3-0 134 10/28 20 10 66 #102 #44 4-2 1-2 122 10/28 79 37 203-3 1-2 123 11/4 86 65 81 #70 #25 5-1 2-1 127 11/4 41 2 223-3 0-3 119 11/11 92 44 26 #95 #26 3-4 2-2 112 11/11 59 60 466-1 4-0 144 11/18 2 5 52 #91 #25 3-3 1-2 124 11/18 46 31 603-3 1-2 124 11/25 46 31 60 #68 #100 6-0 3-0 134 11/25 20 10 66
#113 #60-2 +5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Ball St 24-21 -159 -7 1 14 30-71 2.4 10-19 145 4 21 51-171 3.4 21-34 204 3 Buffalo 17-7 146 8 0 21 51-169 3.3 19-32 239 0 13 22-51 2.3 22-42 211 1 WKU 20-7 56 5 1 19 50-193 3.9 14-25 107 1 14 16-6 0.4 28-43 238 2 at Oregon St 48-14 186 7 2 21 58-253 4.4 7-8 158 0 14 26-80 3.1 17-29 145 3at USF 23-47 -326 -23 -2 15 15-67 4.5 20-40 287 2 38 66-376 5.7 17-32 304 3 Middle Tennessee 34-3 113 7 2 18 47-221 4.7 11-18 122 1 11 15-46 3.1 25-42 184 1 Bye Bye Nebraska 6-28 -212 -8 0 15 37-93 2.5 10-16 106 5 23 38-165 4.3 17-24 246 2 Maryland 24-31 -107 -5 -2 18 31-80 2.6 13-26 229 0 23 47-262 5.6 18-28 154 0at Iowa 16-45 5 0 -2 20 30-200 6.7 22-45 246 1 20 38-191 5.0 18-34 250 1 at Purdue 17-31 -111 -6 2 16 47-227 4.8 11-25 101 0 22 29-132 4.6 25-36 307 4 Rutgers 24-35 18 1 0 18 29-86 3.0 20-38 308 2 17 47-274 5.8 6-12 102 1 Michigan St 27-30 -75 -5 1 14 27-74 2.7 16-32 216 2 19 50-245 4.9 9-18 120 0at Minnesota Illinois Wisconsin at Iowaat Purdue at Michigan Indiana Nebraskaat Ohio St at Northwestern Northwestern Wisconsin
Average 19-31 -103.0 -5.3 -0.3 17 32-118 3.7 52.5% 200 8.2% 22 43-197 4.6 59.8% 224 6.7% Average 28-19 25.3 1.0 0.8 18 44-171 3.9 54.6% 178 2.1% 17 32-136 4.3 59.5% 187 4.6% Conference 15-36 -63.0 -2.3 -0.7 18 32-126 3.9 52.5% 220 8.1% 20 41-210 5.1 58.6% 199 5.7% Conference 23-31 -97.7 -5.3 0.3 16 35-127 3.6 48.2% 182 2.4% 21 42-213 5.1 63.4% 194 4.9% Away 20-46 -160.5 -11.5 -2.0 18 23-134 5.9 49.4% 267 3.5% 29 52-284 5.5 53.0% 277 6.1% Home 26-18 19.3 1.3 0.3 18 39-136 3.5 54.6% 202 2.8% 17 34-151 4.5 56.9% 167 1.5%
Ball St Chayce Crouch 10-19-145-1-1 Mike Epstein 11-54-4.9-2 Malik Turner 4-48-12.0-0 Buffalo Conor Rhoda 12-21-176-1-1 Rodney Smith 23-76-3.3-0 Tyler Johnson 6-141-23.5-1 WKU Chayce Crouch 14-25-107-0-1 Mike Epstein 21-111-5.3-0 Mike Dudek 6-46-7.7-0 at Oregon St Conor Rhoda 7-8-158-1-0 Rodney Smith 30-92-3.1-1 Tyler Johnson 4-127-31.8-1at USF Jeff George Jr 12-22-211-1-2 Mike Epstein 8-56-7.0-1 Ricky Smalling 3-99-33.0-0 vs. Middle Tennessee Conor Rhoda 11-18-122-0-0 Rodney Smith 16-107-6.7-0 Nate Wozniak 2-52-26.0-0 Bye Bye Nebraska Chayce Crouch 9-15-99-0-1 Mike Epstein 10-42-4.2-0 Mike Dudek 2-37-18.5-0 Maryland Conor Rhoda 13-26-229-1-2 Shannon Brooks 12-39-3.3-1 Tyler Johnson 3-69-23.0-0at Iowa Jeff George Jr 22-45-246-0-3 Mike Epstein 7-83-11.9-0 Louis Dorsey 3-75-25.0-0 vs. at Purdue Conor Rhoda 11-25-101-2-1 Shannon Brooks 18-116-6.4-0 Rashad Still 1-32-32.0-0 Rutgers Jeff George Jr 20-38-308-2-2 RaVon Bonner 19-62-3.3-1 Ricky Smalling 5-111-22.2-1 Michigan St Demry Croft 11-20-163-3-1 Rodney Smith 11-44-4.0-0 Tyler Johnson 8-106-13.3-3at Minnesota Illinois Wisconsin vs. at Iowaat Purdue at Michigan Indiana Nebraskaat Ohio St vs. at Northwestern Northwestern Wisconsin
vs.
Jeff George Jr 54-105-765-3-7 Mike Epstein 57-346-6.1-3 Ricky Smalling 14-272-19.4-1 Conor Rhoda 59-110-839-5-4 Rodney Smith 119-442-3.7-2 Tyler Johnson 25-472-18.9-6Chayce Crouch 41-77-427-1-4 RaVon Bonner 49-145-3.0-3 Mike Dudek 21-229-10.9-1 vs. Demry Croft 18-31-226-3-1 Shannon Brooks 71-322-4.5-5 Nate Wozniak 6-94-15.7-0Trenard Davis 1-1-7-0-0 Chayce Crouch 46-93-2.0-1 Louis Dorsey 11-189-17.2-1 Demry Croft 14-127-9.1-1 Brandon Lingen 9-84-9.3-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Illinois - 46.5 17 17 34-89
Minnesota - -8.5 40 15 48-171 32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Illinois - 47 23 28 35-154
Minnesota - -5 32 16 32-255 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Illinois - 55.5 28 16 41-123
Minnesota - -4 24 19 41-171 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Illinois - 45.5 3 13 35-101
Minnesota - -3 17 18 50-231 2
Illinois Fighting Illini
FOE
9-15-78
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Comp-Att-Yds
15-25-175
Minnesota by 21 Best Bet: ★ Minnesota 34 Illinois 13By 2.56 Points
Phil Steele
116 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength
71 Illinois Minnesota 60Minnesota
Ret
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Projected Box Score
MinnesotaProjected Rushing
124 Illinois Minnesota
0.10
Illinois ST'sComp-Att-Yds
208 yards
Illinois143 yards15-26-88
34-48-279
Minnesota Pts
at Minnesota
at Purdue
at Ohio St
13 points Illinois 33 pointsMinnesotaProjected Final Score
Experience RankingsMinnesota 394-2373.46
Computer Yards
Computer PointsMinnesota 33-13
Illinois 394 yardsMinnesota
0.90
Illinois Pts15-23-140
Comp-Att-Yds Game Grade
237 yards Minnesota Coaches
0.80Minnesota 186 yards Illinois Coaches
Minnesota Leaders
Phil's Forecast:
Minnesota has won the last 2 in the series by 9 & 23 pts, but the Golden Gophers only outg’d the Illini by 38 yds (-2 FD), but took advantage of 3 TO’s that resulted in 17 pts. UM only led 21-14 into the 4Q, but won 40-17. I had projected Demery Croft as the starting QB at Minnesota and he had 3 TD passes after taking over in the 2H last week. The Gophers offense is at their best when they can run the ball and Illinois is allowing 210 ypg rush and 5.1 ypc in Big Ten play despite not playing any of the ranked teams. Jeff George Jr is hitting 51% with a 3-7 ratio and the Illini’s top rusher Mike Epstein was OFY vs Iowa. They have faced equal schedules, but Minny is +25 ypg and Illinois is -103.
94 yards IllinoisProjected Passing Minnesota K
Minnesota ST's
Minnesota By 21.3Projected Yardage Total
46.5 Points
Team & Margin
0.21Las Vegas Total
Las Vegas LineMinnesota By 13.5
+/- RatingsMinnesota By 21.8
0.46
12-30-240
Illinois LeadersIllinois DB's
Minnesota QB/WR
16-34-156
10-19-112
Comp-Att-Yds
Illinois K
Illinois LB'S0.32
Minnesota RB's
Illinois DL0.84
Minnesota OL
Illinois OL0.19
Minnesota DL
Illinois RB's1.13
Minnesota LB's
Illinois QB/WR0.30
Minnesota DB's
Receiving
Illinois MinnesotaRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders PassingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Minnesota
Nebraska Pass Off
Defense
Score Score
AP TEAM
FOETM REC FOE
REC
WKUIllinois
FOE--PS RANK--
vs. BIG 10
TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS
0-3 0-3Fighting Illini Logs
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-TEAM --PS RANK--AP
Golden Gophers Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: Minnesota Golden Gophers2-4 3-3vs. BIG 10
FOE REC
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Buffaloat Oregon St
at USF Middle Tennessee
Ball St
Rush Off Bye Maryland
Bye
Total Off at Purdue Rutgers Score Off Michigan Stat Iowa
Sks Allowed Illinois Wisconsin Rush Def at Iowa
Pass Def at Michigan Indiana Total Def Nebraska
Score Def at Northwestern Northwestern Sks By Wisconsin
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Illin
ois
Fig
hti
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Illi
ni
LEA
DER
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TEA
M A
VER
AG
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Min
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ota
Gol
den
Gop
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s
Net Offense
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 123 25 9/2 42-41 W 45 23 5 57 56 105 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 111-0 0-0 122 25 9/9 42-7 W 39 39 5 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 103 1 9/9 41-10 W 9 1 24 88 103 392-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 126 23 24 9/16 20-26 L 38 43 1 63 21 4 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-0 142 119 1 9/16 41-23 W 4 1 28 61 93 292-1 0-4 0-1 0-0 123 101 9/23 17-13 W 38 44 2 104 105 126 #97 #7 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 124 1 9/23 59-0 W 1 1 17 62 20 1183-1 4-0 0-1 1-0 119 131 7 9/30 0-41 L 37 43 3 16 4 41 #99 #102 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 145 114 1 9/30 66-3 W 1 1 24 25 38 263-2 0-2 115 10/7 52 50 5 #117 #15 5-0 4-1 2-0 2-0 149 120 1 10/7 27-12 W 1 1 11 22 17 43-2 4-2 0-2 2-2 115 121 10/14 9-15 L 59 47 10 62 25 78 #108 #9 6-0 2-3 3-0 0-2 146 111 1 10/14 41-9 W 1 1 23 32 55 116
7-0 4-0 115 145 1 10/21 1 1 21 #63 #28 3-3 0-3 145 115 1 10/21 66 41 95-1 2-1 117 10/28 78 39 11 #123 #1 10/284-2 2-1 109 11/4 49 68 114 #2 #26 5-2 2-1 127 11/4 30 12 491-5 0-4 108 11/11 27 97 37 #52 #4 4-2 1-2 121 11/11 24 33 295-2 2-1 127 11/18 30 12 49 #53 #2 11/183-4 0-4 111 11/25 96 54 120 #53 #20 5-2 3-1 130 11/25 19 9 28
#98 #3-4 +11
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Georgia Tech 42-41 -286 -15 2 18 22-148 6.7 20-37 221 0 33 86-535 6.2 5-10 120 0 † Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 Indiana St 42-7 180 11 -2 24 37-160 4.3 17-30 235 1 13 38-122 3.2 9-19 93 1 Fresno St 41-10 223 10 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 18 22-58 2.6 26-41 216 1at Florida 20-26 62 9 0 23 33-183 5.5 21-39 259 1 14 29-168 5.8 18-28 212 2 Colorado St 41-23 96 1 2 23 39-239 6.1 13-21 248 0 22 40-144 3.6 21-38 247 0 UMass 17-13 38 4 -1 18 39-135 3.5 19-32 184 0 14 37-144 3.9 13-22 137 7 at Vanderbilt 59-0 599 35 2 38 66-496 7.5 17-27 181 1 3 16-40 2.5 7-22 38 0 Georgia 0-41 -236 -13 -3 7 29-62 2.1 11-23 80 3 20 55-294 5.3 7-17 84 2 Mississippi 66-3 360 15 2 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 Bye at Texas A&M 27-19 47 0 2 16 44-232 5.3 13-22 123 3 16 40-71 1.8 19-29 237 4 South Carolina 9-15 -70 -3 0 16 39-120 3.1 11-19 133 7 19 40-194 4.9 15-24 129 1 Arkansas 41-9 269 8 -1 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5at Alabama Tennesseeat Kentucky Bye Southern Miss LSUat Missouri at Miss St LSU Mercer Vanderbilt at Auburn
Average 22-24 -52.0 -1.2 -0.7 18 33-135 4.1 55.0% 185 6.7% 19 48-243 5.1 55.8% 129 10.8% Average 43-10 230.4 9.6 1.6 24 46-303 6.5 63.1% 182 5.6% 14 29-67 2.3 54.9% 188 7.7% Conference 10-27 -81.3 -2.3 -1.0 15 34-122 3.6 53.1% 157 13.6% 18 41-219 5.3 58.0% 142 7.2% Conference 48-8 318.8 14.5 1.3 26 51-350 6.9 61.7% 185 6.4% 11 28-57 2.0 51.2% 160 11.4% Away 31-34 -112.0 -3.0 1.0 21 28-166 6.0 53.9% 240 1.3% 24 58-352 6.1 60.5% 166 5.3% Home 47-11 237.0 8.5 1.0 25 43-304 7.1 65.6% 219 3.2% 17 29-79 2.7 55.6% 207 7.3%
† Georgia Tech Quinten Dormady 20-37-221-2-0 John Kelly 19-128-6.7-4 Marquez Callaway 4-115-28.8-2 † Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1 Indiana St Quinten Dormady 13-18-194-2-1 John Kelly 18-80-4.4-0 John Kelly 5-60-12.0-0 Fresno St Jalen Hurts 14-18-128-1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-154-15.4-2 Calvin Ridley 5-45-9.0-0at Florida Quinten Dormady 21-39-259-1-3 John Kelly 19-141-7.4-1 John Kelly 6-96-16.0-0 vs. Colorado St Jalen Hurts 12-17-248-2-0 Jalen Hurts 11-103-9.4-1 Calvin Ridley 3-92-30.7-1 UMass Quinten Dormady 17-27-187-1-0 John Kelly 25-101-4.0-1 Brandon Johnson 7-123-17.6-0 at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa 8-10-103-2-0 Damien Harris 12-151-12.6-3 Jerry Jeudy 3-68-22.7-1 Georgia Quinten Dormady 5-16-64-0-2 John Kelly 16-44-2.8-0 John Kelly 4-47-11.8-0 Mississippi Jalen Hurts 12-19-197-2-0 Jalen Hurts 10-101-10.1-1 Cam Sims 1-60-60.0-0 Bye vs. at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts 13-22-123-1-0 Damien Harris 14-124-8.9-1 Jalen Hurts 5-68-13.6-0 South Carolina Jarrett Guarantano 11-18-133-0-0 John Kelly 16-58-3.6-0 Brandon Johnson 3-54-18.0-0 Arkansas Jalen Hurts 12-19-155-1-1 Damien Harris 9-125-13.9-2 Calvin Ridley 4-51-12.8-0at Alabama Tennesseeat Kentucky vs. Bye Southern Miss LSUat Missouri at Miss St LSU vs. Mercer Vanderbilt at Auburn
vs.
Quinten Dormady 76-137-925-6-6 John Kelly 113-552-4.9-6 Brandon Johnson 21-259-12.3-1 Jalen Hurts 82-130-1025-8-1 Damien Harris 68-625-9.2-9 Calvin Ridley 28-373-13.3-2Jarrett Guarantano 23-42-187-1-0 Ty Chandler 23-116-5.0-0 John Kelly 24-250-10.4-0 vs. Tua Tagovailoa 19-30-251-4-0 Jalen Hurts 79-558-7.1-6 Jerry Jeudy 9-160-17.8-1Josh Smith 0-1-0-0-0 Carlin Fils-Aime 11-74-6.7-2 Marquez Callaway 12-235-19.6-3 Bo Scarbrough 72-359-5.0-4 Cam Sims 8-126-15.8-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Alabama 1 -14 49 28 48-409
Tennessee 9 57 10 11 32-32 1
2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Alabama 8 -15 19 23 42-117
Tennessee - 52 14 21 39-132 0
2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Alabama 4 -19 34 23 41-183
Tennessee - 46 20 21 43-181 0
2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.
Alabama 1 -28 45 26 37-204
Tennessee - 52 10 14 28-127 -1
2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Alabama 1 -20 44 23 45-233
Tennessee - 55 13 11 27-79 -1
21-36-202
Comp-Att-Yds
14-24-286
19-28-275
13-28-195
16-31-203
Comp-Att-Yds
17-22-306
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
21-27-247
13-22-171
Volunteers Logs
40 yards Tennessee
Projected Rushing18-28-185
TEAM --PS RANK--
18-31-131
Comp-Att-Yds
Alabama by 42Alabama 42 Tennessee 0By 13.58 Points
Alabama Phil Steele
Tennessee
48 Tennessee Alabama 25
Team Schedule Strength
Ret
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Tab
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Projected Box Score0.75
Tennessee ST's
Computer Points
Computer YardsAlabama 39 points
Projected Final Score
48 Alabama 67 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
14.331 pointsAlabama Pts
Projected Yardage Total144 yards Tennessee Alabama 504 yards Alabama Coaches
Tennessee
Experience Rankings
Alabama By 37.9
167 yards
Projected Passing
Game Grade
104 yards Tennessee
0.75
Tennessee Pts
Alabama 338 yards 50.5 Points
Alabama K
Tennessee K
+/- RatingsAlabama By 35.5Alabama
Phil's Forecast:
Alabama Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Tennessee LeadersAlabama QB/WR
Tennessee DB's0.64
Team & Margin
Las Vegas LineFor the 2nd year in a row they are actually playing this on the third Saturday of October and Bama has now won 10 in a row in the series by 23 ppg. Last year a banged-up Tennessee was playing its 4th straight ranked opponent in 4 weeks, but steamrolled 49-10. LTH UT was off a bye (Alabama was ply’g an 8th str gm). UT led 14-13 w/5:49 4Q, but all’d a 71/8pl TD drive w/2:24 (UT fmbl’d their L/poss at UT11) only losing 19-14. The Vols went with Jarrett Guarantano as starting QB last week and they had 253 total yards and have not scored a TD in 10 Q’s. Alabama has allowed ONE non-garbage time TD in SEC play this year. Tennessee has performed below Vegas’s expectations in every game this season (0-6). Bama is at its best when it can run and Tennessee’s defensive front has been pushed around to the tune of 243 ypg rush and 5.1 ypc. Alabama had just 4 sacks the first 4 games, but 14 the last 3 and will be teeing off on a freshman QB. Saban has not appeared happy allowing late scores the last couple of games and this one should be a shutout. Bama has faced my #24 rated schedule and Tennessee just #47. A few weeks back I really liked Texas A&M +29 over Bama as a home dog, but I can't back this dog.
