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How to Trade ETFs Presented by FA Magazine & IndexUniverse November 5, 2013

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Page 1: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

How to Trade ETFs

Presented by FA Magazine & IndexUniverse

November 5, 2013

Page 2: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

Moderator Ray Fazzi Senior Editor Financial Advisor Magazine

Page 3: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

Panelists

Matt Hougan President, ETF Analytics & Publications IndexUniverse

Dave Nadig Unknown, Unknown IndexUniverse

Ugo Egbunike Director, Business Development IndexUniverse

Page 4: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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The Problem

“I can’t buy an ETF that trades less than 100,000 shares a day!”

“I don’t want to be more than 5% of daily volume!”

“I know I can get in, but what if I want to get out?”

For internal use only

Page 5: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Myth 1: You Can’t Trade an ETF with less than 100k shares of ADV

For internal use only

Page 6: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Myth 2: An ETF is As Liquid As Its Underlying

For internal use only

Page 7: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Trade

Elephants & Knotholes

For internal use only Source: Bloomberg,

Page 8: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Trade

Bulls & China Shops

For internal use only Source: Bloomberg,

Page 9: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread

Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask

Page 10: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread

Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask

Source: IndexUniverse, as of 2/16/13

Page 11: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Different Asset Classes, Different Spreads

0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%

U.S. Equity

International Equity

U.S. Fixed Income

International Fixed Income

Commodities

Currency

Leveraged

Inverse

Asset Allocation

Alternatives

All ETFs:

Median Spread %

Source: Markit, as of 12/28/12

Page 12: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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ETF Liquidity Explained:

Source: IndexUniverse, as of 2/16/13

Bid/Ask Spread

Page 13: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Market Order: Buy 1000 Shares

Page 14: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Market Order: Buy 1000 Shares

Page 15: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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How Big Trades Happen in Little ETFs

Creation/Redemption Refresh

What Goes into an ETF Spread?

ETF Arbitrage Bands

Special Situations

Page 16: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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ETFs, Inc.

?

How An ETF Works

Page 17: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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CSCO

AAPL

CAT

MSFT

IBM

$2.5 million

100K @ $25 ETFs, Inc.

Authorized Participant

ETF Anatomy: Creation/Redemption

Page 18: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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CSCO

AAPL

CAT

MSFT

IBM 100K @ $25 ETFs, Inc.

Authorized Participant

ETF Anatomy: Creation/Redemption

50K @ $25

Page 19: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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What’s in an ETF Bid/Ask Spread?

Underlying NAV

Brokerage Fees

Market Maker P&L

Creation Costs

Forex Hedging Costs

Taxes

Bid Price

Ask Price

Market Maker P&L

Brokerage Fees

Taxes

Forex Hedging Costs

Redemption Fees

Underlying Bid/Ask

Sp

read

ETF Spread

Source: SSgA.

Page 20: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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ETFs Should Trade Within Their Arbitrage Bands … Most of the Time

Source: Fox River Execution. Data as of 12/1/09. Source: Fox River Execution. Data as of 12/1/09.

Page 21: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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ETF Trading: D

iffi

cult

y

Size of Order

It’s Hardest In The Middle

For internal use only

Page 22: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Page 23: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Page 24: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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0.00%

0.10%

0.20%

0.30%

0.40%

0.50%

9:30AM

10:00AM

10:30AM

11:00AM

11:30AM

12:00PM

12:30PM

1:00PM

1:30PM

2:00PM

2:30PM

3:00PM

3:30PM

IGV Spread Weighted Avg. Spread of Underlying Holdings

Issue: When to Trade IGV vs. Underlying

Source: Bloomberg, as of 10/19/12

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Ticker Fund Name Avg. Spread Median Volume

(40 Day)

Underlying Volume/Creation

Unit

FDM First Trust Dow Jones

Select MicroCap Index Fund

0.21% 4,260 0.33%

WMCR Guggenheim Wilshire

Micro-Cap ETF 0.71% 1,395 1.94%

IWC iShares Russell

Microcap 0.07% 66,708 0.38%

PZI PowerShares Zacks Micro Cap Portfolio

0.24% 5,925 0.19%

Issue: Market Impact

Source: IndexUniverse, as of 2/16/13

Page 26: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Page 27: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Page 28: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Issue: Fair Value - SPY vs. iNAV

$149.00

$149.50

$150.00

$150.50

$151.00

$151.50

1/30/2013 9:30 2/4/2013 16:00

Last Price iNAV

Source: Bloomberg, as of 2/4/13

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Issue: Fair Value - GXC

$67.00

$67.50

$68.00

$68.50

$69.00

$69.50

$70.00

$70.50

1/18/12 8:00 AM 1/30/12 4:27 PM

GXC Price

GXC iNAV

Source: Bloomberg, as of1/30/12

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Protests begin January 25, 2011.

