investor presentation - baytex energy
TRANSCRIPT
2
Forward Looking Statements
Any “financial outlook” or “future oriented financial information” in this presentation as defined by applicable securities laws, has been approved by management of Baytex. Such financial outlook
or future oriented financial information is provided for the purpose of providing information about management’s current expectations and plans relating to the future. Readers are cautioned that
reliance on such information may not be appropriate for other circumstances.
In the interest of providing the shareholders of Baytex and potential investors with information regarding Baytex, including management's assessment of future plans and operations, certain
statements in this presentation are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and "forward-looking information" within
the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation (collectively, "forward-looking statements"). In some cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as
"anticipate", "believe", "continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "may", "objective", "ongoing", "outlook", "potential", "project", "plan", "should", "target", "would", "will" or similar
words suggesting future outcomes, events or performance. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation peak only as of the date hereof and are expressly qualified by this
cautionary statement.
Specifically, this presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to but not limited to: that we have 10+ years of drilling inventory in core areas, strong capital efficiencies and flexibility
on discretionary capital; that approximately 50% of our net crude oil exposure that is hedged for 2021; that we have a consistent approach to risk management and are committed to strong ESG
performance; our GHG emissions intensity reduction target; expectations for 2021 as to Baytex’s production on a boe/d basis, percentage of production that will be liquids, exploration and
development expenditures, production by area and commodity; that we have an active hedge strategy to preserve adjusted funds flow; that our production base is ~75,000 boe/d; that we are
poised to deliver free cash flow at US$40-$45 WTI; that we expect to have positive free cash flow in H2 2020; are expected daily production rate for H2 2020; that our 2021 priorities are to invest
at sustaining capital levels of $335 to $275 million, deliver stable production of 73,000 to 77,000 boe/d and maximize free flow and focus on continued deleveraging; our 2021 free cash flow
profile at certain price assumption; that improved capital efficiencies and high graded inventory increase sustainability at lower prices; the number of economic drilling locations we have at
various oil prices and the expected capital efficiency of our capital spending in 2021; that our business will deliver free cash flow in a US$40-$45 WTI environment; that our 2021 capital program
is fully funded at US$36/bbl WTI, 90% will be directed to high netback light oil assets, will generate capital efficiencies of ~$12,000 and that we retain significant flexibility to implement a heavy oil
program in H2/2021 and further advance Pembina Duvernay; for 2021: our capital budget, our estimated boe/d production, the percentage of our production expected to be oil and NGLs, our
capital allocation plans by area and number of wells we expect to bring on stream; the sensitivity of our expected 2021 adjusted funds flow to changes in WTI prices, WCS and MSW differentials,
natural gas prices and the Canada-United States foreign exchange rate; for the Eagle Ford that enhanced completions continue to drive step change in performance, we expect to bring 18 net
wells on production in 2021 and stable production and deep inventory drive asset level free cash flow; for the Viking that we have meaningful extended reach inventory and have additional EOR
potential and we are executing a 30 well drilling program in Q4/2020; in Heavy Oil, that low decline production provides capital allocation flexibility, innovative multi-lateral horizontal drilling
generates strong capital efficiencies and first activity on Peavine lands is planned for 2021; the expected drill, complete, equip and tie-in well costs, reserves and drilling inventory for our Eagle
Ford, Peace River, Lloydminster, Viking and Pembina Duvernay assets; that we are committed to corporate sustainability and the components of our GHG emissions reduction strategy; and our
2021 guidance for exploration and development expenditures, production, royalty rate, operating, transportation, general and administration and interest expense and leasing expenditures and
asset retirement obligations. In addition, information and statements relating to reserves are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve implied assessment, based on certain
estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described exist in quantities predicted or estimated, and that they can be profitably produced in the future. In addition, information and statements
relating to reserves are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described exist in
quantities predicted or estimated, and that they can be profitably produced in the future.
These forward-looking statements are based on certain key assumptions regarding, among other things: petroleum and natural gas prices and differentials between light, medium and heavy oil
prices; well production rates and reserve volumes; the ability to add production and reserves through exploration and development activities; capital expenditure levels; the ability to borrow under
credit agreements; the receipt, in a timely manner, of regulatory and other required approvals for operating activities; the availability and cost of labour and other industry services; interest and
foreign exchange rates; the continuance of existing and, in certain circumstances, proposed tax and royalty regimes; the ability to develop crude oil and natural gas properties in the manner
currently contemplated; and current industry conditions, laws and regulations continuing in effect (or, where changes are proposed, such changes being adopted as anticipated). Readers are
cautioned that such assumptions, although considered reasonable by Baytex at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect.
