hamburg tourism monitor facts, figures & trends 2009 · in 2009 swiss visitors to hamburg were,...
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Hamburg Tourism MonitorFacts, Figures & Trends 2009
2 3
Contents
6 National and international tourism trends
12 Tourism in Hamburg: an overview
18 Hamburg and its competitors
24 Tourism: an economic factor in Hamburg
28 Hamburg Metropolitan Region
32 Looking to the future
36 Monitoring Hamburg’s tourism
38 Sources, partners, imprint
Contents and editorial
Hamburg’s powerful appeal creates added value
Tourism is hugely important for Hamburg’s economy and an en-
gine of employment. The industry gives jobs to 102,000 people
and generates an annual turnover of €6.6 bn. In 2009 alone 4.37
million visitors and 8.19 million overnight stays added up to a 6%
increase on 2008 – and a clear token of affection for Hamburg.
Besides such hard facts and key infrastructural factors such as
direct flights to and from Hamburg, without which tourism can-
not develop, emotions and values play a very important role in
the tourism business. Visitors are attracted by the Hamburgers’
affection for their city and immediately fall in love with the place.
As a result, Hamburg regularly occupies one of the top spots in
likeability leagues. Such empathy has enormous power and
opens up excellent opportunities to position Hamburg interna-
tionally as a metropolis that is well worth living in and an attrac-
tive location for business. This makes tourism the most direct
and emotional means of marketing the city. Together with our
partners we want to take advantage of this powerful appeal. And
we have a clear goal: 11 million overnights stays forecast for
2015 – and that would take Hamburg into Europe’s top ten of
most-visited cities.
Dietrich von AlbedyllManaging Director Hamburg Tourismus GmbH
Kapitel
4
Kapitel
5
Hamburg bucks the trend: growth in a recession
6 7
National and international tourism trends
880 million international arrivals were recorded in 2009. After five years of growth, tourism worldwide declined by 4.3% from the previous year’s figure as a result of the global financial and economic crisis.
Source: UNWTO 2010 (1)
Development of global tourism 2001-2009
01
0
200
100
400
300
600
500
800
700
1000
900
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Development of global tourism 2001-2009
682 702 692763
805850
908 924880
In 2009 the recession triggered off a decline in tourism worldwide. Particularly in the first few months of the year there were significantly fewer international arrivals than in previous years. The second half of the year, however, saw a slight recovery. In Germany as a whole, international arrivals fell by 2.7%.
8 9
National and international tourism trends
5
0
35
20
25
30
15
10
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Germans ForeignersOvernight stays (m)
International arrivals 2009
Market Arrivals (m)Change on prev. year Global share
World 880 -4.3% 100.0%
Europe 460 -5.6% 52%
Asia-Pacific 181 -1.9% 21%
Americas 140 -5.1% 16%
Africa 48 +5.1% 6%
Middle East 53 -5.6% 6%
Source: Federal Statistics Office 2010 (2)
Source: UNWTO 2010 (1)
In 2009 Europe suffered the biggest drop in international ar-rivals – a fall of 5.6% or some 20 million fewer visitors. The decline for the Americas was 5.1% or some 7 million interna-tional visitors.
Despite the recession, Germany’s tourist industry almost maintained its high level of overnights stays in 2009 (-0.3%). A 3% fall in overnight stays by international visitors was virtu-ally offset by a constantly high number of overnight stays by Germans themselves.
Trends in overnight stays in Germany: 2001-2009
03
Trends in global tourism by continents
02
10 11
Overnight stays in Hamburg rise to 8.19 million
12 13
Tourism in Hamburg: an overview
Tourism in Hamburg has been recording above-average growth rates for years. The number of overnight stays rose by 70% from 2001 to 2009. Even in 2009, a year of global recession, the number rose by a further 6% to 8.19 mil-lion. And Hamburg remained the engine of growth for Hamburg Metropolitan Region.
Hamburg’s economic and population growth is higher than the average figure for other German cities.
