investors presentation final - shepherd neame brewery

31
Shepherd Neame Ltd Preliminary Results For the 52 weeks ended 29 June 2013

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Page 1: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Shepherd Neame Ltd

Preliminary Results

For the 52 weeks ended

29 June 2013

Page 2: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Miles Templeman

Chairman

1

Page 3: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

2013: A solid performance in difficult market

conditions

Performance to 29 June 2013 highlights include:

• Growth in turnover of 1.4%

– 52 week year against a 53 week comparative

• Operating profit before exceptional items level at £12.7m

• Strong retail like for like sales and average EBITDAR growth per

pub

• Volume growth in core brands

• Business and Board reorganisation leading to a £1.2m exceptional

charge 2

Page 4: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

A year of further growth in net asset per share and

dividend

3

• Final dividend per £1 share proposed at 20.15p, resulting in full year

dividend 25.15p (2012: 24.5p) up 2.7%

• Net asset value per £1 share of £9.81 (2012: £9.61) up 2.1%

Page 5: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Business and Board reorganisation

• Beer Business key initiatives

– Phased exit of contract brewing to best utilise plant capacity

– Ten year logistics arrangement entered with Kuehne & Nagel

Drinkflow Logistics

• Reorganise Board around two divisions

– Brewing and Brands

– Retail and Tenanted Pubs

4

Page 6: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Business and Board reorganisation

Executive Board 2014

Jonathan Neame

Chief Executive

Graeme Craig

Brewing &

Brands

Director

January 2014

Nigel Bunting

Retail &

Tenanted

Operations

Director

July 2014

George Barnes

Property &

Services

Director

July 2014

Mark Rider

Finance & IT

Director 5

Brewing &

Brands Division

Retail & Tenanted

Pubs Division

Tom Falcon

Production &

Distribution Director

Leaves December 2013

Bill Brett

Non-Executive

Director

Starts September

2013

Page 7: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Mark Rider

Finance and IT Director

6

Page 8: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Performance - Highlights

Turnover 134.9 133.0

2013

£m

2012

£m

1.4

%

Operating Profit 12.7 12.7 -

Net Finance Costs (4.7) 4.3

Profit before Tax 8.0

Statutory Profit Before Tax

(0.9) 0.6

(8.9)

Tax Rate (%)

7.1 9.1

EPS (pence)

23.8 24.6

(21.6)

Full Year Dividend per £1 share (pence)

48.1 49.8

(0.8)

2012/13 was a 52 week year. 2011/12 was a 53 week year

8.4

( )

Total exceptional Items

24.5

7

25.2

(3.4)

2.7

Before exceptional items

Reconciliation to statutory profit

(4.5)

Page 9: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Operating profit level at £12.7m, interest charges

reflect recent acquisition activity

Operating Costs

2013

£m

2012

£m

Operating Profit 12.7

Operating Margin 9.4% 9.6%

Net Finance Costs (4.7) (4.3)

Interest Cover 2.7 3.0

Before exceptional items

• Operating costs and margin reflects

– An increased mix of Managed House, Off Trade, and Export turnover

– Administration of a major wholesaler and significant inflation on glass recycling

• Interest costs reflect higher net debt from acquisitions

• 2014 will reflect

– Incremental charge for water recovery plant of £0.7m

– Additional spend on advertising of £0.4m

2012/13 was a 52 week year. 2011/12 was a 53 week year

(120.3)

12.7

8

(122.2)

Turnover 134.9 133.0

Page 10: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

0.6

Exceptional Items

Property Profits(1.2)

0.6

2013

£m

2012

£m

Number of Pubs Disposed0.3

12

Impairment Charge

6

-

Total Exceptional Items

-

2012/13 was a 52 week year. 2011/12 was a 53 week year

9

Business Reorganisation -

(0.9)

• Total business and Board reorganisation

exceptional estimated £1.7m over 2013

and 2014

- Cash impact £0.5m in 2013 and

£0.7m in 2014

• Annualised benefits in region of £2m,

of which around £1m anticipated

in 2014

Page 11: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

)