Actual results achieved will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Such factors include, but are not
limited to: the volatility of oil and natural gas prices and price differentials (including the impacts of COVID-19); availability and cost of gathering, processing and pipeline systems; failure to
comply with the covenants in our debt agreements; the availability and cost of capital or borrowing; that our credit facilities may not provide sufficient liquidity or may not be renewed; risks
associated with a third-party operating our Eagle Ford properties; the cost of developing and operating our assets; depletion of our reserves; risks associated with the exploitation of our
properties and our ability to acquire reserves; new regulations on hydraulic fracturing; restrictions on or access to water or other fluids; changes in government regulations that affect the oil and
gas industry; regulations regarding the disposal of fluids; changes in environmental, health and safety regulations; public perception and its influence on the regulatory regime; restrictions or
Advisory
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Advisory (Cont.)
costs imposed by climate change initiatives; variations in interest rates and foreign exchange rates; risks associated with our hedging activities; changes in income tax or other laws or government
incentive programs; uncertainties associated with estimating oil and natural gas reserves; our inability to fully insure against all risks; risks of counterparty default; risks associated with acquiring,
developing and exploring for oil and natural gas and other aspects of our operations; risks associated with large projects; risks related to our thermal heavy oil projects; alternatives to and changing
demand for petroleum products; risks associated with our use of information technology systems; risks associated with the ownership of our securities, including changes in market-based factors;
risks for United States and other non-resident shareholders, including the ability to enforce civil remedies, differing practices for reporting reserves and production, additional taxation applicable to
non-residents and foreign exchange risk; and other factors, many of which are beyond our control. These and additional risk factors are discussed in our Annual Information Form, Annual Report
on Form 40-F and Management's Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2019, filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission and in our other public filings.
The above summary of assumptions and risks related to forward-looking statements has been provided in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with a more complete perspective on
Baytex’s current and future operations and such information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
There is no representation by Baytex that actual results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as those referenced in the forward-looking statements. The future oriented financial information
and forward-looking statements are made as of January 4, 2021 and Baytex disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or results or otherwise, other than as required by applicable securities laws.
Non-GAAP Financial and Capital Management Measures
This presentation contains certain financial measures that do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) and therefore are considered non-
GAAP measures. These non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. The following terms are not recognized measures under IFRS, but are
presented in this presentation.
“Adjusted funds flow” is defined as cash flow from operating activities adjusted for changes in non-cash operating working capital, asset retirement obligations settled and transaction costs.
Management of Baytex consider adjusted funds flow a key measure of performance as it demonstrates the combined entity’s ability to generate the cash flow necessary to fund capital investments,
debt repayment, settlement of abandonment obligations and potential future dividends. In addition, the ratio of net debt to adjusted funds flow is used to manage Baytex’s capital structure.
“Asset level free cash flow” is defined as field level operating netback less exploration and development expenditures.
“Bank EBITDA” is calculated based on terms and definitions set out in the credit agreement which adjusts net income or loss for financing and interest expense, income tax, non-recurring losses,
certain specific unrealized and non-cash transactions (including depletion, depreciation, exploration and evaluation expense, impairment, deferred income tax expense or recovery, unrealized gains
and losses on financial derivatives and foreign exchange and share-based compensation) and is calculated based on a trailing twelve month basis including the impact of material acquisitions as if
they had occurred at the beginning of the twelve month period. Bank EBITDA for the twelve months ended September 30, 2020 was $566.1 million.
“Capital Efficiency” is defined as exploration and development expenditures divided by the expected aggregate IP365 rate (boe/d) for all wells coming on production in the year, normalized to a
January 1 start-date.“
“Exploration and development expenditures” is defined as expenditures related to drilling, completing and equipping, facilities, land, seismic and other. Exploration and development expenditures
includes additions to exploration and evaluation assets along with additions to oil and gas properties.
“Free cash flow” is defined as adjusted funds flow less exploration and development expenditures, payments on lease obligations and asset retirement obligations settled.
“Interest coverage” is computed as the ratio of Bank EBITDA to financing and interest expense, excluding accretion of debt issue costs and asset retirement obligations, and is calculated on a
trailing twelve month basis. Financing and interest expense, excluding accretion of debt issue costs and asset retirement obligations, for the twelve months ended September 30, 2020 was $105.2
million.
“Internal rate of return” of “IRR” is a rate of return measure used to compare the profitability of an investment and represents the discount rate at which the net present value of costs equals the net
present value of the benefits. The higher a project’s IRR, the more desirable the project.
“Net debt” is defined as the sum of monetary working capital (which is current liabilities (excluding current financial derivatives and onerous contracts)) and the principal amount of both the long-term
notes of Baytex and the credit facilities of Baytex. Management of Baytex believe that net debt assists in providing a more complete understanding of Baytex’s cash liabilities.
“Operating netback” is defined as petroleum and natural gas sales less blending expense, royalties, production and operating expense and transportation expense divided by barrels of oil equivalent
sales volume for the applicable period. Management of Baytex believe that operating netback assists in characterizing Baytex’s ability to generate cash margin on a unit of production basis.
“Senior secured debt” is defined as the principal amount of the credit facilities and other secured obligations identified in the credit agreement. As at September 30, 2020, the Company's Senior
Secured Debt totaled $640.3 million which includes $624.8 million of principal amounts outstanding and $15.5 million of letters of credit.
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Advisory (Cont.)
Advisory Regarding Oil and Gas Information
The reserves information contained in this presentation has been prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 -Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities of the Canadian
Securities Administrators ("NI 51-101"). The determination of oil and gas reserves involves the preparation of estimates that have an inherent degree of associated uncertainty. Categories of
proved and probable reserves have been established to reflect the level of these uncertainties and to provide an indication of the probability of recovery. The estimation and classification of
reserves requires the application of professional judgment combined with geological and engineering knowledge to assess whether or not specific reserves classification criteria have been
satisfied. Knowledge of concepts, including uncertainty and risk, probability and statistics, and deterministic and probabilistic estimation methods, is required to properly use and apply reserves
definitions.
