LE= life expectancy (Elinajan odote)

• the average number of years of life remaining at a given age

21.04.23 Marja Äijö 1(http://www.stat.fi/til/kuol/kas.html)

21.04.23 Marja Äijö 2

(Rapo 2008)

Life expectancy

Years

Men

Women 2008: 83 / 76.32008: 83 / 76.3

Some examples of life expectancy

2004• Japan: M 79, W 86• San Marino: M 79, W 84• Italy: M 78, W 84• Australia: M 78, W 83• Iceland: M 78, W 83• Sweden: M 78, W 83• Canada: M 78, W 83• Andorra: M 77, W 83• Singapore: M 77, W 82• Estonia: M 66, W 78• Romania: M 68, W 76• Latvia: M 66, W 76

2006• Japan: M 79, W 90• San Marino: M 80, W 83• Italy: M 78, W 84• Australia: M 79, W 84• Iceland M 80, W 83• Sweden: M 79, W 83• Canada: M 78, W 83• Andorra: M 78, W 85• Singapore: M 78, W 83• Estonia: M 67, W 79• Romania: M 69, W 76• Latvia: M 65, W 76

04/21/23 Marja Äijö 3(WHO 2006a)

Some examples of life expectancy

2004• Zimbabwe: M 37, W 34

• Swaziland: M 36, W 39

• Sierra Leone: N 37, W 40

• Botswana: M 40, W 40

• Zambia: M 40, W 40

• Lesotho: M 39, W 44

• Liberia: M 39, W 44

• Angola: M 38, W 42

• Mozambique: M 44, W 46

2006• Zimbabwe: M 44, W 43

• Swaziland: M 41, W 43

• Sierra Leone: N 39, W 42

• Botswana: M 51, W 52

• Zambia: M 42, W 44

• Lesotho: M 40, W 44

• Liberia: M 43, W 46

• Angola: M 40, W 43

• Mozambique: M 50, W 5121.04.23 Marja Äijö 4

(WHO 2006a)

DFLE = Disability-free life expectancy (terveen elinajan odote)

• Disability-free life expectancy is the average number of years an individual is expected to live free of disability if current patterns of mortality and disability continue to apply.

• Active life expectancy

21.04.23 Marja Äijö 5

Some examples of disability free life expectancy in a year 2002

Country Men WomenJapan 72 78

Sweden 72 75

San Marino 71 76

Italy 71 75

Iceland 71 75

Australia 71 74

Andorra 70 75

Canada 70 74

Finland 69 74

Singapore 69 71

Romania 61 65

Estonia 59 69

Latvia 58 686

(WHO 2006b)

Some examples of disability free life expectancy in a year 2002

Country Men WomenSierra Leone 27 30

Lesotho 30 33

Angola 32 35

Swaziland 33 35

Zimbabwe 34 33

Liberia 34 37

Zambia 35 35

Botswana 36 35

Mozambique 36 38

04/21/23 7(WHO 2006b)

Disability life expectancy

• Disability life expectancy is the average number of years an individual is expected to live with disability or diseases.

• Compression of morbidity theory

21.04.23 Marja Äijö 8

The Finnish population in 2007 and prediction to 2040

• Number of people aged 65 or more increases– 875 000 -> 1 550 000– Proportion of population 16.5 % -> 27.0%– 2008/2009: more people aged 65 or more

than those aged 15 or less; first time in Finnish history

9

Population of Finland 2007 -> 2040

• Number of people aged 85 or more increases

• " 98 000 -> 349 000

• " Proportion of population 1.9 % -> 6.1 %

21.04.23 10

Population aging: what are the implications?

• More older people than young people

• National economy problems

• Cost crisis of welfare

• Labour shortage

• Territorial inequality

21.04.23 Marja Äijö 11(Luoma ym. 2003)

Population aging: what are the implications?

• Good functional ability and health

• More older people still working

• Voluntary work

• Capital of older people• More free time: possibility to travel, use

services, etc. (Koskinen 2004)

21.04.23 Marja Äijö 12