Sources: North German Statistics Office 2010 (3), Federal Employment Office 2010 (4)
Hamburg: economic indicators 04
1,778,120
�€ 89.6 bn
8.6% 755.3 km2
1,124,500
Hamburg: economic indicators
Unemployment rate (ø 2009)
Population (June 2009)
GDP (2008)
Area
Gainfully employed (2009)
14 15
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (5)
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (5)
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (5)
4.4 million visitors and 8.2 million overnight stays add up to an increase of 462,524 overnight stays, or 6% more than the previous year.
Hamburg tourism in 2009 06
In 2009 Hamburg’s tourism industry saw the eighth consecu-tive rise in overnight stays to a new record of 8.19 million. Between 2001 and 2009 the number of German visitors rose by 77% and of foreigners by 54%. Around 20% of all overnight stays in Hamburg are booked by non-Germans.
The summer months – and in particular July, August and September – are when most tourists come to Hamburg. The absolute record came in August 2009 with some 850,000 overnight stays.
Overnight stays in Hamburg by season: 2007-2009
07
Overnight stays in Hamburg: 2001-2009
05
Tourism in Hamburg: an overview
2
0
10
8
6
4
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Germans ForeignersOvernight stays (m)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
800
900
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2007 2008 2009Monthly overnight stays (000s)
Arrivals and overnight stays in Hamburg 2009
Arrivals Overnight stays
2009 2009/08 2009 2009/08
No. Change No. Change
Foreigners 806,275 +5.4% 1,655,138 +2.7%
Germans 3,561,446 +6.3% 6,535,007 +6.9%
Total 4,367,721 +6.1% 8,190,145 +6.0%
16 17
Tourism in Hamburg: an overview
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (5)
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (5)
In 2009 Swiss visitors to Hamburg were, for the first time, the strongest foreign contingent with 163,000 overnight stays. Switzerland was followed by the UK and Austria. In a year of global recession Hamburg recorded more overnight stays, in particular from neighbouring countries in Europe, e.g. Swit-zerland, Austria and Denmark. The countries with declining numbers included the UK (-8.1%), which had traditionally been Hamburg’s No. 1.
Trends in foreign visitors to Hamburg in 2009
08
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
10,000
0
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Beds available and occupancy rate Occupancy rate (%)
44.447.0
50.251.7
55.8 56.053.8 53.2
48.8
The number of hotel beds in Hamburg rose again in 2009. Be-tween 2001 and 2009 the number increased by 50%, or around 14,000 beds. Despite this growth, the occupancy rate remained high at 53.2% in 2009.
Beds available and occupancy rates: 2001-2009
09
20
0
40
60
80
140
120
100
160
180 163158 157
135128
9490
65 5953
4135 34 31 28 28 27 27
+13.
4%
-8.1
%
+13.
9%
+15.
7%
-0.4
%
+4.2
%
+15.
2%
+15.
6%
+1.3
%
-3.9
%
-12.
7%
-25.
1%
-3.8
%
-9.9
%
+9.9
%
-5.1
%
-6.6
%
Overnight stays by country of origin (000s)
+3.3
%
Sw
itze
rlan
d
UK
Au
stri
a
Den
mar
k
US
A
Net
her
lan
ds
Fran
ce
Sp
ain
Ital
y
Sw
eden
Ru
ssia
Ch
ina
No
rway
Gu
lf S
tate
s
Bel
giu
m
Jap
an
Po
lan
d
Fin
lan
d
18 19
Hamburg and its competitors
A Europe-wide comparison of overnight stays in the recession year of 2009 reveals that Hamburg, Berlin and Barcelona were the three fastest-growing cities. Hamburg expanded its share of the German market and narrowed the gap on Munich, the second most popular city after Berlin.
In absolute terms Hamburg is in third place after Berlin and Munich and ahead of Frankfurt and Cologne. A long-term com-parison of the top five cities shows that in terms of the total number of overnight stays, Hamburg is catching up on Munich and widening the gap on Frankfurt and Cologne. Hamburg and Berlin were the only top five cities that increased their market shares in recent years. The five biggest cities account for more than 12% of all overnight stays in Germany.
Source: State Statistics Offices 2010 (6)
Overnight stays in Germany’s five biggest cities: 2001-2009
10
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2
0
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Overnight stays in the top five cities (m)
Berlin
Munich
Hamburg
Frankfurt
Cologne
20 21
Source: dwif 2010 (7)
Source: State Statistics Offices 2010 (6)
Source: dwif 2010 (7)
A similar picture emerges if we compare European cities. Few were able to grow significantly in 2009. Berlin, Hamburg and Barcelona top the table with growth rates of around 6%.
