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Challenges for the Aeronautical Industry Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015 Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015 Axel FLAIG Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS

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Page 1: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

Challenges for the Aeronautical Industry Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Axel FLAIG

Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS

Page 2: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Content

Page 2

• Business Opportunities

• Challenges and Paradigm Shifts

• Airbus Strategy

• Technologies & Future Configurations

• Development and Industrialization Process

• Boosting Innovation and Technology Development

Page 3: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Airbus aircraft are a familiar sight around the world

Presence

- An Airbus takes off

or lands every

2 seconds

15,979+ Aircraft sold

60 Produced monthly

25,000+ Daily flights

9,282 Delivered

September 2015

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Page 3

Page 4: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Meet the Airbus family from 100 to 500+ seats

The Airbus Family

A320 Family A330 Family A350 XWB A380

The market leader The right aircraft, right now The Xtra that makes a difference Own the sky

Page 4

Page 5: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation drives our global economy

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Growth

- Air traffic doubles

every 15 years

58million

Jobs supported

50million

Tonnes of freight

3billion

Passengers

$2.4trillion

Global GDP annually

Source: ATAG 2014

Page 5

Page 6: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

What are the market opportunities?

Traffic will double in the next 15 years

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

1,550

22,927

Potential for more than 32,600 deliveries in the next 20 years

20-year General Market Forecast

8,108

32,585 new aircraft

Page 6

Passenger Transport Demand evolution

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032

Air traffic has doubled

every 15 years

Airbus GMF 2015ICAO total traffic

Source: ICAO, Airbus

World annual RPK (trillion)

4.6%

2014-2034

x2

Page 7: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Smart & Efficient mobility

Reduce Environmental impact

What are the key challenges?

Page 7

Strengthen European leadership

Page 8: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

More and more Aviation Mega Cities ….

New challenges or new opportunities?

Page 8

91 Mega cities

2034 forecast

Typical Mega City demography:

More than 10 Million people; Up to 400 Nm wide

Potential new market for regional transport

Source: WWW

Page 9: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Customer needs are changing

New challenges or new opportunities?

Page 9

Typical ram-up curve…

INDIGO 530

AIRASIA 475

LUFTHANSA 469

EASYJET 415

US AIRWAYS 261

A320 customers….

(total orders)

Industrial ramp-up and maturity

CEAS, 7th September 2015 Delft

2012 2013

Flight TestDevelopment Customer deliveries

A350 production ramp-up

2014 2015 2016 2017

Rate 1

Rate 2

To Rate 10

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Page 10: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

What do we need to stay competitive?

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Reduce cost (RC and NRC) & Leadtime

• Improve performances

(aerodynamic, weight, propulsion)

• Increase cabin productivity

Increase Customer Value

• Non Recurrent Cost (development process)

• Recurrent cost (manufacturing)

Page 10

Page 11: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Derivatives

Efficiency New products

2050 2010 2030

The AIRBUS strategy

Incremental

Innovation

Disruptive

Concepts

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Balance between incremental and breakthrough

Page 11

Page 12: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Strategic roadmaps: Ultra efficient engines

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Ultra efficient engines

Advanced

turbofan Hybrid propulsion

Long-term Mid-term Short-term

CROR

Page 12

Page 13: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Strategic roadmaps: Aerodynamic efficiency

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Aerodynamic efficiency

Sharklet Future concepts

Long-term Mid-term Short-term

Laminar flow

Riblets

Page 13

Page 14: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Strategic roadmaps: More efficient operations

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

More Efficient operations

Long-term Mid-term Short-term

Innovative

cockpit Formation flight

Future ATM

Green trajectories

Page 14

Page 15: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Strategic roadmaps: Systems and avionics

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Systems and avionics

Long-term Mid-term Short-term

More

Electrical Aircraft

Integrated Modular

Avionic 2nd Generation

E-taxi

Page 15

Page 16: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Strategic roadmaps: Advanced materials & manufacturing

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Advanced material

Long-term Mid-term Short-term

Composite &

metallic

technologies

Termoplastic

Dry fibber

Out of autoclave CFRP

Page 16

Electrical Network

Printing

Page 17: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Strategic roadmaps: Innovative structures

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Innovative structures

Long-term Mid-term Short-term

ALM

Bionic

structure

Page 17

Fully integrated

fuselage

Page 18: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

New Paradigm for Development and Industrialization

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Seamless Digital Development and Industrialization process

Page 18

Detailed Digital A/C

Virtual Testing

Model based

Muti-disciplinary Optimization

& Component Design

Virtual Product Development Digital Factory

Page 19: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Boosting Innovation

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Page 19

SPRINTs

Technologies

Speed and ambition SPRINTs

Business needs

Accelerated techno

maturation

Pull for

innovative ideas

Universities

REs

Suppliers

Page 20: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Summary

• Growing global business potentials for the European Aeronautical Industry.

• Minimizing environmental impact and overcoming congestion on ground and air

are key for sustaining the growth.

• Production rates beyond 50 A/C per month are changing the entire industrial system

incl. supply chain.

• Airbus follows a 2 fold strategy for maximizing customer value and competitiveness

of existing products while preparing the next “Game-changer”.

• New propulsion systems will open the design space for novel configurations.

• Significant increase in effort & resources are required for wider exploration and

maturation of break-through technologies & novel configurations.

• A seamlessly integrated “Virtual Development and Industrialization Process”

shortens development time and secures steep ramp-up of production.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Page 20

Page 21: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

Make Technology Fly

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Page 22: Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS - FFG · 07/09/2015 · Head of Research & Technology AIRBUS ... Integrated Modular Avionic 2nd Generation ... A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321,

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document.

Aviation Forum, Vienna 2015

© AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. All rights reserved. Confidential and proprietary document. This document and all information contained herein is the sole property of AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. No intellectual property rights are granted by the delivery of this document

or the disclosure of its content. This document shall not be reproduced or disclosed to a third party without the express written consent of AIRBUS Operations S.A.S. This document and its content shall not be used for any purpose other than that for which it is

supplied. The statements made herein do not constitute an offer. They are based on the mentioned assumptions and are expressed in good faith. Where the supporting grounds for these statements are not shown, AIRBUS Operations S.A.S will be pleased to

explain the basis thereof. AIRBUS, its logo, A300, A310, A318, A319, A320, A321, A330, A340, A350, A380, A400M are registered trademarks.

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