fp7 fupol project – innovation in policy science

IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic

FP7 FUPOL Project – Innovation in Policy

Science

Egils Ginters, Artis Aizstrauts, Dace Aizstrauta, Ieva Lauberte, Sociotechnical Systems Engineering Institute, Vidzeme University of Applied Sciences, Valmiera, Latvia, e-mail: {egils.ginters, artis.aizstrauts, dace.aizstrauta, ieva.lauberte}@va.lv

Miquel Angel Piera Eroles, Roman Buil, Dept. de Telecomunicacio i Enginyeria de Sistemes, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain, e-mail: [email protected]

Peter Sonntagbauer, Susanne Sonntagbauer, Cellent AG, Ziegelofengasse 33, 1050 Vienna, Austria, email: [email protected]

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FUPOL: EC FP7-ICT-2011-7 IP project Nr. 287119 (2011-2014) “Future Policy Modelling (IP)”

– Preliminary assessment of potential results of political decisions gives possibility to avoid of voluntary decision making what could make important loses for economy. The aim of the FUPOL project is elaboration of the new methods granting direct and convenient access to modelling tools for politicians.

– Project Coordinator: CELLENT AG (Austria)

IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic2

FP7 Research Project 2011 – 2015 with a budget of 9,0 Mio EUR

17 Partners from Austria, Croatia, China, Cyprus, France, Germany, Latvia, Romania and Spain

Good balance of international ICT companies, universities and political

Institutions

FUPOL: FACTS AND FIGURES

IISE 2013, April 8-9, CBUNI, Prague, Czech Republic 3

FOCUS: URBAN POLICY DOMAINS

Land Use

Transport

Immigration

Economic development

Tourism

Urban segregation

Housing


Scenarios, Simulation

Stakeholder Involvement

„Hot“ Topic sensing

POLICY DESIGN PROCESS

Automatically collection, analysis and interpretation opinions expressed on a large scale from the Internet – input data for policy use case modelling and simulation

Involving Stakeholders and respecting their opinions through Multichannel social computing and crowd sourcing change the way how politicians communicate with citizens

Transparency of decisions: Simulation shows the effects of potential policies and laws


Data Sources: EUROSTAT, Corine, Internet, Social Media, Local data

Use Case Requirements: Beneficiaries (European and Chinese cities)

Policy Modelling: FCM and CPN

FUPOL Simulator: ABM/MAS and SD (Repast Symphony) (OSS)

Visualisation: SemaVIS (Fraunhofer)

Integration: ESB (Mule)


METHOODLOGY

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Politicians can get a better understanding of the needs of citizens and businesses

Direct and better feedback through multichannel social network based communication between politicians and citizens

Improved prediction of impacts of policy measures leading to more efficient implementation of government policies

Better decisions through forecasting of the potential impact of political decisions

FUPOL – BENEFITS FOR ALL


FUPOL SIMULATOR ARCHITECTURE


Heterogeneous Multi-level simulation – ABM/MAS and SD

Distributed simulation models – Easy Communication Environment (ECE)

On Web Services based SOA approach

Ready for Future Internet and/or Cloud

Open Source Software

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SUSTAINABILITY OF FUPOL APPROACH


The Integrated Acceptance and Sustainability Assessment Model (IASAM) introduces a new approach for evaluation of technologies at any chosen point of time of the technology life cycle, by combining socio-economical aspects and socio-technical characteristics of technology development and exploitation

• First Step: IASAM model involves Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) (Venkatesh, 2003) for acceptance assessment

• Second Step: IASAM system dynamics simulation model

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IASAM USE FOR SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSSMENT


IASAM consists of four groups of flows that have an impact on integrated technology acceptance and sustainability:

Management – successful management of every asset

Quality of technology – quality of the product, quality of production, including supporting services

Acceptance and economical context

Domain development – the impact of domain and societal development

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CONCLUSIONS


• Policy modelling is complex task due to huge amount of important influencing factors comprised. Sometime decisions are intuitive, voluntary and wrong. To change the situation FP7 FUPOL project develops new approach which is based on innovative solutions comprising advanced semantic search methods, data mining, and simulation and visualising technologies granting possibilities for policy decision makers to verify their decisions before introduction in real life

• FUPOL simulator ensures simultaneously running of heterogeneous use case models enhancing performance of simulation session. Belonging to open source software group, and granting multilingual support spread potential users’ network reducing errors in software and policy decision making. SOA enhances integration with other decision making and service tools.

• The policy modelling and simulation approach will be further developed introducing relationships between simulation model and FCM, where FCM will be used for simulation driver’s weight assessment and correction. The sustainability research will be adjusted and updated.

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• Thank you for attention


FP7 FUPOL Project – Innovation in Policy Science

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fp7 fupol project – innovation in policy science

Documents

czech republicfupol

czech republicpoliticians

czech republicmethoodlogy

czech republic scenarios

czech republic focus

figures iise

czech republicdata sources

policy use case modelling