july - december 2011 biannual economic and capacity survey

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July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

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Economic Impact CESA Membership earnings % of GDP Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

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Page 1: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

July - December 2011

Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Page 2: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnoverbased on responses received

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 15.2%R1,5m – R11,5m 50.0%

> R11,5m 34.8%Total 100.0%

0-1.510.4%

1.5-11.539.5%

>11.550.1%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 10.4%R1,5m – R11,5m 39.5%> R11,5m 50.0%Total 100.0%

July - December 2011 January – June 2011

0-1.515.2%

1.5-11.550.0%

>11.534.8%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Page 3: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Economic ImpactCESA Membership earnings % of GDP

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

JUN97DEC

97JUN98

DEC98

JUN99DEC

99JUN00

DEC00

JUN01DEC

01JUN02

DEC02

JUN03DEC

03JUN04

DEC04

JUN05DEC

05JUN06

DEC06

JUN07DEC

07JUN08

DEC08

JUN09DEC

09JUN10

DEC10

JUN11DEC

110.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

Page 4: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Relationship to Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

Page 5: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Consulting Engineering IndustryFee income, Rm Constant 2000 prices (CPI Deflated) Annualised

Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-110

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Source: CESA BECS

Page 6: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated), 2000 prices: Annual Change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-97Dec-

97Jun

-98Dec-

98Jun

-99Dec-

99Jun

-00Dec-

00Jun

-01Dec-

01Jun

-02Dec-

02Jun

-03Dec-

03Jun

-04Dec-

04Jun

-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

10Jun

-11Dec-

11-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Page 7: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

CESA Confidence Index

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

95Ju

n-96

Jun-

97De

c-97

Jun-

98De

c-98

Jun-

99De

c-99

Jun-

00De

c-00

Jun-

01De

c-01

Jun-

02De

c-02

Jun-

03De

c-03

Jun-

04De

c-04

Jun-

05De

c-05

Jun-

06De

c-06

Jun-

07De

c-07

Jun-

08De

c-08

Jun-

09De

c-09

Jun-

10De

c-10

Jun-

11De

c-11

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

% Change (Survey to Survey) Index

% C

hang

e fr

om p

revi

ous

surv

ey

% R

espo

nden

ts s

atis

fied

Page 8: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Industry Confidence

Source: CESA BECS, BER

Page 9: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Jun-

96No

v-96

Apr-9

7Se

p-97

Feb-

98Ju

l-98

Dec-

98M

ay-9

9Oc

t-99

Mar

-00

Aug-

00Ja

n-01

Jun-

01No

v-01

Apr-0

2Se

p-02

Feb-

03Ju

l-03

Dec-

03M

ay-0

4Oc

t-04

Mar

-05

Aug-

05Ja

n-06

Jun-

06No

v-06

Apr-0

7Se

p-07

Feb-

08Ju

l-08

Dec-

08M

ay-0

9Oc

t-09

Mar

-10

Aug-

10Ja

n-11

Jun-

11No

v-11

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Confidence

CON

FID

ENCE

IND

EX

Fee

inco

me

(con

stan

t pr

ices

)

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated) vs confidence

Source: CESA BECS

Page 10: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Jun-

96Ju

n-97

Jan-

98Ju

n-98

Jan-

99Ju

n-99

Jan-

00Ju

n-00

Dec-

00Ju

n-01

Dec-

01Ju

n-02

Dec-

02Ju

n-03

Dec-

03Ju

n-04

Dec-

04Ju

n-05

Dec-

05Ju

n-06

Dec-

06Ju

n-07

Dec-

07Ju

n-08

Dec-

08Ju

n-09

Dec-

09Ju

n-10

Dec-

10Ju

n-11

Dec-

11

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

200030004000500060007000800090001000011000120001300014000150001600017000180001900020000Confidence Fee income Current prices

CON

FID

ENCE

IND

EX

Fee

inco

me,

R m

ill, c

urre

nt p

rice

s

Consulting Engineering IndustryNominal Fee income vs confidence

Source: CESA BECS

Page 11: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

CESA Labour Cost Indicator: Y-Y Change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-98

Jun-99

Jun-00

Jun-01

Jun-02

Jun-03

Jun-04

Jun-05

Jun-06

Jun-07

Jun-08

Jun-09

Jun-10

Jun-11

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Page 12: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs REAL fee income (CPI / LCI Deflated)

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-97

Dec-98

Dec-99

Dec-00

Dec-01

Dec-02

Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

8,500

10,500

12,500

14,500

16,500

18,500

20,500

Income: CPI 2000 prices Income : CESA LCI 2005 pricesEmployment Revised (right axis)

Page 13: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs Salary / Wage bill

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-97

Dec-98

Dec-99

Dec-00

Dec-01

Dec-02

Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000Salary/Wage bill (Constant) Employment - right axis

Page 14: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Discounting

Question: What is the prevailing discount being offered in a tendering situation to clients by your firm, benchmarked against the ECSA Guideline Fee Scales?