The recovery and reserves estimates described herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves and future production from
such reserves may be greater or less than the estimates provided herein. The estimates of reserves for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves
for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation. Complete NI 51-101 reserves disclosure for year-end 2019 is included in our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31,
2019, which has been filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
This presentation discloses drilling inventory and potential drilling locations. Drilling inventory and drilling locations refers to Baytex’s total proved, probable and unbooked locations. Proved
locations and probable locations account for drilling locations in our inventory that have associated proved and/or probable reserves. Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on our
prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have attributed
reserves. Unbooked locations are farther away from existing wells and, therefore, there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty
whether such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. In the Eagle Ford, Baytex’s net drilling locations include 140 proved and 83 probable locations as at
December 31, 2019 and 52 unbooked locations. In the Viking, Baytex’s net drilling locations include 1,080 proved and 319 probable locations as at December 31, 2019 and 636 unbooked
locations. In Peace River, Baytex’s net drilling locations include 77 proved and 75 probable locations as at December 31, 2019 and 100 unbooked locations. In Lloydminster, Baytex’s net
drilling locations include 178 proved and 63 probable locations as at December 31, 2019 and 361 unbooked locations. In the Duvernay , Baytex’s net drilling locations include 11 proved and 10
probable locations as at December 31, 2019 and 295 unbooked locations.
References herein to average 30-day initial production rates and other short-term production rates are useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons, however, such rates are not
determinative of the rates at which such wells will commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery. While encouraging,
readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in calculating aggregate production for us or the assets for which such rates are provided. A pressure transient analysis or well-test
interpretation has not been carried out in respect of all wells. Accordingly, we caution that the test results should be considered to be preliminary.
Where applicable, oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil. BOEs may be misleading, particularly if
used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip
and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Notice to United States Readers
The petroleum and natural gas reserves contained in this presentation have generally been prepared in accordance with Canadian disclosure standards, which are not comparable in all
respects to United States or other foreign disclosure standards. For example, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") requires oil and gas issuers, in their filings
with the SEC, to disclose only "proved reserves", but permits the optional disclosure of "probable reserves" (as defined in SEC rules). Canadian securities laws require oil and gas issuers
disclose their reserves in accordance with NI 51-101, which requires disclosure of not only "proved reserves" but also "probable reserves". Additionally, NI 51-101 defines "proved reserves“
and "probable reserves" differently from the SEC rules. Accordingly, proved and probable reserves disclosed in this presentation may not be comparable to United States standards. Probable
reserves are higher risk and are generally believed to be less likely to be accurately estimated or recovered than proved reserves.
In addition, under Canadian disclosure requirements and industry practice, reserves and production are reported using gross volumes, which are volumes prior to deduction of royalty and
similar payments. The SEC rules require reserves and production to be presented using net volumes, after deduction of applicable royalties and similar payments.
Moreover, in this presentation future net revenue from its reserves has been determined and disclosed estimated using forecast prices and costs, whereas the SEC rules require that reserves
be estimated using a 12-month average price, calculated as the arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within the 12-month period prior to the end of the reporting
period. As a consequence of the foregoing, the reserve estimates and production volumes in this presentation may not be comparable to those made by companies utilizing United States
reporting and disclosure standards.
All amounts in this presentation are stated in Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified.
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▪ ~ 10 or more years of projected drilling inventory in each of our core areas (Viking, Eagle Ford and Canadian heavy oil)
▪ Strong capital efficiencies and flexibility on discretionary capital
Investment Highlights
High Quality and
Diversified Oil Portfolio
Across Multiple Plays
Track Record of
Substantial Free Cash
Flow Generation
Consistent Approach to
Risk Management
Financial Liquidity and
No Near-Term Maturities
▪ Exploration and development expenditures represents 84% of adjusted funds flow over the last five years (2015 to 2019)
▪ Free cash flow of $329 million generated in 2019
▪ Credit facilities ~ 40% undrawn and liquidity > $300 million (1)
▪ First long-term note maturity is not until June 2024
▪ Proven commitment to environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) objectives
▪ Established target to reduce GHG emissions intensity by 30% by 2021
Committed to ESG
▪ Utilize financial derivative contracts and crude-by-rail to reduce the volatility in our adjusted funds flow
▪ ~ 50% of net crude oil exposure hedged for 2021
(1) As at September 30, 2020.
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EAGLE FORD
VIKING
LLOYDMINSTER
PEACE RIVER
DUVERNAY
(1) Average daily trading volumes for December 2020. Volumes are a composite of all exchanges in Canada.
(2) Enterprise value based on closing share price on the Toronto Stock Exchange on December 31, 2020 and shares outstanding and net debt as at September 30, 2020.
(3) Production, production mix, and exploration and development (“E&D”) expenditures represents 2021 guidance.
(4) Baytex reserves as at December 31, 2019 as evaluated by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd.
(5) Production (Gross W.I.) composition based on 2021 guidance. Heavy oil includes Peace River and Lloydminster.
(6) Revenue by commodity composition based on 9 month 2020 actuals.
