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    Comparative Effectiveness of Antiviral Treatment for Hepatitis C VirusInfection in Adults: A Systematic ReviewRoger Chou, MD; Daniel Hartung, PharmD, MPH; Basmah Rahman, MPH; Ngoc Wasson, MPH; Erika Barth Cottrell, PhD;

    and Rongwei Fu, PhD

    Background: Multiple treatments are available for chronic hepatitisC virus (HCV) infection.

    Purpose: To compare benefits and harms of antiviral regimens forchronic HCV infection in treatment-naive adults.

    Data Sources: English-language literature from MEDLINE (1947 toAugust 2012), the Cochrane Library Database, Embase, Scopus,PsychINFO, and clinical trial registries.

    Study Selection: Randomized trials of antiviral treatments and co-hort studies examining associations between sustained virologic re-sponse (SVR) after therapy and clinical outcomes.

    Data Extraction: Several investigators abstracted study details and

    quality by using predefined criteria.Data Synthesis: No trial evaluated effectiveness of treatment onlong-term clinical outcomes. Dual therapy with pegylated interferonalfa-2b plus ribavirin was associated with a lower likelihood of SVRthan was pegylated interferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin (absolute dif-ference, 8 percentage points [95% CI, 3 to 14 percentage points])on the basis of 7 poor- to fair-quality trials. For genotype 2 or 3infection, dual therapy for 12 to 16 weeks was associated with alower likelihood of SVR than was therapy for 24 weeks, and lowerdoses of pegylated interferon alfa-2b were less effective than stan-

    dard doses (2 to 4 fair-quality trials). For genotype 1 infection,fair-quality trials found that triple therapy with pegylated interferon,ribavirin, and either boceprevir (2 trials) or telaprevir (4 trials) wasassociated with a higher likelihood of SVR than was dual therapy(absolute difference, 22 to 31 percentage points). Compared withdual therapy, boceprevir triple therapy increased risk for hemato-logic adverse events and telaprevir triple therapy increased risk foranemia and rash. A large well-designed cohort study and 18smaller cohort studies found that an SVR after antiviral therapy wasassociated with lower risk for all-cause mortality than was no SVR.

    Limitations: Trials involved highly selected populations. Observa-tional studies did not always adequately control for confounders.

    Conclusions: SVR rates for genotype 1 infection are higher with

    triple therapy that includes a protease inhibitor than with standarddual therapy. An SVR after antiviral therapy appears associated withimproved clinical outcomes.

    Primary Funding Source: Agency for Healthcare Research andQuality.

    Ann Intern Med. 2013;158:* * * FILL THIS IN * * *. www.annals.org

    For author affiliations, see end of text.

    This article was published at www.annals.org on 27 November 2012.

    Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a leadingcause of complications from chronic liver disease, in-cluding cirrhosis, liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma,and death (1, 2). The goal of antiviral treatment is toeradicate viremia and prevent long-term complications.Genotype 1 infection predominates in the United States(about 75% of cases) but is more difficult to treat thangenotype 2 or 3 infection.

    In the early 2000s, dual therapy with the combinationof pegylated interferon plus ribavirin became the standardHCV treatment (36). Pegylation refers to the cross-linking of polyethylene glycol molecules to the interferon

    molecule, which delays renal clearance, permitting once-weekly dosing (7). Two pegylated interferons are available:alfa-2a and alfa-2b. Interferon-based treatment is associ-ated with a high rate of adverse effects, including influenza-like symptoms, fatigue, and neuropsychiatric and hemato-logic adverse effects (8). In 2011, the U.S. Food and Drug

    Administration approved the first direct-acting antiviralagents, boceprevir (9) and telaprevir (10), for chronic ge-notype 1 infection.

    Understanding the effectiveness of antiviral regimensis critical for making informed treatment decisions forHCV infection. This review focuses on comparative effec-tiveness in antiviral-naive patients and also examines how

    effectiveness varies depending on clinical and demographiccharacteristics.

    METHODSScope

    We developed a review protocol and analytic frame-work (Appendix Figure 1, available at www.annals.org)that included the following key questions:

    1. What is the comparative effectiveness of antiviraltreatment in improving health outcomes in patients withHCV infection, and does it vary according to patientsubgroup characteristics (including, but not limited to,

    HCV genotype, age, race, sex, stage of disease, or geneticmarkers)?

    2. What is the comparative effectiveness of antiviraltreatments on the rate of sustained virologic response

    See also:

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    (SVR), and does it vary according to patient subgroupcharacteristics?

    3. What are the comparative harms associated withantiviral treatments, and do they vary according to patientsubgroup characteristics?

    4. Have improvements in SVR been shown to reduce

    the risk for or rates of adverse health outcomes from HCVinfection?The protocol was developed by using a standardized

    process with input from experts and the public. Details,including full search strategies, inclusion criteria, and evi-dence tables and quality ratings, are provided in the fullreport, as are results of studies comparing induction versusfixed-dose regimens and study outcomes related to qualityof life and histologic changes (11).

    Data Sources and Searches

    A research librarian searched Ovid MEDLINE from1947 to August 2012, the Cochrane Library Database

    (through the first quarter of 2012), Embase (1976 to Au-gust 2012), Scopus (1960 to August 2012), PsychINFO(1806 to August 2012), clinical trials registries, and grantsdatabases.

    Study Selection

    At least 2 reviewers independently evaluated studiesfor inclusion. For the first 3 questions, we included ran-domized trials of antiviral-naive patients that compareddual therapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2b plus ribavi-rin versus pegylated interferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin; tripletherapy with pegylated interferon (alfa-2a or -2b), ribavi-rin, and either telaprevir or boceprevir versus dual therapy;

    or different doses or durations of dual or triple therapy.Dose and duration comparisons of dual therapy focused ongenotype 2 or 3 infection. For the last question, we in-cluded cohort studies that reported adjusted risk estimatesfor the association between an SVR after antiviral treat-ment versus no SVR and clinical outcomes. Clinical out-comes were mortality, cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation,hepatocellular carcinoma, and need for transplantation.SVR, the primary intermediate outcome, was defined asthe absence of detectable HCV RNA in the serum 6months after the end of a course of therapy (4). Harmsincluded withdrawals due to adverse events, serious adverseevents, neutropenia, anemia, psychological adverse events,

    influenza-like symptoms, and rash.We restricted inclusion to English-language articles

    and included studies published as conference abstracts onlyin sensitivity analyses. We excluded studies of pregnant

    women (12), patients who received a transplant, HIV-infected patients, patients undergoing hemodialysis, andpreviously treated patients. We excluded regimens with an-tiviral drugs not approved in the United States for HCVinfection.