39% of firmsdiscounted by 20% or more

Source: CESA BECS

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

Page 15: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2011

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject Management

Quantity SurveyingStructural

Town planning

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

Source: CESA BECS

Page 16: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in market share in the last 12 months

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

HydraulicsInformation Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject Management

Quantity SurveyingStructural

Town planning

-6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 17: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by Top four disciplines: R mill 2000 pricesAnnual average: 2002 – 2011

Source: CESA BECS

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000Structural Proj Mang Mining Civil - right axis

Page 18: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share June 2012 – December 2011

Income distribution per economic sector

Source: CESA BECS

Water

Transp

ortati

on

Energ

y

Mining

/ Qua

rrying

Educ

ation

Health

Touri

sm/Le

isure

Housin

g

Commerc

ial

Agricu

lture

/ Fore

stry /

Fishin

gOthe

r0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Page 19: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee earnings by selected sectorSmoothed |2 survey average

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

WaterTransportationEnergyHousingCommercialWater

Transportation

Commercial

Housing

Energy

Source: CESA BECS

Page 20: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee earnings by sectorRm Constant prices

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater

Source: CESA BECS

Page 21: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – June 2011

Jun-05Jan

-06Au

g-06Mar-

07Oct-

07May-

08Dec-

08Jul

-09Feb

-10Se

p-10Ap

r-11Nov-

110

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

Housing

Jun-05Jan

-06Au

g-06Mar-

07Oct-

07May-

08Dec-

08Jul

-09Feb

-10Se

p-10Ap

r-11Nov-

110

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Water

Jun-05

Feb-06

Oct-06

Jun-07

Feb-08

Oct-08

Jun-09

Feb-10

Oct-10

Jun-11

0500

1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

Transportation

Jun-05Jan

-06Au

g-06Mar-

07Oct-

07May-

08Dec-

08Jul

-09Feb

-10Se

p-10Ap

r-11Nov-

110

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,600

Energy

Jun-05

Feb-06

Oct-06Jun

-07Feb

-08Oct-

08Jun

-09Feb

-10Oct-

10Jun

-110

5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,000

Commercial

Jun-05

Jan-06Au

g-06Mar-

07Oct-

07May-

08Dec-

08Jul

-09Feb

-10Se

p-10Ap

r-11Nov-

110

50100150200250300

Health

Source: CESA BECS

Page 22: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

E-C

ape

W-C

ape

N-C

ape

F St

ate

N-W Lim

Gau

t

Mpu

Kw

az

Afr

ica

Int'l

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

% Share Change last 12 months

% S

hare

(bar

)

Provincial Market Share: June 2011Vs change in market share from December 2010

GAI

N

mar

ket

shar

e

Income distribution per province

Source: CESA BECS

Page 23: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by provinceHigh Capacity economies |Annualised smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-98Jun

-99

Dec-99Jun-00

Dec-00Jun-01

Dec-01Jun

-02

Dec-02Jun-03

Dec-03Jun-04

Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Jun-07

Dec-07Jun

-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10Jun

-11

Dec-11

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal

Source: CESA BECS

Page 24: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-98

Jun-99

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

High Capacity Lower CapacityIndex Dec-98=100

83% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces

Source: CESA BECS

Page 25: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-98Jun

-99Dec-

99Jun

-00Dec-

00Jun

-01Dec-

01Jun

-02Dec-

02Jun

-03Dec-

03Jun

-04Dec-

04Jun

-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

10Jun

-11Dec-

110

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis

87% of fees were earned in South Africa

Source: CESA BECS

Page 26: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by type of client% Share – July – December 2011

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Central5%

Provincial8%

Local26%

Parastatals14%

Private47%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 27: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by type of client% Share

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Source: CESA BECS

Page 28: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by type of clientR mill 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Source: CESA BECS

Page 29: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income earned by type of clientConstant 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Jun-01Dec-

01Jun

-02Dec-

02Jun

-03Dec-

03Jun

-04Dec-

04Jun

-05Dec-

05Jun

-06Dec-

06Jun

-07Dec-

07Jun

-08Dec-

08Jun

-09Dec-

09Jun

-10Dec-

10Jun

-11Dec-

110

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000Public Private

Source: CESA BECS

Page 30: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Competition in tendering