Egyptian Stock Exchange closes January 27, 2011

Mubarak resigns February 11, 2011.

Exchange reopens March 23, 2011.

Issue: Premiums/Discounts - EGPT

Source: Bloomberg, as of 03/31/11

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7:42pmEST: Credit Suisse issues

press release announcing re-opening of the ETN

February 22, 2012 March 20, 2012

Credit Suisse halted creations on the VelocityShares Daily 2X VIX Short ETN, TVIX

ETN placed on “threshold list”

11:10amEST: TVIX premium reaches

almost 100%

0

5

10

15

20

Price NAV

Issue: Premiums/Discounts - TVIX

Source: Bloomberg, as of 03/31/12

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Issue: Premiums/Discounts - TLT

-0.80%

-0.60%

-0.40%

-0.20%

0.00%

0.20%

0.40%

0.60%

0.80%

1.00%

12/30/2011 12/31/2012

% P

rem

ium

/Dis

cou

nt

Source: Bloomberg, as of 12/31/2012

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110

120

130

140

150

160

170

180

190

-3.00%

-2.00%

-1.00%

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

11/14/2011 11/13/2012

Shar

es

Ou

tsta

nd

ing

(Th

ou

san

ds)

% P

rem

ium

/Dis

cou

nt

%Premium Shares Out

Issue: Premiums/Discounts - HYG

Source: Bloomberg, as of 11/14/12

Page 34: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Executing Trades: Practical Strategies

Page 35: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Reality: Trading is Complicated

Three Types of Trading for Advisors:

Entirely Self-Directed

Internally Assisted

“Trade Away”

Page 36: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Self Directed: Level 2

Source: Bloomberg, as of 2/19/13 For internal use only

Page 37: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Internally Assisted

Wide range of service levels Provide basic execution advice Enforce “blacklists” Source liquidity externally “Work” larger trades

Pros: Little information leakage, liquidity

access, expertise

Cons: Accountability and Best Execution not guaranteed

Page 38: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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“Trading Away”

Types of Firms

Market Makers / Authorized Participants Knight Capital Group Susquehanna International Group

Agency Brokerages WallachBeth ConvergEx

Page 39: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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AP/Market Maker Trade Date: January 30, 2013. For illustrative purposes only

Source: Goldman Sachs, as of 1/20/13

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Agency Brokerage

“Give me your best bid and

offer!”

Page 41: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Executing Brokers – Sample APs

Largest ETF trader in the world Handles all ETFs Heavily focused on trading

technology

Institutional liquidity provider now targeting advisors

Heavy focus on fixed income Willing to work with captive customers

White-glove service Support of full firm’s resources Ability to trade on risk or in multiple

manners

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Specializes in derivatives, European equity ETFs

Excellent technology and hedging capabilities

Focusing on advisors Heavy focus on fixed income Strong liquidity provider outside of

market hours

Doesn’t have customers A market maker’s market maker

Executing Brokers – Sample APs

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Executing Brokers – Agency Brokers

Lead the charge of agency brokers Growing quickly and covers all ETFs Doesn’t do business with Knight

Subsidiary of Wolverine Broker neutral Technology driven

Bank of New York company Willing to support any ETF Growing technological platform

Page 44: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Every Issuer Can Facilitate Liquidity

Optimizing Baskets

Customized Baskets

Accepting Cash in Lieu

Tightening Up Onscreen Spreads

Recommending Where to Route Trades

Page 45: How to Trade ETFs - etf.com · Back to Basics: Bid/Ask Spread Sell at Bid, Buy at Ask . For internal use only ... Forex Hedging Costs Taxes Bid Price Ask Price Market Maker P&L Brokerage

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Thank You.

Questions?