    Data Extraction and Quality Assessment

    One investigator abstracted details about the study de-sign, population, setting, interventions, analysis, follow-up,

    and results. A second investigator reviewed data for accu-racy. Two investigators independently applied predefinedcriteria (1315) to assess study quality as good, fair, orpoor. Discrepancies were resolved through consensus.

    Data Synthesis and Analysis

    We assessed the overall strength of each body of evi-

    dence as high, moderate, low, or insufficient inaccordance with the AHRQ Methods Guide for Effective-ness and Comparative Effectiveness Reviews (16) on thebasis of the quality of studies, consistency between studies,precision of estimates, and directness of evidence.

    We performed meta-analyses of trials that evaluatedsimilar populations, interventions, comparisons, and out-comes to estimate pooled relative risks (RRs) using theDerSimonianLaird method in a random-effects model(17). Heterogeneity was assessed with the I2 statistic (18).Statistical heterogeneity was explored through sensitivityand subgroup analyses based on study quality, differences

    in dosing or drugs, and outlier trials. We did not producefunnel plots because of small numbers (10) of studies (19),but we performed sensitivity analyses that included studiespublished only as abstracts. Analyses were performed withStata software, version 11.0 (Stata Corp, College Station,Texas).

    Role of the Funding Source

    AHRQs Effective Health Care Program funded thiswork. Investigators worked with AHRQ staff to developand refine the scope, analytic framework, and key ques-tions. AHRQ staff had no role in study selection, qualityassessment, synthesis, or development of conclusions.

    AHRQ staff provided project oversight and reviewed thedraft report and manuscript. The investigators are solelyresponsible for the manuscripts content and the decisionto submit it for publication.

    DATA SYNTHESISAppendix Figure 2 (available at www.annals.org)

    shows the search and selection results and Appendix Table1 (available at www.annals.org) shows the strength of evi-dence ratings. No study evaluated the comparative effec-tiveness of current antiviral treatments on long-term clini-cal outcomes. Three trials found no differences between

    various dual- or triple-therapy regimens in short-term (6months after regimen completion) mortality but reportedfew deaths (20 total) (2022).

    Virologic Outcomes

    Ten trials (n 66 to 3070) compared dual therapywith pegylated interferon alfa-2b plus ribavirin versus dualtherapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin (6,21, 2330) (Appendix Table 2, available at www.annals.org). Four trials were restricted to genotype 1 infection(21, 27, 28, 30). The prevalence of baseline cirrhosisranged from less than 5% to 20% (23, 29, 31, 32), and theprevalence of elevated aminotransferase levels ranged from

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    60% to 100% (2325, 29, 30, 32). Eleven trials (n 60to 1465) (3343) compared different durations of dualtherapy, 6 trials (n 53 to 602) (38, 4448) compareddifferent doses of pegylated interferon as part of dual ther-

    apy, and 4 trials (n

    97 to 1831) (35, 4951) compareddifferent doses of ribavirin as part of dual therapy for ge-notype 2 or 3 infection (Appendix Table 2). One trial wasrated as good quality (40), 4 trials as poor quality (24, 30,38, 47), and the remainder as fair quality. Methodologicshortcomings included open-label design or inadequatelydescribed blinding (2325, 2729, 3339, 4252), high orunclear attrition (21, 23, 24, 29, 35, 38, 51), and unclearor inadequate randomization or methods for allocationconcealment (24, 25, 2730, 34, 3639, 4148).

    Dual therapy with standard-dose (1.5 mcg/kg perweek) pegylated interferon alfa-2b was associated with aslightly lower likelihood of SVR than was dual therapy

    with standard-dose (180 mcg per week) pegylated inter-feron alfa-2a (pooled relative risk [RR], 0.87 [95% CI,0.80 to 0.95]; I2 27%) (Figure 1), with a pooled abso-lute difference of 8 percentage points (CI, 3 to 14 percent-

    age points), on the basis of 7 trials (5 fair-quality and 2poor-quality trials) (21, 2325, 27, 29, 30). Results weresimilar when the meta-analysis included a trial (31) thatevaluated triple-therapy regimens, a trial (6) published onlyas an abstract, and 2 trials that evaluated nonstandarddoses of pegylated interferon alfa-2b (26, 28) or when theanalysis excluded poor-quality trials (24, 30).

    The largest trial (n 3070), the Individualized Dos-ing Efficacy vs. Flat Dosing to Assess Optimal PegylatedInterferon Therapy (IDEAL) study, found no difference inlikelihood of SVR for genotype 1 infection between 2doses of pegylated interferon alfa-2b (1.0 mcg/kg per weekor 1.5 mcg/kg per week) plus ribavirin, 800 to 1400 mg/d,

    Figure 1. Sustained virologic response, comparisons of dual-therapy regimens.

    Dual therapy with pegylated interferon on alfa-2b plus ribavirin vs.

    dual therapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin

    Yenice et al, 2006 (30)Escudero et al, 2008 (24)

    Kamal et al, 2011 (25)

    Mach et al, 2011 (27)

    Ascione et al, 2010 (23)

    Rumi et al, 2010 (29)

    McHutchison et al, 2009 (32)

    Subtotal (I2 = 27.4%; P = 0.220)

    24 wk vs. 12 to 16 wk of dual therapy with pegylated

    interferon plus ribavirin

    Yu et al, 2007 (42)

    Lagging et al, 2008 (36)Manns et al, 2011 (duration) (38)

    Shiffman et al, 2007 (40)

    Subtotal (I2 = 79.5%; P = 0.002)

    Lower vs. higher dose of pegylated interferon alfa-2b

    as part of dual therapy with ribavirin

    Kawaoka et al, 2009 (45)

    Sood et al, 2008 (48)

    Abergel et al, 2006 (44)

    Meyer-Wyss et al, 2006 (47)

    Krawitt et al, 2006 (46)

    Manns et al, 2011 (38)

    Subtotal (I2 = 20.2%; P = 0.281)

    Events

    Treatment, n/N

    Events

    Control, n/N

    Study, Year (Reference)

    13/3757/92

    59/108

    54/122

    87/160

    119/219

    406/1019

    795/1757

    95/100

    147/188153/230

    515/732

    910/1250

    10/26

    60/76

    27/37

    39/55

    24/43

    144/224

    304/461

    18/3760/91

    77/109

    68/138

    110/160

    140/212

    423/1035

    896/1782

    47/50

    114/194129/228

    455/733

    745/1205

    20/27

    25/27

    30/41

    29/36

    28/43

    153/230

    285/404

    0.72 (0.421.25)0.94 (0.761.17)

    0.77 (0.630.95)

    0.90 (0.691.17)

    0.79 (0.660.94)

    0.82 (0.700.96)

    0.97 (0.881.08)

    0.87 (0.800.95)

    1.01 (0.931.10)

    1.33 (1.161.53)1.18 (1.021.36)

    1.13 (1.051.22)

    1.15 (1.021.29)

    0.52 (0.300.89)

    0.85 (0.731.00)

    1.00 (0.761.31)

    0.88 (0.701.11)

    0.86 (0.611.21)

    0.97 (0.851.10)

    0.90 (0.810.99)

    210.50.25

    Relative Risk

    (95% CI)

    Relative risks greater than 1 favor dual therapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2b over dual therapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2a, 24 weeks over12 to 16 weeks, and lower-dose versus higher dose pegylated interferon alfa-2b.

