motorcycle crash analysis at hot spot locations (cutr webinar … · 4 all motorcycle related...
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9/8/2011
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Pei‐Sung Lin, Ph.D., P.E., PTOE, FITE
Achilleas Kourtellis, Ph.D.
Center for Urban Transportation Research (CUTR)University of South Florida
Florida Motorcycle Safety CoalitionCUTR Webinar Series
Florida’s gro ing pop lation and pop larit ith Florida’s growing population and popularity with motorcycle enthusiasts makes motorcycle safety an important issue
The number of motorcycle crashes and injuries in Florida more than doubled between the late‐1990s and 2008
It is the priority of the Florida Motorcycle Safety It is the priority of the Florida Motorcycle Safety Coalition to reduce motorcycle related fatalities, injuries, and crashes in Florida
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Identify hot spot locations in the top 10 Florida counties with the highest motorcycle crashes
Perform motorcycle crashes analysis at these hot spot locations
Determine contributing causes of motorcycle crashes in Determine contributing causes of motorcycle crashes in order to implement proper and effective improvements
YearLee County
Brevard County
Duval County
Palm Beach County
Volusia County
Pinellas County
Orange County
Hillsb. County
Broward County
Miami-Dade County
2005 228 257 394 465 600 528 554 629 773 1,228
2006 240 321 474 417 637 632 627 792 788 1,275
2007 281 291 458 508 565 580 642 697 855 1,334
2008 284 334 518 492 593 662 659 707 845 1,270
Total 1,033 1,203 1,844 1,882 2,395 2,402 2,482 2,825 3,261 5,107
Reviewed82
(7.9%)115
(9.6%)170
(9.2%)145
(7.7%)437
(18.3%)210
(8.7%)216
(8.7%)134
(4.7%)252
(7.7%)558
(10.9%)
• Locations chosen for review based on frequency of neighboring crashes
• Six road environment variables checked: visibility, road conditions, road surface conditions, road type, lighting conditions, weather conditions
• Chosen crashes are investigated (crash reports) to establish contributing factors
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1200
1400
600
800
1000
1200
torcycle related crashes Lee County
Brevard County
Duval County
Palm Beach County
Volusia County
Pinellas County
Orange County
0
200
400
2005 2006 2007 2008
Mot
Hillsborough County
Broward County
Miami‐Dade County
450
500
150
200
250
300
350
400
Number of Moto
rcycle Crash
es
No endorsement
Injury
Fatal
One motorcycle only
0
50
100
N
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All motorcycle related crashes are plotted on map using ArcGIS
A circle of 400ft (radius) from each crash is created
Highest concentration of crashes (clusters) are selected
Hot spot crashes identified and police reports are reviewed
Crash contributing factors are identified and maps are created
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Clusters
6x71x91x121X19
Responsible party for crash Human factor in crashes
39%
55%
6%
94%
5%
1%6%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Human error
Loose sand, gravel, water on road, dip
Motorcycle malfuntion
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6
6%
Rider at fault causes
9%12%
Driver at fault causes
16%
16%
10%
6%13%
10%
6%
23%9%
19%
30%
7%
7%
7%
Careless driving
Improper turn
Alcohol ‐ under influence
Alcohol & drugs under influence
Following too closely
Failed to maintain equip./veh.
