fluxnet – scope, progress and challenges part ii: global up...

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FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up-scaling Markus Reichstein*, Martin Jung, Dario Papale C. Beer, N. Carvalhais, E. Tomelleri, N. Gobron *Biogeochemical ModelData Intregration Group, MaxPlanckInstitute for Biogeochemistry, Jena FLUXNET and Remote Sensing: Open workshop Berkeley, June 2011

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Page 1: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges

Part II: global up-scaling

Markus Reichstein*, Martin Jung, Dario PapaleC. Beer, N. Carvalhais, E. Tomelleri, N. Gobron

*Biogeochemical Model‐Data Intregration Group, Max‐Planck‐Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena

FLUXNET and Remote Sensing: Open workshopBerkeley, June 2011

Page 2: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

FLUXNET global network of sites: reprentativeness in different dimensions

Can we learn general relationships between fluxes, properties and drivers for „filling the gaps“?

Page 3: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

remote sensingof CO2

Tem

pora

l sca

le

Spatial scale [km]

hour

day

week

month

year

decade

century

local 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10 000 globalCountries EUplot/site

talltowerobser-

vatories

Gridded Forest/soil inventories

Eddycovariance

towers

Landsurface remote sensing

From point to globe via integration with remote sensing

Tree rings

Page 4: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

FLUXNET gridded products rationale:

(Direct) observations

(Free-running) C4-models

OfflineDGVM

Remote sensingmodels (CASA,

MOD17)

Empirical ‘models’

Assumptions about systemAssumptions about system

Observational inputObservational input

… be as much as possible on observational side!

Page 5: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Empirical upscaling methodology

fSite-level explanatory variables• Meteorology• Vegetation type• Remote sensing

indices

Target variableecosystem-atmosphere flux

The same gridded explanatory variables

Gridded targetvariable

Application

Temperature: CRU‐PIKPrecipitation: GPCPFPAR: harmonized AVHRR, SeaWIFS, MERIS productVegetation map: SYNMAP  

(Partly) overcomes site‐pecularities, point‐to‐grid scale mismatch and representativeness

with models....

Page 6: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

... and coffee(beer!) break...

Details:

Page 7: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

27 years of monthly global biosphere-atmopshere exchange @ 0.5°

Here: Gross primary productivity

Page 8: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Robust patterns...

Across space and time scales

Page 9: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Ensemble median map

GPP [gC m-2 yr-1]

Global estimation of terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP)

Global total: 123 +-8 Pg/yr

Light-use eff. ignores C4 veg (> 20 Pg)Beer et al. (2010), Science

Model treeensembles

AN

N

Semi-empirical

Wat

er-u

se

Ligh

t-use

eff.

Machine learning

PFT+

Clim

Page 10: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Latitudinal patterns of GPP as model constraint

Process models:CLM-CNLPJ-DGVMLPJmLSDGVMORCHIDEE

All 1° resolution or higher

Page 11: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Within-pixel and zonal representativeness: sites are at higher end!

95%75%50%25%5%

-ile of latitudinal band from up-scaling

-50 0 50Latitude

0

200

400

600

Mea

n m

onth

ly G

PP [g

C m

onth

-1m-2

]

0.5° pixel around siteLSQ spline through site pixels

+

SiteLSQ spline through sites

Page 12: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Precipitation control of productivity

Page 13: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Jung et al. (2010), Nature

Global evapotranspiration (ET): ca. 65 Eg yr‐1

Crossvalidation Indep. validation

Page 14: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Plausible ET decadal variability

1998-2008 ET and soil

moisture ‚trends‘

(from TRMM)

Page 15: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Improving models: CLM

Bonan et al. (2011)

Page 16: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Biosphere ‚properties‘

multivariate, synoptic view

Page 17: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Sensible heat (H)

Evap. fraction HLELE

AET/Precip

GPP

Water-use effic. (GPP/AET)

Energy-use effic. HLEGPP

Energy-flux related patterns Carbon-flux related patterns

Page 18: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Latitudinal functional biosphere patterns

0 1 2 3 4WUE [gC kg-1 water]

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

Lat

itud

e

0 1 2 3 4RainUE [gC kg-1 water]

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

Lat

itud

e0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

RadiationUE [gC MJ-1]

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

Lat

itud

e0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

AET/PET [mm mm-1]

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

Lat

itud

e

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0AET/Precip [mm mm-1]

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

Lat

itud

e

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5Evap. fraction [MJ MJ-1]

-90

-60

-30

0

30

60

90

Lat

itud

e

Water-use efficiency Rain-use efficiency

AET/PET AET/Precip Evaporative fraction

Radiation-use efficiency

Page 19: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Seasonal patternsAmplitude of mean seasonal cycle Max of mean seasonal cycle

Jung et al., JGR-Biogeo in press

Page 20: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

NEE interannual variability driven by GPP or TER?Correlative patterns

Jung et al., JGR‐Biogeo in review

from Sitch et al. (2008)

Page 21: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Now the ChOPs*…

* ChOP = Challenge and opportunity

Page 22: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

ChOP* I: Interannual variability and lag effects

* ChOP = Challenge and opportunity

Page 23: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Cross-validation across time-scales shows: room for improvement

• Missing predictors?

• Memory/lag effects?

• Noise in the data?

• need of cross-comparison of diverse approaches like TRANSCOM FLUXCOM proposal (Thu)

Page 24: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

ChOP* II: Local heterogeneity –matching pixel and footprint

* ChOP = Challenge and opportunity

Page 25: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Aerial photo

Spatial heterogeneity...

Landsat

MODIS

1 km

Page 26: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Chen et al. (2010) Ag For Met

Integration of footprint and high‐res remote sensing analysis !

Page 27: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

ChOP* III: Closing the global balance

* ChOP = Challenge and opportunity

Page 28: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

1 0 100 0 0 0 100 1 0

Challenge: closing the global balance

NEP16

TER105

‘our‘NBP

7

Fire, harvest,bgr. losses

9

Global land sink = ‘top-down‘ NBP

2

5 ?

Lagged disturbance...

... or just uncertainties?

2 Pg are ¼ layer of paper spread out ...(and 0.4‰ of global terrestrial stocks)

GPP121

all numbers in PgC yr-1

1. What can we do now given the available data?

2. What can we design in the future? 

Page 29: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

ChOP* IV: Synergy with atmospheric constraints

Use gridded fields and error correlations as priors for atmospheric inversion

Simultaneous CCDAS with models of different complexity

Page 30: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

The four ChOPs

1. Tackling interannual variability and NEE incl. lag effects (“right predictors”)

2. Addressing local heterogeneity (or even make use of it)

3. Closing the global balance (NBP incl. disturb)4. Integration with atmospheric observations

Page 31: FLUXNET – scope, progress and challenges Part II: global up ...nature.berkeley.edu/biometlab/fluxnet2011/PDF...LPJ-DGVM LPJmL SDGVM ORCHIDEE All 1 resolution or higher Within-pixel

Thanks for the collaboration !

www.fluxdata.org www.fluxnet.ornl.gov