Production by
Core Area (5)
Heavy Oil
Light Oil
NGLs
Natural Gas
Corporate Profile
Market Summary
Ticker Symbol TSX: BTE
Average Daily Volume (1) 8.5 million (Canada)
Shares Outstanding (2) 561 million
Market Capitalization / Enterprise Value (2) $387 million / $2,294 million
Operating Statistics
Production (Gross W.I.) (3) 73,000 – 77,000 boe/d
Production Mix (3) 81% liquids
E&D Expenditures (3) $225 to $275 million
Reserves – 2P Gross (4) 529 mmboe
Heavy Oil
Light Oil
NGLs
Natural Gas
Eagle Ford
Viking
Heavy Oil
Other
Production by
Commodity (5)
Revenue by
Commodity (6)
7
ESG Highlights
GHG Emission Reduction Safety
15% reduction in GHG
emissions intensity in 2019;
target 30% by 2021
41% reduction in lost time
incident frequency in 5
years
Gas Conservation Indigenous Relations
99.5% routine gas
conservation in Peace River
in 2019
Recent agreements with
Woodland Cree First
Nation and Peavine Métis
Settlement
Spill Volumes Gender Diversity
42% reduction in spill
volumes over 5 years
> 20% women Board
members
8
Action 2020 Highlights
Negotiated bank credit facility
extension and refinanced long-term
notes
• Extended maturity of credit facilities to April 2024
• Issued US$500 million principal amount of long-term notes due April 2027
• Redeemed two series of senior unsecured notes - US$400 million due 2021 and $300 million due 2022
Dynamic response to oil price collapse
• Identified cost savings of ~$100 million, capital budget reduced by ~ 50%
• Maintained liquidity of > $300 million
• Maintained strong operating efficiency
• Active hedge strategy implemented to preserve adjusted funds flow
• Accessed available government assistance
High graded portfolio and economic
inventory
• Capital reduction has re-set production base to ~ 75,000 boe/d
• Improved capital efficiencies and moderated production decline rate
• Poised to deliver free cash flow in a US$40 to $45/bbl WTI environment
Established Covid-19 task force and
flexible working team
• Effective response to Covid-19 with on-going training, communication and work strategies
2020 Highlights
We have re-set our business in the face of extremely volatile crude oil markets
9
H1 2020 H2 2020 (implied)
2020 Capital and Production
Capex reduction
expected to lead to
positive free cashflow in
H2 2020
2020 Capital Spending ($ millions)
Annual Guidance $260-$290
$187
$88
2020 Production (boe/d)
Annual Guidance ~ 80,000
H1 2020 H2 2020 (implied)
85,500
74,500
Production base re-set following
limited investment
Capital outlays minimized to preserve financial liquidity
(1) H2 2020 implied represents to the mid-point of annual guidance range.
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2021 Priorities and Free Cash Flow Profile
(1) For illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as indicative of future results. Baytex’s actual results may vary.
(2) Pricing assumptions: WCS differential - US$13.50/bbl; MSW differential – US$5/bbl, NYMEX Gas - US$2.75/mcf; AECO Gas - $2.75/mcf; Exchange Rate (CAD/USD) - 1.32.
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
US$40 US$45 US$50
$ m
illio
ns
Adjusted Funds Flow Capital Spending Free Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow Profile (1) (2)
Invest at sustaining capital levels
of $225 to $275 million
Deliver stable production of
73,000 to 77,000 boe/d
Maximize free cash flow and focus
on continued de-leveraging
2021 Priorities
11
High Graded Portfolio with Strong Capital Efficiencies
Improved capital efficiencies and high graded inventory increases sustainability at lower prices
(1) Economic drilling locations are defined as individual well locations generating an internal rate of return of > 20% and a payout of < 24 months under flat WTI pricing assumptions. Economic drilling locations include both booked and
un-booked locations, see slide 4 for a description of our booked and un-booked locations as at December 31, 2019.
(2) See advisory for definitions of Non-GAAP Financial and Capital Management Measures on page 3 of this presentation.
Capital Efficiency (2)Economic Drilling Locations (1)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
US$40 US$45 US$50 US$55
Net W
ells
EagleFord Viking Heavy Oil Duvernay
$17,000per boe/d
$12,000per boe/d
2020 Budget 2021 Budget
12
2021 Capital Program
2021 Guidance (1)
E&D CapEx $225 - 275 million
Production 73,000 - 77,000 boe/d
Oil and NGLs 81%
We have reset our business to deliver free cash flow in a US$40 to US$45 WTI environment
• Cash neutrality (capital program fully funded) at US$35/bbl WTI
• 85% directed to our high netback light oil assets in the Eagle Ford and Viking
• Capital efficiencies of approximately $12,000 per boe/d across the portfolio
• Retain significant flexibility to implement a heavy oil program in H2/2021 and further advance our Pembina Duvernay development
Operating Area
Net Wells
Onstream CapEx ($MM) (2)
Viking 120 $110
Eagle Ford 18 $100
Heavy Oil 28 $25
East Duvernay 2 $15
Total $250
(1) 2021 capital spending is approximately 50% weighted to the first half of the year. Eagle Ford
development includes 10 net wells drilled and 18 net wells on production. Heavy oil (up to 36
net wells) and Duvernay (up to 4 net wells) are scheduled for H2/2021 and dependent on
crude oil prices.
(2) Represents mid-point of 2021 guidance range.
Capital Budget CapEx ($MM) (2)
Drill, complete and equip $235
Facilities $10
Land and seismic $5
Total $250
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Financial Liquidity
C$548
Undrawn
C$300US$400
US$400
(1) Balance sheet as at September 30, 2020. Revolving credit facilities mature April 2024
and are comprised of a US$575 million facility and a $300 million term loan facility.