Alabama ST's Alabama By 34.5
0.34
Tennessee Coaches
1.75
Alabama 504-144
Alabama 39-1
Las Vegas Total
Tennessee LB'S3.41
Alabama RB's
Tennessee DL2.28
Alabama OL
Tennessee OL1.19
Alabama DL
Tennessee RB's2.49
Alabama LB's
Tennessee QB/WR
2.24
Alabama DB's
Tennessee AlabamaRushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving
FOE
NCAA RANKINGS0-3 4-0
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
FOE
FOEFOE +/-
AP
FOE
Crimson Tide Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL: Alabama Crimson Tide3-3 7-0vs. SEC vs. SEC
Tennessee Volunteers
2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Florida St† Georgia Tech
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
Indiana StTennessee Alabama
Fresno Stat Florida Colorado St
Rush Off at Vanderbilt Georgia Pass Off Mississippi UMass
Total Off at Texas A&M South Carolina Score Off Arkansas Bye
at Alabama Sks Allowed Tennesseeat Kentucky Rush Def Bye Southern Miss Pass Def LSUat Missouri Total Def at Miss St
Score Def Mercer Vanderbilt Sks By at Auburn
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Ten
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Vol
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LEA
DER
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TEA
M A
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Ala
bam
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rim
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Tid
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Net Offense
LSU
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 133 116 10 9/2 59-24 W 10 43 98 48 73 53 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 106 23 9/2 41-51 L 12 13 20 58 39 351-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 137 97 11 9/9 44-7 W 5 41 98 118 109 96 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 114 99 9/9 56-0 W 16 29 20 110 113 402-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 137 120 9 9/16 59-21 W 2 35 106 49 60 48 1-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 118 138 4 9/16 24-27 L 9 30 56 3 14 773-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 141 129 6 16 9/23 31-44 L 2 34 83 11 12 41 #32 #63 1-2 0-0 122 9/23 18 24 483-1 3-0 0-1 0-0 136 124 15 9/30 41-34 W 6 35 97 23 63 69 #1 #26 1-2 2-1 0-0 0-0 122 120 9/28 17-7 W 18 22 63 45 72 394-1 1-1 136 15 10/7 7 33 83 #1 #32 2-2 3-1 1-0 1-0 125 129 10/7 40-34 W 20 16 24 33 49 14-1 0-5 1-1 0-2 136 116 14 10/14 59-16 W 6 27 85 43 82 41 #2 #41 3-2 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 134 12 10/14 24-29 L 20 14 61 2 23 88
3-3 2-1 140 128 10 10/21 22 16 54 #15 #90 5-1 2-1 128 140 10 10/21 4 28 834-2 2-1 125 10/28 11 69 96 #64 #23 0-6 0-3 112 10/28 52 93 355-1 2-1 133 11/4 3 22 78 #64 #109 6-0 3-0 135 11/4 18 13 234-2 2-1 125 11/11 67 47 41 #53 #65 1-5 0-3 95 11/11 89 118 643-3 1-2 124 11/18 44 38 2 #56 #58 4-2 2-1 125 11/18 11 69 961-5 0-3 95 11/25 89 118 64 #86 #48 4-2 1-2 125 11/24 21 52 97
#2 #440 +1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Tulsa 59-24 208 -1 0 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 1 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 Maryland 41-51 -9 8 -1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1at South Alabama 44-7 330 17 2 29 37-163 4.4 26-41 342 1 12 27-41 1.5 14-24 134 4 San Jose St 56-0 452 24 2 32 59-406 6.9 16-29 217 0 8 23-42 1.8 15-29 129 1at Pittsburgh 59-21 285 10 0 27 35-104 3.0 26-37 572 1 17 34-103 3.0 20-35 288 2 at USC 24-27 -102 -8 -2 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 TCU 31-44 33 -6 -3 26 31-101 3.3 22-42 398 3 32 52-238 4.6 22-33 228 1 Byeat Texas Tech 41-34 213 7 0 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 at Iowa St 17-7 56 1 1 19 25-141 5.6 19-26 171 2 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 4 Bye Kansas St 40-34 152 16 0 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3 Baylor 59-16 360 7 1 29 38-276 7.3 20-33 471 0 22 46-219 4.8 14-36 168 1 † Oklahoma 24-29 -90 3 1 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2at Texas Oklahoma Stat West Virginia at Baylor Oklahoma at TCUat Iowa St Kansas Kansas St at West Virginia Kansas Texas Tech
Average 49-24 238.2 5.7 0.0 28 37-200 5.4 65.4% 411 3.2% 22 41-150 3.7 56.1% 223 4.7% Average 34-25 76.5 7.3 0.2 25 38-170 4.4 58.3% 288 6.2% 18 33-117 3.6 56.9% 265 7.2% Conference 44-31 202.0 2.7 -0.7 29 38-199 5.3 61.1% 415 3.5% 26 41-170 4.1 56.5% 242 2.6% Conference 27-23 39.3 6.7 0.7 25 35-149 4.3 58.3% 280 4.2% 18 31-108 3.5 56.0% 281 9.0% Away 48-21 276.0 11.3 0.7 29 39-163 4.2 68.1% 430 2.6% 18 29-66 2.3 60.0% 251 6.7% Home 46-28 198.3 16.0 0.3 30 43-223 5.2 60.2% 324 3.8% 14 35-148 4.2 61.2% 201 7.5%
Tulsa Mason Rudolph 20-24-303-3-0 Justice Hill 15-132-8.8-1 James Washington 6-145-24.2-2 Maryland Shane Buechele 34-52-375-2-1 Chris Warren 6-31-5.2-0 Collin Johnson 7-125-17.9-1at South Alabama Mason Rudolph 25-38-335-3-0 JD King 8-64-8.0-0 James Washington 2-98-49.0-1 San Jose St Sam Ehlinger 15-27-222-1-0 Chris Warren 16-166-10.4-2 Armanti Foreman 5-51-10.2-1at Pittsburgh Mason Rudolph 23-32-497-5-1 Justice Hill 11-91-8.3-2 Jalen McCleskey 7-162-23.1-3 vs. at USC Sam Ehlinger 21-40-298-2-2 Chris Warren 4-15-3.8-0 Collin Johnson 7-191-27.3-0 TCU Mason Rudolph 22-41-398-2-2 Justice Hill 25-102-4.1-1 James Washington 6-153-25.5-1 Byeat Texas Tech Mason Rudolph 27-38-376-3-1 Justice Hill 30-164-5.5-0 James Washington 9-127-14.1-1 at Iowa St Shane Buechele 19-26-171-1-1 Chris Warren 16-44-2.8-1 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 4-36-9.0-0 Bye vs. Kansas St Sam Ehlinger 30-50-380-2-1 Sam Ehlinger 20-107-5.4-0 Reggie Hemphill 12-121-10.1-0 Baylor Mason Rudolph 19-31-459-3-0 Justice Hill 14-117-8.4-1 James Washington 6-235-39.2-1 † Oklahoma Sam Ehlinger 19-39-278-1-0 Sam Ehlinger 22-106-4.8-1 Chris Warren 4-55-13.8-0at Texas Oklahoma Stat West Virginia vs. at Baylor Oklahoma at TCUat Iowa St Kansas Kansas St vs. at West Virginia Kansas Texas Tech
vs.
Mason Rudolph 136-204-2368-19-4 Justice Hill 106-633-6.0-5 James Washington 34-882-25.9-6 Sam Ehlinger 85-156-1178-6-3 Chris Warren 55-274-5.0-5 Collin Johnson 27-511-18.9-1Taylor Cornelius 5-9-92-0-0 JD King 42-260-6.2-2 Marcell Ateman 29-568-19.6-4 vs. Shane Buechele 55-80-557-3-2 Sam Ehlinger 68-271-4.0-1 Reggie Hemphill 29-303-10.4-0Keondre Wudtee 1-3-7-0-0 LD Brown 21-157-7.5-1 Jalen McCleskey 25-355-14.2-5 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 0-1-0.1-0-0 Kyle Porter 56-161-2.9-3 Lil'Jordan Humphrey 16-184-11.5-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma St - -2.5 49 22 43-163
Texas 22 70.5 31 26 49-329 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma St 24 -3 30 27 46-103
Texas - 60.5 27 11 42-171 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma St - 48.5 7 9 23-34
Texas - -2.5 28 24 43-125 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma St 12 -3 38 21 40-183
Texas 23 62.5 13 25 43-151 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Oklahoma St - 63.5 36 24 40-275
Texas 12 -2.5 41 25 42-136 0
16-22-197
29-43-238
Comp-Att-Yds
9-17-119
18-27-301
Comp-Att-Yds
19-28-392
21-33-239
Texas
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds
30-38-304
24-33-305
Cowboys Logs
Projected Passing100 yards
Oklahoma St by 1 Oklahoma St 35 Texas 34By 0.55 Points
Oklahoma St 32-26
Phil Steele
Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Texas is 18-1 off the Red River Rivalry and this is their lone HG in a 4 week stretch. OSU is 5-2 vs the Horns. LY OSU jumpded out to a 14-0 lead, but UT held a 25-23 advantage w/6:31 2Q (last lead of gm). They had 4 botched xp’s, including 2 ret’d for 2 for OSU. UT all’d 26 of the L/32 pts. Last week Texas fell behind Oklahoma 20-0, but with dynamic Sam Ehlinger they came back to lead 24-23 before a 59 yard TD pass with 6:53 in the 5 point loss as almost a 10 point neutral site dog. Now they are at home getting over a TD. Texas has taken on my 9th toughest schedule and their defense is holding foes to 90 yards below their season average. Tom Herman is a perfect 7-0 versus the Vegas number when an underdog with five outright upsets. OSU has allowed over 219+ rushing 3 times this year and lost to TCU at home only beating Texas Tech by 7 on the road.
Texas ST's
Oklahoma St Coaches
Team Schedule Strength Oklahoma St23 Oklahoma St Texas 10
25 Oklahoma St Texas 10
26 points Oklahoma St 458-421Projected Final Score
3.40
Oklahoma St Pts
2.85
Experience Rankings Texas Pts32 points Oklahoma St
17-29-158Game Grade
458 yards Oklahoma St Texas 421 yards Texas Coaches0.75
Oklahoma St Texas 254 yardsComp-Att-Yds Projected Yardage Total
358 yards24-36-292
Oklahoma StTexas K
Texas 167 yards 0.78
Oklahoma St K
Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin
Computer Yards
65 PointsLas Vegas Total
Oklahoma St By 8.0
Oklahoma St By 9.6
Oklahoma St By 7
+/- Ratings
Texas Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Oklahoma St ST's
1.49
Oklahoma St LeadersTexas QB/WR
Oklahoma St DB's
Las Vegas Line
Texas RB's
0.53
0.24
Oklahoma St LB'S
Oklahoma St DL0.25
Texas OL
Oklahoma St OL0.09
Texas DL
Passing
Oklahoma St RB's
0.49
Texas LB's
Oklahoma St Texas
1.63
Oklahoma St QB/WR
Texas DB's
Defense
Receiving
Score
RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders
FOE
NCAA RANKINGS2-1 2-1
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM
FOE
FOEFOE +/-
AP
FOE
TEAM --PS RANK--
vs. BIG 12 Longhorns Logs
Texas Longhorns5-1vs. BIG 12
3-3OVERALL: OVERALL:Oklahoma St Cowboys
2017 TEAM RANKINGS Maryland Tulsa
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
Oklahoma St Texas San Jose St
at Pittsburgh at USCRush Off Bye
at Texas Tech Pass Off at Iowa St TCU
Total Off Kansas St Baylor Score Off † Oklahoma Bye
Sks Allowed Oklahoma Stat West Virginia Rush Def at Baylorat Texas
Pass Def at TCUat Iowa St Total Def Kansas Oklahoma
Score Def at West Virginia Kansas Sks By Texas Tech Kansas St
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Net Offense Defense
Okl
ahom
a S
t C
owb
oys
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Texa
s Lo
ng
hor
ns
Net Offense
Score
at South Alabama
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 127 22 21 9/2 24-31 L 35 58 75 91 9 18 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 45-48 L 20 38 450-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 120 99 9/9 56-20 W 27 65 75 110 129 129 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 111 9/9 10-17 L 17 53 45 116 88 571-1 0-0 120 9/16 59-16 W 22 53 88 0-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 112 127 9/16 20-34 L 24 68 73 44 37 1132-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 103 9/23 56-34 W 14 62 88 85 102 91 #50 #95 0-3 3-0 0-0 0-0 112 143 3 9/23 41-49 L 39 76 20 5 14 423-1 1-0 120 23 9/30 11 65 88 #6 #39 0-4 2-1 0-1 0-0 116 129 9/30 20-33 L 34 83 19 33 57 13-1 4-0 1-0 1-0 120 134 23 8 10/7 24-31 L 10 64 95 12 14 15 #5 #66 0-5 0-2 116 10/7 37 84 313-2 4-1 1-1 1-1 122 128 24 10/14 46-35 W 9 64 100 26 57 82 #5 #88 0-5 4-1 0-2 1-1 116 136 14 10/14 16-59 L 43 82 41 6 27 85
0-6 0-3 125 112 23 10/21 52 93 35 #51 #76 4-2 2-1 112 125 23 10/21 11 69 965-1 2-1 140 10/28 4 28 83 #108 #120 3-3 2-1 128 10/28 22 16 544-2 2-1 125 11/4 67 47 41 #98 #118 1-5 0-3 95 11/4 89 118 643-3 1-2 124 11/11 44 38 2 #111 #126 4-2 1-2 125 11/11 21 52 973-3 2-1 128 11/18 22 16 54 #80 #122 4-2 2-1 125 11/18 67 47 415-1 2-1 133 11/25 3 22 78 #117 #77 6-0 3-0 135 11/24 18 13 23
#33 #116+1 -6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Virginia Tech 24-31 123 8 -1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1 Liberty 45-48 -53 -9 -2 22 34-254 7.5 14-30 278 0 31 43-138 3.2 44-60 447 1 East Carolina 56-20 149 10 2 31 47-216 4.6 24-34 403 1 21 32-142 4.4 23-47 328 0 UTSA 10-17 -101 -6 0 14 31-137 4.4 11-27 137 3 20 45-220 4.9 15-20 155 3 Delaware St 59-16 237 11 0 23 35-204 5.8 24-34 334 1 12 44-161 3.7 10-16 140 3 at Duke 20-34 -110 -15 -2 9 27-57 2.1 12-34 263 3 24 51-246 4.8 20-35 184 5at Kansas 56-34 71 7 2 31 43-288 6.7 25-39 347 1 24 50-367 7.3 17-34 197 1 Oklahoma 41-49 -102 2 0 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 3 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 Bye at Kansas St 20-33 31 -1 -1 18 27-84 3.1 26-44 291 3 19 43-225 5.2 7-17 119 0at TCU 24-31 102 12 -2 28 39-142 3.6 25-45 366 2 16 36-170 4.7 16-29 236 0 Bye Texas Tech 46-35 -117 1 0 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 at Oklahoma St 16-59 -360 -7 -1 22 46-219 4.8 14-36 168 1 29 38-276 7.3 20-33 471 0at Baylor West Virginia Oklahoma St Texas Iowa St at Kansasat Kansas St † Texas Tech Texas Iowa Stat Oklahoma at TCU
Average 44-28 94.2 8.2 0.2 28 38-186 4.9 65.2% 362 4.5% 20 40-211 5.3 54.7% 243 3.6% Average 25-40 -115.8 -6.0 -1.0 18 33-135 4.1 49.8% 267 5.9% 24 43-241 5.6 64.7% 277 6.0% Conference 42-33 18.7 6.7 0.0 29 37-158 4.3 65.6% 355 5.6% 22 40-242 6.1 55.9% 252 2.9% Conference 26-47 -143.7 -2.0 -0.7 21 36-121 3.4 56.2% 307 5.4% 23 40-281 7.0 58.0% 291 2.9% Away 35-32 98.7 9.0 -0.3 29 39-217 5.6 58.7% 361 3.6% 20 44-257 5.9 53.3% 223 2.2% Home 32-38 -85.3 -4.3 -0.7 19 33-150 4.5 54.2% 293 5.6% 24 43-233 5.5 72.7% 295 6.1%
† Virginia Tech Will Grier 31-53-371-3-1 Justin Crawford 13-106-8.2-0 Gary Jennings 13-189-14.5-1 Liberty Anu Solomon 14-29-278-3-1 Anu Solomon 6-97-16.2-0 Chris Platt 3-102-34.0-2 East Carolina Will Grier 19-25-352-5-0 Justin Crawford 15-118-7.9-2 David Sills 7-153-21.9-3 UTSA Anu Solomon 10-26-121-1-1 John Levett 18-72-4.0-0 Denzel Mims 3-62-20.7-1 Delaware St Will Grier 19-27-304-3-1 Justin Crawford 15-102-6.8-3 Gary Jennings 6-128-21.3-0 vs. at Duke Zach Smith 12-34-263-3-3 Dru Dixon 9-28-3.1-0 Chris Platt 4-148-37.0-2at Kansas Will Grier 25-39-347-2-1 Justin Crawford 18-125-6.9-1 David Sills 8-130-16.3-2 Oklahoma Zach Smith 33-50-463-4-0 John Levett 13-44-3.4-0 Denzel Mims 11-192-17.5-3 Bye at Kansas St Zach Smith 26-44-291-1-1 John Levett 7-95-13.6-1 Denzel Mims 7-127-18.1-1at TCU Will Grier 25-45-366-3-1 Justin Crawford 19-111-5.8-0 Ka'Raun White 6-138-23.0-1 vs. Bye Texas Tech Will Grier 32-41-352-5-1 Justin Crawford 14-47-3.4-1 Ka'Raun White 8-114-14.3-2 at Oklahoma St Zach Smith 11-28-127-0-1 Terence Williams 10-95-9.5-0 Tony Nicholson 4-57-14.3-0at Baylor West Virginia Oklahoma St vs. Texas Iowa St at Kansasat Kansas St † Texas Tech Texas vs. Iowa Stat Oklahoma at TCU
vs.