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    or pegylated interferon alfa-2a, 180 mcg per week, plusribavirin, 1000 to 1200 mg/d (range, 38% to 41%) (21).Excluding IDEAL because of differential ribavirin dosinghad little effect on the pooled estimate but eliminated sta-tistical heterogeneity (6 trials; pooled RR, 0.83 [CI, 0.76to 0.90]; I2 0%) (2325, 27, 29, 30).

    Duration EffectsTwo fair-quality trials found no difference between 48

    and 24 weeks of dual therapy in the likelihood of SVR ingenotype 2 or 3 infection (pooled RR, 0.97 [CI, 0.84 to1.1]; I2 43%) (35, 43). Four trials (1 good-quality trialand 3 fair-quality trials) found that 24 weeks of dual ther-apy was associated with a higher likelihood of SVR than

    was 12 to 16 weeks (pooled RR, 1.2 [CI, 1.0 to 1.3]), butthe lower limit of the CI nearly crossed 1 and statisticalheterogeneity was present (I2 80%) (Figure 1) (36, 38,40, 42). The 1 trial that found no difference (RR, 1.0 [CI,0.93 to 1.1]) reported high overall SVR rates (94% to

    95%), was restricted to genotype 2 infection, and used asomewhat different ribavirin dosing regimen (42). Exclud-ing this trial reduced statistical heterogeneity, but the esti-mate was similar (3 trials; pooled RR, 1.2 [CI, 1.1 to 1.3];I2 47%) (36, 38, 40).

    Three fair-quality trials of rapid virologic responders(undetectable HCV RNA by week 4) found no differencein the likelihood of SVR between 24 and 12 to 16 weeks ofdual therapy (pooled RR, 0.99 [CI, 0.86 to 1.1]; I266%) (34, 39, 41). Absolute differences ranged up to 10percentage points in either direction.

    Dose Effects

    Lower-dose pegylated interferon alfa-2b as part of dualtherapy was associated with a lower likelihood of SVR than

    was a higher dose (typically 1.5 mcg/kg per week) in ge-notype 2 or 3 infection, although the upper limit of the CInearly crossed 1.0 (pooled RR, 0.90 [CI, 0.81 to 0.99];I2 20%), on the basis of 6 trials (4 fair-quality trials and

    2 poor-quality trials) (Figure 1) (38, 4448). Excludingthe poor-quality trials (38, 47) or 1 trial that evaluated anatypical dosing regimen (46) had little effect on the pooledestimate.

    Two fair-quality trials found no clear difference be-tween induction regimens of pegylated interferon alfa-2b

    (higher initial doses followed by lower doses) plus ribavirinversus standard fixed-dose dual therapy (53, 54).Two fair-quality trials of pegylated interferon alfa-2a

    found no difference between 1000 to 1200 and 800 mg ofribavirin daily (n 492), or between 400 mg and 800 mgdaily, in likelihood of SVR (n 282) (35, 49). One fair-quality trial (n 1831) of pegylated interferon alfa-2bfound no difference between ribavirin, 800 mg/d (flatdose), and 800 to 1400 mg/d (weight-dosed) (51).

    One fair-quality trial (n 60) that primarily enrolledpatients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis found pegylatedinterferon alfa-2a plus ribavirin, 600 to 800 mg/d, to beassociated with a lower likelihood of SVR than was ribavi-

    rin, 1000 to 1200 mg/d (45% versus 72%; RR, 0.62 [CI,0.40 to 0.98]) (50).

    Triple Therapy

    Two fair-quality trials (n 1097 and 520) comparedtriple therapy with boceprevir, pegylated interferon alfa-2b,and ribavirin versus dual therapy for antiviral treatmentnaive patients with genotype 1 infection (Appendix Table3, available at www.annals.org) (22, 55). Seven percent to10% of patients had cirrhosis or severe fibrosis at baseline.Methodologic shortcomings included open-label design(55) or high attrition (22). A 48-week boceprevir regimen(4 weeks of dual-therapy lead-in followed by 44 weeks oftriple therapy) was associated with a higher likelihood ofSVR than was 48 weeks of dual therapy (pooled RR, 1.8[CI, 1.6 to 2.1]; I2 0%), with a pooled absolute increaseof 31 percentage points (CI, 23 to 39 percentage points)(Figure 2) (22, 55). Other triple-therapy regimens evalu-ated in the trials (28 weeks with or without dual-therapy

    lead-in, 48 weeks without dual-therapy lead-in, orresponse-guided triple therapy for 28 or 48 weeks) wereassociated with lower or similar SVR rates compared withthe 48-week regimen with lead-in.

    One trial (n 75) found that triple therapy withweight-based ribavirin, 400 to 1000 mg/d, was associatedwith a trend toward lower likelihood of SVR comparedwith triple therapy with standard-dose (800 to 1400 mg/d)ribavirin (36% versus 50%; RR, 0.71 [CI, 0.39 to 1.3])(55).

    Six randomized trials compared triple therapy with te-laprevir, pegylated interferon, and ribavirin versus dual

    therapy for genotype 1 infection (Appendix Table 3) (20,31, 5659). One trial used pegylated interferon alfa-2b(57), 1 evaluated regimens with pegylated interferonalfa-2a or alfa-2b (31), and the remainder used pegylatedinterferon alfa-2a. The prevalence of baseline cirrhosisranged from 0% to 11%. One trial (58) was rated as goodquality and the remainder as fair quality. Methodologicshortcomings included open-label design or unclear blind-ing procedures (31, 56, 59), unclear randomization meth-ods (56, 58), and unclear attrition (57, 58). In all triple-therapy regimens, telaprevir was administered withpegylated interferon plus ribavirin for the first 8 to 12

    weeks. For regimens longer than 12 weeks, dual therapywas continued to the end of treatment.

