erin boyle service hydrologist nws tucson, arizona pima ... · u.s. seasonal drought outlook...

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Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima County LDIG Meeting March 11, 2015

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Page 1: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

Erin Boyle

Service Hydrologist

NWS Tucson, Arizona

Pima County LDIG Meeting

March 11, 2015

Page 2: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

*Warmest on Record, tied with 2013-2014

*14th Wettest, 5.12” Precipitation (+2.39”)

*Snow on New Years Eve

*Significant rainfall Jan 30 & 31 causing numerous washes to flow

*Average Monthly Temp 57.0oF (+3.8oF)

*Water Year (Oct-Feb): 6.45” Precipitation (+2.26”)

Inkidog (Tucson News Now Gallery)

Rillito River

Page 3: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

*14th Wettest and 20th Warmest

*2.17” Rainfall (+1.24”)

*Snow New Year’s Eve

*Average Monthly Temp 54.1oF (+2.2oF)

Page 4: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate
Page 5: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

*4th Wettest and 7th Warmest

*2.54” Rainfall (+1.60”)

*Average Monthly Temp 55.4oF (+2.8oF)

Page 6: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate
Page 7: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

*Warmest February and 46th Driest

*0.41” Precipitation (-0.45”)

*Average Monthly Temp 62.1oF (+6.8oF)

Page 8: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate
Page 9: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate
Page 10: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate
Page 11: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

• Advisory in Effect

• Conditions are observed and expected to continue

• 50-60% chance of El Niño through spring and summer

• Weak strength, widespread or significant global impacts are not

anticipated.

Page 12: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate

Precipitation

Temperature

Page 13: Erin Boyle Service Hydrologist NWS Tucson, Arizona Pima ... · U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook Drought Tendency During the Valid Period Author: Adam AÆÆgood NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CÆimate