Will Grier 151-230-2092-21-5 Justin Crawford 94-609-6.5-7 David Sills 39-601-15.4-12 Zach Smith 83-158-1160-8-6 John Levett 72-383-5.3-3 Denzel Mims 27-553-20.5-7Chris Chugunov 10-16-81-1-0 Kennedy McKoy 45-256-5.7-3 Gary Jennings 48-586-12.2-1 vs. Anu Solomon 24-55-399-4-2 Terence Williams 32-148-4.6-0 Chris Platt 16-401-25.1-5Team 0-1-0-0-0 Will Grier 45-104-2.3-2 Ka'Raun White 31-461-14.9-5 Charlie Brewer 3-7-41-0-1 Anu Solomon 16-106-6.6-0 Pooh Stricklin 22-290-13.2-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor - 68.5 21 19 41-196
West Virginia 14 -18 24 25 62-311 42015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 2 -21 62 34 50-304
West Virginia - 77 38 22 44-182 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 4 -7.5 27 22 42-95
West Virginia - 80.5 41 33 50-134 -32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Baylor 17 -30 73 38 61-476
West Virginia - 70 42 21 34-118 32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Baylor 25 82.5 63 34 45-119
West Virginia 9 -12 70 33 37-151 1
10-26-111
20-33-396
17-41-276
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
21-34-389
18-39-289
Comp-Att-Yds
29-47-581
45-51-656
16-37-223
23-35-322
Team Schedule StrengthWest Virginia Baylor
Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
Baylor
Comp-Att-Yds
79
125
3.00
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Baylor CoachesWest Virginia Pts
Baylor Pts
0.80
Baylor 477 yards
101
2.74
1.23
1.66
219 yardsProjected Passing
302 yards
West Virginia 41 Baylor 31
W Virginia 39-28
W Virginia by 10
W Virginia 490-477
0.92
West Virginia K
West Virginia
West Virginia Coaches
6.43
+/- Ratings
Baylor
Phil's Forecast:
West Virginia RB's
Baylor LB's
Baylor DL
West Virginia OL
West Virginia LB'S
Baylor RB's
Game Grade
Computer Yards
Offense
Phil Steele
Computer Points
Baylor Leaders
By Game Yardage Leaders
Team & Margin
Las Vegas Total71.5 Points
FOETM +/- FOE
+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--
† Texas Tech Iowa St
TM RECFOE
TM CONF
FOE CONF
FOE REC
at TCU
Pass Def
NCAA RANKINGS2017 TEAM RANKINGS
Texasat Kansas
Sks AllowedRush Def
Score Off
West Virginia Baylor
Total Def
1.22
Baylor OL
Baylor ST's
West Virginia DL
West Virginia ST's
Baylor DB's
Rush OffPass Off
Total Off
By 3.43 Points13
0.01
West Virginia Leaders
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
Score
By Game Yardage Leaders
TM +/-TEAM
West Virginia Mountainers Baylor BearsBears LogsMountainers Logs
OVERALL: OVERALL:
vs. BIG 124-2 0-6
vs. BIG 12
FOE +/-
AP
FOE
--PS RANK-- FOE 0-32-1
† Virginia Tech
Position by Position Edges
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Wes
t V
irg
inia
Mou
nta
iner
s
Bay
lor
Bea
rs
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score DefSks By
East Carolina
15-31-244
West VirginiaPassing Rushing
West Virginia QB/WR
Comp-Att-Yds
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Net Offense Defense
Receiving
Projected Yardage TotalWest Virginia Baylor
490 yards West Virginia W Virginia By 11.2
Last year BU was limping to end of the year and were +17’ on the road, but led in the 2H of a 24-21 road loss. Baylor put Zach Smith in at QB and only lost to Oklahoma by 8 at home and KST by 13 on the road. They lost by 43 last week, but have covered 5 in a row as a home underdog. A few weeks back WV only led Kansas by 8 on the road and last week they trailed Texas Tech 35-17. This should be another high scoring game.
W Virginia By 8.3
Projected Final Score
189 yards
258 yards
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
0.34
0.52
West Virginia DB's
Baylor QB/WR
Baylor KWest Virginia
Experience Rankings28 pointsBaylorWest Virginia
West Virginia Baylor
39 points
Delaware Stat Kansas Byeat TCU Texas Techat Baylor Oklahoma St Iowa Stat Kansas St Texasat Oklahoma
Liberty UTSAat Duke Oklahomaat Kansas St Byeat Oklahoma St West Virginia
Las Vegas LineW Virginia By 9
Net
Rushing
Defense
Receiving
Score
Passing
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 95 12 9/2 41-7 W 7 12 7 124 126 62 0-0 0-0 120 8/31 49-7 W 23 51 1021-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 129 141 13 3 9/9 6-14 L 6 7 7 14 4 83 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 126 23 9/9 7-28 L 21 45 102 10 15 261-1 0-0 130 15 9/16 24-10 W 18 8 9 1-1 0-0 117 9/16 28 41 942-1 1-2 0-0 0-1 126 108 15 9/23 51-14 W 24 9 23 22 78 46 #23 #70 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 117 117 9/23 43-50 L 34 39 122 36 15 33-1 3-1 1-0 1-1 130 125 13 24 9/30 49-10 W 21 7 13 22 21 58 #73 #81 1-2 2-2 0-1 0-1 114 104 9/30 42-24 W 31 56 122 40 85 1194-1 2-2 2-0 0-1 134 110 12 10/7 44-23 W 19 5 28 36 57 70 #44 #97 2-2 3-2 0-1 1-2 115 117 10/7 22-48 L 24 54 126 60 28 1205-1 4-2 3-0 1-1 133 124 10 10/14 23-27 L 17 8 27 29 10 71 #39 #67 2-3 6-0 0-2 3-0 111 146 1 10/14 9-41 L 32 55 116 1 1 23
2-4 0-3 130 112 21 10/21 35 62 109 #123 #107 5-2 3-1 112 130 21 10/21 19 9 2810/28 #25 #80 3-3 1-2 116 10/28 23 66 75
5-2 3-1 125 11/4 33 21 3 #18 #40 1-5 0-3 90 11/4 123 123 1247-0 4-0 137 11/11 8 8 14 #13 #56 5-2 2-1 127 11/11 30 12 493-3 3-1 97 11/18 80 119 51 #9 #105 4-2 1-2 121 11/18 24 33 297-0 4-0 145 11/25 1 1 21 #16 #86 1-5 0-4 108 11/25 27 97 37
#18 #850 -1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
GA Southern 41-7 457 17 -2 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 6 Florida A&M 49-7 240 17 0 26 45-236 5.2 16-22 179 2 9 31-80 2.6 14-29 95 3at Clemson 6-14 -164 -5 2 13 42-38 0.9 13-24 79 11 18 36-96 2.7 20-31 185 4 TCU 7-28 -94 -11 1 13 31-129 4.2 9-23 138 3 24 42-195 4.6 21-31 166 1 Mercer 24-10 264 14 -5 26 43-146 3.4 32-37 364 1 12 35-100 2.9 20-32 146 0 Byeat Missouri 51-14 142 1 4 22 53-263 5.0 16-21 219 1 21 31-124 4.0 23-39 216 2 † Texas A&M 43-50 -44 1 0 21 45-226 5.0 13-27 231 6 20 42-285 6.8 14-27 216 1 Miss St 49-10 160 -4 0 14 39-244 6.3 14-17 267 2 18 47-194 4.1 13-37 157 2 New Mexico St 42-24 139 11 1 29 51-230 4.5 19-26 264 0 18 14-11 0.8 23-38 344 2 Mississippi 44-23 132 2 0 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 at South Carolina 22-48 -28 0 -4 19 32-106 3.3 20-37 224 2 19 36-159 4.4 16-31 199 1at LSU 23-27 -9 3 1 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 at Alabama 9-41 -269 -8 1 15 29-27 0.9 23-43 200 5 23 43-308 7.2 13-21 188 2at Arkansas Auburn Bye at Mississippiat Texas A&M Coastal Carolina Georgia at LSU ULM Miss St Alabama Missouri
Average 34-15 140.3 4.0 0.0 20 46-222 4.8 65.7% 216 12.8% 16 38-118 3.1 56.7% 181 8.5% Average 29-33 -9.3 1.7 -0.2 21 39-159 4.1 56.2% 206 10.1% 19 35-173 5.0 57.1% 201 5.6% Conference 42-19 106.3 0.5 1.3 20 47-256 5.5 62.4% 222 8.2% 19 37-140 3.8 54.6% 231 5.9% Conference 25-46 -113.7 -2.3 -1.0 18 35-120 3.4 52.3% 218 12.1% 21 40-251 6.2 54.4% 201 5.1% Away 27-18 -10.3 -0.3 2.3 17 46-163 3.5 53.5% 154 21.1% 18 35-126 3.6 58.9% 202 10.5% Home 33-20 95.0 5.7 0.7 23 42-198 4.7 62.0% 194 7.0% 17 29-95 3.3 59.2% 202 6.1%
GA Southern Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Florida A&M Austin Allen 14-19-135-1-1 Chase Hayden 14-120-8.6-1 David Williams 2-48-24.0-0at Clemson Jarrett Stidham 13-24-79-0-0 Kamryn Pettway 22-74-3.4-0 Ryan Davis 8-32-4.0-0 TCU Austin Allen 9-23-138-1-0 David Williams 10-65-6.5-0 Jonathan Nance 3-75-25.0-1 Mercer Jarrett Stidham 32-37-364-0-1 Kamryn Pettway 34-128-3.8-3 Will Hastings 3-71-23.7-0 vs. Byeat Missouri Jarrett Stidham 13-17-218-1-0 Kam Martin 9-74-8.2-0 Nate Craig-Myers 2-61-30.5-1 † Texas A&M Austin Allen 12-25-229-2-1 Chase Hayden 13-77-5.9-1 Jonathan Nance 3-100-33.3-1 Miss St Jarrett Stidham 13-16-264-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 23-116-5.0-3 Eli Stove 2-75-37.5-0 New Mexico St Austin Allen 19-26-264-3-1 Devwah Whaley 19-119-6.3-1 Jordan Jones 4-84-21.0-0 Mississippi Jarrett Stidham 14-21-235-2-0 Kerryon Johnson 28-204-7.3-3 Ryan Davis 2-75-37.5-1 vs. at South Carolina Cole Kelley 8-13-140-1-1 David Williams 7-32-4.6-1 Jonathan Nance 8-116-14.5-1at LSU Jarrett Stidham 9-26-165-1-0 Kerryon Johnson 31-156-5.0-1 Ryan Davis 2-67-33.5-0 at Alabama Cole Kelley 23-42-200-1-1 Devwah Whaley 5-18-3.6-0 Jordan Jones 4-72-18.0-1at Arkansas Auburn Bye vs. at Mississippiat Texas A&M Coastal Carolina Georgia at LSU ULM vs. Miss St Alabama Missouri
vs.
Jarrett Stidham 108-165-1510-8-2 Kerryon Johnson 116-660-5.7-13 Will Hastings 16-335-20.9-3 Austin Allen 66-117-850-8-4 Chase Hayden 59-284-4.8-4 Jonathan Nance 24-377-15.7-5Malik Willis 4-5-4-0-0 Kam Martin 32-260-8.1-1 Ryan Davis 33-318-9.6-3 vs. Cole Kelley 34-60-386-4-2 Devwah Whaley 59-264-4.5-2 Jordan Jones 13-200-15.4-2Devin Adams 1-2--1-0-0 Kamryn Pettway 65-215-3.3-3 Kyle Davis 7-210-30.0-0 Blake Johnson 0-1-0-0-0 David Williams 53-240-4.5-5 Deon Stewart 16-193-12.1-2
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Auburn 21 -10 56 26 57-543
Arkansas 17 54.5 3 14 31-25 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Auburn - 51.5 46 22 52-162
Arkansas - -6.5 54 29 49-213 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Auburn 6 -19 45 27 48-302
Arkansas - 57.5 21 20 29-153 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Auburn 8 -7.5 35 18 46-233
Arkansas - 56 17 25 47-222 -32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Auburn - -7.5 7 22 32-40
Arkansas - 56 24 19 30-116 3
Comp-Att-Yds
8-9-133
12-27-124
Comp-Att-Yds
22-35-281
23-30-256
7-12-89
Comp-Att-Yds
18-31-175
Auburn TigersTigers Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
16-22-293
Comp-Att-Yds
19-34-254
Net
Arkansas RB's0.97
Auburn LB'S
0.41
Auburn DB's
ULM Score Def
Auburn OL
Arkansas DL
0.89
Arkansas OL
Auburn DL
Miss St Alabama Sks By Missouri
at Texas A&M Pass Def Coastal Carolina Georgia Total Def at LSU
at Arkansas Sks Allowed Auburn Bye Rush Def at Mississippi
Mississippi Total Off at South Carolinaat LSU Score Off at Alabama
at Missouri Rush Off † Texas A&M Miss St Pass Off New Mexico St
GA Southern 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Florida A&Mat Clemson
Auburn Arkansas TCU
Mercer Bye
TM CONF
TEAM
Arkansas Razorbacksvs. SEC vs. SEC
OVERALL:
TEAM --PS RANK-- FOEFOE +/-
APFOE CONF
Razorbacks Logs
OVERALL:
5-2 2-4
TM RECTM +/- FOE +/-
AP
FOE
FOE 3-1NCAA RANKINGS
--PS RANK--
Defense
0-3
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Ark
ansa
s R
azor
bac
ks
Net Offense
TM +/-FOE
FOE REC
Score
Ypg Diff
Offense Defense
Score
Au
bu
rn T
iger
s
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Arkansas Leaders
By Game Yardage Leaders
Auburn Leaders
Arkansas DB'sAuburn RB's
Projected Passing
0.72
Total TO's
1.84
Rushing Position by Position Edges
Arkansas LB's
AuburnReceivingPassing Rushing
Arkansas QB/WR
0.34
ArkansasAuburn QB/WR
1.12
Comp-Att-Yds
18-33-190
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
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nts
Auburn Arkansas 209 yards
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Projected Box Score
Arkansas 104 yards195 yards Auburn
20-32-244
Projected Rushing
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas TotalAuburn K
Arkansas K
Auburn ST's
Arkansas ST's
Phil's Forecast:
Ark’s 53 pt loss to Aub LY was the worst in series history (25 mtgs) and their 543 rush yds all’d set the SEC conf gm reg ssn record. The home team is 6-2 in the series and just two years ago Arkansas won in 4 OT’s at home 54-46. Auburn disappointed me last week blowing a 20-0 lead over LSU and losing on a late FG. Arkansas has faced the tougher schedule (#31 vs #54) and despite their 2-4 record they are holding foes to 21 yards below their season average and gaining 9 more than their foes usually allow. The Hogs are playing to an average game grade of 86.9 and Auburn at 99.7, which means Auburn by only 8.6, but Austin Allen is still out for Arkansas at QB. Arkansas has allowed sacks on 10% of their pass attempts and Auburn has an excellent defensive line.
Auburn By 8.5
Team & Margin
Auburn 384-313
Auburn 34-20
Auburn By 15.5
53.5 Points
Auburn By 13.8
Computer Yards
Computer Points
189 yardsProjected Yardage Total
384 yards Auburn Arkansas 313 yardsProjected Final Score
33 points
Game Grade0.50
Auburn Coaches
Arkansas Coaches
+/- Ratings
2.10
Experience Rankings90
ArkansasAuburn 20 points
6 Auburn Arkansas
0.00
Arkansas Pts
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
8.89
Auburn Pts
31Team Schedule Strength Auburn
54 Auburn Arkansas Auburn by 14 Auburn 34 Arkansas 20By 8.89 Points
Phil Steele
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 111 16 9/2 35-28 W 19 17 34 79 62 79 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 141 3 1 9/2 7-24 L 11 1 11 1 2 241-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 116 17 9/9 47-35 W 24 10 34 61 31 63 0-1 0-0 136 10 9/9 28 3 112-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 124 140 14 3 9/16 21-47 L 15 12 90 12 2 86 0-1 0-0 136 11 9/16 45 5 1082-1 1-2 1-1 0-0 122 98 19 9/23 43-3 W 13 25 45 128 119 111 #28 #84 0-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 136 121 12 9/23 21-27 L 59 5 110 30 30 763-1 1-1 124 17 9/30 55-10 W 15 28 61 #7 #84 0-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 131 124 9/30 26-19 W 58 9 43 65 45 254-1 4-1 1-1 2-0 124 125 17 24 10/5 25-39 L 9 27 33 29 26 69 #4 #110 1-2 3-0 1-1 1-0 131 136 13 10/7 20-24 L 65 12 14 5 13 274-2 2-4 1-2 0-3 122 112 10/14 42-45 L 11 32 58 93 43 60 #20 #121 1-3 4-2 1-2 1-2 131 120 10/14 17-10 W 58 9 29 60 20 106
2-3 2-2 118 131 10/21 48 11 58 #96 #107 4-3 1-3 131 118 10/21 7 45 674-2 1-2 125 10/28 71 43 69 #63 #21 3-4 1-3 116 10/27 84 46 74
11/4 #80 #59 4-3 2-1 120 11/4 57 72 335-1 2-0 118 11/11 74 26 100 #63 #29 6-1 4-1 136 11/11 13 3 1114-3 2-1 120 11/18 57 72 33 #85 #38 11/185-1 2-1 117 11/25 78 39 11 #53 #100 3-3 3-2 122 11/25 42 30 32
#9 #67-3 -5
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Purdue 35-28 180 2 1 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 † Alabama 7-24 -19 2 -3 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2at North Carolina 47-35 304 15 0 35 44-312 7.1 25-39 393 2 20 23-17 0.7 29-38 384 2 Bye Clemson 21-47 -180 -4 -1 21 27-116 4.3 21-42 317 5 25 48-297 6.2 23-33 316 4 Bye Kent St 42-3 389 12 -1 23 27-165 6.1 23-30 374 2 11 54-139 2.6 2-5 11 1 NC State 21-27 17 -6 -1 15 26-104 4.0 22-39 278 4 21 37-110 3.0 23-33 255 1 Murray St 55-10 596 33 -1 38 46-312 6.8 32-45 364 3 5 22-19 0.9 10-21 61 0 at Wake Forest 26-19 -97 -2 1 15 43-149 3.5 11-21 121 5 17 34-96 2.8 24-35 271 2at NC State 25-39 -50 2 0 25 29-116 4.0 26-48 354 4 23 39-153 3.9 20-32 367 0 Miami, Fl 20-24 69 2 -1 22 43-203 4.7 17-28 203 4 20 29-83 2.9 19-44 254 3 Boston College 42-45 70 -2 -1 25 36-293 8.1 19-39 332 0 27 59-364 6.2 12-28 191 2 at Duke 17-10 110 6 -1 23 40-228 5.7 18-21 197 2 17 25-111 4.4 22-37 204 1at Florida St Louisvilleat Wake Forest at Boston College Bye Syracuse Virginia at Clemson Syracuse Delaware Stat Kentucky at Florida
Average 38-30 187.0 8.3 -0.4 28 35-209 6.0 60.9% 359 5.5% 19 38-149 3.9 60.3% 232 6.1% Average 18-21 16.0 0.4 -1.0 18 36-145 4.0 61.3% 202 12.7% 18 33-115 3.4 58.7% 216 5.4% Conference 34-42 36.0 2.8 -0.5 27 34-209 6.2 54.2% 349 6.5% 24 42-208 4.9 64.1% 315 6.1% Conference 21-20 24.8 0.0 -0.5 19 38-171 4.5 62.4% 200 13.8% 19 31-100 3.2 59.1% 246 4.7% Away 36-34 144.7 6.3 0.3 29 35-191 5.4 60.9% 375 4.5% 23 28-74 2.7 64.6% 348 4.7% Home 21-26 43.0 -2.0 -1.0 19 35-154 4.4 58.2% 241 11.9% 21 33-97 2.9 54.5% 255 5.2%
† Purdue Lamar Jackson 30-46-378-2-0 Lamar Jackson 21-107-5.1-0 Jay Smith 8-117-14.6-0 † Alabama Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0at North Carolina Lamar Jackson 25-39-393-3-0 Malik Williams 13-149-11.5-0 Jaylen Smith 9-183-20.3-1 Bye Clemson Lamar Jackson 21-42-317-3-1 Lamar Jackson 17-64-3.8-0 Traveon Samuel 2-100-50.0-0 vs. Bye Kent St Lamar Jackson 18-22-299-2-2 Malik Williams 9-47-5.2-2 Seth Dawkins 4-75-18.8-1 NC State James Blackman 22-38-278-1-0 Cam Akers 12-56-4.7-0 Auden Tate 9-138-15.3-1 Murray St Lamar Jackson 18-26-249-3-0 Lamar Jackson 7-100-14.3-1 Corey Reed 4-94-23.5-0 at Wake Forest James Blackman 11-21-121-1-0 Jacques Patrick 19-120-6.3-1 Auden Tate 2-47-23.5-1at NC State Lamar Jackson 26-47-354-1-1 Lamar Jackson 19-73-3.8-2 Dez Fitzpatrick 10-134-13.4-0 vs. Miami, Fl James Blackman 17-28-203-2-2 Cam Akers 20-121-6.1-0 Auden Tate 3-56-18.7-1 Boston College Lamar Jackson 19-39-332-2-1 Lamar Jackson 22-180-8.2-3 Dez Fitzpatrick 7-127-18.1-1 at Duke James Blackman 18-21-197-1-2 Cam Akers 15-115-7.7-1 Nyqwan Murray 5-81-16.2-0at Florida St Louisvilleat Wake Forest vs. at Boston College Bye Syracuse Virginia at Clemson Syracuse vs. Delaware Stat Kentucky at Florida
vs.
