Integrating Amateur Radio Service

into a Catastrophic ExerciseMark Murphy, KE7UYF

Agenda

Genesis of an Idea

ACS EOC/ECC Support

Earthquake Risks

Our Efforts

Lessons Learned & Other Opportunities

Your Thoughts & Questions

Genesis of an IdeaHow it started…

1ID DISCOM Command Post

Weather

Mission

CDR

Intent

Staff

Matrix

Battle

Slant

C&P

EEI/CIR

PrioritiesSIGEVTs

O&I

Arty

Cmd

Log

ACS EOC/ECC SupportHow we roll…

ACS ECC/EOC Support in a Earthquake

Automatic Deployment

Check on Family/Home

Check in on net and head to deployment location

Report information along the way

SA/COP Support in ECC/EOC

Record in log

Work with Planning to plot in SNOCOP

Periodic updates

Earthquake RisksFor Snohomish County…

Background – Our Earthquake Risks

Earthquake Source and Example EventsApproximate

Recurrence Interval

Deep Earthquakes• 2001 Nisqually, M6.8• 1965 Seattle-Tacoma, M6.5• 1949 Olympia, M6.8

30 – 50 Years

Cascadia Subduction Zone• 1700 January 26 Event, M9.0 (est.)

200 – 600 Years

Shallow/Crustal Earthquakes• Seattle Fault, M6.5 or greater• Random 6.5 or greater

Hundreds of years?900 AD, 1872

The CSZ

~620 miles long

~Magnitude 9.0 possible

At least 7 earthquakes in the last 3,500 years. The most

recent was ~318 years ago

Expect damaging aftershocks (similar to Tohoku Japan

subduction zone quake, 1887 in the month following quake)

The SWIF

~57 miles long

~Magnitude 7.4 possible

At least four earthquakes in the last 16,000

years. The most recent was ~2,700 years

ago

Expect damaging aftershocks (similar to

Christchurch NZ shallow quake, 361 in first

week following quake)

18 counties impacted – Snohomish, King, & Island

Counties take the brunt!

Impact Comparison

* 2001 Nisqually quake was a MMI 6.8 & lasted ~47 seconds, regionally:

~400 injured / 1 fatality

~$4 Billion in damages

** Validating CSZ estimate for County.

Cascadia 9.0 *Nisqually 7.2 South Whidbey 7.4

Projected MMI 5 - Moderate - 7 - Very Strong 4 - Light - 6 - Very Strong 5 - Moderate - 8 - Severe

Injuries/Fatalities 382/3 58/0 5244/343

Structural Building ($) $148 Million $13.7 Million $810 Million

Non-Structural Building ($) $560 Million $105 Million $3.3 Billion

Dump Trucks of Debris **90640 1,480 88,840

Impacts

Snohomish County

Our EffortsPutting an idea into action…

Our Efforts – SWIF-19

SWIF-19 is a progressive exercise series based on a 7.4 magnitude

earthquake on the Southern Whidbey Island Fault (SWIF).

The exercise goals are to:

• Train County Emergency Coordination Center (ECC) & Jurisdictional

Emergency Operations Centers (EOCs) staff

• Validate County ECC & Jurisdictional EOC Standard Operational Guidelines

(SOGs)

• Build and sustain response capability across the County and Local

Jurisdictions

SWIF-19 Exercise Timeline

Day .5

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

Day 4

Oct 17th, 2018

Dec 5th, 2018

Mar 20th, 2019

Jun 19th, 2019

Oct 1-2, 2019

Sep 28th, 2019

Sep 29th, 2019

Sep 27th, 2019

Oct 1st, 2019

Sep 30th, 2019

Building an Exercise

Plans, Policies, Procedures, & Equipment

Setting the Objectives & Selecting a Scenario

Establishing the Ground Truth Document (GTD)

Creating the MSELs (the script)

Source of the Ground Truth

https://geologyportal.dnr.wa.gov/#seismic_scenarios

Building Injects

Map Impacts by Day

Match Impact to Inject(s)

Balance Injects against Objectives

Play Godzilla

325th Pl NW,

Day 4, #477

48 17'28.41,

122 21'4.19

DD #2,

downstream

US2/SR204,

Day 2, #271

47 59'3.66,

122 8'41.25

SR 528 (001),

#137

48.0518,-

122.165

Bond St Rail

Brdige

Damage, 150

47 58'38.75,

122 13'12.42

Stanwood

WWTF, Day

1, #199

48 14'21.70,

122 21'27.77

NG Pipeline

near SR522,

Day 1, #195

47 49'50.88,

122 3'9.80

Swedish

Edmonds, 68,

109

47 48'13.05,

122 20'9.89

Edmonds

Ferry

Terminal,

#15…

47 48'47.0,

122 23'7.17

Lakeview

Drive, Day 2,

#322

48 1'2.95,

122 5'18.19

Ebey Slough

(old DD#6)

near old

pump house,

Day 3, #384

47 57'18.10,

122 8'17.13

Marine Dr NE

(Bridge 419),

#189

48.05540,-

122.19195

Mukilteo

Ferry area

rail damage,

#206

47 56'51.76,

122 18'12.36

Marysville

WWTF, Day

2, #235

48 2'35.97,

122 10'22.37

NG Pipeline

near

US2/Lords

Hill, Day 3,

#434

47 54'19.14,

122 2'38.22

Evergreen

Health, 75,

138

47 51'51.19,

121 59'23.28

Mukilteo

Ferry

Terminal,

#197

47 56'54.90,

122 18'11.82

Tulalip

Shores Rd,

Day 2, #313

48 4'55.03,

122 19'4.70

French

Slough FCD

along left

bank of

Pilchuck

below 2nd St

Bridge, Day

3, #426

47 54'44.28,

122 4'55.82

SR 529

(10E/W),

#188

48.0129,-

122.189

Stanwood

SR532

overpass

onto tracks,

#23, 65….

48 14'23.57,

122 20'51.60

Edmonds

WWTF, Day

2, #273

47 48'33.47,

122 22'56.90

NG Pipeline

near Echo

Lake Rd, Day

4, #541

47 47'16.84,

122 3'29.42

Cascade

Valley, 116

48 11'19.66,

122 7'6.83

Port of

Everett, #514

47 58'37.96,

122 13'24.33

Hospitals PortsLandslides Levee/Dike Failures Road Bridge Rail Line/Bridge Water/Waste Water NG Pipeline Break

Adding Amateur Radio

Build a Survey Form

Confer with Radio Officer

Present to ACS Volunteers

Plot results & create injects

The Results

Generated 75+ injects on Day 1

Proof tested deployment methodology

Demonstrated value of Amateur Radio

Got people’s attention

USGS in Washington O @USGS_WA * 5m

Prelim M7.4 earthquake Puget Sound Region Sep 27

14:26

Tweedy in Everett O @Tweedy_Evt *

Buildings on Hewitt and Colby in Everett, help Sep27

15:48

Lessons LearnedWhere to next…

Lessons Learned

Identified 30 Corrective Actions & 14 Sustain Areas

+ ACS established net control within 10 minutes of

simulated quake and began taking jurisdictional check-ins

and impact reports.

+ Offsite net control compiled a significant amount of

impact traffic prior to completion of ECC

inspection/activation.

- Communications Section were challenged with number of

radio check-ins and impact reports.

- Communications Section did not have access to S:\drive

forms or WebEOC once internet service went down.

Other Opportunities

Integration Into:

Other Exercise Events

Bi-Annual Communication Drills

Traffic/Data Net

Cascadia Rising 2022

Your Thoughts?Questions, comments, & gestures…