(7.7)

Cash flows

EBITDA 19.6 19.8

2013

£m

2012

£m

Cash flow from operations 19.0 19.9

Interest and tax

Dividends and purchase of own shares (3.6)

Disposal proceeds 3.5

Internally Generated Free Cash 11.8 12.1

Core Capex (7.7

Acquisitions (3.6) (15.6)

(3.1)

(10.2)

(2.0)Net cash (outflow) (11.2)

• Additional trading week in 2012 led to five interest payments versus

four in 2013. Three due in 2014

• Spend on water plant of £3.1m in 2013 and £0.5m anticipated in 2014.

This attracts 100% capital allowances with cash tax savings in 2014

2012/13 was a 52 week year. 2011/12 was a 53 week year

2.7

10

(6.8)

Page 12: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Financing position and borrowing capacity

• £60m term debt to 2026 fixed

on swap at weighted average

rate 5.94% to end of term

• Medium term debt to 2017 of

£28m remains at floating rate

• Year end headroom of £10m

plus overdraft

11

Page 13: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

125.8 123.2

9.81

4.0

(75.8)

Balance Sheet maintains a strong position

Fixed Assets 202.4 198.6

2013

£m

2012

£m

Other assets and Liabilities 1.8 0.4

Net debt

Shareholders Funds

Net Debt : EBITDA 3.8

Gearing 62% 62%

Net asset per £1 share 9.61

(78.4)

• Full year pro-forma excluding impact of acquisitions in the year

– Net debt : EBITDA 3.8 times

• Loan to book value of fixed assets 39% (2012: 38%)12

Page 14: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Jonathan Neame

Chief Executive

13

Page 15: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Overview

• A satisfactory performance in the face of challenging market

conditions

– Strong like for like retail sales

– Average EBITDAR growth in managed and tenanted

– Volume growth in core brands

• Positive actions taken

– Beer portfolio development

– New export opportunities

– Business reorganisation and agreement with KNDL

– Investment in estate, particularly to drive food and

accommodation sales

– Additional support services for licensees

• Industry Matters

– First Duty cut since 1959

– DBIS consultation on Statutory Code of Practice

14

Page 16: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Portfolio development: To focus capacity on own

beer and licensed brands where there are growth

opportunities

15

Heritage Mainstream Discovery/Craft

Connoisseur Beers

For Special OccasionsRegular

Beers

Premium, World,

Craft Beers

Page 17: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

New product development

16

Classic Collection

Discovery/Craft

Page 18: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Investment in brands

17

Comedy Duo Armstrong & MillerGround naming rights

Movember Partnership

Soul 2 Soul Watergate

Bay ConcertVarsity Match Twickenham

Serpentine Gallery

Future Contemporaries

Party

Page 19: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Core brand performance: Ahead of the market

Volume Growth

2013

5.7%

2012

2.3%

2011

Volume Growth

2013

20.4%

2012

16.8%

2011

Volume Growth9.4%

2013

(9.1)%

2012

3.9%

2011

2012/13 growth rates on a 52 week comparable basis. 2011/12 was a 53 week year

* Own beer volume adjusted to exclude contract brewing18

1.0%

2.7%

Page 20: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Phased exit of Kingfisher contract mitigated by

new growth opportunities

• Phased exit from contract

brewing Kingfisher lager

– 18.6% of own beer 2013

– Brewing ends December

2014

• We expect discontinued

contract volume will be

covered by new brand and

sales initiatives

• New export agreement into

North America

19

Page 21: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Business reorganisation

• March 2013 - 15 roles in

Beer Business consolidated

• July 2013 - 10 year agreement for

distribution and warehousing services

• Shepherd Neame continue to own site

which becomes key part of KNDL

network

• Increased expansion opportunities

outside heartland

• Transfer of operations in October

2013. Limited redundancies

anticipated

20

Page 22: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Progress against long term pub strategy

