perinatal periods of risk approach: the michigan experience bao-ping zhu, md, ms lead epidemiologist...

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Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist, MDCH

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Page 1: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:

The Michigan Experience

Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MSLead Epidemiologist

Division of Reproductive Health, CDC

Chief MCH Epidemiologist, MDCH

Page 2: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Why a New Approach to Infant Mortality?

• Simple approach – easy for communities nationwide to use

• Identifies gaps in community

• Targets resources for prevention

• Mobilizes the community to action

Page 3: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

1) Engage community partners early to gain consensus and support

2) Map feto-infant mortality by birthweight &

age at death

3) Focus on reducing overall feto-infant mortality

4) Examine potential opportunity gaps

5) Target further investigations and prevention efforts on gaps

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

Page 4: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

1) Engage community partners 2) Map feto-infant mortality3) Focus on reducing overall feto-infant

mortality4) Examine opportunity gaps5) Further investigations and prevention

efforts

Page 5: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

• Improving feto-infant mortality requires mobilization and change in many sectors and by many individuals in community

• Consensus about and ownership of problem essential in developing community support

• Monitoring the problem and the solutions and necessary strategy adjustments require effort by many partners

Page 6: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

1) Engage community partners 2) Map feto-infant mortality3) Focus on reducing overall feto-infant

mortality4) Examine opportunity gaps5) Further investigations and prevention

efforts

Page 7: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Map Feto-Infant Mortality

Age at Death

Birth

weig

ht

500-1499 g

1500+ g

Fetal

(24+

wks

)

Neonat

al

Postneo

natal

1 2 3

54 6

Page 8: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Map Feto-Infant Mortality

500- 1499 g

1500+ g

Fetal NeonatalPost

neonatal

1 2 3

4 5 6

Age at Death

Birth

weig

ht

Page 9: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Map Feto-Infant Mortality

500-1499 g

1500+ g

Fetal NeonatalPost

neonatal

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ PrematurityPrematurity

Maternal Maternal CareCare

Newborn Newborn CareCare

Infant Infant HealthHealth

Page 10: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Map Connections to ActionMaternal Maternal Health/ Health/

PrematurityPrematurity

Pregnancy IntentionSmoking / Drinking / Drug AbuseRacial discrimination / Stress

Maternal Maternal CareCare

Prenatal Care Referral System High Risk OB Care

Newborn Newborn CareCare

Perinatal Management Perinatal System Pediatric Surgery

Infant Infant HealthHealth

Sleep Position Breast-Feeding Injury Prevention

Page 11: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

875 875

Maternal Maternal Care Care

245 245

Newborn Newborn Care Care

200 200

Infant Infant Health Health

262262

Map Feto-Infant DeathsMichigan Overall, 2000

1582 fetal or infant deaths

Total fetal deaths and live births: 137,496

Page 12: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

327 327

Maternal Maternal Care Care

67 67

Newborn Newborn Care Care

43 43

Infant Infant Health Health

9494

Map Feto-Infant DeathsBlacks, MI, 2000

531 fetal or infant deaths

Total fetal deaths and live births: 24,304

Page 13: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Map Feto-Infant MortalityWhat Is Missing in the 6 Cells?

• Fetal deaths <24 wks

• Live births <500 g

• Spontaneous abortions

• Induced abortions

Page 14: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

1) Engage community partners 2) Map feto-infant mortality3) Focus on reducing overall feto-

infant mortality4) Examine opportunity gaps5) Further investigations and prevention

efforts

Page 15: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

3. Focus on Reducing Overall Feto-Infant Mortality Rate

• Include fetal deaths - often excluded

• Calculate group specific mortality rates - add up to total feto-infant mortality rate

• Calculate excess mortality rates and numbers - relate to total feto-infant rate

Page 16: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

327 327

Maternal Maternal Care Care

67 67

Newborn Newborn Care Care

43 43

Infant Infant Health Health

9494

Feto-Infant DeathsBlacks, MI, 2000

531 fetal or infant deaths

Total fetal deaths and live births: 24,304

Page 17: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Focus on Overall Mortality Cell- or Group-Specific Mortality Rates

Number of deaths in a cell or group

Total number of live births & fetal deaths

4e.g., for Blacks:

Maternal Health/

Prematurity: 327

e.g, for Blacks: 24,304

Page 18: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

13.5 13.5

Maternal Maternal Care Care

2.8 2.8

Newborn Newborn Care Care

1.8 1.8

Infant Infant Health Health

3.93.9

Focus on Overall Feto-Infant MortalityBlacks, MI, 2000

Total feto-infant mortality rate: 21.8 =(531/24,304)x 1000

Page 19: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Focus on Overall MortalityLearn by Comparisons