    Three trials (n 189 to 323) found a 24-week fixed-duration telaprevir regimen was associated with a higherlikelihood of SVR than was 48 weeks of dual therapy(pooled RR, 1.5 [CI, 1.3 to 1.8]; I2 0%) (Figure 2),

    with an absolute increase of 22 percentage points (CI, 13to 31 percentage points) (5658). Excluding a trial thatevaluated pegylated interferon alfa-2b instead of alfa-2ahad no effect on the estimate (57). Two trials found nodifference between 12 weeks of triple therapy and 48 weeksof dual therapy (56, 58), and 1 trial found no differencebetween 48 and 24 weeks of telaprevir triple therapy (58).

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    One trial (n 1088) found response-guided tripletherapy with telaprevir (triple therapy for 8 or 12 weeksfollowed by dual therapy for a total of 24 or 48 weeks,depending on extended rapid virologic response) to be as-sociated with a higher likelihood of SVR than was dualtherapy for 48 weeks (RR, 1.6 [CI, 1.4 to 1.9]), with anabsolute increase of 25 to 31 percentage points (20).

    One trial found similar SVR rates (81% to 85%) for

    response-guided triple-therapy regimens that varied on te-laprevir dose (750 mg 3 times daily versus 1125 mg 2 timesdaily) and type of pegylated interferon (alfa-2a versus alfa-2b) (31). Another trial of extended rapid virologic respond-ers to initial triple therapy with telaprevir reported similar,high SVR rates with 24- and 48-week regimens (92% and88%, respectively) (59).

    Effectiveness in Subgroups

    In patients with genotype 1 infection, 1 trial of dualtherapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2b versus alfa-2a(21), 2 trials of 48 weeks of triple therapy with boceprevirand dual-therapy lead-in versus 48 weeks of dual therapy

    (22, 55), and 2 trials of triple therapy with telaprevir(response-guided or fixed duration) versus 48 weeks of dualtherapy (20, 57) found no clear differences in RR estimatesbased on race, sex, age, baseline fibrosis, and weight. Forboceprevir, the RR estimate was higher with a baselineHCV RNA viral load greater than 600 to 800,000 IU/mL(pooled RR, 2.0 [CI, 1.7 to 2.3]; I2 0%) than with alower viral load (pooled RR, 1.3 [CI, 1.0 to 1.5]; I2 0%)(22, 55), but there was no clear difference in RR estimatesfor telaprevir triple therapy versus dual therapy accordingto baseline viral load in 2 trials (20, 57). Across regimens,absolute SVR rates were lower in older patients, black pa-tients, patients with more advanced fibrosis, and patients

    with higher viral load. Four trials of dual therapy withpegylated interferon alfa-2b versus alfa-2a found no cleardifference in RR estimates according to genotype, althoughabsolute SVR rates were lower by 24% to 42% with geno-type 1 (6, 23, 24, 29).

    Harms of Antiviral Treatments

    Six head-to-head trials of dual therapy with pegylatedinterferon alfa-2b versus alfa-2a found no difference in risk

    for withdrawal due to adverse events (6 trials; pooled RR,1.1 [CI, 0.73 to 1.7]; I2 42%) (21, 23, 24, 2830).Excluding 1 outlier trial (RR, 4.2 [CI, 1.5 to 12]) (23)eliminated statistical heterogeneity, but the pooled estimate

    was similar (5 trials; pooled RR, 0.88 [CI, 0.7 to 1.1]; I2 0%).

    Two trials found dual therapy with pegylated inter-feron alfa-2b to be associated with lower risk for seriousadverse events than was dual therapy with pegylated inter-feron alfa-2a (pooled RR, 0.76 [CI, 0.61 to 0.95]; I2 0%) (21, 29). There were no differences between dual-therapy regimens in risk for anemia, thrombocytopenia,

    depression, fatigue, myalgia, or influenza-like symptoms(Appendix Table 4, available at www.annals.org). Dualtherapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2b was associated

    with higher risk for headache (3 trials; pooled RR, 1.1 [CI,1.1 to 1.2]; I2 0%) (21, 23, 28) and lower risk for rash(2 trials; pooled RR, 0.79 [CI, 0.71 to 0.88]; I2 0%)(21, 28) and neutropenia (5 trials; pooled RR, 0.61 [CI,0.46 to 0.83]; I2 38%). In the largest study (the IDEALtrial), dual therapy with either pegylated interferon wasassociated with serious adverse events in about 4% of pa-tients, fatigue in 65%, headache in 45%, nausea in 40%,myalgia in 25%, neutrophil count less than 500 cells/mm3

    in 5%, and hemoglobin level less than 85 g/L in 3% (21).

    Figure 2. Sustained virologic response, triple therapy with a protease inhibitor versus dual therapy.

    Boceprevir triple therapy for 48 wk vs.

    dual therapy for 48 wk

    Kwo et al, 2010 (55)Poordad et al, 2011 (22)

    Subtotal (I2 = 0.0%; P = 0.416)

    Telaprevir triple therapy for 24 wk vs.

    dual therapy for 48 wk

    Kumada et al, 2012 (57)

    McHutchinson et al, 2009 (58)

    Hezode et al, 2009 (56)

    Subtotal (I2 = 0.0%; P = 0.998)

    Events

    Treatment, n/N

    Events

    Control, n/N

    Study, Year (Reference)

    77/103242/366

    319/469

    92/126

    48/79

    56/81

    196/286

    39/104137/363

    176/467

    31/63

    31/75

    38/82

    100/220

    1.99 (1.522.62)1.75 (1.512.04)

    1.81 (1.582.06)

    1.48 (1.131.95)

    1.47 (1.062.03)

    1.49 (1.131.96)

    1.48 (1.261.75)

    41 20.75

    Relative Risk

    (95% CI)

    The boceprevir regimen consisted of 4 weeks of dual-therapy lead-in with pegylated interferon alfa-2b plus ribavirin, followed by the addition ofboceprevir for 44 more weeks. The telaprevir regimen consisted of 12 weeks of telaprevir, pegylated interferon alfa-2a or -2b, and ribavirin, followed by12 weeks of dual therapy (pegylated interferon plus ribavirin without telaprevir). Relative risks greater than 1 favor triple therapy.

