European Technology Evaluation Workshop

Mark Scully – Head of Technology, Advanced Systems & Propulsion

• Date: 17-10-2018

The Aerospace Technology Institute

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• Brings together and represents the UK’s aerospace technology community

• Defines the national aerospace technology strategy

• Works with Government and industry to realise the strategy, through a portfolio

of research and technology worth £3.9bn over 13 years (2026)

• Leads international technology engagement in aerospace for the UK

• 32 people with extensive national and international networks

Working toward the economic mission

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ConveneConnect

Problem solve

Shape projectsEvaluate projects

AnalysisRoute maps

Strategy

RelationshipsTrust

InfluenceNetworks

Securing global position in

growing market

£GVA

Capturing high value

content

Securing and growing high

value skills

Technologies for a competitive

aerospace

Technologies for a greener

aerospace

The Technology Strategy:Raising Ambition

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ATI Live PortfolioStrategy Refinement

July 2016July 2015

Raising Ambition: The big themes

Four major technology themes

Aircraft of the future

Aerostructures of the future

Propulsion of the future

Smart, connected and more electric aircraft

Through life services

Digital economy

Autonomy

Additive manufacture

High value design

Five “cross-cutting” agendas

➢ Four Specialist Advisory Groups (SAG)➢ Senior Technology Advisory Group (TAG)➢ Market and Economic Advisory Group (MEAG)

Other resources: INSIGHT papers, strategy additions, analysis, news

Other resources: ATI’s wholeaircraft modelling capability

ATI Whole Aircraft Model Environment

ATI aircraft library

Aircraft trade tables

Validation with OEMs

ATI’s Proprietary Whole Aircraft Capability Accessing ATI Whole Aircraft Capability

Quantified impact of technology on fuel burn

and CO2

• Individual companies• Technology consortia• Government• Aerospace

technology strategy• Informing the debate

on the market and future aircraft

User-friendly aircraft trade tool, for UK aerospace

New technology

The R&T portfolio – August 2018

8%

47%

16%

29%

R&T Portfolio by Major Technology Theme

Aircraft of the future

Propulsion of the future

Aerostructures of the future

Smart, connected and more electric aircraft

c.£2bnGross

40

340

64

634

115

44

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

No. Organisations

Grants Offered(£m)

Grants by Company Size

Research/Academic Large Company SME Company

The R&T portfolio – August 2018

c.£1bn

219

Totals

The R&T portfolio – August 2018

2015-2020 2020-2025 2025+TRL6:

£-

£200

£400

£600

£800

£1,000

£1,200

£1,400

Secure Exploit Position

Portfolio spend by Performance Attribute (gross value)

Passenger Experience

Operational Needs & Flexibility

Cost

Environment

Fuel Efficiency

Safety

The R&T portfolio – August 2018

▪ Projects in the portfolio as at April 2018

▪ All programme participants and partnerships

▪ Technology themes and projects

Outlook: new mobility solutions and the rise of more (and more!) electric

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2020 2025 2030 20352015

Wide body updates or derivatives

Boeing NMA

350XWB

330NEO

CSERIES

320NEO

737MAX

777X

C919Next gen single aisle

Hybrid-E, single crew?

vs

Single aisle improvements

Short-range electric?

SpeculationAnnounced

Next Gen Civil Tilt Rotor

Next Gen Supersonic

C929

New turbo-prop

“Urban” mobility - Electric

Short-range Hybrid-Electric

Wide body engine and systems updates More electric

aircraft systems

Hybrid-electric powered flight?

All-electric powered flight?

2040

Ind

ica

tive

ca

pa

city

/ra

ng

e

Large narrow and wide body jets encompass 85% of value over next 20 yrs

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Source: ATI analysis, multiple OEM long-term forecasts

Airbus’ latest forecast is for 34,900 new aircraft by 2036

Forecast deliveries 2016-2035 (US$ tr at list price)