IGU Urban Commission MeetingCanterbury August 14-20 2011

The Femarnbelt Tunnel: Regional Development perspectives

Christian Wichmann MatthiessenUniversity of Copenhagen

The South Scandinavian Missing Links

Distance between Sealand and the Europeancontinent indicated as time

Source:The European

Round Table ofIndustrialists

1989

1997/1998

2000

2020

The South Scandinavian Links

Distance between Sealand and the Europeancontinent indicated as kilometres

Traffic crossing the lines

Great BeltÖresundFehmarnbelt

Traffic on ferriesand bridges

Vehicles !!

Vehicles per year

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

14000000

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Ferries and bridges

Oresund Great Belt Femern Belt

Great Belt (1997/1998)

Domestic air traffic reduced with 33 %Railroad traffic boostedDanish logistics changeDay-tourism: increaseFerry towns loose activity – but compensation

Crosspoint: enforcementCentrality: metropolitan competitionIntegration - economy of scale New mass = new specialisation

Öresund (2000)

A new metropolitan region:

Pre-bridge

Post-bridge

Fehmarnbelt

What we know!

Infrastructural investments• Fixed link. Price: 4,5 billion Euros• Direct + indirect jobs 30.000-60.000 man years• Denmark: railroad electrification and renewal (double track) 119 kilometers railroad: Copenhagen to tunnel (Ringsted – Rødby)• Germany: Motorway from German network to tunnel (Heiligenhafen Ost – Puttgarten).• Railroad: Lübeck – Tunnel. Ready 2027.

Travel time• Copenhagen – Hamburg: from 4½ to 3 hours = 33 % improvement• Rødby – Puttgarten: from 60 to 10 minutes = 500 % improvement

Fehmarnbelt Link 2011

Population

Urban system

Cities within 300 kilometresDistance from Fehmarnbelt

Research project: the Fehmarnbelt RegionDevelopment Perspectives

• Infrastructure, logistics and traffic

• The role of the cities in a global/regional perspective

• Cross border labour market

• Cross border mobility

• Business clusters

• The scientific world: Centres, networks, development opportunities

• The potential effects of the fixed Fehmarnbelt link on real estate prices

• The cultural sector

• Values and attitudes, knowledge about ”the other side”

The large citiesCopenhagen/Öresund-metropolisHamburg

LübeckKielRostock

The regions near FehmarnbeltLolland-Falster-South SealandNorth-east Schleswig-HolsteinThe corridor

Three analytical perspectives

Baltic SeaFerry cities

Cluster cooperation:Pre- and post fixed Fehmarnbelt link

Clusters:• Medicon Valley Alliance• Øresund Food• Øresund logistics• Øresund Information Technology• Øresund Environment Academy• Clean technology – green power

Profile areas:• Design• Material science/nanotechnology• Business to business services• Tourism

The Øresund Region: Scania, Capital Region, Region Sjælland

Clusters:• Life Science• Maritime Economy• Food Industry• Information Technology• Micro- and Nanotechnology• Wind Energy and Renewable Energy• Chemical Industry (without Pharmacy)• Tourism

Schleswig-Holstein, Hamburg

Developing clusters:• Logistics Cluster• Aviation

Present in all sub-regions:• Life science/health• Food• Information technology (plus the medias)• Logistics (with a focus on the maritime)• Wind energy/green technology• Tourism (inclusive of business tourism)

Partial distributed:• Finance sector (with business services)• Cultural sector (medias)• Airport related activities, civil aviation• Material science/nanotechnology• Maritime industries

The Fehmarnbelt Region:Proposed cluster development efforts

Copenhagen/Öresund-cityHamburg

LübeckKielRostock

New dynamics:• Crosspoint location enforcement• European high speed railroad system• International metropolitan competition• Metropolitan cooperation: Hamburg-Öresund City

clusters, research, culture

The large centresSummary: potential regional changePost fixed link

Regional setupPre- and post fixed Fehmarnbelt link

Center PeripheryCenter

Border

Center - center interaction

Periphery

Center ”Real” border region Center

Border Center - center interaction

Neighboring regionsSummary: potential regional changePost fixed link

Lolland-FalsterNorth-east Schleswig-HolsteinThe Copenhagen-Hamburg corridor

Minus - loose employment when:• Ferries terminates• Tunnelbuilding finishes

Plus:• Construction period employment• Construction period: increasing interaction and cooperation• Real border region• Potential mobilisation effects: demand for national active• Increase in real estate values• TGV-train: dramatic increase in real estate values – hot spots• Increasing competitiveness in the CPH-HAM corridor• Advantage for centres located in the corridor (lift in status) • New localization pattern: tourism, clusters

Strategic goal:• New North European powerhouse based on new infrastructure and new internal networks

Presentation based on:

Matthiessen & Worm (editors):

The Fehmarnbelt Fixed Link:

Regional Development Perspectives

Syddansk Universitetsforlag 2011

Presentation based on:

Matthiessen & Worm (editors):

The Fehmarnbelt Fixed Link:

Regional Development Perspectives

Syddansk Universitetsforlag 2011

Thankyou