Lamar Jackson 157-261-2322-16-5 Lamar Jackson 113-690-6.1-10 Dez Fitzpatrick 33-541-16.4-7 James Blackman 68-108-799-5-4 Cam Akers 71-380-5.4-1 Auden Tate 19-312-16.4-5Jawon Pass 19-27-190-1-0 Malik Williams 39-274-7.0-2 Jay Smith 28-497-17.8-2 vs. Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Jacques Patrick 62-364-5.9-1 Nyqwan Murray 18-180-10.0-0Reggie Bonnafon 0-1-0-0-0 Reggie Bonnafon 43-236-5.5-3 Seth Dawkins 23-371-16.1-2 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Amir Rasul 6-22-3.7-0 Keith Gavin 15-145-9.7-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville 10 68 63 24 46-314
Florida St 2 -1 20 20 43-171 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville - 46 21 20 30-99
Florida St 11 -6.5 41 24 32-133 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville - 50.5 31 24 33-158
Florida St 2 -3.5 42 25 30-173 -1
vs.
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
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nts
Projected Box Score
27-39-377
20-38-330
25-48-401
Comp-Att-Yds
20-35-307
Louisville CardinalsCardinals Logs
TM REC
8-24-113
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
13-20-216
Passing Rushing
Defense
Receiving
Syracuse
Bye Virginia
at Kentucky
Net Offense
FOE REC
Lou
isvi
lle C
ard
inal
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Flor
ida
St
Sem
inol
es
Net Offense
Score
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score Def Delaware StSks By at Florida
Pass Def SyracuseTotal Def at Clemson
Sks Allowed Louisvilleat Wake Forest Rush Def at Boston Collegeat Florida St
at NC State Total Off Miami, Fl Boston College Score Off at Duke
Kent St Rush Off NC State Murray St Pass Off at Wake Forest
Bye Clemson Bye
† Alabama
vs. ACC4-3 2-3
OVERALL: OVERALL: Florida St Seminoles
FOE
FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE
TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF
TEAMAPFOEFOE +/-
AP
† Purdue 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
at North CarolinaLouisville Florida St
TM CONF
TM CONF
1-3FOE CONF TM +/-
By Game Yardage Leaders
Score
2-2TM REC FOE
REC
Receiving
Louisville Florida StPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
0.36
Florida St DL
0.19
Florida St LB's
Louisville RB's
Louisville OL
0.49
Florida St RB's
0.25
Louisville DL
Florida St OLLouisville LB'S
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Louisville LeadersFlorida St QB/WR
Florida St ST's
Louisville DB's
Louisville ST's
0.26
Louisville K
LouisvilleProjected Rushing
110 yards Florida St 197 yardsProjected Passing Florida St K
Louisville Coaches
0.60
0.60
0.25Florida St Coaches Florida St By 7.0
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total59 Points
+/- Ratings
Florida St By 6.5
Florida St By 18.0
Game Grade
Florida St 445-376
Computer Points
Computer Yards
Florida St 33-23
Team & Margin
445 yards
247 yardsProjected Yardage Total
376 yards Louisville Florida St
267 yards Louisville Florida St
Florida St 1
33 points
Team Schedule Strength
Experience Rankings63 Louisville
Florida St
Florida St
23 pointsFlorida St Pts
Louisville
44 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
1.03
Louisville PtsProjected Final Score2.49
Florida St by 14 Best Bet: ★ Florida St 37 Louisville 23By 1.46 Points
Louisville QB/WR
vs. ACC Seminoles Logs
0.52
Florida St DB's
Florida St Leaders
Phil's Forecast:
Florida St is playing with legitimate revenge after getting destroyed on the road in an embarrassing performance 63-20 and it could have been worse. LTH Florida St rolled to a 41-21 win. While Florida St is averaging just 18 ppg they are improving weekly and have topped 400 yards vs both Miami and Duke, which both are rated in my top 20 defenses and Louisville is just No. 68. I look for the offense to get rolling in this one. In 4 ACC games the Cards defense is allowing 522 ypg, which is 134 ypg above their opp’s averages. Florida St has faced my #1 toughest schedule and Louisville #57. People are wondering how does Floirda St stay motivated this year as they have 3 losses, all Jimbo has to say to the team is 63-20 and mention that Petrino said it could have been much worse.
TM +/- FOE +/-
Defense
--PS RANK--
LouisvillePhil SteeleFlorida St
58
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 122 8/31 29-37 L 120 119 106 30 74 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 116 9/2 27-47 L 121 96 96 28 37 210-1 0-0 100 9/9 122 106 106 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 97 137 11 9/8 7-44 L 118 109 96 5 41 980-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 100 109 9/16 17-28 L 120 105 130 84 74 50 0-2 0-0 97 9/16 45-0 W 123 109 1110-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 99 99 9/23 56-50 W 111 112 109 93 118 74 #44 #105 1-2 1-2 0-0 0-0 100 101 9/23 23-29 L 123 97 90 98 123 1171-2 1-0 101 91 9/30 51-43 W 91 112 112 125 125 90 #31 #100 1-3 2-2 0-1 1-0 98 113 9/30 16-34 L 122 91 86 81 95 652-2 1-4 2-0 0-1 100 84 10/7 45-27 W 85 115 90 127 118 125 #22 #121 1-4 0-1 98 10/7 123 89 673-2 2-2 3-0 1-0 101 97 10/14 37-47 L 83 110 83 124 115 122 #18 #103 1-4 4-1 0-1 1-0 98 109 10/11 19-8 W 122 86 53 71 56 107
2-4 1-1 97 103 10/21 125 74 48 #83 #63 3-3 3-1 103 97 10/21 80 119 512-4 1-2 100 10/28 110 109 90 #112 #20 3-2 2-0 101 10/26 114 111 1164-2 3-0 101 11/4 75 59 85 #114 #121 3-3 2-1 100 11/4 94 117 82
11/11 #123 #82 3-2 2-0 111 11/11 51 89 135-2 3-1 130 11/18 19 9 28 #119 #77 0-5 0-2 91 11/18 126 107 713-2 2-0 111 11/25 51 89 13 #53 #53 11/25
#91 #106 3-4 1-2 104 12/2 39 98 1300 +4
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
at Memphis 29-37 9 9 -2 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 at Mississippi 27-47 -157 2 1 25 37-170 4.6 19-31 204 1 23 29-102 3.5 28-35 429 2at Bye Oklahoma St 7-44 -330 -17 -2 12 27-41 1.5 14-24 134 4 29 37-163 4.4 26-41 342 1 Southern Miss 17-28 -98 -8 -1 15 37-218 5.9 11-27 218 3 23 48-284 5.9 17-32 250 1 Alabama A&M 45-0 241 7 2 18 39-158 4.1 9-13 255 1 11 26-72 2.8 18-28 100 2at Louisiana 56-50 67 -5 0 27 45-250 5.6 28-34 343 0 32 47-231 4.9 24-43 295 5 Idaho 23-29 -69 -7 1 17 48-244 5.1 11-26 106 1 24 37-146 3.9 23-39 273 3 Coastal Carolina 51-43 -97 -5 3 16 40-243 6.1 12-20 101 1 21 38-112 2.9 18-32 329 3 at Louisiana Tech 16-34 -146 -10 -1 16 22-98 4.5 21-45 235 1 26 33-162 4.9 24-39 317 3at Texas St 45-27 203 6 1 24 41-156 3.8 24-37 433 1 18 39-181 4.6 14-25 205 2 Bye Georgia St 37-47 -239 -12 -1 19 37-117 3.2 23-37 314 7 31 41-224 5.5 26-35 446 1 at Troy 19-8 -75 -6 3 12 44-48 1.1 11-20 176 4 18 20-30 1.5 25-47 269 2at South Alabama ULMat Idaho at Georgia St Appalachian St Louisianaat Bye Arkansas Stat Auburn at GA Southern Arkansas St Bye
at New Mexico St
Average 39-39 -25.8 -2.5 0.0 21 42-188 4.5 62.0% 281 7.3% 24 42-225 5.4 56.8% 270 6.8% Average 23-27 -89.3 -5.2 0.7 17 36-127 3.5 53.5% 185 7.5% 22 30-113 3.7 62.9% 288 5.7% Conference 47-42 -16.5 -4.0 0.8 22 41-192 4.7 68.0% 298 7.0% 26 41-187 4.5 60.7% 319 8.1% Conference 21-19 -72.0 -6.5 2.0 15 46-146 3.2 47.8% 141 10.9% 21 29-88 3.1 55.8% 271 5.8% Away 43-38 93.0 3.3 -0.3 25 45-184 4.1 67.6% 352 2.8% 22 42-244 5.8 51.6% 199 8.6% Home 25-24 -52.7 -5.7 0.3 16 38-148 3.9 54.0% 165 9.5% 21 33-127 3.8 62.0% 238 5.6%
at Memphis Garrett Smith 10-17-171-1-1 Garrett Smith 12-48-4.0-0 Markis McCray 3-69-23.0-0 at Mississippi Cole Garvin 19-31-204-1-0 Tra Minter 12-83-6.9-0 Sa'Mory Collier 4-43-10.8-0at Bye Oklahoma St Dallas Davis 13-23-126-1-1 Xavier Johnson 5-36-7.2-0 Jamarius Way 5-66-13.2-0 Southern Miss Garrett Smith 4-9-60-0-0 Derrick Gore 18-96-5.3-0 Josh Pederson 3-42-14.0-0 vs. Alabama A&M Dallas Davis 9-12-255-2-0 Denzel Foster 4-44-11.0-0 Jamarius Way 2-85-42.5-0at Louisiana Caleb Evans 28-34-343-1-0 Caleb Evans 16-129-8.1-5 Marcus Green 8-117-14.6-0 Idaho Dallas Davis 11-25-106-0-1 Xavier Johnson 20-155-7.8-2 Sam Harris 3-41-13.7-0 Coastal Carolina Caleb Evans 12-20-101-1-0 Ben Luckett 7-127-18.1-2 Marcus Green 2-23-11.5-0 at Louisiana Tech Cole Garvin 21-45-235-1-2 Xavier Johnson 12-89-7.4-0 Jamarius Way 5-67-13.4-1
at Texas St Caleb Evans 24-37-433-3-0 Ben Luckett 17-62-3.6-1 Marcus Green 4-100-25.0-1 vs. Bye
Georgia St Garrett Smith 14-23-225-3-0 Derrick Gore 10-32-3.2-0 Marcus Green 2-98-49.0-1 at Troy Dallas Davis 7-10-120-0-1 Denzel Foster 9-30-3.3-0 Tra Minter 3-83-27.7-0at South Alabama ULMat Idaho vs. at Georgia St Appalachian St Louisianaat Bye Arkansas Stat Auburn vs. at GA Southern Arkansas St Bye
at New Mexico Stvs.
Caleb Evans 91-143-1126-6-0 Derrick Gore 89-322-3.6-5 Marcus Green 21-375-17.9-3 Dallas Davis 40-70-607-3-3 Xavier Johnson 64-349-5.5-5 Jamarius Way 18-297-16.5-2Garrett Smith 28-49-456-4-1 Caleb Evans 63-269-4.3-8 Brian Williams 22-253-11.5-1 vs. Cole Garvin 45-87-503-3-2 Tra Minter 60-212-3.5-0 Sam Harris 16-220-13.8-0
Ben Luckett 28-208-7.4-3 RJ Turner 15-246-16.4-2 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Denzel Foster 19-102-5.4-0 Sa'Mory Collier 10-141-14.1-1Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.ULM - 50.5 42 27 46-181
South Alabama - -12 35 30 41-209 02013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.ULM - 56.5 14 14 39-71
South Alabama - -3.5 36 24 44-217 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.ULM - -22 38 22 42-170
South Alabama - 54 24 19 28-149 0
vs.
Warhawks Logs--PS RANK--
416 yards
23
TM REC FOE REC
Passing
Comp-Att-Yds 131 yards ULMProjected Passing
ULM South Alabama
ULM
By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving
ULM Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Comp-Att-Yds
26-39-279
23-37-307
365 yards
Net Offense Defense
ULM
War
haw
ks
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Sou
th A
lab
ama
Jag
uar
s
Net Offense
Ypg Diff at New Mexico StTotal TO's
at Auburn Score Def at GA Southern Arkansas St Sks By Bye
Appalachian St Pass Def Louisianaat Bye Total Def Arkansas St
at South Alabama Sks Allowed ULMat Idaho Rush Def at Georgia St
at Texas St Total Off Bye Georgia St Score Off at Troy
at Louisiana Rush Off Idaho Coastal Carolina Pass Off at Louisiana Tech
at Memphis 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Mississippiat Bye
ULM South Alabama Oklahoma St
Southern Miss Alabama A&M
FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE
FOE
2-4 South Alabama Jaguars3-3
Defense
Score Score
TEAM --PS RANK--1-1FOE 3-1TM REC FOE
REC
ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
ULM RB's
0.40
South Alabama LB's
ULM
ULM OL0.43
South Alabama DL
South Alabama Leaders
Team & Margin
ULM DL0.83
South Alabama OL
ULM LB'S0.41
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
The home team is 3-0 and last year ULM was a 2 TD dog at home and won in OT so the Jaguars are playing with revenge. LTH in ‘13 USA won 36-14. ULM had been impressive this year until last week's upset loss to Georgia St. South Alabama was outgained 299-224 by Troy, but got the road upset. South Alabama is 2-4 and this is a must win to keep bowl hopes alive. The Jaguars biggest edge is on defense where they are holding foes to 3 yards below their season average and ULM is allowing foes 111 ypg above their season average. USA has faced the tougher schedule (#83 vs #117) and get the home win here.