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    Excluding the low-dose pegylated interferon alfa-2bgroup from the IDEAL trial had little effect on pooledestimates, except that pegylated interferon alfa-2b becameassociated with increased risk for depression (3 trials;pooled RR, 1.2 [CI, 1.0 to 1.4]; I2 0%) (21, 23, 28).Excluding 2 poor-quality trials had little effect on pooled

    estimates (24, 30).Two trials found a 48-week boceprevir regimen withdual-therapy lead-in was associated with higher risk forneutropenia (pooled RR, 1.8 [CI, 1.5 to 2.3]; I2 0%),dysgeusia (pooled RR, 2.5 [CI, 2.0 to 3.2]; I2 0%),anemia (pooled RR, 2.0 [CI, 1.4 to 2.8]; I2 0%), andthrombocytopenia (pooled RR, 3.2 [CI, 1.2 to 8.2]; I20%) than dual therapy for 48 weeks (Appendix Table 4)(22, 55). About 25% of patients receiving triple therapyexperienced anemia (4% to 5% severe, defined as hemo-globin level less than 80 or less than 85 g/L) and about33% neutropenia (8% to 15% severe, defined as neutro-phil count 500 cells/L). There were no differences inrisk for withdrawal due to adverse events, serious adverseevents, or other adverse events.

    A 24-week regimen of triple therapy with telaprevirwas associated with higher risk for anemia (3 trials; pooledRR, 1.3 [CI, 1.1 to 1.5]; I2 0%) and rash (3 trials;pooled RR, 1.4 [CI, 1.1 to 1.7]; I2 0%) than was dualtherapy for 48 weeks, but there were no statistically signif-icant differences in risk for serious adverse events, with-drawal due to adverse events, neutropenia, depression, fa-tigue, headache, chills/rigors, or influenza-like symptoms(Appendix Table 4) (5658). Triple therapy was also as-sociated with increased risk for thrombocytopenia in 1 trial

    (RR, 1.8 [CI, 1.2 to 2.5]) (57). About half of the patientsrandomly assigned to telaprevir experienced rash (severerash in 7% to 10%) and about half had anemia (severeanemia in 4% to 11%) (5658).

    One trial found response-guided therapy with telapre-vir for 24 to 48 weeks was associated with higher risk for

    withdrawal due to adverse events (RR, 3.8 [CI, 2.6 to5.7]), anemia (RR, 2.0 [CI, 1.6 to 2.5]), rash (RR, 1.5 [CI,1.2 to 1.8]), and severe rash (5% versus 1%; RR, 4.6 [CI,1.6 to 13]) than dual therapy for 48 weeks (20).

    No trial reported harms in patient subgroups. Threetrials of dual therapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2b ver-

    sus alfa-2a for genotype 1 infection reported pooled esti-mates for harms similar to the estimates based on all trials(21, 30, 31).

    Association between SVR and Clinical Outcomes

    Nineteen cohort studies (n 105 to 16 864) evalu-ated the association between an SVR after antiviral therapyand mortality or complications of chronic HCV infection(Appendix Table 5, available at www.annals.org) (6078).Duration of follow-up ranged from 3 to 9 years. Ten stud-ies were conducted in Asia (60, 6772, 75, 77, 78). Eight(6466, 72, 7578) were rated as poor quality and theremainder as fair quality. Although all studies reported ad-

    justed risk estimates, only 8 (60, 61, 63, 6770, 73) eval-uated 5 key confounders (age, sex, genotype, viral load, andfibrosis stage). No study clearly described assessment ofoutcomes blinded to SVR status.

    The largest study (n 16 864) had the fewest meth-odologic shortcomings (61). It adjusted for multiple poten-

    tial confounders, including age, sex, viral load, presence ofcirrhosis, multiple comorbid conditions, aminotransferaselevels, and others. It also stratified results by genotype. In apredominantly male, Veterans Affairs population, SVR af-ter antiviral therapy was associated with lower risk for all-cause mortality than was no SVR, after a median of 3.8years (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.71 [CI, 0.60 to 0.86], 0.62[CI, 0.44 to 0.87], and 0.51 [CI, 0.35 to 0.75] for geno-types 1, 2, and 3, respectively). Mortality curves began toseparate as soon as 3 to 6 months after SVR assessment.

    Eighteen other cohort studies also found SVR to beassociated with decreased risk for all-cause mortality (ad-

    justed hazard ratios, 0.07 to 0.39) (60, 69, 72, 73, 7578),

    liver-related mortality (adjusted hazard ratios, 0.04 to0.27) (60, 62, 63, 69, 70, 72, 74, 76, 77), hepatocellularcarcinoma (adjusted hazard ratios, 0.12 to 0.46) (60, 62,63, 67, 68, 71, 7376, 78), and other complications ofend-stage liver disease versus no SVR, with effects largerthan in the Veterans Affairs study. The subgroup of studiesthat focused on patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosisat baseline (62, 63, 65 68, 74 76) or that were conductedin Asia (60, 6772, 75, 77, 78) reported similar ranges ofrisk estimates.

    DISCUSSIONAntiviral therapy for chronic HCV infection continuesto evolve. No study evaluated comparative effectiveness ofantiviral regimens on long-term clinical outcomes. Suchtrials are a challenge to carry out because of the long timecourse over which complications of HCV infectiondevelop.

    In lieu of direct evidence on long-term clinical out-comes, SVR rates are the primary outcome measure with

    which to evaluate comparative effectiveness. For treatment-naive patients, dual therapy with pegylated interferonalfa-2b is associated with a lower likelihood of SVR than is

    dual therapy with pegylated interferon alfa-2a (absolutedifference, about 8 percentage points). Although there wasno difference between dual-therapy regimens in risk for

    withdrawals due to adverse events, pegylated interferonalfa-2b was associated with a lower risk for serious adverseevents, suggesting potential tradeoffs between benefits andharms. However, serious adverse events were reported inonly 2 trials (21, 29), the absolute difference was onlyabout 1%, and antiviral-related adverse events are generallyself-limited.

    For genotype 2 or 3 infection, standard doses and du-rations (24 weeks) of pegylated interferon as part of dualtherapy are more effective than shorter regimens or lower

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    doses, lending support to current dosing guidance (4, 79,80). Evidence on differential effects of ribavirin dose islimited, although differences were small in most studies.

    The relative ineffectiveness of dual therapy for geno-type 1 infection has led to ongoing efforts to identify moreeffective treatments. Recent trials found triple therapy with

    boceprevir or telaprevir superior to dual therapy, with SVRrates approaching the 70% to 80% observed in trials ofdual therapy for genotype 2 or 3 infection (20, 22, 31,5559). This has important implications for treatment, as

    well as for screening, because screening benefits depend inpart on the effectiveness of available treatments (81).

    Triple therapy for genotype 1 infection is also associ-ated with shorter duration of treatment, an important con-sideration given the high frequency of adverse effects asso-ciated with interferon-based therapy. However, tripletherapy is also associated with increased risk for hemato-logic adverse events (neutropenia, anemia, and thrombocy-

    topenia) with boceprevir and anemia and rash (includingsevere rash in less than 10% of patients) with telaprevir,although there was no clear increase in risk for seriousadverse events overall. Across all antiviral regimens, abso-lute treatment response rates are lower in older patients;black patients; and patients with higher baseline viral load,genotype 1 infection, or more advanced fibrosis.