Revolving credit facilities are not borrowing base facilities and do not require annual or
semi-annual reviews.
(2) S&P corporate rating “B” and senior unsecured debt rating “B+” ; Fitch corporate rating
and senior unsecured debt rating “B”; Moody’s corporate rating “B2” and senior
unsecured debt rating “B3”.
(3) See advisory for definitions of Non-GAAP Financial and Capital Management Measures
on page 3 of this presentation.
Long-Term Notes Maturity Schedule (2) ($ millions)
• Credit Facilities ~ 40% Undrawn
• $426 million of undrawn credit capacity and liquidity, net of working capital, of $344 million
• Enhanced long-term note maturity profile
• First long-term note maturity not until 2024
• Strong compliance with financial covenants
• Expect to remain onside with financial covenants and maintain liquidity
Balance Sheet (1) $ millions
Credit facilities $625
Long-term notes $1,199
Long-term debt $1,824
Working Capital deficiency $82
Net Debt $1,907
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
US$500
Financial Covenants (3) Position as at
September 30, 2020Covenant
Senior Secured Debt to
Bank EBITDA (maximum
ratio)
1.1:1.00 3.50:1.00
Interest Coverage
(minimum ratio)5.4:1.00 2.00:1.00
14
(1) WTI 3-way options consist of a sold put, a bought put and a sold call. In a $35/$45/$52 example, Baytex receives WTI+$10/bbl when WTI is at or below $35/bbl; Baytex receives $45/bbl when WTI is
between $35/bbl and $45/bbl; Baytex receives WTI when WTI is between $45/bbl and $52/bbl; and Baytex receives $52/bbl when WTI is above $52/bbl.
(2) Percentage of hedged volumes are based on 2021 annual production guidance (excluding NGL), net of royalties
Crude Oil Hedge Portfolio
Q4/2020 H1/2021 H2/2021Full-Year
2021
WTI Fixed Hedges
Volumes (bbl/d) 8,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
Fixed Price (US$/bbl) $42.78 $45.00 $45.00 $45.00
WTI 3-Way Option
Volumes (bbl/d) 24,500 17,500 17,500 17,500
Average Sold Put / Put / Sold Call (US$/bbl) (1) $50/$58/$63 $35/$45/$52 $35/$45/$52 $35/$45/$52
Total Hedge Volumes (bbl/d) 32,500 21,500 21,500 21,500
Basis Differential Hedges
WCS Volumes (bbl/d) 6,500 11,000 9,000 10,000
WCS Price Relative to WTI (US$/bbl) ($16.27) ($13.60) ($13.57) ($13.59)
MSW Volume (bbl/d) 5,000 6,000 6,000 6,000
MSW Price Relative to WTI (US$/bbl) ($6.15) ($5.17) ($5.17) ($5.17)
Hedge (%) (2) 70% 48% 48% 48%
15
2021E Adjusted Funds Flow Sensitivities
Sensitivities
Estimated Effect on Annual Adjusted Funds Flow ($MM) (1)
Excluding Hedges
Including
Hedges when
WTI is between
US$35/bbl and
US$45/bbl
Including
Hedges when
WTI is between
US$45/bbl and
US$52/bbl
Change of US$1.00/bbl WTI crude oil $22.7 $12.8 $20.7
Change of US$1.00/bbl WCS heavy oil differential $7.1 $3.2 $3.2
Change of US$1.00/bbl MSW light oil differential $6.9 $4.2 $4.2
Change of US$0.25/mcf NYMEX natural gas $8.7 $5.0 $5.0
Change of $0.01 in the C$/US$ exchange rate $5.1 $5.1 $5.1
17
Asset Highlights
Geographic and play diversification with ~ 10 or more years drilling inventory in each core area
Eagle Ford Viking Heavy Oil Pembina Duvernay
Production(Gross; Q3 2020)
28,650 boe/d 18,774 boe/d 24,791 boe/d 1,474 boe/d
Oil and NGLs(Gross; Q3 2020)
77% 91% 89% 79%
2P Reserves (1)
(Gross)229 mmboe 98 mmboe 103 mmboe 14 mmboe
Asset
Highlights
▪ 19,851 net acres in the core of Karnes county with world class partner, and operator in Marathon
▪ Stable production base with low sustaining capital has driven ~$787 million of asset level free cash flow since 2016 (2)
▪ Enhanced completions continue to drive step change in performance
▪ 419,615 net acres of land in the Viking play
▪ Shallow, light oil, strong netback asset with “manufacturing” development
▪ $83 million of asset level free cash flow in 2019 (2)
▪ Meaningful extended reach inventory (~ 10 years) and additional EOR potential
▪ Dominant land position of 672,640 net acres
▪ Low decline production provides capital allocation flexibility
▪ Innovative multi-lateral horizontal drilling generates top tier capital efficiencies
▪ 148,480 acres of 100% W.I. lands in the Pembina area
▪ Offset development and 9 wells drilled to-date have delineated ~ 40% of acreage position
▪ Measured delineation planned
(1) Baytex reserves as at December 31, 2019 as evaluated by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. See “Advisories”.
(2) The term “asset level free cash flow” is a non-GAAP measure. See slide 3 for more information.
18
Eagle Ford: Core of Karnes County
LONGHORN
Wilson
Atascosa
Karnes
Live Oak
EXCELSIOR
SUGARLOAF
IPANEMA
Bee
Oil Condensate Dry Gas
• 19,900 net acres in the
core of the Eagle Ford
shale in south Texas
• Four AMI’s (Longhorn,
Sugarloaf, Ipanema and
Excelsior) with average
25% W.I.