During July – December 2011 competition for work was (Tick selection)

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce

Source: CESA BECS

Page 31: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Competition in tendering

During July – December 2011 competition for work was (Tick selection)

Jun-00Dec-

0001

-Jun01

-Dec02

-Jun02

-Dec03

-Jun03

-Dec04

-Jun04

-Dec05

-Jun05

-Dec06

-Jun06

-Dec07

-Jun07

-Dec08

-Jun08

-Dec09

-Jun09

-Dec10

-Jun

01-Dec2

Jun-11Dec-

1186.0%

88.0%

90.0%

92.0%

94.0%

96.0%

98.0%

100.0%

102.0%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 32: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

% of Firms wanting to increase staff

New June 2005 survey

Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

Source: CESA BECS

Page 33: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Engineering Skills Shortfall

Dec-97

Jun-9801

-Dec01

-Jun

01-Dec

2Jun

-00Dec

-00

01-Ju

n2

01-Dec

302

-Jun02

-Dec03

-Jun03

-Dec04

-Jun04

-Dec05

-Jun05

-Dec06

-Jun06

-Dec07

-Jun07

-Dec08

-Jun08

-Dec09

-Jun09

-Dec10

-Jun10

-DecJun

-11Dec

-110.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

% Wanting to increase engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting engineers

Source: CESA BECS

Page 34: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Recruitment problems

Eng

O Tech

Techn

ologis

t

Techn

icians

Other

PDI E

ng

PDI T

ech

PDI T

echno

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

Source: CESA BECS

Changes in Dec’11 questionnaire to split recruitment problems by male / female. Comparisons to previous surveys no longer availalbe

Page 35: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Recruitment problems by genderNew addition December 2011 survey

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 36: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Bursaries% of Salary / Wage bill

Dec-96

01-Ju

n

01-Ju

n2Jun

-00

01-Ju

n302

-Jun

03-Ju

n04

-Jun

05-Ju

n06

-Jun

07-Ju

n08

-Jun

09-Ju

n10

-Jun

Jun-11

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 37: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

BursariesR mill 2000 prices (Annualised)

Dec-96

01-Ju

n

01-Ju

n2Jun

-00

01-Ju

n302

-Jun

03-Ju

n04

-Jun

05-Ju

n06

-Jun

07-Ju

n08

-Jun

09-Ju

n10

-Jun

Jun-11

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

Source: CESA BECS

Page 38: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) % of Payroll

Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'11 Dec'110.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

eSource: CESA BECS

Page 39: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'11 Dec'110.0

500.0

1000.0

1500.0

2000.0

2500.0

3000.0

3500.0

4000.0

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

e

Dat

a no

t ava

ilabl

eSource: CESA BECS

Page 40: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Training (Direct costs)% of Payroll

Dec-97

Dec-98

Dec-99

Dec-00

Dec-01

Dec-02

Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Source: CESA BECS

Page 41: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Dec-97

Dec-98

Dec-99

Dec-00

Dec-01

Dec-02

Dec-03

Dec-04

Dec-05

Dec-06

Dec-07

Dec-08

Dec-09

Dec-10

Dec-11

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

Source: CESA BECS

Page 42: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11

Dec

-11

Utili

satio

n

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Net %

cha

nge

expe

ctin

g in

crea

se

Net % Change Utilisation

Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff

Source: CESA BECS

Page 43: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysDecember 2011

Source: CESA BECS

Page 44: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days% of total fee income earned Including foreign clients

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

Dec-11

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Sur-

vey

ame

nded

to

in

-cl

ude

for-

eign

cl

ien

ts

Source: CESA BECS

Page 45: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Escalation trendsYear-on-Year % Change

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

Annu

al C

hang

e, %

% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 5 6.2 5.3 5.1 5.9

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Based on headline consumer inflation

(CPI)Forecasts Industry

Insight Economist Poll

CPI B

aske

t Rev

ised

in Ja

nuar

y 20

09Source: CESA BECS

Page 46: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

LUC 15.2% 11.4% 22.5%21.8% 9.2% -1.9% 3.7% 15.0% 8.0% 2.9% 4.3% 14.3% 21.5% 11.3% 5.3% 7.2% 9.5% 10.6% 9.1% 10.2% 17.8% 25.5%20.6%10.7% 4.3% 7.8% 8.5% 1.50%