    The strongest evidence on the association between vi-rologic and clinical outcomes is a large Veterans Affairscohort study that found SVR to be associated with a 30%to 50% reduction in mortality risk, after adjustment formany confounders (61). The rapid separation of mortalitycurves in this study suggests possible residual confounding,given the typically protracted course of HCV infection.Therefore, estimates of benefit may be exaggerated, al-though it is not possible to determine to what degree.Eighteen other cohort studies also found that SVR wasassociated with decreased risk for serious complications ofchronic HCV infection, but these studies had moremethodologic shortcomings than did the Veterans Af-fairs study.

    Our study has limitations. We excluded nonEnglish-language articles. We did not perform formal analyses forpublication bias because of the small numbers of trials, butanalyses of abstracts and searches of clinical trials registriesdid not suggest publication bias. Meta-analyses were per-formed by using the DerSimonianLaird random-effectsmodel, which results in CIs that are slightly too narrow

    when heterogeneity is present, so that pooled estimateswith 95% CIs close to 1.0 should be interpreted cautiously(82). Estimates and conclusions based on small numbers oftrials should also be interpreted cautiously. For example,pooled estimates based on 2 trials can be unreliable, par-ticularly when statistical heterogeneity is present. The trialsgenerally met criteria for efficacy studies, which could limittheir applicability because of exclusion of patients with co-morbid conditions, and greater adherence than typically

    observed in clinical practice. Almost all of the randomizedtrials were funded by pharmaceutical companies (83, 84).

    Additional research would help clarify the comparativeeffectiveness of antiviral treatments. Studies are needed tounderstand the long-term clinical outcomes associated withdifferent antiviral treatments, the long-term harms of tel-

    aprevir and boceprevir, the comparative effectiveness of tri-ple therapy with telaprevir versus boceprevir, and effectivestrategies to improve adherence (85). Other direct-actingantiviral agents, including second-generation protease in-hibitors, polymerase inhibitors, NS5A inhibitors, and oth-ers are in active development, with all-oral, interferon-sparing regimens expected within the next few years (86).

    From Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon.

    Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this document are those of

    the authors, who are responsible for its content, and do not necessarily

    represent the views of AHRQ. No statement in this report should be

    construed as an official position of AHRQ or of the U.S. Department ofHealth and Human Services.

    Acknowledgment: The authors thank Robin Paynter, MLIS; Rose

    Campbell, MLIS; AHRQ Task Order Officer Christine Chang, MD,

    MPH; and USPSTF Medical Officer Iris Mabry-Hernandez, MD,MPH. They also thank Tracy Dana, MLS; Christina Bougatsos, MPH;

    and Ian Blazina, MPH, from Oregon Health & Science University, who

    assisted in data extraction and quality checking.

    Grant Support: By the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality(Contract Number 290-2007-10057-I, Task Order 8), Rockville, Maryland.

    Potential Conflicts of Interest: Dr. Chou: Grant (money to institu-

    tion): AHRQ; Support for travel to meetings for the study or other

    purposes (money to institution): AHRQ. Dr. Hartung: Grant (moneyto institution): AHRQ (Institutional career development award

    1K12HS019456-01). Dr. Wasson: Grant (money to institution):

    AHRQ. Dr. Cottrell: Grant: AHRQ. Dr. Fu: Grant (money to institu-

    tion): AHRQ. Disclosures can also be found at www.acponline.org/authors/icmje/ConflictOfInterestForms.do?msNumM12-1658.

    Requests for Single Reprints: Roger Chou, MD, 3181 SW Sam Jack-

    son Park Road, Mail Code BICC, Portland, OR 97239; e-mail, chour

    @ohsu.edu.

    Current author addresses and author contributions are available at www

    .annals.org.

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    Current Author Addresses: Drs. Chou, Hartung, Rahman, Wasson,

    Cottrell, and Fu: 3181 SW Sam Jackson Park Road, Mail Code BICC,

    Portland, OR 97239.

    Author Contributions: Conception and design: R. Chou, D. Hartung.

    Analysis and interpretation of the data: R. Chou, D. Hartung, N. Was-

    son, E.B. Cottrell, R. Fu.

    Drafting of the article: R. Chou, D. Hartung.

    Critical revision of the article for important intellectual content: R.

    Chou, D. Hartung, N. Wasson, R. Fu.

    Final approval of the article: R. Chou, D. Hartung, R. Fu.

    Statistical expertise: R. Chou, D. Hartung, R. Fu.

    Obtaining of funding: R. Chou.

    Administrative, technical, or logistic support: B. Rahman, N. Wasson.

    Collection and assembly of data: R. Chou, D. Hartung, B. Rahman, N.

    Wasson.

    Appendix Figure 1. Analytic framework for treatment of hepatitis C infection in adults.

    Key Questions:

    1a. What is the comparative effectiveness of antiviral treatment in improving health outcomes in patients

    with HCV infection?

    1b. How does the comparative effectiveness of antiviral treatment for health outcomes vary according to

    patient subgroup characteristics?

    2a. What is the comparative effectiveness of antiviral treatments on intermediate outcomes on the rate of

    SVR?2b. How does the comparative effectiveness of antiviral treatment for intermediate outcomes vary according

    to patient subgroup characteristics?

    3a. What are the comparative harms associated with antiviral treatments?

    3b. Do these harms differ according to patient subgroup characteristics?

    4. Have improvements in SVR been shown to reduce the risk or rates of adverse health outcomes from HCV

    infection?

    Mortality

    Morbidity

    Transmission

    of hepatitis Cvirus

    Patients with

    chronic

    hepatitis C virus

    infection

    Sustained

    virologic

    response

    Harms

    Antiviral

    Treatment

    Intermediate

    Outcomes*

    KQ 2

    KQ 1

    KQ 4

    KQ 3

    Final Clinical

    Outcomes*

    This analytic framework outlines the population, interventions, and outcomes considered in the review. It is a modified version of a larger frameworkdepicting the effect of both screening for and treatment of hepatitis C in adults. This figure focuses on the treatment portion of the framework. Thepopulation includes adults with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The interventions include pegylated interferon alfa-2a with ribavirin orpegylated interferon alfa-2b with ribavirin, with or without the protease inhibitors telaprevir or boceprevir. Intermediate outcomes include liver function,sustained virologic remission, and histologic changes. Final outcomes include morbidity and mortality from HCV (including hepatic cirrhosis, hepato-cellular carcinoma, liver transplantation rates, and quality of life) and harms of antiviral therapies (including influenza-like symptoms, hematologic effects,and psychiatric effects).* Including but not limited to HCV genotype, age, race, sex, stage of disease, or genetic markers.

