march 2, 2006 blair williams on informal networks in congress coalitions a first look at lobbying...
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March 2, 2006
• Blair Williams on Informal Networks in Congress
• Coalitions
• A first look at lobbying
• Introduction of bills
Where do we find Informal Networks in Play?
• On the floor– During Roll Call Voting
• In Committee and Subcommittee– Co-sponsoring Bills– Co-Introducing Bills– Issuing Joint Press Releases– Entering Supportive Statements into the
Official Record
Where do we find Informal Networks in Play?
• House Office Buildings– Office Location - Seniority is important– Cafeteria– Member's Only Elevator / Underground Tram– Home away from Home Phenomenon
• CODELs (Congressional Delegations)– Official overseas travel– Long Air Travel, Spouses and Family members
can occasionally attend
Where do we find Informal Networks in Play?
• Outside Locations– House Gym– Congressional Prayer Breakfast (every Tues)– Republican and Democrat Clubs– Apartment Locations– Annual Baseball and Golf Tournament
• CMO's (Caucuses)– 308 Caucuses between 107th-109th Congress– Representative interests drive membership
Member Ideology vs. Caucus Membership
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Caucus Membership
Mem
ber
Ideo
log
yD
W-N
om
inat
e S
core
s
Democrats Republicans
Population Median Quartile Point Population Median Quartile Point
0.6
0.39
-0.35
-0.58
18 24 33 37
Caucus Observations
• Democrats dominate Caucuses - Why?– Excluded from formal policymaking process– Republicans eschew organizations outside of
the party• Leadership
• Discipline
– Democrats represent groups that traditionally lack outside commercial interests, as a result, caucuses serves a means for these groups to have access to government.
Vote Options
• “Hip pocket” votes, “if you need me” pledges
• Result of using vote options: victories narrower than losses
• Excess votes are not bought
• Votes not bought for losing efforts
• Reason for options: uncertainty
Options: United v. Divided Govt.
• United Government– President wins votes 2/3 of time– Victories by slimmer margins than losses
• Divided Government– Speaker mobilizes against President– Speaker wins 70% of the time– As in United Government, Victories are by
slimmer margins than losses
Conclusions
• Legislators “strategically wait” to cast votes
• Vote options likely to be exercised when outcome is close to 50%
• Narrow wins more frequent than narrow losses
• If vote is not close enough, votes are released by leaders