oracle systems _ kevin mcisaac _ the it landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

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The IT landscape has changed. Have you? Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected] www.ibrs.com.au

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Page 1: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

The IT landscape has changed. Have you?

Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected]

www.ibrs.com.au

Page 2: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

The Mega Trends

n  The three iron laws of IT that drive infrastructure

n  Cloud Computing as seen from above n  Integrated Systems: why the infrastructure

of the future looks a lot like the infrastructure of the past!

Page 3: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Moore’s Law

n  Massive growth in computation, dramatic decline in unit cost n  Problem is no longer CPU power or processing costs

n  Issues are power efficiency, utilisation and I/O performance

n  Number of cores doubles every 18 months n  10 core x64 CPUs today n  200+ cores/blade enclosure n  Tri-gate transistors, better power and performance

n  Fortunately DBMS, App Server & Web Servers and Hypervisors already scale to 100’s of cores!

Page 4: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Server Virtualisation

n  Exploits Moore's law n  Drives server consolidation

n  Improves utilization & power efficiently

n  Leverage for HA, DR and CO n  Then move to policy and automation

n  Mainstream but 60% have not virtualised mission critical apps

n  Licencing n  vSphere 5.0 changes n  Application licencing

n  Oracle OVM

0

10

20

30

%

ANZ Production Apps

Page 5: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Database consolidation

n  Another way to exploit Moore’s law n  VMs vs. Instance vs. Schema

n  O/S & DB version n  Patching and upgrading n  Workload compatibility n  Capacity management

Page 6: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Shugart’s Law n  Cost per bit halves every 18 months

n  About 37% pa or 10% per quarter n  Delaying 1 quarter can save you 10%

n  Constrains storage capital costs n  On a 4 year H/W lifecycle a flat budget

supports 60%pa data growth

n  Has enabled massive storage growth but… n  Management complexity n  Performance issues

n  3TB SATA this year n  How do you exploit large, slow, cheap drives n  Performance becomes is an issue

n  Oracle ASM

Page 7: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Disruption of Storage n  Evolution of storage arrays

n  Commodity hardware, i.e., x64 servers n  SATA for capacity mixed with Flash Cache for perf n  Deduplication & Snapshots for storage optimisation n  Clustered architecture & virtual appliances

n  Examples n  HP Left Hand & VMware vSA n  Oracle zFS fileservers n  Oracle Exadata Storage for DB n  IBM XIV

n  Disrupts current vendors/market n  Like M/F vs. UNIX/RISC vs. Wintel/Lintel n  Look beyond traditional modular storage

Page 8: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Storage Virtualisation

n  Network based storage virtualisation has limited adoption n  Additional cost is a major barrier (4K-6K/TB?) n  Need to be very, very large to justify cost/benefit

n  Vendors: IBM (SVC), HP, EMC v-Plex n  EMC new to this market the market with v-Plex

n  Use cases n  Mostly used for data migration (SVC) n  Cloud providers with unpredictable workloads.

Page 9: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Gilder's Law

n  Optical fiber bandwidth doubles every 12 months

n  Is driving IT centralisation n  Branch offices are next

n  What impact will the NBN have on your WAN strategy?

n  What every you believe about networking now will be wrong in 7 years

Page 10: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Converged Networking n  Core FCoE & CEE standards ratified

n  Major vendors have products n  Dominant storage protocol in long-run

n  Demand driven by workload density n  Moore’s Law and Virtualisation

n  Benefits n  Lower capital costs from lower port,

switch and cabling requirements n  Greater I/O flexibility from dynamic

sharing of a higher bandwidth, common transport layer

n  Capacity can be optimised and used more effectively

n  Barriers n  Existing large scale investment in Fibre

Channel n  Cuts across server, storage and

networks silos, potentially changes the roles and relationships of these teams.

n  Use an incremental adoption strategy, n  High density servers use a converged

network at the server edge. n  Integrate into the existing FC &

Ethernet infrastructures n  Displace FC switches over time

Page 11: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Cloud Computing

•  Different ways of thinking about the cloud •  How do clients view “The cloud”? •  What does the business want

Page 12: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Cloud as Technology

•  Virtual machines •  Clusters •  Multi-tenancy •  Internet •  Web Protocols

Its time to stop thinking about the Cloud as a technology

Page 13: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Cloud as Services

n  What is the cloud? •  IaaS •  PaaS •  SaaS •  Public/private

Think about the Cloud as an aspiration to create a “better IT environment”

Page 14: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Cloud as Capabilities Self-Service

Cost Transparency

Capacity on Demand

Utility Pricing

Location & Device

Independence

Commodity pricing

Think about Cloud as new capabilities that are aligned to the business’ needs

Page 15: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

The Cloud as a Journey

n  Levels of capability •  Where are you now? •  Where do you need to be? •  Strategy for getting there?

Think of the Cloud as a journey to these new capabilities. Where do I start and where do I stop?

Page 16: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

What are clients thinking •  The cloud is not clearly defined in

user’s minds •  Each vendor defines it around

their own product sets

•  It means very different things to different people •  IaaS, SaaS, Public, Private etc

•  Many business and IT people are uncomfortable with •  Security, governance, compliance

& cost •  Often this is perception, rather

than reality

Potential for significant misunderstandings between users, vendors and partners

Page 17: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

What does the business want?