Development of overnight stays in Europe in 2009
12
Despite the recession, Berlin and Hamburg again managed to grow their overnight business by some 6% in 2009. Cities with higher percentages of foreign tourists and business travellers, e.g. Frankfurt or Düsseldorf, suffered a decline in overnight stays.
Hamburg is 13th in the European city tourism table. But in 2009 Hamburg caught up significantly on the two cities ahead of it in the table through an increase of some 400,000 overnight stays.
Overnight stays in European cities in 2009 13
Development of overnight stays in German cities in 2009
11
Hamburg and its competitors
Trends in overnight stays in Germany: 2008-2009 (%)
Berlin
Hamburg
Dresden
Leipzig
Munich
Hannover*
Frankfurt*
Cologne
Düsseldorf
Stuttgart-8% -6% -4% -2% 0 2% 4% 6%
6.2 %
6.0 %
2.0 %
1.3 %
0.6 %
-2.5 %
-3.5 %
-4.1 %
-4.2 %
-8.3 %
18.9 m
total
*Jan.–Nov. 2009
8.2 m
3.3 m
1.9 m
9.9 m
1.7 m
4.9 m
4.1 m
3.2 m
2.7 m
Trends in overnight stays in Europe: 2008-2009 (%)
Barcelona
Stockholm*
Amsterdam**
Paris
Vienna
Copenhagen*
Prague***
Budapest
-10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6%
6%
3.6%
0.7%
* Jan.–Nov. 2009, **Jan.–Oct. 2009, *** Jan.–Sept. 2009
-3.5%
-3.8%
-6.2%
-9.6%
-10.2%
Lond
on3
Paris1
Dublin
2,4
Berlin
Rome2
Mad
rid1
Barce
lona1
Pragu
e
Mun
ich
Vienna
Amst
erda
m1
Edinbu
rgh2,
4
Hamburg
Mila
n1,
4
Stock
holm
Lisbo
n
Budap
est
Bruss
els4
Flore
nce1
Copen
hage
n
Overnight stays in Europe: 2009 (m)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
40
8.2
1only hotels2all paid-for accommodation3incl. very small establishments and outlying districts42008 figures
as per 17.2.10
71.7
33.9
19.8
18.9
18.6
13.7
12.3
11.0
9.9
9.8
8.4
8.3
7.3
6.3
5.6
5.4
5.2
5.1
4.4
22 23
Turnover from tourism in 2009: €6.6 bn
24 25
Tourism: an economic factor in Hamburg
Tourism is one of Hamburg’s most important in-dustries. The turnover generated in 2009 alone was €6.6 bn, or 3.72% of Hamburg’s GDP. As a classic cross-sectoral industry, tourism safe-guards turnover and jobs in the hotel and cater-ing industry, the retail trade and other service industries in Hamburg.
On average, around 365,000 people visit Hamburg every day
and generate a daily turnover of €18.1 million. Tourism is not just a source of turnover but also a powerful job generator. The gross income from tourism safeguards around 100,000 jobs in Hamburg (full-time equivalents).
Source: Deloitte, HWWI 2010 (8)
Tourism’s contribution to Hamburg’s economy – an overview
148.2 m (commercial) à €173 = €1.415 bn
11.0 m (private) à €44 = €484 m
19.2 m overnight stays
€ 1.899 bn
22 m (business) à €30 = � € 660 m
91.8 m (private) à € 44 = � €4.039 bn
113.8 m day trips
€ 4.699 bn
133 m days stayed p.a.
€ 6.6 bn gross turnover
Around 365,000 visitors and a turnover of €18.1 m per day
102,000 persons employed in Hamburg (full-time equivalents)
Overnight stays Daily trips
26 27
Source: dwif 2008 (9)
Source: Deloitte, HWWI 2010 (8), dwif 2008 (9)
The gross turnover generated by tourism in Hamburg is divided up among various industries. Around 45% of the turnover is accounted for by the retail trade, which profits most from Ham-burg’s tourism, while some 28% comes from the gastronomy sector.