S Alabama By 4
59.5 PointsLas Vegas Total
S Alabama By 9.0
S Alabama By 5.5
S Alabama 416-365
Game Grade
Projected Rushing
234 yards+/- Ratings
230 yards
South Alabama 187 yardsULM K
0.01
South Alabama K
1.00South Alabama CoachesSouth Alabama
Projected Yardage TotalULM Coaches
ULM South Alabama 33 pointsProjected Final Score
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
S Alabama by 7Team Schedule Strength
117 ULM South Alabama South Alabama 33 ULM 26By 1.70 Points
Phil SteeleSouth Alabama
Computer Points
3.50Computer Yards
S Alabama 33-26
1.80
ULM Pts
TM CONF
FOE CONF
ULM WarhawksJaguars Logs
TM +/- FOE +/-
AP AP
vs. SUN vs. SUN
TM CONF
OVERALL: OVERALL:
South Alabama
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-TEAM
Rushing
0.41South Alabama QB/WR
0.36
ULM ST's
South Alabama ST's
1.44
ULM QB/WR
South Alabama DB's
83
South Alabama RB's
ULM DB's
ULM South AlabamaExperience Rankings
26 pointsSouth Alabama Pts
87
Comp-Att-Yds
23-35-250
21-41-211
19-28-203
16-27-207
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 118 4 9/2 49-31 W 5 6 25 106 59 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 116 9/2 49-16 W 14 27 49 93 68 231-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 137 130 6 14 9/9 42-24 W 8 13 25 8 19 38 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 126 24 15 9/9 19-20 L 7 24 49 11 16 582-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 138 118 4 9/16 27-24 W 3 14 77 9 30 56 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-1 131 112 9/16 49-20 W 11 22 70 81 33 633-0 3-0 1-0 0-0 134 119 5 9/23 30-20 W 10 10 37 75 53 78 #53 #5 2-1 2-0 1-1 0-0 133 118 9/23 38-18 W 7 22 70 41 16 1274-0 4-0 2-0 1-0 134 125 5 16 9/29 27-30 L 13 8 33 27 41 67 #19 #115 3-1 2-2 2-1 1-0 134 111 22 9/30 52-17 W 8 23 70 109 75 984-1 1-4 2-1 0-2 132 106 14 10/7 38-10 W 14 7 10 89 102 97 #19 #21 4-1 1-4 2-1 0-3 135 115 21 10/7 33-10 W 4 24 75 54 52 605-1 4-1 3-1 1-1 132 123 13 10/14 28-27 W 13 6 30 46 24 6 #36 #13 5-1 3-1 136 16 10/14 4 21 84
5-1 3-1 130 136 11 13 10/21 6 18 88 #37 #28 6-1 4-1 136 130 13 11 10/21 12 7 302-4 1-2 123 10/28 58 56 107 #61 #42 6-1 4-0 129 10/28 26 24 945-1 2-1 121 11/4 9 67 102 #91 #78 4-2 1-2 125 11/4 71 43 694-3 1-3 114 11/11 47 71 47 #67 #48 5-0 3-0 134 11/11 10 19 183-3 1-2 116 11/18 15 58 86 #52 #15 5-1 3-1 116 11/18 25 100 80
11/25 #6 #53 5-2 4-1 132 11/25 5 32 6#35 #280 +7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Western Michigan 49-31 164 1 -1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 Temple 49-16 276 8 0 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3 Stanford 42-24 281 12 -2 28 48-307 6.4 21-26 316 1 16 26-170 6.5 15-28 172 2 Georgia 19-20 -61 2 0 18 37-55 1.5 20-40 210 3 16 43-185 4.3 16-29 141 2 Texas 27-24 102 8 2 25 37-71 1.9 28-51 397 3 17 35-68 1.9 21-40 298 5 at Boston College 49-20 211 -3 1 19 51-515 10.1 11-27 96 0 22 44-185 4.2 24-41 215 1at California 30-20 -60 1 4 22 38-133 3.5 26-38 223 1 21 33-113 3.4 22-52 303 3 at Michigan St 38-18 -141 -5 3 21 40-182 4.6 14-20 173 1 26 32-151 4.7 32-53 345 2at Washington St 27-30 -135 -8 -1 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 Miami, OH 52-17 126 2 2 21 39-333 8.5 10-23 170 2 19 33-115 3.5 19-37 262 3 Oregon St 38-10 193 10 0 26 37-184 5.0 24-36 328 1 16 36-122 3.4 16-29 197 2 at North Carolina 33-10 222 14 1 27 57-341 6.0 17-31 146 1 13 28-86 3.1 19-42 179 2 Utah 28-27 96 10 -2 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 Byeat Notre Dame USCat Arizona St NC State Arizona Wake Forestat Colorado at Miami, Fl UCLA Navy Bye at Stanford
Average 34-24 91.6 4.9 0.0 24 37-181 4.9 62.4% 296 3.8% 20 36-147 4.1 54.6% 239 8.8% Average 40-17 105.5 3.0 1.2 22 45-308 6.9 52.0% 163 5.3% 19 36-135 3.7 54.4% 231 5.5% Conference 33-22 75.0 5.0 -0.2 24 37-192 5.2 63.1% 278 2.8% 19 33-139 4.2 55.3% 256 8.5% Conference 35-17 57.8 2.0 1.3 21 46-273 5.9 52.5% 156 4.2% 19 37-152 4.1 55.2% 220 4.2% Away 29-25 -97.5 -3.5 1.5 19 34-148 4.4 61.2% 194 4.5% 22 32-118 3.7 54.4% 322 7.8% Home 40-18 113.7 4.0 0.7 22 40-270 6.8 50.5% 188 7.5% 18 38-128 3.4 53.5% 216 7.9%
Western Michigan Sam Darnold 23-33-289-0-2 Ronald Jones 18-159-8.8-3 Deontay Burnett 7-142-20.3-0 Temple Brandon Wimbush 17-30-184-2-1 Josh Adams 19-161-8.5-2 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-80-20.0-1 Stanford Sam Darnold 21-26-316-4-2 Stephen Carr 11-119-10.8-0 Deontay Burnett 9-121-13.4-2 Georgia Brandon Wimbush 20-40-210-0-0 Josh Adams 19-53-2.8-0 Josh Adams 6-60-10.0-0 Texas Sam Darnold 28-49-397-3-2 Ronald Jones 18-47-2.6-0 Deontay Burnett 8-123-15.4-2 vs. at Boston College Brandon Wimbush 11-24-96-0-1 Josh Adams 18-229-12.7-0 Alize Mack 5-43-8.6-0at California Sam Darnold 26-38-223-2-1 Stephen Carr 20-82-4.1-1 Deontay Burnett 9-76-8.4-1 at Michigan St Brandon Wimbush 14-20-173-1-0 Josh Adams 9-56-6.2-0 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-61-15.3-0at Washington St Sam Darnold 15-29-164-0-1 Ronald Jones 14-128-9.1-1 Tyler Vaughns 6-89-14.8-0 Miami, OH Brandon Wimbush 7-18-119-3-0 Josh Adams 8-159-19.9-2 Miles Boykin 1-54-54.0-1 Oregon St Sam Darnold 23-35-316-3-1 Ronald Jones 12-79-6.6-1 Tyler Vaughns 5-68-13.6-1 vs. at North Carolina Ian Book 17-31-146-1-2 Deon McIntosh 12-124-10.3-2 Alize Mack 6-38-6.3-0 Utah Sam Darnold 27-50-358-3-0 Ronald Jones 17-111-6.5-1 Deontay Burnett 8-99-12.4-0 Byeat Notre Dame USCat Arizona St vs. NC State Arizona Wake Forestat Colorado at Miami, Fl UCLA vs. Navy Bye at Stanford
vs.
Sam Darnold 163-260-2063-15-9 Ronald Jones 102-640-6.3-8 Deontay Burnett 49-626-12.8-6 Brandon Wimbush 69-132-782-6-2 Josh Adams 86-776-9.0-5 Equanimeous St. Brown 15-211-14.1-2Matt Fink 1-1-12-0-0 Stephen Carr 52-309-5.9-3 Steven Mitchell 23-333-14.5-2 vs. Ian Book 20-39-197-1-2 Brandon Wimbush 68-402-5.9-8 Chase Claypool 12-144-12.0-1Team 0-2-0-0-0 Vavae Malepeai 28-162-5.8-0 Tyler Vaughns 25-287-11.5-1 Deon McIntosh 40-230-5.8-4 Durham Smythe 6-110-18.3-0
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.USC 12 -18 45 23 38-207
Notre Dame - 58 27 23 37-154 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.USC - 61.5 31 19 30-150
Notre Dame 14 -5 41 21 35-214 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.USC - -7 49 35 53-205
Notre Dame - 61 14 20 25-104 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.USC - 51 10 18 31-129
Notre Dame - -3 14 17 40-134 02012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
USC - 46 13 19 27-95
Notre Dame 1 -5.5 22 24 42-222 215-27-217
20-34-201
14-25-166
Comp-Att-Yds
14-24-186
USC
21-39-254
USC
USC
Experience Rankings
195 yards
Trojans Logs
Projected Rushing
Projected Box Score
FOE +/-
AP TEAM --PS RANK--
FOE
USC Leaders
FOE
Net Offense Defense
US
C T
roja
ns
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Not
re D
ame
Fig
hti
ng
Iri
sh
Net Offense
Ypg DiffTotal TO's
Score Def Navy Bye Sks By at Stanford UCLA
Pass Def Wake Forestat Colorado Total Def at Miami, Fl Arizona
Sks Allowed USCat Arizona St Rush Def NC Stateat Notre Dame
Total Off at North Carolina Utah Score Off Bye Oregon St
Rush Off at Michigan Stat Washington St Pass Off Miami, OHat California
Temple Stanford
USC Notre Dame Georgia
Texas at Boston College
Western Michigan 2017 TEAM RANKINGS
USC Trojans OVERALL: OVERALL: Notre Dame Fighting Irish6-1 5-1
FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
4-1 3-1TM REC
vs. PAC 12 vs. IND Fighting Irish Logs--PS RANK--TM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
FOE
FOE
AP TEAM
Defense
Score Score
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/-
ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
USC Notre Dame
0.76
USC QB/WR
Notre Dame DB's
USC RB's0.10
Notre Dame LB's
1.46
USC OL0.07
Notre Dame DL
USC LB'S
Notre Dame RB's
264 yardsProjected Passing
USC DL
Notre Dame OL
0.17
USC K
1.02
USC DB's
Notre Dame QB/WR
Notre Dame By 3.5
+/- Ratings
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.61
USC ST'sComp-Att-Yds
19-30-205
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Notre Dame ST's
Notre Dame Coaches
1.00
0.56
Notre Dame Leaders
Las Vegas Line
Las Vegas Total60 Points
Team & Margin
269 yards
Notre Dame
Phil's Forecast:
Notre Dame By 10.5USC CoachesNotre Dame K
The home team has now won four in a row in this series. Last year USC won by 18 at home, but did benefit from Adoree' Jackson PR, KR, REC TD’s!! USC only had a 412-408 yard edge. USC comes in 6-1, but other than Stanford has played below expectations as they are just 1-6 versus the Vegas number with Western Michigan (led by 4 4:00 left), Texas (OT), and Utah (Utes stopped on 2 pt conv end) all taking them to the wire. They have a banged-up football team with 21 players on the injury list including 10 who are out for the year. Notre Dame is fresh off a bye with Brian Kelly 8-1 off a bye and the Irish average 308 ypg rush with an amazing 6.9 ypc and one of the best offensive lines in the country. While USC is playing to an average game grade of 99.7, the Irish are at 104.1 and rate a 5 point home edge here due to the situation.
USC Pts
Notre Dame Pts
Comp-Att-Yds
392 yards USC Notre DameProjected Yardage Total
32-40-372 458 yards
Notre Dame
24 points USC Notre Dame
Comp-Att-Yds
34 points
31-47-440
16-25-262
16-39-245
Comp-Att-Yds
Projected Final Score
123 yards
Notre Dame 84Team Schedule Strength
11 USC Notre Dame
72
22 Best Bet: ★ Notre Dame 37 USC 24By 0.61 Points
Notre Dame 34-24
Phil SteeleNotre Dame
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Notre Dame by 13
Computer Points
2.57 3.18
Game GradeNotre Dame By 9.0
Computer YardsNotre Dame 458-392
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 93 7 9/2 56-7 W 2 19 12 119 116 117 0-0 0-0 133 20 9/2 55-19 W 37 40 11-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 140 137 5 2 9/9 31-16 W 2 20 12 3 2 46 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 133 91 19 9/9 55-7 W 33 68 1 120 118 1232-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 142 111 2 9/16 56-14 W 5 13 67 90 87 82 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 133 120 18 9/16 7-14 L 29 62 2 59 29 543-0 0-3 0-0 0-0 143 112 3 9/23 49-41 W 5 14 42 39 76 20 #35 #46 2-1 0-0 129 9/23 37 54 14-0 1-0 139 3 9/30 2 16 56 #4 #96 2-1 0-4 0-0 0-1 129 116 9/30 33-20 W 33 57 1 34 83 194-0 2-2 1-0 0-1 139 117 3 10/7 31-38 L 2 18 46 56 65 55 #3 #91 3-1 2-2 1-0 1-0 129 125 10/7 34-40 L 33 49 1 20 16 244-1 3-2 1-1 2-0 134 127 12 10/14 29-24 W 2 23 88 20 14 61 #10 #49 3-2 5-0 1-1 2-0 127 132 6 10/14 6-26 L 36 46 1 12 16 17
3-3 1-2 133 124 9 10/21 44 38 2 #37 #28 5-1 2-1 124 133 9 10/21 3 22 784-2 1-2 125 10/28 21 52 97 #36 #33 1-5 0-3 95 10/28 89 118 645-1 2-1 140 11/4 4 28 83 #94 #90 4-2 1-2 125 11/4 21 52 976-0 3-0 135 11/11 18 13 23 #49 #45 4-2 2-1 125 11/11 11 69 961-5 0-3 95 11/18 89 118 64 #50 #39 5-1 2-1 140 11/18 4 28 834-2 2-1 125 11/25 11 69 96 #48 #100 4-2 2-1 125 11/25 67 47 41
#5 #73-2 +6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
UTEP 56-7 509 24 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1 Central Arkansas 55-19 98 -12 3 16 31-186 6.0 10-16 333 1 28 55-223 4.1 27-35 198 4at Ohio St 31-16 140 6 -1 27 37-104 2.8 27-35 386 2 21 34-167 4.9 19-35 183 3 Charlotte 55-7 325 18 3 28 51-304 6.0 17-23 189 1 10 28-110 3.9 10-25 58 0 Tulane 56-14 340 4 0 24 32-197 6.2 20-30 434 1 20 62-237 3.8 6-12 54 3 at Vanderbilt 7-14 7 2 -1 13 35-201 5.7 10-28 76 2 11 32-65 2.0 14-23 205 1at Baylor 49-41 102 -2 0 20 40-342 8.6 13-19 283 2 22 35-60 1.7 33-50 463 3 Bye Bye Baylor 33-20 -31 1 1 19 43-225 5.2 7-17 119 0 18 27-84 3.1 26-44 291 3 Iowa St 31-38 64 7 -1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 at Texas 34-40 -152 -16 0 16 39-140 3.6 14-23 254 3 32 40-166 4.2 30-51 380 0† Texas 29-24 90 -3 -1 20 39-174 4.5 18-28 344 2 23 39-139 3.6 21-43 289 3 TCU 6-26 -179 -7 0 10 29-70 2.4 11-30 146 2 17 36-98 2.7 27-37 297 1at Kansas St Oklahoma Texas Tech at Kansasat Oklahoma St at Texas Tech TCU West Virginiaat Kansas at Oklahoma St West Virginia Iowa St
Average 42-23 207.5 6.0 -0.3 26 37-198 5.4 74.2% 378 5.5% 20 37-126 3.4 59.3% 242 7.2% Average 32-21 11.3 -2.3 1.0 17 38-188 4.9 50.4% 186 6.6% 19 36-124 3.4 62.3% 238 4.2% Conference 36-34 85.3 0.7 -0.7 23 38-235 6.2 69.1% 317 7.4% 22 35-93 2.6 61.7% 373 5.8% Conference 24-29 -120.7 -7.3 0.3 15 37-145 3.9 45.7% 173 7.1% 22 34-116 3.4 62.9% 323 3.0% Away 36-27 110.7 0.3 -0.7 22 39-207 5.3 70.7% 338 7.3% 22 36-122 3.4 57.0% 312 7.0% Home 37-18 53.3 0.0 1.8 18 39-196 5.1 52.3% 197 4.7% 18 37-129 3.5 63.8% 211 5.7%
UTEP Baker Mayfield 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1 Central Arkansas Jesse Ertz 10-16-333-4-0 Skylar Thompson 3-49-16.3-0 Byron Pringle 3-121-40.3-1at Ohio St Baker Mayfield 27-35-386-3-0 Trey Sermon 17-62-3.6-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-98-14.0-1 Charlotte Jesse Ertz 16-21-178-0-0 Alex Barnes 16-99-6.2-1 Isaiah Zuber 7-73-10.4-0 Tulane Baker Mayfield 17-27-331-4-0 Abdul Adams 8-93-11.6-0 Marquise Brown 6-155-25.8-1 vs. at Vanderbilt Jesse Ertz 10-28-76-0-2 Jesse Ertz 24-126-5.3-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-37-9.3-0at Baylor Baker Mayfield 13-19-283-3-0 Abdul Adams 11-164-14.9-1 Mark Andrews 3-72-24.0-1 Bye Bye Baylor Jesse Ertz 7-17-119-1-0 Jesse Ertz 12-95-7.9-1 Isaiah Zuber 4-79-19.8-1 Iowa St Baker Mayfield 24-33-306-2-0 Trey Sermon 18-90-5.0-0 Dimitri Flowers 7-95-13.6-0 vs. at Texas Jesse Ertz 12-18-224-2-1 Alex Delton 12-79-6.6-2 Dalton Schoen 5-128-25.6-2† Texas Baker Mayfield 17-27-302-2-1 Trey Sermon 20-96-4.8-0 Mark Andrews 4-104-26.0-1 TCU Alex Delton 11-29-146-0-0 Alex Delton 19-39-2.1-0 Byron Pringle 3-80-26.7-0at Kansas St Oklahoma Texas Tech vs. at Kansasat Oklahoma St at Texas Tech TCU West Virginiaat Kansas vs. at Oklahoma St West Virginia Iowa St
vs.
Baker Mayfield 117-161-1937-17-1 Trey Sermon 81-469-5.8-3 Mark Andrews 23-459-20.0-3 Jesse Ertz 55-100-930-7-3 Jesse Ertz 65-336-5.2-3 Dalton Schoen 13-286-22.0-3Kyler Murray 13-14-252-2-0 Abdul Adams 35-372-10.6-1 CeeDee Lamb 20-381-19.1-4 vs. Alex Delton 13-34-176-0-0 Alex Barnes 63-306-4.9-2 Isaiah Zuber 24-267-11.1-2Trey Sermon 1-1-42-0-0 Marcelias Sutton 20-118-5.9-2 Jeff Badet 15-321-21.4-2 Skylar Thompson 1-2-11-0-0 Alex Delton 34-141-4.1-2 Byron Pringle 10-254-25.4-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma 19 -14 38 24 33-138
Kansas St - 58.5 17 19 32-110 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma 19 -4 55 30 52-232
Kansas St - 54.5 0 7 31-65 -32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma 11 -7 30 30 42-198
Kansas St 14 55 31 17 32-160 22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma 22 53.5 41 22 52-301
Kansas St - -5 31 17 22-24 -12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Oklahoma 6 -16 19 24 27-87
Kansas St 15 56.5 24 19 44-213 3
28-43-299
13-21-149
25 points
29
14 Oklahoma Kansas St
Oklahoma
33 points
5-22-45
Comp-Att-Yds
28-36-335
15-23-225
339 yards Oklahoma Kansas St 199 yards
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Comp-Att-Yds
Oklahoma Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
26-32-372
20-37-225
AP
Oklahoma SoonersSooners Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TEAM
at Kansas
Net OffenseNet Offense Defense
Okl
ahom
a S
oon
ers
at Oklahoma St West Virginia Sks By Iowa St
at Oklahoma St Pass Def at Texas Tech TCU Total Def West Virginia
at Kansas St Sks Allowed Oklahoma Texas Tech Rush Def at Kansas
Iowa St Total Off at Texas† Texas Score Off TCU
at Baylor Rush Off Bye Bye Pass Off Baylor
UTEP 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Central Arkansasat Ohio St
Oklahoma Kansas St Charlotte
Tulane at Vanderbilt
Score Def
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Kan
sas
St
Wild
cats
vs. BIG 12
OVERALL: OVERALL: Kansas St Wildcats5-1 3-3vs. BIG 12 Wildcats Logs
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF
FOE--PS RANK--1-2TM +/-
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM--PS RANK-- FOE FOE
+/-AP2-1
Defense
Score Score
Total TO'sYpg Diff
ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
Oklahoma Kansas St
2.47
Oklahoma QB/WR
Kansas St DB's
0.84
Oklahoma RB's
Kansas St LB's
0.29
Oklahoma OL
Kansas St DL
0.47
Oklahoma DL
Kansas St OL
1.17
Oklahoma LB'S
Kansas St RB'sOklahoma DB's
0.44
Kansas St QB/WR
Kansas St Leaders
Oklahoma By 4.3
Team & Margin
Las Vegas Total
Projected Box Score Oklahoma ST's3.14
Kansas St ST's
Oklahoma Coaches
134 yardsKansas St 1.41
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
Bob Stoops was an assistant under Bill Snyder and his Sooners made 6 trips to Manhattan and won all 6 by 24.8 ppg. Stoops is gone now and it will be interesting if they can maintain that same dominance (won 55-0 in ‘15 here). Oklahoma has my #2 rated offense with season highs vs 5 of their 6 foes and they average 208 ypg above what their opp’s normally allow. Despite allowing 466 ypg the last 3 games they are holding foes to 44 yards below their season average. Kansas St was without QB Jesse Ertz last week and managed just 216 yards vs TCU. Ertz is doubtful here, but Kansas St is 7-2 as a home dog even with last week's loss.
