jobseekers allowance claimant count...129chartered and certified accountants (2421) 120nurses (2231)...

1

Milton Keynes Employment November 2016

Headlines

The JSA claimant count rate in Milton Keynes was 1.1% in November 2016. This remains unchanged from October 2016 but is 0.3% lower than in November 2015 when the claimant count rate stood at 1.4%.

There were 1,786 JSA claimants in Milton Keynes in November 2016. This is a decrease of 43 individuals from October 2016.

The Milton Keynes JSA claimant count rate of 1.1% is lower than the national (UK) rate of 1.2% but higher than the regional (south east) figure of 0.8%.

Jobseekers Allowance Claimant Count

The unemployment claimant count measures all people recorded by the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) receiving Jobseekers Allowance (JSA) each month. Table 1: Milton Keynes Claimant Count 2015-16

Male Female Total

Number Rate Number Rate Number Rate

November-15 1,416 1.7 900 1.1 2,316 1.4

October-16 1,073 1.3 756 0.9 1,829 1.1

November-16 1,057 1.3 729 0.9 1,786 1.1

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

Milton Keynes Employment

November 2016

2

Table 2: Milton Keynes, Comparators & SEMLEP Claimant Count, November 2016

Male Female Total


Bedford 910 1.8 596 1.1 1,506 1.4

Central Bedfordshire 544 0.6 384 0.4 928 0.5

Luton 1,080 1.5 783 1.2 1,863 1.3

Peterborough 554 0.9 465 0.8 1,019 0.8

Milton Keynes 1,057 1.3 729 0.9 1,786 1.1

Reading 727 1.3 527 1.0 1,254 1.1

Slough 517 1.1 435 0.9 952 1.0

Corby 188 0.9 184 0.8 372 0.9

Daventry 162 0.7 152 0.6 314 0.6

Northampton 1,069 1.5 750 1.0 1,819 1.3

South Northamptonshire 108 0.4 81 0.3 189 0.3

Wellingborough 338 1.5 239 1.0 577 1.2

Kettering 333 1.1 266 0.9 599 1.0

Cherwell 148 0.3 132 0.3 280 0.3

South East Midlands 5,956 1.0 4,345 0.8 10,301 0.9

United Kingdom 308,842 1.5 197,417 1.0 506,259 1.2

South East 25,393 0.9 17,204 0.6 42,597 0.8 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

The claimant count fell in Milton Keynes across 2015. The first three months of 2016 saw slight increases, as did August 2016, but generally the number of individuals claiming JSA has been on a downward trend. At 1.1%, the claimant count in Milton Keynes remains below the national figure (1.2%) but is higher than the regional and SEMLEP rates of 0.8% and 0.9% respectively.


November 2016

3

Table 3: Unemployment by age as a proportion of total unemployment, November 2016

Milton Keynes UK South East

Number Rate Rate Rate

Aged 17 0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Aged 18-19 25 1.3 2.9 2.7

Aged 20-24 115 6.4 9.9 8.9

Aged 25-29 175 9.9 12.2 11.2

Aged 30-34 235 13.3 11.4 10.5

Aged 35-39 230 12.8 10.6 10.2

Aged 40-44 220 12.2 10.7 10.8

Aged 45-49 230 12.9 12.0 12.9

Aged 50-54 250 14.1 12.2 12.9

Aged 55-59 180 10.0 10.7 11.5

Aged 60 and over 125 7.1 7.3 8.2 Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

In November 2016, young people (18-24 years) made up around 7.7% of all unemployed claimants in Milton Keynes. This compares to around 11.6% in the South East region and 12.8% in the UK. Table 4: Unemployment Claimant Count by Age & Duration in Milton Keynes, November 2016

Total Over six months and up to one year

Over One Year


Aged 16-64 1,785 1.1 275 0.2 470 0.3

Aged 18-24 140 0.7 20 0.1 20 0.1

Aged 25-49 1,090 1.1 170 0.2 265 0.3

Aged 50-64 555 1.2 85 0.2 190 0.4

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

0.7% of all 18-24 year olds were claiming JSA in November 2016. This is below the proportion for the working age population (16-64 years) as a whole. The largest proportion of people who have been unemployed for a year or more is in the 50-64 years age group, although this is only marginally higher than the percentage across all ages.


