oracle systems _ kevin mcisaac _the it landscape has changed.pdf

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The IT landscape has changed. Have you? Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected] www.ibrs.com.au

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Page 1: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

The IT landscape has changed. Have you?

Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected]

www.ibrs.com.au

Page 2: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

The Mega Trends

The three iron laws of IT that drive infrastructure

Cloud Computing as seen from above

Integrated Systems: why the infrastructure of the future looks a lot like the infrastructure of the past!

Page 3: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Moore‟s Law

Massive growth in computation, dramatic decline in unit cost

Problem is no longer CPU power or processing costs

Issues are power efficiency, utilisation and I/O performance

Number of cores doubles every 18 months

10 core x64 CPUs today

200+ cores/blade enclosure

Tri-gate transistors, better power and performance

Fortunately DBMS, App Server & Web Servers and Hypervisors already scale to 100‟s of cores!

Page 4: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Server Virtualisation

Exploits Moore's law

Drives server consolidation Improves utilization & power

efficiently

Leverage for HA, DR and CO Then move to policy and automation

Mainstream but 60% have not virtualised mission critical apps

Licencing

vSphere 5.0 changes

Application licencing

Oracle OVM

0

10

20

30

%

ANZ Production Apps

Page 5: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Database consolidation

Another way to exploit Moore‟s law

VMs vs. Instance vs. Schema

O/S & DB version

Patching and upgrading

Workload compatibility

Capacity management

Page 6: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Shugart‟s Law

Cost per bit halves every 18 months

About 37% pa or 10% per quarter

Delaying 1 quarter can save you 10%

Constrains storage capital costs

On a 4 year H/W lifecycle a flat budget supports 60%pa data growth

Has enabled massive storage growth but…

Management complexity

Performance issues

3TB SATA this year

How do you exploit large, slow, cheap drives

Performance becomes is an issue

Oracle ASM

Page 7: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Disruption of Storage

Evolution of storage arrays

Commodity hardware, i.e., x64 servers

SATA for capacity mixed with Flash Cache for perf

Deduplication & Snapshots for storage optimisation

Clustered architecture & virtual appliances

Examples

HP Left Hand & VMware vSA

Oracle zFS fileservers

Oracle Exadata Storage for DB

IBM XIV

Disrupts current vendors/market

Like M/F vs. UNIX/RISC vs. Wintel/Lintel

Look beyond traditional modular storage

Page 8: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Storage Virtualisation

Network based storage virtualisation has limited adoption

Additional cost is a major barrier (4K-6K/TB?)

Need to be very, very large to justify cost/benefit

Vendors: IBM (SVC), HP, EMC v-Plex

EMC new to this market the market with v-Plex

Use cases

Mostly used for data migration (SVC)

Cloud providers with unpredictable workloads.

Page 9: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Gilder's Law

Optical fiber bandwidth doubles every 12 months

Is driving IT centralisation

Branch offices are next

What impact will the NBN have on your WAN strategy?

What every you believe about networking now will be wrong in 7 years

Page 10: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Converged Networking

Core FCoE & CEE standards ratified

Major vendors have products

Dominant storage protocol in long-run

Demand driven by workload density

Moore‟s Law and Virtualisation

Benefits

Lower capital costs from lower port, switch and cabling requirements

Greater I/O flexibility from dynamic sharing of a higher bandwidth, common transport layer

Capacity can be optimised and used more effectively

Barriers

Existing large scale investment in Fibre Channel

Cuts across server, storage and networks silos, potentially changes the roles and relationships of these teams.

Use an incremental adoption strategy,

High density servers use a converged network at the server edge.

Integrate into the existing FC & Ethernet infrastructures

Displace FC switches over time

Page 11: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Cloud Computing

• Different ways of thinking about the cloud

• How do clients view “The cloud”?

• What does the business want

Page 12: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Cloud as Technology

• Virtual machines

• Clusters

• Multi-tenancy

• Internet

• Web Protocols

Its time to stop thinking about the Cloud as a technology

Page 13: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Cloud as Services

What is the cloud?

• IaaS

• PaaS

• SaaS

• Public/private

Think about the Cloud as an aspiration to create a “better IT environment”

Page 14: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Cloud as Capabilities Self-Service

Cost Transparency

Capacity on Demand

Utility Pricing

Location & Device

Independence

Commodity pricing

Think about Cloud as new capabilities that are aligned to the business‟ needs

Page 15: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

The Cloud as a Journey

Levels of capability

• Where are you now?

• Where do you need to be?

• Strategy for getting there?

Think of the Cloud as a journey to these new capabilities. Where do I start and where do I stop?

Page 16: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

What are clients thinking

• The cloud is not clearly defined in user‟s minds

• Each vendor defines it around their own product sets

• It means very different things to different people

• IaaS, SaaS, Public, Private etc

• Many business and IT people are uncomfortable with

• Security, governance, compliance & cost

• Often this is perception, rather than reality

Potential for significant misunderstandings between users, vendors and partners

Page 17: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

What does the business want?