Driver distraction
Other
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal
Driver distraction
Other
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ClustersClusters
3x73x82x101x121x131x15
Responsible party for crash Human factor in crashes
46%
48%
5%
1%
95%
2%
3%
5%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Pedestrian/Bicyclist
Human error
Struck object, oil on road
Motorcycle malfuntion
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8
8%
Driver at fault causes
4%8%
Rider at fault causes
26%
38%4%
8%
6%
4% 6%8%
Careless driving
34%
9%
4%
8%8%4%
4%
17%
Careless driving Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal
Disregarded stop sign
Other
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
Improper backing
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Alcohol ‐ under influence
Following too closely
Exceeded safe speed limit
Improper passing
Other
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Clusters
5x102x121x141x171x201x211x24
Responsible party for crash Human factor in crashes
48%
45%
6%
1%
94%5%
1%6%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Pedestrian/Bicyclist
Human error
Loose sand, gravel, water on road, dip
Motorcycle malfuntion
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2%
Rider at fault causes
10%3% 3%
3%
5%
Driver at fault causes
22%
3%
7%
5%
5%10%5%
14%
14%
2% 11%10%
30%
3%
22%
10%
3%3%
1%4%
5
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change Improper turn
Alcohol ‐ under influence Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal Exceeded safe speed limit
Exceeded stated speed limit Fleeing police
Driver distraction Other
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper backing Improper lane change
Improper turn Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal Exceeded safe speed limit
Disregarded stop sign Failed to maintain equip./veh.
Improper passing Obstructing traffic
Driver distraction
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lClusters
6x91x111x122x191x30
Responsible party for crash Not human error causes
44.1%
49.7%
5.6% 0.7%
94.4%
0.7%
3.5%
1.4%5.6%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Bicyclist/pedestrian at fault
Human error
Motorcycle malfunction
Pavement deformity
wet road
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6%4% 7%
3%
Driver at fault causes
5%
Rider at fault causes
49%
18%
7%
6%
4 7%
35%
9%
3%
16%
14%
5%
13%
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Disregarded traffic signal
Disregarded stop sign
Driver distraction
Other
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change
Following too closely
Exceeded safe speed limit
Disregarded stop sign
Driver distraction
Other
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Clusters
1 x 182x221x2441x251x291x341x571x631x143
Human factor in crashesResponsible party for crash
95%
3%
2%
5%
45%
47%
5% 3%
Human error
Loose sand, gravel, water, dip on road
Motorcycle malfunction
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Pedestrian/Bicyclist
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1%
3% 2%7%
Rider at fault causes
1%6%
2% 2%
Driver at fault causes
56%
8%4%
2%
6%
4%
7%
1%
Careless driving
32%
39%
2%
8%
8%
6%
Careless drivingFailed to yield right of way
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Followed too closely
Disregarded traffic signal
Exceeded safe speed limit
Disregarded stop sign
Improper passing
Exceeded stated speed limit
Other
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
Improper backing
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Alcohol/drugs‐ under influence
Disregarded traffic signal/stop sign
Improper passing
Driving wrong side/way
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Clusters
1x141x151x161x161x172x211x251x261x271x28
Responsible party for crash Human factor in crashes
46%
50%
3% 1%
97%
2%
1%
3%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Pedestrian/Bicyclist
Human error
loose sand, gravel, water on road, dip
motorcycle malfuntion
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6%3%3%
8%
Rider at fault causes
4%
2%
4%
1%
Driver at fault causes
6%
9%
5%
5%
20%
6%
23%
3%4%
5%
8% 4%
25%
5%
25%
19%
9%
6%4%
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change Improper turn
Alcohol ‐ under influence Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal Exceeded safe speed limit
Disregarded stop sign Improper passing
Exceeded stated speed limit Driver distraction
Other
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper backing Improper lane change
Improper turn Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal Exceeded safe speed limit
Improper passing Driver distraction
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Clusters
2x13
2x14
1x161x16
1x19
1x22
1x29
1x32