Turnover by industry 16
Around 114 million day visitors a year are an extremely signifi-cant factor for Hamburg’s economy. Add this to the 19.2 million overnight stays and you end up with an annual figure of some 133 million days stayed. Around 85% of this is accounted for by day visitors; or put differently, for every overnight stay in Hamburg there are 15 day trips. This ratio is reflected in the turnover figures with over 72% of turnover generated by day visitors.
Days stayed and turnover by market segments
15
Tourism: an economic factor in Hamburg
Turnover (%)
Services
Gastronomy
Retail trade
Hotels
27.9
44.8
17.5
9.8
Business day trips
Private day trips
Overnight stays in private accommodation
Overnight stays in commercial establishments
16.2%
69.6%
8.2%
6.0%
9.9%
62.4%
7.3%
20.4%
Days stayed and turnover
133 m days € 6.6 bn
28 29
Hamburg Metropolitan Region
Tourism in Hamburg Metropolitan Region has been a success story since the mid-80s. With an annual total of some 18.5 million overnight stays and a gross turnover of around €257 mil-lion, tourism is a pillar of the region’s economy and a significant engine of growth.
Hamburg Metropolitan Region is made up of the City of Hamburg, six rural districts in Schleswig-Holstein and eight in Lower Saxony, covering an area about the size of the US state of New Jersey.
Hamburg Metropolitan Region 17
Dithmarschen
Steinburg Segeberg
Lüchow-DannenbergUelzen
Soltau-Fallingbostel
Rothenburg
Harburg
Hamburg
Lüneburg
Stade
Cuxhaven
StormarnPinneberg
Herzogtum-Lauenburg
Ludwigslust
Rural districts in the Metropolitan Region
30 31
Source: Deloitte, HWWI 2010 (8)
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (10), Lower Saxony State Office for Statistics and Communications Technology 2010 (11)
Source: North German Statistics Office 2010 (3)
A 2% increase in overnight stays in 2009 maintained the positive trend in the Metropolitan Region since 2004. The motor of this growth in 2009 was once again Hamburg, which compensated for the slight fall in overnight stays in the rest of the Region (-0.8%).
Development of overnight stays in Hamburg Metropolitan Region: 2001-2008
19
Hamburg Metropolitan Region is one of the most competitive regions in Germany and Europe. With its 4.3 million inhabit-ants the Metropolitan Region is the economic centre of North Germany.
Tourism generates an annual turnover of €9.7 bn in Hamburg Metropolitan Region. Half comes from day visitors, the other from those who stay overnight. The gross income from tour-ism safeguards around 150,000 jobs in the Region (full-time equivalents).
Tourism’s contribution to the Metropolitan Region’s economy
20
Economic indicators for Hamburg Metropolitan Region
18
Hamburg Metropolitan Region
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
HH Metropol. Region w/o HH Metrop. Region w. HHOvernight stays (000s)
0
4000
8000
12000
16000
16
12
8
4
20000
w/o camping
18.4 m (comm. accom.) €2.127 bn
36.0 m (small est. & private) €1.147 bn
54.4 m overnight stays € 3.345 bn
32.0 m (business) €842 m
170.3 m (private) €5.552 bn
202.3 m day trips € 6.394 bn
256.7 m days stayed p.a. € 9.7 bn gross turnover
Around 704,000 visitors and a turnover of € 26.7 m per day
150,000 persons employed in the Metropolitan Region (full-time equivalents)
Overnight stays Daily trips
Economic indicators – Metropolitan Region 2008
Area 19,802.35 km2
Population 4,286,123
Change in population since 2000 (%) 2.6
Gainfully employed (2007) 2,087,800
Unemployment rate (%) 7.8
GDP (€m) 144,478
Incoming commuters 170,549
Outgoing commuters 148,119
32 33
Looking to the future
Despite increasingly frequent cyclic crises, tourism is expected to grow in years to come – both worldwide and in Hamburg. As an eco-nomic factor and job generator, tourism will become considerably more important.
Source: UNWTO 2010 (12)
The UNWTO forecasts around 1.6 billion international arrivals worldwide in 2020 – twice as many as in 2000.