November 2016

4

Table 5: Ward Unemployment in Milton Keynes, November 2016

Total Claimants

Number Rate

Bletchley East 142 1.7

Bletchley Park 111 1.2

Bletchley West 90 1.0

Bradwell 114 1.4

Broughton 47 0.5

Campbell Park & Old Woughton 74 0.9

Central Milton Keynes 202 1.7

Danesborough & Walton 55 0.7

Loughton & Shenley 48 0.5

Monkston 66 0.7

Newport Pagnell North & Hanslope 32 0.4

Newport Pagnell South 57 0.8

Olney 41 0.6

Shenley Brook End 81 0.8

Stantonbury 126 1.2

Stony Stratford 69 1.1

Tattenhoe 57 0.7

Wolverton 119 1.2

Woughton & Fishermead 255 2.2

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

In November 2016, there were seven wards within Milton Keynes with JSA claimant unemployment rates above the borough average of 1.1%. Levels of claimant unemployment were particularly high in the wards of Woughton and Fishermead (2.2%), Central Milton Keynes (1.7%) and Bletchley East (1.7%).


November 2016

5

Chart 1: JSA Claimant Rate Milton Keynes, South East & UK 2007-2016

Source: Jobseekers Allowance, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS. NB: Claimant count data is taken from November of each year.

Chart 1 demonstrates that the JSA claimant count in Milton Keynes was below the national average in 2007 but increased above it during the recession and fell below it in 2013. Unemployment continues to generally follow a downward trend (allowing for some monthly variations), with the rate in the south east region consistently below the national and Milton Keynes rates.

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

JSA

Cla

iman

t R

ate

(%

)

Year

MK

UK

South East

Milton

Keynes UK

South East

2007 1.7 2.0 1.2

2008 2.6 2.6 1.7

2009 4.4 3.9 2.8

2010 3.4 3.5 2.3

2011 3.8 3.8 2.5

2012 3.3 3.8 2.4

2013 2.3 3.0 1.8

2014 1.6 2.1 1.2

2015 1.4 1.6 0.9

2016 1.1 1.2 0.8


November 2016

6

Universal Credit Since November 2015, individuals of working age looking for work or on low incomes in Milton Keynes are eligible to claim Universal Credit. Universal Credit is a single monthly payment which is replacing six existing benefits, including Jobseekers Allowance. Universal Credit is being introduced in stages and, over the coming years, all those on low incomes or seeking work will move from their existing benefits to Universal Credit. In Milton Keynes, individuals who have recently become unemployed may be required to claim Universal Credit rather than JSA. Experimental statistics are now available for a claimant count that consists of both JSA claimants (published by Nomis) and those who are claiming Universal Credit and are out of work (published by the Department for Work and Pensions). Table 6: Jobseekers Allowance and Universal Credit (those out of work) claimants, 2013- 2016

Date Number of Claimants MK

Claimant Count MK (As a proportion of all residents 16-64 MK)

Claimant Count UK (As a proportion of all residents 16-64 UK)

2013 3,855 2.3 3.0

2014 2,725 1.6 2.1

2015 2,325 1.4 1.8

October 2016 2,410 1.4 1.9

November 2016 2,320 1.4 1.8 Source: Claimant Count, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS. NB: Claimant count data is taken from November of each year, unless otherwise stated. Data for the previous month is also subject to revision so figures may differ to those shown in earlier unemployment reports.

As the table above shows, the claimant count increases to 2,320 when those who are out of work and claiming Universal Credit are included. This equates to a claimant rate of 1.4%. This is below the claimant rate for the UK (1.8%) but above the rate for the south east (1.1%).


November 2016

7

Job Postings

Labour Insight is a tool which monitors the jobs posted by employers on job search websites. According to this, there were 5,236 job postings across the Milton Keynes local authority area in November 2016. This compares to 5,726 job postings in October 2016. The most commonly advertised occupations across Milton Keynes were programmers and software development professionals (214 postings); book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks (155 postings); and other administrative occupations n.e.c (146 postings). This is a similar pattern to that seen in previous months. Chart 2: Top occupations in Milton Keynes, based on job postings, November 2016

Source: Labour Insight

214

155

146

129

120

109

107

105

102

99

96

96

91

91

88

87

82

81

78

77

75

73

70

70

69

0 50 100 150 200 250

Programmers and software development…

Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks…

Other administrative occupations n.e.c. (4159)

Chartered and certified accountants (2421)

Nurses (2231)

Business sales executives (3542)

IT business analysts, architects and systems…

Sales accounts and business development…

IT user support technicians (3132)

Engineering technicians (3113)

Human resources and industrial relations officers…

Web design and development professionals (2137)

Call and contact centre occupations (7211)

Customer service occupations n.e.c. (7219)

Large goods vehicle drivers (8211)

Sales related occupations n.e.c. (7129)

Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.…

Managers and directors in retail and wholesale…

Finance and investment analysts and advisers (3534)

Financial accounts managers (3538)

Marketing associate professionals (3543)

Management consultants and business analysts…

IT operations technicians (3131)

Van drivers (8212)

Information technology and telecommunications…

Mk top occupations


November 2016

8

Comparing Milton Keynes with other areas within SEMLEP and comparator areas shows that Milton Keynes had the highest number of job postings in November 2016.