• Q3/2020 production of
28,650 boe/d (77%
liquids)
• YTD 2020 - 53 gross (11.5
net) wells established
average 30-day IP rates of
~ 1,750 boe/d per well
• Expect to bring ~ 18 net
wells on production in
2021
19
$42
$138
$285
$238
$84
2016 2017 2018 2019 9 Mths 2020
Eagle Ford: Strong Free Cash Flow and Deep Drilling Inventory
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2021 Program Remaining UndrilledInventory
> 10 year drilling inventory (2)
~ 18
net wells
on- stream
> 250 net locations
(1) Asset level free cash flow represents field level operating netback less exploration and development capital. For illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as indicative of future results.
Baytex’s actual results may vary.
(2) Net locations includes 223 proved plus probable undeveloped reserves locations at year-end 2019 and 52 unbooked future locations. See “Advisories”
(3) Individual well economics based on constant pricing and costs, and Baytex’s assumptions regarding an expected type curve that uses the following assumptions: well cost US$5 million (6,000 foot
lateral); IP365 - 700 boe/d; EUR – 800 mboe).
Asset Level Free Cash Flow (1) (C$ millions)
$787MM cumulative asset level free cash flow
since 2016
WTI Oil Price $45/bbl $50/bbl
Payout: 1.3 years 0.9 years
IRR: 72% 106%
Recycle Ratio: 2.8x 3.2x
Breakeven:
(10% IRR)US$30/bbl
Well Economics (3)
20
Viking Light Oil: 460 Highly Prospective Sections
Baytex Lands
Esther/Hoosier
Kerrobert
Plenty
Greater Gleneath
Lucky Hills/Whiteside Dodsland
Mantario (Laporte)
Plato
• Shallow (700 m), light oil
(36° API) resource play
with strong netbacks
• Produced 18,800 boe/d
(91% oil) in Q3/2020
• Added 229 net unbooked
drilling opportunities in
2019 through multiple
deals and asset swaps
• Q1/2020 saw an active
pace of development
with 4 drilling rigs and 2
frac crews running
• Executing 30-well drilling
program in Q4/2020
21
Technical Advancements Drive Productivity Improvement
Viking Wells by Vintage
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Net Wells Onstream (Left Axis) ERH (%) (Right Axis)
Shift to ERH(1) Wells Drives Productivity
Improvements
95%+ of Viking Development now
ERH Wells
(1) Extended Reach Horizontal (“ERH) wells are ¾ to 1 mile long laterals drilled to a depth of approximately 700 metres.
(2) Individual well economics based on constant pricing and costs, and Baytex’s assumptions regarding an expected type
curve that uses the following assumptions: well cost - $950,000; IP 365 - 50 boe/d; EUR - 40 mboe. MSW differential
assumption US$5/bbl.
Well Economics (2)
WTI Oil Price $45/bbl $50/bbl
Payout: 2.7 years 1.8 years
IRR: 18% 36%
Recycle Ratio: 1.3x 1.5x
Breakeven:
(10% IRR)US$42/bbl
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
- 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000
Oil R
ate
(b
bl/d
)
Cum Oil (bbl)
2020 Wells 2019 Wells 2018 Wells 2017 Wells 2016 Wells
2015 Wells 2014 Wells 2013 Wells 2012 Wells
22
Peace River: Innovative Multi-Lateral Development
Performance Drivers
• Produced 12,100 boe/d in
Q3/2020 (80% oil)
• Dominant 560 net sections
• Strong capital efficiencies
Baytex Lands
Seal
Harmon Valley
Reno
Golden
Peavine
Peavine Lands
• Q1/2020 strategic agreement
with Peavine Metis settlement
• 60 sections of land
• Early stage exploratory play
targeting Spirit River formation,
a Clearwater formation
equivalent
• First activity planned for 2021
23
Lloydminster: Significant Land Position and Drilling Inventory
Performance Drivers
• Produced 12,700 boe/d in
Q3/2020 (98% oil)
• Strong capital efficiencies
• Applying multi-lateral
horizontal drilling and
production techniques
• Ramp-up of Kerrobert
thermal project occurred in
Q4/2019 with peak
production of ~ 3,500 bbl/d
Baytex Lands
ALBERTA SASKATCHEWAN
Kerrobert
Lloydminster
Soda Lake
Tangleflags
Ardmore/Cold Lake
Lindbergh
24
Heavy Oil Innovation
Peace River
Multi-Lateral Horizontal
Lloydminster
Horizontal
Well Economics (1)
WTI Oil Price $45/bbl $50/bbl
Payout: 2.1 years 1.4 years
IRR: 31% 61%
Recycle Ratio: 1.5x 2.0x
Breakeven:
(10% IRR)US$42/bbl
WTI Oil Price $45/bbl $50/bbl
Payout: 3.1 years 1.8 years
IRR: 22% 48%
Recycle Ratio: 1.7x 2.4x
Breakeven:
(10% IRR)US$43/bbl
(1) Individual well economics based on constant pricing and costs, and Baytex’s assumptions regarding an expected type curve that uses the following assumptions: Peace River well cost - $2.5
million; IP 365 - 215 boe/d; EUR – 300 mboe; Lloydminster well cost - $0.8 million ; IP 365 - 50 boe/d; EUR – 60 mboe. WCS differential assumption US$13.50/bbl.