J un-98

Dec-98

J un-99

Dec-99

J un-00

Dec-00

J un-01

Dec-01

J un-02

Dec-02

J un-03

Dec-03

J un-04

Dec-04

J un-05

Dec-05

J un-06

Dec-06

J un-07

Dec-07

J un-08

Dec-08

J un-09

Dec-09

J un-10

Dec-10

J un-11

Dec-11

Source: CESA BECS

Page 47: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Annual Average Y-Y Chg

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

LUC 22.2% 3.7% 9.4% 5.4% 9.3% 16.3% 6.30% 10% 9.65% 21.67% 15.64% 4.30% 7.80% 8.50% 1.50%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Source: CESA BECS

Page 48: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Typical Employment BreakdownJuly – December 2011

Professional Engineer Pr.Eng

Professional Architects

Professional Quantity Surveyors

Professional Other

Technologists Pr TEchENg

Technicians PrTechni

Unregistered technical staff: Engineer

Unregistered technical staff: Technologist

Unregistered technical staff: Technician

Unregistered technical staff: Other

Technical Assistants

Draughtspersons

Laboratory / Survey Assistants

Administration / Support staff

Total

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Source: CESA BECS

Page 49: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Typical Employment profile: December 2011

Total employment 19 618

Source: CESA BECS

Page 50: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceJune 2004 – December 2011

Source: CESA BECS

Page 51: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%D

ec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11

Dec

-11

%Employment profile: Black only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment

Source: CESA BECS

Page 52: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Professional Indemnity InsuranceRisk profile

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

%

Jun-09 71.4% 28.6% 0.0%Dec-09 75.0% 17.5% 7.5%Dec-10 66.7% 33.3% 0.0%Jun-11 60.0% 37.8% 2.2%Dec-11 78.16% 18.39% 3.45%

Low Medium High

Source: CESA BECS

Page 53: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%JU

N06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

JUN

10

DEC

10

JUN

11

DEC

11

%

Pty Ltd CC Partnership

Equity Distribution by firm type

Source: CESA BECS

Page 54: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

JUN

10

DEC

10

JUN

11

DEC

11

Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships

Source: CESA BECS

Page 55: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

JUN

06

DEC

06

JUN

07

DEC

07

JUN

08

DEC

08

JUN

09

DEC

09

JUN

10

DEC

10

JUN

11

DEC

11

Bla

ck e

quity

as

% o

f tot

al E

quity

Black equity as % of total equity 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Black equity as % of total equity)

Black Ownership / Equity: % Share of total ownership / equityPTY, CC & Partnerships

Black, including Asian & ColouredSource: CESA BECS

Page 56: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

DEC07 DEC08 DEC09 DEC10 JUN11 DEC110.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

WomenBlack women

Black including Coloured & Asian

Women contribution to ownership and equity% of total ownership / equity (PTY, CC and Partnerships)

Source: CESA BECS

Page 57: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

Pty_exec

Pty_nonexec

Member of CC

Partner

%

Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11

Dec-11 20.80% 85.70% 36.50% 14.30%Jun-11 15.3% 55.2% 37.0% 22.2%Dec-10 15.2% 35.9% 45.5% 12.5%Dec-09 19.6% 88.9% 51.8% 0.0%Dec-08 13.5% 81.5% 36.8% 0.0%

Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner

Black ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of companyDecember 2008 – December 2011

Black includes Asian and Coloureds

Source: CESA BECS

Page 58: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

%

Jun-08 100.0% 72.7% 94.4% 75.0% 84.0%Dec-08 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 75.0% 84.0%Jun-09 100.0% 93.3% 100.0% 75.0% 93.0%Dec-09 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%Dec-10 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 100.0% 97.4%Jun-11 92.0% 100.0% 100.0% 87.0% 95.0%Dec-11 100.00% 93.10% 92.00% 77.30% 89.90%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Quality Management System

Source: CESA BECS

Page 59: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

%

Jun-08 81.8% 36.0% 11.0% 0.0% 30.1%Dec-08 87.5% 46.7% 20.0% 0.0% 42.0%Jun-09 90.0% 20.0% 20.0% 12.5% 34.8%Dec-09 90.9% 42.1% 14.3% 16.7% 45.2%Dec-10 92.3% 25.0% 0.0% 20.0% 45.0%Jun-11 53.8% 55.6% 57.1% 12.5% 47.8%Dec-11 84.60% 37.90% 29.20% 9.10% 35.20%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

ISO 9001:2008 Certificate

Source: CESA BECS

Page 60: July - December 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

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