Chart 3: Highest Number of Job Postings in SEMLEP local authorities and comparator areas, November 2016

Source: Labour Insight. NB: The figure in the graph above relates to postings that state Milton Keynes. A number of postings stated Newport Pagnell or Olney. The figures for Newport Pagnell and Olney are however included in the occupational figures in chart 2. Looking at England as a whole, as well as Reading and Northampton (as the two SEMLEP/comparator areas closest to Milton Keynes in terms of number of job postings) there is less commonality this month amongst the types of job opportunity being advertised. Programmers and software development professionals; business sales executives; and nurses were the three occupations to feature in the top ten most common job postings across each of the four areas.

5,138

3,872

3,079

2,169

2,143

1,564

900

761

597

547

404

390

370

261

133

130

124

117

107

102

64

64

34

27

27

0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

MILTON KEYNES, ENG

READING, ENG

NORTHAMPTON, ENG

SLOUGH, ENG

LUTON, ENG

BEDFORD, ENG

AYLESBURY, ENG

BANBURY, ENG

KETTERING, ENG

DUNSTABLE, ENG

BICESTER, ENG

CORBY, ENG

DAVENTRY, ENG

LEIGHTON BUZZARD, ENG

BUCKINGHAM, ENG

BIGGLESWADE, ENG

TOWCESTER, ENG

KIDLINGTON, ENG

BRACKLEY, ENG

SANDY, ENG

CRANFIELD, ENG

NEWPORT PAGNELL, ENG

SHEFFORD, ENG

CRICK, ENG

OLNEY, ENG

SEMLEP & Comparators


November 2016

9

Table 7: Top 10 Occupations by Job Postings, November 2016

Milton Keynes

Reading

Northampton

England

Programmers and software development professionals

214 Programmers and software development professionals

213 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.


22,483

Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks

155 Business sales executives


88 Nurses 14,833

Other administrative occupations n.e.c.

146 Nurses 124 Nurses 83 Other administrative occupations n.e.c.

14,438

Chartered and certified accountants

129 Human resources and industrial relations officers



12,367

Nurses 120 IT business analysts, architects and systems designers

121 IT business analysts, architects and systems designers


9,597

Business sales executives

109 Sales related occupations n.e.c.

106 Plant and machine operatives n.e.c.

79 Web design and development professionals

9,502

IT business analysts, architects and systems designers

107 Information technology and telecommunications professionals n.e.c.

95 Chartered and certified accountants

61 Managers and directors in retail and wholesale

8,665

Sales accounts and business development managers

105 IT user support technicians


60 Chartered and certified accountants

8,656

IT user support technicians

102 Sales accounts and business development managers

94 Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerks

54 Sales accounts and business development managers

8,515

Engineering technicians

99 Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.

90 Large goods vehicle drivers

53 Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.

8,441

Source: Labour Insight


November 2016

10

Based on the requirements contained within job postings, Labour Insight is also able to collate information on the skills that are being sought by recruiting employers. Unsurprisingly given the nature of current job postings, skills relating to Microsoft Office (particularly Excel); customer service; business management; project management; sales; and accountancy are most in demand. Chart 4: Skills most sought by recruiting employers in Milton Keynes, November 2016

Source: Labour Insight. NB: approximately 31% of records have been excluded because they do not include a skill in the posting. As a result, the chart above may not be representative of the full sample.

471

456

339

274

274

261

237

226

226

219

202

182

173

167

159

135

129

128

127

127

121

118

117

115

113

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Customer Service

Microsoft Excel

Business Management

Microsoft Office

Project Management

Sales

Accountancy

Key Performance Indicators

Product Sales

Customer Contact

SQL

Budgeting

Contract Management

Repair

Microsoft Windows

SAP

Teaching

Technical Support

Business Development

Invoicing

Contract Accountancy

Marketing Sales

Microsoft C#

Sales Recruiting

Supervisory Skills

Demand for Skills


November 2016

11

Annual Population Survey & Not in Education, Employment or Training Data

The Annual Population Survey (APS) unemployment statistic is a broader measure than the JSA claimant count. The claimant count is an administrative measure of those claiming Jobseekers Allowance. The APS is a survey based measure, over three month periods, which uses the internationally agreed definition of unemployment as recommended by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). The ILO counts the following as unemployed:

- Those without a job who want a job, have actively sought work in the last four weeks and are available to start work in the next two weeks

- Those who are out of work, have found a job and are waiting to start it in the next two weeks.