25
Pembina Area Duvernay Light Oil: Emerging Resource Play
Baytex Lands
Pembina Duvernay
• 232 sections of 100% WI lands
• Nine wells drilled to date have
delineated a minimum of 100-
125 sections
• Produced 1,500 boe/d (79%
liquids) in Q3/2020
• Two wells on-stream in 2019
generated average 30-day IP
rate of ~ 1,050 boe/d (75%
liquids)
• Two wells drilled in Q1/2020
fracture stimulated in October;
initial flow back rates are very
encouraging - first well (10-16)
on-stream November 2; second
well (11-16) on-stream
November 17
Producing Pads (7 wells)
Rimbey Leduc Reef
Liquids Rich Gas
Liquids
Rich Gas
Volatile
Oil
Black Oil
2020 Drills (2 wells)
26
Eagle Ford Viking Peace River (1) Lloydminster (1) Pembina Duvernay
Formation Lower Eagle Ford Viking Bluesky Mannville Group Duvernay
Upper Eagle Ford
Austin Chalk
Depth (metres) 3,300-3,900 700 600 350-800 2,200-2,400
Oil API Oil: 40-45° 36° 11° 10-16° 42-44°
Condensate: 44-55°
Porosity 4.6% - 9% 23% 28% 30% 3% - 6%
Permeability 0.33 - 0.41 millidarcies 0.5 - 50 millidarcies 1 - 5 darcies 0.5 - 5 darcies 10 nanodarcy
Completion Plug and perf Pin point coil Open hole multi-lateral
Horizontal slotted liner /
open-hole multi-lateral Plug and perf
Expected Well Costs
(drill, complete, equip and tie-in) US$5 million $950,000 $2.5 million $800,000 $7.0 million
6,000 foot lateral
Land - gross (net) sections 122 (31) 763 (656) 562 (560) 637 (491) 232 (232)
Pembina area
Reserves at YE 2019 (mmboe)
Proved developed producing 71 29 21 13 2
Proved 163 65 32 28 7
Proved plus probable 229 98 59 44 14
Drilling inventory (risked) – net
locations (booked/unbooked) 223 / 52 1,399 / 636 152 / 100 241 / 361 21 / 295
(1) Figures do not incorporate thermal assets at Cliffdale (Peace River) or Gemini (Lloydminster)
High Quality Oil Development
28
Corporate Sustainability
At Baytex, we believe that commitment to corporate responsibility is just as important as
delivering financial and operational targets. We publish a biennial Corporate Sustainability
Report which provides transparent reporting and clear goals on the topics that matter:
Safety Environment
Communities and
StakeholdersBusiness Practice
and Compliance
For more information and to view our most recent report, visit
http://www.baytexenergy.com
Commitment to the health
and safety of our
employees, contractors and
communities.
Commitment to
minimizing our impact on
air, water, land and life in
the areas we operate.
Commitment to provide social
and economic benefits to the
communities in which we
operate and to hear the
voices and concerns of our
stakeholders.
Commitment to
governance, ethical
business conduct, and
regulatory compliance.
Baytex was recognized by Corporate Knights in 2018 as one of Canada’s
Top Sustainability Performers.
29
GHG Emissions Reduction
Target to reduce GHG emission
intensity (tonnes of CO2 per boe)
by 30% by 2021.
Our emissions reduction strategy
includes:
• Increased gas conservation
• Reusing associated gas as fuel
for field activities
• Increased combustion and
reduced emissions from storage
tanks
• Monitoring and preventing
fugitive emissions
0.112 0.095 0.08 0.07 -
0.040
0.080
0.120
Baseline 2018 2019A 2020E Target 2021
Tonnes o
f C
O2
per
boe
30%reduction
from baseline
GHG Intensity Target
30
A Culture of Commitment
Objective What we’ve done ResultHow it contributes to
value creation
EN
VIR
ON
ME
NT
Responsibly develop
our assets
Ensure our employees and
contractors uphold our procedures
for spill prevention, response and
cleanup
42% reduction in corporate spill
volumes, over 5 yearsReduces costs and maintains
social license
Exceed regulatory
obligations
Invested more than $100 million in
gas conservation activities in Peace
River in the last 5 years
99.5% routine gas conservation in
Peace River in 2019Helps to build trust with
regulators and stakeholders
SO
CIA
L
Create a culture of
safety
Tie safety targets to annual
performance incentive program
41% reduction in employee
+contractor LTIF in 5 years
Supports the consistent and
safe execution of our business
plan
Be a good neighbour
Build mutually beneficial
relationships based on trust
Entered into support and
development agreement with the
Peavine Métis Settlement in 2020
Maintain social license and
enables growth in our
operations by reducing non-
technical project delays
GO
VE
RN
AN
CE Ensure effective
Board leadership
Ensure our Board is comprised of
dedicated Directors who are
invested in our success
100% Board meeting attendance
and
25% women Board members as
of Sep. 2019
Sets strategic direction and
improves decision making
Be transparent and
accountable