• They are interested in the benefits of the cloud not the technology, i.e.,

• A more agile, more efficient IT infrastructure

• Increased robustness, i.e., HA, DR, Continuous Operations

• Transforming IT from a CapEx intensive fixed asset to a OpEx based utility

• Self-service, transparent pricing

Talk about Service Capabilities and Benefits, not Technology Features and Functions

Page 18: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

The IT landscape has changed. Have you?

Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected]

www.ibrs.com.au

Page 19: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

The empire, long divided, must unite; long united, must divide. Thus it has ever been.

-- Three Kingdoms

Page 20: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Layered Components

Started in „80s with Open Systems

Layers defined by standards

Pros: Vendor competition drives

Lower component cost

Innovation at each layer

Drawbacks: IT becomes an SI!

Defines specs,

Integrates components,

Maintains integration across disparate product lifecycles

System integration costs and times now outweigh the benefits of competition

Page 21: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Integrated Systems

Still use open standards and commodity components

A “Systems Architecture”, not just “Factory Integration”

Who can do this?

IBM, HP, Dell & Oracle

Who is at risk

Cisco, EMC, NetApp

All the niche component players

Get out of the SI business and buy end-to-end designs from a single trusted systems vendor

Page 22: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Survey Results

1 - 999 35%

1,000 - 2,999 16%

3,000 - 9,999 22%

10,000+ 27%

Size

Technical, 37.3%

IT Exec/Mgr, 56.8%

Business 5.9%

154 responses from a diverse range of organisations

Page 23: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Perception of Benefits

Lowest total cost

Lowest overall risk

Fastest time to solution

About half saw clear advantage in „time to solution‟ and „lower risk‟ but concerns about TCO remain

Fastest time to solution 16% 29% 55%

Lowest overall risk 15% 39% 46%

Lowest total cost 33% 30% 37%

Page 24: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Barriers to moving to an Integrated Systems model

Existing IT org structure and the investment in IT skills and infrastructure will be the major adoption barriers

Low Medium High

Application compatibility 12% 38% 50%

Existing infrastructure 10% 53% 36%

Re-engineering IT processes 17% 47% 36%

Existing technical skills 21% 49% 30%

Vendor Lock-in 21% 54% 26%

Hardware cost 38% 37% 25%

Changing IT roles 41% 42% 17%

Page 25: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Two approaches to adoption Mandate

Smaller organisations

CIO mandates the use of Integrated Systems

Triggered by refresh of main Infrastructure

Staff skills less of an issue

Seeding Larger organisations

CIO seeds a “hot house” to develop new capability

Leaves “Old IT” alone

Steer specific new project to the hot house

The key question becomes “when and how”. Because …

Page 26: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Database

14 21 4 11 9

41

68

6

20 12

81

65

22

16

13

83 32

24 7

7

Oracle EnterpriseEdition

Microsoft SQL Server IBM DB2 Oracle MySQL Sybase

Other Departmental Business Critical Mission Critical

Page 27: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Components

Cisco Dell EMC HP IBM MS Netapp Oracle Red Hat VMware

Middleware 5% 2% 2% 4% 20% 23% 0% 32% 5% 6%

Database 0% 0% 1% 2% 9% 35% 0% 52% 0% 1%

O/S 0% 0% 1% 4% 11% 42% 0% 16% 20% 7%

Hypervisor 0% 1% 2% 1% 6% 14% 0% 13% 2% 62%

Server 4% 17% 1% 29% 22% 7% 0% 16% 1% 3%

Storage 0% 5% 37% 14% 17% 2% 15% 8% 0% 2%

Network 80% 1% 1% 8% 4% 2% 1% 4% 0% 0%

• Strength in DB and Middleware • MS is leader in O/S , Oracle have caught up with Red Hat • VMware clearly leads Hypervisor category but oracle has 13%!

Page 28: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Questions

1. Transition from one model to the other is always the most difficult as it is a 'sunk cost' While Integrated system may be better overall, the huge existing investment means transition costs are a major barrier.

2. What is the current take up/trend of the major Australian FI's around Oracle's Integrated System model

3. With an integrated model won't we loss some of the functionality offered by the Best-of-Breed solutions?

4. How would you rate the ease of upgrading each of the different stacks as the technologies on each stack improve over time?

5. Integration with other vendor technologies and ability to use historical infrastructure

6. How involved do you get when choosing an integrated solution. How much control do you give away ? Main concern is poor Oracle support

Page 29: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

Questions

1. What type of resources are needed to support the Integrated systems model

2. Should Customers be more concerned about vendor lock in when following an integrated systems model? If not, why not?

3. By removing the Design and Integration layers of the model, how can we ensure the technologies align with business requirements? Is there an expectation that the business will follow the technology?

4. What plans does Oracle have to eliminate complexity of licensing and provide financial incentive to leverage an integrated stack ? Why the Oracle licencing model is so complex? Why is Oracle so expensive?

5. Is going Oracle to support small business or target Corporate clients only?

Page 30: Oracle Systems _ Kevin McIsaac _The IT landscape has changed.pdf

The IT landscape has changed. Have you?

Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected]

www.ibrs.com.au