Oklahoma By 14
54.5 Points
3.50
Oklahoma 498-333
Oklahoma By 17.8
Oklahoma KComp-Att-Yds
Kansas St K25-32-336
Projected Rushing159 yards Oklahoma
Ret
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Tab
le o
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onte
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Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade
498 yards Oklahoma Kansas St 333 yards Kansas St Coaches
+/- RatingsProjected Passing
8.49OklahomaExperience Rankings Kansas St Pts
64
60 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength Kansas St
Comp-Att-Yds
Kansas St
Comp-Att-Yds
14-21-171
17-29-348
Computer Yards
Computer PointsOklahoma 33-25
Projected Final Score5.25Kansas St
Oklahoma Pts
Oklahoma 34 Kansas St 23By 3.24 Points
Phil SteeleOklahoma by 11
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 118 13 9/2 27-0 W 18 11 9 73 33 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 96 9/2 47-27 W 28 37 21 121 96 961-0 0-0 132 12 9/9 45-10 W 19 5 9 1-0 0-0 117 9/9 45-23 W 23 44 212-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 132 125 12 9/16 7-37 L 21 3 18 27 28 72 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 117 116 9/16 16-27 L 19 47 5 68 63 612-1 2-1 0-1 0-0 127 113 25 9/23 35-26 W 27 4 14 63 52 36 #41 #120 2-1 0-0 114 9/23 25 40 343-1 3-1 0-1 1-0 126 104 25 9/30 21-24 L 29 5 37 69 55 105 #85 #9 2-1 4-0 0-0 1-0 114 145 1 9/30 3-66 L 25 38 26 1 1 243-2 3-1 0-1 3-0 121 127 21 10/7 17-16 W 25 8 20 48 25 8 #76 #30 2-2 4-1 0-1 2-0 110 134 12 10/7 23-44 L 36 57 70 19 5 284-2 5-1 1-1 3-0 124 133 10 10/14 27-23 W 29 10 71 17 8 27 #85 #47 2-3 3-3 0-2 0-3 111 116 10/14 57-35 W 33 63 70 95 39 113
3-3 1-2 127 116 24 10/21 23 66 75 #63 #96 5-2 2-1 116 127 24 10/21 30 12 4910/28 #56 #118 2-4 0-3 112 10/28 35 62 109
7-0 4-0 145 11/4 1 1 21 #15 #55 5-1 2-1 117 11/4 78 39 112-4 0-3 112 11/11 35 62 109 #21 #110 3-3 2-1 100 11/11 94 117 823-3 0-3 115 11/18 66 41 9 #26 #116 5-2 3-1 125 11/18 33 21 35-2 3-1 125 11/25 33 21 3 #4 #77 4-2 1-2 121 11/23 24 33 29
#43 #71-2 -2
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† BYU 27-0 382 20 1 26 57-296 5.2 15-18 183 0 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 South Alabama 47-27 157 -2 -1 23 29-102 3.5 28-35 429 2 25 37-170 4.6 19-31 204 1 Chattanooga 45-10 212 10 2 22 46-222 4.8 9-18 232 2 12 27-68 2.5 15-32 174 5 UT Martin 45-23 209 10 0 24 18-54 3.0 32-43 489 1 14 44-219 5.0 10-17 115 1at Miss St 7-37 -195 -12 0 13 29-133 4.6 13-29 137 2 25 48-285 5.9 15-23 180 1 at California 16-27 17 -6 -1 19 29-53 1.8 26-44 363 5 25 40-163 4.1 24-48 236 1 Syracuse 35-26 30 -6 -2 18 38-151 4.0 14-23 263 2 24 27-76 2.8 34-55 308 3 Bye Troy 21-24 65 5 -2 21 29-162 5.6 21-32 266 0 16 42-206 4.9 16-28 157 3 at Alabama 3-66 -360 -15 -2 11 26-88 3.4 14-29 165 5 26 51-365 7.2 15-24 248 0at Florida 17-16 39 2 0 18 48-216 4.5 9-16 125 2 16 38-194 5.1 10-16 108 5 at Auburn 23-44 -132 -2 0 23 30-83 2.8 34-51 346 1 25 51-326 6.4 14-21 235 1 Auburn 27-23 9 -3 -1 14 39-157 4.0 13-25 206 4 17 44-189 4.3 9-26 165 3 Vanderbilt 57-35 186 6 2 27 41-252 6.1 22-35 351 2 21 37-188 5.1 18-37 229 7at Mississippi LSU Bye Arkansasat Alabama at Kentucky Arkansas Louisianaat Tennessee Texas A&M Texas A&M at Miss St
Average 26-19 77.4 2.3 -0.3 19 41-191 4.7 58.4% 202 7.5% 17 34-145 4.2 54.4% 171 11.3% Average 32-37 12.8 -1.5 -0.3 21 29-105 3.7 65.8% 357 6.8% 23 43-239 5.5 56.2% 211 6.2% Conference 17-25 -49.0 -4.3 -0.3 15 39-169 4.4 50.0% 156 11.4% 19 43-223 5.1 52.3% 151 13.8% Conference 28-48 -102.0 -3.7 0.0 20 32-141 4.4 60.9% 287 7.0% 24 46-293 6.3 57.3% 237 9.8% Away 17-18 75.3 3.3 0.3 19 45-215 4.8 58.7% 148 6.3% 16 33-158 4.7 58.7% 130 14.3% Home 50-28 184.0 4.7 0.3 25 29-136 4.6 72.6% 423 4.4% 20 39-192 4.9 55.3% 183 10.6%
† BYU Danny Etling 14-17-173-0-0 Derrius Guice 27-120-4.4-2 DJ Chark 4-77-19.3-0 South Alabama Shea Patterson 28-35-429-4-0 D'Vaughn Pennamon 7-34-4.9-1 A.J Brown 8-233-29.1-2 Chattanooga Danny Etling 8-14-227-1-0 Derrius Guice 15-102-6.8-2 DJ Chark 3-103-34.3-0 UT Martin Shea Patterson 32-43-489-5-1 Jordan Wilkins 9-36-4.0-1 A.J Brown 8-156-19.5-2at Miss St Danny Etling 13-29-137-0-0 Derrius Guice 15-76-5.1-0 Darrel Williams 2-37-18.5-0 vs. at California Shea Patterson 26-44-363-2-3 Jordan Wilkins 11-38-3.5-0 D.K Metcalf 3-125-41.7-1 Syracuse Danny Etling 10-17-188-2-0 Darrel Williams 16-92-5.8-1 Drake Davis 2-98-49.0-1 Bye Troy Danny Etling 17-25-198-2-1 Darrel Williams 17-69-4.1-0 DJ Chark 4-105-26.3-0 at Alabama Shea Patterson 14-29-165-0-2 Jordan Wilkins 12-101-8.4-0 DaMarkus Lodge 2-72-36.0-0at Florida Danny Etling 9-16-125-1-0 Russell Gage 6-52-8.7-1 DJ Chark 1-47-47.0-0 vs. at Auburn Shea Patterson 34-51-346-2-0 Jordan Wilkins 13-65-5.0-1 A.J Brown 10-109-10.9-0 Auburn Danny Etling 13-24-206-1-0 Russell Gage 2-71-35.5-0 DJ Chark 5-150-30.0-0 Vanderbilt Shea Patterson 22-35-351-4-0 Jordan Wilkins 18-113-6.3-1 A.J Brown 8-174-21.8-2at Mississippi LSU Bye vs. Arkansasat Alabama at Kentucky Arkansas Louisianaat Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Texas A&M at Miss St
vs.
Danny Etling 84-142-1254-7-1 Derrius Guice 102-433-4.2-5 DJ Chark 22-535-24.3-0 Shea Patterson 156-237-2143-17-6 Jordan Wilkins 71-382-5.4-3 A.J Brown 35-678-19.4-6Myles Brennan 10-18-160-1-2 Darrel Williams 79-373-4.7-5 Russell Gage 13-168-12.9-2 vs. Eric Swinney 20-122-6.1-1 DaMarkus Lodge 24-438-18.3-6Russell Gage 0-1-0-0-0 Russell Gage 18-168-9.3-1 Drake Davis 3-134-44.7-2 D'Vaughn Pennamon 30-89-3.0-1 D.K Metcalf 25-357-14.3-4
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.LSU 25 -7 38 20 36-311
Mississippi 23 60.5 21 19 36-107 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.LSU 17 55 17 25 38-184
Mississippi 25 -7 38 21 31-152 22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.LSU 24 45 10 22 55-264
Mississippi 3 -3 7 15 34-137 32013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.LSU 6 -10 24 22 35-114
Mississippi - 60 27 28 43-176 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
LSU 8 -19 41 21 38-145
Mississippi - 49.5 35 20 41-147 -1
19-33-274
31-41-349
Ret
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Tab
le o
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Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds
19-28-204
Comp-Att-Yds
8-16-142
14-34-176
Comp-Att-Yds
LSU Leaders
26-51-324
19-34-280
Comp-Att-Yds
20-33-218
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
LSU TigersTigers Logs
Net Offense Defense
LSU
Tig
ers
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Mis
siss
ipp
i Reb
els
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def Texas A&M Texas A&M Sks By at Miss Stat Tennessee
Pass Def at Kentucky Arkansas Total Def Louisianaat Alabama
Sks Allowed LSU Bye Rush Def Arkansasat Mississippi
Total Off at Auburn Auburn Score Off Vanderbiltat Florida
Rush Off Bye Troy Pass Off at Alabama Syracuseat Miss St
† BYU Chattanooga
TEAM
OVERALL: OVERALL: Mississippi Rebels5-2 3-3
--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--2-1 1-2TM REC
FOE FOE REC
TM CONF TM +/-
vs. SEC vs. SEC Rebels LogsFOE
CONFFOE +/-
AP TEAM FOE
NCAA RANKINGS FOEFOE
Defense
Score Score
UT Martinat California
2017 TEAM RANKINGS South Alabama
LSU Mississippi
ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing
LSU OL
Mississippi DL
LSU Mississippi
0.45
LSU QB/WR
Mississippi DB's
Mississippi RB's
LSU ST's0.17
1.34
LSU RB's
Mississippi LB's
1.27
0.74
LSU DL
Mississippi OL
LSU By 6.5LSU K
1.66
LSU LB'S
LSU DB's0.35
Mississippi QB/WR
Mississippi Leaders
0.45Las Vegas Total
Mississippi K59.5 Points
+/- RatingsLSU Coaches
Team & Margin
Las Vegas LineMississippi ST's
LSU By 6.8
Mississippi Coaches
Phil's Forecast:
It’s the Magnolia Bowl! Five of the L/8 have been decided by 7 pts or less and the home team has now won 5 in a row. LSU just got emotional upset wins over Florida and Auburn and now travel, while Ole Miss is off putting up 57 points and 603 yards vsVandy and home again. Ed Orgeron has extra motivation after being fired from Ole Miss after 2007. Ole Miss may be 3-3, but they have losses at Alabama and Auburn and an unusual road trip to California where they blew a late lead. The schedules are even, but LSU is +77 ypg and UM +13. The underdog has won 5 in a row in LSU games. LSU is playing to an average game grade of 92.1 but Ole Miss is at 86.5 and with the 4 point home edge LSU that rating only has LSU winning by 1.6. I like the home dog here.
Projected Rushing248 yards LSU Mississippi 109 yards
Projected PassingLSU Mississippi 303 yards166 yards
27 points
LSU By 1.4Projected Yardage Total
Game Grade414 yards LSU Mississippi 412 yards
1.70
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength
Projected Final Score
Experience Rankings Mississippi PtsLSU 7.16
LSU Pts
30 points MississippiComputer Yards
LSU 30-27Comp-Att-Yds
0.96 LSU 414-412
Computer Points95 LSU Mississippi 106
29 LSU by 2 LSU 30 Mississippi 28By 6.20 Points
LSU Phil Steele22-38-282
16-37-31635 LSU Mississippi
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 120 9/2 42-24 W 50 72 29 0-0 0-0 120 9/2 56-10 W 47 105 591-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 121 9/9 41-44 L 48 78 29 68 23 40 1-0 0-0 125 9/9 40 79 591-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 118 99 9/16 41-14 W 50 82 47 115 97 117 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 125 111 9/16 52-45 W 31 66 129 61 57 1212-1 0-0 120 9/23 45 74 25 #119 #66 2-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 123 121 9/23 27-24 W 29 70 53 50 49 722-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 120 122 9/28 7-17 L 45 72 39 18 22 63 #20 #5 3-0 3-1 0-0 0-1 124 136 15 9/30 34-41 L 23 63 69 6 35 972-2 4-0 0-1 1-0 117 139 3 10/7 38-31 W 56 65 55 2 18 46 #68 #7 3-1 1-3 0-1 0-1 124 102 10/7 65-19 W 32 63 81 69 112 823-2 1-4 1-1 0-2 122 98 10/14 45-0 W 56 65 44 74 117 63 #29 #4 4-1 3-2 1-1 1-1 128 122 24 10/14 35-46 L 26 57 82 9 64 100
4-2 1-2 125 125 10/21 21 52 97 #15 #76 4-2 2-1 125 125 10/21 67 47 416-0 3-0 135 10/28 18 13 23 #28 #31 5-1 2-1 133 10/28 3 22 784-2 2-1 125 11/4 11 69 96 #87 #127 3-3 1-2 124 11/4 44 38 25-1 2-1 140 11/11 4 28 83 #42 #100 0-6 0-3 112 11/11 52 93 350-6 0-3 112 11/18 52 93 35 #45 #93 6-0 3-0 135 11/18 18 13 233-3 1-2 124 11/25 44 38 2 #53 #68 3-3 2-1 128 11/25 22 16 54
#51 #23+6 +9
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Northern Iowa 42-24 27 3 2 24 35-134 3.8 27-36 271 0 21 22-119 5.4 23-38 259 2 Eastern Washington 56-10 325 13 3 32 40-177 4.4 31-35 449 2 19 36-81 2.3 23-36 220 1 Iowa 41-44 -30 -7 -1 22 26-120 4.6 25-46 347 1 29 41-164 4.0 27-41 333 1 Byeat Akron 41-14 177 4 3 23 37-191 5.2 24-33 317 0 19 24-38 1.6 27-44 293 6 Arizona St 52-45 121 6 0 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 Bye at Houston 27-24 94 -8 4 17 33-200 6.1 29-45 321 2 25 31-110 3.5 32-52 317 2 Texas 7-17 -56 -1 -1 18 15-10 0.7 24-49 246 2 19 52-141 2.7 19-26 171 2 Oklahoma St 34-41 -213 -7 0 25 26-54 2.1 29-46 330 1 32 44-221 5.0 27-38 376 1at Oklahoma 38-31 -64 -7 1 21 32-81 2.5 20-27 368 1 28 35-190 5.4 25-34 323 2 at Kansas 65-19 235 13 2 30 52-313 6.0 22-27 290 3 17 33-112 3.4 23-43 256 1 Kansas 45-0 212 10 2 15 43-106 2.5 18-30 212 3 5 33-62 1.9 11-26 44 0 at West Virginia 35-46 117 -1 0 27 33-190 5.8 24-39 323 2 28 29-44 1.5 32-41 352 4at Texas Tech Iowa St TCU at Oklahomaat West Virginia Kansas St Oklahoma St † Baylorat Baylor TCUat Kansas St at Texas
Average 36-22 44.3 0.3 1.0 21 31-107 3.4 62.4% 294 3.2% 20 35-119 3.4 63.2% 237 6.2% Average 45-31 113.2 2.7 1.5 27 36-168 4.7 71.1% 376 5.4% 25 36-123 3.4 65.3% 308 4.8% Conference 30-16 30.7 0.7 0.7 18 30-66 2.2 58.5% 275 5.7% 17 40-131 3.3 64.0% 179 4.7% Conference 45-35 46.3 1.7 0.7 27 37-186 5.0 67.0% 314 5.4% 26 35-126 3.6 67.2% 328 4.9% Away 40-23 56.5 -1.5 2.0 22 35-136 3.9 73.3% 343 1.7% 24 30-114 3.9 66.7% 308 10.3% Home 47-32 77.7 4.0 1.0 30 32-101 3.2 74.0% 441 4.6% 26 41-157 3.8 67.0% 307 4.3%
Northern Iowa Jacob Park 27-35-271-2-1 David Montgomery 14-82-5.9-2 Allen Lazard 8-108-13.5-0 Eastern Washington Nic Shimonek 26-30-384-3-0 Desmond Nisby 6-57-9.5-0 Derrick Willies 4-126-31.5-1 Iowa Jacob Park 25-46-347-4-1 David Montgomery 20-112-5.6-1 Hakeem Butler 5-128-25.6-2 Byeat Akron Jacob Park 24-33-317-2-0 David Montgomery 22-127-5.8-1 Trever Ryen 6-80-13.3-0 vs. Arizona St Nic Shimonek 37-50-543-6-0 Justin Stockton 12-47-3.9-0 Keke Coutee 12-186-15.5-1 Bye at Houston Nic Shimonek 29-45-321-2-1 Justin Stockton 10-102-10.2-0 Keke Coutee 11-161-14.6-1 Texas Jacob Park 24-48-246-1-3 David Montgomery 9-34-3.8-0 Allen Lazard 5-63-12.6-0 Oklahoma St Nic Shimonek 29-46-330-1-1 Justin Stockton 12-28-2.3-1 Cameron Batson 6-84-14.0-0at Oklahoma Kyle Kempt 18-24-343-3-0 David Montgomery 17-55-3.2-1 Trever Ryen 4-99-24.8-1 vs. at Kansas Nic Shimonek 19-24-233-2-1 Justin Stockton 15-161-10.7-1 Keke Coutee 8-87-10.9-1 Kansas Kyle Kempt 13-20-122-1-0 David Montgomery 21-68-3.2-3 Allen Lazard 3-40-13.3-0 at West Virginia Nic Shimonek 24-39-323-4-1 Justin Stockton 15-96-6.4-0 T.J Vasher 2-113-56.5-2at Texas Tech Iowa St TCU vs. at Oklahomaat West Virginia Kansas St Oklahoma St † Baylorat Baylor vs. TCUat Kansas St at Texas
vs.