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    Appendix Figure 2. Summary of evidence search and

    selection.

    Full-text articles assessed

    for eligibility

    (n = 458)

    Records screened

    (n = 3354)

    Studies included in synthesis (n = 77)*

    Key question 1a = 5 studies

    Key question 1b = 0 studies

    key question 2a = 38 studies

    Key question 2b = 13 studies

    Key question 3a = 13 studies

    Key question 3b = 3 studies

    Key question 4 = 28 studies

    Records after duplicates removed

    (n = 3354)

    Records excluded

    (n = 2896)

    Records identified through

    database searching

    (n = 3543)

    Records identified

    through other sources

    (n = 98)

    The study flow diagram summarizes the search and selection of articlesfor review (for key questions, see Appendix Figure 1). Reproduced fromreference 11.* Some studies applied to more than 1 key question. Studies of induc-tion versus fixed-dose regimens and outcomes related to quality of lifeand histologic changes are not reported here but can be found in the fullreport (11).

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    AppendixTable2Continued

    Study,Year,Country(Reference)Quality

    Sample

    Sizes,I

    CirrhosisatBaseline,

    %

    Elevated

    Aminotransferase

    Levelsat

    Baseline,%

    Genotype

    Mix,%

    Week

    lyPegylated

    InterferonDose

    DailyRibavirinDose,mg

    Duration,wk

    Sustained

    Virologic

    Response

    Rate,%

    Mangiaetal,

    2005,

    Italy(37)

    Fair

    A:70

    B:213

    A:23

    B:16

    100

    100genotype

    2or3

    -2b,

    1.0mcg/kg

    10001200

    A.

    24

    B.

    1224**

    A:76

    B:77

    Doseeffects:pegylatedinterferon

    Highervs.

    lowerdosesofpegylatedinterferon-2

    b

    Abergeletal,

    2006,

    France(44)

    Fair

    A:37

    B:41

    A:46

    B:57

    100

    38genotype2

    or3

    A:-2b,

    0.7

    5mcg/kg

    B:-2

    b,

    1.5mcg/kg

    800

    48

    A:73

    B:73

    Kawaokaetal,

    2009,

    Japan(45)

    Fair

    A:26

    B:27

    None

    Notreported

    100genotype

    2or3

    A:-2b,

    1.0mcg/kg

    B:-2

    b,

    1.5mcg/kg

    6001000

    24

    A:39

    B:74

    Krawittetal,

    2006,

    USA(46)

    Fair

    A:43

    B:43

    A:17

    B:10

    A:88

    B:88

    29genotype2

    or3

    A:-2b,

    50mcg

    B:-2

    b,

    100-150mcg

    1000

    48

    A:56

    B:65

    Meyer-Wyss,2006,

    Switzerland(47)

    Poor

    A:55

    B:36

    None

    100

    42genotype2

    or3

    A:-2b,

    1.0mcg/kg

    B:-2

    b,

    1.5mcg/kg

    800

    2448by

    genotype*

    A:71

    B:81

    Soodetal,

    2008,

    India(48)

    Fair

    A:76

    B:27

    Notreported

    100

    100genotype

    2or3

    A:-2b,

    1.0mcg/kg

    B:-2

    b,

    1.5mcg/kg

    1012/kg

    24

    A:79

    B:93

    Mannsetal,

    2011,

    international(38)

    Poor

    A:224

    B:230

    Notreported

    100

    100genotype

    2or3

    A:-2b,

    1.0mcg/kg

    B:-2

    b,

    1.5mcg/kg

    8001400

    24

    A:64

    B:67

    Doseeffects:ribavirin

    Ferencietal,

    2008,

    Austria(49)

    Poor

    A:141

    B:141

    Notreported

    100

    100genotype

    2or3

    -2a,

    180mcg

    A:400

    B:800

    24

    A:64

    B:69

    Hadziyannisetal,

    2004(PEGASYS),

    Worldwide

    (35)

    Fair

    A:96

    B:144

    C:99

    D:153

    A:5

    B:7

    C:7

    D:8

    100

    38genotype2

    or3

    -2a,

    180mcg

    A/C.

    800B/D.

    10001200

    A:24

    B:24

    C:48

    D:48

    A/C:80

    B/D:77

    Helblingetal,

    2006,

    Switzerland(50)

    Fair

    A:31

    B:29

    A:57

    B:52

    100

    48genotype2

    or3

    -2a,

    180mcg

    A:600800

    B:10001200

    2448by

    genotype*

    A:45

    B:72

    Jacobsonetal,

    2007(WIN-R),USA(51)

    Fair

    A:911

    B:920

    A:10

    B:10

    100

    37genotype2

    or3

    -2b,

    1.5mcg

    A:800

    B:8001400

    2448by

    genotype*

    A:60

    B:62

    Cirrhosis

    METAVIR(Meta-analysisofHistologicDatainViralHepatitis)F4,Ishak56,orequ

    ivalent;Minimalornofibrosis

    METAVIRF0

    F1,Ishak02,orequivalent;CLEO

    ClubEpatologiOspedalieri;HCV

    hepatitisCvirus;IDEAL

    IndividualizedDosingEfficacyvs.FlatDosingtoAssessOptimalPegylatedInterferonTherapy;WIN-R

    Weight-baseddosingofpegINterferon-2bandRibavirin.

    *Treatmentdurationvariedaccordingtogenotype:typically48wkforgenotype1or4and24w

    kforgenotype2or3.

    Publishedasabstractonly;onlyincludedinsensitivityanalysis.

    Severefibrosisorcirrhosis.

    Morethan2timestheupperlimitofnormal.

    Samplesizesandresultsarerestrictedtopatientswithgenotype2or3infection.

    Patientswhohadundetectablevirusbywk4wererandomlyassignedto12or6wkofribavirin.

    **Treatmentfor12wkifHCVRNAundetectableat4wkandfor24wkifdetectable.

    Alanineaminotransferaselevel40IU/L.