• Compare within community feto-infant mortality rates by examining 4 group rates

• Compare overall and group rates over time

• Compare overall and group rates between different population groups

Page 20: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Focus on Overall MortalityComparison of Socio-Demographic Groups

• Maternal Race and Ethnicity– Race: white, black, other racial groups– Ethnicity: Hispanic, Arabic

• Maternal Age and Education– <20 years of age– 20+ years and <13 years of education– 20+ years and 13+ years of education

• Geography: SE vs. Non-SE; County; City• Health Care Payment Source

Page 21: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

1) Engage community partners 2) Map feto-infant mortality3) Focus on reducing overall feto-infant

mortality4) Examine opportunity gaps5) Further investigations and prevention

efforts

Page 22: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

4. Examine “Opportunity Gap” Between Population Groups

• To identify potential for reduction in community

• Involves:– Decide on reference groups

– Calculate excess deaths and mortality rates by components

Page 23: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Examine “Opportunity Gap” Reference Groups

Reference group for MI state-wide analysis

• Non-Hispanic white women in Michigan

• Aged 20+ years

• 13+ years of education

Simple optimal group

At least 15% of population

Page 24: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

99 (1.9) 99 (1.9)

Maternal Maternal Care Care 64 (1.2) 64 (1.2)

Newborn Newborn Care Care 74 (1.4) 74 (1.4)

Infant Infant Health Health 47 (0.9)47 (0.9)

284 fetal or infant deaths

Reference: MI non-Hispanic white women aged 20+, with 13+ yrs education, 1999

Total feto-infant mortality rate: 5.4

Total live births or fetal deaths: 52,206

Page 25: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Examine the “Opportunity Gap”

• Examine excess overall mortality, both rate and number

• Examine excess mortality across four groups

• Calculate contribution to overall excess mortality by socio-demographic groups

Page 26: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Excess Feto-Infant MortalityBlacks, 2000

- =

MI Blacks Reference Excess

13.513.5

2.82.8 1.81.8 3.93.9

21.8

1.91.9

1.21.2 1.41.4 0.90.9

5.4

11.611.6

1.51.5 0.40.4 3.03.0

16.5

- =

Page 27: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Excess Feto-Infant DeathsBlacks, 2000

=

Excess Deaths

281281

3737 99 7272

399

=

Excess Mortality

11.611.6

1.51.5 0.40.4 3.03.0

16.5 × 24,304 / 1000

×Total fetal or infant deaths

(24,304)

Page 28: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach:5 Major Steps

1) Engage community partners 2) Map feto-infant mortality3) Focus on reducing overall feto-infant

mortality4) Examine opportunity gaps5) Further investigations and

prevention efforts

Page 29: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

5. Target Investigations & Prevention Efforts on the Gap

• Focus more effort and attention to group(s) contributing most to the gap

• Conduct further studies or mortality reviews on group(s) contributing to the gap (Phase 2 studies)

• Examine current prevention efforts on group(s) contributing to the gap (Phase 2 policy/program reviews)

Page 30: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

MI Activities

• Infant Mortality Summit – one of the main themes

• Workshops at various conferences, county health departments

• Spreadsheet program for calculation

• Infant Mortality Workbook

• MCH County Profiles

Page 31: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Major Findings

Maternal Health / Prematurity:

Largest opportunity gap

Page 32: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Programmatic Response

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

281 281

–Pregnancy intentionPregnancy intention–SmokingSmoking–DrinkingDrinking–Drug abuseDrug abuse–StressStress–Racial discriminationRacial discrimination–NutritionNutrition–Pregnancy intervalPregnancy interval–Preconceptional carePreconceptional care–Overall fitnessOverall fitness

Infant Infant Health Health

7272

Page 33: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Major Findings

Infant Health: Second largest opportunity gap

Page 34: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Maternal Health/ Maternal Health/ Prematurity Prematurity

281 281Infant Infant Health Health

7272

–Sleep positionSleep position–SmokingSmoking–BreastfeedingBreastfeeding–Medical homeMedical home–Injury preventionInjury prevention

Programmatic Response

Page 35: Perinatal Periods of Risk Approach: The Michigan Experience Bao-Ping Zhu, MD, MS Lead Epidemiologist Division of Reproductive Health, CDC Chief MCH Epidemiologist,

Michigan PPOR “Software” Demonstration