Jacob Park 100-162-1181-9-5 David Montgomery 103-478-4.6-8 Hakeem Butler 22-372-16.9-3 Nic Shimonek 164-234-2134-18-4 Justin Stockton 72-481-6.7-4 Keke Coutee 45-672-14.9-6Kyle Kempt 31-44-465-4-0 Mike Warren 30-88-2.9-1 Allen Lazard 30-350-11.7-4 vs. McLane Carter 6-6-106-2-0 Tre King 36-238-6.6-2 Dylan Cantrell 30-407-13.6-4Zeb Noland 5-10-90-0-0 Joel Lanning 18-70-3.9-0 Trever Ryen 21-277-13.2-1 Jett Duffey 2-2-16-0-0 Desmond Nisby 37-198-5.4-6 Derrick Willies 16-285-17.8-3
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 76 66 24 43-272
Texas Tech - -4 10 17 30-84 -32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 73.5 31 19 45-315
Texas Tech - -11 66 33 31-261 32014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - -1.5 31 27 46-265
Texas Tech - 71 34 27 40-272 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa St - 56 35 18 39-143
Texas Tech 20 -14 42 36 45-251 -32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Iowa St - 62.5 13 13 38-116
Texas Tech - -2 24 20 30-63 2
23-35-328
Comp-Att-Yds
15-39-168
35-56-415
15-30-180
39-56-515
Comp-Att-Yds
24-38-304
Comp-Att-Yds
17-22-336
Cyclones Logs
Iowa St Leaders
Net Offense Defense
Iow
a S
t C
yclo
nes
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Texa
s Te
ch R
ed R
aid
ers
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def TCUat Kansas St Sks By at Texasat Baylor
Pass Def Kansas St Oklahoma St Total Def † Baylorat West Virginia
Sks Allowed Iowa St TCU Rush Def at Oklahomaat Texas Tech
Total Off at Kansas Kansas Score Off at West Virginiaat Oklahoma
Bye Rush Off at Houston Texas Pass Off Oklahoma St
IowaIowa St Texas Tech
Byeat Akron Arizona St
FOE REC
Northern Iowa 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Eastern Washington
AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOETM CONF
FOE CONFTM REC
Texas Tech Red Raiders4-2 4-2Iowa St Cyclonesvs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 12
OVERALL: OVERALL:
TM +/- FOE +/-
FOETEAM --PS RANK--2-1FOE REC
NCAA RANKINGS1-2
TM REC
Red Raiders Logs
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTM CONF
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Iowa St Texas TechRushing
1.14
Iowa St QB/WR
Texas Tech DB'sIowa St RB's
1.07
Texas Tech LB'sIowa St OL
0.44
Texas Tech DLIowa St DL
0.01
Texas Tech OLIowa St LB'S
Texas Tech RB'sIowa St DB's
2.14Texas Tech QB/WR
0.46
0.89
0.55
Iowa St K19-39-222
119 yards
34 points
Texas Tech By 9.9
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Iowa St ST's Team & Margin
Ret
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Tab
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Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line
Texas Tech ST's Texas Tech By 6.5
Texas Tech By 3.8
Texas Tech Leaders
Las Vegas Total
Texas Tech K69 Points
+/- RatingsIowa St Coaches
Comp-Att-Yds
Phil's Forecast:
Texas Tech had won 4 in a row in the series, but last year it was stunning as Iowa St was a slight home underdog yet won 66-10 handing TT their worst loss since 2011 (45-3 at half). Iowa St had a 608-306 yard edge. LTH TT won 66-31 racking up a then school record 776 yards. TT is in revenge mode and actually led West Virginia 35-17 in the 3Q. While Iowa St beat Kansas 45-0 last week they had just 318 total yards behind backup QB Kyle Kempf. They have faced similar schedules, but TT is +113 ypg and Iowa St is +44. TT’s D is actually holding foes to 25 ypg below their season average this year! Tech gets revenge in Lubbock.
Projected Rushing
Iowa St Texas Tech 357 yardsProjected Passing
90 yards Iowa St Texas Tech
264 yards
Game Grade354 yards Iowa St Texas Tech 476 yards Texas Tech Coaches
0.50Projected Yardage Total
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength
Projected Final Score
Experience Rankings Texas Tech PtsIowa St 3.05
Iowa St Pts
30 points Texas TechComputer Yards
Texas Tech 34-30Comp-Att-Yds
4.17 Texas Tech 476-354
Computer Points71 Iowa St Texas Tech 118
36 Texas Tech by 10 Texas Tech 37 Iowa St 27By 1.12 Points
Texas Tech Phil Steele10-20-73
31-47-33247 Iowa St Texas Tech
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 102 8/31 37-31 W 33 48 90 60 94 110 0-0 0-0 117 8/31 37-16 W 81 24 271-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 116 9/9 20-30 L 47 48 90 79 49 10 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 116 9/9 19-13 W 59 25 27 83 40 311-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 111 125 9/16 45-52 L 61 57 121 31 66 129 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 119 96 9/16 54-16 W 56 25 60 120 111 431-2 3-0 0-0 0-0 113 130 24 9/23 37-35 W 60 61 106 3 32 59 #113 #68 3-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 121 119 23 9/22 30-24 W 48 18 8 16 80 772-2 2-2 1-0 1-1 117 128 9/30 24-34 L 55 64 106 8 30 9 #25 #36 4-0 1-0 123 20 9/30 47 20 52-3 1-1 118 10/7 55 66 86 #64 #48 4-0 3-2 1-0 2-1 123 128 20 10/7 20-23 L 43 23 3 5 28 82-3 6-0 1-1 3-0 118 141 5 10/14 7-13 L 51 69 117 19 11 45 #60 #54 4-1 5-1 1-1 3-1 123 132 13 10/14 27-28 L 46 24 6 13 6 30
4-2 1-2 123 125 10/21 43 29 12 #127 #63 2-4 1-2 125 123 10/21 58 56 1076-1 4-1 130 10/28 12 7 30 #81 #28 4-3 1-3 119 10/28 14 20 684-3 1-3 114 11/4 47 71 47 #110 #77 3-3 1-2 116 11/3 15 58 863-3 1-2 116 11/11 15 58 86 #106 #37 6-1 3-1 127 11/11 36 27 701-6 0-4 106 11/18 81 102 84 #100 #30 6-1 3-1 136 11/18 28 6 625-1 2-1 121 11/25 9 67 102 #10 #77 4-3 1-3 114 11/25 47 71 47
#96 #410 +6
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
New Mexico St 37-31 -149 -8 2 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 North Dakota 37-16 261 15 0 27 47-272 5.8 23-32 227 3 12 28-51 1.8 14-31 187 1 San Diego St 20-30 -10 1 -1 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 at BYU 19-13 197 5 1 18 36-116 3.2 28-37 314 0 13 24-63 2.6 21-39 170 3at Texas Tech 45-52 -121 -6 0 27 44-168 3.8 27-41 326 3 33 29-72 2.5 37-50 543 3 San Jose St 54-16 238 13 2 29 40-160 4.0 30-44 341 1 16 37-30 0.8 17-35 233 5 Oregon 37-35 88 3 0 23 53-142 2.7 24-39 347 4 20 30-120 4.0 19-35 281 2 at Arizona 30-24 -107 -3 3 21 38-112 2.9 17-28 229 2 24 42-200 4.8 24-42 248 2at Stanford 24-34 -92 5 -1 22 46-214 4.7 16-25 195 3 17 33-328 9.9 15-24 173 0 Bye Bye Stanford 20-23 -2 11 -2 25 33-144 4.4 20-40 238 2 14 31-196 6.3 13-24 188 0 Washington 13-7 55 3 0 17 32-40 1.3 29-41 245 2 14 31-91 2.9 17-30 139 5 at USC 27-28 -96 -10 2 20 41-169 4.1 17-28 267 4 30 33-174 5.3 27-50 358 0at Utah Arizona St USC at Oregon Colorado UCLAat UCLA Washington Stat Oregon St at Washington Arizona Colorado
Average 29-32 -38.2 -0.3 0.0 21 41-115 2.8 67.0% 289 11.5% 21 33-174 5.3 63.7% 268 9.3% Average 31-20 81.8 5.2 1.0 23 39-162 4.1 64.6% 269 5.7% 18 33-119 3.7 52.5% 231 5.0% Conference 25-25 17.0 3.7 -0.3 21 44-132 3.0 65.7% 262 8.6% 17 31-180 5.7 57.3% 198 7.9% Conference 26-25 -68.3 -0.7 1.0 22 37-142 3.8 56.3% 245 8.3% 23 35-190 5.4 55.2% 265 1.7% Away 35-43 -106.5 -0.5 -0.5 25 45-191 4.2 65.2% 261 9.1% 25 31-200 6.5 70.3% 358 4.1% Home 37-18 165.7 13.0 0.0 27 40-192 4.8 62.9% 269 5.2% 14 32-92 2.9 48.9% 203 6.7%
New Mexico St Manny Wilkins 22-27-300-2-0 Kalen Ballage 18-79-4.4-2 John Humphrey 7-123-17.6-1 North Dakota Tyler Huntley 23-32-227-1-1 Zack Moss 22-128-5.8-1 Darren Carrington 10-127-12.7-1 San Diego St Manny Wilkins 20-33-298-2-0 Kalen Ballage 15-44-2.9-1 Frank Darby 3-111-37.0-1 at BYU Tyler Huntley 27-36-300-0-0 Tyler Huntley 19-89-4.7-1 Darren Carrington 7-129-18.4-0at Texas Tech Manny Wilkins 27-41-326-3-0 Kalen Ballage 16-56-3.5-1 N'Keal Harry 13-148-11.4-1 vs. San Jose St Tyler Huntley 30-43-341-4-1 Tyler Huntley 14-53-3.8-0 Darren Carrington 9-153-17.0-3 Oregon Manny Wilkins 24-39-347-1-0 Demario Richard 21-64-3.0-1 N'Keal Harry 7-170-24.3-1 at Arizona Troy Williams 9-18-131-0-0 Zack Moss 14-73-5.2-0 Darren Carrington 4-76-19.0-0at Stanford Manny Wilkins 15-24-181-0-2 Demario Richard 22-80-3.6-2 Demario Richard 3-57-19.0-0 Bye Bye vs. Stanford Troy Williams 20-39-238-1-2 Zack Moss 15-79-5.3-1 Darren Carrington 7-99-14.1-1 Washington Manny Wilkins 29-41-245-0-0 Demario Richard 8-23-2.9-0 N'Keal Harry 9-79-8.8-0 at USC Troy Williams 16-27-262-1-1 Zack Moss 20-141-7.1-0 Demari Simpkins 4-58-14.5-1at Utah Arizona St USC vs. at Oregon Colorado UCLAat UCLA Washington Stat Oregon St vs. at Washington Arizona Colorado
vs.
Manny Wilkins 137-205-1697-8-2 Kalen Ballage 79-303-3.8-5 N'Keal Harry 43-555-12.9-3 Tyler Huntley 88-120-966-6-2 Zack Moss 93-485-5.2-3 Darren Carrington 39-593-15.2-5Blake Barnett 2-3-21-0-0 Demario Richard 67-216-3.2-4 Jalen Harvey 22-390-17.7-1 vs. Troy Williams 45-85-631-2-3 Tyler Huntley 56-208-3.7-3 Siaosi Wilson 12-216-18.0-0N'Keal Harry 1-1-14-1-0 Kyle Williams 6-76-12.7-0 Kyle Williams 28-310-11.1-2 Demari Simpkins 2-3-19-1-0 Devonta'e Henry-Cole 29-163-5.6-1 Raelon Singleton 14-185-13.2-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah 13 -6 49 22 22-201
Arizona St - 55.5 26 18 47-41 02015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah 4 -5.5 34 16 31-72
Arizona St - 55 18 12 28-15 -22014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah 18 58 16 13 52-184
Arizona St 15 -6.5 19 20 43-239 -22013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah - 63.5 19 12 46-126
Arizona St 23 -7 20 20 39-149 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Utah - 50 7 10 38-92
Arizona St - -6.5 37 24 43-140 3
6-21-121
19-31-144
Comp-Att-Yds
11-16-117
23-31-372
Comp-Att-Yds
12-22-57
18-33-205
Comp-Att-Yds
346 yards Arizona St
26-36-297
20-42-242
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-AP
Comp-Att-Yds
Net Offense Defense
Ari
zon
a S
t S
un
Dev
ils
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Uta
h U
tes
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def at Washington Arizona Sks By Coloradoat Oregon St
Pass Def UCLAat UCLA Total Def Washington St Colorado
Sks Allowed Arizona St USC Rush Def at Oregonat Utah
Total Off Stanford Washington Score Off at USC Bye
Oregon Rush Off at Arizonaat Stanford Pass Off Bye
New Mexico St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS North Dakota San Diego St
Arizona St Utah at BYU
at Texas Tech San Jose St
Projected Rushing57 yards Arizona St Utah 124 yards
Projected Passing
Utah Utes2-4 4-2Arizona St Sun Devilsvs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12
OVERALL: OVERALL:
Sun Devils Logs--PS RANK-- --PS RANK--1-2
FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS
1-2TM REC
FOE TM CONF
FOETEAM
Utes Logs
FOE FOEFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
APTEAM
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Arizona St Utah Rushing
0.91
Arizona St QB/WR
Utah DB'sArizona St RB's
0.83
Utah LB'sArizona St OL
1.95
Utah DL
Utah RB's
Arizona St DL0.52
Utah OL
1.26
Arizona St LB'S
Arizona St DB's
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
Arizona St KComp-Att-Yds
Arizona St Leaders
20-32-355
Game Grade
Utah Leaders
Arizona St ST's2.53
Team & Margin
1.61
0.69Las Vegas Total
Utah K
Utah QB/WRPhil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line21-37-296 Arizona St had won 11 in a row in the series, but Utah has won the last 2. Last year
Utah trailed 13-0 into the 2Q but led 21-20 at HT. Utah never trailed in the 2H (outscored ASU 21-0 4Q), 49-26. As I have mentioned many times last years Arizona St team was a banged-up squad sometimes down half their starters with 20+ players on the injury report weekly. This week they have two players on the injury list and QB Manny Wilkins is hitting 67% with a 8-2 ratio. Arizona St has taken on the 5th toughest schedule in the country already facing Stanford and Washington, plus Oregon with Justin Herbert at QB and San Diego St and Texas Tech in the non-conference. Arizona St held a Washington team averaging 43 ppg to just 7 points last week.
289 yards Arizona St Utah 302 yards
Utah By 6.4Projected Yardage Total
Utah 425 yards
29 points Utah 425-346Projected Final Score
2.17
Arizona St Pts8.78
Experience Rankings Utah Pts22 points
Computer YardsArizona St
54 Arizona St Utah
Utah
122Team Schedule Strength Utah
6 Arizona St Utah 65 Utah by 1 Best Bet: ★ Arizona St 23 (+) Utah 24 By 6.60 Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points
Utah 29-22
Phil Steele
Utah ST's Utah By 10
Utah By 6.3+/- Ratings
Arizona St Coaches
0.65
Utah Coaches
56 Points
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 123 9/1 17-3 W 32 71 94 52 96 47 0-0 0-0 124 24 9/2 31-0 W 15 46 731-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 82 9/9 37-3 W 46 52 94 129 127 120 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 20 9/9 47-44 W 18 50 73 66 62 1132-0 0-0 121 9/16 41-21 W 58 49 51 2-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 121 106 21 9/16 52-23 W 26 52 75 74 94 1013-0 3-0 0-0 0-0 118 138 7 9/23 10-37 L 51 42 47 21 17 38 #54 #130 3-0 0-3 1-0 0-0 123 103 18 9/23 45-7 W 28 57 81 102 103 753-1 2-2 0-1 0-1 116 118 9/30 23-27 L 57 53 53 14 37 82 #52 #3 4-0 4-0 1-0 2-0 125 134 16 5 9/29 30-27 W 27 41 67 13 8 333-2 3-1 0-2 0-1 116 117 10/7 42-45 L 59 48 44 18 70 105 #47 #34 5-0 4-1 2-0 1-1 127 128 11 10/7 33-10 W 27 38 61 6 19 503-3 1-5 0-3 0-3 114 106 10/14 36-33 W 50 60 33 81 102 84 #59 #36 6-0 3-3 3-0 0-3 132 116 8 10/13 3-37 L 31 31 52 111 52 96
6-1 3-1 114 127 15 10/21 36 27 70 #115 #129 4-3 1-3 127 114 15 10/21 47 71 474-3 1-3 121 10/28 115 40 87 #99 #35 5-1 2-1 121 10/28 9 67 1022-4 1-2 123 11/4 58 56 107 #75 #7 5-2 4-1 132 11/4 5 32 66-1 4-1 130 11/11 12 7 30 #98 #10 4-2 1-2 125 11/11 43 29 12
11/18 #54 #42 11/184-2 1-2 125 11/25 43 29 12 #86 #4 6-1 3-1 136 11/25 28 6 62
#75 #11+3 -1
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
† Colorado St 17-3 -52 -4 1 19 38-143 3.8 21-29 202 5 23 33-88 2.7 24-47 309 2 Montana St 31-0 368 20 0 27 25-150 6.0 40-48 361 2 7 32-115 3.6 5-12 28 3 Texas St 37-3 147 9 2 21 41-91 2.2 23-36 339 3 12 47-156 3.3 8-18 127 6 Boise St 47-44 54 6 1 25 27-22 0.8 49-67 433 5 19 44-164 3.7 19-28 237 4 Northern Colorado 41-21 296 12 -1 30 39-212 5.4 29-41 357 1 18 31-71 2.3 20-37 202 1 Oregon St 52-23 137 6 2 27 16-60 3.8 42-58 431 3 21 33-155 4.7 24-37 199 3 Washington 10-37 -103 0 -2 20 43-120 2.8 22-30 191 5 20 39-254 6.5 11-21 160 0 Nevada 45-7 409 18 1 31 34-55 1.6 38-50 505 4 13 24-46 1.9 14-30 105 5at UCLA 23-27 -33 -1 1 24 38-191 5.0 17-38 243 0 25 35-95 2.7 28-45 372 1 USC 30-27 135 8 1 23 30-122 4.1 34-51 340 5 15 29-163 5.6 15-29 164 2 Arizona 42-45 -16 4 1 29 58-300 5.2 19-32 251 4 25 43-425 9.9 11-13 142 0 at Oregon 33-10 92 7 1 20 25-87 3.5 24-42 282 4 13 45-132 2.9 15-27 145 4at Oregon St 36-33 -184 -5 1 25 41-206 5.0 15-25 179 2 30 46-280 6.1 20-37 289 0 at California 3-37 -28 -2 -7 16 26-23 0.9 32-48 314 9 18 32-106 3.3 21-38 259 2at Washington St Colorado California at Arizonaat Arizona St Stanford USC at Utah Bye Byeat Utah at Washington
Average 29-24 7.9 2.1 0.4 24 43-180 4.2 63.2% 252 8.7% 22 39-196 5.0 56.0% 229 4.6% Average 34-21 166.7 9.0 -0.1 24 26-74 2.8 71.2% 381 8.8% 15 34-126 3.7 56.2% 162 11.4% Conference 28-36 -84.0 -0.5 0.3 25 45-204 4.5 58.4% 216 8.8% 25 41-264 6.5 60.3% 241 0.9% Conference 30-24 84.0 4.8 -0.8 22 24-73 3.0 66.3% 342 10.6% 17 35-139 4.0 57.3% 192 8.4% Away 25-21 -89.7 -3.3 1.0 23 39-180 4.6 57.6% 208 7.6% 26 38-154 4.1 55.8% 323 2.3% Home 41-20 220.6 11.6 1.0 27 26-82 3.1 74.1% 414 6.9% 15 32-129 4.0 56.6% 147 12.5%
† Colorado St Steven Montez 21-29-202-1-2 Phillip Lindsay 19-140-7.4-1 Shay Fields 6-78-13.0-1 Montana St Luke Falk 33-39-311-3-0 Jamal Morrow 10-89-8.9-1 James Williams 13-163-12.5-2 Texas St Steven Montez 19-31-299-1-0 Phillip Lindsay 26-87-3.3-1 Shay Fields 5-110-22.0-0 Boise St Tyler Hilinski 25-33-240-3-1 James Williams 14-31-2.2-0 Renard Bell 7-107-15.3-0 Northern Colorado Steven Montez 29-41-357-4-1 Phillip Lindsay 26-151-5.8-1 Devin Ross 8-143-17.9-1 vs. Oregon St Luke Falk 37-49-396-6-0 James Williams 5-46-9.2-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 10-194-19.4-3 Washington Steven Montez 21-27-171-0-3 Phillip Lindsay 19-68-3.6-1 Devin Ross 4-41-10.3-0 Nevada Luke Falk 36-47-478-5-0 Jamal Morrow 11-73-6.6-0 Tavares Martin Jr. 4-114-28.5-2at UCLA Steven Montez 17-36-243-1-0 Steven Montez 15-108-7.2-0 Jay MacIntyre 4-71-17.8-0 USC Luke Falk 34-51-340-2-1 Jamal Morrow 6-91-15.2-1 Renard Bell 3-101-33.7-0 Arizona Steven Montez 19-32-251-3-0 Phillip Lindsay 41-281-6.9-3 Jay MacIntyre 3-57-19.0-0 vs. at Oregon Luke Falk 24-42-282-3-0 Gerard Wicks 7-58-8.3-0 Kyle Sweet 7-86-12.3-0at Oregon St Steven Montez 14-24-168-2-0 Phillip Lindsay 28-185-6.6-2 Bryce Bobo 9-126-14.0-2 at California Luke Falk 28-43-286-0-5 Jamal Morrow 8-51-6.4-0 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 6-59-9.8-0at Washington St Colorado California vs. at Arizonaat Arizona St Stanford USC at Utah Bye vs. Byeat Utah at Washington
vs.