Communicate our ESG impacts by
publishing biennial sustainability
reports since 2012
Recognized by Corporate Knights
as Future 40 Responsible
Corporate Leaders in 2018
Enables shareholders and
stakeholders to make informed
decisions
32
Summary of Operating and Financial Metrics
Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
Benchmark Prices
WTI crude oil (US$/bbl) $62.87 $67.88 $69.50 $58.81 $64.77 $54.90 $59.81 $56.45 $56.96 $57.03 $46.17 $27.85 $40.93
NYMEX natural gas (US$/mcf) $3.00 $2.80 $2.90 $3.64 $3.09 $3.15 $2.64 $2.23 $2.50 $2.63 $1.95 $1.72 $1.98
Production
Crude oil (bbl/d) 45,835 46,644 56,767 71,326 55,218 71,939 69,905 68,541 70,956 70,328 74,571 50,783 56,239
Natural gas liquids (bbl/d) 9,143 9,419 10,076 10,327 9,745 11,729 10,986 9,543 8,699 10,229 7,822 7,634 7,417
Natural gas (mcf/d) 87,261 87,605 93,414 103,424 92,971 104,682 105,065 101,054 100,236 102,742 96,356 84,546 84,945
Oil equivalent (boe/d) (1) 69,522 70,664 82,412 98,890 80,458 101,115 98,402 94,927 96,360 97,680 98,452 72,508 77,814
% Liquids 79% 79% 81% 83% 81% 83% 82% 82% 83% 82% 83% 81% 82%
Netback ($/boe)
Total sales, net of blending and other
expenses (2) $42.96 $51.22 $55.03 $37.89 $46.31 $47.98 $51.49 $47.14 $48.25 $48.72 $35.19 $22.31 $33.79
Royalties (10.36) (12.01) (12.13) (8.77) (10.68) (8.94) (9.67) (8.59) (8.72) (8.98) (6.33) (4.42) (5.59)
Operating expense (10.53) (10.91) (10.25) (10.76) (10.61) (11.02) (11.22) (11.15) (11.23) (11.16) (11.66) (11.17) (10.26)
Transportation expense (1.36) (1.22) (1.26) (1.21) (1.26) (1.46) (1.33) (1.13) (1.00) (1.23) (1.15) (0.76) (0.89)
Operating Netback (4) $20.71 $27.08 $31.39 $17.15 $23.76 $26.56 $29.27 $26.27 $27.30 $27.35 $16.05 $5.96 $17.05
General and administrative (1.76) (1.64) (1.34) (1.55) (1.56) (1.55) (1.28) (1.14) (1.12) (1.28) (1.09) (1.13) (1.08)
Cash financing and interest (3.92) (3.97) (3.47) (3.07) (3.55) (3.10) (3.14) (3.06) (2.75) (3.01) (3.19) (4.15) (3.55)
Realized financial derivative gain (loss) (1.57) (4.57) (4.07) (0.34) (2.49) 2.07 1.45 2.39 2.59 2.12 3.00 2.06 (1.36)
Other (3) 0.01 (0.31) 0.07 (0.02) (0.05) 0.28 0.07 (0.03) 0.16 0.13 0.07 (0.03) (0.09)
Adjusted funds flow (4) $13.47 $16.59 $22.58 $12.17 $16.11 $24.26 $26.37 $24.43 $26.19 $25.31 $14.84 $2.71 $10.97
(1) Barrel of oil equivalent ("boe") amounts have been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil. The use of boe amounts may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
(2) Realized heavy oil prices are calculated based on sales dollars, net of blending and other expense. We include the cost of blending diluent in our realized heavy oil sales price in order to compare the
realized pricing on our produced volumes to the WCS benchmark.
(3) Other is comprised of realized foreign exchange gain or loss, other income or expense, current income tax expense or recovery and payments on onerous contracts. Refer to the Q3/2020 MD&A for
further information on these amounts.
(4) The terms “adjusted funds flow” and “operating netback” do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“GAAP”) and therefore may not be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies where similar terminology is used. See the advisory on non-GAAP measures on slide 3 of this presentation.
33
Reserves Summary (Gross)
Category (1) Eagle Ford Viking Heavy OilPembina
DuvernayOther Total
Proved Developed Producing 71 29 34 2 6 142
Total Proved 163 65 68 7 11 314
Total Proved Plus Probable 229 98 163 14 25 529
2P Reserves by Asset2P Reserves Breakdown 2P Reserves by Commodity
Light Oil + NGLHeavy
Oil
Natural Gas
Probable
PDNP + PUD
PDP
(1) Baytex reserves as at December 31, 2019 as evaluated by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd.
Eagle Ford
Viking
Heavy Oil
PembinaDuvernay
Other
34
2021 Guidance and Cost Assumptions
Exploration and development expenditures ($ millions) $225 - $275
Production (boe/d) 73,000 – 77,000
Expenses:
Royalty rate (%) 18% - 18.5%
Operating ($/boe) $11.50 - $12.25
Transportation ($/boe) $1.00 - $1.10
General and administrative ($ millions) $42 ($1.53/boe)
Interest ($ millions) $105 ($3.84/boe)
Leasing expenditures ($ millions) $4
Asset retirement obligations ($ millions) $6
Edward D. LaFehrPresident and Chief Executive Officer
587.952.3000
Rodney D. GrayExecutive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
587.952.3160
Brian G. EctorVice President, Capital Markets
587.952.3237
Baytex Energy Corp.
Suite 2800, Centennial Place
520 – 3rd Avenue S.W.
Calgary, Alberta T2P 0R3
T 587.952.3000
Toll Free 1.800.524.5521
www.baytexenergy.com
Contact Information