1 x 44
Not human error causesResponsible party for crash
96%
1%
2% 1%
4%
45%
50%
4% 1%
Human error
Motorcycle malfunction
Debris on road
Wet road
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Bicyclist/pedestrian at fault
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2%3%
5%
Rider at fault causes
6%
2%2% 4%
Driver at fault causes
49%
3%
8%
9%2%
8%
11%
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of way
24%
18%
6%
29%
9%
6%
Careless driving
Failed to yield right of wayImproper lane change
Followed too closely
Disregarded traffic signal
Exceeded safe speed limit
Exceeded stated speed limit
Driving wrong side/way
Fleeing police
Other
Failed to yield right of way
Improper backing
Improper lane change
Improper turn
Followed too closely
Disregarded traffic signal
Disregarded stop sign
Other
9/8/2011
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Clusters
1x151x151x161x171x181x191x241x25
Not human error causesResponsible party for crash
96%
3%
1%
4%
37%
59%
4%
Human Error
Sand on roadway
Tire blow out
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
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Driver at fault causesRider at fault causes
63%
21%
16%
41%
31%
14%
14%
Violated right of way
Rear‐ended stopped motorcycle
Other reason
Exceed speed limit
Failed to stop for traffic ahead
Violated right of way
Other reason
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Clusters
4x174x171x183x191x231x251x301x31
Responsible party for crash Not human error causes
56.9%
39.4%
2.4% 1.2%
97.6%0.4%
1.6% 0.4%2.4%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Bicyclist/pedestrian at fault
Human error
Motorcycle malfunction
Debris on road
Wet road
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22
2%4%
3%
%
Driver at fault causesRider at fault causes
18%
4%
35%
14%
10%
6%
44%
19%
3%
9%
3%11%
3%
24%
8%
4%
16%
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper backing Improper lane change
Improper turn Following too closely
Disregarded traffic signal Disregarded stop sign
Improper passing Other
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change Improper turn
Following too closely Disregarded traffic signal
Exceeded safe speed limit Improper passing
Exceeded stated speed limit Other
9/8/2011
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Clusters
1x211x222x232x231x281x291x331x471x611x294294
Responsible party for crash Not human error causes
50%
45%
4% 1%
96%
2%
1%1%
4%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Bicyclist/pedestrian at fault
Human error
Motorcycle malfunction
Debris on road
Wet road
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1%
Driver at fault causesRider at fault causes
15%
10%
22%
9%
16%
6%
5%
16%16%
18%
9%
6%7%4%
16%
7%
9%
8%
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change Improper turn
Following too closely Disregarded traffic signal
Disregarded stop sign Improper passing
Other
4%
Careless driving Failed to yield right of way
Improper lane change Improper turn
Following too closely Disregarded traffic signal
Exceeded safe speed limit Improper passing
Exceeded stated speed limit Other
2,319 motorcycle crashes identified and reviewed in hot spots in 10 hi h i i ihighest priority counties
Miami‐Dade Broward Hillsborough Orange Pinellas 40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
N h
Volusia Palm Beach Duval Brevard Lee
0%
10%
20%
30% Not human error
Ped/Bicycle at fault
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Responsible party for crash Not human error causes
47%
48%
4% 1%
96%
3%
1%
4%
Rider at fault
Driver at fault
Not human error
Pedestrian/Bicyclist at fault
Human Error
Loose sand, gravel, water, oil, dip, object on road
Motorcycle mulfunction
Top 3 contributing causes for rider at fault crashes:Top 3 contributing causes for rider at fault crashes:
1. Careless riding
2. Exceeded stated or safe speed limit
3. Failed to yield right of way
Top 3 contributing causes for driver at fault crashes:
l d ld h f1. Failed to yield right of way
2. Improper lane change
3. Improper turn
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Florida Motorcycle Safety Coalition, established in 2008, has adopted a comprehensive motorcycle safety program to improve motorcycle comprehensive motorcycle safety program to improve motorcycle safety in Florida.
The efforts of the Florida Motorcycle Safety Coalition has significantly contributed to the reduction of motorcycle crashes in Florida.
Motorcycle Crash Statistics 2008 2009 2008‐>2009 2010 2009‐>2010
M t li t kill d 502 376 25 10% 350 6 91%Motorcyclists killed 502 376 ‐25.10% 350 ‐6.91%
Motorcyclists injured 8519 7435 ‐12.70% 6686 ‐14.07%
Motorcycle crashes 9618 8313 ‐13.60% 7484 ‐9.97%
Source: Florida Department of Highway Safety and Motor Vehicles