APS data is released every three months and is based on an average of the previous twelve months’ data. As such, it is not statistically valid to compare APS estimates for periods under twelve months apart. APS data for January 2015 to December 2015 was published on 20 April 2016 and this information is included in the report below. To avoid making comparisons with earlier quarters which would not be statistically valid and which may paint an inaccurate picture of patterns of employment in Milton Keynes, APS figures will only be updated annually, in the April Employment Reports. APS data for other quarterly periods is available on the Nomis website, www.nomisweb.co.uk. Table 8: APS Unemployment, Milton Keynes, 2015

Unemployment Rate

Milton Keynes

numerator denominator Percent confidence

Aged 16+ 6,800 138,500 4.9 1.5

Aged 16-64 6,800 135,500 5.0 1.5

Aged 16-19 1,100 5,800 19.0 *

Aged 20-24 1,700 11,500 14.8 *

Aged 25-34 1,600 30,700 5.2 *

Aged 35-49 1,900 52,800 3.5 *

Aged 50+ ~ 37,700 1.3 *

Aged 50-64 ~ 34,700 1.4 *

Aged 65+ ! 3,000 ! !

Aged 16-24 2,800 17,300 16.2 8.1

Aged 25-49 3,500 83,500 4.2 1.8 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS ! Estimate and confidence interval not available since the group sample size is zero or disclosive (0-2). ~ Estimate is less than 500. * indicates that confidence interval is unreliable

http://www.nomisweb.co.uk/


November 2016

12

Table 9: APS Unemployment, UK and South East 2015

Unemployment Rate

UK South East

numerator percent conf numerator percent Conf

Aged 16+ 1,723,800 5.3 0.1 192,400 4.2 0.3

Aged 16-64 1,704,700 5.4 0.1 190,200 4.3 0.3

Aged 16-19 296,000 22.0 1.1 36,500 18.3 2.8

Aged 20-24 355,200 11.1 0.6 40,400 9.9 1.7

Aged 25-34 363,800 4.9 0.3 36,300 3.8 0.7

Aged 35-49 391,800 3.5 0.2 42,000 2.6 0.4

Aged 50+ 317,000 3.3 0.2 37,200 2.6 0.4

Aged 50-64 297,900 3.5 0.2 35,000 2.8 0.4

Aged 65+ 19,100 1.6 0.3 2,200 1.1 0.7

Aged 16-24 651,200 14.4 0.5 77,000 12.6 1.5

Aged 25-49 755,600 4.1 0.1 78,300 3.1 0.3

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS The APS unemployment rate is 5.0% of the working age population (16-64 years) in Milton Keynes. This is below the UK rate of 5.4% and higher than the regional rate of 4.3%. Youth unemployment (16-24 year olds) is 16.2% in Milton Keynes; this is higher than the national and regional averages of 14.4% and 12.6% respectively. These figures do need to be treated with caution however. The figures are derived from survey data and as such, confidence intervals in Milton Keynes are higher than those regionally and nationally. In the case of youth unemployment, the confidence interval for Milton Keynes is 8.1. This means that the actual percentage of unemployed 16-24 year olds could be up to 8.1% higher, or up to 8.1% lower. Chart 5: APS Unemployment Rate (16-64 years) Milton Keynes, UK & South East 2007-2015


November 2016

13

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Milton Keynes

3.7 4.0 8.3 9.6 6.4 8.9 7.5 7.5 5.0

UK 5.2 5.8 7.8 7.8 8.2 8.0 7.7 6.4 5.4

South East 4.2 4.5 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.8 4.9 4.3 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics via NOMIS

The APS measure of unemployment for Milton Keynes fluctuated above and below the national rate between 2007-2015 and is currently slightly lower than the national rate and higher than the regional figure. It must be noted that because these figures are from survey data, confidence intervals are higher for Milton Keynes than for the national and regional figures and there is more fluctuation in the data. Chart 6: Unemployment Rate age 16 and above by Ethnicity 2015

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics

The unemployment rate for Milton Keynes, the UK and the South East is higher for ethnic minorities than for the population as a whole.