•  They are interested in the benefits of the cloud not the technology, i.e., •  A more agile, more efficient IT infrastructure •  Increased robustness, i.e., HA, DR, Continuous

Operations •  Transforming IT from a CapEx intensive fixed asset to a

OpEx based utility •  Self-service, transparent pricing

Talk about Service Capabilities and Benefits, not Technology Features and Functions

Page 18: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

The IT landscape has changed. Have you?

Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected]

www.ibrs.com.au

Page 19: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

The empire, long divided, must unite; long united, must divide. Thus it has ever been.

-- Three Kingdoms

Page 20: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Layered Components n  Started in ‘80s with Open Systems n  Layers defined by standards n  Pros: Vendor competition drives

n  Lower component cost n  Innovation at each layer

n  Drawbacks: IT becomes an SI! n  Defines specs, n  Integrates components, n  Maintains integration across

disparate product lifecycles

System integration costs and times now outweigh the benefits of competition

Page 21: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Integrated Systems n  Still use open standards and

commodity components n  A “Systems Architecture”, not

just “Factory Integration” n  Who can do this?

n  IBM, HP, Dell & Oracle

n  Who is at risk n  Cisco, EMC, NetApp n  All the niche component players

Get out of the SI business and buy end-to-end designs from a single trusted systems vendor

Page 22: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Survey Results

1 - 999 35%

1,000 - 2,999 16%

3,000 - 9,999 22%

10,000+ 27%

Size

Technical, 37.3%

IT Exec/Mgr,

56.8%

Business 5.9%

154 responses from a diverse range of organisations

Page 23: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Perception of Benefits

Lowest total cost

Lowest overall risk

Fastest time to solution

About half saw clear advantage in ‘time to solution’ and ‘lower risk’ but concerns about TCO remain

Fastest time to solution   16%   29%   55%  Lowest overall risk   15%   39%   46%  Lowest total cost   33%   30%   37%  

Page 24: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Barriers to moving to an Integrated Systems model

Existing IT org structure and the investment in IT skills and infrastructure will be the major adoption barriers

Low Medium High

Application compatibility 12%   38%  50%  Existing infrastructure 10%   53%   36%  Re-engineering IT processes 17%   47%   36%  Existing technical skills 21%   49%   30%  Vendor Lock-in 21%   54%   26%  Hardware cost 38%   37%   25%  Changing IT roles 41%   42%   17%  

Page 25: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Two approaches to adoption Mandate

n  Smaller organisations n  CIO mandates the use of

Integrated Systems n  Triggered by refresh of

main Infrastructure n  Staff skills less of an issue

Seeding n  Larger organisations n  CIO seeds a “hot house”

to develop new capability n  Leaves “Old IT” alone n  Steer specific new project

to the hot house

The key question becomes “when and how”. Because …

Page 26: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Database

41

68

6

20 12

81

65

22

16 13

83 32

24 7

7

Oracle Enterprise Edition

Microsoft SQL Server IBM DB2 Oracle MySQL Sybase

Other Departmental Business Critical Mission Critical

Page 27: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Components Cisco Dell EMC HP IBM MS Netapp Oracle Red Hat VMware

Middleware 5% 2% 2% 4% 20% 23% 0% 32% 5% 6%

Database 0% 0% 1% 2% 9% 35% 0% 52% 0% 1%

O/S 0% 0% 1% 4% 11% 42% 0% 16% 20% 7%

Hypervisor 0% 1% 2% 1% 6% 14% 0% 13% 2% 62%

Server 4% 17% 1% 29% 22% 7% 0% 16% 1% 3%

Storage 0% 5% 37% 14% 17% 2% 15% 8% 0% 2%

Network 80% 1% 1% 8% 4% 2% 1% 4% 0% 0%

•  Strength in DB and Middleware •  MS is leader in O/S , Oracle have caught up with Red Hat •  VMware clearly leads Hypervisor category but oracle has 13%!

Page 28: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Questions 1.  Transition from one model to the other is always the most difficult as it

is a 'sunk cost' While Integrated system may be better overall, the huge existing investment means transition costs are a major barrier.

2.  What is the current take up/trend of the major Australian FI's around Oracle's Integrated System model

3.  With an integrated model won't we loss some of the functionality offered by the Best-of-Breed solutions?

4.  How would you rate the ease of upgrading each of the different stacks as the technologies on each stack improve over time?

5.  Integration with other vendor technologies and ability to use historical infrastructure

6.  How involved do you get when choosing an integrated solution. How much control do you give away ? Main concern is poor Oracle support

Page 29: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

Questions 1.  What type of resources are needed to support the Integrated

systems model 2.  Should Customers be more concerned about vendor lock in when

following an integrated systems model? If not, why not? 3.  By removing the Design and Integration layers of the model, how

can we ensure the technologies align with business requirements? Is there an expectation that the business will follow the technology?

4.  What plans does Oracle have to eliminate complexity of licensing and provide financial incentive to leverage an integrated stack ? Why the Oracle licencing model is so complex? Why is Oracle so expensive?

5.  Is going Oracle to support small business or target Corporate clients only?

Page 30: Oracle Systems _ Kevin Mcisaac _ The IT Landscape has changes - have you_.pdf

The IT landscape has changed. Have you?

Dr Kevin McIsaac [email protected]

www.ibrs.com.au