ministry of counter narcotics islamic republic of afghanistan
DESCRIPTION
MINISTRY OF COUNTER NARCOTICS ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF AFGHANISTAN. ENTERPRISE GIS SYSTEM & GIS PROCESSES . Overview. MCN is tasked to produce the National policy on narcotics, conducts monitoring and evaluates eradication of narcotics production. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
MINISTRY OF COUNTER NARCOTICS
ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF AFGHANISTAN
ENTERPRISE GIS SYSTEM&
GIS PROCESSES
Overview
• MCN is tasked to produce the National policy on narcotics, conducts monitoring and evaluates eradication of narcotics production.
• The National Drug Control Strategy states that eradication should be targeted to those areas that have the greatest opportunity for Alternate Livelihood
• GIS is an integral part of the process, and is used in planning, monitoring and evaluation throughout the season.
Background
Extracts from the UNODC 2012 Afghanistan Opium Survey
‘The total area under opium poppy cultivation in Afghanistan in 2012 was estimated at 154,000 hectares, a 18% increase from the previous year.
The vast majority (95%) of opium cultivation took place in nine provinces in Afghanistan’s Southern and Western regions, which include the country’s most insecure provinces. In mirroring the polarization in the security situation between the lawless south and the relatively stable north of the country, this confirms the link between security and opium cultivation observed in previous years.
Based on preliminary results from other countries, opium cultivation in Afghanistan represented 64% of global cultivation in 2012.
Total eradication of opium poppy increased by 154% in 2012 due to an increase in �Governor-led eradication (GLE) in all regions, which accounted for 9,672 hectares.’
Background
Cultivation (Planted)
2009
Cultivation (Planted)
2010
Cultivation (Planted)
2011
Cultivation (Planted)
2012
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
CULTIVATION
Eradicated 2009
Eradicated 2010
Eradicated 2011
Eradicated 2012
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
ERADICATION
Systems
• ArcGIS for Server 10.1• Arc Editor 10.1• Erdas Imagine• PostgreSQL
DATA & Processes
This process creates a national coverage dataset that graphically depicts where there is the greatest potential for Alternative Livelihoods for the purpose of Governor Led Eradication targeting. This will allow comparison between different provinces.
Potential Access to Livelihoods (Rural) National Stability Program Data – Excel Lights @ Night – Proxy to Electricity Market Data - Vector Roads – Vector Quality of Agriculture District Level Data – Excel Distance to Provincial & District Centres
Developed Model
National Solidarity Program - Output
Lights at Night
Markets
Roads
District Data
Quality of Agriculture
Distance from District Centres
• Buffer 1 to 10km Calculated from the polygon outline
Potential for Alternate Livelihood - National
• Using Field Calculator, the processed raster's are merged to produce the National AL Dataset.
FINAL Raster Calc Weightings
Values Weightings Values Weightings Values Weightings0 0 01 1 12 2 23 3 34 4 45 5 56 6 67 7 78 8 89 9 910 10 10
Values Weightings Values Weightings Values Weightings0 0 01 1 12 2 23 3 34 4 45 5 56 6 67 7 78 8 89 9 910 10 10
Values Weightings012345678910
Values Weightings01234
x10
Projects - NSPs
Quality of Ag
x1.5
x2
Distance to DCs
Distance to PCs
District Level Data x1
Roadsx2
Electricityx1
Marketsx3 x1
LegendPotential Alternative Livelihoods UruzganValue
High Low
Provincial Level – Potential for Alternate Livelihoods
• Each targeted Province, is then clipped to generate a provincial raster, which can be processed independently of the national level, due to differences at the provincial scale and is therefore relative to the Province.
LegendPotential Alternative Livelihoods UruzganValue
High Low
Targeting
• Using Poppy Probability and Historical Eradication data in conjunction with the AL data and socio/political data, target areas can be depicted, these are presented to the Provincial & District Governors. The target areas are used to plan the Poppy Eradication Campaign.
LegendPoppy Probability 9 Year TrendValue
Low
Medium
High
Very High
Summary
• Data is Collected/Updated on an annual cycle and processed.
• Multiple datasets are fused to create the final output, allowing target areas to be generated.
• This process used to take many months to complete, using the model making capability in ArcGIS, it has improved the time it takes to create the final output to a several hours, but also removes the chance of human error in the inputs, and creates a consistent auditable output.
Finally
Thanks for your attention