Objective Progress

Improve quality and average

earnings of pub and hotel estate

• 26 pubs and hotels acquired, 51

sold since 2008

• Strong average EBITDAR per pub

growth

Build retail mix • Retail turnover 30% higher in 2013

than 2008

Grow accommodation business • 501 letting rooms (2008: 372)

across managed and tenanted

pubs and hotels

• Now 10.1% of retail turnover

Develop food offer • Strong retail food growth

• Now 29.5% of retail turnover

• Tenanted catering development

support

Increase licensee support • 9 new initiatives in 2013

Attract quality operators • Applicants in 2013 double those of

2008

21

Page 23: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

22

We own many of the best freehold pubs in Kent,

London and South East.

• Total investment in pubs £9.9m

(2012: £20.6m)

- Acquisitions £3.6m

(2012: £15.4m)

- Maintenance/development

Capex £4.6m (2012: £3.7m)

- Repairs £1.7m (2012: £1.5m)

- Disposals £2.7m (2012: £3.5m)

• Over last 5 years average EBITDAR

per managed pub up 42.9%

• Average EBITDAR per tenanted

pub up 11.1%

Page 24: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Pub performance robust in difficult On Trade

market conditions

23

• UK market On Trade volumes down -4.9% (2012: -3.4%)

-Wet and dull Summer in 2012. Cold Spring in 2013

- Olympics 2012 below expectations

- Consumer caution

• Retail liquor LFL 2.0% (2012: 6.2%)

Page 25: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Food offer development has driven an increase in

customer numbers

Food LFL 5.0%

2013

Ave spend / head £11.23

Spend / head growth -

Managed Houses

24

Page 26: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Hotel investment strategy

25

• Acquisition of Royal Wells Hotel

and Beau Nash for £3.6m

• Redevelopment of Marine Hotel, Tankerton

- £1.4m spend in 2013

• Major bedroom upgrades

- The Royal Hotel, Deal

- The Dog & Bear Hotel, Lenham

- The Sun Inn, Faversham

• 2014 – 15 investment plans

- The Bell Hotel, Sandwich

- The Fayreness, Kingsgate

(to be renamed The Botany Bay Hotel)

- The Royal Wells, Tunbridge Wells

Page 27: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Room refurbishment has supported an increase in

occupancy and RevPAR

Accommodation LFL 7.9%

Occupancy 73%

Occupancy Growth 7%

Managed Houses

• 501 letting rooms at year end:

– Managed Houses

– Tenanted

26

RevPAR £48

RevPAR Growth 11.6%

2013

270

231

Page 28: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Tenanted investment strategy

27

• Total investment in our tenanted estate

£3.1m (2012: £2.6m)

• We provide turnkey service to develop

pub design interiors, provide fixtures &

fittings with pre and post opening

training & support

Page 29: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Supporting our Licensees

• We have evolved our tenanted support with 9 new initiatives and services,

for example

– Catering advisory, menu design

and bespoke coffee supply package

– Enhanced range of national lagers

and guest beers

– New induction programme for

for licensees and online training

• Upward trend in demand for our pubs from high quality applicants

– Lowest number of pubs to let for 5 years

– Double number of applicants compared to 2008

– High licensee satisfaction scores

28

Page 30: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Summary

• Challenging year but creditable performance

• Decisive action to position the business for higher returns

• Current trade strong…..

… but we do not expect it to continue at this rate of growth

through winter

– Managed House LFL for first 10 weeks up 10.2%

– Tenanted LFL EBITDAR up 1.7%

– Total beer volume up 9.3%, own beer volume up 11.9%

• Acquisition of George, Soho

– Leasehold site, minimal earnings impact in 2014, anticipated

capex of £0.3m

• 2014 – year of transition to consolidate business and Board

reorganisation29

Page 31: Investors Presentation Final - Shepherd Neame Brewery

Questions?

30