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    Appendix Table 4. Harms: Triple Therapy With Boceprevir or Telaprevir With Pegylated Interferon, and Ribavirin versus Dual

    Therapy With Pegylated Interferon Alfa-2b Plus Ribavirin

    Outcome Relative Risk (95 CI);I2, %

    Pooled Event Rates (95 CI), % Risk Difference(95 CI),percentage points

    Trials, n (References)

    Intervention 1 Intervention 2

    Dual therapy with pegylated interferon

    -2b plusribavirin vs. dual therapy with pegylatedinterferon -2a plus ribavirin*

    Serious adverse events 0.76 (0.61 to 0.95); 0 4.7 (0 to 1.3) 6.3 (0 to 17) 1.0 (3.8 to 1.8) 2 (21, 29)

    Withdrawal due to adverse events 1.1 (0.73 to 1.7); 42 7.7 (2.9 to 13) 6.6 (1.7 to 12) 0.8 (2.0 to 3.6) 6 (21, 23, 25, 2830)

    Neutropenia 0.61 (0.46 to 0.83); 38 9.9 (4.5 to 15) 15 (7.4 to 22) 3.0 (6.1 to 0.0) 5 (21, 23, 24, 28, 29)

    Anemia 0.97 (0.72 to 1.3); 64 26 (5.7 to 47) 24 (7.0 to 42) 0.9 (3.9 to 5.7) 4 (21, 23, 28, 29)

    Thrombocytopenia 0.87 (0.59 to 1.3); 0 8.8 (1.1 to 16) 10 (1.7 to 19) 0.9 (3.1 to 1.2) 3 (23, 28, 29)

    Depression 1.1 (0.92 to 1.2); 0 12 (0 to 25) 12 (2.2 to 23) 0.6 (1.9 to 3.1) 3 (21, 23, 28)

    Fatigue 1.0 (0.96 to 1.1); 7 55 (40 to 69) 57 (48 to 66) 0.9 (3.7 to 5.6) 3 (21, 23, 28)

    Influenza-like symptoms 0.98 (0.85 to 1.1) 62 (56 to 68) 63 (57 to 70) 1.1 (10 to 8.0) 2 (29, 57)

    Headache 1.1 (1.1 to 1.2); 0 30 (7.2 to 53) 29 (10 to 47) 3.7 (1.6 to 9.0) 3 (21, 23, 28)

    Myalgia 1.1 (0.86 to 1.5); 33 18 (7.2 to 30) 18 (12 to 24) 1.9 (3.8 to 7.5) 3 (21, 23, 28)

    Rash 0.79 (0.71 to 0.88); 0 39 (5.4 to 72) 49 (7.5 to 90) 7.6 (14 to 1.2) 2 (21, 28)

    Triple therapy with boceprevir vs. dual therapyfor 48 wk

    Serious adverse events 1.4 (0.93 to 2.2) 12 (8.9 to 16) 8.5 (5.7 to 11) 3.8 (0.7 to 8.2) 1 (22)Withdrawal due to adverse events 1.1 (0.77 to 1.4); 0 13 (5.3 to 20) 12 (4.1 to 20) 0.8 (3.5 to 5.2) 2 (22, 55)

    Neutropenia 1.8 (1.5 to 2.3); 0 33 (29 to 38) 18 (14 to 22) 15 (9.8 to 21) 2 (22, 55)

    Anemia 2.0 (1.4 to 2.8); 0 25 (0 to 67) 12 (0 to 34) 12 (18 to 41) 2 (22, 55)

    Thrombocytopenia 3.2 (1.2 to 8.2); 0) 3.8 (2.1 to 5.6) 1.4 (0.2 to 2.6) 2.8 (0.8 to 4.8) 2 (22, 55)

    Depression 0.87 (0.65 to 1.2) 19 (15 to 23) 22 (18 to 26) 2.9 (8.7 to 2.9) 1 (22)

    Fatigue 1.1 (0.82 to 1.5); 83 64 (50 to 77) 59 (54 to 63) 5.9 (12 to 2.4) 2 (22, 55)

    Influenza-like symptoms 0.80 (0.58 to 1.1); 27 19 (11 to 27) 25 (21 to 29) 4.7 (10 to 1.0) 2 (22, 55)

    Headache 1.1 (0.96 to 1.3); 0 48 (42 to 54) 42 (38 to 47) 4.7 (1.6 to 11) 2 (22, 55)

    Myalgia 0.97 (0.76 to 1.2) 25 (21 to 30) 26 (21 to 30) 0.8 (7.1 to 5.6) 1 (22)

    Rash 1.1 (0.81 to 1.4) 24 (20 to 28) 23 (18 to 27) 1.2 (5.0 to 7.3) 1 (22)

    Dysgeusia 2.5 (2.0 to 3.2); 0 35 (20 to 50) 13 (4.6 to 22) 23 (17 to 29) 2 (22, 55)

    Triple therapy with telaprevir for 24 weeks vs.dual therapy for 48 wk

    Serious adverse events 1.0 (0.50 to 2.0) 16 (8.1 to 24) 16 (7.9 to 24) 0.2 (11 to 11) 1 (56)

    Withdrawal due to adverse events 1.1 (0.45 to 2.6); 60 15 (10 to 20) 14 (0 to 29) 1.0 (11 to 13) 2 (56, 57)

    Neutropenia 0.81 (0.51 to 1.3); 53 41 (0 to 94) 48 (0.4 to 96) 7.7 (17 to 1.5) 2 (57, 58)

    Anemia 1.3 (1.1 to 1.5); 0 52 (6.4 to 97) 39 (6.5 to 71) 13 (5.8 to 21) 3 (5658)

    Thrombocytopenia 1.8 (1.2 to 2.5) 64 (56 to 73) 36 (25 to 48) 28 (13 to 42) 1 (57)

    Depression 1.0 (0.66 to 1.6); 0 21 (14 to 27) 20 (14 to 26) 0.4 (8.4 to 9.3) 2 (56, 58)

    Fatigue 0.96 (0.74 to 1.2); 53 51 (26 to 76) 54 (29 to 78) 2.5 (15 to 9.8) 3 (56, 58)

    Influenza-like symptoms 0.87(0.63 to 1.2); 50 35 (15 to 55) 40 (24 to 56) 5.1 (16 to 5.7) 3 (5658)

    Headache 0.83 (0.69 to 1.0); 0 42 (36 to 48) 52 (43 to 61) 8.8 (18 to 0.01) 3 (5658)

    Myalgia 0.76 (0.43 to 1.3); 57 18 (7.4 to 28) 23 (17 to 28) 5.4 (15 to 4.4) 3 (56, 58)

    Rash 1.4 (1.1 to 1.7); 0 49 (36 to 61) 35 (28 to 42) 14 (5.0 to 22) 3 (5658)

    RR, relative risk.* Intervention 1: interferon -2b; intervention 2: interferon -2a. Intervention 1: triple therapy with pegylated interferon and ribavirin for 48 wk with boceprevir from weeks 5 to 24; intervention 2: dual therapy for 48 wk. Intervention 1: triple therapy with telaprevir, pegylated interferon -2, and ribavirin for 12 wk followed by dual therapy for 12 wk; intervention 2: dual therapy for 48 wk.

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