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International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development Kathmandu, Nepal HI-AWARE Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River Basins for Improving Livelihoods

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Page 1: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development

Kathmandu, Nepal

HI-AWARE

Himalayan Adaptation, Water and

Resilience Research on Glacier

and Snowpack Dependent River

Basins for Improving Livelihoods

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HI-AWARE Goal

• Enhance the adaptive capacities and

climate resilience of the vulnerable

• in the mountains and plains of the

river basins of the Hindu Kush

Himalaya (HKH) region,

• through the development of robust

evidence to inform people-centred

and gender sensitive climate change

adaptation policies and practices.

Photo Source: S. Kohshima (1982) and K. Fujita (1996, 2008, 2009)

Page 3: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

The Hindu Kush Himalayas

210 million

people in the

HKH region

1.3 billion

people

downstream

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The Third Pole:

Climate Change Hotspot

The third pole on earth

- an area of extraordinary

beauty and a world heritage

site of cultural and

biodiversity

Himalayan glaciers are sources

of freshwater reserves for 10

major river systems in Asia – a

lifeline for almost one third of

humanity

Page 5: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced
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Himalayan glaciers are shrinking

Note: Brackets include name of glacier or region with associated number/area (km2) of glaciers studied if more than one single glacier;

U=Uttarakhand, HP=Himachal Pradesh Source: Miller et al. (2011)

Page 7: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Source: Immerzeel et al., 2011

Page 8: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Contributions Glacier and Snow

Melt to Runoff 1998-2007

Seasonality, critical moments

Source: FutureWater, ICIMOD, 2013

Page 9: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Upstream – Downstream

• Changes in the mountains impact people

living downstream

• Shrinking of glaciers leads to increased

streamflow (peak melt 2050 – 2070) +

GLOFs

• A shift in timing of high precipitation events,

falling as rain rather than snow, can lead to

floods as well

Page 10: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Increased high rainfall

events

Increased temperatures

and extremes

Variability in monsoon

Page 11: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Outcomes and Impacts

HI-AWARE Impact:

Enhanced climate change resilience and adaptive

capacities in the HKH region

HI-AWARE Outcomes:

1) Up-scaling and out-scaling of institutional and on-

the-ground adaptation innovations

2) Improved policies and practices that help vulnerable

populations to adapt to climate change

Page 12: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

WP 1: Generate Knowledge

• Generate science-based and people-

centred knowledge, with an explicit focus on

gender and livelihoods,

• on climate change impacts and

adaptation measures in the mountains and

plains of the rivers basins of the HKH region

• through integrative, stakeholder-driven,

and policy-oriented research

Page 13: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

WP 2: Research Uptake

• To promote the uptake of the robust

evidence generated in WP 1

• through developing synergies between

science-based knowledge and

adaptation practices of communities

• to shape improved policies and

practices that help vulnerable populations

to adapt to climate change.

Page 14: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

WP 3: Strengthen Expertise

• To further strengthen the scientific

expertise in climate change adaptation

and resilience research in the region

• to contribute to improving climate change

adaptation science-policy-practice

networks in the HKH region.

Page 15: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Overall Programme Design

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Approach

Tackling

Vulnerability

through

Adaptation

leads to

Increased

Resilience

Page 17: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Climate and Adaptation Research

• Biophysical drivers and conditions leading to

vulnerability CC Impacts (glacier/snow melt,

T, p, Q, )

• Socio economic and governance drivers and

conditions leading to vulnerability

• Basin scale integrated assessment to identify

critical moments and regions (supply/demand),

us/ds linkages and extreme events

• Barriers and bridges to sustainable adaptation

approaches (Critical Moments, Adaptation

Turning Points and Adaptation Pathways)

Page 18: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

CMs, ATPs and APs

Critical Moments:

• The time dimension of adaptation: a better understanding of the timing of impacts and exceedanceof thresholds is essential

• We have a rough idea of what is going to change and feasible adaptation measures, but we do not know when and how much time is left before action is needed

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CMs, ATPs and APs

Adaptation Turning Points:

• ATPs focuses on when current policies and practices are no longer able to meet their objectives and alternative strategies have to be considered.

• This approach is more people-centred and adaptation-focussed than previous top-down climate change impact and vulnerability assessments and can be more easily tailored for policy advice.

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CMs, ATPs and APs

Adaptation Pathways:

• APs highlight how much time

people have to adapt, what is

pressing and what can be delayed.

• Integrate flexible adaptation

pathways with other policy

trajectories, identifying coinciding

windows of opportunities. This will

link adaptation to the wider

development context.

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Site Selection

• High Altitude – Hills – Plains

• From West to East

• Tributaries flowing from North to South

• Build on current work but also move into

“new” areas

• Not too many sites, but enough to cover

diversity and go where the innovations are

• Not only site-based research, also basin

level and policy analysis and CC

downscaling

Page 23: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced
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Why are we excited?

• Because of the consortium, bringing together the four countries

• Enhanced regional cooperation and capacity building in South Asia

• Better understanding of links of glaciers and communities (real research on upstream – downstream linkages)

• Evidence-based, innovation-oriented

• Working with all of you, the CARIAA wide programme (local – global)

Page 25: Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research … EN/HI-AWARE... · Himalayan Adaptation, Water and Resilience Research on Glacier and Snowpack Dependent River ... Enhanced

Thank you