UNWTO forecast for international tourist arrivals in 2020
21
2000 2020
2000 2020Africa
2000 2020
2000 2020
x3
x3.5
2000 2020Asia
AmericasArab countries
Forecast of international arrivals in 2020
Europe
x2
x2.5 x4
34 35
Source: Deloitte, HWWI 2010 (8)
Source: Deloitte, HWWI 2010 (8)
The gross turnover generated by overnight stays and day trips
to Hamburg may rise from €6.6 bn in 2009 to some €9 bn in 2020. By today’s estimates that would mean tax revenues of
€629 million and up to 140,000 jobs generated by tourism.
The forecasts for 2015 range from 9.9–11.4 million overnight stays and by 2020 experts expect something in the range of 11.7–13.5 million.
Overall economic impact 2009-2020 23
Two forecasts of tourism growth in Hamburg to 2020
22
Looking to the future
Forecast of overnight stays in Hamburg (m)
1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 20142010 2012 2016 2018 2020
2
0
4
6
8
10
12
14
Scenario II
Scenario I
11.7
13.5
8.2
Cruise Center AltonaHafenCityElbphilharmonieGreen Capital
Int. Horticultural ShowInt. Construction Exhibition
Overall economic impact 2009-2020
2009 2015 2020
Gross turnover (€m) 6,598 7,858 9,096
Share of GDP 3.72% 4.03% 4.34%
No. of employees 101,867 121,308 140,425
Tax revenues (€m) 456 543 629
3736
Hamburg Tourism Monitor The Hamburg Tourism Monitor (HTM) is a service provided by Hamburg Tourismus. In close collaboration with various partners, HTM helps to boost the success of firms involved in Hamburg’s tourism industry through information and recom-mendations. This is due not least to the fact that marketing, investment and subsidy decisions can be taken on the basis of sound data. Besides, HTM encourages networking among the various industries and players involved in the tourism business. HTM delivers the latest information on tourism in Hamburg in a clearly arranged and concise form. It monitors trends and developments, facts and figures, benchmarks and best-practice examples. This service is not only for internal use but can also be called upon by external target groups, including partner organisations in Hamburg or elsewhere, public authorities and institutions, hotels and other service providers in the city. Busi-ness consultants, investors, universities, institutes and stu-dents can also be granted access to selected data.
For further details of the Hamburg Tourism Monitor and its find-ings please refer to: www.hamburg-tourismus.de/tourismus-monitoring
Up-to-date statistics and other tourism-related information are also available on the Hamburg Tourismus website.
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Hamburg Tourism MonitorFacts, Figures & Trends 2009
3938
Sources
1 UNWTO World Tourism Organization, World Tourism Barometer 1/2010 (2010)
2 Federal Statistics Office, monthly accommodation figures, 2001-2009 (2010)
3 North German Statistics Office, www.statistik-nord.de (2010)
4 Federal Employment Office, www.pub-arbeitsagentur.de (2010)
5 North German Statistics Office, monthly accommodation figures for Hamburg, 2001-2009 (2010)
6 State Statistics Offices, monthly accommodation figures, 2001-2009 (2010)
7 dwif, European Ranking of Top 20 Cities in 2008 and 2009 (2010)
8 Deloitte, HWWI, Tourism as an Economic Factor in Hamburg Metropolitan Region – Forecasts for 2015 and 2020 (2010)
9 dwif, Tourism as an Economic Factor in Hamburg Metropolitan Region (2008)
10 North German Statistics Office, monthly accommodation figures for Schleswig-Holstein, 2001-2009 (2010)
11 Lower Saxony State Office for Statistics and Communications Technology, monthly accommodation figures, 2001-2009 (2010)
12 UNWTO, www.unwto.org (2010)
Sources, partners, imprint
The Hamburg Tourism Monitor is made possi-ble by the support of five premium partners:
Hamburg Tourismus GmbH
Monitoring & Consulting
Design and execution
boy | Strategie und Kommunikation GmbH, Kiel
Photos
Hamburg Marketing GmbH, www.media-server.hamburg.de
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Imprint
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40
Hamburg Tourismus GmbH
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E-mail: [email protected]
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