Steven Montez 140-220-1691-12-6 Phillip Lindsay 178-995-5.6-10 Bryce Bobo 40-432-10.8-5 Luke Falk 216-305-2286-19-7 Jamal Morrow 45-339-7.5-2 Tavares Martin Jr. 37-502-13.6-7Sam Noyer 5-8-60-0-0 Steven Montez 76-221-2.9-1 Shay Fields 33-378-11.5-2 vs. Tyler Hilinski 43-59-380-3-2 James Williams 63-249-4.0-1 Renard Bell 21-389-18.5-1Bryce Bobo 1-1-11-1-0 Beau Bisharat 16-44-2.8-0 Devin Ross 23-327-14.2-1 Gerard Wicks 23-119-5.2-1 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 39-375-9.6-3
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado 12 -5.5 38 31 59-258
Washington St 20 58.5 24 21 22-137 -12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado - 62.5 3 17 30-85
Washington St 24 -15 27 30 21-149 12012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Colorado - 58.5 35 26 38-186
Washington St - -20 34 23 22-50 0
vs.
32-60-401
30 points
26-41-238
40-57-332
Comp-Att-Yds
29-42-345
27-41-345
26-53-325
Colorado BuffalosBuffalos Logs
TM REC
Net Offense Defense
Col
orad
o B
uff
alos
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
Was
h S
t C
oug
ars
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Bye Score Def Byeat Utah Sks By at Washington
at Arizona St Pass Def Stanford USC Total Def at Utah
at Washington St Sks Allowed Colorado California Rush Def at Arizona
Arizona Total Off at Oregonat Oregon St Score Off at California
Washington Rush Off Nevadaat UCLA Pass Off USC
Montana St Texas St
Colorado Wash St Boise St
Northern Colorado Oregon St
FOE REC
Projected Rushing
OVERALL: Wash St Cougars4-3 6-1OVERALL:
FOE
vs. PAC 12FOE
Projected Passing163 yards Colorado Wash St 361 yards
0.20
0.88
Colorado Wash St
AP
vs. PAC 12 Cougars LogsTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
AP
† Colorado St
--PS RANK-- TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
Colorado QB/WR
2017 TEAM RANKINGS FOE FOENCAA RANKINGS
TEAM --PS RANK--1-3 3-1TM REC FOE REC
TEAM
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Colorado Wash StRushing
Wash St DB'sColorado RB's
0.67
Wash St LB's
0.70
Wash St DLColorado DL
0.94
Wash St OL
Colorado OL
Colorado LB'S
Wash St RB's
Colorado Leaders
Projected Yardage Total
Colorado DB's1.46
Wash St QB/WR
98 yards 114 yards 54 Points0.48
Wash St Leaders
Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score 1.70
Colorado ST's Team & Margin
Game GradeWash St Coaches
Phil's Forecast:
Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line
Last year both came in ranked (WSU had the Apple Cup on deck). WSU couldn’t stop CU QB Sefo Liufau who accounted for 453 ttl yds. WSU did lead 24-21 w/3:18 3Q, but all’d the gms final 17 pts (WSU just 46 4Q yds). Wash St has faced the tougher schedule (#59 vs #82). Colorado had a closer than expected game vs Oregon St, but the Beavers had the first game for interim head bounce in their favor. The Buffs do have QB Steven Montez (63% 12-6) and RB Phillip Lindsay (995, 5.6). The Cougars D has held foes to 97 ypg below their season average and Colorado is allowing 13 above. The Buffs have covered 5 in a row as a Pac 12 away dog.
Wash St ST's Wash St By 10.5Colorado K
Comp-Att-Yds
Colorado Wash St 475 yards
Las Vegas Total
Wash St K+/- Ratings
Colorado Coaches
0.65
Wash St By 16.5
Wash St By 17.9
Wash St 475-261Projected Final Score
3.42
Colorado Pts4.26
Experience Rankings Wash St Pts
261 yards
17 points Colorado
Colorado
Wash St
88 Wash St 15 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
Computer Yards
Wash St 30-17
Wash St
Computer Points
Team Schedule Strength82 Colorado Wash St 59 Washington St 30 Colorado 23By 0.84 Points
Phil SteeleWash St by 7
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TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE
W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST
0-0 0-0 99 9/2 66-0 W 110 121 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 38-17 W 92 41 101-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 144 1 9/9 10-41 L 88 103 39 9 1 24 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 112 9/9 30-20 W 79 49 10 47 48 901-1 2-0 0-0 0-0 105 138 6 9/16 16-48 L 88 107 37 17 18 53 2-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 127 19 9/16 20-17 W 73 50 6 12 28 161-2 0-0 105 9/23 92 110 50 #65 #31 3-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 112 22 9/23 28-24 W 83 51 9 57 107 621-2 0-4 0-0 0-0 105 100 9/30 41-21 W 93 113 62 118 101 79 #57 #108 4-0 2-1 1-0 0-0 120 115 19 9/30 34-28 W 87 60 34 103 62 1012-2 1-5 1-0 0-2 107 88 10/7 27-10 W 81 106 72 121 118 56 #55 #85 5-0 2-2 1-0 1-0 120 101 19 10/7 41-10 W 90 58 17 38 127 1133-2 3-2 2-0 1-1 107 112 10/14 38-0 W 84 100 69 73 91 48 #45 #61 6-0 3-2 2-0 1-0 122 111 19 10/14 14-31 L 85 53 34 94 59 14
6-1 2-1 112 117 10/21 87 55 44 #7 #112 4-2 3-0 117 112 10/21 72 84 772-4 1-2 100 10/28 55 128 110 #19 #43 3-4 1-3 96 10/28 45 127 1291-6 0-4 102 11/4 124 73 91 #49 #9 1-7 0-4 88 11/4 120 120 503-4 1-3 96 11/11 45 127 129 #22 #14 11/114-2 2-0 109 11/18 122 88 72 #30 #39 1-6 1-2 104 11/18 101 115 1214-2 2-0 116 11/25 93 48 7 #53 #21 3-3 1-2 107 11/25 76 99 53
#32 #45+7 +7
Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds
Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks
Incarnate Word 66-0 465 18 2 26 40-199 5.0 23-37 414 0 8 26--7 -0.3 15-31 155 2 UC Davis 38-17 198 11 1 27 52-276 5.3 17-23 237 2 16 27-57 2.1 19-24 258 1at Alabama 10-41 -223 -10 -1 18 22-58 2.6 26-41 216 1 28 39-305 7.8 20-27 192 1 at Arizona St 30-20 10 -1 1 14 43-279 6.5 9-18 73 4 15 31-44 1.4 20-33 298 5at Washington 16-48 -207 -3 1 18 31-119 3.8 21-36 94 1 21 30-92 3.1 25-28 328 1 Stanford 20-17 120 12 3 21 49-171 3.5 21-29 187 6 9 22-174 7.9 9-20 64 4 Bye at Air Force 28-24 114 5 0 19 41-187 4.6 10-16 180 1 14 60-220 3.7 2-6 33 0 Nevada 41-21 190 6 0 22 38-192 5.1 25-33 312 1 16 23-61 2.7 31-49 253 3 Northern Illinois 34-28 -166 -13 4 10 36-127 3.5 10-20 136 1 23 46-160 3.5 24-40 269 4at San Jose St 27-10 143 5 4 17 51-212 4.2 15-26 136 0 12 33-108 3.3 15-26 97 4 at UNLV 41-10 244 17 -1 27 45-302 6.7 14-24 172 1 10 30-104 3.5 9-22 126 3 New Mexico 38-0 204 3 1 17 36-227 6.3 13-23 299 1 14 37-109 2.9 15-30 213 2 Boise St 14-31 12 1 -1 16 39-83 2.1 12-27 240 4 15 34-186 5.5 14-23 125 0at San Diego St Fresno St UNLV at Hawaii BYU at San Jose Stat Hawaii Byeat Wyoming Nevada Boise St New Mexico
Average 33-20 95.3 3.2 1.2 20 36-168 4.6 62.8% 245 2.0% 17 31-111 3.6 63.4% 206 6.8% Average 29-21 76.0 4.6 1.0 19 44-204 4.7 59.2% 175 12.1% 15 36-135 3.8 57.7% 168 10.1% Conference 35-10 179.0 4.7 1.7 19 42-210 5.0 64.6% 249 2.4% 14 31-93 3.0 58.1% 188 8.6% Conference 28-22 123.3 7.7 -0.7 21 42-191 4.6 53.7% 197 9.0% 13 41-170 4.1 49.0% 95 5.9% Away 18-33 -95.7 -2.7 1.3 18 35-130 3.7 60.2% 149 1.9% 20 34-168 5.0 74.1% 206 7.4% Home 27-23 41.0 2.8 1.8 19 44-164 3.7 60.6% 200 13.1% 16 32-144 4.5 61.7% 179 8.4%
Incarnate Word Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0 UC Davis Christian Chapman 16-21-220-2-1 Rashaad Penny 21-197-9.4-2 Kahale Warring 5-74-14.8-1at Alabama Chason Virgil 21-34-180-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 9-29-3.2-0 Da'Mari Scott 7-67-9.6-0 at Arizona St Christian Chapman 9-18-73-1-0 Rashaad Penny 18-216-12.0-1 Rashaad Penny 4-38-9.5-1at Washington Chason Virgil 11-20-98-1-1 Ronnie Rivers 10-29-2.9-0 KeeSean Johnson 4-51-12.8-0 vs. Stanford Christian Chapman 21-29-187-1-0 Rashaad Penny 32-175-5.5-1 Mikah Holder 7-85-12.1-0 Bye at Air Force Christian Chapman 10-16-180-1-0 Rashaad Penny 20-128-6.4-3 Mikah Holder 2-46-23.0-0 Nevada Marcus McMaryion 24-32-296-2-1 Ronnie Rivers 12-82-6.8-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-104-14.9-3 Northern Illinois Christian Chapman 10-19-136-2-0 Rashaad Penny 25-107-4.3-0 Kahale Warring 3-39-13.0-1at San Jose St Marcus McMaryion 15-26-136-0-0 Ronnie Rivers 19-105-5.5-2 KeeSean Johnson 2-52-26.0-0 vs. at UNLV Christian Chapman 14-24-172-0-0 Rashaad Penny 27-170-6.3-2 Mikah Holder 9-144-16.0-0 New Mexico Marcus McMaryion 13-23-299-3-0 Josh Hokit 14-70-5.0-1 Jamire Jordan 3-108-36.0-2 Boise St Christian Chapman 12-27-240-1-0 Rashaad Penny 21-53-2.5-1 Fred Trevillion 2-128-64.0-1at San Diego St Fresno St UNLV vs. at Hawaii BYU at San Jose Stat Hawaii Byeat Wyoming vs. Nevada Boise St New Mexico
vs.
Marcus McMaryion 73-111-966-7-1 Ronnie Rivers 65-344-5.3-5 KeeSean Johnson 33-487-14.8-4 Christian Chapman 92-154-1208-8-1 Rashaad Penny 164-1046-6.4-10 Mikah Holder 25-348-13.9-0Chason Virgil 48-83-524-3-2 Jordan Mims 47-218-4.6-1 Da'Mari Scott 26-235-9.0-1 vs. Ryan Agnew 1-2-17-0-0 Juwan Washington 69-332-4.8-2 Kahale Warring 13-185-14.2-2Josh Hokit 2-2-81-2-0 Josh Hokit 40-196-4.9-4 Jamire Jordan 9-217-24.1-3 Team 0-1-0-0-0 Chase Jasmin 9-31-3.4-1 Fred Trevillion 5-173-34.6-1
Category
2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Fresno St - 52 3 10 24-78
San Diego St - -17 17 25 61-292 32015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Fresno St - 55 7 6 22-12
San Diego St - -7.5 21 19 60-305 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Fresno St - -3 24 16 43-172
San Diego St - 57.5 13 17 45-186 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Fresno St 15 -7 35 20 19-43
San Diego St - 62 28 22 48-170 -22012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's
Fresno St - -7 52 32 31-110
San Diego St - 61 40 14 40-179 -1
14-28-143
9-24-84
21-39-337
Comp-Att-Yds
Comp-Att-Yds
35-57-298
Comp-Att-Yds
12-25-77
5-12-104
Comp-Att-Yds
7-12-72
Bulldogs LogsFOE
Fresno St Leaders
TM REC FOE REC
TM CONF
FOE CONF TM +/- FOE
+/-
16-27-139
Fresno St Bulldogs
AP
at San Diego St
Incarnate Word
Net Offense Defense
Fres
no
St
Bu
lldog
s
LEA
DER
S &
TEA
M A
VER
AG
ES
San
Die
go
St
Azt
ecs
Net Offense
Total TO'sYpg Diff
Score Def Nevada Boise St Sks By New Mexicoat Wyoming
Pass Def at San Jose Stat Hawaii Total Def Bye BYU
Sks Allowed Fresno St UNLV Rush Def at Hawaii
at San Jose St Total Off at UNLV New Mexico Score Off Boise St
Bye Rush Off at Air Force Nevada Pass Off Northern Illinois
2017 TEAM RANKINGS UC Davisat Alabama
Fresno St San Diego Stat Arizona St
at Washington Stanford
93 yards Fresno St San Diego St 164 yardsProjected Passing
191 yards Fresno StProjected Yardage Total
284 yards Fresno St San Diego St
San Diego St
San Diego St
176 yards
Projected Final Score22 points Fresno St 25 points
Experience Rankings28 Fresno St San Diego St 115
340 yards
Projected Rushing
OVERALL: OVERALL: San Diego St Aztecs4-2 6-1vs. MTW vs. MTW Aztecs Logs
TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--3-0 2-1TM REC FOE REC
AP FOE
FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM
CONFFOE
CONF TM +/- FOE +/-
Defense
Score Score
By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving
Fresno St San Diego StRushing
1.01
Fresno St QB/WR
San Diego St DB's
Fresno St RB's0.49
San Diego St LB's
Fresno St OL0.31
San Diego St DL
0.19
Fresno St DL
San Diego St OLFresno St LB'S
Fresno St DB's1.05
San Diego St QB/WR
1.08
San Diego St RB's
San Diego St Leaders
Fresno St ST'sLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin
Ret
urn
to
Tab
le o
f C
onte
nts
Projected Box Score
San Diego St Coaches
San Diego St K
San Diego St
Fresno St Coaches
1.70
Phil's Forecast:
Las Vegas Line
HT is 8-3 since their WAC days in ‘95. LY the Aztecs handcuffed the Bulldogs offensively, but only led 10-3 w/9:54 3Q. SDSt got a 13 yd TD run w/:09 3Q & held FSU to B2B punts w/a int at SDSt21 its L/3 poss and the Aztecs only won 17-3. Last week the Aztecs found themselves in a 14-0 hole despite allowing 0 FD’s as Boise had a PR and FR TD. They were thinking unbeaten season, so they may have a bubble burst hangover this week Fresno has performed above expectations each and every week with their only losses to Alabama and Washington. The schedules are close, but Fresno is actually +95 ypg and San Diego St is +76 ypg.
San Diego St ST's San Diego St By 7.5Fresno St K
0.46
0.23
San Diego St 25-22
47.5 Points
POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:
San Diego St By 9.0
San Diego St By 2.2Game Grade
+/- Ratings
Las Vegas Total
Team Schedule Strength San Diego St
San Diego St 340-284San Diego St Pts
1.20
Fresno St Pts5.32
Computer Yards
Computer Points
Phil SteeleSan Diego St by 3 San Diego St 24 Fresno St 21By 4.12 Points13-23-160
42-55-536 76
Comp-Att-Yds
86 Fresno St