4.9 5.3

4.2

8.5

9.5

7.8

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

10.0

Milton Keynes UK South East

Un

em

plo

yme

nt

Rat

e

Area

Total unemployment rate 16+ All %

Total unemployment rate 16+Ethnic Minority %


November 2016

14

Chart 7: Employment Rates by Gender

Employment Rate (% 16-64 years) 2012 2013 2014 2015

Milton Keynes Total 73.7 73.5 73.8 77.2

Milton Keynes Males 78.1 78.1 77.5 80.7

Milton Keynes Females 69.3 69.0 70.0 73.7

South East Total 74.7 75.4 75.8 76.9

UK Total 70.5 71.2 72.2 73.5 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

The employment rate in Milton Keynes has been increasing over the past couple of years. Following an increase of 3.4% between 2014 and 2015, the employment rate in Milton Keynes is now above both the national and regional averages. Whilst the male employment rate has fluctuated, it remains consistently higher than the female rate but there has been some narrowing of the difference in employment rates by gender.

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

74.0

76.0

78.0

80.0

82.0

2012 2013 2014 2015

Emp

loym

en

t R

ate

Year

Milton Keynes Total

Milton Keynes Males

Milton Keynes Females


November 2016

15

Chart 8: Percentage in Employment by Occupation in Milton Keynes, 2015

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

Chart 9: Percentage in Employment by Occupation in UK, 2015

Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

9.2

18.7

15.7

11.8

8.3

7.5

11.0

7.2

10.1

Milton Keynes Managers, directors and seniorofficials

Professional occupations

Associate prof & tech occupations

Administrative and secretarialoccupations

Skilled trades occupations

Caring, leisure and other serviceoccupations

Sales and customer serviceoccupations

Process, plant and machineoperatives

Elementary occupations

10.3

19.7

14.0

10.7

10.7

9.2

7.7

6.4

10.8

UK Managers, directors and seniorofficials

Professional occupations

Associate prof & tech occupations

Administrative and secretarialoccupations

Skilled trades occupations

Caring, leisure and other serviceoccupations

Sales and customer serviceoccupations

Process, plant and machineoperatives

Elementary occupations


November 2016

16

The largest proportion of people in Milton Keynes are employed in professional occupations, at 18.7%. A further 15.7% are employed in associate professional and technical occupations. The proportion of people working in sales and customer service is higher in Milton Keynes than nationally, reflecting the significant retail sector locally. Conversely, the proportions working in skilled trades; caring, leisure and other service occupations; and elementary occupations are below the national averages.

Chart 10: Proportion of Working Age Population by Qualifications, 2015

% with NVQ4+ - aged 16-64




% with other qualifications (NVQ) - aged 16-64

% with no qualifications (NVQ) - aged 16-64

Milton Keynes 35.6 51.6 71.3 84.7 6.3 9.0

UK 36.9 57.2 73.4 84.8 6.5 8.8

South East 39.8 60.5 76.8 88.5 5.2 6.3 Source: Annual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics, via NOMIS

In Milton Keynes, 35.6% of the working age population are qualified to NVQ level 4 or above. This is below the averages for both the UK (36.9%) and the south east (39.8%). The proportion qualified to level 4 or above has increased since 2014, but at a slower rate than that experienced nationally and regionally, with a 0.5% increase in Milton Keynes compared to 1.1% in the UK and 0.7% in the south east. At 9.0%, the proportion of individuals with no qualifications is above the average for the UK (8.8%) and the south east (6.3%). However, this proportion is lower than in 2014 when it stood at 9.5%.

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

% withNVQ4+ -

aged 16-64

% withNVQ3+ -

aged 16-64

% withNVQ2+ -

aged 16-64

% withNVQ1+ -

aged 16-64

% with otherqualifications(NVQ) - aged

16-64

% with noqualifications(NVQ) - aged

16-64

Pe

rce

nta

ge

Qualification Level

MiltonKeynes

UK

South East


November 2016

17

Table 10: Number of people Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET), age 16-19 in Milton Keynes

Year Number %

2010 410 5.1

2011 520 5.8

2012 460 5.1

2013 430 4.7

2014 360 3.9

2015 326 3.8 Source: Department for Education

The number of NEETs has been falling in Milton Keynes since 2013 and averaged 3.8% in 2015. This report was prepared by the Economic Development and Inward Investment Team at Milton Keynes Council. For further information, please contact Donna Wilkinson, Economic Development Manager, [email protected] For previous employment reports, or to find out more about what is happening in the MK economy, visit http://www.milton-keynes.gov.uk/business/research-statistics

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.milton-keynes.gov.uk/business/research-statistics

jobseekers allowance claimant count...129chartered and certified accountants (2421) 120nurses (2231)...

Documents